Q2 2012 | OFFICE
ATLANTA
MARKET REPORT
At Mid-Year, Atlanta’s Office Vacancy Continues to Drop
Updated May 2012
MARKET INDICATORS Q2 2012
Projected
Q3 2012
VACANCY NET ABSORPTION CONSTRUCTION RENTAL RATE
—
The overall vacancy rate for Atlanta’s office market posted its fifth consecutive quarterly decline in second quarter, ending the period at its lowest point since 2009. As of mid-year 2012, office vacancy stands at 17.4% in Atlanta. Occupancy gains in the first half of the year have more than doubled the amount from all of 2011. The Atlanta office market absorbed 764,270 square feet of space in the second quarter bringing the year-to-date total to just over 1.3 million square feet. Like first quarter, a portion of second quarter’s move-in activity was from prior transactions signed over the past couple of years taking occupancy. Included among these are Greenberg Traurig which moved to its new 94,000 square foot office at Terminus 200 in Buckhead and SunTrust Robinson Humphrey which expanded its office space by 135,000 square feet at Atlanta Financial Center also in Buckhead. A significant amount of second quarter’s absorption, however, came from Cox Enterprises occupying the first phase of its new headquarters building which delivered this quarter. This amounted to 300,000 square feet of absorption. A second phase building of the same size is expected to deliver by year’s end. The communications and media company is consolidating from existing office locations across Atlanta to the newly built office campus. In regards to office leasing, levels remained strong in second quarter with Central Perimeter seeing the majority of the activity. During the past three months alone, almost 1 million square feet of leases were signed in the submarket. State Farm’s recent lease for 434,513 square feet at 64 & 66 Perimeter Center was the most significant to occur. This transaction will likely be the largest of the year in the Atlanta office market. With absorption having already surpassed 2011’s amount, Atlanta’s office market is poised to finish the year with its highest increase in occupancy since 2007. Leasing activity occurring in the first half of 2012 will contribute to solid office absorption gains in the latter half of the year. This amount though is not likely to match mid-year levels. Looking further ahead, as upbeat and positive as the Atlanta office
CAP RATES
continued on page 2
ATLANTA OFFICE
NEW SUPPLY, ABSORPTION AND VACANCY RATES
UPDATE Atlanta Rental Rates Overall Market & Class A (per sq. ft.)
25%
6,000,000 $25.00 $25.00
5,000,000
$24.00 $24.00 $23.00 $23.00
3,000,000
1,000,000 2012
2011
2010
2009
5% 0%
Absorption
www.colliers.com/atlanta
2008
(3,000,000)
2007
Market AVG
2006
(2,000,000)
2005
(1,000,000)
2012 2012
Class A
2011 2011
2010 2010
2009 2009
$17.00 $17.00
10%
0
$18.00 $18.00
2004
$19.00 $19.00
15%
2,000,000
2003
$20.00 $20.00
Square Feet
$22.00 $22.00 $21.00 $21.00
20%
4,000,000
Deliveries
Vacancy %
Occupancy in Atlanta’s office market increased for the fifth consecutive quarter. Absorption totaled 764,270 SF in the second quarter, bringing the year-to-date total to over 1.3 million square feet. Overall vacancy decreased yet again finishing mid-year 2012 at 17.4%. Cox Enterprises’ 300,000 square foot Phase I headquarters was the largest delivery in the second quarter.
MARKET REPORT | Q2 2012 | OFFICE | ATLANTA
VACANCY & AVAILABILITY •
Over the course of a year, Atlanta’s office vacancy has dropped 0.7%, amounting to over 1.5 million square feet of vacant space filled.
•
As of mid-year 2012, office absorption totals 1,342,776 square feet. This amount is more than double 2011’s total absorption.
•
Class A office remains the most desirable space in Atlanta. The positive activity for this product type has brought its vacancy rate down almost 2.5% from a peak high back in 2010.
•
Buckhead and Central Perimeter combined for practically all of second quarter’s occupancy gains.
