MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop Report July 28th and 29th, 2015
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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ATTENDEES
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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DEVELOPER Zendai
TECHNICAL TEAM Atkins: Environment, Masterplanning, Socioeconomics, Public Engagement, Planning, Transport and Infrastructure overview, Cost Consulting Colliers: Commercial Assessment Arup: Transport and Infrastructure
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PRESENTATION – Day One 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8.
Method Option selection workshop summary What has happened since Context Framework – Big ideas Environment Transport Infrastructure
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PRESENTATION – Day Two 1. Urban Design Guidelines 2. Economics – Commercial 3. Socio-economics
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DAY ONE Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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METHOD Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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Typical delivery process:
REVIEW Site Conditions
Civil Infrastructure
Funding Options
Market Study & Programme
VISION Concept Masterplan
P3 Opportunities
Cost Estimates
Preliminary Infrastructure
We are here
PLAN Investment & Financial Plan
Developer Packages
Phasing & Delivery Plan
DELIVER Infrastructure Mobilisation
Building Design
Developer Evaluation
SELL Developer Agreements
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Completion of Land Sales
Infrastructure Planning
Team Economics Design + Planning Architecture Engineering Programme + Construction Management
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OPTION SELECTION WORKSHOP SUMMARY
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OBJECTIVES
We agreed objectives. (updated from the Vision Workshop)
ENVIRONMENT • Conserve water resources & biodiversity • Sustainable urban drainage • Best practice/sustainable approach
INFRASTRUCTURE • Resilient supply • Demand reduction • Affordable
DEVELOPMENT PLANNING • Social integration • Quality public realm • Development delivered as promised • Positively transform the city • Urban efficiency: job density, modal density, people density.
TRANSPORT • Catalytic • Affordable • Connected • Integrated • Internally and externally linked – When? For whom? Linking what/where to what where (hub to hub approach). • Look at bike store systems for nonmotorised transport with the development. Also look at the feasibility of the umbrella organisation operating a car share system.
ECONOMICS • Job creation • Foreign direct investment • A place of opportunity • Financial sustainability for region • GDP/GVA • Ensuring key levers exist to attract FDI (e.g. services, infrastructure and incentives for investment). • Unique value proposition to avoid cannibalising biz from one area to another.
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ALL • Productive
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DESIGN PRINCIPLES – consistent in all options Principles from the Vision Workshop: • Environmental areas of importance are integrated into the development and maintained and/or improved. • Our site is fully integrated into the fabric of the city • The Gautrain station area will be designed as a mixed use hub. • Each part of the development will be designed as a fully functional neighbourhood, with access to amenities and community faciliteis. • Green linkages define the neighbourhoods and provide urban access to nature. • Green corridors and high quality public realm are integrated into the neighbourhoods for increased access. • Cycles routs and pedestrian routes are integrated into the scheme to ensure walkability. • Founder’s Hill is preserved as a cultural and academic area. • Development plans are flexible and allow for a mix of uses and incomes. • A significant amount of public spaces and amenities are maintained to promote social integration. New Principles from Option Selection Workshop: • Vibrant indoor stations – retail, biz etc. (mixed) where passengers walk thru retail area. Example: Penn Station and Washington DC. • Decentralised water and electricity supply for development given the electricity crisis and potential water crisis SA is facing. • Improve eco-efficiency = reduce waste and other outputs by development. • Energy efficiency measures to be implemented in the buildings. • Reduce ecological footprint. • Types of education? Public? Private? Tertiary? Technical?
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We confirmed design principles.
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OPTION SELECTION WORKSHOP
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
We worked together.
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1 – Up, Not Out
We evaluated the options.
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2 – Distinct 3 – Linear Cores Neighbourhoods
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KEY COMMENTS DEVELOPMENT PLANNING “On what basis was the deprivation assessment completed?” Liana Strydom (Development Planning) Action: Atkins to arrange video conference with Socio Economics team to discuss in detail. OPTION 1: “Option 1 works because density in the form of economic opportnties, people and buildings makes public transport work. It is also in line with the Transformation agenda that CoJ is moving towards.” Ayanda Masuku (Development Planning) “It’s better when the M60 avoids the wetlands.” “Could be very vibrant.” “Shortest water bulk line, cheapest infrastructure and good/easier for demand reduction.” “Best Option.” “Most density, best economic outputs and best connectivity.” “Inclusionary housing works best in Option 1.” Ayanda Masuku (Development Planning) “More links to surrounding areas are needed.” “Be weary about the Eskom power line running through the site. Option 1 is the only one that avoids it.” OPTION 2: “Strong sense of community in neighbourhoods.” “Option 2 is not viable as the distance travelled should be short.” Mohini “Communities are fragmented and hard to travel between.” OPTION 3: “It is private car oriented and not sustainable due to lower densities.” “Development is too spread out.” “More green!” “Routes through site are too long.” “Very car oriented with a very low density. Option 3 encroaches to much on the green spaces.” (Note from Atkins: The density is lower in Option 3 than 1&2 but still much higher than the average residential neighbourhood in Joburg.)
(This is an example slide. Please see Option Selection Workshop Report for the full slide deck.) Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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KEY COMMENTS ENVIRONMENT “Are the flood lines certified and the wetlands delineated?” Lebo Molefe (EISD) Answer: Yes. “We need to review the reports that were used to complete the sensitivity maps.” Jane Eagle (EISD) Action: Zendai to issue reports Other comments: • How do we code public space? • How can we regulate regeneration over such a long time span? • We need to use policy mechanisms to ensure funding goes to the right place. (land trust) • Leticia Potts (Zendai) explained that all the open space will be managed by an Umbrella Organisation. It has already been established. Any business that operates a business or lives in Modderfontein will pay a contribution to the Umbrella Organisation. The Modderfontein Reserve is already under the ownership of the Umbrella Organisation and is being funded by tenants. The Umbrella Organisation will have charge for design for individual sites as they are developed. • In projects of this scale, you can’t code all of the environmental areas. What can we do instead to ensure future delivery team engage and deliver to the principles we have established?
(This is an example slide. Please see Option Selection Workshop Report for the full slide deck.) Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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KEY COMMENTS INFRASTRUCTURE “There are limits on existing capacity and no expansion plans until 2025. Cogeneration and a proactive plan are both critical.” Hein Schuld (Plantech Associates) .
ECONOMICS “How do we manage to ensure that we don’t repeat the same mistakes that happen when Sandton was developed?” Herman Pienaar (Development Planning) TRANSPORT . “Public transit can help avoid what happened in Sandton.” Gugu Mbambo (Transportation) “Public transport should be linked to areas of development that investment sectors are likely to target. This could lead to a requirement for 24 hour service.” Beatrice Abil (Economic Development) “We have not looked at rail specifically in the SDF process yet but this discussion might help incorporate it.” Herman Pienaar (Development Planning) Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
(This is an example slide. Please see Option Selection Workshop Report for the full slide deck.)
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We understood how to deal with potential obstacles.
BREAK OUT SESSIONS - Environment Most important elements for inclusion in the masterplan
Potential obstacles that might hinder implementation
What we might do to mitigate the obstacle
Maintaining environmental performance & functionality Mapping of environmental potential and status – need to identify where we can make it better as well as where is already good Identifying and respond to impacts – don’t try to pretend there aren’t any Heritage and visual impacts need to be included Understand geohydrology
Lack of stakeholder involvement (including Zendai, CoJ, plot developers) Lack of and/or poor quality of existing and new information; Information Verification Defining Ecological Potential Habitat Restoration costs Transport corridors have to cross the site Competitive demand for land uses Budget constraints upfront
Economic analysis of value added Funding models (c.f. umbrella body) Education and awareness To all stakeholders Developing high quality environment; Maintaining and managing access
Design principles and codes SUDS Integration of ecological and hydrological environment (blue and green) with the built environment Permeability and accessibility for people and ecology Inclusivity Inclusion of all sensitive elements Building and maintaining resilient and robust ecosystems Linkages and synergies
Lack of coding – or lack of respect of codes Misinterpretation/misapplication of principal codes at all scales Lack of institutional memory as staff move on Benchmarks – what is good?; Competency of professional team and authority’s staff Limited experience of projects of this scale Poor investigation, lack of multidisciplinary approach Time and budget constrains Lack of ownership and sense of place; Lack of awareness Landscape architecture need to be core (nearly as important as geohydrology);
Umbrella Body (Independent of Zendai) Management plans Compliance to Framework Enforcement Permits and Licences Maintenance Development of robust codes Review process – what is working and what isn’t? Inclusive of built and unbuilt environment (not just green space) Prioritisation of implementation of amenities Education for all
(This is an example slide. Please see Option Selection Workshop Report for the full slide deck.) Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
Order of importance
1 2
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Environment Most important elements for inclusion in the masterplan
Potential obstacles that might hinder implementation
What we might do to mitigate the obstacle
Sustainability: Food security Protection Rehabilitation/habitat creation; Transport Open space management; Shared resources Water security Dynamic and constant review Safe workable spaces Liveability
Exclusivity Perceptions Safety and security concerns Sensitivity Lack of access to public transport (phasing) Poorly designed space Lack of choice/variety of spaces; Linkage to amenity/nature Transaction of issues Resilient thinking/flexibility
Climate Proofing Robustness Resilient Infrastructures Open Space/Greening carbon offset Roof top solar Recycle SUDS and flood risk management
Oversight and audit: Getting the right people Building the right team
Budget constraints upfront; Valuing of open space Social Economy Environment Inter geo-environmental dependencies (financial contributions used elsewhere ) Business case not strong enough
Interdisciplinary sensitivity (team) Legal controls and agreements; Core part of design and land use planning from initiation Now) Throughout process (resource management, compatible activities’ and land use of planning) Appropriate composition of team
Green economy opportunities and integration with hard infrastructure
Commitment (developer, residents & city) Open attitude Budget constraints Skills and expertise Definition of “Green Economy”
Micro enterprises – adding value and usability of the spaces Street trading – strategy from the start to manage appropriately Skills development programme
(This is an example slide. Please see Option Selection Workshop Report for the full slide deck.) Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
Order of importance
3 4 5
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WHAT HAS HAPPENED SINCE
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YOUR COMMENTS AND FEEDBACK We received quite a lot of feedback at the workshop and this was recorded in the Option Selection Workshop Report. Thank you! We have not received any further comments. We presume the workshop report was considered to be a complete and accurate record of any comments and we have developed the final framework plan on this basis.
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PROJECT PROGRESS 1. Individual workshops with CoJ: Socioeconomics (July 30th), Housing (July 30th), Next Steps with Development Planning (29th July), Environment CoJ (July 30th) and GDARD (July 31st) (see appendix) 2. Environmental principles written 3. Social Housing workshop JOSHCO (June 2015) 4. Preferred Framework developed 5. Trigger points for CoJ support identified for preferred framework 6. Delivery strategy identified 7. Commercial Assessment for the preferred framework developed 8. Framework tested in terms of: Environmental sensitivities Job creation Transport and infrastructure capacity Socio economic impacts Value Cost 9. Public Engagement Exhibition (July 24th and 25th, 2015) 10. Updated Structure for Modderfontein Communication and Engagement Strategy (based on completed public engagement)
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Public Engagement
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Public Engagement
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CONTEXT Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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ALIGNS WITH THE COMPACT CITY • Link with the Corridors of Freedom • Develop around transit • Mix of appropriate densities • Provide access to services and amenities
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SPATIAL DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK Where does Modderfontein fit in?
SDF Goals: • City-wide modal shift towards public transit • Development follows transit • Create multi-modal hubs • Zoning around hubs enforces higher density and mixed use development • Support regeneration and new build within the ‘Strategic Development Zone’ • Support new jobs where connectivity is improved and land value increases
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East/West corridor identified at SDF Workshop 3 “Airport Corridor”
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CONTEXT
Isando
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During this stage of work, we will create one singular and agreed plan to use as a framework for future development.
2015 “We must think strategically and that includes Gauteng Province. We can benefit from each other, if we work together.” -- Estee Campher, Gauteng Office of the Premier: Planning Division “Modderfontein does not just effect Johannesburg. It is also a critical component in the wider region, including Gauteng Province and Ekurhuleni Municipality.” -- Martin Bekker, Ekurhuleni
Approved framework plan Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
Submitted framework plan (not approved)
The final framework plan (approval coming later this year)
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THINGS HAVE CHANGED • Environmental sensitives are better understood • The market has started to demand new typologies of development • Attitudes toward public transit have improved • The site footprint has reduced/ ownership changed
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EXISTING RIGHTS What is already in place?
Approved development applications in place: • • • • • • • •
Longlake Westlake Founders Hill Pinelands Highlands K113 New Road Marlboro Road Extension Centenary Road Extension
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INDICATIVE OPEN SPACE
Our spatial design is informed by the environment: ON THE GROUND AND BELOW
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Balance
VISION
SOCIAL CONTEXT
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ECONOMY
“A clear need to maintain a balance”
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Summary version (please see Vision Workshop Report for full set of slides) Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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Environmental sustainability leads to successful development.
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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Make the most of tourism opportunities.
Sustainable Urban Drainage can be beautiful, provide amenity and link into city wide plan.
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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TOD How do you make the most of the station?
Rosebank, Johannesburg
Kings Cross, London
We can do better.
(shops, restaurants, post office, bar, hotel)
Increasing activity is a good way to increase safety. Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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Inclusionary housing means integrating social housing with market rate housing.
Parking rates can be reduced in social housing schemes.
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Social housing is only 4-5 years old in South Africa. This is our chance to provide something really innovative that caters to what people really need and want.
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FRAMEWORK Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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Objective Themes:
Social integration Protection of environmental sensitivities
Resilient resources
Safe places to live, work and play Quality public places Job creation
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Efficient transportation
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Options were tested against the agreed objectives. The preferred option (1) delivers best for:
Resilient resources
Job creation Social integration
Safe places to live, work and play
Protection of environmental sensitivities
1: Up, Not Out
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Quality public places
2: Distinct Neighbourhoods
Efficient transportatio n
3: Linear Cores
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DELIVERY STRATEGY
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DELIVERY Phasing will change as key influencers become clear.
Delivery plan must respond to: • Environment • Socio-economics • Infrastructure (on-site and off-site needs) • Market Demand (including other planned projects such as Corridors of Freedom) As these elements change over time, our plan will adapt.
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First 5 years LIVING AND WORKING 1. Start Pinelands, Founders Hill, Longlake + bulk electrical substation, town centre planning 2. Deliver hospital 3. Continue Westlake delivery 4. Light industrial jobs 5. Family style residential MOVEMENT 1. Deliver major north/south connection K113 2. Maximise connections to the airport and adjacent land 3. Begin design of the Gautrain Station 4. Complete Centenary Road extension 5. Build major east/west road connection CONNECTING TO THE ENVIRONMENT 1. Deliver pedestrian and cycle connections 2. Continue Modderfontein Reserve management 3. Prepare full site Open Space Strategy including habitat & wetland restoration, landscape design and phasing 4. Provide green cushion between housing and reserve 5. Deliver public parks
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5,300 new homes 7,000 new jobs
4. 5.
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4. 5.
5. 2.
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By 2030 LIVING AND WORKING 1. Begin delivering first phase of the town centre 2. Begin delivering mixed use neighbourhoods MOVEMENT 1. Build second major east/west connecting road 2. Gautrain station and associated development opens (station may be operational earlier) 3. Kempton Park Road is completed 4. High capacity transit station sites are safeguarded 5. Extension of Marlboro Road is built CONNECTING TO THE ENVIRONMENT 1. Deliver public parks (designed to support SUDS) 2. Expand pedestrian and cycle connections 3. Wetland restoration programme continues – part of SUDS 4. Modderfontein River Corridor Restoration starts VIABILITY 1. Check the market: Plots could be either residential or light industrial depending on demand 2. New neighbourhoods are delivered when the market confirms the need
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
14,000 new homes 35,000 new jobs 2 new schools
4. 1. 1. 1.
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By 2040 LIVING AND WORKING 1. Begin second part of the town centre 2. Build landbridge to connect the north and south parts of the town centre 3. Begin delivering the next mixed use neighbourhood MOVEMENT 1. Build first north/south connecting road 2. Build high capacity public transit line and stations where development is present CONNECTING TO THE ENVIRONMENT 1. Deliver major Central Park (designed to support SUDS) 2. Connect pedestrians & cycles to south sites VIABILITY 1. Check market viability for: • Landbridge • type of high capacity public transit (ridership projections and available technology) • Office space requirements • Additional mixed use neighbourhoods
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
14,500 new homes 37,000 new jobs 2 new schools
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By 2050
17,000 new homes 35,000 new jobs 2 new schools
LIVING AND WORKING 1. Begin last phase of town centre 2. Begin delivering additional mixed use neighbourhood MOVEMENT 1. Build additional high capacity public transit stations 2. If required, build a supporting north/south road CONNECTING TO THE ENVIRONMENT 1. Complete Central Park 2. Complete pedestrian and cycle connections
1. 2.
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VIABILITY 1. Check public transit usage rates at time of delivery in order to assess necessity of additional north/south road 2. Check market viability before starting next mixed use neighbourhood
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By 2060
17,000 new homes 35,000 new jobs 2 new schools
LIVING AND WORKING 1. Begin the remaining mixed use neighbourhood
MOVEMENT 1. If required, completed Marlboro Road. 2. Build additional high capacity public transit stations
CONNECTING TO THE ENVIRONMENT 1. Provide green cushion between housing and reserve VIABILITY 1. Investigate the possibility of increasing capacity of alternative east/west connection in lieu of completing Marlboro Road.
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1. 1.
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Modderfontein is NOT business as usual.
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Modderfontein provides a genuine opportunity to provide place people want to live, work and play
TODAY.
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COMMUNITY
Our spatial design is informed by the environment and linked by community
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OPEN SPACE
Primarily a conservation area that is punctuated with soft leisure features that do not interfere with conservation.
Flood control that is also public space. Conservation area that is accessible by the public.
Conservation edge meets urban area. Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
Urban agriculture.
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Likely to be too steep for effective development.
Area may be too contaminated to warrant landscape regeneration. Might only be feasible as development.
Placement of additional green has been selected to promote sustainable urban drainage.
Additional buffer added to protect Modderfontein Reserve.
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Missing the Egoli granite grassland.
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DENSITY
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Density needs functional components to be liveable: • Parks • Public Transit • Reliable Infrastructure • Community Facilities
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DENSITY
Density saves money
Greenwich Millennium Village, scale and density kick-start regeneration
Density allows privacy and stunning views Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
Source: Superdensity -- Design for London
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At the average Johannesburg density, it would take almost
4 times the amount of space to support the same number of people.
