Oficina Global 2011

Page 1

Q2 2011 | OFFICE

Manhattan Office

Market Report

Another Upbeat Quarter for Manhattan statistics. Also, the 3.4 million square feet of net absorption represents a major increase from the modest 0.3 million square feet in the first quarter of 2011; a number that seemed at odds with the active pace of closed leasing transactions and the strength in asking rents.

Local factors offset global concerns

Amid the growing chorus of anxiety about slowing global and national growth rates and the fear that a productive solution to the issue of raising the U.S. debt limit might not be reached in time, activity in the Manhattan office market remained robust in the second quarter of 2011.

Rents also increased in the second quarter, with the overall Manhattan average asking rent up at an annual rate of 11.2 percent. The average increased in the both the The overall availability rate for Manhattan Midtown North and Midtown South fell to 11.1 percent by the end of the second markets and slipped modestly in 2Q 2010 1Q 2011 2Q 2011 quarter from 11.7 percent at the end of the Downtown. At the district level, the pace 14% 12.7% This sizable net absorption of first quarter. of rent changes showed an efficient 11.7% 11.1% 12% space – 3.4 million square feet – was playing out of market forces. The districts 9.8% distributed across the three9.7%major with very large rent increases over the 9.1% 10% Manhattan markets. This pervasive trend last few quarters tended to report 8% of positive absorption represents a change substantially slower rent growth in the 6% what was seen in recent previous from second quarter; while, the districts in the quarters when selected districts in the immediate vicinity of the ones with 4% 2.9% 2.0%rapid 1.9% rent growth reported an Midtown North and Midtown South previous 2% markets dominated the net absorption acceleration in asking rents.

New York City’s pivotal role in world economy overwhelms concerns about U.S. federal budget deficit and weak economic growth. Leasing activity was again robust in the second quarter, reaching 6.9 million square feet; but the velocity was down from the pace in the first quarter of 2011 when it reached a very strong 8.2 million square feet, which was one of the strongest in recent history. The pace during first half of the second quarter seemed to be a continuation of the first quarter’s strong rate, but leasing velocity did slow in the latter half of the second quarter. The pattern of leasing in the second quarter could have been just the

0% Total

Direct

Sublease

Manhattan Rental Rates ($s/sf/year)

18%

16%

14%

12%

$50 $45

2% 0%

$45

12.5%

$55

8% 4%

14%

15.4%

10% 6%

2Q 2010

2Q 2010 2Q 2010 1Q 2011 1Q 2011 2Q 2011 2Q 2011 $60 14.1%

$47.86

$50.18

13.0% 12.5%

$51.59

Manhattan Availability Rates

12%

12.7%

11.7%

$48.06

$47.16 $47.74

$49.84

2Q 2011

11.1% 9.8% 9.7%

10%

$51.96 11.2% $50.69

1Q 2011

9.1%

8% 6% 4%

$40

2.4%

$35

1.6% 1.4%

2.9%

2%

2.0% 1.9%

0%

$30

Total

Total

Direct

2Q 2010

1Q 2011

Direct

www.colliers.com/newyork

Sublease Sublease

Total

2Q 2011

Direct

2Q 2010 $60

1Q 2011

Sublease

2Q 2011


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