Q2 2010 | OFFICE
ATLANTA
MARKET REPORT
2Q Office Activity Strong in Atlanta
MARKET INDICATORS Q2 2010 VACANCY
NEXT QTR
—
NET ABSORPTION CONSTRUCTION
—
RENTAL RATE CAP RATES
—
—
Despite a relatively weak first half of the year, Atlanta’s office market finds itself much better positioned at this point in 2010 than at mid-year 2009. Though office vacancy for the region remains in record territory—a byproduct of occupancy losses in 2009 and the recent addition of 3 million square feet to inventory—positive activity has made its way back into the market. Atlanta office posted its strongest quarterly absorption since 2008 in second quarter. Occupancies increased by a total of 177,463 square feet over the past three months. Combined with a revised first quarter, the positive results in second quarter helped bring year-to-date absorption to just over 100,000 square feet; showing not only a stabilized office market, but also the possibility Atlanta will finish the year with more office space filled than vacated. The quarter’s absorption was led by activity in Class B properties. Two of the largest move-ins of second quarter were in Class B space. They include The Atlanta Journal-Constitution relocating from its longtime Downtown offices to 127,823 square feet of sublease space at 223 Perimeter Center in Central Perimeter, and Physician’s Education moving into almost 100,000 square feet at Corporate Spectrum in Northwest Atlanta. Class A properties also showed a number of large move-ins in second quarter, though the positive impact was dampened by the consolidated nature of the moves. It has been over a year and a half since the Atlanta office market experienced positive absorption totaling more than 100,000 square feet in one quarter; and almost three years since back-to-back quarters of increased occupancy took place. Given the momentum in the market and the amount of office space expected to be filled next quarter, consecutive quarters of absorption are a sure bet. Office leasing and tenant demand remain strong in Atlanta. Headquarter relocations, tenant expansions and new industry growth have been the biggest drivers to this year’s positive activity. continued on page 2
ATLANTA OFFICE
NEW SUPPLY, ABSORPTION AND VACANCY RATES
UPDATE Atlanta Rental Rates Overall Market & Class A (per sq. ft.)
25%
10,000,000 $24.00
$24.00
8,000,000
$23.00
$23.00
2,000,000
10%
Market AVG
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
(4,000,000)
5% 0%
Absorption
www.colliers.com/atlanta
2005
2010 2010
2009 2009
2008 2008
2007 2007
Class A
(2,000,000)
2004
0
$17.00
$17.00
2003
$18.00
$18.00
15%
2002
$19.00
$19.00
4,000,000
2001
$20.00
$20.00
Square Feet
$21.00
$21.00
20%
6,000,000
$22.00
$22.00
Deliveries
Vacancy %
The Atlanta office market posted its strongest quarterly absorption in more than a year in second quarter. Year-todate absorption now totals 100,752 SF. Office vacancy, however, still remains close to 20%. No deliveries occurred in the second quarter keeping office inventory at just over 200 million square feet.
MARKET REPORT | Q2 2010 | OFFICE | ATLANTA
VACANCY & AVAILABILITY •
Vacant Space-Space that is not currently •
Compared to this time last year, the vacancy rate is up 1.9%. This represents more than 4.3 million square feet of vacant space added over this period of time.
•
While vacancies in Atlanta’s office submarkets remain high, the current trend shows most of the submarkets’ vacancy rates flattening and in some cases falling. Positive absorption and the absence of new construction are reasons for this.
Sublease Space-Space that has been
Q2 2010 | Vacant Space By Type
Class B properties led the Atlanta market with more than 325,000 square feet absorbed in second quarter. Class A absorption was slightly negative for the quarter, yet still positive for the year.
•
With the exception of South Atlanta, Midtown and Northlake, year-to-date absorption in Atlanta’s office submarkets are outperforming last year’s figures.
•
Office leasing is expected to remain active through the end of the year, leading to positive absorption for 2010. Q2 2010 | Net Absorption by Submarket 120,000
footage that is committed to and signed for under a lease obligation for a specific building or market in a given period of time. It includes direct leases, subleases and renewals of existing leases. It also includes any pre-leasing activity for buildings under construction or planned.
CLASS A 21,717,389 SF VCY RATE = 21.5%
Build-to-Suit-A term describing property that
CLASS B 14,603,357 SF VCY RATE = 17.3%
CLASS C 2,990,346 SF VCY RATE = 19.5%
was developed specifically for a certain tenant to occupy. Can be either leased or owned by the tenant.
