Q2 2011 | OFFICE
ATLANTA
MARKET REPORT
Atlanta Office Absorption Positive at Mid-Year
MARKET INDICATORS Q2 2011
Projected
Q3 2011
VACANCY
Thanks to a productive spring, Atlanta’s office market is in positive territory heading into the second half of 2011. Office absorption totaled almost 400,000 square feet in second quarter; the strongest period of occupancy gain since the third quarter of 2007. Combined with the lackluster beginning to the year, Atlanta’s office market has seen a total of 355,000 square feet absorbed year-to-date. As opposed to first quarter, second quarter’s activity was the result of less space being added to the market through tenant contractions and consolidations. The majority of move-ins over the past three months were from tenants ranging between 15,000 to 40,000 square feet, which are considered to be “bread and butter” transactions. An increase in the number of these transactions is an encouraging sign. Companies contributing to positive absorption in the quarter include Agilysys, Kaiser Permanente and Turner Broadcasting, each of which expanded their office space usage. Likewise, North American Electric Reliability Corp. (NERC) and ThyssenKrupp IT opened new Atlanta offices in the second quarter. With an increase in occupied space, the overall vacancy rate for office space in Atlanta dropped slightly from the prior period. Compared to this time last year, however, the rate remains relatively unchanged. In addition, although Atlanta is seeing more office space absorbed, rental rate growth has yet to take hold. Office rental rates decreased for the eleventh time in twelve quarters.
NET ABSORPTION CONSTRUCTION
—
—
RENTAL RATE
—
CAP RATES
Current conditions closely match Atlanta’s office market from a year ago when mid-year absorption totaled 304,000 square feet. This is important to point out because it shows where the city is in the recovery cycle: modestly steady. Though positive, on the whole, office market activity in Atlanta remains somewhat subdued and far from robust. The outlook for the remainder of the year is not expected to vary from prior quarters. The revolving door of contractions, consolidations and expansions will continue to inundate the market providing no clear picture of when the city will break out of the mired situation plaguing many office markets nationwide. On that point, continued on page 2
ATLANTA OFFICE
NEW SUPPLY, ABSORPTION AND VACANCY RATES
UPDATE Atlanta Rental Rates Overall Market & Class A (per sq. ft.)
25%
6,000,000 $25.00
$25.00
5,000,000
$24.00
$24.00
3,000,000
Market AVG
2011
2010
2009
2008
5%
(2,000,000) (3,000,000)
0% Absorption
www.colliers.com/atlanta
2007
2011 2011
2010 2010
2009 2009
2008 2008
Class A
(1,000,000)
2006
$17.00
$17.00
10%
0
$18.00
2005
$18.00
1,000,000 2004
$19.00
$19.00
15%
2,000,000
2003
$20.00
$20.00
Square Feet
$21.00
2002
$22.00
$22.00
$21.00
20%
4,000,000
$23.00
$23.00
Deliveries
Vacancy %
The Atlanta office market saw occupancy increase in Second Quarter 2011. This has pushed the year-to-date absorption total to positive 355,416 SF. Vacancy is down slightly from first quarter, but relatively unchanged from a year ago. There have been no deliveries to date. Cox Communication’s buildto-suits are the only significant buildings currently under construction.
MARKET REPORT | Q2 2011 | OFFICE | ATLANTA
VACANCY & AVAILABILITY •
The overall office vacancy rate dropped to 17.9% in second quarter. The rate is relatively unchanged from a year ago.
•
Class A product has seen the largest drop in vacancy in the first half of 2011. For the year, over 1.1 million square feet of vacant Class A space has been filled.
occupied by a tenant, regardless of any lease obligation on the space.
leased by a tenant and is being offered for lease back to the market by the tenant with the lease obligation.
More office vacancy is expected to hit the market in third quarter; a result of consolidations and contractions. North Fulton will be affected most by this added space. Q2 2011 | Vacant Space By Type
The largest move-in of the quarter was Cotton States which relocated from Central Perimeter to 66,575 SF of Class A space in North Fulton.
•
Office leasing has remained steady in the first half of the year. Even though the second quarter saw an increase in transactions, overall activity is far from robust and will likely stay this way through the end of the year.
•
Absorption should finish 2011 slightly positive. Q2 2011 | Net Absorption by Submarket 300,000
footage that is committed to and signed for under a lease obligation for a specific building or market in a given period of time. It includes direct leases, subleases and renewals of existing leases. It also includes any pre-leasing activity for buildings under construction or planned.
