Climb Real Estate San Francisco Year-End Market Recap 2015

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SAN FRANCISCO Y E A R - E N D

MARKET R

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2 0 1 5 CLIMBSF.COM


IT’S MORE THAN A HOME IT’S YOUR LIFE

CRISSY FIELD | 3:17 PM

CLIMBSF.COM


MESSAGE FROM THE CEO 2015 can only be described as a milestone year for San Francisco real estate. With unprecedented demand driving home sales, we saw record prices throughout the city. In particular, condominium and new construction sales led the way. For the first time in San Francisco history, the cost per foot of condominiums outpaced single-family homes. Single-family homes were up 14% in 2015; condos and lofts up roughly 12%. Inventory is down to less than one month for both single-family homes and condominiums. While there were many achievements and new records in the local market, Climb Real Estate also celebrated many milestones. We are now over 100 agents in 5 offices. We are now consistently ranked one of the top brokerages in the city. Our website is nationally acclaimed. We launched Climb Labs in the summer in our new Mid-Market space, which offers real estate’s most innovative think tank. We launched our first new development project, Sapphire, in SOMA. Our Jack London Square office in the East Bay is now our fastest-growing market segment. This past year, TV viewers nationally were introduced to the Climb brand when Million Dollar Listing aired on Bravo. Climb consistently represents properties over $3M, from Sea Cliff to Los Altos, Pacific Heights to Napa. Climb is no longer SOMA and South Beach, we are prepared to serve your real estate needs anywhere in the greater Bay Area. Our tag line is “It’s More Than A Home. It’s Your Life,” and we demonstrated this in our community outreach including food and clothing drives, the AIDS Lifecycle Ride, Aim High, and numerous volunteer events. We do not just sell our communities’ real estate, we actively participate in those communities. While Climb Real Estate continues to expand its reach in the greater Bay Area, our utmost goal is to serve buyers and sellers with integrity, professionalism, and superior market knowledge. Our talented salespeople are available to you to answer questions about the micro-trends within our marketplace. Here’s to another great year in San Francisco real estate. Sincerely,

Chris Lim


MEDIAN SALES PRICE

 CONDO & LOFT

$1,400,000 $1,200,000

YEAR-OV

$1,000,000 2015 ANNUAL REPORT

2015

$800,000

IT WAS AN EXCITING YEAR IN SAN FRANCISCO. INVENTORY SOLD QUICKLY AT $600,000 HIGHER PRICES THAN AT ANY POINT IN THE CITY'S HISTORY. 2012 LONG, RICH 2013 2014

MEDIAN SALES PRICE MEDIAN SALES PRICE

$1,400,000

 SINGLE-FAMILY  CONDO & LOFT

DAYS ON MARKET UNTIL SALE  CONDO & LOFT

90

+ 16.8%

+ 15.2%

60 YEAR-OVER-YEAR CHANGE

YEAR-OVER-YEAR CHANGE

70

$1,000,000

2015

 SINGLE-FAMILY DAYS ON MARKET UNTIL SALE& LOFTS SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES CONDOS 80

$1,200,000

2015

$600,000 2012

2013

2014

2015

$1.3M

SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

 SINGLE-FAMILY  CONDO & LOFT

DAYS ON& MARKET UNTIL SALE CONDOS LOFTS

40

2014

30

$1.1M

$1.1M

2013

SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES climbsf.com

SINGLE

-

YEAR-OV

60

YEAR-OVER-YEAR CHANGE

2015

2014 2014

$1.0M

2015

- 4.8%

© 2016 San Francisco Association of REALTORS®. All data subject to ERRO All information deemed reliable but is not guaranteed. Search all SFARMLS list

