YEAR-END 2011 | OFFICE
ATLANTA
MARKET REPORT
Slow, Steady Growth for Atlanta Office in 2011
MARKET INDICATORS Projected
Q4 2011
Q1 2012
—
VACANCY NET ABSORPTION
—
CONSTRUCTION RENTAL RATE
—
— —
CAP RATES
The Atlanta office market wrapped up the year with its strongest quarter of absorption in 4.5 years. Occupancy increased by 556,476 square feet in the fourth quarter, bringing the year-to-date total for 2011 to just over 811,000 square feet. Yet again, Atlanta experienced positive results in an unsettled economy. Buckhead led all Atlanta office submarkets, as expected, accounting for almost all of 2011’s space absorption. The largest occupiers in 2011 were mostly existing tenants in the Atlanta area. The majority of these tenants took advantage of the depressed market conditions over the past couple of years, relocating to higher quality space at a discount. Six of the top ten largest move-ins of the year occurred in the fourth quarter including InComm which doubled its 90,000 SF space at 250 Williams Street Downtown, Regions Bank which consolidated from multiple offices across the market into 80,000 SF at Atlantic Center Plaza in Midtown and the Reznick Group which also consolidated offices into 77,049 SF at Two Alliance Center in Buckhead. The foremost trend in the office market in 2011 was the flight to quality by tenants. This is most apparent when looking at the year-end absorption results of Class A and Class B properties. Tenants chose Class A properties overwhelmingly, taking advantage of favorable rental rates and absorbing over 1.6 million square feet of space this year. Meanwhile, Class B properties saw occupancy decrease by 850,000 square feet over the same period of time. As far as vacancy, Atlanta is somewhat in parity. All space types and the market as a whole are 17.8% vacant. Regardless of how modest activity might be, consecutive years of occupancy gains provide momentum in Atlanta’s office market; moving the city that much closer towards recovery. Heading into 2012, much of the same factors which contributed to the positive activity in the past year will continue. So long as Class A rental rates remain favorable, the flight to quality will remain prominent. Small business growth, which averaged a 3% increase in monthly hiring over the past six months and also accounted for 15% of continued on page 2
Class A
2011 2011
2010 2010
2009 2009
Market AVG
2011
2010
5% 0%
Absorption
www.colliers.com/atlanta
2009
$17.00 $17.00
10% 2008
$18.00 $18.00
2007
$19.00 $19.00
2006
$20.00 $20.00
15%
2005
$21.00 $21.00
2004
$22.00 $22.00
20%
2003
$23.00 $23.00
25%
2002
$25.00 $25.00 $24.00 $24.00
7,000,000 6,000,000 5,000,000 4,000,000 3,000,000 2,000,000 1,000,000 0 (1,000,000) (2,000,000) (3,000,000) (4,000,000)
Square Feet
Atlanta Rental Rates Overall Market & Class A (per sq. ft.)
2008 2008
ATLANTA OFFICE
NEW SUPPLY, ABSORPTION AND VACANCY RATES
UPDATE
Deliveries
Vacancy %
The Atlanta office market saw occupancy increase for the second consecutive year in 2011. Absorption topped 811,000 SF, bringing the overall vacancy rate down to 17.8%. Only one building of 19,015 SF delivered in 2011. Construction work began on Primerica’s build-tosuit and Jamestown’s Ponce City Market in the fourth quarter.
MARKET REPORT | YEAR-END 2011 | OFFICE | ATLANTA
VACANCY & AVAILABILITY •
The office vacancy rate ended the year at 17.8% for all property types and the market as a whole.
•
Compared to Year-End 2010, Atlanta’s office vacancy declined by a modest 0.3% in 2011. Class A vacancy saw the most movement with a 1.5% drop. This represents almost 1.7 million square feet of space filled for this property type.
Vacant Space-Space that is not currently
Sublease Space-Space that has been
2011’s office absorption was led by small business growth and expansions in the market
•
Class A space had its strongest occupancy gain since 2007, absorbing over 1.6 million square feet in the past year. This came at the expense of Class B landlords. Flight to quality was the prominent theme of the year.