•
•
Buckhead vacancy decreased for a sixth straight quarter. The submarket’s vacancy rate is down 7.5% from its peak in 2010. Only 11 office properties here are able to accommodate tenants seeking 30,000 square feet or more.
The majority of this year’s office leasing has taken place in Midtown, North Fulton and Central Perimeter; with the latter accounting for 27% of the activity.
•
Atlanta is on track to absorb over 2 million square feet of office space in the year.
Vacant Space-Space that is not currently occupied by a tenant, regardless of any lease obligation on the space.
Sublease Space-Space that has been
Q2 2012 | Vacant Space By Type
Q2 2012 | Net Absorption by Submarket 500,000
footage that is committed to and signed for under a lease obligation for a specific building or market in a given period of time. It includes direct leases, subleases and renewals of existing leases. It also includes any pre-leasing activity for buildings under construction or planned.
CLASS C 3,433,471 SF VCY RATE = 16%
was developed specifically for a certain tenant to occupy. Can be either leased or owned by the tenant.
200,000 100,000
NORTH FULTON
Build-to-Suit-A term describing property that
300,000
NORTHWEST
CLASS A 19,032,654 SF VCY RATE = 17.4%
CLASS B 16,129,713 SF VCY RATE = 17.7%
DOWNTOWN
400,000
NORTHLAKE
Leasing Activity-The volume of square
WEST ATLANTA
that complete construction during a specified period of time. A certificate of occupancy must have been issued for the property for it to be considered delivered.
SOUTH ATLANTA
Deliveries-Buildings
NORTHEAST
leased by a tenant and is being offered for lease back to the market by the tenant with the lease obligation.
ABSORPTION & LEASING ACTIVITY
MIDTOWN
Vacancy Rate-A percentage of the total amount of physically vacant space divided by the total amount of existing inventory.
BUCKHEAD
occupied space over a given period of time, calculated by summing all the positive changes in occupancy and subtracting all the negative changes in occupancy.
CENTRAL PERIMETER
Absorption (Net)-The net change in
market is, lingering concerns related to the global and national economies could have an adverse effect on leasing demand here; most notably on office expansions like the metro area has experienced over the past couple of years. Negative outlooks and pessimistic views by industry insiders have become somewhat of a nuisance in the market, feeding the concerns of businesses trying to decide their future office needs. Additionally, small business growth is slowing. When times get tough, this type of growth is usually the first to go. During Atlanta’s current recovery cycle, small businesses have helped augment office absorption. For now, demand for office space in Atlanta remains solid given the number of active requirements in the market. A wait and see approach is needed to determine whether or not the positive absorption trend of 2011 and 2012 will continue into next year.
Square Feet
DEFINITIONS
0 (100,000)
(200,000)
Class A
Class B
Class C (300,000)
UPDATE Recent Transactions in the Market SALES ACTIVITY PROPERTY
SUBMARKET
SALES DATE
SALE PRICE
SIZE SF
PRICE / SF
BUYER
10 Peachtree Place
Midtown
5/11/2012
$61,400,000
258,917
$237.14
Prudential Real Estate
Decatur Plaza
Northlake
5/30/2012
$23,100,000
112,807
$204.77
Senior Housing Prop. Tr.