200,000
Build-to-Suit-A term describing property that
CLASS B 16,106,748 SF VCY RATE = 17.7%
CLASS C 3,479,921 SF VCY RATE = 17.6%
was developed specifically for a certain tenant to occupy. Can be either leased or owned by the tenant.
150,000 100,000 50,000 0 (50,000)) (100,000)) (150,000))
Class A
Class B
Class C
NORTHEAST
CLASS A 19,306,751 SF VCY RATE = 18.1%
CENTRAL PERIMETER
250,000
MIDTOWN
Leasing Activity-The volume of square
•
•
WEST ATLANTA
that complete construction during a specified period of time. A certificate of occupancy must have been issued for the property for it to be considered delivered.
Small move-ins were the key to positive absorption in second quarter.
DOWNTOWN
Deliveries-Buildings
•
NORTHWEST
Sublease Space-Space that has been
ABSORPTION & LEASING ACTIVITY
SOUTH ATLANTA
Vacant Space-Space that is not currently
BUCKHEAD
Vacancy Rate-A percentage of the total amount of physically vacant space divided by the total amount of existing inventory.
NORTHLAKE
occupied space over a given period of time, calculated by summing all the positive changes in occupancy and subtracting all the negative changes in occupancy.
NORTH FULTON
Absorption (Net)-The net change in
Atlanta did see a number of sizeable expansions signed in second quarter including NewellRubbermaid for 107,000 square feet, Regions Bank for 80,000 square feet and State Bank for 73,000 square feet. In the cases of Regions Bank and State Bank, these companies are taking advantage of current market conditions, and positioning themselves as key players in their respective industry going forward. Where there are expansions though, contractions and consolidations are not far behind. Atlanta will begin the third quarter with more than 400,000 square feet of expected space given back: AT&T will vacate 376,350 square feet of Class A office in North Fulton, consolidating to its Midtown campus; while Siemens downsizes its North Fulton office from 75,613 square feet to 48,043 square feet. This pattern will continue so long as Atlanta’s job market remains sluggish. Uncertainty persisting in the overall economy does not help matters either.
Square Feet
DEFINITIONS
(200,000))
UPDATE Recent Transactions in the Market SALES ACTIVITY PROPERTY
SUBMARKET
SALES DATE
SALE PRICE
SIZE SF
PRICE / SF
BUYER
675 Ponce de Leon
Midtown
7/11/2011
$27,000,000
2,000,000
$13.50
Jamestown Properties
Crescent Centre
Northlake
5/25/2011
$20,750,000
246,346
$84.23
Barry Levin & Associates
Dupree @ Powers Ferry
Northwest Atlanta
4/29/2011
$20,450,000
137,818
$148.38
Piedmont Office Realty
100 Peachtree St.
Downtown
7/6/2011
$19,000,000
625,000
$30.40
America’s Capital Partners
LEASING ACTIVITY PROPERTY
SUBMARKET
TENANT
LANDLORD
SIZE SF
TYPE
2635 Century Center
Northlake
Federal Bureau of Investigation
Highwoods
137,000
Class A Renewal
One Glenlake
Central Perimeter
Newell-Rubbermaid
Wells Real Estate
107,000
Class A Expansion
Atlantic Center Plaza
Midtown
Regions Bank
CRT Properties
80,000
Class A Lease
Lenox Building
Buckhead
State Bank
Clarion Partners
73,000
Class A Expansion
P. 2
| COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