•
Since the deliveries of 3630 Peachtree and Phipps Tower (the last of new construction in the submarket), Buckhead’s vacancy rate has dropped 5%.
•
Atlanta office vacancy should continue trending downwards in 2012; though moderately.
Seven of the top ten office lease transactions in the year were renewals. Three of those included expansions.
YEAR-END 2011 | Vacant Space By Type
YEAR-END 2011 | Net Absorption by Submarket 800,000
footage that is committed to and signed for under a lease obligation for a specific building or market in a given period of time. It includes direct leases, subleases and renewals of existing leases. It also includes any pre-leasing activity for buildings under construction or planned.
200,000
0
(200,000)
Class A
Class B
DOWNTOWN
CLASS C 3,652,609 SF VCY RATE = 17.8%
was developed specifically for a certain tenant to occupy. Can be either leased or owned by the tenant.
400,000
CENTRAL PERIMETER
Build-to-Suit-A term describing property that
CLASS B 15,898,201 SF VCY RATE = 17.8%
WEST ATLANTA
CLASS A 19,276,124 SF VCY RATE = 17.8%
MIDTOWN
600,000
Class C
(400,000)
NORTHEAST
Leasing Activity-The volume of square
•
•
Deliveries-Buildings
that complete construction during a specified period of time. A certificate of occupancy must have been issued for the property for it to be considered delivered.
Atlanta’s office absorption was strongest in the fourth quarter of the year accounting for 69% of the year’s total space absorbed.
SOUTH ATLANTA
leased by a tenant and is being offered for lease back to the market by the tenant with the lease obligation.
•
NORTHLAKE
occupied by a tenant, regardless of any lease obligation on the space.
ABSORPTION & LEASING ACTIVITY
NORTHWEST
Vacancy Rate-A percentage of the total amount of physically vacant space divided by the total amount of existing inventory.
BUCKHEAD
occupied space over a given period of time, calculated by summing all the positive changes in occupancy and subtracting all the negative changes in occupancy.
NORTH FULTON
Absorption (Net)-The net change in
this year’s positive absorption, is expected to continue influencing occupancy gains. Lastly, technology companies will continue dominating the leasing landscape. As for the not so positive, like many cities throughout the United States, the grinding economy will still weigh down on Atlanta’s recovery and growth. Uncertainty continues to suppress sustainable job growth which is key to new space demand. For Atlanta’s office market, the focus must be at the local level. In 2011, the city lost out to other regional markets on two major corporate assignments. Once a given here, it is important local development authorities and business leaders focus their efforts on winning these types of assignments to bring quality jobs to the area and help fill the 39 million square feet of office vacancy.
