Q1 2011 | OFFICE
ATLANTA
MARKET REPORT
Atlanta Office: Contractions > Expansions in Q1
MARKET INDICATORS Q1 2011 VACANCY
Projected
Q2 2011
—
—
NET ABSORPTION
The Atlanta office market continues to bounce along the bottom as witnessed through the loss of occupancy starting the year. First quarter office absorption was negative; move-outs trumping move-ins by 153,163 square feet. The amount of occupancy lost pales in comparison to the drops experienced in 2009; still, more space given back adds to the glut of vacancy already in the market, and also shows the reality of Atlanta’s current office market situation. This quarter’s negative absorption was mostly due to contractions outweighing expansions in the market. Current office demand in Atlanta leans overwhelmingly towards existing tenants with lease terms coming due. These companies, seeking more efficiency in their office space usage, are taking advantage of current conditions and moving into more manageable, higher quality and sometimes economically feasible spaces. Two examples of this occurred in first quarter. SunTrust signed a lease two years ago to move from Class B office to Class A office, downsizing from 358,000 square feet to 254,000 square feet. The move occurred this quarter resulting in 104,000 square feet of vacant space added Downtown. The advertising agency J. Walter Thompson also contracted its space usage in first quarter moving from two office locations in Central Perimeter to one of the new towers in Buckhead. The consolidation resulted in a 36,000 square feet occupancy loss. Despite these, Atlanta saw a number of expansions in first quarter as well with Coca-Cola’s move from flex property into 148,000 square feet of Class A office in North Fulton being the largest of the period.
CONSTRUCTION RENTAL RATE
—
CAP RATES
—
Going forward, a holding pattern remains in effect for Atlanta’s office market. The job growth catalyst needed to transition to full recovery remains elusive for the time being. Companies need to feel more confident in the pace of the nation’s economic recovery before increasing their payrolls. Given the current volatility of macro-economic conditions, the status quo will likely remain. Second quarter office leasing should continue at its current pace in Atlanta with contractions and expansions continued on page 2
ATLANTA OFFICE
NEW SUPPLY, ABSORPTION AND VACANCY RATES
UPDATE Atlanta Rental Rates Overall Market & Class A (per sq. ft.)
25%
6,000,000 $24.00
$25.00
5,000,000
$24.00
$23.00
20%
4,000,000
$23.00
$22.00
3,000,000
Market AVG
2011
2010
5%
(2,000,000) (3,000,000)
0% Absorption
www.colliers.com/atlanta
2009
2011
2010 2010
2009 2009
2008 2008
Class A
(1,000,000)
2008
$17.00
$17.00
10%
0
$18.00
2007
$18.00
1,000,000 2006
$19.00
$19.00
2005
$20.00
15%
2,000,000
2004
$20.00
2003
$21.00
2002
$21.00
Square Feet
$22.00
Deliveries
Vacancy %
The Atlanta office market slipped back to negative absorption in First Quarter 2011 with occupancy dropping by 153,163 SF. Despite the drop, vacancy remained relatively flat with the overall rate at 18.3%. There were no deliveries in the first quarter and only three buildings totaling 331,104 SF are under construction. Atlanta’s office inventory stands at just over 214 million sq. ft.
MARKET REPORT | Q1 2011 | OFFICE | ATLANTA
VACANCY & AVAILABILITY
As a sign companies continue to take advantage of favorable market conditions to move up in quality, Class A absorption was positive for the fifth straight quarter.
•
Leasing activity was steady throughout the quarter; nothing spectacular but lively enough to not cause worry. Professional service firms were most active in the quarter.
•
Sublease availabilities decreased for the third straight quarter, dropping 240,000 SF this period.
One reason office demand is stagnant is due to the lack of mobility. Company relocation and expansion plans are being affected by the inability to move employees.