MARKET REPORT | Q2 2011 | OFFICE | ATLANTA
UPDATE
Market Comparisons
VACANCY
BLDGS
CLASS
EXISTING PROPERTIES TOTAL SF
DIRECT VCY SF
DIRECT VCY %
URBAN DOWNTOWN A 26 B 78 C 73 Total 177
13,612,159 9,696,521 3,409,312 26,717,992
2,034,448 1,054,945 727,798 3,817,191
14.9% 10.9% 21.3% 14.3%
476,529 4,080 480,609
3.5% 0.0% 1.8%
MIDTOWN A B C Total
39 100 36 175
15,281,304 6,065,270 809,738 22,156,312
3,124,993 1,054,681 59,002 4,238,676
20.4% 17.4% 7.3% 19.1%
199,430 718 11,424 211,572
BUCKHEAD A 51 B 54 C 42 Total 147
14,972,357 4,595,830 1,043,135 20,611,322
3,130,704 832,546 64,538 4,027,788
20.9% 18.1% 6.2% 19.5%
8,290,145 2,942,172 851,338 12,083,655
SUBURBAN CENTRAL PERIMETER A 69 19,747,453 B 141 7,621,544 C 95 1,646,443 Total 305 29,015,440 NORTH FULTON A 96 B 330 C 58 Total 484
18.4% 10.9% 21.3% 16.1%
18.2% 11.3% 21.4% 16.1%
(31,257) 38,101 2,523 9,367
209,728 (345,634) (46,576) (182,482)
-
-
-
$19.82 $15.41 $14.26 $18.33
1.3% 0.0% 1.4% 1.0%
3,324,423 1,055,399 70,426 4,450,248
21.8% 17.4% 8.7% 20.1%
21.7% 17.6% 9.4% 20.1%
(6,168) 9,278 5,571 8,681
44,321 (278,505) 7,555 (226,629)
-
-
-
$24.98 $18.13 $11.82 $23.46
202,015 23,956 225,971
1.3% 0.5% 1.1%
3,332,719 856,502 64,538 4,253,759
22.3% 18.6% 6.2% 20.6%
23.3% 18.2% 5.9% 21.3%
156,146 (17,809) (3,388) 134,949
377,643 (15,453) (21,506) 340,684
-
-
-
$25.02 $18.04 $18.34 $23.73
18.9% 14.5% 16.2% 17.4%
877,974 28,754 11,424 918,152
2.0% 0.1% 0.2% 1.3%
9,168,119 2,970,926 862,762 13,001,807
20.9% 14.6% 16.4% 18.7%
21.2% 14.7% 16.5% 18.9%
118,721 29,570 4,706 152,997
631,692 (639,592) (60,527) (68,427)
-
-
-
$23.27 $17.19 $14.81 $21.84
3,380,434 2,063,808 407,544 5,851,786
17.1% 27.1% 24.8% 20.2%
77,144 113,896 191,040
0.4% 1.5% 0.7%
3,457,578 2,177,704 407,544 6,042,826
17.5% 28.6% 24.8% 20.8%
17.4% 26.9% 25.9% 20.4%
(22,572) (127,580) 18,145 (132,007)
71,708 (289,094) 30,914 (186,472)
-
-
15,101,178 11,754,884 993,349 27,849,411
1,623,933 1,989,463 113,163 3,726,559
10.8% 16.9% 11.4% 13.4%
295,759 51,662 6,533 353,954
2.0% 0.4% 0.7% 1.3%
1,919,692 2,041,125 119,696 4,080,513
12.7% 17.4% 12.0% 14.7%
13.7% 18.2% 12.5% 15.5%
147,411 94,245 4,846 246,502
328,685 192,124 (10,115) 510,694
-
-
-
$19.68 $14.54 $13.67 $17.26
NORTHEAST ATLANTA A 57 6,512,060 B 408 13,487,302 C 118 2,108,496 Total 583 22,107,858
1,301,170 2,783,806 243,004 4,327,980
20.0% 20.6% 11.5% 19.6%
93,318 84,650 3,595 181,563
1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.8%
1,394,488 2,868,456 246,599 4,509,543
21.4% 21.3% 11.7% 20.4%
21.1% 21.2% 11.3% 20.2%
(23,582) (4,762) (8,152) (36,496)
(2,331) (33,630) (7,890) (43,851)
-
-
-
$19.76 $14.11 $13.38 $16.02
NORTHLAKE A 19 B 333 C 161 Total 513
2,510,795 12,193,981 3,318,215 18,022,991
366,616 1,594,268 345,407 2,306,291
14.6% 13.1% 10.4% 12.8%
8,240 97,793 106,033
0.3% 0.8% 0.6%
374,856 1,692,061 345,407 2,412,324
14.9% 13.9% 10.4% 13.4%
16.1% 14.2% 10.7% 13.8%
28,801 34,389 9,326 72,516
20,577 (6,781) 27,891 41,687
-
-
-
$19.74 $17.23 $15.00 $17.24
NORTHWEST ATLANTA A 75 B 427 C 141 Total 643
17,413,989 16,065,556 2,509,782 35,989,327
2,220,137 3,016,868 358,145 5,595,150
12.7% 18.8% 14.3% 15.5%
357,060 111,766 1,400 470,226
