15th may,2014 daily exclusive oryza e newsletter by riceplus magazine

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15th May, 2014

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Rice Paddy Absorbs Rather Emits Carbon, Study Shows India Rice Sellers Increase Some of Their Quotes; Other Asia Rice Quotes Unchanged Today Rice Derived Insecticide Shows Promise Oryza U.S. Rough Rice Recap - Prices Hold Steady with Buyers Reluctant to Pay Higher Prices Oryza Rice Currency Analysis for Today – Thailand Baht Rallies 0.6% Oryza Rice Currency Analysis for Today – Thailand Baht Rallies 0.6% Oryza Afternoon Recap - Chicago Rough Rice Futures Finish with Mixed Results as Old Crop/New Crop Spread Narrows Increasing Salinity Levels in Bangladesh Poses Challenge to Rice Scientists; New Salinity Tolerant Rice Varieties Fail to Sustain High Salinity Levels Thailand Hopes to Regain 70-80% Share in Hong Kong Fragrant Rice Market over Next Three-to-Five Years FAO Estimates Vietnam Rice Exports Will Increase to 7.2 Million Tons in 2014, Up 8% from Previous Year Government of Thailand Auctions 450,000 Tons Rice; Doubts over Election Date Continue as Government Postpones Meeting with Election Commission Oryza Overnight Recap - Chicago Rough Rice Futures Paused a Cent-and-a-Half Higher on Low Overnight Volume FAO Estimates Japan Paddy Rice Production to Decline to 10.6 Million Tons in 2014, Down 1.5% from Previous Year Oryza Global Rice Quotes

Rice Paddy Absorbs Rather Emits Carbon, Study Shows May 14, 2014

A study conducted by the Central Rice Research Institute inCuttack, India, showed that rice paddy in flooded fields during cultivation absorbs rather than emits carbon. The study showed that carbon inputs -photosynthesis, algal biomass and organic carbon added as manure - exceed output, thus concluding that rice paddy absorbs

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carbon.According to the latest report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, flooded paddy fields in tropical countries account for up to 11% of man-made global methane emissions, estimated at between 493 723 million tons of carbon dioxide equivalents a year. However, while the emissions are considerable they may be less than the carbon absorbtion. Scientists conducted research on two hectares of rice field during 2012-13, in both the wet season (JulyNov)and the dry season (Jan - May), to measure the amount of carbon dioxide and methane produced in rice field. The study showed that methane production was higher during the initial growth stages of the rice plant.As all plants, rice paddy also takes carbon dioxide from the air to make food and releases some of it during respiration; and post-harvest decaying rice stalks and organic matter in the paddies release carbon back to the soil, the study showed.The scientists used the „eddy covariance‟ method to measure accurately carbon dioxide and methane emissions. Then they calculated the amount of carbon lost during harvest, dissolution in water, fire, erosion and bacterial production of methane, to calculate the net carbon balance. A scientist told SciDev.Net, “Although methane was a source of carbon loss, considering all the components of carbon balance, this ecosystem has a good potential to store a considerable amount of carbon.”“Generally, during the growing season of a flooded rice field, there is a net carbon uptake because a lot of carbon dioxide is being absorbed by the plant through photosynthesis and only part of it is released to the atmosphere through respiration,” also told Ma. Carmelita Alberto, a researcher with the International Rice Research Institute, Manila to SciDev.Net. She added, “Further studies are needed to check if other rice varieties, and other modes of rice cultivation, also act as carbon sinks.” Tags: Climate change, global warming, greenhouse gases, Rice farming, paddy fields, carbon emissions

India Rice Sellers Increase Some of Their Quotes; Other Asia Rice Quotes Unchanged Today May 14, 2014