Q1 2011 | Vacant Space By Type
Q1 2011 | Net Absorption by Submarket
Atlanta office vacancy showed little movement in the first quarter, and also since this time last year. The overall rate remains steady at 18.3%
•
Class A properties are seeing the most movement in vacancy levels. The Class A vacancy rate is down 0.8% in first quarter and down 1.1% from a year ago. The occupancy gains for this product type come at the expense of Class B properties where vacancy has increased for three consecutive quarters.
occupied by a tenant, regardless of any lease obligation on the space.
Sublease Space-Space that has been leased by a tenant and is being offered for lease back to the market by the tenant with the lease obligation.
Deliveries-Buildings
•
Build-to-Suit-A term describing property that
CLASS C 3,604,616 SF VCY RATE = 18.3%
was developed specifically for a certain tenant to occupy. Can be either leased or owned by the tenant.
Class B
(100,000))
Class C
MIDTOWN
0
(200,000))
Class A
DOWNTOWN
100,000
CENTRAL PERIMETER
CLASS B 15,868,921 SF VCY RATE = 17.9%
SOUTH ATLANTA
CLASS A 19,747,887 SF VCY RATE = 18.6%
NORTHLAKE
200,000
WEST ATLANTA
300,000
footage that is committed to and signed for under a lease obligation for a specific building or market in a given period of time. It includes direct leases, subleases and renewals of existing leases. It also includes any pre-leasing activity for buildings under construction or planned.
NORTHEAST
Leasing Activity-The volume of square
•
•
Vacant Space-Space that is not currently
that complete construction during a specified period of time. A certificate of occupancy must have been issued for the property for it to be considered delivered.
ABSORPTION & LEASING ACTIVITY
BUCKHEAD
Vacancy Rate-A percentage of the total amount of physically vacant space divided by the total amount of existing inventory.
NORTHWEST
occupied space over a given period of time, calculated by summing all the positive changes in occupancy and subtracting all the negative changes in occupancy.
NORTH FULTON
Absorption (Net)-The net change in
remaining relatively balanced. Most of the activity taking place over the next few months will range between 10,000 to 25,000 square feet. A number of large deals continue to scour the market; however, most are companies with existing offices in the area. Also, the likelihood of these tenants renewing their space is high. Without new demand, the number of sizeable deals in the market could diminish quickly. The expansion of tech industry companies in Atlanta could be the answer to this problem. In fact, Atlanta’s tech sector could provide the jolt needed to jump start the office market recovery here. Recent announcements by Advanced Micro Devices, Hewlett-Packard and ThyssenKrupp exemplify this best. Over 500 technology jobs are expected to be generated by these companies in the next couple of years either through expansion or new entry into the market.
Square Feet
DEFINITIONS
(300,000))
UPDATE Recent Transactions in the Market SALES ACTIVITY PROPERTY
SUBMARKET
SALES DATE
SALE PRICE
SIZE SF
PRICE / SF
BUYER
3344 Peachtree
Buckhead
1/21/2011
$167,300,000
483,726
$345.86
Parkway Properties
55 Allen Plaza
Downtown
4/5/2011
$57,000,000
348,658
$163.48
Teachers Retirement of Ill.
Two Ravinia
Central Perimeter
NA
NA
437,826
NA
Parkway Properties
Druid Chase
Northlake
2/11/2011
$7,750,000
113,820
$68.09
Atlanta Property Group
LEASING ACTIVITY PROPERTY
SUBMARKET
SunTrust Plaza
Downtown
McKenna Long & Aldrige
SunTurst Plaza Assoc.