2.1% 0.7% 0.1% 1.3%
2,577,197 3,128,634 359,545 6,065,376
14.8% 19.5% 14.3% 16.9%
15.3% 19.2% 13.5% 16.9%
86,918 (45,945) (20,696) 20,277
132,784 (26,107) (14,491) 92,186
-
-
16,650 16,650
$20.97 $15.51 $14.18 $17.87
SOUTH ATLANTA A 18 B 230 C 110 Total 358
1,327,124 8,115,172 2,159,840 11,602,136
394,286 1,054,105 384,836 1,833,227
29.7% 13.0% 17.8% 15.8%
20,535 42,557 63,092
1.5% 0.5% 0.5%
414,821 1,096,662 384,836 1,896,319
31.3% 13.5% 17.8% 16.3%
30.9% 13.7% 20.5% 16.9%
(5,062) 15,141 58,800 68,879
(1,983) (32,339) 60,168 25,846
-
19,015 19,015
-
$21.43 $16.25 $14.09 $17.07
WEST ATLANTA A 1 B 46 C 33 Total 80
42,660 1,220,732 1,720,418 2,983,810
131,180 753,532 884,712
10.7% 43.8% 29.7%
-
131,180 753,532 884,712
0.0% 10.7% 43.8% 29.7%
0.0% 10.9% 43.8% 29.7%
2,075 (495) 1,580
7,042 (23,289) (16,247)
-
-
-
$16.62 $11.40 $13.59
9,286,576 12,633,498 2,605,631 24,525,705
14.8% 17.9% 18.0% 16.6%
852,056 502,324 11,528 1,365,908
1.4% 18.6% 18.1% 0.9%
10,138,632 13,135,822 2,617,159 25,891,613
16.2% 18.6% 18.1% 17.5%
16.5% 18.6% 18.5% 17.7%
211,914 (32,437) 61,774 241,251
549,440 (188,785) 63,188 423,843
-
19,015 19,015
600,000 16,650 616,650
$20.61 $16.02 $13.64 $17.04
17,576,721 15,575,670 3,456,969 36,609,360
16.5% 17.2% 17.5% 16.9%
1,730,030 531,078 22,952 2,284,060
1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 1.1%
19,306,751 16,106,748 3,479,921 38,893,420
18.1% 17.7% 17.6% 17.9%
18.4% 17.7% 18.0% 18.1%
330,635 (2,867) 66,480 394,248
1,181,132 (828,377) 2,661 355,416
-
19,015 19,015
600,000 16,650 616,650
$21.98 $15.87 $14.00 $19.02
2,284,060 2,347,700 2,609,757 2,737,411 2,696,950
1.1% 1.1% 1.2% 1.3% 1.2%
38,893,420 39,287,668 39,229,821 39,254,094 39,107,150
17.9% 18.1% 18.1% 18.1% 18.0%
18.1% 18.1% 18.1% 18.0% 18.2%
394,248 (38,832) 116,279 (146,944) 360,132
355,416 (38,832) 273,347 157,068 304,012
19,015 19,015 1,934,104 1,842,098 1,842,098
616,650 616,650 635,665 708,656 408,656
$19.02 $19.20 $19.15 $19.38 $19.55
SUBURBAN TOTAL A 335 B 1,915 C 716 Total 2,966
62,655,259 70,459,171 14,456,543 147,570,973
ATLANTA MARKET GRAND TOTAL A 451 106,521,079 B 2,147 90,816,792 C 867 19,718,728 Total 3,465 217,056,599
NET NET NEW NEW ABSORP ABSORP SUPPLY SUPPLY CURR SF YTD SF CURR SF YTD SF
RENT
2,510,977 1,059,025 727,798 4,297,800
-
TOTAL VCY SF
U/C
VCY PRIOR %
43,865,820 20,357,621 5,262,185 69,485,626
SUB VCY %
DELIVERIES
VCY CURR %
URBAN TOTAL A 116 B 232 C 151 Total 499
SUB VCY SF
ABSORPTION
UNDER AVG CONSTR RENT SF RATE
600,000 600,000
$22.05 $17.90 $13.78 $20.20
QUARTERLY COMPARISONS AND TOTALS QUARTERLY COMPARISON AND TOTALS Q2-11 3,465 217,056,599 36,609,360 Q1-11 3,465 217,056,599 36,939,968 Q4-10 3,464 217,037,584 36,620,064 Q3-10 3,462 216,945,578 36,516,683 Q2-10 3,462 216,945,578 36,410,200
16.9% 17.0% 16.9% 16.8% 16.8%
NOTE: STATISTICAL SET CONSISTS OF OFFICE PROPERTIES 10,000 SF AND UP, INCLUDING OWNER-OCCUPIED PROPERTIES; AND EXCLUDING MEDICAL OFFICE AND PROPERTIES WHERE THE GOVERNMENT IS 100% OWNER AND OCCUPIER. WHILE COSTAR ATTEMPTS TO PROVIDE THE MOST ACCURATE DATA AT THE END OF EVERY QUARTER, REVISIONS ARE MADE THROUGHOUT THE YEAR ACCOUNTING FOR DISCREPANCIES IN PAST REPORTING.