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LOW TO MEDIUM DENSITY
96 dwellings per hectare Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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MEDIUM DENSITY
200 dwellings per hectare Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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HIGH DENSITY
293 dwellings per hectare Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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PUBLIC TRANSIT
Potential rail connection
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PUBLIC TRANSIT: example
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ROAD HIERARCHY
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LAND USES
Active centres increase offpeak demand on public transit
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OFFICE – Town Centre
1,468,000 sqm office
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RESIDENTIAL – Town Centre
21,792 units 27% mid/low density 40% medium 33% high
High density examples. Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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RESIDENTIAL – Mdf North
33,388 units 6% 37% 35% 22%
low density mid/low medium high
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Medium density examples.
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CHARACTER
2
3 2 2
2
1 2
1
1 3
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2
798 Beijing
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SIGNIFICANT BENEFITS
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ENVIRONMENT
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Environment Protection and Enhancement
Plan (Vision/ Framework)
Mitigation & Design
Implications & scoping
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Data Gathering & Mapping
Conceptual Model
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Environment Protection and Enhancement
Modderfontein Reserve: • Forms core of the site (even though outside ownership) • Education • Recreation • Conservation Evidence of previous use: • Dams and abstractions • Channel modifications • Bunkers
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Environmental Conditions
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Environment Protection and Enhancement
Modderfontein Reserve: • Forms core of the site (even though outside ownership) • Education • Recreation • Conservation Current uses: • Walking • Bird watching • Picnics and barbeques • Bee keeping • Mountain biking • Functions e.g. Weddings • Environmental education
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Environmental Conditions
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Environment
Environmental Conditions
Protection and Enhancement
Zendai Land Pasture
Granite outcrops
Extensive Green Space
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Invasive species
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Environment Protection and Enhancement
Zendai Land: • Exotic (but valuable) trees • Reed-dominated valley bottom wetlands Oryx (2007) Environmental Sensitivity Report - Plants • 215 plant species recorded • 89% of the area transformed • natural areas still contained a significant number of species • proposals made to amend the Conservation Area boundary to capture additional “sensitive” vegetation • invasive plant community at the site represents a substantial threat to its ecology
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Environmental Conditions
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Environment
Environmental Conditions
Protection and Enhancement
Amur Falcon Oryx (2007) Environmental Sensitivity Report - Fauna • Natural communities, dams, wetlands and riparian areas most “sensitive” • Open areas important for bird life • 259 bird species recorded of which c. 183 “regular” • (at Klipriviersberg >215 bird species , but no wetlands) • Raptors of special interest e.g. Long-crested Eagle • Blue Cranes breed • Best birding site in greater Johannesburg Plant Nursery • Includes native species • Composting being investigated
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Environment Protection and Enhancement
Zendai Land Previous and current uses: • Dumps • Bunkers • Channel modifications
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Environmental Conditions
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Environment Protection and Enhancement
Part of Wetlands in WMZ-1 Overall site categorised as Class E/F Wetland Consulting Services (Pty.) Ltd, 2009. Wetland and Riparian Protection and Management Plan for the City of Johannesburg City of Johannesburg (2010) State of the Rivers
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Bioregional Plan for the City of Johannesburg (October 2011) Land Cover Map
Wetland management zones and broad vegetation types (2009) Holness, S. And Skowno, A., 2010. Draft Bioregional Plan for the Gauteng Metropolitan Municipalities (City of Johannesburg, City of Tshwane and Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality)
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Environment Protection and Enhancement
Summarises main opportunities and constraints : • Wetlands +30m • Watercourses +32m • 100–year Floodlines • Granite outcrops • Contaminated Land & Dumps • Modderfontein Reserve
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Environmental Sensitivity Map
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Environment Protection and Enhancement
Key Features • Large areas of built up land • Large areas of pasture and “old fields” • Egoli Granite Grassland is degraded and in the Mdf Reserve • Areas with “Exotic” species and landscaped • Transformed Areas = Dumps • Smaller patches of other vegetation may have some ecological value
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Vegetation Map – Zendai and Adjoining Land
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Indicative Open Space Key areas where • Development would not be permitted • Unless essential for infrastructure connections • Wetlands would be restored and enhanced • Conservation would be the priority • Public access would be managed
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Environment Protection and Enhancement
Conceptual Site model: • Variable soil profile • Ferricrete supporting multiple perched water tables • Wetter areas where water table intersects surface • Limited fracture flow in the bedrock • Valley bottom wetlands collect soils washed from wider area – supports extensive reed growth
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Environment Protection and Enhancement
Conceptual Site model: • Variable soil profile • Ferricrete supporting multiple perched water tables • Wetter areas where water table intersects surface • Limited fracture flow in the bedrock • Valley bottom wetlands collect soils washed from wider area – supports extensive reed growth
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WETLAND AND RIPARIAN PROTECTION AND MANAGEMENT PLAN FOR THE CITY OF JOHANNESBURG December 2009
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Environment Protection and Enhancement
North side: • Elevated Platforms and Bridge • High embankments • Drainage/culverts need managing • Modderfontein Spruit and valley “woodland” in poor ecological condition • Special approach to planning and design required to incorporate the watercourses, biodiversity and access to the station into a unique, attractive and functioning ecosystem for people and nature
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
Town Centre and Gautrain Station
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Environment Protection and Enhancement
Local Best Practice
Cedar Lofts – Johannesburg • Wetland incorporated into flood management system • Minimally invasive – lots of habitat undisturbed • Spillways provided • Properties raised to minimise impact on shallow water table • Providing bacteriological and nutrient treatment on incoming storm waters • Building within 32m wetland buffer permitted
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Environment Protection and Enhancement
Camley Street Natural Park – Kings Cross, London 1950s
TODAY
An urban oasis for wildlife and people • Only 1 hectare • Provides access to nature in a densely populated area • Plays a role in providing a habitat and nursery for wildlife • Plays a role in the property market • Plays a role in reducing noise • Adjacent houses and commercial properties more likely to command higher sale prices • The total ecosystem services value is £2.8 million per annum
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Placemaking and the Environment ‘Placemaking’ is paramount in regeneration schemes • A recent report by Savills has highlighted that redevelopment at Kings Cross and Stratford (the 2012 Olympic Park) are already creating vibrant new communities, whilst redevelopment in Paddington worked less well thanks to “little early investment in the wider environment” Our research has shown that the features homeowners value most about their home are not necessarily associated with the building itself, but more with the environment in which it is located
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
http://www.savills.co.uk/research_articles/186866/181237-0
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Placemaking and the Environment ‘Placemaking’ is paramount in regeneration schemes Factors such as neighbourhood, safety, greenery and access to amenities are cited as more important than simply building attractive buildings”
These must be created by focussing on the relationship between individual developments and the wider area or in other words ‘placemaking’ Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
http://www.savills.co.uk/research_articles/186866/181237-0
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Placemaking and the Environment ‘Placemaking’ is paramount in regeneration schemes
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Environmental Framework Report (EFR) •
Sets out overall Environmental Principles to guide further development and implementation of the Zendai Modderfontein Masterplan
•
Report provides evidence-base for these Environmental Principles
•
Opportunities and constraints have helped to shape the Masterplan – to be understood and taken into account in detailed planning and design
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Environmental Vision • • •
Zendai initiative to invest in Modderfontein is resulting in some important changes to the Vision for the development of the site. An opportunity to consider how environmental factors (and sustainability) are to be incorporated into the new Vision and Masterplan Complex environmental situation on the site • • •
Environmental legacy from past uses Geohydrology Sensitivities where there are features of value (especially wetlands and grassland habitats)
“The environment is integral to the development of Zendai Modderfontein” Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Environmental Principles •
The Environment Principles recognise that: • In many cities there is a growing disconnect between people and nature • Ecosystem services provide a foundation for human well-being
•
The Environment Principles are: • A means to ensure that environmental factors are incorporated into the new Masterplan • Grouped according to two broad stages of the project cycle – “Strategic Planning” and “Design and Management”
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Environmental Principles - Strategic •
The natural environment (natural and semi-natural habitats, including rivers, wetlands, grasslands and other environmental features) will be treated as a core theme of the development. • •
•
High biodiversity areas will be identified & safeguarded Open space will be planned, designed and managed to maximise its value Blue and green infrastructure will be given the same importance as more traditional infrastructure
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Environmental Principles - Strategic •
Ecological connectivity will be maintained and enhanced wherever reasonably possible • • •
•
Within Zendai Modderfontein - especially to the Modderfontein Reserve Regionally - especially along river corridors Across roads public transportation routes and associated infrastructure
Where there are proposals for essential infrastructure that impacts on environmentally sensitive receptors and satisfactory alternative solutions cannot be found then consideration will be given to offsetting measures that compensate for the impact.
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Environmental Principles - Strategic •
The use of indigenous plants will be promoted in both the public realm and on private property
•
Wetland systems will be properly investigated to the level needed for each design stage
•
Watercourses and wetlands, and their associated vegetation, will be integrated into the overall landscape and restored/ enhanced where possible, to improve their hydrological and ecological function
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Environmental Principles - Strategic •
Water management on the site will apply the principles of Sustainable Drainage Systems (SuDS) and Water Sensitive Design Systems (WSUD).
•
The project is focused on the reclamation of degraded land which is considered more sustainable than expanding Johannesburg onto pristine greenfield sites. Development sites will be appropriately investigated and remediated to protect both human health and the environment prior to development.
•
To reduce environmental impacts there will be a commitment to the adoption of sustainable infrastructure wherever practical and at an early stage.
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Environmental Principles - Strategic •
To ensure that the these environmental policies and other opportunities and constraints are recognised and incorporated within ongoing plans and designs: •
An “Open Space” Strategy and Plan will be prepared, taking into account the Masterplan’s requirements for urban/infrastructure development
•
Implementation mechanisms, including environmental and design guidelines, will be put in place
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Environmental Principles – Design and Management •
•
Landscaping guidelines and plant palettes will be prepared for the Zendai Modderfontein area that are supportive of water conservation measures and the provision of food sources for foraging birds and insects. Gautrain Station and the Town Centre provide an opportunity for integration of the built environment with blue-green infrastructure, including the Modderfontein Spruit, the floodplain and the reserve. The design of the Centre will adopt a creative design response which provides for the restoration of the wetland system and its linkages to the systems beyond and an attractive public realm in an urban setting.
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Environmental Principles – Design and Management •
Wildlife Conservation/Management Plans will be prepared for the Modderfontein Reserve and areas of Open Space (on the Zendai property) and these will be monitored and updated on a regular basis (at least every 5 years) as a tool for implementing the above policies/principles.
•
Urban design guidelines will be prepared that seek to maximise the connectivity of residential areas and their communities to the planned areas of open space and will incorporate “safe by design” principles so that open space is used, valued and protected by residents and visitors.
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Mitigation – Geo-hydrology •
•
Complete avoidance of wetlands and watercourses isn’t possible • Connections needed for NMT, public transit and even roads • Valley bottom wetlands and streams are linear features which often extend outside the site – we can’t just go round them. • Design standards (gradients etc) mean that not all hill slope wetlands can be completely avoided Mitigation approach: • Identify – high level surveys have been done, ongoing programme • Avoid - where possible • Sensitive design approach - next slide • Mitigation - next slide
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Mitigation – Geo-hydrology •
•
•
Zendai can maximise the value of the environmental assets of its landholding (sensitive design approach) • Work with topography, avoid cut-and-fill where possible • Piling in sensitive areas to reduce excavations Mitigation • Preserve flow paths – permeable sub-base for roads • Provide alternative flow paths – gravel/pipes to carry water around foundations to prevent flooding and “groundwater shadows” • SuDS/WSUD to enhance wetland function Compensation • SuDS/WSUD used to provide additional wetland habitat where loss is unavoidable
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Environment – Way Forward/Next Steps Key Objectives • Zendai to maximise the value of the environmental assets of its landholding Way Forward (post Framework Plan approval) • An Open Space Strategy and Plan will be prepared including: • Ecological Grading of Open Space • Integration of the Modderfontein open space network with Regional Open Space • Environmental principles to be incorporated into the next level of planning – Township Establishment Plans
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
TRANSPORT
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Agenda • • • • • • • •
Introduction Transport Masterplanning principles Accessibility of the node Transport demand Public Transport Network Roads Master Plan Transport Modelling Findings and recommendations
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Framework Masterplan Concept: Land Use
K58
N3
R25
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Transport planning principles •
•
•
Capitalise on existing transport assets and planning: •
Gautrain and future station – opportunity for TOD development
•
BRT planning by COJ and EMM
•
National, Provincial and Local Road Network Planning
•
Railway extension opportunities
Focus on: •
Establishing connections to major transport infrastructure & nodes surrounding Modderfontein
•
Improving the permeability of the area – HCT link
•
Enhanced interchanges between all modes
•
Interweaved pedestrian and cycle movements and access
Create logical road and public transport hierarchies
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Accessibility to key nodes in the vicinity
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Access to ORTIA/Aerotropolis
1 1 2
K60
ACCESIBILITY LEGEND: Existing major roads Proposed major roads Gautrain
OR Tambo Intnl / Aerotropolis
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Access to Joburg CBD
1 1 3
K60
Sandton
To Joburg CBD Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
ACCESIBILITY LEGEND: Existing major roads Proposed major roads Gautrain
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Access to Marlboro Gautrain Station
1 1 4
K60
ACCESIBILITY LEGEND: Existing major roads Proposed major roads Gautrain
Marlboro Stn
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Access to Wynberg and Alexandra
1 1 5
K60
ACCESIBILITY LEGEND: Existing major roads Proposed major roads Gautrain
Alexandra Wynberg
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Access to Sandton
1 1 6
K60
Sandton
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
ACCESIBILITY LEGEND: Existing major roads Proposed major roads Gautrain
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Access to Waterfall
1 1 7
Waterfall K60
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
ACCESIBILITY LEGEND: Existing major roads Proposed major roads Gautrain
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Access to Midrand and beyond Midrand
1 1 8
K60
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
ACCESIBILITY LEGEND: Existing major roads Proposed major roads Gautrain
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Access to Thembisa & Ivory and Ebony Park
Thembisa Ivory Park
1 1 9
K60
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
ACCESIBILITY LEGEND: Existing major roads Proposed major roads Gautrain
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Access to Kempton Park
1 2 0
K60
ACCESIBILITY LEGEND: Existing major roads Proposed major roads Gautrain
Kempton Park
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Access to Germiston & Boksburg
1 2 1
K60
ACCESIBILITY LEGEND: Existing major roads Proposed major roads Gautrain
Isando To Boksburg Germiston Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Transport demand
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
South
North
Total
Town Centre Retail m2 GLA
92,000
58,000
150,000
Neigbourhood Retail m2 GLA
15,000
6,000
21,000
1,468,000
-
1,468,000
0
808,000
808,000
School pupils
3,200
7,300
10,500
University
3,000
-
3,000
0
2,500
2,500
Low-Medium Density Res units
6,000
13,500
19,500
Medium Density Res units
10,000
12,000
22,000
High Density Res units
10,000
7,500
17,500
Resi - CoJ developed affordable
1,000
1,000
2,000
Total residential units
27,000
36,500
63,500
Office m2 GLA Warehouse/ Light Industrial m2 GLA
Low Density Res units
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
PM trip attractors
Land use
PM trip generators
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Land-use: key attractors & generators during PM peak
PEAK HOUR PERSON TRIPS 50,000
AM PEAK
45,000
PERSON TRIPS PER HOUR
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Person trip generation by land-use type
40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 -
INBOUND
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
OUTBOUND
PEAK HOUR PERSON TRIPS 50,000
PM PEAK
45,000
PERSON TRIPS PER HOUR
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Person trip generation by land-use type
40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000
-
INBOUND
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
OUTBOUND
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Transport modal split AM peak hour Modderfontein Framework: modal split
Sustainable Modal Split Target Joburg Inner City Walk 6%
Walk & cycle 16% Public Transport 51%
Private Car 24%
Internal Trips (35-45%)
Private Car 33%
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
Public Transport 70%
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Car Parking Provision Land Use
Current Minimum Parking Standards
Proposed Minimum Parking Standards
Retail
6 bays per 100sqm
3 bays per 100sqm
Office
4 bays per 100sqm
2 bays per 100sqm
Warehouse
2 bays per 100sqm
1 bays per 100sqm
Residential
1 bay per unit
1 bay per unit
• Revise the Modderfontein Town Planning Scheme • Reduction of minimum parking standards • Motivate in consideration of expected future mode share
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Total transport demand •