163,000
Class A Renewal
1075 Peachtree
Midtown
PriceWaterhouseCoopers
Daniel Corporation
142,115
Class A Lease
Centennial Tower
Downtown
Turner Broadcasting
Jackson Oats Shaw
115,000
Class A Renewal & Expansion
100 Milton Park
North Fulton
Cellnet Technology
Talcott Realty Investors
79,879
Class A Renewal
P. 2
| COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
TENANT
LANDLORD
SIZE SF
TYPE
MARKET REPORT | Q1 2011 | OFFICE | ATLANTA
UPDATE
Market Comparisons
VACANCY
BLDGS
CLASS
EXISTING PROPERTIES TOTAL SF
DIRECT VCY SF
DIRECT VCY %
URBAN DOWNTOWN A 26 B 78 C 71 Total 175
13,612,159 9,512,158 3,378,318 26,502,635
1,925,270 1,108,481 719,327 3,753,078
14.1% 11.7% 21.3% 14.2%
507,127 5,280 512,407
3.7% 0.1% 1.9%
MIDTOWN A B C Total
39 98 35 172
15,281,304 6,000,764 775,588 22,057,656
3,111,126 1,069,829 91,418 4,272,373
20.4% 17.8% 11.8% 19.4%
203,451 17,827 11,424 232,702
BUCKHEAD A 51 B 52 C 44 Total 147
14,940,660 4,504,149 1,073,997 20,518,806
3,382,083 789,498 49,650 4,221,231
22.6% 17.5% 4.6% 20.6%
8,418,479 2,967,808 860,395 12,246,682
SUBURBAN CENTRAL PERIMETER A 71 19,921,407 B 135 7,367,209 C 100 1,735,102 Total 306 29,023,718 NORTH FULTON A 96 B 325 C 58 Total 479
17.9% 11.7% 21.3% 16.1%
19.6% 7.7% 19.8% 15.4%
240,325 (383,735) (49,099) (192,509)
240,325 (383,735) (49,099) (192,509)
-
-
-
$19.80 $15.60 $14.53 $18.47
1.3% 0.3% 1.5% 1.1%
3,314,577 1,087,656 102,842 4,505,075
21.7% 18.1% 13.3% 20.4%
22.0% 13.1% 13.4% 19.3%
44,742 (302,961) 1,384 (256,835)
44,742 (302,961) 1,384 (256,835)
-
-
-
$25.28 $18.37 $13.63 $23.86
226,437 31,491 257,928
1.5% 0.7% 1.3%
3,608,520 820,989 49,650 4,479,159
24.2% 18.2% 4.6% 21.8%
25.6% 18.3% 4.0% 22.9%
221,413 2,356 (6,618) 217,151
221,413 2,356 (6,618) 217,151
-
-
-
$25.06 $18.07 $17.58 $23.81
19.2% 14.8% 16.5% 17.7%
937,015 54,598 11,424 1,003,037
2.1% 0.3% 0.2% 1.5%
9,355,494 3,022,406 871,819 13,249,719
21.3% 15.1% 16.7% 19.2%
22.5% 11.7% 15.6% 18.8%
506,480 (684,340) (54,333) (232,193)
506,480 (684,340) (54,333) (232,193)
-
-
-
$23.38 $17.35 $15.25 $22.05
3,444,619 1,759,713 441,134 5,645,466
17.3% 23.9% 25.4% 19.5%
81,419 73,134 154,553
0.4% 1.0% 0.5%
3,526,038 1,832,847 441,134 5,800,019
17.7% 24.9% 25.4% 20.0%
18.2% 21.7% 24.9% 19.5%
92,622 (231,651) (9,733) (148,762)
92,622 (231,651) (9,733) (148,762)
-
-
15,106,162 11,350,146 1,005,388 27,461,696
1,745,689 2,049,094 118,009 3,912,792
11.6% 18.1% 11.7% 14.2%
374,794 96,605 6,533 477,932
2.5% 0.9% 0.6% 1.7%
2,120,483 2,145,699 124,542 4,390,724
14.0% 18.9% 12.4% 16.0%
14.9% 20.1% 10.9% 16.9%
131,643 136,612 (14,961) 253,294
131,643 136,612 (14,961) 253,294
-
-
-
$19.98 $14.74 $14.74 $17.47