Square Feet
DEFINITIONS
UPDATE Largest Transactions in the Market for 2011 SALES ACTIVITY PROPERTY
SUBMARKET
SALES DATE
SALE PRICE
SIZE SF
PRICE / SF
BUYER
3344 Peachtree
Buckhead
1/21/2011
$167,300,000
483,726
$345.86
Parkway Properties
Promenade II
Midtown
11/23/2011
$137,500,000
774,344
$177.57
Cousins Properties
Riverwood 100
Northwest Atlanta
9/16/2011
$81,500,000
502,527
$162.18
Highwoods Properties
760 Doug Davis Dr.
South Atlanta
12/15/2011
$63,000,000
334,000
$188.62
Digital Realty Trust
LEASING ACTIVITY PROPERTY
SUBMARKET
TENANT
LANDLORD
4111 Northside Pkwy. One Atlantic Center
Northwest Atlanta
IBM
Atlanta Public Schools
830,000
Class B Leaseback
Midtown
Alston & Bird
Hines
365,000
Class A Renewal & Expansion
Legacy Park
Northeast Atlanta
Primerica
Duke
344,475
Class A Build-To-Suit
Ten Peachtree Place
Midtown
AGL
Cousins
258,197
Class A Renewal
P. 2
| COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
SIZE SF
TYPE
MARKET REPORT | YEAR-END 2011 | OFFICE | ATLANTA
UPDATE
Market Comparisons
VACANCY
BLDGS
CLASS
EXISTING PROPERTIES TOTAL SF
DIRECT VCY SF
DIRECT VCY %
URBAN DOWNTOWN A 28 B 84 C 78 Total 190
14,770,027 8,968,480 3,540,448 27,278,955
2,181,666 1,110,180 760,563 4,052,409
14.8% 12.4% 21.5% 14.9%
479,701 1,310 481,011
3.2% 0.0% 1.8%
MIDTOWN A B C Total
38 100 37 175
15,195,101 6,105,051 861,751 22,161,903
2,954,312 1,082,954 76,607 4,113,873
19.4% 17.7% 8.9% 18.6%
168,466 18,093 11,424 197,983
BUCKHEAD A 49 B 52 C 43 Total 144
15,032,930 4,445,020 1,060,897 20,538,847
2,895,971 780,233 80,165 3,756,369
19.3% 17.6% 7.6% 18.3%
8,031,949 2,973,367 917,335 11,922,651
SUBURBAN CENTRAL PERIMETER A 68 19,535,457 B 143 7,692,697 C 99 1,842,735 Total 310 29,070,889 NORTH FULTON A 99 B 325 C 57 Total 481
18.0% 12.4% 21.5% 16.6%
17.4% 12.2% 22.1% 16.3%
(94,824) (17,512) 21,909 (90,427)
175,971 (468,353) (39,501) (331,883)
-
-
1.1% 0.3% 1.3% 0.9%
3,122,778 1,101,047 88,031 4,311,856
20.6% 18.0% 10.2% 19.5%
21.1% 17.9% 9.7% 19.8%
87,169 (5,373) (4,013) 77,783
177,550 (312,441) (10,050) (144,941)
-
-
154,406 22,965 177,371
1.0% 0.5% 0.9%
3,050,377 803,198 80,165 3,933,740
20.3% 18.1% 7.6% 19.2%
21.6% 16.7% 8.6% 19.9%
196,900 (59,493) 11,519 148,926
786,136 (42,100) (37,133) 706,903
-
-
17.8% 15.2% 16.8% 17.0%
802,573 42,368 11,424 856,365
1.8% 0.2% 0.2% 1.2%
8,834,522 3,015,735 928,759 12,779,016
19.6% 15.5% 17.0% 18.3%
20.1% 15.0% 17.5% 18.5%
189,245 (82,378) 29,415 136,282
1,139,657 (822,894) (86,684) 230,079
-
-
450,000 450,000
$23.89 $17.29 $15.24 $22.18
3,614,405 2,017,719 370,103 6,002,227
18.5% 26.2% 20.1% 20.6%
83,879 109,211 193,090
0.4% 1.4% 0.7%
3,698,284 2,126,930 370,103 6,195,317
18.9% 27.6% 20.1% 21.3%
18.7% 28.5% 20.8% 21.4%
(36,091) 62,030 13,337 39,276
(67,972) (216,728) 52,065 (232,635)
-
-
600,000 16,000 616,000
$21.72 $17.86 $13.36 $19.97
15,371,750 11,319,676 980,060 27,671,486