Peak hour person trips
TOTAL PERSON TRIPS - AM PEAK
Town Centre & SE Zones North Zones
250,000
234,538
PERSON TRIPS / HOUR
Total (North & South) 200,000
150,000
114,019
120,519
100,000
50,000
0
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
Existing development rights (Longlake, Westlake, Foundershill and Pinelands
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Public transport demand AM peak hour person trips
PUBLIC TRANSPORT TRIPS Town Centre & SE Zones
100,000 87,247
90,000
North Zones Total (North & South)
PERSON TRIPS / HOUR
80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000
10,000 0
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
43,844
43,404
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Walking and cycling demand AM peak hour person trips
NON-MOTORISED TRANSPORT TRIPS 60,000
Town Centre & SE Zones North Zones Total (North & South)
PERSON TRIPS / HOUR
50,000
40,000
30,000
27,057
20,000 12,210 10,000
0
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
14,847
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Private vehicle demand AM peak hour Peak hour person trips in private cars
PRIVATE VEHICLE TRIPS
Town Centre & SE Zones North Zones
80,000
PERSON TRIPS / HOUR
70,000 57,443
60,000 50,000
40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
28,775
28,667
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Private vehicle demand AM peak hour Peak hour vehicle trips in private cars
PRIVATE VEHICLE TRIPS
Town Centre & SE Zones
80,000
North Zones
VEHICLE TRIPS / HOUR
70,000
Total (North & South)
60,000 50,000 38,471
40,000 30,000
20,554 20,000 10,000 0
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
17,917
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Residential densities proposed in support of public transit technology RESIDENTIAL POPULATION DENSITIES VS MOST VIABLE PUBLIC TRANSPORT MODE
Town Centre & SE Zones North Zones
450
RESIDENTIAL POPULATION (PERSONS/HA)
400
Average for the area
Heavy
350 300
LRT
250 200
BRT
150 100 50
0 Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Public Transport
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
External Public Transport Planning Leralla
Kaalfontein
Van Riebeeck Park
Kempton Park
BRT Planning Possible BRT Extensions
Knights Park Station
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
Germiston
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Potential high capacity transit around development
Planned BRT Routes (COJ, Gautrans & Ekurhuleni BRT Potential HCT extensions
Gautrain Existing Rail Station
Potential Rail Station
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Potential high capacity transport linkage within development Option 1 Planned BRT Routes (COJ, Gautrans & Ekurhuleni BRT Potential HCT extensions
Gautrain Existing Rail Station
Potential Rail Station Modderfontein HCT Services & Stations
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Potential high capacity transport linkage within development Option 2 Planned BRT Routes (COJ, Gautrans & Ekurhuleni BRT Potential HCT extensions
Gautrain Existing Rail Station
Potential Rail Station Modderfontein HCT Services & Stations
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Medium capacity transport linkages within development
Planned BRT Routes (COJ, Gautrans & Ekurhuleni BRT Potential HCT extensions
Gautrain Existing Rail Station
Potential Rail Station Modderfontein HCT Services & Stations Feeder bus routes and stops
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Potential rail extension – to Joburg CBD & Soweto Leralla
Kaalfontein
Van Riebeeck Park
Kempton Park
Rail Extension route Internal High Capacity PT BRT Planning Knights Park Station
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
Germiston
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Roads Masterplan
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Roads masterplan
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
Class 2 roads Class 3 roads proposed Class 3 possible links Class 4 roads
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Transport Modelling
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Transport Modelling
• Transport modelling assisted in determining – Where do people come from? – Which routes do they take ? – Number of internal roads required – Lane requirements on roads – Appropriate intersection layout
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Cross-sections proposed in masterplan
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Cross sections – Class 4 road
Modderfontein Regeneration Masterplan Workshop July 2015
• 25% of space – private vehicle • 30% of space – walking and cycling • 26% of space – Public transport
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Cross sections – Class 3 road
Modderfontein Regeneration Masterplan Workshop July 2015
• 30% of space – private vehicle • 18% of space – walking and cycling • 16% of space – Public transport
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Transport masterplan conclusions • Space for the provision of transportation infrastructure is limited requiring optimising public transit modes and the combination thereof • The transport network requires roads for public transit as well • A public transport hierarchy caters for both short and long distance travel needs • The number of transfers from one mode to another and passenger travel time kept to a minimum – through one transfer any destination can be reached • The transport Masterplan proposes some high capacity transit systems and the technology will be finalised as development and public transport demand grows • Initial choice of public transit technology along each corridor considers the required frequency and capacity of modes • Technology choice will be based on future technology availability • Pedestrian and cycle paths to be provided on all roads & segregated cycle lanes on Class 3 and 4 roads
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Transport masterplan conclusions • The Modderfontein development is ideal for creating a sustainable transit liveable city high density housing, employment, educational & shopping opportunities and social interaction • The above activities will generate new trips within the area but will generate a significant proportion of internal trips • The land-uses were aimed at balancing supply and demand and optimal all day use of infrastructure i.e. directional flow of people to be balanced and with significant in off-peak demands • Transport use and modal shares depend on the type and quantity of transportation infrastructure that is provided • The success and attractiveness of the development depends on the level of accessibility that can be maintained within and around the area
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
INFRASTRUCTURE
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
AGENDA CIVILS
• INTRODUCTION • AREAS WITH EXISTING RIGHTS • MASTERPLAN AREA DEMOGRAPHICS WATER SEWER STORMWATER ROADS ICT SOLID WASTE
ENERGY
CIVILS
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Introduction
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
AREAS WITH EXISTING RIGHTS
MASTERPLAN AREA
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Format of Presentation EXISTING AREAS
MASTERPLAN AREAS
WATER
WATER
SEWER
SEWER ROADS STORMWATER
STATUS QUO
OBJECTIVES/ STRATEGY DEMAND ANALYSIS/ REDUCTION
ICT SOLID WASTE
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
PHASING
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Areas with Existing Rights-Context
Longlake
Westlake
Pinelands
Founders Hill
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
900k 800k 700k 600k
GFA (m2)
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Areas with Existing Rights-GFA by Land Use
500k 400k 300k 200k 100k
-
Founders Hill Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
Longlake
Westlake
Pinelands
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Areas with Existing Rights-GFA by Area GFA (m2) Total 2,129,000 m2 57k
303k
227k
1,542k
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
Founders Hill
Longlake
Westlake
Pinelands
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Areas with Existing Rights-Water/Sewer Demands Water
Sewer Area
AADD (L/day)
Area
Peak Flow (l/s)
Longlake
2,110,847.4
Longlake
79.3
Westlake
114,400.0
Westlake
4.2
Pinelands
373,600.0
Pinelands
13.8
Founders Hill
645,634.0
Founders Hill
24.2
Total
3,244,481.4
Total
121.5
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Areas with Existing Rights-Connections LEGEND Sewer Discharge
Water Supply
Longlake
Pinelands Founders Hill Westlake
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Areas with Existing Rights-Summary Area
Water Source
Sewer Discharge
Longlake
To be supplied from existing Linbro Park Reservoir
** Discharges to Modderfontein Outfall Sewer
Westlake
To be supplied from existing Linbro Park Reservoir
** Discharges to Modderfontein Outfall Sewer
Pinelands
*Supplied from Modderhill/ Kempton Park West Reservoir
** Discharges to Modderfontein Outfall Sewer
Founders Hill
*Supplied from Modderhill/ Kempton Park West Reservoir
** Discharges to Modderfontein Outfall Sewer
* Could potentially be supplied off new reservoir – would add additional 1.02 ML/day ** Assumed these flows are already assigned to SEWSAN sewer model
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Masterplan Area-Context MASTERPLAN AREA Residential Population: Residential Units: Business Population: Offices: 1,468,000 m2
North South
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
196,004 63,403 81,980
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Masterplan Area-Base Data (Colliers)
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
250,000
196,004
200,000
Nr. of People
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Masterplan Area-Population
150,000
100,000
81,980
50,000
-
Business Population Modderfontein Regeneration Masterplan Workshop July 2015
Residential Population
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Masterplan Area-Population by Region 140,000 120,250
120,000
Nr. of People
100,000
75,754
80,000 67,767 60,000
40,000
20,000
14,214
-
South Employees Total Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
North Residents Total
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Masterplan Area-Residential Spread 120,000 110,864
100,000
Nr. of People
80,000
60,000 40,910
40,000
20,000
17,497
14,625
9,386 -
Mdf South
2,723
Pinelands Town Fringe Centre South
Modderfontein Regeneration Masterplan Workshop July 2015
-
Town Centre
Town Centre North
-
Mdf Mdf East Highlands Central
Mdf North
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Masterplan Area-Business Spread 25,000
23,703
23,557
20,000
Nr. of People
17,827
15,000
10,000 6,293 5,157
5,000 2,307
1,830 850
457
Mdf Pinelands Town South Fringe Centre South Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
Town Centre
Town Centre North
Mdf Mdf East Highlands Mdf Central North
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Masterplan Area-Summary 160,000 Total Pop. 143,521
140,000
Total Pop. 134,464
120,000
Axis Title
100,000
75,754
80,000 120,250
60,000 40,000 67,767
20,000 14,214
South Employees Total Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
Residents Total
North
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Water-Existing Supply Chloorkop Reservoir Rand Water Bulk supply Klipfontein Reservoirs Kempton Park West Reservoir Kempton Park West Reservoir
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
Kempton Park West Reservoir
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Water-Strategy • • • •
Robust Supply Demand Reduction Capture and Reuse Possibility of TSE for irrigation
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Water Demand Calculations-Per Area Supply Zone
Location
AADD (l/day)
Highlands
629,349
Mdf East
230,698
North
South
Mdf North
18,457,565
Mdf Central
1,599,519
Town Centre North
8,314,484
Town Centre
4,636,621
Town Centre South
1,422,505
Pinelands Fringe Mdf South Total Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
AADD (l/day)
36 Hours Storage (l/day)
20,917,131
31,375,697
17,091,973
25,637,959
38,009,104
57,013,656
157,560 2,560,802 38,009,104
North Supply Zone
AADD (l/day)
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Water Demand Calculations-Per Area South Supply Zone
20,000,000 18,000,000 16,000,000 14,000,000 12,000,000 10,000,000 8,000,000 6,000,000 4,000,000 2,000,000 Highlands Mdf East
Mdf North
Mdf Central
Town Centre North
Area
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
Town Centre
Town Pinelands Centre Fringe South
Mdf South
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Water Demand Calculations-Per Land Use Land Use
Town Centre Retail Neighbourhood Retail Office
AADD (L/day)
300,000 42,000 2,935,674
Town Centre Leisure Neighbourhood Leisure Market Residential Live/Work
184,000 75,000 32,588,733 90,000
Community Facilities
187,500
Warehouse/Light Industrial
808,047
Hotels
316,000
Education Campus
132,150
Education Primary/secondary
350,000
Total Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
38,009,104
35,000,000 30,000,000 25,000,000
AADD (l/day)
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Water Demand Calculations-Per Land Use
20,000,000 15,000,000 10,000,000 5,000,000 -
Land Use Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Water Spatial Demand Distribution
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Water Network Layout
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Water Network Phasing Water Demand (AADD) l/d
Cumulative Demand (AADD) l/d
Phase
Years
Duration of phase (years)
1
2015-2016
2
Longlake, Westlake, Pinelands, Founders Hill, City Centre Planning, K113
655,799
655,799
2
2017
1
Highlands and Mdf East Light Industrial, Mdf North and South Residential
327,900
983,699
2b
2018-2020
3
Highlands and Mdf East Light Industrial, Mdf North and South Residential
1,296,000
2,279,698
3
2021-2025
5
First Phase Town Centre, Mdf North Mixed Use Neighbourhood
3,260,762
5,540,460
4
2026-2030
5
Mdf North Mixed Use Neighbourhood
3,754,454
9,294,914
5
2031-2035
5
Town Centre North, Landbridge
4,486,991
13,781,906
6
2036-2040
5
Town Centre South, Mdf North Mixed Use Neighbourhood
4,486,991
18,268,897
7
2041-2045
5
Mdf North Mixed Use Neighbourhood
4,935,052
23,203,948
8
2046-2055
10
Balance of Town Centre North
9,870,104
33,074,052
9
2056-2060
5
Final Mixed Use Neighbourhoods
4,935,052
38,009,104
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
Area Developed
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Water Network –Phase 1 (2015-2016)
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Water Network –Phase 2 (2017)
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Water Network –Phase 2b (2018-2020)
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Water Network –Phase 3 (2021-2025)
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Water Network –Phase 4 (2026-2030)
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Water Network –Phase 5 (2031-2035)
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Water Network –Phase 6 (2036-2040)
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Water Network –Phase 7 (2041-2045)
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Water Network –Phase 8 (2046-2055)
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Water Network –Phase 9 (2056-2060)
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
40000000 35000000 9
30000000
TOTAL AADD (L/day)
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Water – Trigger Points (versus JW Masterplan)
25000000 8
20000000 7
15000000 6
10000000
5
5000000
4
2
0 2010
1
2015
3
2020
2025
1 Phase
Trigger
Masterplan Areas
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
2030
2035 2040 Year
Existing Areas
2045
2050
2055
JW Maximum Capacity
2060
2065
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Water-Demand Reduction Strategies Potential Demand Reduction (ML/day) 45.00 Aspirational Medium to Long Term. MORE DIFFICULT TO IMPLEMENT
40.00 35.00 30.00 25.00
3.40 20.00
9.99
38.01 32.43
15.00
24.98
10.00
24.28
20.88
3.40 10.89
5.00 *15%
*34%
*36%
*45%
*71%
+Education and Smart Meetering
+Efficient fixtures and fittings
+Xeroscape
TSE for Xeroscape
TSE For Xero + Cooling + Flushing Toilets
0.00 Baseline
Potable * % Reduction in Potable Water Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
TE for Irrigation
TE for Cooling and flushing toilets
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Effect of Demand Reduction Strategies 40,000,000 35,000,000 15% red. 30,000,000 25,000,000
34% red.
20,000,000 15,000,000 10,000,000 5,000,000 0 2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
Masterplan Areas
Education and smart metering
Efficient Fixtures and Fittings
JW Maximum Capacity
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
2060
2065
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Water – Meeting with Johannesburg Water Existing Masterplan for Modderfontein WADISO Model of Network Masterplan Allowance for Modderfontein is below current demand estimation Robust Rand Water Supply to the area JW can review Masterplan for chosen option JW has no funding for immediate review and update of WADISO Model
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Sewer – Existing Infrastructure CONNECTION TO BRUMA OUTFALL
MODDERFONTEIN OUTFALL SEWER
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
PHASE 1 OUTFALL DESIGNED FOR PEAK FLOWS OF (Knutton, 2006): a) Capacity at 80% full: 1,100 l/s b) Pump Station elimination: 130 l/s c) Areas with existing rights: 122 l/s d) Contingency: 98 l/s e) Spare Capacity for future development: 750 l/s
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Sewer-Strategy • Conventional gravity system • Make use of existing Modderfontein Outfall Sewer • Alternative peripheral connections for early phases
• Discharge reduced as water demand reduces • Investigate existing Treated Sewage Effluent (TSE) pipeline to east of site • Possibility of TSE for irrigation in medium to long term
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Sewer Demands Calculated as a percentage of water consumption, returned to sewer Market Residential - Low density – 70% returned - Low/medium density – 80% returned - Medium density – 85% returned - High density – 90% returned Other – 80% returned [includes Town Centre Retail; Neighbourhood Retail; Office; Town Centre Leisure; Neighbourhood Leisure; Live/Work; Community Facilities; Warehouse/Light Industrial; Hotels; Education Campus; Education Primary/secondary]
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Sewer Demand (AADD) Supply Zone
Location
AADD (l/day)
Highlands
957,358
Mdf East
369,117
North
South
Mdf North
15,038,749
Mdf Central
1,302,590
Town Centre North
6,832,488
Town Centre
3,871,675
Town Centre South
1,129,692
Pinelands Fringe
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
83,760
Mdf South
2,164,343
Total
31,749,773
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Sewer Demand (Peak Flow) Supply Zone
North
South
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
Location
Peak Flow (l/s)
Highlands
44.3
Mdf East
17.1
Mdf North
696.2
Mdf Central
60.3
Town Centre North
316.3
Town Centre
179.2
Town Centre South
52.3
Pinelands Fringe
3.9
Mdf South
100.2
Total
1,469.9
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Sewer Network Layout
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Sewer – Trigger Points (Outfall) 1800 1600 9
1400
AADD (l/s)
1200
8
1000
7
800 5
600
6
4
400 3 2
200 1
0 2010 1 Phase
2015
2020
2025
2030
Trigger
Masterplan Areas
Existing Areas
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
2035 2040 Year
2045
2050
Outfall Sewer Spare Capacity
2055
2060
2065
Masterplan+Existing
40,000,000 35,000,000 9
30,000,000
AADD (L/day)
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Sewer – Trigger Points (Northern WWTW)
25,000,000
8
20,000,000 6
15,000,000
7
5 4
10,000,000 3 2
5,000,000 1
1 Phase
0 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060 2065 Year Trigger Masterplan Areas
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
Existing Areas
NWTW Spare Capacity
Masterplan+Existing
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Sewer – Meeting with Johannesburg Water Construction on Modderfontein Outfall Sewer Ongoing SEWSAN Model of existing system Impact of proposed demands on downstream system to be evaluated in SEWSAN Model
Northern Wastewater Treatment Works currently has 25ML/day spare capacity Upgrades to NWTW every 5 years
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Stormwater – Strategy Minimise/Mitigate Flood Risk on site and elsewhere • • • •
No increase in runoff No interruption of flood plain conveyance No reduction in floodplain storage Reduce the causes and impacts of flooding across the area
Promote the use of SUDS • Mimic the way existing groundwater and wetlands are supplied with water • Manage runoff close to source • Integrate stormwater control into landscape design • Aim for greenfield runoff rates
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Stormwater – Existing Masterplan
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Stormwater – Model 2 Pre-development
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Stormwater – Model 2 Post-development
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Stormwater – Model 2 Discharges Pre-development
Post-development
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Stormwater – Model 2 Pond Volumes
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Stormwater – Model 2 Pond Characteristics
Catchment 2 highlights: • • •
58,350m2 (5.8 ha) footprint for attenuation Smallest pond 590m2 i.e. 14m x 42m Largest pond 9,000m2 i.e. 54m x 164m
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Stormwater – Storage Footprint Plot area 721.9 ha Developable area 505.3 ha (70%) Public Realm 303.1 ha (42%) New green areas 50 ha Total public realm/new green areas 353.1 ha
Required Stormwater Footprint 69.2 ha 20% of total public realm/new green areas available for stormwater storage Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Roads-Hierarchy and Layout
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Road Sections – Class 4A (2-lane, shared bus)
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Road Sections – Class 3A (2-lane + HCT)
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
ICT-Primary Infrastructure Number of ducts by type of Network: • Primary: 8 • Secondary: 6 • Tertiary: 4 Integrated Mobile + Wifi Towers: 5/6 number POP (Point of Presence): 2 Buildings (10x10m + 15m diam service area) Satellite Farm: 2 number
Mobile + WiFi Towers POP (Point of Presence) Satellite Farm
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Solid Waste-Volumes Estimated Waste Generation (tonnes/annum) 225,000 200,000 175,000 150,000 125,000 100,000 75,000 50,000 25,000 0