NORTHEAST ATLANTA A 58 6,639,286 B 402 13,282,399 C 115 2,048,138 Total 575 21,969,823
1,320,955 2,679,992 240,836 4,241,783
19.9% 20.2% 11.8% 19.3%
13,685 114,287 3,595 131,567
0.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.6%
1,334,640 2,794,279 244,431 4,373,350
20.1% 21.0% 11.9% 19.9%
20.4% 20.8% 11.6% 19.8%
21,251 (28,899) (5,904) (13,552)
21,251 (28,899) (5,904) (13,552)
-
-
-
$19.84 $14.50 $14.26 $16.46
NORTHLAKE A 15 B 318 C 162 Total 495
2,080,955 11,596,560 3,375,031 17,052,546
398,880 1,646,446 381,947 2,427,273
19.2% 14.2% 11.3% 14.2%
4,777 138,524 143,301
0.2% 1.2% 0.8%
403,657 1,784,970 381,947 2,570,574
19.4% 15.4% 11.3% 15.1%
19.0% 15.0% 11.9% 14.9%
(8,224) (40,570) 19,665 (29,129)
(8,224) (40,570) 19,665 (29,129)
-
-
-
$19.78 $16.71 $14.87 $16.88
NORTHWEST ATLANTA A 75 B 421 C 141 Total 637
17,307,883 15,963,743 2,513,344 35,784,970
2,305,639 2,950,811 343,147 5,599,597
13.3% 18.5% 13.7% 15.6%
359,720 126,482 1,400 487,602
2.1% 0.8% 0.1% 1.4%
2,665,359 3,077,293 344,547 6,087,199
15.4% 19.3% 13.7% 17.0%
15.7% 19.4% 13.8% 17.2%
47,004 13,069 3,277 63,350
47,004 13,069 3,277 63,350
-
-
16,650 16,650
$21.34 $15.54 $13.66 $18.04
SOUTH ATLANTA A 15 B 222 C 106 Total 343
1,082,749 7,737,011 2,077,173 10,896,933
321,681 1,037,615 442,709 1,802,005
29.7% 13.4% 21.3% 16.5%
20,535 42,557 63,092
1.9% 0.6% 0.6%
342,216 1,080,172 442,709 1,865,097
31.6% 14.0% 21.3% 17.1%
31.9% 13.6% 21.2% 16.8%
3,079 (30,439) (2,034) (29,394)
3,079 (30,439) (2,034) (29,394)
-
-
14,454 14,454
$20.45 $16.19 $13.55 $16.60
WEST ATLANTA A 1 B 45 C 33 Total 79
42,660 1,208,732 1,699,418 2,950,810
131,255 753,487 884,742
10.9% 44.3% 30.0%
-
131,255 753,487 884,742
0.0% 10.9% 44.3% 30.0%
0.0% 11.3% 43.1% 29.4%
4,967 (21,744) (16,777)
4,967 (21,744) (16,777)
-
-
-
$15.69 $11.28 $13.26
9,537,463 12,254,926 2,721,269 24,513,658
15.3% 17.9% 18.8% 16.9%
854,930 591,589 11,528 1,458,047
1.4% 18.8% 18.9% 1.0%
10,392,393 12,846,515 2,732,797 25,971,705
16.7% 18.8% 18.9% 17.9%
17.2% 18.5% 18.7% 17.9%
287,375 (176,911) (31,434) 79,030
287,375 (176,911) (31,434) 79,030
-
-
300,000 31,104 331,104
$20.57 $15.91 $13.76 $17.01
17,955,942 15,222,734 3,581,664 36,760,340
16.9% 17.2% 18.2% 17.2%
1,791,945 646,187 22,952 2,461,084
1.7% 0.7% 0.1% 1.1%
19,747,887 15,868,921 3,604,616 39,221,424
18.6% 17.9% 18.3% 18.3%
19.4% 17.0% 17.9% 18.2%
793,855 (861,251) (85,767) (153,163)
793,855 (861,251) (85,767) (153,163)
-
-
300,000 31,104 331,104
$22.14 $15.97 $14.04 $19.22
2,461,084 2,701,744 2,841,511 2,801,050 3,076,260
1.1% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.4%
39,221,424 39,068,261 39,164,028 38,993,589 39,295,984
