3Q 2012 | Atlanta Office Market Report

Page 1

Q3 2012 | OFFICE

ATLANTA

MARKET REPORT

Q3 Office Absorption Strongest for Atlanta in 5½ Years

Updated May 2012

MARKET INDICATORS Projected

Q3 2012

Q4 2012

VACANCY

The Atlanta office market posted its sixth consecutive quarterly increase of occupied space in the third quarter with office absorption totaling over 1.1 million square feet for the three month period. This amount is the highest quarterly amount of office space absorbed since the first quarter of 2007. The sole contributor to 37% of the amount was State Farm which opened a new customer service center in the old Philips Electronics space at 64 Perimeter Center East and took additional space at the neighboring 66 Perimeter Center East. The new office represents an expansion of State Farm’s presence in Atlanta and is the result of increased business activity for the insurance company. The remaining amount of office space absorbed in the third quarter was from a few new tenants to the Atlanta market including CHEP USA moving into 60,000 square feet in Central Perimeter and Asurion moving into 29,293 square feet in Buckhead; however, the bulk of the office absorption this quarter was from smaller-sized move-ins ranging between 10,000 to 25,000 square feet. These transactions were the result of growth in small businesses and expansions from existing tenants in the market. As a result of the positive activity, the overall vacancy rate in Atlanta’s office market is below 17% for the first time in three years. The absence of new office development continues to benefit the market as a whole. With supply limited to existing vacancies, tenants in the market are filling the void. Compared to this time last year, overall vacancy has dropped by almost 2.5 million square feet.

NET ABSORPTION CONSTRUCTION

RENTAL RATE CAP RATES

Through the end of the year, Atlanta’s office market will continue show positive signs of recovery thanks to an active leasing market in the first half of 2012. It is possible this year’s office absorption could reach 2007’s level of 3.3 million square feet. This, however, would require a stronger than expected amount of leasing activity in the final three months of the year and expedited occupancy of these transactions. With year-to-date absorption totaling 2.5 million square feet, and given the expected net change in occupied space next quarter, Atlanta is more likely to see a total of 2.8 to 3 million square feet absorbed in 2012. A remarkable improvement of last year’s absorption. Looking ahead to 2013, the outlook continued on page 2

ATLANTA OFFICE

NEW SUPPLY, ABSORPTION AND VACANCY RATES

UPDATE Atlanta Rental Rates Overall Market & Class A (per sq. ft.)

25%

6,000,000 $25.00 $25.00

5,000,000

$24.00 $24.00 $23.00 $23.00

3,000,000

1,000,000

Class A

Market AVG

2012

2011

2010

2009

2008

2007

5%

(2,000,000) (3,000,000)

0% Absorption

www.colliers.com/atlanta

2006

(1,000,000)

2005

2012 2012

2011 2011

2010 2010

2009 2009

$17.00 $17.00

10%

0

$18.00 $18.00

2004

$19.00 $19.00

15%

2,000,000

2003

$20.00 $20.00

Square Feet

$22.00 $22.00 $21.00 $21.00

20%

4,000,000

Deliveries

Vacancy %

Occupancy in Atlanta’s office market increased for the sixth consecutive quarter. Absorption totaled 1,162,632 SF in the third quarter, bringing the year-to-date total to over 2.5 million square feet. Overall vacancy decreased yet again finishing the quarter at 16.9%. Only one building of 16,650 square feet delivered this quarter.


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