19,015 92,006 17,700
SOURCE: COSTAR PROPERTY, COLLIERS RESEARCH
COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL |
P. 3
MARKET REPORT | Q2 2011 | OFFICE | ATLANTA
CONSTRUCTION •
Office construction activity continues to be limited to just three buildings. Cox Communications’ 600,000 SF office campus of two buildings is the largest development currently under construction.
•
Speculative office construction in Atlanta is likely five to ten years out depending on future market conditions.
•
INVESTMENT & SALES ACTIVITY •
RENTAL RATES & CONCESSIONS •
512 offices in 61 countries on 6 continents
Both free rent and tenant improvement allowances showed no downward movement from the previous quarter. It remains a tenant’s market for much of the space available in Atlanta.
The average rental rate for office declined for the eleventh time in twelve quarters implying rents may not have completely stabilized yet.
The number of office investment transactions in second quarter was similar to the amount in first quarter; however, dollar volume and the average price per square foot were significantly less. This is due to the increase in REO and foreclosure transactions which occurred over the past three months.
United States: 125 Canada: 38 Latin America: 18 Asia Pacific: 214 EMEA: 117 •
$1.5 billion in annual revenue
• Over 2.2 billion square feet under
management • Over 13,000 professionals
CONSTRUCTION ACTIVITY (100,000 SF+) PROPERTY ADDRESS
SUBMARKET
SIZE (SF)
DELIVERY DATE
UNITED STATES:
6205 Peachtree Dunwoody Rd. - 1
Central Perimeter
300,000
Second Quarter 2012
6205 Peachtree Dunwoody Rd. - 2
Central Perimeter
300,000
Fourth Quarter 2012
Atlanta Mike Spears SIOR Senior VP | Colliers Manager Two Midtown Plaza | Suite 1100 1349 West Peachtree Street, NE Atlanta, Georgia, 30309 TEL +1 404 888 9000 FAX +1 404 870 2845
Canton GAINESVILLE Cumming
CHEROKEE CO. FULTON CO. FUL L FORSYTH CO. FOR R
Allatona Lake
Emerson
Lake Lanier
Woodstock CHEROKEE CO.
Acworth
Sugar Hill
FO RS FU
Mountain Park
CO N . CO .
NORTHEAST ATLANTA
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PAULDING CO. COBB CO.
Alpharetta Roswell
NORTHWEST ATLANTA
Bras
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BARTOW CO.
OFFICE SUBMARKETS
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Cartersville
Duluth
316 CO BB FU LT CO O . N CO .
MARIETTA
CENTRAL PERIMETER
Lawrenceville
DORAVILLE Norcross
CHAMBLEE SMYRNA
NORTHLAKEG
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Clarkston
WEST ATLANTA
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Powder Springs
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DEKALB HENRY
Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport
FULTON CO. COWETA CO.
Palmetto
FOREST PARK
SOUTH ATLANTA Riverdale Riverda
Fairburn
CO. CO.
Conyers Covington RO C NE KDA WT LE ON CO CO . .
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Lithonia EAST POINT COLLEGE PARK HAPEVILLE
Stockbridge
. ON CO FULT CO. TTE FAYE
The Atlanta office market consists of ten submarkets. They include the urban markets of Downtown, Midtown and Buckhead, and the suburban markets of Central Perimeter, North Fulton, Northwest Atlanta, Northeast Atlanta, Northlake, South Atlanta and West Atlanta. The major interstates in the region include: I-75, I-85, I-285, I-575, I-985, I-675 and I-20. Georgia 400 and US 316 also play important roles to Atlanta’s transportation system.
RESEARCHER: Atlanta Scott Amoson Director of Research Two Midtown Plaza | Suite 1100 1349 West Peachtree Street, NE Atlanta, Georgia, 30309 TEL +1 404 877 9286 FAX +1 404 870 2845
Jonesboro
McDonough BU TT S
CO .
HENRY CO. CLAYTON CO.
Fayetteville
Newnan Peachtree City
This market report is a research document of Colliers International. Information herein has been deemed reliable and no representation is made as to the accuracy thereof. Colliers International-Atlanta, Inc., and certain of its subsidiaries, is an independently owned and operated business and a member firm of Colliers International Property Consultants, an affiliation of independent companies with over 512 offices throughout more than 61 countries worldwide.
Accelerating success.
www.colliers.com/atlanta