Q3 2011 | OFFICE
ATLANTA
MARKET REPORT
Atlanta Office Positive for Second Straight Quarter
MARKET INDICATORS Projected
Q3 2011
Q4 2011
—
VACANCY NET ABSORPTION
—
CONSTRUCTION
—
RENTAL RATE
—
CAP RATES
For the fifth time in six quarters, Atlanta’s office market saw more space filled than vacated. Office absorption totaled 146,336 square feet in the third quarter; marking the second consecutive period with an increase in occupied space. Year-to-date, Atlanta has seen its office occupancy increase by almost 430,000 square feet. Buckhead once again continues to show its dominance over Atlanta’s other office submarkets with more than 350,000 square feet of positive absorption in the third quarter; bringing the submarket’s yearly total to 628,786 square feet. Elsewhere, Downtown, Northwest Atlanta, Northeast Atlanta and Northlake were the only other submarkets to see positive office absorption in the quarter. Central Perimeter and Midtown continue to show weakness; but mostly in Class B product. This is not surprising given the ongoing trend of companies taking advantage of market conditions in order to upgrade the quality of their office space. After three quarters of leading the Atlanta market in space absorption, North Fulton saw its occupancy decrease in third quarter. This is due to AT&T’s consolidation from the submarket to its Midtown campus. On the whole, the real story this quarter was the continued growth in buildings between 10,000 to 70,000 square feet. Like second quarter, the majority of move-ins over the past three months were from tenants in these buildings; accounting for 84% of total market absorption. This occupancy gain came from small business growth in the area. It was recently reported Atlanta’s small businesses increased their hiring by 3% in September. This directly correlates to the positive activity which took place in Atlanta’s smaller office buildings this quarter. The Atlanta office market is poised for its strongest year of occupancy gain since before the “Great Recession”. Despite modest market conditions, office absorption in the final quarter of 2011 is expected to be positive for the third consecutive time; resulting in a total of 500,000+ square feet of Atlanta office space absorbed in 2011. Nevertheless, new leasing activity remains subdued; because of this, the outlook going forward is tempered. The absorption experienced so far this year has been the result of continued on page 2
ATLANTA OFFICE
NEW SUPPLY, ABSORPTION AND VACANCY RATES
UPDATE Atlanta Rental Rates Overall Market & Class A (per sq. ft.)
7,000,000 $25.00
$25.00
25%
6,000,000
$24.00
$24.00
5,000,000
$23.00
20%
$23.00
4,000,000
Market AVG
2011
2010
(3,000,000)
5% 0%
Absorption
www.colliers.com/atlanta
2009
(2,000,000)
2008
(1,000,000)
2007
2011 2011
2010 2010
2009 2009
2008 2008
Class A
10%
0 2006
$17.00
$17.00
1,000,000 2005
$18.00
$18.00
15%
2004
$19.00
$19.00
3,000,000 2,000,000
2003
$20.00
$20.00
Square Feet
$21.00
$21.00
2002
$22.00
$22.00
Deliveries
Vacancy %
The Atlanta office market saw occupancy increase for the second consecutive quarter in Third Quarter 2011. Year-to-date absorption now totals positive 427,694 SF. Vacancy is down slightly from last quarter, and 0.2% down from a year ago. Construction activity remained unchanged in the third quarter.
MARKET REPORT | Q3 2011 | OFFICE | ATLANTA
VACANCY & AVAILABILITY •
Vacant Space-Space that is not currently occupied by a tenant, regardless of any lease obligation on the space.
Due to the modest absorption in the quarter, the vacancy rates for Class A, B & C product showed little to no movement.
•
Buckhead’s office vacancy rate is below 20% for the first time since the end of 2009.
•
The overall vacancy rate for Atlanta office is not expected to deviate from where it currently stands. In total, 2011 should see a modest decrease in vacancy from 2010. Q3 2011 | Vacant Space By Type
•
The largest transactions finalized over the past three months were renewals by existing companies in the market including Atlanta Gas Light, SunTrust Robinson Humphrey and GE Consumer Finance. Along with its renewal, SunTrust Robinson expanded by 140,000 SF.