Organic Waste
Proportional Waste
Dry mixed recyclabes
Residual Waste
TYPE OF WASTE Organic Waste Dry mixed recyclabes Residual Waste TOTAL (tonnes/annum) Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
Organic Waste Residual Waste
ESTIMATED WASTE GENERATION (tonnes/annum) 33,268 117,292 60,149 210,709
Dry mixed recyclabes
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Solid Waste-Plant Requirements TYPE OF WASTE Materials recovery facility Anaerobic digestion Gasification TOTAL (m2)
ESTIMATED LAND TAKE (m2) 32,255 12,476 6,917 51,648
Material recovery facility Anaerobic digestion Gasification
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
ENERGY
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Data – Building breakdown per area and Demand
Town Centre Retail Town Centre Leisure Resi - Affordable Warehouse/ Light Industrial Education - Primary/Secondary
Modderfontein Regeneration Masterplan Workshop July 2015
Neighbourhood Retail Neighbourhood Leisure Live/Work Hotel / Conference Centre/ Resort
Office Resi - Market Community Facilities Education - Campus
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Results – Peak Demand by Zone 70000
60000
50000
40000
30000
20000
10000
0 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
Modderfontein South
Pinelands Fringe
Town Centre South
Town Centre
Modderfontein Centre
Modderfontein East
Highlands
Modderfontein North
Modderfontein Regeneration Masterplan Workshop July 2015
20
21
22
23
Town Centre North
24
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Results – Peak Demand by Zone and Total Demand 200000
180000
160000
140000
120000
100000
80000
60000
40000
20000
0 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
Modderfontein South
Pinelands Fringe
Town Centre South
Town Centre
Town Centre North
Modderfontein Centre
Modderfontein East
Highlands
Modderfontein North
Total Peak
Modderfontein Regeneration Masterplan Workshop July 2015
24
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Results – Peak Demand by Building Type 120000
100000
80000
60000
40000
20000
0 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
Town Centre Retail
Neighbourhood Retail
Office
Town Centre Leisure
Neighbourhood Leisure
Resi - Market
Resi Affordable
Live/Work
Community Facilities
Warehouse / Light Industrial
Hotel / Conference Centre / Resort
Education Campus
Education - Primary / Secondary
Modderfontein Regeneration Masterplan Workshop July 2015
23
24
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Results – Installed PV vs Peak Demand in Summer 200000
180000
160000
140000
120000
100000
80000
60000
40000
20000
0 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Modderfontein Regeneration Masterplan Workshop July 2015
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Results – Installed PV vs Peak Demand in Summer 200000
180000
160000
140000
120000
100000
80000
60000
40000
20000
0 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Modderfontein Regeneration Masterplan Workshop July 2015
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Results – Installed PV vs Peak Demand in Summer 200000
180000
160000
140000
120000
100000
80000
60000
40000
20000
0 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Modderfontein Regeneration Masterplan Workshop July 2015
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Results – Installed PV vs Peak Demand in Summer 200000
180000
160000
140000
120000
100000
80000
60000
40000
20000
0 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Modderfontein Regeneration Masterplan Workshop July 2015
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Results – Installed PV vs Peak Demand in Summer 200000
180000
160000
140000
120000
100000
80000
60000
40000
20000
0 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Summer Peak Demand
Modderfontein Regeneration Masterplan Workshop July 2015
8
9
10
100% Installed PV
11
12
13
14
75% Installed PV
15
16
17
50% Installed PV
18
19
20
25% Installed PV
21
22
23
24
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Results – Installed PV vs Peak Demand in Winter 200000
180000
160000
140000
120000
100000
80000
60000
40000
20000
0 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Modderfontein Regeneration Masterplan Workshop July 2015
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Results – Installed PV vs Peak Demand in Winter 200000
180000
160000
140000
120000
100000
80000
60000
40000
20000
0 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Modderfontein Regeneration Masterplan Workshop July 2015
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Results – Installed PV vs Peak Demand in Winter 200000
180000
160000
140000
120000
100000
80000
60000
40000
20000
0 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Modderfontein Regeneration Masterplan Workshop July 2015
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Results – Installed PV vs Peak Demand in Winter 200000
180000
160000
140000
120000
100000
80000
60000
40000
20000
0 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Modderfontein Regeneration Masterplan Workshop July 2015
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Results – Installed PV vs Peak Demand in Winter 200000 180000 160000 140000
120000 100000 80000 60000 40000 20000 0 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Winter Demand
Modderfontein Regeneration Masterplan Workshop July 2015
8
9
10
100% Installed PV
11
12
13
75% Installed PV
14
15
16
50% Installed PV
17
18
19
25% Installed PV
20
21
22
23
24
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Results – Energy Efficiency Measures in Summer 200000 180000 160000 140000 120000 100000 80000 60000 40000 20000
0 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Summer Peak Demand
Modderfontein Regeneration Masterplan Workshop July 2015
9
10
11
Efficient Lights
12
13
SWH - 50%
14
15
SWH - 75%
16
17
SWH - 100%
18
19 HVAC
20
21
22
23
24
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Results – Energy Efficiency Measures in Winter 200000
180000
160000
140000
120000
100000
80000
60000
40000
20000
0 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Winter Peak Demand
Modderfontein Regeneration Masterplan Workshop July 2015
9
10
11
Efficient Lights
12
13
SWH - 50%
14
15
SWH - 75%
16
17
SWH - 100%
18
19 HVAC
20
21
22
23
24
Modderfontein Regeneration Masterplan Workshop July 2015
2060
Phase 9
Phase 8
Phase 7
300,000
2058 2059
2057
2056
2055
2054
2053
2052
2050 2051
2049
2048
2047
2046
2045
2044
2043
Phase 6
250,000
2041 2042
2040
2039
2038
2037
2036
2035
Phase 5
Phase 4
Phase 3
Phase 2 and 2b
200,000
2033 2034
2032
2031
2030
2029
2028
2027
2025 2026
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
150,000
2017 2018
Phase 1
100,000
2016
2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Results – Phasing Peak Demand
50,000
0
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Results – External Electrical Reticulation – Phase 1
Modderfontein Regeneration Masterplan Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Results – External Electrical Reticulation – Phase 2
Modderfontein Regeneration Masterplan Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Results – External Electrical Reticulation – Phase 2b
Modderfontein Regeneration Masterplan Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Results – External Electrical Reticulation – Phase 3
Modderfontein Regeneration Masterplan Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Results – External Electrical Reticulation – Phase 4
Modderfontein Regeneration Masterplan Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Results – External Electrical Reticulation – Phase 5
Modderfontein Regeneration Masterplan Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Results – External Electrical Reticulation – Phase 6
Modderfontein Regeneration Masterplan Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Results – External Electrical Reticulation – Phase 7
Modderfontein Regeneration Masterplan Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Results – External Electrical Reticulation – Phase 8
Modderfontein Regeneration Masterplan Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Results – External Electrical Reticulation – Phase 9
Modderfontein Regeneration Masterplan Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Results – Substation Areas and Capacity Primary Substation
Satellite Substation (end state year 2060)
Areas Supplied
PS4 – 20MVA 11kV
J,H
S1 – 10MVA 11kV
Westlake , M, K
S23 – 20MVA 11kV
Longlake
PS1– 20MVA 11kV
Longlake
S26– 20MVA 11kV
X,Y,W
PS5– 20MVA 11kV
W,V,Z
S28– 20MVA 11kV
AA
S34– 20MVA 11kV
T,U
PS6– 20MVA 11kV
U,Z
S20– 20MVA 11kV
P,L
PS2– 20MVA 11kV
K
S36– 20MVA 11kV
Q,R
S18– 20MVA 11kV
S, N ,H ,Pinelands
Founders Substation 90MVA 132/11kV (2020)
S17– 20MVA 11kV
Pinelands, Founders, D,E,F,G
Existing Esther Park SS 150MVA 132/11kV??
S5 – 10MVA 11kV
A,B,C
280MVA (Installed Capacity)
≈ 273MVA (Estimated Demand)
Existing Westfield SS 90MVA 132/11kV (37MVA) Spare
Longlake SS 135MVA 132/11kV (2016)
Klipfontein SS 90MVA 132/11kV (2018)
CBD Substation 90MVA 132/11kV (2018)
Total Capacity
**Note: The capacity indicated for the Primary SS is the safe capacity Modderfontein Regeneration Masterplan Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Conclusions • Electrical infrastructure to be developed in parallel with the phasing of the development; • No demand trigger points anticipated to happen. Any delay in the primary substation development might cause a trigger point which will need to be addressed; • The electrical infrastructure is going to be built but the capacity on this infrastructure is dependent on the transmission lines supplying Sebenza Substation; • Rooftop PV to be installed in parallel with the phasing on the development; • Rooftop PV to offset the daily demand from the grid; • Ground mounted PV could be built in the AECI land. Conversations already happening and the installed capacity could be round around 60MWp; • For 50% water supply from solar we would require 11% of the total roofs to have Solar Water heating systems installed; • Waste to energy is an option for the energy production mix which can potentially add 17MW to the generation side.
Modderfontein Regeneration Masterplan Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Next Steps • Discuss further energy efficiency options that could be implemented in the project; • Investigate further the proposed transmission lines to supply the development; • Guidelines for the Energy Efficiency as well as PV installation for the developers building in the Modderfontein land;
Modderfontein Regeneration Masterplan Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
DAY TWO
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
URBAN DESIGN GUIDELINES Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
1. 2. 3. 4.
Guidelines for Developers Guidelines for a Public Audience Parcel Guidelines Heritage Guidelines
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Guidelines for Developers
Guidelines used for developer packages.
42 ha site Defined • Building Heights • GFA • Land Use • Frontage • Access • Setbacks Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Building Heights
Land Uses
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Required Frontage
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Required Access
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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Required Setback
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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Encouraged
‘Required’ changes to ‘Encouraged’.
Building Frontage Hierarchy Primary frontage Secondary frontage Façade Standards Rhythm Ground floor treatment Character and materials
Primary Frontages
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
Secondary Frontages
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Encouraged
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
Passive Design
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Encourage variety (Similar project in Middle East)
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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Guidelines for Public Audience
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Guidelines for Public Audience Greenwich Millennium Village Guidelines used for design team alignment and public engagement. Not used for Planning Permissions.
12 ha site Encouraged: • Character • Massing • General uses
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
The Guidelines
Land Uses
Character
Indicative Layout Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
Movement
Building Heights
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
The Guidelines
Indicative Building Layout Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Parcel Guidelines
Guidelines used for Outline Planning Application (successful) and public engagement.
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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Parcel Guidelines
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
26 ha site Defined • Plots (development and open space) • Public Transit • Roads • Infrastructure Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Selected Area
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
The Guidelines
Frontage and Access (fixed)
Indicative Layout, Building Height Limits Confirmed
Extent of maximum potential overhang
Land Uses (Ground and Typical Upper Floor) Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
Indicative Section
Extent of plot boundary Extent of building footprint
Parcel Setbacks (fixed)
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Nova Luz, Sao Paulo
Guidelines used for future consultant alignment and was approved by the local authority. Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Heritage Guidelines
50 ha site
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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ECONOMICS Commercial Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Our Role What type, form and scale of property use should be planned for Modderfontein?
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
An Uncertain World
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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Our Philosophy FACTOR 1 Physical Conditions
Optimal Approach FACTOR 3 Deliverability Conditions
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
FACTOR 2 Market Conditions
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
What we have done Market Assessment Report
Commercial Appraisal of Options
Commercial Development Framework Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Overall Strategy A huge development site in a strategic location, close to major employment nodes and the Airport
TOWN CENTRE Mixed-use hub around the station with apartments, retail, leisure and offices NORTH Family-orientated mixed income housing, especially for people who work nearby, plus light industrial / distribution M
A different style of development to any existing area of Johannesburg Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Mix of Uses
South Zone
Plot Name
Developable Gross Floor Space Area
A Mdf South 1 B Mdf South 2
153k
107k
304k
213k
C Mdf South 3 D Mdf South 4
12k
9k
14k
10k
E Mdf South 5 F Pineland Fringe 1
10k
7k
189k
132k
G Pineland Fringe 2 H Town Centre South 1
4k
3k
108k
76k
J Town Centre South 2 K Town Centre P Town Centre North 1
13k House orientated residential 23k House orientated residential 16k House orientated residential 40k Education campus 13k Offices 370k Office-led mixed use 179k Office district
52k
37k 258k
406k
284k
Q Town Centre North 2 R Town Centre North 3
539k
377k
21k
15k
L Town Centre North 4 M Town Centre North 5
29k
20k
11k
8k
N Town Centre North 6
47k
33k
2,266k
1,587k
S Mdf Central T Mdf East
278k
194k
471k
330k
AA Highlands U Mdf North 1
1,140k
798k
760k
532k
V Mdf North 2 W Mdf North 3 X Mdf North 4
195k
136k
818k
573k
233k
163k
Y Mdf North 5 Z Mdf North 6
525k
367k
534k
374k
Sub-total North Zone
4,953k
3,467k
5,169k
TOTAL
7,219k
5,053k
9,603k
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
Main Uses
161k House orientated residential 319k House orientated residential
369k
Sub-total South Zone
North Zone
Plot Area (m ²)
1,285k Mixed office, apartments, retail & leisure 838k Residential-led mixed use 998k Residential-led mixed use 34k Apartment oriented residential 46k Office district 18k Office district 82k Office-led mixed use 4,434k 345k Family residential neighbourhoods 231k Warehouses & light industrial with offices 598k Warehouses & light industrial with offices 1,063k Family residential neighbourhoods 204k Family residential neighbourhoods 1,145k Family residential neighbourhoods 294k Family residential neighbourhoods 540k Family residential neighbourhoods 748k Family residential neighbourhoods
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Strategy for Residential Cosmo City
Main focus on providing housing for middle income couples and families that work in the nearby employment nodes
Waterfall
A more dense and sustainable arrangement than the norm in South Africa
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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Residential Mix South
North
Total
South
North
Total
Land allocated for residential development (ha):
156
373
529
30%
70%
100%
Residential units:
27k
36k
63k
43%
57%
100%
Residential units per ha of land (inc roads etc) allocated to residential:
174
97
120
Residents (including resident domestic workers):
64k
97k
161k
Low Density - detached houses
-
2k
2k
0%
7%
4%
Low/Medium Density - attached houses
6k
14k
20k
23%
37%
31%
Medium Density - low rise apartments
11k
12k
23k
39%
34%
36%
High Density - high rise apartments
10k
8k
18k
39%
21%
29%
Total
27k
36k
63k
100%
100%
100%
-
10k
10k
0%
10%
6%
Low/Medium Density - attached houses
19k
43k
62k
30%
44%
38%
Medium Density - low rise apartments
25k
30k
55k
39%
31%
34%
High Density - high rise apartments
20k
15k
35k
31%
15%
21%
Total
64k
97k
161k
100%
100%
100%
No. of Residential Units - by Density Category
Resident Population (inc. resident domestic workers) - by Density Category Low Density - detached houses
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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Residential Phasing South
North
Total
South
North
Total
Phase 1
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
Phase 2
4k
-
4k
15%
0%
6%
Phase 3
3k
2k
5k
10%
6%
8%
Phase 4
3k
3k
6k
9%
9%
9%
Phase 5
3k
5k
7k
10%
12%
11%
Phase 6
3k
5k
7k
10%
12%
11%
Phase 7
3k
5k
9k
12%
15%
13%
Phase 8
6k
11k
17k
23%
30%
27%
Phase 9
3k
5k
9k
12%
15%
13%
27k
36k
63k
100%
100%
100%
Total
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Strategy for Offices
SPINNINGFIELDS 450,000 m² Past 10 Years
MEDIA CITY UK 50,000 m² offices phase 1
AIRPORT CITY 500,000 m² Next 10 Years Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
A major office hub in the long term, focused on users that find value in proximity to the Airport
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Office Development Trends • About 200,000 m² of office space completed each year over the past 5 years in Gauteng • New supply peaked at 600,000 m² in 2008 • Development at Sandton is constrained. In the longterm, new space will be needed in other locations
Office space planned and completed in Gauteng (sq m) Building Permits / Statistics South Africa Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Strategy for Offices c.1.5 million m² GFA at Modderfontein Town Centre c.15% of current total stock in Johannesburg / Centurion i.e. adding about 0.5% per annum over 30 years
Phase 1
Phase 2
Phase 3
Phase 4
Phase 5
(4 years 2017 - 2020)
(5 years 2021-25)
(5 years 2026-2030)
(10 years 2031-2040)
(20 years 2041-2060)
6k
108k
168k
538k
648k
1,468k
0.4%
7%
11%
37%
44%
100%
Offices %
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
Total
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Warehouse & Light Industrial 800,000 sq metres of space in the North, offering proximity to the N1 Corridor and Airport Phase 1
Phase 2
Phase 3
Phase 4
Phase 5
(4 years 2017 - 2020)
(5 years 2021-25)
(5 years 2026-2030)
(10 years 2031-2040)
(20 years 2041-2060)
Warehouse / Office & Light Industrial
202k
404k
202k
-
-
808k
%
25%
50%
25%
0%
0%
100%
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
Total
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Retail & Commercial Leisure Retail / leisure offer mainly to support residents, given the substantial existing and planned shopping mall provision in the area
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Destination Leisure Opportunities to create a regionalscale destination e.g. a retail outlet village and/or an outdoor attraction using the natural features of the site Outlet Village
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
Surf Lagoon
Downhill Sports Centre
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Summary South Allocation of Space (m²) Open Space Between Development Plots Area Roads & Open Space Within Development Net Developable Area Total Site (Red Line Area) Gross Floor Area - by Use Type (m²) Town Centre Retail Neighbourhood Retail Offices Town Centre Leisure Neighbourhood Leisure Market Residential Subsidised Residential Live Work Community Facilities Warehouse/ Office & Light Industrial Hotel/ Conference Centre/ Resort Education - Campus Education - Primary/Secondary Total Employees (full time equivalent)
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
North
Total
2.3m 0.7m 1.6m
5.0m 1.5m 3.5m
8.6m 7.2m 2.2m 5.1m 15.8m
92k 15k 1,468k 46k 8k 2,622k 13k 36k 63k 40k 32k 4,434k 68k
58k 6k 22k 4,124k 23k 39k 808k 16k 73k 5,169k 14k
150k 21k 1,468k 46k 30k 6,745k 36k 75k 808k 79k 40k 105k 9,603k 82k
South
North
Total 54% 46% 14% 32% 100%
2% 0% 33% 1% 0% 59% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 100% 83%
1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 80% 0% 0% 1% 16% 0% 0% 1% 100% 17%
2% 0% 15% 0% 0% 70% 0% 0% 1% 8% 1% 0% 1% 100% 100%
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Phasing Phase Phase Phase Phase Phase Phase Phase Phase Phase Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 17k 27k 24k 24k 14k 29k 14k 150k 12k 4k 0k 1k 3k 1k 21k 6k 108k 168k 269k 269k 162k 324k 162k 1,468k 6k 6k 6k 6k 6k 11k 6k 46k 6k 2k 3k 5k 5k 2k 5k 2k 30k 384k 497k 624k 776k 776k 922k 1,844k 922k 6,745k 5k 10k 7k 3k 3k 2k 4k 2k 36k 11k 8k 10k 9k 9k 7k 15k 7k 75k 202k 404k 202k 808k 5k 11k 13k 13k 9k 19k 9k 79k 20k 20k 40k 6k 10k 13k 13k 16k 32k 16k 105k 645k 1,087k 1,066k 1,118k 1,118k 1,142k 2,284k 1,142k 9,603k
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
SOCIOECONOMICS Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
SOCIO-ECONOMICS Outline of Presentation 1. Baseline assessment: socio-economic drivers, constraints and opportunities – implications for Modderfontein. 2. Policy drivers.