60,000 40,000 20,000 0 (20,000) (40,000) (60,000) (80,000)
Class A
Class B
Class C
NORTHLAKE
80,000
NORTH FULTON
100,000
MIDTOWN
Leasing Activity-The volume of square
•
(100,000)
NORTHEAST
that complete construction during a specified period of time. A certificate of occupancy must have been issued for the property for it to be considered delivered.
Office absorption in the second quarter was the strongest it has been in six quarters.
WEST ATLANTA
Deliveries-Buildings
•
SOUTH ATLANTA
leased by a tenant and is being offered for lease back to the market by the tenant with the lease obligation.
Atlanta’s office vacancy rate dropped slightly from first quarter. The rate now stands at 19.6%, still in record territory.
CENTRAL PERIMETER
occupied by a tenant, regardless of any lease obligation on the space.
ABSORPTION & LEASING ACTIVITY
BUCKHEAD
Vacancy Rate-A percentage of the total amount of physically vacant space divided by the total amount of existing inventory.
DOWNTOWN
occupied space over a given period of time, calculated by summing all the positive changes in occupancy and subtracting all the negative changes in occupancy.
NORTHWEST
Absorption (Net)-The net change in
Numerous requirements are currently in the market, many of which are large-sized deals of 100,000 square feet or greater. Some of these requirements are tenants who still have up to two years remaining on their current leases. With the market stabilizing, businesses are looking to take advantage of conditions before favorable concessions no longer exist and rental rates begin to climb. Given the volatility of today’s economy though, it is not likely the market will change drastically in favor of landlords anytime soon. There is still plenty of vacant office space in the market—a record amount. Job growth is the key factor to filling Atlanta’s office buildings. Local economists continue to forecast several years out before jobs begin returning at a more fervent pace.
Square Feet
DEFINITIONS
UPDATE Recent Transactions in the Market SALES ACTIVITY PROPERTY
SUBMARKET
SALES DATE
SALE PRICE
SIZE SF
PRICE / SF
BUYER
9000 Central Park
Central Perimeter
5/4/2010
$31,955,979
204,632
$156.16
Cox Enterprises
41, 47, 53 Perimeter Ctr. E
Central Perimeter
6/29/2010
$14,864,999
279,788
$53.13
Atlanta Property Group
250 Scientific Drive
Northeast Atlanta
6/1/2010
$7,150,000
45,117
$158.48
UNUM Life Insurance Co.
Loganville Medical Ctr.
Northeast Atlanta
5/19/2010
$5,275,000
15,242
$346.08
RiverOak Investment Corp.
LEASING ACTIVITY PROPERTY
SUBMARKET
TENANT
LANDLORD
SIZE SF
TYPE
Parkwood Point Two Alliance Center
Northwest Atlanta
GE Energy
EOLA Capital
106,638
Class A Lease
Buckhead
Novelis
Tishman Speyer
100,200
Class A Lease
One Alliance Center
Buckhead
Omnicom Group
Tishman Speyer
100,000
Class A Renewal
SunTrust Plaza
Downtown
Hawkins, Parnell, Thackston
SunTrust Plaza Assoc.
71,000
Class A Renewal
P. 2
| COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
MARKET REPORT | Q2 2010 | OFFICE | ATLANTA
UPDATE
Market Comparisons
VACANCY
BLDGS
CLASS
EXISTING PROPERTIES TOTAL SF
DIRECT VCY SF
DIRECT VCY %
SUB VCY SF
SUB VCY %
URBAN DOWNTOWN A 25 B 65 C 58 Total 148
13,474,195 8,313,274 3,381,359 25,168,828