•
Buckhead saw the largest occupancy gain in the third quarter. Over 660,000 SF of office space has been filled here year-to-date.
•
Overall, modest activity persists in the market. Q3 2011 | Net Absorption by Submarket
Build-to-Suit-A term describing property that
CLASS C 3,690,444 SF VCY RATE = 18.1%
was developed specifically for a certain tenant to occupy. Can be either leased or owned by the tenant.
200,000 100,000 0
(100,000)) (200,000))
Class A
Class B
Class C
NORTH FULTON
CLASS B 15,915,643 SF VCY RATE = 17.8%
MIDTOWN
CLASS A 19,323,588 SF VCY RATE = 17.8%
SOUTH ATLANTA
300,000
CENTRAL PERIMETER
400,000
footage that is committed to and signed for under a lease obligation for a specific building or market in a given period of time. It includes direct leases, subleases and renewals of existing leases. It also includes any pre-leasing activity for buildings under construction or planned.
WEST ATLANTA
Leasing Activity-The volume of square
Office absorption was positive for the second consecutive quarter and is on track to finish the year above 500,000 SF.
DOWNTOWN
that complete construction during a specified period of time. A certificate of occupancy must have been issued for the property for it to be considered delivered.
•
NORTHWEST
Deliveries-Buildings
Atlanta’s office vacancy rate is down from this time last year, but only by 0.2%. The amount of vacant space on the market still remains close to 39 million square feet.
•
Sublease Space-Space that has been leased by a tenant and is being offered for lease back to the market by the tenant with the lease obligation.
ABSORPTION & LEASING ACTIVITY
NORTHLAKE
Vacancy Rate-A percentage of the total amount of physically vacant space divided by the total amount of existing inventory.
BUCKHEAD
occupied space over a given period of time, calculated by summing all the positive changes in occupancy and subtracting all the negative changes in occupancy.
NORTHEAST
Absorption (Net)-The net change in
transactions which occurred during the latter half of 2010, and beginning of 2011 when the economy was expanding; albeit at a moderate pace. Since then, more uncertainty has emerged, and as a result, activity has become restrained. As mentioned, much of Atlanta’s activity this year has been from small business growth. With a less than desirable economic climate, this growth could contract due to a drop in the confidence levels of small businesses. Atlanta will need to continue attracting major company relocations and expansions in order to maintain positive absorption levels in the coming year. This will require highly desirable incentive packages from state and local leaders given the increased competition from neighboring metropolitan markets such as Nashville, Charlotte and Tampa Bay.
Square Feet
DEFINITIONS
(300,000))