1,964,736 1,825,790 98,332 3,888,858
12.8% 16.1% 10.0% 14.1%
169,100 26,580 6,533 202,213
1.1% 0.2% 0.7% 0.7%
2,133,836 1,852,370 104,865 4,091,071
13.9% 16.4% 10.7% 14.8%
14.4% 15.9% 9.9% 14.9%
75,070 (46,936) (7,828) 20,306
131,590 222,213 5,516 359,319
-
-
NORTHEAST ATLANTA A 57 7,316,139 B 413 13,563,439 C 118 2,280,907 Total 588 23,160,485
1,288,482 2,848,180 215,822 4,352,484
17.6% 21.0% 9.5% 18.8%
57,572 83,138 3,595 144,305
0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.6%
1,346,054 2,931,318 219,417 4,496,789
18.4% 21.6% 9.6% 19.4%
20.2% 21.7% 10.3% 20.1%
129,265 10,518 15,126 154,909
95,676 (53,749) 23,992 65,919
-
-
NORTHLAKE A 19 B 326 C 165 Total 510
2,519,738 12,072,074 3,524,840 18,116,652
346,683 1,551,583 519,883 2,418,149
13.8% 12.9% 14.7% 13.3%
10,442 61,878 72,320
0.4% 0.5% 0.4%
357,125 1,613,461 519,883 2,490,469
14.2% 13.4% 14.7% 13.7%
14.4% 13.4% 14.3% 13.7%
5,502 5,788 (15,206) (3,916)
31,247 46,070 18,511 95,828
-
-
-
$20.12 $17.11 $14.13 $17.07
NORTHWEST ATLANTA A 77 B 422 C 144 Total 643
17,450,997 15,863,328 2,445,412 35,759,737
2,412,381 2,954,546 356,345 5,723,272
13.8% 18.6% 14.6% 16.0%
132,261 129,893 262,154
0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.7%
2,544,642 3,084,439 356,345 5,985,426
14.6% 19.4% 14.6% 16.7%
15.0% 20.1% 13.7% 17.2%
79,872 100,756 (22,510) 158,118
291,773 55,926 (45,593) 302,106
-
-
16,650 16,650
$21.27 $15.05 $14.00 $17.82
SOUTH ATLANTA A 17 B 228 C 118 Total 363
1,302,124 8,190,807 2,307,869 11,800,800
346,929 1,102,050 404,648 1,853,627
26.6% 13.5% 17.5% 15.7%
14,732 48,326 63,058
1.1% 0.6% 0.5%
361,661 1,150,376 404,648 1,916,685
27.8% 14.0% 17.5% 16.2%
29.2% 14.6% 17.9% 16.9%
18,583 44,596 8,863 72,042
51,177 (76,003) 35,348 10,522
-
19,015 19,015
-
$20.96 $16.18 $13.73 $16.74
WEST ATLANTA A B 51 C 34 Total 85
1,311,935 1,736,418 3,048,353
123,572 748,589 872,161
9.4% 43.1% 28.6%
-
123,572 748,589 872,161
9.4% 43.1% 28.6%
8.0% 43.0% 27.9%
(18,384) (2,157) (20,541)
(394) (19,346) (19,740)
-
-
-
$16.07 $12.59 $13.88
9,973,616 12,423,440 2,713,722 25,110,778
15.7% 17.7% 17.9% 16.9%
467,986 459,026 10,128 937,140
0.7% 18.4% 18.0% 0.6%
10,441,602 12,882,466 2,723,850 26,047,918
16.4% 18.4% 18.0% 17.5%
16.9% 18.6% 17.9% 17.8%
272,201 158,368 (10,375) 420,194
533,491 (22,665) 70,493 581,319
-
19,015 19,015
944,476 32,650 977,126
$20.60 $15.80 $13.51 $16.97
18,005,565 15,396,807 3,631,057 37,033,429
16.6% 17.2% 17.6% 16.9%
1,270,559 501,394 21,552 1,793,505
1.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.8%
19,276,124 15,898,201 3,652,609 38,826,934
17.8% 17.8% 17.7% 17.8%
18.2% 17.8% 17.8% 18.0%
461,446 75,990 19,040 556,476
1,673,148 (845,559) (16,191) 811,398
-
19,015 19,015
944,476 482,650 1,427,126
$21.97 $15.74 $13.86 $18.90
1,793,505 1,947,158 2,119,678 2,276,428 2,535,390
0.8% 0.9% 1.0% 1.0% 1.2%