18.3% 18.2% 18.3% 18.2% 18.4%
18.2% 18.3% 18.2% 18.4% 17.7%
(153,163) 187,773 (170,439) 320,095 105,977
(153,163) 443,406 255,633 426,072 105,977
331,104 286,460 408,656 108,656 126,356
$19.22 $19.18 $19.42 $19.56 $19.69
SUBURBAN TOTAL A 331 B 1,868 C 715 Total 2,914
62,181,102 68,505,800 14,453,594 145,140,496
ATLANTA MARKET GRAND TOTAL A 447 106,015,225 B 2,096 88,522,871 C 865 19,681,497 Total 3,408 214,219,593
NET NET NEW NEW ABSORP ABSORP SUPPLY SUPPLY CURR SF YTD SF CURR SF YTD SF
RENT
2,432,397 1,113,761 719,327 4,265,485
-
TOTAL VCY SF
U/C
VCY PRIOR %
43,834,123 20,017,071 5,227,903 69,079,097
SUB VCY %
DELIVERIES
VCY CURR %
URBAN TOTAL A 116 B 228 C 150 Total 494
SUB VCY SF
ABSORPTION
UNDER AVG CONSTR RENT SF RATE
300,000 300,000
$22.05 $18.03 $13.94 $20.34
QUARTERLY COMPARISONS AND TOTALS QUARTERLY COMPARISON AND TOTALS Q1-11 Q4-10 Q3-10 Q2-10 Q1-10
3,408 3,408 3,406 3,406 3,405
214,219,593 214,219,593 214,127,587 214,127,587 214,109,887
36,760,340 36,366,517 36,322,517 36,192,539 36,219,724
17.2% 17.0% 17.0% 16.9% 16.9%
NOTE: STATISTICAL SET CONSISTS OF OFFICE PROPERTIES 10,000 SF AND UP, INCLUDING OWNER-OCCUPIED PROPERTIES; AND EXCLUDING MEDICAL OFFICE AND PROPERTIES WHERE THE GOVERNMENT IS 100% OWNER AND OCCUPIER. WHILE COSTAR ATTEMPTS TO PROVIDE THE MOST ACCURATE DATA AT THE END OF EVERY QUARTER, REVISIONS ARE MADE THROUGHOUT THE YEAR ACCOUNTING FOR DISCREPANCIES IN PAST REPORTING.
92,006 17,700 1,951,624
2,061,330 1,969,324 1,969,324 1,951,324
SOURCE: COSTAR PROPERTY, COLLIERS RESEARCH
COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL |
P. 3
MARKET REPORT | Q1 2011 | OFFICE | ATLANTA
CONSTRUCTION •
Office construction activity in Atlanta is limited to just three buildings. Cox Communications’ 300,000 SF office is the largest building currently in development. This is the first phase of a 600,000 SF build-to-suit.
•
INVESTMENT & SALES ACTIVITY
RENTAL RATES & CONCESSIONS •
480 offices in 61 countries on 6 continents
The market remains highly competitive for deals. Concessions from landlords continue to be aggressive; most notably for the fewer large deals prospecting the market.
The overall average rental rate for office is up slightly in the first quarter to $19.22/sf. This is certainly nothing to represent a trend; however, it reinforces the suggestion rents have stabilized.
•
Investment activity continues to improve for Atlanta office. 3344 Peachtree recently sold for $345/sf which is reminiscent of ‘06 & ‘07 levels.
•
Loan defaults, however, still plague the market. 55 Allen Plaza recently sold on the courthouse steps for what turned out to be a large discount from the previous mortgage.