UPDATE Recent Transactions in the Market SALES ACTIVITY PROPERTY
SUBMARKET
SALES DATE
SALE PRICE
SIZE SF
PRICE / SF
BUYER
Riverwood 100
Northwest Atlanta
9/16/2011
$81,500,000
502,527
$162.18
Highwoods Properties
6625 The Corners Pkwy.
Northeast Atlanta
7/6/2011
$14,100,000
101,426
$139.02
Rosemont Realty
5707 Peachtree Pkwy.
Northeast Atlanta
7/6/2011
$13,800,000
100,000
$138
Rosemont Realty
3585 Engineering Dr.
Northeast Atlanta
7/6/2011
$13,600,000
98,092
$138.65
Rosemont Realty
LEASING ACTIVITY PROPERTY
SUBMARKET
TENANT
LANDLORD
SIZE SF
TYPE
Ten Peachtree Place
Midtown
Atlanta Gas Light
Cousins
260,000
Class A Renewal
Atlanta Financial Center
Buckhead
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey
Hines
229,894
Class A Renewal & Expansion
Windward Plaza 300
North Fulton
GE Consumer Finance
EOLA Capital
203,248
Class A Renewal
Paces West
Northwest Atlanta
Piedmont Healthcare
Behringer Harvard
190,000
Class A Renewal & Expansion
P. 2
| COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
MARKET REPORT | Q3 2011 | OFFICE | ATLANTA
UPDATE
Market Comparisons
VACANCY
BLDGS
CLASS
EXISTING PROPERTIES TOTAL SF
DIRECT VCY SF
DIRECT VCY %
URBAN DOWNTOWN A 28 B 81 C 79 Total 188
14,770,027 8,756,770 3,578,497 27,105,294
2,006,454 1,004,890 774,623 3,785,967
13.6% 11.5% 21.6% 14.0%
549,605 1,310 550,915
3.7% 0.0% 2.0%
MIDTOWN A B C Total
38 100 38 176
15,195,101 6,106,807 898,751 22,200,659
3,014,710 1,074,726 72,594 4,162,030
19.8% 17.6% 8.1% 18.7%
200,936 2,695 11,424 215,055
BUCKHEAD A 52 B 52 C 43 Total 147
15,099,004 4,445,020 1,060,897 20,604,921
2,900,455 750,222 91,684 3,742,361
19.2% 16.9% 8.6% 18.2%
7,921,619 2,829,838 938,901 11,690,358
SUBURBAN CENTRAL PERIMETER A 69 19,746,298 B 141 7,617,595 C 96 1,677,788 Total 306 29,041,681 NORTH FULTON A 98 B 329 C 57 Total 484
17.3% 11.5% 21.6% 16.0%
17.8% 11.6% 21.0% 16.2%
67,889 12,441 (23,425) 56,905
281,279 (372,989) (68,561) (160,271)
-
-
-
$19.44 $14.86 $14.27 $18.08
1.3% 0.0% 1.3% 1.0%
3,215,646 1,077,421 84,018 4,377,085
21.2% 17.6% 9.3% 19.7%
20.8% 17.5% 7.8% 19.4%
(54,390) (8,694) (13,592) (76,676)
54,981 (288,815) (6,037) (239,871)
-
-
-
$24.89 $17.96 $11.51 $23.07
150,531 23,928 174,459
1.0% 0.5% 0.8%
3,050,986 774,150 91,684 3,916,820
20.2% 17.4% 8.6% 19.0%
22.3% 18.2% 8.5% 20.7%
321,738 32,846 (1,926) 352,658
660,045 17,393 (48,652) 628,786
-
-
-
$24.83 $18.36 $18.37 $23.58
17.6% 14.7% 17.0% 16.7%
901,072 27,933 11,424 940,429
2.0% 0.1% 0.2% 1.3%
8,822,691 2,857,771 950,325 12,630,787
19.6% 14.8% 17.2% 18.1%
20.3% 15.0% 16.5% 18.5%
335,237 36,593 (38,943) 332,887
996,305 (644,411) (123,250) 228,644
-
-
-
$23.05 $17.06 $14.72 $21.58
3,449,120 2,103,537 400,130 5,952,787
17.5% 27.6% 23.8% 20.5%
79,969 99,217 179,186
0.4% 1.3% 0.6%
3,529,089 2,202,754 400,130 6,131,973
17.9% 28.9% 23.8% 21.1%
17.5% 28.3% 24.3% 20.7%
(72,673) (46,151) 7,414 (111,410)
(15,803) (304,631) 38,328 (282,106)