2,150,731 618,751 611,777 3,381,259
16.0% 7.4% 18.1% 13.4%
601,190 2,770 603,960
4.5% 0.0% 2.4%
MIDTOWN A B C Total
32 73 19 124
14,222,559 4,549,540 524,768 19,296,867
3,268,590 548,426 71,391 3,888,407
23.0% 12.1% 13.6% 20.2%
277,918 86,515 11,424 375,857
BUCKHEAD A 51 B 43 C 24 Total 118
14,539,079 4,617,662 572,170 19,728,911
3,853,889 754,832 46,461 4,655,182
26.5% 16.3% 8.1% 23.6%
9,273,210 1,922,009 729,629 11,924,848
SUBURBAN CENTRAL PERIMETER A 75 18,943,819 B 131 7,880,284 C 58 1,452,311 Total 264 28,276,414 NORTH FULTON A 99 B 212 C 23 Total 334 NORTHWEST ATLANTA A 74 B 315 C 52 Total 441
ABSORPTION VCY CURR %
VCY PRIOR %
2,751,921 621,521 611,777 3,985,219
20.4% 7.5% 18.1% 15.8%
22.0% 7.3% 15.1% 16.2%
207,625 (16,794) (102,652) 88,179
170,041 (40,979) (169,430) (40,368)
-
2.0% 1.9% 2.2% 1.9%
3,546,508 634,941 82,815 4,264,264
24.9% 14.0% 15.8% 22.1%
24.5% 14.3% 13.4% 21.8%
(57,680) 13,471 (12,580) (56,789)
(47,411) 25,036 (6,305) (28,680)
-
203,849 15,903 219,752
1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 1.1%
4,057,738 770,735 46,461 4,874,934
27.9% 16.7% 8.1% 24.7%
28.2% 17.4% 8.1% 25.1%
45,783 31,275 77,058
9,185 12,195 8,108 29,488
22.0% 11.0% 16.3% 18.6%
1,082,957 105,188 11,424 1,199,569
2.6% 0.6% 0.3% 1.9%
10,356,167 2,027,197 741,053 13,124,417
24.5% 11.6% 16.5% 20.4%
25.0% 11.8% 14.0% 20.6%
195,728 27,952 (115,232) 108,448
3,391,156 1,534,713 515,943 5,441,812
17.9% 19.5% 35.5% 19.2%
320,911 61,527 382,438
1.7% 0.8% 1.4%
3,712,067 1,596,240 515,943 5,824,250
19.6% 20.3% 35.5% 20.6%
19.4% 21.3% 36.0% 20.8%
14,111,016 9,388,364 637,052 24,136,432
2,161,868 2,115,517 27,111 4,304,496
15.3% 22.5% 4.3% 17.8%
396,745 156,907 6,533 560,185
2.8% 1.7% 1.0% 2.3%
2,558,613 2,272,424 33,644 4,864,681
18.1% 24.2% 5.3% 20.2%
15,829,582 14,851,049 1,620,767 32,301,398
2,393,667 2,985,939 246,483 5,626,089
15.1% 20.1% 15.2% 17.4%
409,967 119,931 529,898
2.6% 0.8% 1.6%
2,803,634 3,105,870 246,483 6,155,987
NORTHEAST ATLANTA A 58 5,969,741 B 300 11,819,698 C 38 1,128,459 Total 396 18,917,898
1,281,778 2,468,878 98,205 3,848,861
21.5% 20.9% 8.7% 20.3%
56,083 121,037 177,120
0.9% 1.0% 0.9%
NORTHLAKE A 20 B 279 C 91 Total 390
2,504,234 14,237,000 2,884,055 19,625,289
420,934 1,690,337 348,606 2,459,877
16.8% 11.9% 12.1% 12.5%
13,787 79,321 93,108
SOUTH ATLANTA A 20 B 178 C 50 Total 248
1,302,844 7,376,716 1,599,439 10,278,999
490,783 1,012,583 327,622 1,830,988
37.7% 13.7% 20.5% 17.8%
WEST ATLANTA A 1 B 35 19 C Total 55
71,500 1,407,920 1,501,552 2,980,972
5,580 219,942 678,790 904,312
URBAN TOTAL A 108 B 181 C 101 Total 390
SUBURBAN TOTAL A 347 B 1,450 C 331 Total 2,128
42,235,833 17,480,476 4,478,297 64,194,606
58,732,736 66,961,031 10,823,635 136,517,402
ATLANTA MARKET GRAND TOTAL A 455 100,968,569 B 1,631 84,441,507 C 432 15,301,932 Total 2,518 200,712,008
TOTAL VCY SF
DELIVERIES
NET NET NEW NEW ABSORP ABSORP SUPPLY SUPPLY CURR SF YTD SF CURR SF YTD SF
-
U/C
RENT
UNDER AVG CONSTR RENT SF RATE
-
$19.52 $16.33 $16.32 $18.51
752,710 752,710
-
$23.61 $17.86 $15.37 $22.45
-
915,626 915,626
-
$25.67 $18.97 $18.43 $24.55
131,815 (3,748) (167,627) (39,560)
-
1,668,336 1,668,336
-
$22.93 $17.72 $16.71 $21.84
(35,747) 81,569 6,559 52,381