38,826,934 39,383,410 39,552,758 39,807,637 39,619,317
17.8% 18.0% 18.1% 18.2% 18.1%
18.0% 18.1% 18.2% 18.1% 18.2%
556,476 169,348 254,879 (169,305) 201,094
811,398 254,922 85,574 (169,305) 280,445
19,015 92,006
19,015 19,015 19,015 19,015 1,958,599
1,427,126 632,650 632,650 616,650 635,665
$18.90 $18.89 $19.05 $19.24 $19.19
SUBURBAN TOTAL A 337 B 1,908 C 735 Total 2,980
63,496,205 70,013,956 15,118,241 148,628,402
ATLANTA MARKET GRAND TOTAL A 452 108,494,263 B 2,144 89,532,507 C 893 20,581,337 Total 3,489 218,608,107
NET NET NEW NEW ABSORP ABSORP SUPPLY SUPPLY CURR SF YTD SF CURR SF YTD SF
RENT
2,661,367 1,111,490 760,563 4,533,420
-
TOTAL VCY SF
U/C
VCY PRIOR %
44,998,058 19,518,551 5,463,096 69,979,705
SUB VCY %
DELIVERIES
VCY CURR %
URBAN TOTAL A 115 B 236 C 158 Total 509
SUB VCY SF
ABSORPTION
UNDER AVG CONSTR RENT SF RATE
-
450,000 450,000
-
-
344,476 344,476
$19.53 $15.19 $14.63 $18.22
$27.05 $18.06 $12.92 $24.63
$25.09 $18.63 $18.18 $23.69
$20.00 $14.44 $13.34 $17.62
$19.52 $13.90 $13.42 $15.66
QUARTERLY COMPARISONS AND TOTALS QUARTERLY COMPARISON AND TOTALS Q4-11 3,489 218,608,107 37,033,429 Q3-11 3,489 218,608,107 37,436,252 Q2-11 3,489 218,608,107 37,433,080 Q1-11 3,489 218,608,107 37,531,209 Q4-10 3,488 218,589,092 37,083,927
16.9% 17.1% 17.1% 17.2% 17.0%
NOTE: STATISTICAL SET CONSISTS OF OFFICE PROPERTIES 10,000 SF AND UP, INCLUDING OWNER-OCCUPIED PROPERTIES; AND EXCLUDING MEDICAL OFFICE AND PROPERTIES WHERE THE GOVERNMENT IS 100% OWNER AND OCCUPIER. WHILE COSTAR ATTEMPTS TO PROVIDE THE MOST ACCURATE DATA AT THE END OF EVERY QUARTER, REVISIONS ARE MADE THROUGHOUT THE YEAR ACCOUNTING FOR DISCREPANCIES IN PAST REPORTING.
SOURCE: COSTAR PROPERTY, COLLIERS RESEARCH
COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL |
P. 3
MARKET REPORT | YEAR-END 2011 | OFFICE | ATLANTA
CONSTRUCTION
RENTAL RATES & CONCESSIONS
•
There was only one office building of 19,015 SF delivered in 2011. This is unprecedented for the Atlanta office market which has averaged 51 deliveries a year over the past decade.
•
Buildings going under construction in the fourth quarter include Primerica’s build-to-suit of 344,476 SF and Jamestown’s Ponce City Market, a mixed-use redevelopment with 450,000 SF of office.
•
•
For the market as a whole, the average rental rate for office showed no change from last quarter; Class A office showed a slight uptick.
•
Historically speaking, Class A’s average rent is equal to year-end 2010, while the overall market average is down $0.30/sf.
512 offices in 61 countries on 6 continents United States: 125 Canada: 38 Latin America: 18 Asia Pacific: 214 EMEA: 117
INVESTMENT & SALES ACTIVITY •
With optimism slowly returning, talk of more construction has made its way back to the market.
Over 1 billion dollars of investment sales occurred in the Atlanta office market this year. This is the highest amount sold since 2008.