-
-
15,235,499 11,558,028 979,464 27,772,991
1,991,012 1,934,075 87,904 4,012,991
13.1% 16.7% 9.0% 14.4%
186,890 57,631 6,533 251,054
1.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.9%
2,177,902 1,991,706 94,437 4,264,045
14.3% 17.2% 9.6% 15.4%
12.4% 17.9% 12.1% 14.7%
(286,966) 82,590 24,483 (179,893)
53,120 269,903 15,444 338,467
-
-
-
$19.99 $14.08 $13.85 $17.15
NORTHEAST ATLANTA A 57 7,348,057 B 409 13,495,245 C 118 2,219,308 Total 584 23,062,610
1,307,349 2,714,291 227,348 4,248,988
17.8% 20.1% 10.2% 18.4%
91,524 83,138 3,595 178,257
1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.8%
1,398,873 2,797,429 230,943 4,427,245
19.0% 20.7% 10.4% 19.2%
19.5% 20.9% 11.1% 19.5%
35,877 29,325 15,656 80,858
7,523 500 7,766 15,789
-
-
-
$19.68 $13.90 $13.43 $15.90
NORTHLAKE A 19 B 334 C 166 Total 519
2,510,795 12,408,862 3,565,819 18,485,476
351,350 1,529,442 509,646 2,390,438
14.0% 12.3% 14.3% 12.9%
18,338 78,937 97,275
0.7% 0.6% 0.5%
369,688 1,608,379 509,646 2,487,713
14.7% 13.0% 14.3% 13.5%
14.9% 13.4% 14.5% 13.9%
5,168 60,530 7,026 72,724
25,745 51,152 31,717 108,614
-
-
-
$20.01 $17.08 $14.55 $17.10
NORTHWEST ATLANTA A 77 B 423 C 142 Total 642
17,450,997 15,972,884 2,420,064 35,843,945
2,451,466 3,047,164 338,035 5,836,665
14.0% 19.1% 14.0% 16.3%
188,068 128,393 1,700 318,161
1.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.9%
2,639,534 3,175,557 339,735 6,154,826
15.1% 19.9% 14.0% 17.2%
15.6% 19.7% 13.3% 17.3%
80,720 (28,581) (17,294) 34,845
188,978 (47,537) (23,083) 118,358
-
-
16,650 16,650
$21.34 $15.29 $14.46 $18.12
SOUTH ATLANTA A 17 B 227 C 115 Total 359
1,302,124 8,054,176 2,252,825 11,609,125
367,848 1,135,758 418,396 1,922,002
28.2% 14.1% 18.6% 16.6%
17,963 41,101 59,064
1.4% 0.5% 0.5%
385,811 1,176,859 418,396 1,981,066
29.6% 14.6% 18.6% 17.1%
31.9% 13.6% 16.6% 16.2%
29,010 (84,973) (43,360) (99,323)
27,027 (145,308) 17,508 (100,773)
-
19,015 19,015
-
$20.92 $16.01 $13.76 $16.67
WEST ATLANTA A B 48 C 33 Total 81
1,242,232 1,720,418 2,962,650
105,188 746,832 852,020
8.5% 43.4% 28.8%
-
105,188 746,832 852,020
8.5% 43.4% 28.8%
9.2% 43.8% 29.3%
8,948 6,700 15,648
17,290 (16,589) 701
-
-
-
$16.80 $12.37 $14.07
9,918,145 12,569,455 2,728,291 25,215,891
15.6% 17.9% 18.4% 16.9%
582,752 488,417 11,828 1,082,997
0.9% 18.6% 18.5% 0.7%
10,500,897 13,057,872 2,740,119 26,298,888
16.5% 18.6% 18.5% 17.7%
16.2% 18.6% 18.5% 17.6%
(208,864) 21,688 625 (186,551)
286,590 (158,631) 71,091 199,050
-
19,015 19,015
600,000 32,650 632,650
$20.63 $15.86 $13.73 $17.01
17,839,764 15,399,293 3,667,192 36,906,249
16.4% 17.2% 18.0% 16.9%
1,483,824 516,350 23,252 2,023,426
1.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.9%
19,323,588 15,915,643 3,690,444 38,929,675
17.8% 17.8% 18.1% 17.8%
17.9% 17.8% 17.9% 17.9%
126,373 58,281 (38,318) 146,336
1,282,895 (803,042) (52,159) 427,694
-
19,015 19,015
600,000 32,650 632,650