79,942 66,130 7,472 153,544
-
-
-
$22.13 $18.93 $13.39 $20.79
17.6% 24.3% 6.0% 19.9%
(81,390) 11,288 4,812 (65,290)
(81,125) (51,698) 4,967 (127,856)
-
-
-
$19.67 $15.86 $17.55 $18.19
17.7% 20.9% 15.2% 19.1%
17.2% 22.3% 13.6% 19.3%
(81,642) 200,515 (26,542) 92,331
(125,434) 203,363 (32,545) 45,384
-
24,236 24,236
62,500 16,650 79,150
$20.70 $16.56 $12.80 $18.49
1,337,861 2,589,915 98,205 4,025,981
22.4% 21.9% 8.7% 21.3%
22.3% 22.1% 8.1% 21.3%
(8,737) 17,325 (6,996) 1,592
69,139 82,520 (3,527) 148,132
-
-
-
$19.52 $15.60 $15.19 $17.27
0.6% 0.6% 0.5%
434,721 1,769,658 348,606 2,552,985
17.4% 12.4% 12.1% 13.0%
15.5% 12.3% 11.4% 12.6%
(45,592) (16,345) (19,819) (81,756)
(42,028) (91,380) (8,266) (141,674)
-
-
-
$19.97 $17.35 $14.97 $17.53
17,963 5,784 23,747
1.4% 0.1% 0.2%
508,746 1,018,367 327,622 1,854,735
39.0% 13.8% 20.5% 18.0%
41.5% 14.1% 20.7% 18.6%
31,980 24,372 3,959 60,311
15,755 40,030 5,082 60,867
-
-
45,000 51,000 96,000
$21.42 $17.72 $13.54 $18.34
7.8% 15.6% 45.2% 30.3%
3,744 3,744
0.3% 0.1%
5,580 223,686 678,790 908,056
7.8% 15.9% 45.2% 30.5%
7.8% 14.5% 47.1% 30.8%
(18,936) 28,382 9,446
(16,343) 18,258 1,915
-
-
-
$25.34 $19.50 $10.25 $15.82
10,145,766 12,027,909 2,242,760 24,416,435
17.3% 18.0% 20.7% 17.9%
1,215,456 548,251 6,533 1,770,240
2.1% 18.8% 20.8% 1.3%
11,361,222 12,576,160 2,249,293 26,186,675
19.3% 18.8% 20.8% 19.2%
19.0% 19.2% 20.7% 19.2%
(221,128) 299,788 (9,645) 69,015
(83,751) 232,622 (8,559) 140,312
-
24,236 24,236
107,500 67,650 175,150
$20.57 $17.36 $13.96 $18.06
19,418,976 13,949,918 2,972,389 36,341,283
19.2% 16.5% 19.4% 18.1%
2,298,413 653,439 17,957 2,969,809
2.3% 0.8% 0.1% 1.5%
21,717,389 14,603,357 2,990,346 39,311,092
21.5% 17.3% 19.5% 19.6%
21.5% 17.7% 18.7% 19.7%
(25,400) 327,740 (124,877) 177,463
48,064 228,874 (176,186) 100,752
-
1,692,572 1,692,572
107,500 67,650 175,150
$21.76 $16.95 $14.38 $19.64
2,969,809 3,195,299 3,520,364 3,550,460 3,510,843
1.5% 1.6% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8%
39,311,092 39,488,555 37,719,272 36,657,823 34,928,876
19.6% 19.7% 19.0% 18.4% 17.7%
19.7% 19.0% 18.4% 17.7% 16.4%
177,463 (76,711) (978,852) (363,774) (616,472)
100,752 (76,711) (1,983,789) (1,004,937) (641,163)
1,692,572 1,692,572 2,544,176 2,461,579 1,096,406
175,150 100,150 1,730,222 1,812,819 3,177,992
$19.64 $19.72 $19.77 $19.83 $20.12
QUARTERLY COMPARISONS AND TOTALS QUARTERLY COMPARISON AND TOTALS Q2-10 Q1-10 Q4-09 Q3-09 Q2-09
2,518 2,518 2,514 2,512 2,504
200,712,008 200,712,008 199,019,436 198,936,839 197,571,666
36,341,283 36,293,256 34,198,908 33,107,363 31,418,033
18.1% 18.1% 17.2% 16.6% 15.9%
NOTE: STATISTICAL SET INCLUDES OFFICE PROPERTIES 15,000 SF AND UP, EXCLUDING SINGLE-TENANT OWNEROCCUPIED. WHILE COSTAR ATTEMPTS TO PROVIDE THE MOST ACCURATE DATA AT THE END OF EVERY QUARTER, REVISIONS ARE MADE THROUGHOUT THE YEAR ACCOUNTING FOR DISCREPANCIES IN PAST REPORTING.
1,692,572 82,597 1,365,173 854,655
SOURCE: COSTAR PROPERTY, COLLIERS RESEARCH
COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL |
P. 3
MARKET REPORT | Q2 2010 | OFFICE | ATLANTA
CONSTRUCTION •
For the first time in sixteen years, Atlanta had no new office space deliver in the quarter. The development horizon remains in check.