YEAR-OVER-YEAR CHANGE

50

CONDOS & LOFTS

40

SINGLE-F A M I L Y H O M E S

2013

+16.8%

YEAR-OVER-YEAR CHANGE

climbsf.com 2015 $1.3M

2014 $1.1M

2014

+15.2%

2015

YEAR-OVER-YEAR CHANGE

2015 $1.1M

2014 $1.0M

2015

29.3 days

29.3 da

CONDOS & LOFTS

CONDOS & LOFTS

- 7.7%

80

2015

20 2012

70

90

20 2012

$1.3M

50

$800,000

30

+

2014

SINGLE-F A M I L Y

H O M 31.8 days

E S

2015

44.0 days

CONDOS & LOFTS

2014

46.3 days

-7.7%

-4.8%

YEAR-OVER-YEAR CHANGE

YEAR-OVER-YEAR CHANGE

2015

2014

29.3 DAYS

31.8 DAYS

© 2016 San Francisco Association of REALTORS®. All data subject to ERRORS, OMISSIONS or REVISIONS and is not WARRANTED. All information deemed reliable but is not guaranteed. Search all SFARMLS listings at www.sfrealtors.com. Powered by ShowingTime 10K.

2015

2014

44 DAYS

46.3 DAYS


SUBMARKET BAROMETER UP & COMING

POTENTIAL OPPORTUNITIES

RICHMOND S E A

C L I F F

LAUREL HEIGHTS OUTER/CENTRAL/INNER

I

C

H

M

O

N

D

LONE MOUNTAIN SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

M E D I A N S A L E S P R I C E 2014 $1.47M

2015 $1.65M

CONDOS & LOFTS

DAYS ON M A R K E T

2014

2015

28

DAYS ON M A R K E T

M E D I A N S A L E S P R I C E

25 23

2014 $1.06M

2015 $1.10M

44

2014

2015

40

+12.6% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

-16% LESS THAN LAST YEAR

+3.5% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

-9.4% LESS THAN LAST YEAR

P R I C E PER S Q . F T.

S O L D L I S T I N G S

P R I C E PER S Q . F T.

S O L D L I S T I N G S

2014

$755

2015

2014

2015

$875

214

192

+16% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

MARKET

HOLD FOR NOW

District 1 resides in the northwest quadrant of San Francisco, stretching from near USF to the ocean. It is often regarded as a heavily residential neighborhood with a mix of desirable singlefamily homes and multi-tenant buildings enhanced by stunning views of the Golden Gate Bridge, Marin Headlands, and Pacific Ocean. We see many home buyers opting to stay in the city looking for the larger homes that this neighborhood offers.

LAKE JORDON PARK

R

HOT

-10.3% LESS THAN LAST YEAR

2015 2014

$750

$826

+10.2% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

2014

2015

138

127

-8% LESS THAN LAST YEAR


SUBMARKET BAROMETER UP & COMING

POTENTIAL OPPORTUNITIES

SUNSET O U T E R

CENTRAL SUNSET

SUNSET

O U T E R

P A R K S I D E

P A R K S I D E I N N E R G O L D E N

MARKET

HOLD FOR NOW

District 2 resides in the southwest quadrant of San Francisco, stretching from near the Parnassus campus of UCSF to the ocean. Often called “the Avenues,” it is predominantly a mix of smaller detached single-family homes that were constructed in the 1920’s, first by Henry Doelger and later by Oliver Rousseau. With a steady turnover in inventory, we see many home buyers taking advantage here of some of the best priced single-family homes in the city.

S U N S E T

INNER

HOT

P A R K S I D E G A T E

H E I G H T S

SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

M E D I A N S A L E S P R I C E 2014 $0.96M

2015 $1.16M

CONDOS & LOFTS

DAYS ON M A R K E T

2014

2015

DAYS ON M A R K E T

M E D I A N S A L E S P R I C E

25 26

32

2014 $0.93M

2015 $1.00M

37

2014

51

2015

+20.9% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

-18.7% LESS THAN LAST YEAR

+7.6% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

+ 37.5% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

P R I C E PER S Q . F T.