United States: 135 Canada: 39 Latin America: 17 Asia Pacific: 194 EMEA: 95 •
$2 billion in annual revenue
• Over 2 billion square feet under
management • Over 15,000 professionals
CONSTRUCTION ACTIVITY (100,000 SF+) PROPERTY ADDRESS
SUBMARKET
SIZE (SF)
DELIVERY DATE
UNITED STATES:
6205 Peachtree Dunwoody Rd. - 1
Central Perimeter
300,000
Third Quarter 2011
Atlanta Mike Spears SIOR Senior VP | Colliers Manager Two Midtown Plaza | Suite 1100 1349 West Peachtree Street, NE Atlanta, Georgia, 30309 TEL +1 404 888 9000 FAX +1 404 870 2845
Canton GAINESVILLE Cumming
CHEROKEE CO. FULTON CO. FUL L FORSYTH CO. FOR R
Allatona Lake
Emerson
Lake Lanier
Woodstock CHEROKEE CO.
Acworth
Sugar Hill
FO RS FU
Mountain Park
CO N . CO .
NORTHEAST ATLANTA
e hooch e tac
Cha t
PAULDING CO. COBB CO.
Alpharetta Roswell
NORTHWEST ATLANTA
Bras
H YT O LT
BARTOW CO.
OFFICE SUBMARKETS
Buford
HA GW INN LL CO . ETT CO .
NORTH FULTON Rive r
BARTOW CO. CHEROKEE CO.
Cartersville
Duluth
316 CO BB FU LT CO O . N CO .
MARIETTA
CENTRAL PERIMETER
Lawrenceville
DORAVILLE Norcross
CHAMBLEE SMYRNA
NORTHLAKEG
W IN DE NE KA TT LB C CO O. .
BUCKHEAD Austell COBB CO. DOUGLAS CO.
Clarkston
WEST ATLANTA
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Douglasville
CO .
ATLANTA
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MIDTOWN DECATUR DE ECA ATUR Avondale Estates Estate
DOWNTOWN
o
W AL TO N
CO .
att
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Snellville
Stone Mountain G W IN NE TT
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R iv
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PAULDING CO.
DEKALB CO. C FULTON CO. C
Powder Springs
Ch
DEKALB HENRY
Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport
FULTON CO. COWETA CO.
Palmetto
FOREST PARK
SOUTH ATLANTA Riverdale Riverda
Fairburn
CO. CO.
Conyers Covington RO C NE KDA WT LE ON CO CO . .
CLAYTON LAYT L A ON CO.
Union City
675
DE KALB RO CO CK . DA LE CO .
Lithonia EAST POINT COLLEGE PARK HAPEVILLE
Stockbridge
. ON CO FULT CO. TTE FAYE
The Atlanta office market consists of ten submarkets. They include the urban markets of Downtown, Midtown and Buckhead, and the suburban markets of Central Perimeter, North Fulton, Northwest Atlanta, Northeast Atlanta, Northlake, South Atlanta and West Atlanta. The major interstates in the region include: I-75, I-85, I-285, I-575, I-985, I-675 and I-20. Georgia 400 and US 316 also play important roles to Atlanta’s transportation system.
RESEARCHER: Atlanta Scott Amoson Director of Research Two Midtown Plaza | Suite 1100 1349 West Peachtree Street, NE Atlanta, Georgia, 30309 TEL +1 404 877 9286 FAX +1 404 870 2845
Jonesboro
McDonough BU TT S
CO .
HENRY CO. CLAYTON CO.
Fayetteville
Newnan Peachtree City
This market report is a research document of Colliers International. Information herein has been deemed reliable and no representation is made as to the accuracy thereof. Colliers International-Atlanta, Inc., and certain of its subsidiaries, is an independently owned and operated business and a member firm of Colliers International Property Consultants, an affiliation of independent companies with over 480 offices throughout more than 61 countries worldwide.
Accelerating success.
www.colliers.com/atlanta