Q3 2011 | OFFICE
ATLANTA
MARKET REPORT
Atlanta Office Positive for Second Straight Quarter
MARKET INDICATORS Projected
Q3 2011
Q4 2011
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VACANCY NET ABSORPTION
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CONSTRUCTION
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RENTAL RATE
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CAP RATES
For the fifth time in six quarters, Atlanta’s office market saw more space filled than vacated. Office absorption totaled 146,336 square feet in the third quarter; marking the second consecutive period with an increase in occupied space. Year-to-date, Atlanta has seen its office occupancy increase by almost 430,000 square feet. Buckhead once again continues to show its dominance over Atlanta’s other office submarkets with more than 350,000 square feet of positive absorption in the third quarter; bringing the submarket’s yearly total to 628,786 square feet. Elsewhere, Downtown, Northwest Atlanta, Northeast Atlanta and Northlake were the only other submarkets to see positive office absorption in the quarter. Central Perimeter and Midtown continue to show weakness; but mostly in Class B product. This is not surprising given the ongoing trend of companies taking advantage of market conditions in order to upgrade the quality of their office space. After three quarters of leading the Atlanta market in space absorption, North Fulton saw its occupancy decrease in third quarter. This is due to AT&T’s consolidation from the submarket to its Midtown campus. On the whole, the real story this quarter was the continued growth in buildings between 10,000 to 70,000 square feet. Like second quarter, the majority of move-ins over the past three months were from tenants in these buildings; accounting for 84% of total market absorption. This occupancy gain came from small business growth in the area. It was recently reported Atlanta’s small businesses increased their hiring by 3% in September. This directly correlates to the positive activity which took place in Atlanta’s smaller office buildings this quarter. The Atlanta office market is poised for its strongest year of occupancy gain since before the “Great Recession”. Despite modest market conditions, office absorption in the final quarter of 2011 is expected to be positive for the third consecutive time; resulting in a total of 500,000+ square feet of Atlanta office space absorbed in 2011. Nevertheless, new leasing activity remains subdued; because of this, the outlook going forward is tempered. The absorption experienced so far this year has been the result of continued on page 2
ATLANTA OFFICE
NEW SUPPLY, ABSORPTION AND VACANCY RATES
UPDATE Atlanta Rental Rates Overall Market & Class A (per sq. ft.)
7,000,000 $25.00
$25.00
25%
6,000,000
$24.00
$24.00
5,000,000
$23.00
20%
$23.00
4,000,000
Market AVG
2011
2010
(3,000,000)
5% 0%
Absorption
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2009
(2,000,000)
2008
(1,000,000)
2007
2011 2011
2010 2010
2009 2009
2008 2008
Class A
10%
0 2006
$17.00
$17.00
1,000,000 2005
$18.00
$18.00
15%
2004
$19.00
$19.00
3,000,000 2,000,000
2003
$20.00
$20.00
Square Feet
$21.00
$21.00
2002
$22.00
$22.00
Deliveries
Vacancy %
The Atlanta office market saw occupancy increase for the second consecutive quarter in Third Quarter 2011. Year-to-date absorption now totals positive 427,694 SF. Vacancy is down slightly from last quarter, and 0.2% down from a year ago. Construction activity remained unchanged in the third quarter.