S O L D L I S T I N G S

P R I C E PER S Q . F T.

S O L D L I S T I N G S

2015 2014

$668

$760

+13.8% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

2014

439

2015

2015

405

-7.7% LESS THAN LAST YEAR

2014

$655

$726

+10.9% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

2014

2015

33

38

+15.2% MORE THAN LAST YEAR


SUBMARKET BAROMETER UP & COMING

POTENTIAL OPPORTUNITIES

LAKE MERCED P I N E

L A K E

L A K E

P A R K

M A N O R

S T O N E S T O W N

L A K E S I D E M E R C E D

MARKET

HOLD FOR NOW

District 3 resides in the southwest quadrant of San Francisco, stretching closest to Daly City and South San Francisco. It is often regarded as a suburban neighborhood, dominated by the large presence of Lake Merced, Stonestone Mall, and SF State University. With the sales in this district at Summit 800, we saw townhouse-style new construction homes for the first time.

S H O R E

M E R C E D

HOT

H E I G H T S

I N G L E S I D E I N G L E S I D E

O

C

E

A

N

H E I G H T S

V

I

E

W

SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

DAYS ON M A R K E T

M E D I A N S A L E S P R I C E 2014 $0.77M

2015 $0.90M

CONDOS & LOFTS

2014

38

35

2015

DAYS ON M A R K E T

M E D I A N S A L E S P R I C E 2014 $0.49M

2015 $0.64M

44

2014

32

2015

+17.2% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

-9.6% LESS THAN LAST YEAR

+30.1% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

-27.6% LESS THAN LAST YEAR

P R I C E PER S Q . F T.

S O L D L I S T I N G S

P R I C E PER S Q . F T.

S O L D L I S T I N G S

2015 2014

$609

$653

+7.1% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

2014 181

2015

2015 150

-17.1% LESS THAN LAST YEAR

2014

$542

$651

+20.1% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

2014

2015

33

51

+54.5% MORE THAN LAST YEAR


SUBMARKET BAROMETER UP & COMING

POTENTIAL OPPORTUNITIES

WEST PORTAL F O R E S T

H I L L

BALBOA TERRACE D A V I D S O N

M I R A L O M A

M A N O R

P A R K

D I A M O N D

H E I G H T S

M I D T O W N

T E R R A C E

SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

M E D I A N S A L E S P R I C E 2014 $1.23M

2015 $1.42M

CONDOS & LOFTS

DAYS ON M A R K E T

2014

2015

28

DAYS ON M A R K E T

M E D I A N S A L E S P R I C E

29

2014 $0.59M

2015 $0.70M

40

44 2015

2014

+16.1% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

+4.9% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

+19.3% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

+ 9.1% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

P R I C E PER S Q . F T.

S O L D L I S T I N G S

P R I C E PER S Q . F T.

S O L D L I S T I N G S

2015 2014

$730

$815

+11.7% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

MARKET

HOLD FOR NOW

District 4 resides in the center quadrant of San Francisco, starting behind Twin Peaks and running southwest towards Highway 280. It is often overlooked as one of San Francisco’s most desirable suburbs, with a great range of single-family homes from starter homes and Eichlers to large St. Francis Wood estates. The area also offers single-family home buyers easy access to public transportation with a distinct neighborhood feel.