$21.79 $15.69 $13.98 $18.84
2,023,426 2,111,098 2,253,455 2,530,670 2,675,081
0.9% 1.0% 1.0% 1.2% 1.2%
38,929,675 39,076,011 39,405,314 39,338,354 39,411,804
17.8% 17.9% 18.0% 18.0% 18.0%
17.9% 18.0% 18.0% 18.0% 18.0%
146,336 329,303 (47,945) 165,456 3,791
427,694 281,358 (47,945) 383,128 217,672
19,015 19,015 19,015 1,933,794 1,841,788
632,650 632,650 616,650 635,665 708,656
$18.84 $19.02 $19.21 $19.16 $19.40
SUBURBAN TOTAL A 337 B 1,911 C 727 Total 2,975
63,593,770 70,349,022 14,835,686 148,778,478
ATLANTA MARKET GRAND TOTAL A 455 108,657,902 B 2,144 89,657,619 C 887 20,373,831 Total 3,486 218,689,352
NET NET NEW NEW ABSORP ABSORP SUPPLY SUPPLY CURR SF YTD SF CURR SF YTD SF
RENT
2,556,059 1,006,200 774,623 4,336,882
-
TOTAL VCY SF
U/C
VCY PRIOR %
45,064,132 19,308,597 5,538,145 69,910,874
SUB VCY %
DELIVERIES
VCY CURR %
URBAN TOTAL A 118 B 233 C 160 Total 511
SUB VCY SF
ABSORPTION
UNDER AVG CONSTR RENT SF RATE
600,000 16,000 616,000
$21.85 $17.86 $13.70 $20.07
QUARTERLY COMPARISONS AND TOTALS QUARTERLY COMPARISON AND TOTALS Q3-11 3,486 218,689,352 36,906,249 Q2-11 3,486 218,689,352 36,964,913 Q1-11 3,486 218,689,352 37,151,859 Q4-10 3,485 218,670,337 36,807,684 Q3-10 3,483 218,578,331 36,736,723
16.9% 16.9% 17.0% 16.8% 16.8%
NOTE: STATISTICAL SET CONSISTS OF OFFICE PROPERTIES 10,000 SF AND UP, INCLUDING OWNER-OCCUPIED PROPERTIES; AND EXCLUDING MEDICAL OFFICE AND PROPERTIES WHERE THE GOVERNMENT IS 100% OWNER AND OCCUPIER. WHILE COSTAR ATTEMPTS TO PROVIDE THE MOST ACCURATE DATA AT THE END OF EVERY QUARTER, REVISIONS ARE MADE THROUGHOUT THE YEAR ACCOUNTING FOR DISCREPANCIES IN PAST REPORTING.
19,015 92,006 -
SOURCE: COSTAR PROPERTY, COLLIERS RESEARCH
COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL |
P. 3
MARKET REPORT | Q3 2011 | OFFICE | ATLANTA
CONSTRUCTION
RENTAL RATES & CONCESSIONS
•
There was no change in construction activity in the third quarter.
•
AMD’s 153,000 SF data center and Primerica’s 345,000 SF build-to-suit, both in Northeast Atlanta, will be the next two projects to go under construction.
•
A couple of new office buildings were recently announced; however, neither will go under construction until preleasing requirements are met. The buildings are Northpark 700 in Central Perimeter at 430,000 SF and 285 Marietta St. in Downtown at 350,000 SF.
•
The average rental rate for Atlanta office space dropped yet again in third quarter. With economic conditions where they are, asking rents are likely to continue their downward trend.
•
Although concessions are becoming tighter, it still remains a tenant’s market in Atlanta.
512 offices in 61 countries on 6 continents United States: 125 Canada: 38 Latin America: 18 Asia Pacific: 214 EMEA: 117
INVESTMENT & SALES ACTIVITY •
Third quarter investment volume was higher than the previous quarter. Over $193 million of office properties traded hands in the past three months.