•
$1.5 billion in annual revenue
• Over 2.2 billion square feet under
management
CONSTRUCTION ACTIVITY (100,000 SF+) PROPERTY ADDRESS
SUBMARKET
SIZE (SF)
DELIVERY DATE
675 Ponce De Leon Ave.
Midtown
450,000
First Quarter 2014
Primerica - 3100 Breckinridge Blvd
Northeast Atlanta
344,476
Third Quarter 2012
Cox: 6205 P’tree Dunwoody Rd. - 1
Central Perimeter
300,000
Second Quarter 2012
Cox: 6205 P’tree Dunwoody Rd. - 2
Central Perimeter
300,000
Fourth Quarter 2012
Canton GAINESVILLE Cumming
CHEROKEE CO. FULTON CO. FUL L FORSYTH CO. FOR R
Allatona Lake
Emerson
Lake Lanier
Woodstock CHEROKEE CO.
Acworth
Sugar Hill
FO RS FU
Mountain Park
CO N . CO .
NORTHEAST ATLANTA
e hooch e tac
Cha t
PAULDING CO. COBB CO.
Alpharetta Roswell
NORTHWEST ATLANTA
Bras
H YT O LT
BARTOW CO.
OFFICE SUBMARKETS
Buford
HA GW INN LL CO . ETT CO .
NORTH FULTON Rive r
BARTOW CO. CHEROKEE CO.
Cartersville
Duluth
316 CO BB FU LT CO O . N CO .
MARIETTA
CENTRAL PERIMETER
Lawrenceville
DORAVILLE Norcross
CHAMBLEE SMYRNA
NORTHLAKEG
W IN DE NE KA TT LB C CO O. .
BUCKHEAD Austell COBB CO. DOUGLAS CO.
Clarkston
WEST ATLANTA
ch e
Douglasville
CO .
ATLANTA
e
MIDTOWN DECATUR DE ECA ATUR Avondale Estates Estate
DOWNTOWN
o
W AL TO N
CO .
att
ho ac
Snellville
Stone Mountain G W IN NE TT
r
R iv
e
PAULDING CO.
DEKALB CO. C FULTON CO. C
Powder Springs
Ch
DEKALB HENRY
Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport
FULTON CO. COWETA CO.
Palmetto
FOREST PARK
SOUTH ATLANTA Riverdale Riverda
Fairburn
CO. CO.
Conyers Covington RO C NE KDA WT LE ON CO CO . .
CLAYTON LAYT L A ON CO.
Union City
675
DE KALB RO CO CK . DA LE CO .
Lithonia EAST POINT COLLEGE PARK HAPEVILLE
Stockbridge
. ON CO FULT CO. TTE FAYE
The Atlanta office market consists of ten submarkets. They include the urban markets of Downtown, Midtown and Buckhead, and the suburban markets of Central Perimeter, North Fulton, Northwest Atlanta, Northeast Atlanta, Northlake, South Atlanta and West Atlanta. The major interstates in the region include: I-75, I-85, I-285, I-575, I-985, I-675 and I-20. Georgia 400 and US 316 also play important roles to Atlanta’s transportation system.
• Over 13,000 professionals
UNITED STATES: Atlanta Caldwell Zimmerman Executive VP | Colliers Manager Two Midtown Plaza | Suite 1100 1349 West Peachtree Street, NE Atlanta, Georgia, 30309 TEL +1 404 888 9000 FAX +1 404 870 2845
RESEARCHER: Atlanta Scott Amoson Director of Research Two Midtown Plaza | Suite 1100 1349 West Peachtree Street, NE Atlanta, Georgia, 30309 TEL +1 404 877 9286 FAX +1 404 870 2845
Jonesboro
McDonough BU TT S
CO .
HENRY CO. CLAYTON CO.
Fayetteville
Newnan Peachtree City
This market report is a research document of Colliers International. Information herein has been deemed reliable and no representation is made as to the accuracy thereof. Colliers International-Atlanta, Inc., and certain of its subsidiaries, is an independently owned and operated business and a member firm of Colliers International Property Consultants, an affiliation of independent companies with over 512 offices throughout more than 61 countries worldwide.
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