S T. F R A N C I S W O O D M O U N T

HOT

2014 307

2015

2015 2014 334

+8.8% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

$624

$710

+13.7% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

2014

2015

60

48

-20.0% LESS THAN LAST YEAR


SUBMARKET BAROMETER UP & COMING

POTENTIAL OPPORTUNITIES

NOE VALLEY C O L E

C

A

H A I G H T G

L

E

N

T

W

I

N

M

I

S S

I

O

N

U

E

N

A

A S H B U R Y

R

O

A S H B U R Y P

D U B O C E B

T

D

P

A

R

E

A

K

O

L O

K S

R

E

S

T R I A N G L E V

I

S

T

A

/

H E I G H T S

SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

M E D I A N S A L E S P R I C E 2014 $1.88M

2015 $2.10M

CONDOS & LOFTS

DAYS ON M A R K E T

2014

2015

25

DAYS ON M A R K E T

M E D I A N S A L E S P R I C E

24 25

2014 $1.18M

2015 $1.27M

41

2014

37

2015

+11.7% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

-3.2% LESS THAN LAST YEAR

+7.8% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

-8.5% LESS THAN LAST YEAR

P R I C E PER S Q . F T.

S O L D L I S T I N G S

P R I C E PER S Q . F T.

S O L D L I S T I N G S

2015 2014

$980

$1,119

+14.1% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

MARKET

HOLD FOR NOW

District 5 resides in the center of the city starting south of Golden Gate Park and extending through Haight Ashbury and 18th/Castro to beyond Noe Valley’s 24th Street. With proximity to desirable coffee shops, restaurants, and nightlife, this district is a mix of condominiums, apartment buildings, single-family homes, and TICs. With good weather, access to shuttles, and a neighborhood vibe, District 5 has been extremely popular with large segments of buyers.

V A L L E Y

S

HOT

2014 325

2015

2015 300

-7.7% LESS THAN LAST YEAR

2014

$921

$1,034

+12.2% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

2014

2015

369

389

+5.4% MORE THAN LAST YEAR


SUBMARKET BAROMETER UP & COMING

POTENTIAL OPPORTUNITIES

HAYES VALLEY & A

N

P A C I F I C

Z

A

N O R T H

V

H E I G H T S

I

S

T

A

P A N H A N D L E

WESTERN ADDITION A L A M O

S Q U A R E

SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

M E D I A N S A L E S P R I C E 2014 $2.25M

2015 $2.25M

CONDOS & LOFTS

DAYS ON M A R K E T

2014

30

2015

DAYS ON M A R K E T

M E D I A N S A L E S P R I C E

25 30

2014 $0.93M

2015 $1.13M

49

2014

40

2015

NO CHANGE FROM LAST YEAR

NO CHANGE FROM LAST YEAR

+22.2% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

-18.6% LESS THAN LAST YEAR

P R I C E PER S Q . F T.

S O L D L I S T I N G S

P R I C E PER S Q . F T.

S O L D L I S T I N G S

Q314 2014

$921

2015

$916

-.5% LESS THAN LAST YEAR

MARKET

HOLD FOR NOW

District 6 resides in the center of San Francisco, starting at the Civic Center and weaving through iconic areas north of Golden Gate Park. District 6 includes single-family homes, condos, TICs, 2-unit duplexes, and multi-tenant buildings. The area is best characterized by the Painted Ladies, a row of Victorian homes on Alamo Square. NOPA and Hayes Valley have seen increased popularity with boutique shops, coffee bars, and new restaurants openeing, driven by the construction of new condominium developments.

PANHANDLE L O W E R

HOT

45

2015

Q315 2014 37

-17.8% LESS THAN LAST YEAR

$864

$986

+14.1% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

2014

2015

256

218

-14.8% LESS THAN LAST YEAR


SUBMARKET BAROMETER UP & COMING

POTENTIAL OPPORTUNITIES

M A R I N A H O L L O W

P R E S I D I O H E I G H T S

SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

2014 $3.91M

CONDOS & LOFTS

DAYS ON M A R K E T

M E D I A N S A L E S P R I C E

2015 $4.98M

39

2014

2015

35

DAYS ON M A R K E T

M E D I A N S A L E S P R I C E 2014 $1.33M

2015 $1.50M

40

2014

36

2015

+27.4% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

-11.7% LESS THAN LAST YEAR

+12.3% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

-8.7% LESS THAN LAST YEAR

P R I C E PER S Q . F T.