3. Socio-economic impacts. 4. Conclusions – Implications of the development
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
SOCIOECONOMICS What is the socioeconomic profile of area?
Population • •
Gauteng has consistently increased its share of national population • 19% in 1996 to 24% in 2011. Currently 12.9 million people
•
Modderfontein site is at the geographical heart of this growth.
•
Young Population • Approx. 20% youth labour • Two-thirds under age of 34
•
Age Pyramid, City of Johannesburg, 2011 85+ 80-84 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10 - 14. 5. - 9. 0-4
Substantial youth bulge – plentiful labour supply BUT – skills and education?
Male
Source: 2011 Census, Statistics South Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop JulyAfrica 2015
Female
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
SOCIOECONOMICS What is the socioeconomic profile of area?
Population - Migration • • • •
Gauteng grew faster than any other province between 2006 and 2011 (2.9% pa) Growth driven by net-migration Gauteng is the largest net-gainer of inter-provincial migrants (approx. 1.5m net-migrants since 2011) If rate continues – Gauteng’s population will double by 2035 1,600,000
Domestic Provincial Net Migration, 2001 – 2016
1,400,000
2001-2006
1,200,000
2006-2011
2011-2016
1,000,000 800,000
600,000 400,000 200,000 0 (200,000) Eastern Cape
Gauteng
Limpopo
Northern Cape
Western Cape
(400,000)
• • • •
Approx. 22% of Gauteng’s migrants are international International migration led by other African nations Gauteng successful in attracted highly educated individuals less skills-constrained than other provincial economies.
International Migration Patterns into South Africa
Advantage: “The Demographic Dividend” •
• •
Existing demographic and health profile has favourable dependency ratios
However, rapid rate of population growth is not sustainable Likely to lead to higher levels of congestions and increased pressure on services
African
Asian
White
2001-2005
769,000
23,300
-133,800
2006-2010
922,900
34,700
-112,00
2011-2015
1,100,000
41,000
-95,200
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015 Source: Mid-Year Population Estimates, Statistics South Africa, “Internal Migration to Gauten Province”, Uni of Cape Town 2004
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
SOCIOECONOMICS What is the socioeconomic profile of area?
Economy •
• • •
Gauteng is the launching pad for many domestic and international businesses looking to expand into Africa Africa's financial services capital: >70 foreign banks' head offices, several domestic banks, stockbrokers and large insurance firms; JSE Securities Exchange. Dominates the South African economy in every major sector except Agriculture, Mining and Quarrying Provincial Economy leading sectors:
• • • •
Financial, Real Estate & Business; Manufacturing; Government Services; and Trade & Accommodation
Contribution to GDP per Sector; Gauteng Provincial & National Level
25%
% of GDP (Gauteng) 20% % of GDP (South Africa) 15% 10% 5%
Source: Gauteng Online, Statistics Africa Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop South July 2015
Other
Agriculture, forestry and fishing
Electricity, Gas and Water
Mining and quarrying
Personal services
Construction
Transport, storage and communication
Taxes less subsidies on products
Wholesale, retail, motor trade and accommodation
General government services
0%
Manufacturing
• •
Response to building a Smart Province; Expanded Tertiary Sector which now contributes 60+% to growth. Major Shopping attraction in Africa Currently low labour demand in formal sectors
Finance, real estate and business services
•
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
SOCIOECONOMICS What is the socioeconomic profile of area?
Labour Participation Rates; SA, Gauteng & CoJ
Employment & Occupational Structure • •
Gauteng has highest level of Labour Market Participation Largest amount of employees within all sectors (except Agri.)
•
Contains 33%-45% of SA’s employees in: • Financial sector; • Transport sector; • Trade & Accommodation sector; and • Manufacturing sector
• •
Level
Labour Participation Rate
South Africa
64.4%
Gauteng
76.7%
CoJ
70%
In Gauteng, employment focuses mainly in Finance, Trade and Community & Social Services Manufacturing and Construction still strong, despite recent contraction (due to reduced credit access)
50% Proportion of National Employment in Gauteng’s Economic Sectors 40% 30% 20%
Private Households
Finance
Community and Social Services
Modderfontein Regeneration FinalForce Workshop July 2015 Source: Quarterly Labour Survey, 2015,
Transport
Trade
Construction
Utilities
Manufacturing
Mining
0%
Agriculture
10%
Statistics South Africa
Proportion of Gauteng’s Labour Force per Economic Sectors
What is the socioeconomic profile of area?
Provincial Unemployment Rate against National Unemployment Rate 40% 35%
Unemployment & Economic Inactivity
30% 25% 20%
• • •
10% 5%
Limpopo
Western Cape
KwaZulu-Natal
Gauteng
North West
Mpumalanga
0%
Eastern Cape
•
15%
Moderate unemployment rate - in line with National rate Unemployment rates in CoJ and Tshwane below the Provincial level and on par with SA
Free State
•
Northern Cape
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
SOCIOECONOMICS
Unemployment in Ekurhuleni and NonUnemployment Rate per Province metropolitan municipalities exceed both Provincial South African - Unemployment Rate Gauteng’s Municipality Unemployment Rates against Provincial and and National levels National Rates 31% Since 2008 crisis, Gauteng experiencing 30% continued increase in unemployment Challenges of Province’s labour market - creating29% employment opportunities, specifically for youth 28% labour 27%
26%
25%
24%
CoJ
Ekurhuleni
Unemployment Rate per Municipality Gauteng Unemployment Rate
Modderfontein Regeneration FinalForce Workshop July 2015 Source: Quarterly Labour Survey, 2015,
Statistics South Africa
City of Tshwane
Non-metro
South African - Unemployment Rate
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
SOCIOECONOMICS What is the socioeconomic profile of area?
The Informal Economy
Formal & Informal Labour per Economic Industry 100%
75%
50%
25%
Formal %
Modderfontein Regeneration FinalForce Workshop July 2015 Source: Quarterly Labour Survey, 2015,
Statistics South Africa
Other
Community and social services
Informal %
Finance
Transport
Trade
Construction
Utilities
Manufacturing
Mining
0%
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
SOCIOECONOMICS What is the socioeconomic profile of area?
Income Levels • • •
Average annual incomes across SA have doubled since 2001 Gauteng’s av. annual income considerably higher than other Provinces - grew at 7% per annum Av. Household income in CoJ amongst the highest in SA
175,000
Average Annual Incomes per Province (ZAR), 2001 – 2011
150,000
2001
125,000 100,000
2011
75,000
50,000 25,000 0
North West
Eastern Cape
Limpopo
R2,457,601+
R1,228,801 R2,457,600
R614,001 R1,228,800
R307,601 - R614,400
R153,801 - R307,600
R76,401 - R153,800
Average Annual Household Income Distribution, 2011
18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0%
R38,201 - R76,400
Source: 2011 Census, Statistics South Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop JulyAfrica 2015
Free State
R19,601 - R38,200
Although incomes concentrated in Middle Range – approx. 17% reported having “No Income” Income disparities highest in Gauteng’s major cities (CoJ, Ekurhuleni, Tshwane) Ranking amongst the most unequal societies globally
Mpumalanga
R9,601 - R19,600
•
KwaZulu-Natal
R4,801 - R9,600
•
Northern Cape
R1 - R4,800
•
Western Cape
None income
Gauteng
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
SOCIOECONOMICS What is the socioeconomic profile of area?
Deprivation •
Still challenges facing racially skewed ownership, employment opportunities and structural imbalances
•
UNHabitat & GCRO Quality of Life Survey: CoJ Gini-coefficient of 0.75 In Gauteng, proportion of population under the Poverty-Line (R305/ month) at 10% (increase from 7% in 2005)
• • •
Given by largely urban character, CoJ has problem with urban poverty - driven by migration. Poverty concentrated in defined pockets - most located on outer edges of Johannesburg conurbation
Source: 2011 Census, Statistics South Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop JulyAfrica, 2015 CASASP,
2005
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
SOCIOECONOMICS What is the socioeconomic profile of area?
Housing •
Demand for affordable (and desired) housing outstripping supply
•
Challenge for bringing about the right balance of affordable formal housing remains large and pressing.
Dwelling Types in Gauteng; 1996, 2001, 2011 3,500,000 3,000,000 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 1996 Formal Dwelling
Source: 2011 Census, Statistics South Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop JulyAfrica 2015
2001 Informal Dwelling
2011 Other
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
SOCIOECONOMICS What is the socioeconomic profile of area?
Housing • •
Residential ownership dramatically decreased since 1996 Rental units and dwellings occupied rent-free have increased Household Tenure in Gauteng; 1996, 2001, 2011
Tenure Status Rented Occupied rent free
Owned and fully paid off Owned but not yet paid off Other • • •
1996
2001
26%
45%
72%
53%
2%
3%
2011 41% 16%
24% 17% 3%
Population densities continue to exert pressures on the housing stock (esp. in CoJ) Private developers and Government (Joshco) need to collaborate to ensure demands are adequately met Promoting socio-economic growth and empowerment in safe, well-managed and well-serviced neighbourhoods
Source: 2011 Census, Statistics South Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop JulyAfrica 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
SOCIOECONOMICS What is the socioeconomic profile of area?
Strategic Economic Prospects & Drivers •
Economic growth is slowly recovering reflecting stronger world trade and past depreciation of the Rand
•
However, infrastructure insufficiencies (mostly electricity shortages) are slowing the economy.
•
Exports will rely on manufacturing goods, as commodities remain depressed by low international prices.
•
Infrastructure investment will contribute to growth - providing demand and alleviating bottlenecks.
•
As incomes increase & confidence slowly improves - private domestic demand is projected to pick up.
•
Fiscal policy will remain mildly restrictive, as the government seek to stabilise public debt and contain inflation pressures
•
High levels of inactivity and unemployment add to high inequality - require structural reforms to boost employment creation and make growth more inclusive.
Source: OECD, June 2015 Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
SOCIOECONOMICS Strategic Economic Prospects & Drivers • •
While SA is forecast to grow at 4.5% by 2030, Gauteng is forecast to grow by 5.2% Currently, Gauteng contributes approx. 35% of GDP – set to grow to 38% in 2030, 40% by 2050
Gauteng’s economy will be driven by the:
• • • • •
Wholesale, retail & motor trade sector – growing at 5.2%; Catering & accommodation sector – growing at 5.2%; General government services – growing at 5%; Financial, real estate & business services – growing at 4.9%; and Manufacturing sector – growing at 4.6%.
Source: ASSA, 2011; OECD,Final June 2015; World Modderfontein Regeneration Workshop JulyBank 2015 Databank, 2015; Trading Economics Forecast, 2015; Statistics South Africa
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Population Projections National Population Projections, 2010-2030 (World Bank) 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200
100
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
2049
2047
2045
2043
2041
2039
2037
2035
2033
2031
2029
2027
2025
2023
2021
2019
2017
2015
2013
2011
2009
-
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
SOCIOECONOMICS Inward Investment Activity & Major Projects • •
Major Infrastructure and Development Projects planned for Gauteng. Supported by increased government spending in Residential, Infrastructural and Commercial projects Sector
Rail
Retail
Retail
Industrial
Name
Description
GauTrain Rail System Extension
A link to the High speed Rail from Johannesburg and Durban and a rapid rail link to allow high mobility corridors
-
Midrand Mall of Africa
Two-story, 130,000.0m2 shopping mall. It includes the construction of 300 stores, a VIP lounge, a spa, a baby nursery, a children’s park, a two-level basement parking garage and related facilities.
US$350 million
Mogale City Mall Development
A shopping mall consisting of a 53,000 sqm of retail space, leisure units, parking facilities, as well as the installation of security systems.
PET-P Plant
Polyethylene Terephthalate recycling plant 600,000 sqm Manufacturing Plant
Light Industrial
Institutional
Value
Upgrading the existing hospital, incl. construction of a new hospital, an OPD center, a parking facility, other related infrastructure facilities, and the installation of safety systems.
CHB Academic Hospital Revitalisation
Source: CIC Construction South Africa, Sept Modderfontein Regeneration FinalinWorkshop July 2015
2014
US$168 million
-
-
-
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
SOCIOECONOMICS Policy Context National Development Plan 2030
•
3 priorities for economic future: • Raising employment through faster economic growth • Improving quality of education and skills development • Building capability of the state to play transformative role
Industrial Policy Action Plan (IPAP) • • • •
Highlights need for adequate job creation Promote Labour-absorbing industrialisation Raise competitiveness Focus on the Manufacturing sector due to its high multiplier benefits to GDP and employment
Gauteng Employment Growth and Development Strategy (GEGDS) • • •
Initiate programmes that can maximise employment creation in the medium term. Address inequality through the investment in people and the progressive realisation of decent jobs. Support social cohesion through interventions that directly contribute towards employment creation and a healthy, well nourished and safe labour force.
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
SOCIOECONOMICS Policy Context Corridors of Freedom
• • • • • •
Alleviate deprivation and guide accessible and sustainable development Well-planned transport arteries Linked mixed-use compact development Adequate provision of commercial (retail & office) uses Good access to sufficient provision of community services (education, leisure & recreation) Addresses sustainability of access and movement of residents – social cohesion “a larger proportion of the population living closer to places of work, and the transport they use to commute should be safe, reliable and energy efficient”
Black Economic Empowerment • • •
Gauteng Provincial Government (GPG) launched Broad Based Black Economic Empowerment Strategy. Aim to address inequalities & bring about significant increases in the number of black people that manage, own and control the economy. Recognises SMEs as major lever for BEE - providing opportunities to increase black participation in economic activities “GPG will support for micro enterprise in general, small business development in high-growth sectors and the growth of SMEs owned and managed by black people and black women in particular, the youth, the disabled and cooperatives.”
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SOCIOECONOMICS Policy Context Policy Drivers
Policy Plan National Development Plan 2030
• • •
IPAP
• • •
Modderfontein Adherence
Raising employment through faster economic growth Improving quality of education and skills development Building capability of the state to play transformative role
•
Promote Labour-absorbing industrialisation Raise competitiveness Focus on the Manufacturing sector
•
• •
• •
Corridors of Freedom
• • • • •
BEE
• •
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
Alleviate deprivation Well-planned transport arteries Linked mixed-use compact development Good access to sufficient provision of community services (education, leisure & recreation) Addresses sustainability and social cohesion
Significant increases in the number of black people that manage, own and control the economy. Recognises SMEs as major lever for BEE providing opportunities to increase black participation in economic activities
• • • • •
Creation of new work premises for growing economy (and labour demand) Provision of new health and educational facilities to upskill and enhance life quality of increasing population Major infrastructure investment provides opportunities for involvement of state to play transformative role (e.g. through PPP) Provision of capacity for manufacturing and light industrial operations Further strengthening key provincial and national sectors Providing path to upskilling of labour through vocational industrial experience TOD opportunity at GauTrain Hub Provision of transport “will enable fast, safe and affordable mobility along the transport corridors” Located adjacent to targeted Corridors of Freedom [Sandton/ Randburg- Diepsloot] Move away from previous sprawling low-density areas without viable public transport systems The Master Plan centres the population towards areas of economic activity, educational opportunities and enhanced mobility
• Integration of BEE & SME in line with Modderfontein’s community-level businesses • Support and investment provided from local authorities generate greater economic activity and higher value through high-density development (“Clustering Effect”)
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
SOCIOECONOMICS
Drivers of Guateng’s Employment Growth and Development Strategy GEGDS Drivers
Objective
Modderfontein Adherence •
• Developmental Green Economy
•
Deliver better returns on natural, human and economic capital investment Reducing greenhouse emissions, using fewer natural resources & reducing social disparities
•
• • Economic, Socio-economic and bulkInfrastructure
• • •
Community-led Economic Development (CLED)
• • •
Quality Education, Skills Development & Capacity Building
• •
Uplift society; creating an inclusive economy through infrastructure enhancement Spending on infrastructure is leveraged to stimulate economy and address job creation over short-medium term (esp. in Construction sector) Positioning province for growth in long term
• • •
Sustainable economic growth that brings economic benefits and quality of life improvements in the community Community participation with various public works programmes to stimulate entrepreneurial spirit in communities Develop infrastructure networks in local communities so they can access markets
•
Address poverty and inequality by focusing on skills development, vocational training, capacity building and re-skilling Emphasis placed on quality early childhood development Reduce unemployment in the long-term
• •
• •
• • •
•
Youth Employment Initiative • Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
Focus on youth labour participation by intervening more directly Proactively focus on young school leavers
• •
Providing compact business districts with provincially supportive economic activity provides real efficiency gains Corridors of Freedom and provision of good public transport delivers enhanced mobility to opportunities across all groups Centre will be developed around major rail infrastructure provision High density development will align the main transport corridors; benefitting several residents Phased construction will feed into local and Provincial construction sector (Priority Sector) Connecting local economy to CBD and Sandton, to support and benefit from economic activity Employment in high density mixed-use development promotes local community engagement BEE Strategy objectives to enable community entrepreneurialism Planned investment in local and inter-provincial infrastructure will reduce transaction costs, attract job seekers, and promote employment. Provision of 40,000 sqm Tertiary Education Campus Provision of 105,000 sqm Primary & Secondary Educational facilities SME employment will promote on-the-job training & knowledge transfers Modderfontein’s TOD & CLED enhances social mobility and produces a more inclusive an productive economy Opportunity to migrate unemployed youth to tertiary education Promote youth entrepreneurship through BEE Incorporate GEGDS to leverage partnerships with placement agencies and connect school leavers to jobs
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
SOCIOECONOMICS Strengths
Weaknesses
• • • •
• • • • • •
•
• • •
Located in economic centre of the nation Located along Rail investment corridor Housing offer to meet variety of needs Establish residential-led communities that have community services at their heart for all residents. Plan focuses on safe and good access to jobs and services High-density sustainable development Promoting a move away from sprawled inaccessible areas Focus of enhancing QoL for residents
Informal employment Uncertainty of affordable housing provision Isolation of southern residential community Implementation will take considerable length of time Sluggish recovery from recession Value of the Rand
Opportunities
Threats
• Feed into Provincial key economic sectors, in supportive capacity – economic diversification • Become Johannesburg’s 3rd Economic Hub • Connect to wider region through Gautrain • Reduce QoL disparities and inequalities through community-led development • Support SME’s to achieve BEE • Increasing house prices promising for absorption of units • National employment and residential demand and entice FDI • Construction of site will spike labour demand within sector • Phasing of educational/ vocational facilities can be frontloaded to help upskill labour & prepare for the economic activity envisioned for the area. • Phasing of residential development can be in line with increase in mortgage advances • Development of high-quality housing & infrastructure
• Demand uncertainty • Competitiveness threats from other countries, particularly in manufacturing • Potential skills-gap • Energy gap • Challenges creating employment opportunities with the ability to absorb labour, specifically youth labour • Steady increases in informal sector
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SOCIOECONOMICS Economic Impact – Construction Jobs
CAPEX (USD) Attributable to Labour Labour Cost (USD) Person years of employment FTEs (USD)
17,120,000,000 20% 3,424,000,000 285,333 28,533
GDP per worker GDP from construction (USD)
7,000 199,733,333
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SOCIOECONOMICS Economic Impact - Jobs
Direct Jobs Profile
GDP per worker 2015(USD)
Displacement & Deadweight
Net Direct Jobs
Regional Type II Multiplier
Indirect & Induced Jobs
Total Net Jobs
Manufacturing Utilities Construction Trade Transport Finance & business services Government services Personal services
15580 820 1640 20500 12300 16400 4920 9840
17,260 38,384 6,333 10,932 22,764 21,810 10,915 10,088
0.2 0.1 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.15 0.05 0
12,464 738 1,476 17,425 9,840 13,940 4,674 9,840
2 1.7 3 1.4 1.6 2 1.5 1.5
12464 516.6 2952 6970 5904 13940 2337 4920
24,928 1,255 4,428 24,395 15,744 27,880 7,011 14,760
Total
82000
50,004
120,401
Sector
Total Jobs including construction impact Source: Atkins
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
70,397
148,934
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Economic Impact - GDP
Sector Manufacturing Utilities Construction Trade Transport Finance & business services Government services Personal services
GDP per worker 17,260 38,384 6,333 10,932 22,764 21,810 10,915 10,088
Total Total GDP including construction impact Source: Atkins
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
10 yr Productivity Uplift 2.0 1.4 1.2 1.3 1.7 1.8 1.2 1.2
GDP per worker uplift 34,521 53,738 7,599 14,211 38,698 39,258 13,098 12,106
Total Net Jobs 24,928 1,255 4,428 24,395 15,744 27,880 7,011 14,760
860,533,309 67,419,844 33,650,112 346,680,019 609,263,547 1,094,503,643 91,832,617 178,677,927
120,401
3,282,561,018
GDP (USD)
3,482,294,351
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
CONCLUSIONS – IMPLICATIONS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT Economic diversification and competitiveness – capturing latent economic growth potential
Economic additionality Broad range of job opportunities with diverse skills needs Opportunities for development of SME sector
Raising standards of living and improving quality of life for all Contributing to alleviation of inequalities, unemployment, deprivation and access to employment
Strategic policy fit – meeting NDP, IPAP and GEGDS objectives Corridor of Freedom compliant Investment in education and training
Enhancement of economic effect through increased spending power Creating a bright future through substantial new opportunities Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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Thank you! Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
COMMENTS
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
KEY COMMENTS DEVELOPMENT PLANNING Herman Pienaar, Development Planning, CoJ: “We are very happy with the level of detail and rigour apparent in the development of the framework plan and in these presentations.” Who attended the public engagement sessions? Key community groups and the general public. Invitations were made in newspapers and social media, as well as directly to key stakeholder groups. Full details can be found in the report. What is the breakdown of number of units for each phase? Overall numbers can be found in the Delivery Strategy and details can be found in the Colliers Commercial Report. The N/W and N/E connections seem to improve permeability on the site. Are there any more opportunities to connect to the S/W? We have linked to every available connection that borders our ownership boundary. Can the proposed public transit link in with city-wide networks? Yes, we link to all existing and proposed public transit networks that border our site. The BRT networks in the City of Johannesburg and Ekurheleni are both included.