100 Ashford Center
Central Perimeter
7/9/2012
$15,500,000
154,113
$100.58
Parkway Properties
Peachtree Ridge
Northeast Atlanta
7/9/2012
$14,400,000
161,411
$89.21
Parkway Properties
LEASING ACTIVITY PROPERTY
SUBMARKET
TENANT
LANDLORD
SIZE SF
TYPE
64/66 Perimeter Center
Central Perimeter
State Farm
Rubenstein Partners
434,513
Class A Lease
900 Ashwood
Central Perimeter
Oldcastle Materials
LNR Partners
91,595
Class A Lease
3905 Brookside Pky.
North Fulton
Red Prairie
TIAA-CREF
80,314
Class B Direct Lease
North Terraces
Central Perimeter
Elekta
Rubenstein Partners
77,100
Class A Lease
P. 2
| COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
MARKET REPORT | Q2 2012 | OFFICE | ATLANTA
UPDATE
Market Comparisons
VACANCY
TOTAL SF
DIRECT VCY SF
DIRECT VCY %
SUB VCY SF
SUB VCY %
URBAN DOWNTOWN A 28 B 87 C 78 Total 193
14,770,027 9,394,495 3,642,282 27,806,804
2,592,753 1,147,749 726,757 4,467,259
17.6% 12.2% 20.0% 16.1%
303,445 1,310 304,755
2.1% 0.0% 1.1%
MIDTOWN A B C Total
38 100 38 176
15,265,244 6,101,801 884,951 22,251,996
2,663,072 856,312 83,186 3,602,570
17.4% 14.0% 9.4% 16.2%
165,837 17,661 11,424 194,922
BUCKHEAD A 46 B 51 C 42 Total 139
15,136,275 4,375,333 1,050,897 20,562,505
2,400,710 755,999 69,810 3,226,519
15.9% 17.3% 6.6% 15.7%
URBAN TOTAL A 112 B 238 C 158 Total 508
45,171,546 19,871,629 5,578,130 70,621,305
7,656,535 2,760,060 879,753 11,296,348
SUBURBAN CENTRAL PERIMETER A 68 19,298,600 B 146 7,848,196 C 97 1,790,931 Total 311 28,937,727 NORTH FULTON A 101 B 320 C 59 Total 480
CLASS
BLDGS
EXISTING PROPERTIES
ABSORPTION
RENT
VCY PRIOR %
2,896,198 1,149,059 726,757 4,772,014
19.6% 12.2% 20.0% 17.2%
19.0% 12.0% 19.9% 16.8%
(84,628) (20,926) (260) (105,814)
(206,088) (38,477) 24,331 (220,234)
-
-
1.1% 0.3% 1.3% 0.9%
2,828,909 873,973 94,610 3,797,492
18.5% 14.3% 10.7% 17.1%
19.7% 15.5% 9.1% 18.2%
185,666 70,910 (13,996) 242,580
343,648 145,120 (24,417) 464,351
-
-
168,163 18,253 186,416
1.1% 0.4% 0.9%
2,568,873 774,252 69,810 3,412,935
17.0% 17.7% 6.6% 16.6%
19.5% 17.5% 6.7% 18.4%
375,793 (7,285) 574 369,082
457,478 (3,267) 10,355 464,566
-
-
16.9% 13.9% 15.8% 16.0%
637,445 37,224 11,424 686,093
1.4% 0.2% 0.2% 1.0%
8,293,980 2,797,284 891,177 11,982,441
18.4% 14.1% 16.0% 17.0%
19.4% 14.3% 15.7% 17.7%
476,831 42,699 (13,682) 505,848
595,038 103,376 10,269 708,683
-
-
3,086,659 2,289,670 358,235 5,734,564
16.0% 29.2% 20.0% 19.8%
237,684 60,519 298,203
1.2% 0.8% 1.0%
3,324,343 2,350,189 358,235 6,032,767
17.2% 29.9% 20.0% 20.8%
18.4% 29.4% 19.0% 21.5%
476,363 (41,702) (17,132) 417,529
676,507 76,205 5,464 758,176
15,577,393 11,147,928 1,038,372 27,763,693
2,330,053 1,725,894 84,052 4,139,999
15.0% 15.5% 8.1% 14.9%
244,208 44,808 289,016
1.6% 0.4% 1.0%
2,574,261 1,770,702 84,052 4,429,015
16.5% 15.9% 8.1% 16.0%
15.8% 15.6% 9.1% 15.5%
(118,223) (28,943) 10,045 (137,121)