S O L D L I S T I N G S

P R I C E PER S Q . F T.

S O L D L I S T I N G S

2015 2014

$1,211

$1,493

+23.4% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

MARKET

HOLD FOR NOW

District 7 resides in the northwest quadrant of San Francisco, starting at the Bay and heading south to the crest of Russian Hill. It is often regarded as a heavily residential neighborhood with a mix of desirable single-family homes and multi-tenant buildings with captivating views of the Golden Gate Bridge, Alcatraz, and Marin Headlands. One marquee sale was the CEO of Docusign’s purchase of a Pacific Heights mansion on Broadway for over $2M.

P A C I F I C H E I G H T S C O W

HOT

2014 117

2015

2015 87

-25.6% LESS THAN LAST YEAR

2014

$1,002

$1,153

+15.0% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

2014

2015

282

224

-20.6% LESS THAN LAST YEAR


SUBMARKET BAROMETER UP & COMING

POTENTIAL OPPORTUNITIES

NORTH BEACH & RUSSIAN HILL N

O

B

H

H I L L

I

L

L

FINANCIAL DISTRICT DOWNTOWN/VAN NESS/CIVIC CENTER

T E N D E R L O I N SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

2014 $2.76M

CONDOS & LOFTS

DAYS ON M A R K E T

M E D I A N S A L E S P R I C E

2015 $2.83M

2014

45

2015

52

DAYS ON M A R K E T

M E D I A N S A L E S P R I C E 2014 $0.88M

2015 $1.03M

52

2014

49

2015

+2.6% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

+15.3% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

+17.7% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

-6.1% LESS THAN LAST YEAR

P R I C E PER S Q . F T.

S O L D L I S T I N G S

P R I C E PER S Q . F T.

S O L D L I S T I N G S

2015 2014

$1,156

$1,514

+31.0% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

MARKET

HOLD FOR NOW

District 8 resides in the northeast quadrant of San Francisco and contains some of the oldest real estate in San Francisco, housing city icons like Coit Tower and the Transamerica building. Here we see a varied degree of housing stock, from earthquake cottages to single-family homes, multi-tenant buildings, condos, stock co-operatives, and large apartment buildings. With more technology companies now in the Financial District, accessibility to downtown will continue to create strong demand for properties in this area.

NORTH WATERFRONT T E L E G R A P H

HOT

Q314 23

2015

Q315 23

6

NO CHANGE FROM LAST YEAR

2014

$944

$1,066

+12.9% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

2014

2015

434

354

-18.4% LESS THAN LAST YEAR


SUBMARKET BAROMETER UP & COMING

POTENTIAL OPPORTUNITIES

S O U T H

O F

B E A C H

Y E R B A

B U E N A

M I S S I O N

B A Y

INNER MISSION P O T R E R O

H I L L

C E N T R A L WAT E R F R O N T / D O G PATC H

B E R N A L

H E I G H T S

SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

M E D I A N S A L E S P R I C E 2014 $1.20M

2015 $1.38M

CONDOS & LOFTS

DAYS ON M A R K E T

25

28

DAYS ON M A R K E T

M E D I A N S A L E S P R I C E 2014 $0.93M

2015 $1.08M

45

2014

47

2015

+14.8% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

-11.1% LESS THAN LAST YEAR

+16.2% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

+4.0% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

P R I C E PER S Q . F T.

S O L D L I S T I N G S

P R I C E PER S Q . F T.

S O L D L I S T I N G S

2014

$838

$957

+14.2% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

MARKET

HOLD FOR NOW

District 9 resides in the southeast quadrant of San Francisco, stretching from south of downtown along the Bay down to an area that was previously undeveloped. What was traditionally warehouses and industrial land has developed into some of the city’s most desirable real estate with a mix of luxury highrises, live/work loft conversions, and mid-rise projects nestled alongside existing Victorian and mixed-use buildings. Further up the hill are some amazing single-family homes. We see the increase of commerce and services, such as UCSF’s Children’s Hospital, as having a positive impact on values in Mission Bay and the Dogpatch.