Have we conducted an EIA as part of this process? Response: No new EIA’s are needed at this stage. Further EIA’s will be required when precinct plans are produced. What is the breakdown of the lower income housing provided on-site? We are in negotiations with CoJ Housing and can provide details of our agreements when consensus has been reached. What level of detail is being prepared for this planning submission? Is it a township establishment for the entire 1,600 ha? No, this is only the framework masterplan. Further detail will be submitted at the stage of future planning phases for individual neighbourhoods within the 1600 ha. Township establishments are yet to come and we understand they will require a higher level of detail. Development sites within the overall 1600 ha should only be released with careful urban design guidelines, so the vision is sure to be maintained. Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
KEY COMMENTS DEVELOPMENT PLANNING Emannuel Sotomi, Housing, CoJ: What are the functional socio-economic linkages of this project? The socio-economic links created by the regeneration of Modderfontein are improved public transit, new pedestrian and cycle connections, more jobs and better access to public realm/parks. Herman Joubert, Transport: How are we ensuring that the traffic impact on the city is manageable? Busses won’t be enough. We have developed a traffic model to indicate the level of traffic increase at each stage of this regeneration project. Public transit plays a role in decreasing demand and new roads are introduced when the model indicates that they are needed. We agree that it is unlikely that busses will provide enough capacity to support the level of density preferred by CoJ. Have you considered the Gauteng Environmental Framework? We have considered key connections to the wider environmental network that surrounds our site. Most of the connections within our site boundary are made via river corridors. It is likely that these link to the new Gauteng Environmental Framework. Constand Van Deventer, Urban Dynamics: What is the phasing strategy for social housing? The framework provides a location for lower income housing in each of the mixed use neighbourhoods and it is therefore phased in throughout the full delivery of the scheme, along with the required community amenities. What is the difference between the level of detail needed now and later for the environmental work? The level of detail is consistent with what is needed for a framework plan at this stage. Later when individual sites/neighbourhoods are put forward for further planning approvals, EIA’s will be required. Even though an EIA is not needed now, please keep the key stakeholders in the loop, so when an EIA is needed, we already understand the context. This will lead to quicker approvals.
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KEY COMMENTS ENVIRONMENT - Summary Herman Joubert, Transport: What is the environmental impact of the landbridge? We know that the town centre needs a connection between the north and south sites. The landbridge offers the most environmentally friendly intervention as it is not at grade and allows ecological crossings. The height of the bridge will determine the quality of the space under it, so we are investigating the maximum viable height. Jane Eagle (EISD): “The detailed design stage, that comes after the framework plan, is really important. We need to ensure that the next round of design work incorporates the ideas and principles from the framework plan appropriately.� Building on the wetlands is not the norm. This must only be allowed when appropriate justification is given. The normal wetland buffer is 32 meters. This can be increased or decreased depending on the site and the design of the scheme. The actual buffer width for each site should be determined by a detailed study, at the next level of planning approval. Rehabilitation of non-pristine areas is as important as conserving pristine areas. We have an opportunity to do some rehabilitation on this site. These areas should be highlighted in the a more detailed study after the framework is approved. In the next stage of work, detailed design will be needed for the landbridge. Ensure the landbridge allows visual and ecological connections. It must also allow natural light and be scaled appropriately. Make the most of the stormwater and get a team on-board, at the next stage, that can deliver innovative and efficient systems and solutions. How do we reduce our carbon footprint? How do we minimize the lose of wildlife? What is the most important environmental asset?
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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KEY COMMENTS ENVIRONMENT – Detailed notes Province/GDARD: Question: It is important that environmental issues are incorporated into the plan – as per the presentations - but at what level of detail does the Framework Plan stop and the EIA process start. Answer: The Framework Plan is strategic and will be subject to modification due to changing circumstances, especially in the longer term. The Framework Plan does not have sufficient detail to provide the basis for one or more EIAs which it is suggested are best carried out at precinct level. The Framework Plan recognises environmental issues and establishes principles and key next steps for addressing the issues. Response: It will be important to have a good working relationship with GDARD on environmental matters e.g. establish a pre-application process for EIA, with consultation/involvement of Gauteng Province. Statement (GDARD): A new Environmental Management Framework (EMF) for Gauteng Province was gazetted in June which will be applicable to Zendai Modderfontein. Answer: Zendai would appreciate a copy of this EMF and will take this into account going forward, especially at the precinct level. (Post-meeting Note – a copy of the EMF was provided by GDARD to Atkins/Zendai on 31 July 2015). Herman Joubert, Transport: Question: Town Centre and the connection across the Modderfontein Spruit – is this achievable? The project should not head towards the side of an (immovable) mountain. Response: Subject to sound environmental (water, ecology, landscape) and engineering studies an elevated connection should be possible in which a restored watercourse and riparian vegetation in the river corridor are valuable (visual and functional) assets to the Town Centre. The water course would be designed and managed to accommodate flooding but public access would be facilitated and ecological connectivity along the river and to the reserve would be retained.
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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KEY COMMENTS ENVIRONMENT – Detailed notes CoJ (Jane Eagle) – seven precautionary points: Point 1: Cedar Loft at Fourways – the main lesson/principle learned was to avoid Wetlands, they should not be built on. Nevertheless, where there is a compelling case to develop close to Wetlands (<30m), applications will be considered but given careful scrutiny with respect to design details and their approach to restoration of degraded wetlands. Point 2: Though wetlands have been delineated and sub-catchment studies done, the source of all the ground/surface water on the site and the flow paths are not fully understood (“where does all the water come from and go?”). A geo-hydrological study for the whole site is still required. Answer: Zendai recognise this, and that the results of the study may affect the details of development for some precincts and infrastructure, and proposes that such a study is done post-approval of the Framework Plan to inform the more detailed development plans. Point 3: Wetland Buffers. It is suggested that a standard buffer (30m) should be applied to all wetlands, recognising that this can be increased (e.g. to 60m) or decreased subject to detailed requirements and studies. Answer: Atkins/Zendai understand this and will state this in their Framework Plan, but prefer to show the delineated wetlands as the absolute “no go” zone and then to explore appropriate buffers (e.g. 10m to 30m or 60m) as a part of the Open Space Planning and Precinct Plans. Some of the medium to long term developments are so far in the future and will need review/revision anyway so the exact buffer is not critical at this stage. Point 4: The principle that much of the site is degraded (from an ecological perspective) is understood. This is typical of Johannesburg and Gauteng Province where most land is degraded, but does not necessarily mean that development of all such degraded areas is acceptable – and there may be areas of non-degraded land. The BioRegional Plan for the CoJ identifies Critical Biodiversity Areas (CBAs) and Ecological Support Areas that may still be of environmental value and factored into the Framework Plan. Answer: Atkins/Zendai have looked more closely at the Bio-Regional Plan GIS data provided by CoJ. Though the full meta-data is not readily accessible Atkins/Zendai still believe that the mapping of the CBAs etc was done at such a scale that it cannot be applied directly to the environmental sensitivity maps that have been prepared. (Post-meeting Note: Atkins/Zendai agreed to meet CoJ Biodiversity/GIS specialists on 30/07/2015 to review the data/situation in more detail).
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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KEY COMMENTS ENVIRONMENT – Detailed notes
Point 5: The scale of the proposed crossing/land bridge at the future Town Centre is of some concern e.g. a large dark culvert would not be a good solution. Light, air, safety are all required to make a sustainable solution. Answer: Atkins/Zendai agree completely that this crossing has to be designed to a very high standard; the soft and hard landscaping and ecological connectivity required mean that this is a very important piece of “Green Infrastructure”. Point 6: Drainage. Water conservation is a big issue in South Africa. Healthy wetlands need to depend on properly functioning drainage regimes, to factor in uses/pressures from people and play a role in “water efficiency”. How can stormwater serve people and the natural environment (role in hydrological and ecological connectivity) ate the same time? A highly professional team is required to work on the SuDS for the development; there a limited number of local engineers with the necessary experience and Zendai should look at bringing in expertise to assist – including wetlands specialists (i.e. not a task for engineers alone). Answer: Zendai appreciates the complexity of the stormwater drainage SuDS challenge and will take this point into consideration. Point 7: Ecological connectivity. The problem of the fence with very limited passageways for animals, that was noticed on the bus trip/site visit associated with the Options Workshop, highlights the need for mechanisms to be found for environmental commitments to be carried through (in this case to maintain ecological connectivity). Answer: Atkins/Zendai understand this point and that such details need to be addressed both by “Environmental Principles” to be adopted by Zendai and competent EIAs with mitigation for precincts and infrastructure and the active involvement of those managing the Modderfontein Reserve (currently the Endangered Wildlife Trust).
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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KEY COMMENTS TRANSPORT Herman Joubert, Transport: Can the landbridge help deal with off-peak storage of public transit, when extra trains/busses are not needed? Yes, there will be extra space for both car parking and pubic transit storage on either side of the park and under the place where the bridge meets the development site. Please see the report for a conceptual section, to better understand the way this will work. Herman Pienaar, Development Planning, CoJ: We would like a meeting with the transport team and CoJ Transport to discuss the traffic modelling. We need to understand that sufficient connections are being made through the site, as well as within. What is the impact of freight traffic on the masterplan? Light-industrial and warehouse land uses have been placed adjacent to roads that allow (and are appropriate for) freight traffic. The traffic model accounts for freight traffic and has confirmed the agreed roads are likely to handle the traffic sufficiently.
We need to ensure that ‘through routes’ don’t become highways that are only used to speed through the site. We agree. The road network has been designed with placemaking and appropriate road hierarchy in mind. Through routes and internal roads have different land use and density adjacencies. The width and number of directional changes has also been adapted to encourage or discourage speed as appropriate. Areas where large trucks and service vehicles are prevalent, has been matched with roads to link to the major roads adjacent to the site, and do not require passage through residential neighbourhoods. We must replace ineffective transport with efficient and accessible public transport.
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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KEY COMMENTS INFRASTRUCTURE Herman Pienaar, Development Planning, CoJ: Have we included other new development in our capacity study? Yes, we have included other new development that we are aware of. Have we met with Joburg Water to agree a strategy? Yes, Joburg Water is supportive of our approach but does not have funding to produce a new water masterplan at this time. We must confirm that we have up-to-date information on supply timelines. There are delays sometimes. Are there additional green/renewable systems that could be considered? We must ensure any upgrades that are required actually happen and keep pace with the delivery of new development. Victor Chewe (Joburg Water): Upgrades to the water supply are coming and will support this masterplan. Very little wind is available on-site for wind turbines. Municipalities should be investing in renewable power.
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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KEY COMMENTS INFRASTRUCTURE Jane Eagle (EISD): Short term tie-ins to existing sewer system do not always work well and sometimes cause overflow. We must avoid this. Has consideration been given to an onsite treatment plant? Arup met with Johannesburg Water (JW) to discuss the sewer aspects of the development. The Modderfontein site is well served by a large diameter sewer outfall running through the valley of the catchment and sewage discharges from the site have already been incorporated into the JW sewer masterplan for the area (the masterplan does however need to be reviewed and possibly updated for the current scale of development). Considering that JW has already invested heavily in infrastructure to collect sewage produced on the site, it makes sense to use this connection. Furthermore JW stated that there is a new 150 MLD sewage treatment plant planned near Lanseria airport that would alleviate potential capacity issues at the Northern Wastewater Treatment plant. Nonetheless, onsite sewage treatment has not been ruled out and is being considered as part of the medium to long term strategy with due consideration of: • Required land take in a suitable location and of a suitable size. • The need for a critical mass of people (a plant is not viable in the short term when sewage production is low). • Complexities around operating a high tech piece of equipment and where the responsibilities lie for operating the plant. • The potential to recover and use treated sewage effluent for irrigation of landscaped areas.
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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KEY COMMENTS URBAN DESIGN GUIDELINES Herman Pienaar, Development Planning, CoJ: “Design is not about what it looks like but how it functions and this is apparent in the design guidelines you have shared with us and the examples you have used.” The city is transforming towards design that encourages public transit. Best practice and international examples can really help us shape the future Johannesburg. We must get the urban design right. Landscape design is often used to cover up poor urban design. Modderfontein is and opportunity to get both right. “We must incorporate the principles of the design guidelines now, so when the work is implemented in the future, our intentions are still clear.” Anton Comrie, Landscape Architect: How can the environment be linked into the urban design guidelines? We often design the landscape guidelines in parallel to the urban design guidelines. This allows appropriate integration. Parking requirements often hinder the public realm – what can be done? We have proposed a lower minimum provision of parking in Modderfontein. If this is approved, we might be able to provide less parking, as supported by our public transit strategy. How do you ensure the residential design works on the inside? We often design indicative layouts to ensure appropriate building widths for internal design. How is local culture incorporated? We often work with local design teams. Emannuel Sotomi, Housing, CoJ: Is there a method to determine how much low value housing is supported by a certain amount of high value housing? This is a delicate balance and will be reviewed when overall quantity of housing types are agreed with CoJ. Commercial considerations will factor into this discussion.
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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KEY COMMENTS COMMERCIAL ECONOMICS Emannuel Sotomi, Housing, CoJ: Working from home might effect our overall office provision. Continuous engagement is needed with CoJ housing. We must establish a model for how much social housing is viable based on the overall commercial assessment. Waterfall ran past us. We want Modderfontein to take us with them (in the planning process). Johannesburg’s CBD is disorganized and crowed. We must do better at Modderfontein.
Herman Pienaar, Development Planning, CoJ: The city wants more lower market accommodation. We want to plan for the ‘median’ income level. Getting a mortgage is a bigger issue for most – bigger than affordability. What makes Modderfontein special? Unique land uses? Niche market?
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
KEY COMMENTS SOCIO-ECONOMICS Liana Strydom, Development Planning, CoJ: “We seem to have reached an agreement on the masterplan and things seem to have settled into the right locations. However, the illustration of the displacement calculations must be clear.” The Airport Corridor of Freedom was identified as part of the SDF process and it is not yet confirmed. We must illustrate how the offering at Modderfontein is different than other nodes in Johannesburg – we must diversify. Emannuel Sotomi, Housing, CoJ: Expand the local study area and get more specific about areas such as Alexandra and Sandton. Herman Pienaar, Development Planning, CoJ: Make sure the outcomes of the study are manifested in the Framework Masterplan. Can we make a direct link with SME? Define the income level and job level of the new jobs we have shown. (Who are they really for?) Renewables offer significant impact in terms of jobs and economic uplift due to new facilities and implementation staffing.