(126,629) 93,268 15,880 (17,481)
-
-
NORTHEAST ATLANTA A 59 7,473,343 B 414 13,405,778 C 123 2,510,459 Total 596 23,389,580
1,271,291 2,976,748 258,504 4,506,543
17.0% 22.2% 10.3% 19.3%
21,063 90,211 3,595 114,869
0.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.5%
1,292,354 3,066,959 262,099 4,621,412
17.3% 22.9% 10.4% 19.8%
18.7% 23.3% 10.1% 20.4%
102,752 52,862 (8,139) 147,475
101,924 (29,187) (16,113) 56,624
-
-
NORTHLAKE A 20 B 329 C 165 Total 514
2,831,105 12,227,969 3,530,219 18,589,293
429,495 1,825,183 314,521 2,569,199
15.2% 14.9% 8.9% 13.8%
3,463 42,394 2,696 48,553
0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.3%
432,958 1,867,577 317,217 2,617,752
15.3% 15.3% 9.0% 14.1%
16.6% 14.7% 9.1% 13.9%
37,028 (59,382) 2,425 (19,929)
(75,833) (142,606) 44,292 (174,147)
13,822 13,822
13,822 13,822
-
$20.29 $16.89 $12.83 $16.72
NORTHWEST ATLANTA A 77 B 419 C 147 Total 643
17,574,160 15,792,823 2,626,087 35,993,070
2,659,447 2,997,844 345,022 6,002,313
15.1% 19.0% 13.1% 16.7%
88,382 44,718 2,025 135,125
0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.4%
2,747,829 3,042,562 347,047 6,137,438
15.6% 19.3% 13.2% 17.1%
14.8% 19.2% 12.5% 16.6%
(149,086) (12,704) (17,711) (179,501)
(147,592) 25,893 14,647 (107,052)
-
-
16,650 16,650
$21.62 $15.01 $14.20 $18.07
SOUTH ATLANTA A 17 B 242 C 131 Total 390
1,299,997 9,307,757 2,660,773 13,268,527
347,798 1,066,786 414,647 1,829,231
26.8% 11.5% 15.6% 13.8%
19,131 52,345 71,476
1.5% 0.6% 0.5%
366,929 1,119,131 414,647 1,900,707
28.2% 12.0% 15.6% 14.3%
27.5% 12.0% 15.3% 14.2%
(9,432) 1,963 (8,530) (15,999)
(5,268) 45,293 14,843 54,868
-
-
-
$20.72 $15.86 $13.45 $16.36
WEST ATLANTA A B 60 C 36 Total 96
1,518,107 1,752,079 3,270,186
115,309 758,997 874,306
7.6% 43.3% 26.7%
-
115,309 758,997 874,306
7.6% 43.3% 26.7%
7.9% 43.6% 27.3%
40,843 5,125 45,968
62,783 322 63,105
40,000 40,000
40,000 40,000
40,000 40,000
$14.35 $11.43 $12.73
10,124,743 12,997,434 2,533,978 25,656,155
15.8% 18.2% 15.9% 17.0%
613,931 334,995 8,316 957,242
1.0% 18.7% 16.0% 0.6%
10,738,674 13,332,429 2,542,294 26,613,397
16.8% 18.7% 16.0% 17.6%
16.9% 18.6% 15.8% 17.6%
339,402 (47,063) (33,917) 258,422
423,109 131,649 79,335 634,093
300,000 53,822 353,822
300,000 69,822 369,822
644,476 56,650 701,126
$20.68 $15.40 $13.05 $16.72
17,781,278 15,757,494 3,413,731 36,952,503
16.3% 17.3% 15.9% 16.7%
1,251,376 372,219 19,740 1,643,335
1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.7%
19,032,654 16,129,713 3,433,471 38,595,838
17.4% 17.7% 16.0% 17.4%
17.9% 17.6% 15.8% 17.6%
816,233 (4,364) (47,599) 764,270
1,018,147 235,025 89,604 1,342,776
300,000 53,822 353,822
300,000 69,822 369,822
644,476 506,650 1,151,126
$22.28 $15.36 $13.60 $18.96
1,643,335 1,785,688 1,776,945 1,788,902 1,976,984
0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9%
38,595,838 39,006,286 39,568,792 39,862,760 40,117,070
