1Q 2011 | Atlanta Industrial | Market Report

Page 1

Q1 2011 | INDUSTRIAL

ATLANTA

MARKET REPORT

1Q Industrial Absorption Strongest Since 2007

MARKET INDICATORS Projected

Q1 2011

Q2 2011

VACANCY NET ABSORPTION CONSTRUCTION RENTAL RATE

CAP RATES

Beginning the year on a high note, Atlanta’s industrial market experienced its strongest quarter of absorption in four years. Occupancy increased by 2.6 million square feet this quarter which is an amount higher than all of 2010’s occupancy gain. The positive absorption in first quarter represents the fourth consecutive period with more tenants moving into space than moving out, meaning recovery is in full stride for the Atlanta industrial market. As would be expected from a strong quarter of absorption, the overall vacancy rate dropped 0.2% from year-end 2010, marking the fourth quarter in a row with a decline in vacancy. In fact, since this time last year, over 1.7 million square feet of vacant industrial space has been filled in Atlanta. The largest contributors to this quarter’s positive activity were consumer product companies expanding in the Atlanta market. Almost half of first quarter’s absorption can be tied to Clorox moving into its new 1.2 million square feet build-to-suit in South Atlanta. The company began consolidating from other area facilities in February. The new distribution facility is expected to be fully utilized by the beginning of May. Also of note, Phillips Van Heusen completed its move into 851,349 square feet at Liberty Industrial Park also in South Atlanta. This represents an expansion of the company’s industrial presence in Georgia, almost doubling its previous size. On the whole, the largest move-ins this period benefited South Atlanta the most. Industrial absorption in the submarket totaled just over 2 million square feet in first quarter. South Atlanta’s location and transportation infrastructure have made it superior to other industrial submarkets. Because of these factors, the submarket is seeing the most activity. As upbeat as first quarter proved to be, it will likely be the strongest period of the year. Industrial absorption topping 2.5 million square feet in a quarter, though welcomed, is highly unlikely to continue in today’s economic climate. More than 75% of Atlanta’s first quarter absorption can be tied to two large tenant moves. Over the past year, Atlanta’s industrial market has benefited from large move-ins continued on page 2

ATLANTA INDUSTRIAL

NEW SUPPLY, ABSORPTION AND VACANCY RATES

UPDATE Atlanta Rental Rates Overall Market & Warehouse (per sq. ft.)

25,000,000

18%

$4.00

$4.25

20,000,000

$4.00

$3.75

14%

$3.75

$3.50

Absorption

www.colliers.com/atlanta

Deliveries

2011

2010

2009

2008

2007

(5,000,000)

2006

Warehouse

2011 2011

2010 2010

2009 2009

2008 2008

Market AVG

2%

0 2005

$2.50

$2.50

6% 5,000,000

2004

$2.75

$2.75

2003

$3.00

$3.00

10% 10,000,000

2002

$3.25 $3.25

15,000,000 Square Feet

$3.50

Vacancy %

-2%

For the fourth consecutive quarter the Atlanta industrial market saw occupancy increase. First quarter’s positive absorption totaled 2,622,899 SF. Overall vacancy dropped by 0.2% in the quarter despite the delivery of 1.6 million square feet. Clorox’s build-to-suit of 1,150,000 SF was the largest building delivered. Atlanta’s total industrial i n ventor y is now 5 95 million square feet.


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