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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MASTERPLAN COMMENTS Give us your thoughts… Where can we find information about municipal services (health clinics, libraries, sports fields, swimming pools, rec facilities, community halls, public schooling, religious facilities and other social services)? At the stage of the framework masterplan, we have identified the neighbourhoods/locations of the community facilities and schools. Please see diagram called ‘Community’. The amount of community facilities and schools will be determined by population, which will be confirmed when the framework plan is approved and detailed design begins at the next stage.
We need the links to neighbouring areas. More than physical links – we also need socio-cultural links like agriculture and economic activity. When urban design guideline are required, review the Energy Efficiency Guidelines, Sustainable Human Settlement Index and Building Regulations for some minimum requirements applicable to CoJ. Include green elements and sustainability elements. Align to GDS204 principles.
Integrating planning between work streams is important. Sustainability and resilience principles in infrastructure is important. A regional attenuation pond could be useful. When rivers and wetlands are crossed, try to use underpasses, span bridges, other infiltration/mechanisms that enable/promote infiltration should be incorporated into the design. Pedestrian and cycle lanes, taxi ranks, and landscaping should all be done at the same time. Should be incorporated into planning upfront.
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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MASTERPLAN COMMENTS Give us your thoughtsâ&#x20AC;Ś Zendai and CoJ should have a GIS session to check alignment of layers. Include sustainability principles. Offsets are not always implemented properly, so there is a negative perception towards the process. GDARD has plans to write environmental guidelines. At least two major parks will be needed. One in the north and one in the south. This will serve the higher density residential development.
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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GROUP WORK (consultants, stakeholder and developer working together)
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
GROUPS
Please see attendee list for actual participants
ENVIRONMENT Nozipho Maduse (EISD) Jane Eagle (EISD) Lebo Molefe (EISD) Tshilidzi Tshimange (EISD) Taariq Ismail (GDP-OOP Gauteng) Liziwe Ntshinga (Urban Management) Lynn Marais (Zendai, Environment) Luke (Ke Lu) (Zendai, Landscape) Ares Zhangyi (Zendai, Project Management) Mark Hanekom (Zendai, Environment) Anton Comrie (Green Inc) Ben Bradlow (Brown University) Phillip Harrison (WITS University) Yan Yang (WITS University) Temba Middelmann (WITS University) Robert Whitcombe (Atkins, Environment)*
DEVELOPMENT PLANNING Emannuel Sotomi (Housing) Liana Strydom (Development Planning) Martin Bekker (Ekurheleni) Nells Du Toit (OOP) Mannini Makhele (GPD - OOP Gauteng) Ronald Mathe (Gauteng) Taariq Ismail (Gauteng) Istell Orton (GIBB) Richard Ballard (GCEO) Gidion Cruywagen (Urban Management) Constand Van Deventer (Urban Dynamics, Planning) Jon Busser (Urban Dynamics, Planning) Nico Barnard (Zendai, Planning) Ann Sun (Zendai, PR) Lloyd Druce (Zendai, Planning) Richard Coburn (Atkins, Socioeconomics) Guy Briggs (DHK)*
INFRASTRUCTURE Riaan Swanepoel (City Power) Tony Whattaker (City Power) Gavin Jardine (City Power) Tebogo Mokanek (City Power) Xolani Lembede (City Power) Victor Chewe (Joburg Water) Hein Schuld (Plantech Associates) Nkateko Shipalana (Development Planning) Sibu Mthembu (Urban Management) Hein Schuld (Plantech) Joy Zang (Zendai, Urban Design) Tony Lu (Zendai, Infrastructure) Ian Carradice (Arup, Infrastructure) Mahandra Rooplall (Arup, Energy) Pedro Neto (Arup, Energy) Gregg Sim (Arup, Infrastructure)*
TRANSPORT Lisa Seftel (ED: Transportation) Daisy Dwango (Transportation) Gugu Mbambo (Transportation) Ayanda Masuku (Development Planning) Mohini Chanderalou (Development Planning) Esther Smith(JRA) Theo de Jager(JRA) Phelisa Staffa (JRA) Thabo Maifo (JRA) Inneke de Villiers-Engelbrecht (Urban Management) John Nsbirwa (Zendai, Transport) Herman Joubert (Zendai, Transport) Simon van Jaarsveld (Arup, Transport)* Madeleen Engelbrecht (Arup, Transport)
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
ECONOMICS Ravi Naidoo (ED: Economic Development) Herman Pienaar (Development Planning) Yondela Silimela (ED: Development Planning) Nick Theledi (Economic Development) Reginald Pholo (Economic Development) Monique Griffith (Economic Development) Beatrice Abil (Economic Development) Elliot Dubasi (Economic Development) Estee Campher (Gauteng Province) Lenette Fouche (Urban Management) Andrea Delport (Denacon) Barry Stegmann Guy Briggs (DHK, Urban Design) Damane Hlalele (Arup) Leticia Potts (Zendai, Development) Michael Inglesby (Colliers, Commercial) Margot Orr (Atkins, Masterplanning) David Geddes (Colliers, Commercial)*
* Group leader
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Break Out Session 1 DELIVERY STRATEGY: In this session we break into groups to discuss the delivery strategy from the perspective of each groupâ&#x20AC;&#x2122;s specialization. What are the key elements required to move the project forward? Is there a particular order in which they need to be achieved? The groupâ&#x20AC;&#x2122;s focus should be placed on the full delivery strategy. The objective of this session is to gain a shared understanding of what is likely to be needed to take the project from start to finish. ACTION: Record the key elements of the delivery strategy.
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
• •
Establish good relationships with authorities and other stakeholders Prepare Open Space Strategy and Landscape Masterplan o To include “Guidelines” for integration of open space with urban development o To include “Open Space Standards” (e.g. ratio of built vs unbuilt land in accordance with population served) o To achieve a balance between conservation and amenity uses o To investigate and determine requirement for one or more “Regional Parks” o To include spatial configuration/hierarchy of open/green space i.e. grading of ecological value and associated uses (conservation, walking, cycling, SUDS etc.) o To include broad design/development principles and management guidelines o To be integrated with infrastructure (“complete streets” etc.) o To be integrated with SUDS and Stormwater requirements and proposals Institutional/governance arrangements for management of “Open Space” to be established o Management Entity/Entities o Funding Environment Masterplan (will go beyond Open Space requirements to include other environmental tasks) including: o Setting out of priorities and phasing o Determination of Safety, Health and Environment (SHE) trigger points o EIA tasks o Preparation of Habitat Restoration and Rehabilitation Programme o Establishment of Waste Management Principles, Strategy and Systems (e.g. reduce, re-use, re-cycle; separate waste at source etc.) o Establishment of Water Management Principles, Strategy and Guidelines (e.g. Treated Sewage Effluent (TSE); use of grey water for landscape irrigation for all new projects; rain water harvesting and re-use)
Within 10 years •
Implementation of above i.e. put strategies, plans and guidelines into practice
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
Audit
• •
Key Message – “Environment is Part of the Solution and not Part of the Problem”
Regulatory Compliance
First 5 years
Don’t forget to assign an order to the actions, if they need to happen in a certain sequence.
Maintenance and Management
Key Tasks
Objective – Planning, Design and Management of the Environment (i.e. many environmental tasks are not about building/actions on the ground but about planning and management)
Funding Mechanisms
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DELIVERY STRATEGY -- ENVIRONMENT
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DELIVERY STRATEGY – DEVELOPMENT PLANNING Key Tasks
Value Management
Formal Planning Don’t forget to assign an order to the actions, if they need to happen in a certain sequence.
First 5 years Design guidelines -
Existing approved areas
-
Town Centre precinct
1. D.F. must incorporate approved areas that are part of the functional area. DF targets (infra, social housing etc) broken up into clusters of sub-working groups (including political input in Sept). Formal city comment and refinement of D.F. Final submission Sept / Oct or more likely Jan 16. Plans for early phases (urban design framework) 2. Precinct plans for early phases (urban design framework). 3. Township establishment informed by Open Space Strategy.
Within 10 years
Sub phase SDP
-
Building plans submission
Precinct plans for next phases •
Within 15 years
-
Township establishment
Potential review
Precinct plans for next phases •
Not before 20 years Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
Township establishment
Potential review
Potential review
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DELIVERY STRATEGY -- TRANSPORT Key Tasks
Don’t forget to assign an order to the actions, if they need to happen in a certain sequence.
First 5 years
The Gautrain Station is one of the most urgent pieces of infrastructure to be provided for Modderfontein from a Transportation point of view. Not only will the station make Modderfontein more accessible, but it will lend the area more gravity as a destination. The station is expected to act as a catalyst for first development to occur and will draw pioneering tenants to establish within the area. There is currently an undertaking with the Bombella concession to provide a station at Modderfontein. The Bombella concession expands over a 15 year period of which 5 years have expired. It is therefore imperative that the station is designed and built within a shorter timeframe rather than a longer one to avoid having to renegotiate the opportunity to provide a station with a future concession. As a starting point the transportation strategy needs to be carefully coordinated with transport network planning by provincial and local planning and transportation authorities. This includes provincial roads planning (including K routes and PWV routes) as well as public transport planning i.e. Rea Vaya by COJ Transport and the Tembisa to Boksburg BRT on Zuurfontein Road by EMM. Modderfontein planning needs to make the most of this infrastructure, by linking into it as far as possible. COJ have appointed consultants to develop a public transport plan for the North East Johannesburg area. These consultants needs to be informed of the planning for Modderfontein so it could be incorporated into the wider area planning. Zendai can provide infrastructure on land which they own. However this is not the case on third party land. Transport links between Modderfontein and surrounding areas such as Tembisa should be facilitated where possible with the support of local authorities; The K113 and Centenary Road will provide access for the development of existing planning rights including Longlake, Pinelands and Westlake and is therefore required within the short term; As the first stages of development starts to role out supporting access and internal roads will need to be provided. A link from the K113 to the first residential phase of the Modderfontein North residential development is required as well as Mastiff Road. Pedestrian and cycle infrastructure will be developed simultaneously with the role out of the development and road network.
Within 10 years
The success of Gautrain is dependent on supporting transport facilities such as vehicle parking, road linkages and bus services. Due to the fall of the land, limited cutting and the proximity of the Gautrain to the green area to the north, all of the supporting transport facilities cannot be provided on the southern side of the Gautrain line. The proposed land bridge provides more space for supporting transport facilities within close proximity of the station and is therefore an opportunity to address the limited space issue. At this stage the southern town centre will be in place which will require strong public transport support. Further role out of the internal road network will be required to serve additional phases of the development; Metro rail services will be highly beneficial to Modderfontein during its later development phases. Further / more detailed exploration of bringing Metro rail serves into Modderfontein should be explored; At this stage Modderfontein North will require access from another direction. This can be provided by extending Marlboro Road further to the east, across the conservancy area; Enough demand will at this stage be established to start introduce local bus services / mid capacity public transport to provide people the opportunity and to get people into the habit of using public transport. Pedestrian and cycle infrastructure will be developed simultaneously with the role out of the development and road network.
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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DELIVERY STRATEGY -- TRANSPORT Key Tasks
Don’t forget to assign an order to the actions, if they need to happen in a certain sequence.
Within 15 years
At this stage both the town centre to the south and Modderfontein North is expected to have developed enough gravity in terms of demand that will warrant the proposed High Capacity Transport HCT system proposed. This system needs to be implemented, creating a north south link. Together with the HCT system, a road link, pedestrian and cycle link needs to be provided. Modderfontein North will require the first full east west link to provide access options from surrounding road networks It is expected that the warehouse and light industry uses adjacent to Zuurfontein Road will be well developed. To take advantage of the potential opportunities associated with direct linkage to the Aerotropolis area, it is proposed that the K115 is constructed; Kempton Park road will be required to provide additional east west linkage to and from Kempton Park. This road will provide a direct link from Kempton Park to the proposed town centre; The internal road network will be rolled out further to facilitate access to new development. Additional bus services / mid capacity transport needs to be rolled out and integrated with the HCT that have been provided; Pedestrian and cycle infrastructure will be developed simultaneously with the role out of the development and road network.
Not before 20 years
Within the longer term, depending on the development densities achieved, a second north south link between Modderfontein North and the town centre would be required; A rail llink to Johannesburg City Centre should be seriously considered to tap into the extensive Metro rail network that provides vast coverage of Gauteng urban areas; General traffic growth will require strategic linkage within Gauteng. The PWV 3 provides this linkage between the N3 and the R21 freeways addressing a critical east west demand within Gauteng.
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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DELIVERY STRATEGY -- INFRASTRUCTURE Key Tasks
Don’t forget to assign an order to the actions, if they need to happen in a certain sequence.
First 5 years 1.
2. 3.
Start work in areas with existing rights • Construct K113 • Continue with planning of new bulk watermain to Linbro Park reservoir • Complete Longlake substation • Construct sewer system to serve Mdf North residential and Highlands/Mdf East light industrial • Start planning new reservoir in the north Finalise position of south reservoir and start design Construct new Klipfontein substation and lines
4. 5. 6.
Develop concept for Gautrain station/city centre/land bridge Prepare development guidelines for Energy/ Infrastructure Update stormwater masterplan and submit to JRA for approval
Within 10 years 1. 2. 3. 4.
Construct Lanseria 150 MLD wastewater treatment plant and link to Northern WWTP outfall Construct southern and northern reservoirs Construct Founders substation Design and construct infrastructure for first phase of city centre
Within 15 years 1. 2. 3.
Continue to build satellite substations and additional transformers Continue with neighbourhoods/precincts in the north and associated infrastructure Construct balance of town centre
Not before 20 years 1. 2. 3. 4.
As per “within 15 years” above…..plus Strategy for waste to energy Investigate viability of gas to power Investigate options for utilising treated sewage effluent (TSE) for irrigation
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
5. 6.
Initiate discussions with AECI regarding the potential for ground mounted PV on their lands Design and construct first mixed use precinct and associated infrastructure
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DELIVERY STRATEGY -- ECONOMICS Key Tasks
Don’t forget to assign an order to the actions, if they need to happen in a certain sequence.
First 5 Years •
The Precinct Plan for the town centre should include analysis of issues such as engineering implications of land bridge and other options, and implications for other commercial hubs such as Sandton.
•
Completion of Longlake is the first development priority outside the town centre. Mixture of residential, light industrial, offices and retail. The same design guidelines should be applied there as are to be applied to the rest of the development. The opportunity should be taken to punch roads through to ensure east-west linkages across the development.
•
It is envisaged that residential units across the whole development will be developed at a steady pace c.1 -1,500 units per annum.
•
CoJ has aspiration for 30% of the residential to be affordable to people below median income.
•
Development of the light industrial-office zone on Allandale Road will also be a next priority.
•
Big support for Surf Lagoon and Downhill Sports Centre!
•
Establishment of a Modderfontein Development Agency – a partnership of key public sector organisations that co-ordinates and oversees the work needed by the public sector in working with Zendai to deliver the infrastructure and facilitate planning. It needs a small staff. THIS IS AGREED TO BE A MAJOR PRIORITY
•
The first development at the town centre should be planned to coincide with construction of the Gautrain station.
•
It should be a landmark that anchors the development and signposts the vision and intent, with enough critical mass to make the investment in infrastructure worthwhile.
•
It is envisaged as featuring a striking tower building. The idea of it being called something like World Trade Centre or Africa Trade Centre was supported. There could be a special emphasis on attracting tenants from China and other growing trading partners. It requires at least one large anchor tenant. It is also envisaged that the first phase of the town centre will include substantial residential in apartments (perhaps 5,000 units)
After First 5 Years •
Completion of Gautrain Station and key infrastructure improvements (especially road and electricity) shortly after 5 years, with development of phase 1 of town centre in similar time frame.
•
The overall Framework will need to be amended roughly every five years to take changing circumstances over time.
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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Break Out Session 2 HOW DO WE CONTINUE TO WORK TOWARDS OUR VISION: In this session we break out into groups and discuss what comes directly after the frame work plan. Groups are organized by area of expertise to encouraged focused and practical discussions. A focus should be placed on the next 1-5 years of the delivery strategy. The objective of these breakout groups is to understand what will be needed to implement early phases of Modderfontein.
ACTION: Record the next steps. Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
NEXT STEPS -- ENVIRONMENT First 5 years
Don’t forget to assign an order to the actions, if they need to happen in a certain sequence.
Start with your key tasks from yesterday. What needs to happen to ensure these actions are achieved?
Objective – Planning, Design and Management of the Environment (i.e. many of the next environmental steps are not about building/actions on the ground). Key Message – “Environment is Part of the Solution not Part of the Problem” • Establish good working relationships with authorities and institutions – on planning and permitting matters • Review of Masterplan/Framework to consider potential environmental and heritage impacts/issues e.g. road alignments, infrastructure proposals, development locations. (Suggest adjustments to these if required). • Prepare Open Space Strategy including:o standards, taking Modderfontein context into account and o accessibility/connectivity o use of a 3-D Terrain Model so that topography can factored in e.g. for pedestrian and cycle routes • Ensure Conservation Management Plan is under preparation for Reserve with participation of Zendai • Stormwater Management Plan for Whole Site (Update/Complete) • Engagement with catchment stakeholders e.g. with respect to: o Water quality improvements • Prepare Environmental and Sustainability Guidelines to dovetail (link) with Urban Design Guidelines • Prepare EIAs for Precinct Level Plans • Prepare Environmental Management Plans (EMPs) for both “Development/Construction” and “Operational” phases of the Modderfontein “project” • Prepare Landscape Development Plans at Precinct Level (Green infrastructure, cycle lanes, footpaths) • Prepare Biodiversity Codes (matrices) – taking into account that there should be integration of these into the built/urban form) • Start implementing Open Space Strategy • Plan and start implementation of rehabilitation programmes e.g. • Gypsum dump • Wetlands • Riparian zones (habitat restoration) – especially at the Gautrain Modderfontein Station where this task needs to be undertaken in preparation for the development of an attractive Town Centre • Establish system and programme of regular audits of the project and of the site’s environmental/ecological status (self/independent or combination?)
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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NEXT STEPS – DEVELOPMENT PLANNING First 5 years
Don’t forget to assign an order to the actions, if they need to happen in a certain sequence.
Start with your key tasks from yesterday. What needs to happen to ensure these actions are achieved?
Town Centre Phase 1a – Station: Planning, design, construction (opening August 2018). Including retail, office mixed-use, piazza and park). Pinelands Phase 1a – Planning, design and construction (including campus, High Street, Welcome Centre, Park). Longlake Phase 1a – Guidelines, design, construction (including housing, hospital, retirement village, industry). Connectivity of above – planning, design and construction of roads etc: -
K113 Centenary Way Town Centre loop
Parkland related to station and / or Founders Hill. Potential need for transport shuttle between development parcels. High level phasing assumptions: 1. 2. 3.