•
New office construction is mostly concentrated in small, 1 to 3-story suburban office buildings.
480 offices in 61 countries on 6 continents
suggested these small declines are the first signs of stabilization. •
Because of Atlanta’s office availability, prospective tenants continue to benefit on rents and concessions. Larger tenants in the market can expect to receive the most enticing offers.
United States: 135 Canada: 39 Latin America: 17 Asia Pacific: 194 EMEA: 95
RENTAL RATES •
•
INVESTMENT ACTIVITY
Average quoted rental rates are down for the ninth consecutive quarter. Over this course of time rates have dropped 6.7%.
•
The latest drops in quoted office rents have been minimal over the past few quarters. It is
Office investment is up signficantly from this time last year. Total sales volume at mid-year 2010 has already surpassed the total sales volume for all of 2009.
•
$2 billion in annual revenue
• Over 2 billion square feet under
management • Over 15,000 professionals
CONSTRUCTION ACTIVITY (100,000 SF+) PROPERTY ADDRESS
SUBMARKET
SIZE (SF)
DELIVERY DATE
NONE Canton GAINESVILLE Cumming
CHEROKEE CO. FULTON CO. FUL L FORSYTH CO. FOR R
Allatona Lake
Emerson
Lake Lanier
Woodstock CHEROKEE CO.
Acworth
Sugar Hill
FO RS FU
Mountain Park
N
CO . CO .
NORTHEAST ATLANTA
e hooch e tac
Cha t
PAULDING CO. COBB CO.
Alpharetta Roswell
NORTHWEST ATLANTA
Bras
H YT O LT
BARTOW CO.
OFFICE SUBMARKETS
Buford
HA GW INN LL CO . ETT CO .
NORTH FULTON Rive r
BARTOW CO. CHEROKEE CO.
Cartersville
Duluth
316 CO BB FU LT CO O . N CO .
MARIETTA
CENTRAL PERIMETER
Lawrenceville
DORAVILLE Norcross
CHAMBLEE SMYRNA
NORTHLAKEG
W IN DE NE KA TT LB C CO O. .
BUCKHEAD Austell COBB CO. DOUGLAS CO.
Clarkston
WEST ATLANTA
ch e
Douglasville
CO .
MIDTOWN DECATUR DE ECA ATUR Avondale Estates Estate
DOWNTOWN
o
W AL TO N
CO .
att
ho ac
ATLANTA
e
Snellville
Stone Mountain G W IN NE TT
r
R iv
e
PAULDING CO.
DEKALB CO. C FULTON CO. C
Powder Springs
Ch
DEKALB HENRY
Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport
FULTON CO. COWETA CO.
Palmetto
FOREST PARK
SOUTH ATLANTA Riverdale Riverda
Fairburn
CO. CO.
Conyers Covington RO C NE KDA WT LE ON CO CO . .
CLAYTON LAYT L A ON CO.
Union City
675
DE KALB RO CO CK . DA LE CO .
Lithonia EAST POINT COLLEGE PARK HAPEVILLE
Stockbridge
. ON CO FULT CO. TTE FAYE
The Atlanta office market consists of ten submarkets. They include the urban markets of Downtown, Midtown and Buckhead, and the suburban markets of Central Perimeter, North Fulton, Northwest Atlanta, Northeast Atlanta, Northlake, South Atlanta and West Atlanta. The major interstates in the region include: I-75, I-85, I-285, I-575, I-985, I-675 and I-20. Georgia 400 and US 316 also play important roles to Atlanta’s transportation system.
UNITED STATES: Atlanta Mike Spears SIOR Senior VP | Colliers Manager 1349 West Peachtree Street Suite 1100 Atlanta, Georgia, 30309 TEL +1 404 888 9000 FAX +1 404 870 2845
RESEARCHER: Atlanta Scott Amoson Director of Research 1349 West Peachtree Street Suite 1100 Atlanta, Georgia, 30309 TEL +1 404 877 9286 FAX +1 404 870 2845
Jonesboro
McDonough BU TT S
CO .
HENRY CO. CLAYTON CO.
Fayetteville
Newnan Peachtree City
This market report is a research document of Colliers International. Information herein has been deemed reliable and no representation is made as to the accuracy thereof. Colliers International-Atlanta, Inc., and certain of its subsidiaries, is an independently owned and operated business and a member firm of Colliers International Property Consultants, an affiliation of independent companies with over 480 offices throughout more than 61 countries worldwide.
Accelerating success.
www.colliers.com/atlanta