MARKET S O U T H

HOT

233

2015

2015 2014 260

+11.6% LESS THAN LAST YEAR

$963

$1,077

+11.8% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

2014

2015

1,118

987

-11.7% LESS THAN LAST YEAR


SUBMARKET BAROMETER UP & COMING

POTENTIAL OPPORTUNITIES

OUTER MISSION E

X

P

S

I

C

O

L

V

E

R E

T E R R A C E L

S

T

R

O

T

H U N T E R S

E

R

L

R

O

A

R

A C

E

P O I N T

C A N D L E S T I C K

B A Y V I E W

I

P O I N T

H E I G H T S

V I S I T A C I O N

C R O C K E R

V A L L E Y

A M A Z O N

SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES

2014 $0.69M

CONDOS & LOFTS

DAYS ON M A R K E T

M E D I A N S A L E S P R I C E

2015 $0.79M

37

36

M E D I A N S A L E S P R I C E 2014 $0.51M

2015 $0.68M

DAYS ON M A R K E T

97

73 2015

2014

+14.5% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

-2.2% LESS THAN LAST YEAR

+32.9% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

-25.1% LESS THAN LAST YEAR

P R I C E PER S Q . F T.

S O L D L I S T I N G S

P R I C E PER S Q . F T.

S O L D L I S T I N G S

2014

$527

$607

+15.0% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

MARKET

HOLD FOR NOW

District 10 resides in the southern most quadrant of San Francisco. It is often regarded as a transitional neighborhood, and offers some of the city’s best weather. A mix of desirable singlefamily homes, multi-tenant buildings, and new construction offer some amazing views of San Francisco Bay and the Bay Bridge. With the release of the Shipyards in Hunter’s Point, this area is experiencing a dramatic change, with an influx of new construction planned communities well underway.

& BAYVIEW M I S S I O N

HOT

521

2015

2015

490

-6.0% LESS THAN LAST YEAR

2014

$438

$572

+30.5% MORE THAN LAST YEAR

2014

2015

61

62

+1.6% MORE THAN LAST YEAR


ABOUT CLIMB REAL ESTATE Founded in 2010, Climb Real Estate is an innovative fullservice residential real estate brokerage that leverages the latest technology to serve clients in emerging, established, and luxury neighborhoods in San Francisco and around the Bay Area. Climb offers a complete digital experience, including an extensive mobile-friendly website, social media presence, and mobile connection with agents that streamlines the buying and selling processes. Agents also connect faceto-face with clients in their neighborhoods via the Climb Airstream, a uniquely mobile real estate office. We are continuously rethinking the traditional home buying and selling experiences to better serve clients and close sales. Chris Lim, Mark Choey, and Tiffany Combs founded Climb with a focus on new condo developments in the SOMA/ South Beach neighborhood of San Francisco. In just five years, the brokerage has grown to 100 agents working in five offices and throughout the Bay Area. According to the San Francisco Association of Realtors, Climb ranked #7 in the city for residential property sales in 2014, and closed close to $1 billion in sales in 2015, making it among the fastest-growing residential real estate brokerages in San Francisco.

WHAT I LIKE BEST ABOUT

SAN FRANCISCO

IS

SAN FRANCISCO - FRANK LLOYD WRIGHT

PREPARED BY

climbSF.com

SOURCE: © 2015 SAN FRANCISCO ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®. ALL DATA SUBJECT TO ERRORS, OMISSIONS OR REVISIONS AND IS NOT WARRANTED. ALL INFORMATION DEEMED RELIABLE BUT IS NOT GUARANTEED. SEARCH ALL SFARMLS LISTINGS AT WWW.SFREALTORS.COM. POWERED BY 10K RESEARCH AND MARKETING.


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