Focus on existing planned areas plus town centre. Linear development along Allendale Road – industrial & affordable housing? Work into northern area.
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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NEXT STEPS -- TRANSPORT First 5 years
Don’t forget to assign an order to the actions, if they need to happen in a certain sequence.
Start with your key tasks from yesterday. What needs to happen to ensure these actions are achieved?
Integration into regional transport planning Ensure Modderfontein planning is incorporated into North East Public Transport Planning by COJ and vice versa Follow latest planning of any BRT infrastructure within the vicinity and update planning to enhance linkage between Modderfontein and planned routes within the surrounding area. Engage with Prasa to develop possible opportunities to connect Modderfontein to the Metro Rail network; As land use planning changes over time or is updated, transport demand and supply should be recalculated to ensure that the proposed infrastructure can accommodate the number of trips; Develop a working document where the operational aspects of public transport is constantly reviewed to achieve a system designed towards the comfort and convenience of the end user. This includes: Operational hours of the services (also operational off peak hours) Critical review of the number of stops / transfers proposed along a route to avoid waiting time; Consider appropriate operational speed and distance for each service type. Consider the strategy and role out of minibus taxi infrastructure within the short medium and long term. Provide laybyes along strategic routes, ranking areas within town centre areas and appropriate holding areas; Continue the design of the Gautrain Station within Modderfontein and how road linkage and secondary public transport linkage can be provided; As new developments occur, linkage to these developments from strategic routes should be provided together with internal / access routes servicing specific properties; Explore and agree with COJ end EMM how Modderfontein road and public transport linkages can be linked to adjacent areas such as Thembisa, Kempton Park and Linbro Park; To ensure that tenants, residents and visitors to Modderfontein gets into the habit of using public transport from the start, temporary public transport services i.e. shuttle services should be considered; Continue the role out of key road links including K113 and Centenary Road to open development opportunities.
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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NEXT STEPS -- INFRASTRUCTURE First 5 years
Don’t forget to assign an order to the actions, if they need to happen in a certain sequence.
Start with your key tasks from yesterday. What needs to happen to ensure these actions are achieved?
ENERGY
WATER
SEWER
ROADS/ STORMWATER
GENERAL
• Update and finalise Modderfontein Power/Energy Masterplan • Construction of Sebenza to Westfield powerline • Construct AEL to Klipfontein View powerline • Construct Klipfontein View substation • Secure servitude from Sebenza to AEL
• JW to finalise position of southern reservoir • Water masterplan to be updated for new scale of development (requires funding) • Agree direct connection to Rand Water supply for early phases of Highlands/ Modderfontein East development • Investigate whether early phases of Modderfontein North residential development can be supplied from Linbro park via Longlake (otherwise new bulk pipelines required from Rand Water supply/new northern reservoir)
• Investigate alternate discharge location for early phases of Highlands and Modderfontein East (otherwise design and construct bulk sewers and pump station to connect to Modderfontein outfall sewer) • Update sewer masterplan and confirm spare capacity allocations for Modderfontein new areas
• Update stormwater masterplan and submit to JRA for approval • Construct K113 to unlock Longlake • Construct Centenary Road • Plan and construct road access for early phases of Modderfontein North residential development
• Finalise agreement between Zendai and COJ regarding all bulk services connections/ planning/ funding/roll-out • Align all planning and design with environmental constraints • Finalise bulk services alignments and secure wayleaves/ servitudes • Prepare development guidelines to achieve targets for energy efficiency and demand reduction
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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NEXT STEPS -- ECONOMICS First 5 years
Donâ&#x20AC;&#x2122;t forget to assign an order to the actions, if they need to happen in a certain sequence.
Start with your key tasks from yesterday. What needs to happen to ensure these actions are achieved?
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
NEXT STEPS -- ECONOMICS First 5 years
Don’t forget to assign an order to the actions, if they need to happen in a certain sequence.
Start with your key tasks from yesterday. What needs to happen to ensure these actions are achieved?
• The Precinct Plan for the town centre should include analysis of issues such as engineering implications of land bridge and other options, and implications for other commercial hubs such as Sandton. • Completion of Longlake is the first development priority outside the town centre. Mixture of residential, light industrial, offices and retail. The same design guidelines should be applied there as are to be applied to the rest of the development. The opportunity should be taken to punch roads through to ensure east-west linkages across the development.
• It is envisaged that residential units across the whole development will be developed at a steady pace c.1 -1,500 units per annum. • CoJ has aspiration for 30% of the residential to be affordable to people below median income. • Development of the light industrial-office zone on Allandale Road will also be a next priority. • Big support for Surf Lagoon and Downhill Sports Centre! • Establishment of a Modderfontein Development Agency – a partnership of key public sector organisations that co-ordinates and oversees the work needed by the public sector in working with Zendai to deliver the infrastructure and facilitate planning. It needs a small staff. THIS IS AGREED TO BE A MAJOR PRIORITY • The first development at the town centre should be planned to coincide with construction of the Gautrain station. • It should be a landmark that anchors the development and signposts the vision and intent, with enough critical mass to make the investment in infrastructure worthwhile. • It is envisaged as featuring a striking tower building. The idea of it being called something like World Trade Centre or Africa Trade Centre was supported. There could be a special emphasis on attracting tenants from China and other growing trading partners. It requires at least one large anchor tenant. It is also envisaged that the first phase of the town centre will include substantial residential in apartments (perhaps 5,000 units)
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
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Final Report
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Next Steps: Herman Pienaar, Development Planning, CoJ: â&#x20AC;&#x153;We have largely agreed on the masterplan and there is far more clarity in the technical elements presented in this workshop. However, there are still a few areas yet to be agreed. I want to thank Zendai for coordinating these workshops and am sure that the engagement that has come out of them has contributed positively to the outcome of a more robust masterplan. This process is an extremely useful model that we (CoJ) can use with other developments going forward.â&#x20AC;? Atkins understanding: The housing breakdown, commercial differentiators and some socio-economic elements must be clarified.
Final Framework Workshop Report Action: Zendai to submit to CoJ for confirmation week of 3rd August 2015. Action: CoJ comments due to Zendai within two weeks Draft Framework Report: Last week of August, 2015 Action: Zendai to submit to CoJ
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APPENDIX
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Next Steps Meeting: July 29, 2015
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ESID Meeting: July 30, 2015 Present: Robert Whitcombe (Atkins); Sonja Venter (Zendai); Livhuwani Nevhutalu (Senior Specialist, Biodiversity and Conservation Management, Environmental Management Department); Tshilidzi Tshimange (EISD); Jane Eagle (EISD) – 2nd part of meeting (her own meeting was cancelled). Objective: The objective of the meeting was to discuss the GIS datasets, especially those associated with the City of Jo’burg Bio-Regional Plan (Final Draft, October 2011) that CoJ had given to Zendai/Atkins. Jane Eagle had advised that Livhuwani was very familiar with these data layers and the underlying attributes that inform them. Jane had expressed her concern, at this week’s Workshop, that use should have been made of this information to inform the No Go/Open Space layer that is being proposed in the latest Mdf development framework. Discussion: LN stated that the various layers are a decision support tool – and are indicative. In particular, they guide what should be looked at more closely during the conduct of an EIA. They tell the user, at a crude level, which are the natural, degraded and non-natural areas and whether they are Critical Biodiversity Areas or Ecological Support Areas. Efforts should be made by projects to avoid particular sites (“conflict areas”) or to study them further. The Bio-Regional Plan mapping, based on satellite imagery, was not supposed to be applicable at a site specific scale but to provide guidance as to what might be expected. The data comes from the C-Plan (Conservation Plan) of GDARD and the detailed layers/attributes have to be provided by GDARD. The participants (CoJ/Atkins/Zendai) examined and made comparisons, on computer screens, of (i) the land cover/biodiversity mapping (Critical Biodiversity Area 1, 2 and associated layers) of various areas of the Zendai Mdf site (i.e. the GIS datasets used and provided by CoJ) and (ii) the GIS outputs of the Oryx Environmental Study (and the Specialist Report prepared by EkoInfo/W.H. de Frey), especially those used to generate the Vegetation, Sensitivity and Open Space Maps presented in the Workshops. Features such as the Gypsum Dump sites are visible on both sets of maps – i.e. “Transformed” areas. However, the CoJ data (which come from GDARD) tended to show more Natural and CBA classification than the “Oryx” vegetation mapping; the latter showed quite large areas of pasture, old fields, exotics etc. The latter was based on fieldwork over much of the site. LN showed some of the attribute data that are available (but it was mostly in annotated codes about fauna, plant species etc and the full information is not immediately accessible to Zendai). He explained that it was this kind of information that had informed the CoJ Bioregional Plan with its rather large areas of land zoned as Critical Biodiversity Area 1, etc. LN advised that the key points for CoJ EISD, with respect to the Zendai Mdf site, are the Wetlands and the Koppies (granite out crops and associated vegetation). These represent the key critical habitats and should be linked wherever possible by either suitable natural and/or degraded habitats. Ecological Support Areas (ESA 1) are potential links (corridors) believed to be of natural habitat, whilst ESA 2 are links of non-natural/degraded habitat. The main effort should be on identifying the habitats of importance – in their own right and taking into account their potential as biological corridors (connectivity). CoJ EISD emphasised that the width of wetlands was critical also – if too narrow they are treated like a ditch. Similarly wetlands and buffer zones can also be critical - the buffers must be sufficient to protect the habitat and/or the hydrology. The mapping has been done primarily at Province Level by taxonomic specialists in various groups (plants, birds, insects) as a part of their daily job; representative habitats are targeted (in the field) by the specialists to inform the Conservation and Bio-regional Plans. More detailed GIS data should be available from GDARD, but Zendai may have to pay for it. It is worth talking to the specialists who have done some of the surveys e.g. Craig WhittingtonJones (Birds) and Lorraine Mills (Plants). They can give more information on the distribution of particular species of importance that are known to occur on the Zendai areas.
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ESID Meeting: July 30, 2015 JE recognised that the whole site was not going to be “saved” for conservation and that much would be developed but it was important to identify the critical habitats and corridors for key species – maintaining ecological connectivity is the key “compromise” for biodiversity. The process for achieving this is not well defined – at what stages are particular levels of detail dealt with? An environmental objective for the CoJ is the adoption of a Spatial Framework that can be verified/refined at precinct then detailed site plan level. LN advised that the broad data from C-Plan is useful but more detailed knowledge from specialists and others who know the site are required to give spatial definition. Over-reliance on C-Plan at this scale may result in protecting the wrong areas. Conclusions: Atkins/Zendai believed that the Framework Plan had identified the key ecological and hydrological areas in the (indicative) “open space” figure and this should be sufficient for the Framework Plan to be approved. However, they recognised that an important next step would be the preparation of the Open Space Strategy and Plan that (i) responded to the proposed locations of urban development and infrastructure and (ii) took in to account the more detailed biodiversity data of GDARD/C-Plan and their specialists plus records of those with detailed knowledge of the flora and fauna of the Zendai Modderfontein site i.e. the Endangered Wildlife Trust and the Modderfontein Conservation Society. Together they could contribute to a Community Biodiversity Mapping exercise (using GIS) to inform the Open Space Strategy and Precinct level EIA’s. Post-Script – Wetland Delineations: Afterwards RW, SV and TT went to meet Emma Netshululu (EISD – with GIS capability) who has been assisting with use of the data that CoJ received from Zendai in relation to CoJ’s own wetland data sets. She will be examining this on behalf of EISD to make sure that the wetland delineation exercise covers all areas of the site and that there are no critical gaps. (SV is intending to do the same exercise for Zendai). Zendai explained how the Wetland layer was comprised of the results of a number of different studies by different specialists for different parts of the site at different times. Zendai believed that they were based on more fieldwork than the Level I and Level II wetland layers used by CoJ and for this reason were used as the basis for the indicative open space layer.
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Housing Meeting: July 30, 2015 Present: Emannuel Sotomi, CoJ Housing Simon – Social housing JOSCHCO liaison, CoJ Moses – Research, CoJ Lucy – QS, civil engineer, CoJ Deputy Director – Land acquisition, CoJ Herman Pienaar, CoJ Development Planning Leticia Potts, Zendai Mr. Du, Zendai Joy Zang, Zendai Nico Barnard, Zendai Michael Inglesby, Colliers David Geddes, Colliers Margot Orr, Atkins Richard Coburn, Atkins Objective: Understand lower income housing objectives of the CoJ. Discussion: • We need to fully understand the make-up of each category of those defined in SA as in ‘need’. ‘Social housing’ is only one part of a bigger picture of need. CoJ agreed to provide us with details on the three key groups which make up need and the eligibility criteria for each supported group. They also agreed to give us information on the waiting list for these groups. (Action for Simon, CoJ) • CoJ expect to make reasonable contribution to CAPEX for providing public housing – including build cost and infrastructure. 160,000 rand per unit subsidy was mentioned, as well as the inclusion of a ‘Shared Ownership’ type model (based on the UK model). • Overall % of lower income housing that CoJ are targeting is 30% of new developments. 10% is envisioned as ‘social housing’ and the remaining 20% could be a combination of GAP/Flisp and Shared Ownership. Herman agreed to issue a detailed breakdown of their request. (Action for Herman, CoJ) • Inclusion policy is the key driver (Simon, CoJ to issue 2009 version) • CoJ’s aspirations are for integrated housing and layout design including vertical mix. When asked for examples of success in South Africa, this could not be provided. Reference made to NYC, London and Netherlands. • Despite CoJ statement of aspirations, there is an understanding from the City that the development must ‘work’ (from a viability perspective) and that negotiation and agreement is expected. • Zendai will negotiate with CoJ around quantity, tenant type and location within the Development. Conclusion: 1. Zendai to evaluate the commercial side of the lower income housing targets. 2. CoJ to supply materials discussed in the meeting to Zendai (noted above). 3. Zendai to arrange a follow up meeting to conclude the negotiation.
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
Socio-economics Meeting: July 30, 2015 Present: Ravi Naidoo (ED: Economic Development) Herman Pienaar, CoJ Development Planning Leticia Potts, Zendai Joy Zang, Zendai Nico Barnard, Zendai Michael Inglesby, Colliers David Geddes, Colliers Margot Orr, Atkins Richard Coburn, Atkins Objective: Present update on masterplan process (including the preferred option) and the socio-economic background of the economic discussion. Discussion: David Geddes presented update on commercial assessment for the preferred option. Richard Coburn presented socio-economics study completed on the preferred option. Key questions from CoJ: • How do we factor in the vacancies in the CBD? Does this effect the commercial assessment? (20% office vacancy and 16.5% average vacancy rates) • How many new markets can we open within this project? Providing new economies might limit displacement. The educational campus is a good example of this. • How do we ensure that what we agree now is actually delivered over the life of the project? • The city needs to promote balance. We need a better understanding of the methodology around the displacement assumptions. • What happens if the economy goes flat for 5 years? How does this change our action plan and the effect on the city? (Action for technical team to incorporate comments into the final report) Technical team would like more information regarding long term policy aspirations and how CoJ will assess diversified growth from an economic point of view. (Action for CoJ) Key messages to technical team: 1. demonstrate economic added-value 2. outline method for minimal displacement 3. provide high level economic impact / net value-added to JoBurg economy
Conclusion: 1. CoJ to issue information noted above 2. Technical team to incorporate comments into the final report
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015
MODDERFONTEIN REGENERATION
GDARD Meeting: July 31, 2015 Present: Robert Whitcombe (RW, Atkins - on behalf of Zendai); Anton Comrie (AC, Green Inc – on behalf of Zendai); Marc Leroy (ML, Control Environmental Officer: Grade A. Environmental Planning and Impact Assessment). Gauteng Province Agriculture and Rural Development (GDARD). Objective: The main objective of the meeting was to learn more about and obtain a copy of the Gauteng Provincial (GPEMF) that was gazetted on 22nd May 2015 (NOTICE 1655 OF 2015). Discussion: ML had previously met Zendai representatives from China, perhaps a year or so ago, and is aware of the project. The approach to Environmental Assessment for Zendai Modderfontein was briefly discussed. Basic Assessments (EIA’s) are undertaken for infrastructure and may be required for precinct level approvals; EIA’s are normally undertaken for project “sites” within precincts. ML mooted whether a Strategic Environmental Assessment might be undertaken but was not clear of the legal requirement for this. RW pointed out that numerous environmental studies had been carried out on the site, some dating back to 2005. Atkins (as a part of the current Framework Plan) has been undertaking an environmental appraisal of the proposed development; this will be reported as an Environmental Management Framework). Atkins hopes that this should be sufficient for approval of the Framework Plan by CoJ and/or Gauteng Province. The new GPEMF categorises land in Gauteng into Five Zones – the previous EMF adopted 16 zones. The GPEMF sets out what Development and land-uses s are compatible, conditionally compatible and undesirable with respect to the EMF. The Five Zones are: Zone 1 – Urban Development zone Zone 2– High Control zone (within the urban development zone2 Zone 3 – High Control zone (outside the urban development zone Zone 4 – Normal Control Zone Zone 5 - Industrial and large commercial focus zone There are also “Protected areas”. ML advised that It is important to read through and understand the GPEMF and its implications for the project. There is a .pdf report covering each of the zones and GIS mapping and data illustrating the zones; the latter requires ArcReader software (note there may be compatibility issues – attributable to ESRI the software developer). ML advised that the zone descriptions for each potential use should be considered. The EMF is a planning and design “Decision Support Tool” – as is the latest version of Gauteng’s C-Plan for which the data was compiled by GDARD staff and other specialists. C- Plan does get updated from time-to-time, but the data layers of where plants and birds are found are not absolutely current and are not provided to the public. Nevertheless, Zendai should be able to obtain the habitat data that is available.
There are other data sets (decision support tools) that GDARD and the public may use, in particular: Zones around known dump sites (shown on GDARD GIS layers) – with accompanying restrictions regarding development; Ridges layer + 200m buffer – copy of this GIS layer provided by GDARD to Atkins/Zendai. The Zendai Modderfontein Environmental Framework needs to factor in the policies of GDARD with respect to various features such as the Ridge Layer. GDARD provided Atkins with publicly viewable layers including the Ridgelines plus 200m buffers – and also guidelines. The GPEMF is only a guide for potential occurrence of sensitive habitat, fauna, flora etc. It does not replace the need for individual studies at Masterplan/precinct level.
Modderfontein Regeneration Final Workshop July 2015