•
$1.5 billion in annual revenue
• Over 2.2 billion square feet under
management • Over 13,000 professionals
CONSTRUCTION ACTIVITY (100,000 SF+) PROPERTY ADDRESS
SUBMARKET
SIZE (SF)
DELIVERY DATE
UNITED STATES: Atlanta Mike Spears SIOR Senior VP | Colliers Manager Two Midtown Plaza | Suite 1100 1349 West Peachtree Street, NE Atlanta, Georgia, 30309
6205 Peachtree Dunwoody Rd. - 1
Central Perimeter
300,000
Second Quarter 2012
6205 Peachtree Dunwoody Rd. - 2
Central Perimeter
300,000
Fourth Quarter 2012
Canton GAINESVILLE Cumming
CHEROKEE CO. FULTON CO. FUL L FORSYTH CO. FOR R
Allatona Lake
Emerson
Lake Lanier
Woodstock CHEROKEE CO.
Acworth
Sugar Hill
FO RS FU
Mountain Park
N
CO . CO .
NORTHEAST ATLANTA
e hooch e tac
Cha t
PAULDING CO. COBB CO.
Alpharetta Roswell
NORTHWEST ATLANTA
Bras
H YT O LT
BARTOW CO.
OFFICE SUBMARKETS
Buford
HA GW INN LL CO . ETT CO .
NORTH FULTON Rive r
BARTOW CO. CHEROKEE CO.
Cartersville
Duluth
316 CO BB FU LT CO O . N CO .
MARIETTA
CENTRAL PERIMETER
Lawrenceville
DORAVILLE Norcross
CHAMBLEE SMYRNA
NORTHLAKEG
W IN DE NE KA TT LB C CO O. .
BUCKHEAD Austell COBB CO. DOUGLAS CO.
Clarkston
WEST ATLANTA
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Douglasville
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ATLANTA
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MIDTOWN DE ECA ATUR DECATUR Avondale Estate Estates
DOWNTOWN
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Snellville
Stone Mountain G W IN NE TT
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PAULDING CO.
DEKALB CO. C FULTON CO. C
Powder Springs
Ch
DEKALB HENRY
Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport
FULTON CO. COWETA CO.
Palmetto
FOREST PARK
SOUTH ATLANTA Riverdale Riverda
Fairburn
CO. CO.
Conyers Covington RO C NE KDA WT LE ON CO CO . .
CLAYTON LAYT L A ON CO.
Union City
675
DE KALB RO CO CK . DA LE CO .
Lithonia EAST POINT COLLEGE PARK HAPEVILLE
Stockbridge
. ON CO FULT CO. TTE FAYE
The Atlanta office market consists of ten submarkets. They include the urban markets of Downtown, Midtown and Buckhead, and the suburban markets of Central Perimeter, North Fulton, Northwest Atlanta, Northeast Atlanta, Northlake, South Atlanta and West Atlanta. The major interstates in the region include: I-75, I-85, I-285, I-575, I-985, I-675 and I-20. Georgia 400 and US 316 also play important roles to Atlanta’s transportation system.
TEL +1 404 888 9000 FAX +1 404 870 2845
RESEARCHER: Atlanta Scott Amoson Director of Research Two Midtown Plaza | Suite 1100 1349 West Peachtree Street, NE Atlanta, Georgia, 30309 TEL +1 404 877 9286 FAX +1 404 870 2845
Jonesboro
McDonough BU TT S
CO .
HENRY CO. CLAYTON CO.
Fayetteville
Newnan Peachtree City
This market report is a research document of Colliers International. Information herein has been deemed reliable and no representation is made as to the accuracy thereof. Colliers International-Atlanta, Inc., and certain of its subsidiaries, is an independently owned and operated business and a member firm of Colliers International Property Consultants, an affiliation of independent companies with over 512 offices throughout more than 61 countries worldwide.
Accelerating success.
www.colliers.com/atlanta