17.4% 17.6% 17.9% 18.0% 18.1%
17.6% 17.9% 18.0% 18.1% 18.2%
764,270 578,506 293,968 254,310 405,184
1,342,776 578,506 564,726 270,758 16,448
353,822 16,000 311,000
369,822 16,000 330,015 330,015 330,015
1,151,126 1,504,948 1,440,948 646,472 632,650
$18.96 $18.97 $19.02 $19.07 $19.22
SUBURBAN TOTAL A 342 B 1,930 C 758 Total 3,030
64,054,598 71,248,558 15,908,920 151,212,076
ATLANTA MARKET GRAND TOTAL A 454 109,226,144 B 2,168 91,120,187 C 916 21,487,050 Total 3,538 221,833,381
NET NET NEW NEW ABSORP ABSORP SUPPLY SUPPLY CURR SF YTD SF CURR SF YTD SF
U/C
VCY CURR %
-
TOTAL VCY SF
DELIVERIES
300,000 300,000
300,000 16,000 316,000
UNDER AVG CONSTR RENT SF RATE
-
450,000 450,000
-
$19.88 $14.46 $15.05 $18.28
$26.95 $17.75 $14.81 $24.83
$26.59 $18.95 $17.36 $24.80
450,000 450,000
$24.47 $17.05 $15.74 $22.64
300,000 300,000
$21.82 $18.04 $13.37 $20.07
-
344,476 344,476
$20.17 $14.12 $12.72 $17.66
$19.46 $13.55 $13.34 $15.43
QUARTERLY COMPARISONS AND TOTALS QUARTERLY COMPARISON AND TOTALS Q2-12 Q1-12 Q4-11 Q3-11 Q2-11
3,538 3,535 3,534 3,534 3,534
221,833,381 221,479,559 221,463,559 221,463,559 221,463,559
36,952,503 37,220,598 37,791,847 38,073,858 38,140,086
16.7% 16.8% 17.1% 17.2% 17.2%
NOTE: STATISTICAL SET CONSISTS OF OFFICE PROPERTIES 10,000 SF AND UP, INCLUDING OWNER-OCCUPIED PROPERTIES; AND EXCLUDING MEDICAL OFFICE AND PROPERTIES WHERE THE GOVERNMENT IS 100% OWNER AND OCCUPIER. WHILE COSTAR ATTEMPTS TO PROVIDE THE MOST ACCURATE DATA AT THE END OF EVERY QUARTER, REVISIONS ARE MADE THROUGHOUT THE YEAR ACCOUNTING FOR DISCREPANCIES IN PAST REPORTING.
SOURCE: COSTAR PROPERTY, COLLIERS RESEARCH
COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL |
P. 3
MARKET REPORT | Q2 2012 | OFFICE | ATLANTA
CONSTRUCTION •
•
•
Cox Enterprises’ first phase of its new headquarters campus delivered in second quarter. This amounted to 300,000 square feet. Phase II is set to deliver later this year.
•
No new office buildings went under construction in the second quarter. The near term outlook for new construction remains restrained.
522 offices in 62 countries on 6 continents
Average concessions have eased in most office submarkets. The most aggressive landlords can be found in Central Perimeter.
United States: 147 Canada: 37 Latin America: 19 Asia Pacific: 201 EMEA: 118
INVESTMENT & SALES ACTIVITY
RENTAL RATES & CONCESSIONS •
Four of Atlanta’s office submarkets reported an increase in their average rental rates. These include Downtown, Midtown, North Fulton and Northwest Atlanta.
•
The average rental rate for Atlanta office space held steady this quarter. The current trend suggests market rents are close to bottoming.
Though second quarter investment activity was slow, a number of major office properties went to market. Some of these are already under contract and expected to close in third quarter.
•
$1.8 billion in annual revenue
• Over 2.5 billion square feet under
management • Over 12,000 professionals
CONSTRUCTION ACTIVITY (100,000 SF+) PROPERTY ADDRESS
SUBMARKET
SIZE (SF)
DELIVERY DATE
675 Ponce De Leon Ave.
Midtown
450,000
First Quarter 2014
Primerica - 3100 Breckinridge Blvd
Northeast Atlanta
344,476
Third Quarter 2012
Cox: 6205 P’tree Dunwoody Rd. - 2
Central Perimeter
300,000
Fourth Quarter 2012
Canton GAINESVILLE Cumming
CHEROKEE CO. FULTON CO. FUL L FORSYTH CO. FOR R
Allatona Lake
Emerson
Lake Lanier
Woodstock CHEROKEE CO.
Acworth
Sugar Hill
FO RS FU
Mountain Park
N
CO . CO .
NORTHEAST ATLANTA
e hooch e tac
Cha t
PAULDING CO. COBB CO.
Alpharetta Roswell
NORTHWEST ATLANTA
Bras
H YT O LT
BARTOW CO.
OFFICE SUBMARKETS
Buford
HA GW INN LL CO . ETT CO .
NORTH FULTON Rive r
BARTOW CO. CHEROKEE CO.
Cartersville
Duluth
316 CO BB FU LT CO O . N CO .
MARIETTA
CENTRAL PERIMETER
Lawrenceville
DORAVILLE Norcross
CHAMBLEE SMYRNA
NORTHLAKEG
W IN DE NE KA TT LB C CO O. .
BUCKHEAD Austell COBB CO. DOUGLAS CO.
Clarkston
WEST ATLANTA
ch e
Douglasville
e
CO .
MIDTOWN DECATUR DE ECA ATUR Avondale Estates Estate
DOWNTOWN
o
W AL TO N
CO .
att
ho ac
ATLANTA
Snellville
Stone Mountain G W IN NE TT
r
R iv
e
PAULDING CO.
DEKALB CO. C FULTON CO. C
Powder Springs
Ch
DEKALB HENRY
Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport
FULTON CO. COWETA CO.
Palmetto
FOREST PARK
SOUTH ATLANTA Riverdale Riverda
Fairburn
CO. CO.
Conyers Covington RO C NE KDA WT LE ON CO CO . .
CLAYTON LAYT L A ON CO.
Union City
675
DE KALB RO CO CK . DA LE CO .
Lithonia EAST POINT COLLEGE PARK HAPEVILLE
Stockbridge
. ON CO FULT CO. TTE FAYE
The Atlanta office market consists of ten submarkets. They include the urban markets of Downtown, Midtown and Buckhead, and the suburban markets of Central Perimeter, North Fulton, Northwest Atlanta, Northeast Atlanta, Northlake, South Atlanta and West Atlanta. The major interstates in the region include: I-75, I-85, I-285, I-575, I-985, I-675 and I-20. Georgia 400 and US 316 also play important roles to Atlanta’s transportation system.
UNITED STATES: Atlanta Caldwell Zimmerman Executive VP | Colliers Manager Two Midtown Plaza | Suite 1100 1349 West Peachtree Street, NE Atlanta, Georgia, 30309 TEL +1 404 888 9000 FAX +1 404 870 2845
RESEARCHER: Atlanta Scott Amoson Vice President | Director of Research Two Midtown Plaza | Suite 1100 1349 West Peachtree Street, NE Atlanta, Georgia, 30309 TEL +1 404 877 9286 FAX +1 404 870 2845
Jonesboro
McDonough BU TT S
CO .
HENRY CO. CLAYTON CO.
Fayetteville
Newnan Peachtree City
This market report is a research document of Colliers International. Information herein has been deemed reliable and no representation is made as to the accuracy thereof. Colliers International-Atlanta, Inc., and certain of its subsidiaries, is an independently owned and operated business and a member firm of Colliers International Property Consultants, an affiliation of independent companies with over 520 offices throughout 62 countries worldwide.
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