India rice sellers increased their quotes for 5% broken rice and 25% broken rice by about $5per ton and about $10 per ton respectively to about $420 - $430 per ton and $380 - $390 per ton respectively today. Other Asia rice sellers kept their quotes mostly unchanged. 5% Broken Rice Thai 5% rice (of new crop) is quoted around $370 - $380 per ton, about $35 per ton discount to Viet 5% rice shown around $405 - $415 per ton. Indian 5% rice is quoted around $420 - $430 per ton, up about $5 per ton from yesterday and on par with Pak 5% rice quoted around $420 - $430 per ton. 25% Broken Rice

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Thai 25% rice of the old crop is quoted about $340 - $350 per ton, about a $25 per ton discount to Viet 25% rice shown around $365 - $375 per ton. Indian 25% rice is quoted around $380 - $390 per ton, up about $10 per ton from yesterday and about $10per ton premium over Pak 25% quoted around $370 - $380 per ton. Parboiled Rice Thai parboiled rice of the old crop is quoted around $405 - $415 per ton. Indian parboiled rice is quoted around $395 - $405 per ton, about $40 per ton discount to Pak parboiled rice quoted around $435 - $445 per ton. 100% Broken Rice Thai broken rice, A1 Super, of the old crop is quoted around $300 - $310 per ton, about a $35 per ton discount to Viet broken rice shown around $335 - $345 per ton. Indian broken sortexed rice is quoted around $300 - $310 per ton, about a $25 per ton discount to Pak broken sortexed rice quoted around $325 - $335 per ton. Tags: asian quotes, asia quotes, asia rice trade, Global rice trade

Rice Derived Insecticide Shows Promise May 14, 2014

The Journal of Plant Science recently published a study on the insecticidal properties of Orysata (Oryza sativa L.), a carbohydrate-binding protein called a lectin, that comes from rice. To test the effectiveness of Orysata as an alternative method of pest control, researchers investigated its influence on three prevalent insect pests: the beet armyworm (Spodoptera exigua), green peach aphid (Myzus persicae), and the pea aphid (Acyrthosiphon pisum). Since the level of Orysata expression is low in rice tissue, plant scientists produced genetically modified tobacco plants that overexpressed the lectin. The insect pests were fed an artificial diet of the tobacco leaves that were generated with varying concentrations of Orysata, allowing researchers to observe its effects on the pests. Scientists found that both armyworm and aphid larva experienced significant mortality, lack of larval weight gain, and retardation in their growth. Pea aphids, in particular, experienced those symptoms even on doses of lectin that were 50% lower than the lethal concentration.The results of the study showed that Orysata does possess strong insecticidal properties allowing agronomists to consider it a valuable addition to the insecticide market. This discovery may encourage farmers to breed modified rice containing higher concentrations of Orysata to provide natural pest resistance. The method is currently being used in modified species of tomato, sugarcane, tobacco, maize, and mustard. Tags: Rice research, rice genetics, insecticides, lectins

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Oryza U.S. Rough Rice Recap - Prices Hold Steady with Buyers Reluctant to Pay Higher Prices May 14, 2014

As of today, old crop offers could be found around $16.11 per cwt fob farm (about $355 per ton) for May-June shipment although most sellers are looking for at least $16.66 per cwt fob farm (about $367 per ton).Bids from most larger mills were unchanged today around $15.05 per cwt (about $332 per ton) for May-June delivery while bids for exporters increased to around $16.00 per cwt (about $353 per ton), for the same delivery period. However, neither of those bids received much interest as smaller mills are still said to be paying around $16.10 per cwt fob farm (about $355 per ton) for prompt shipment. Tags: U.S. rice prices; U.S. rice market

Oryza Rice Currency Analysis for Today – Thailand Baht Rallies 0.6% May 14, 2014

U.S. dollar index was down -0.10% from the open today, when it traded at 80.065 at the close. Euro was stronger +0.05% by the close, trading around 1.3710 by end of day, after trading between an intraday high of 1.3731 and low of 1.3698. Thai baht was stronger +0.58%, trading at 32.423 at the close of business. Indian rupee was unchanged at 59.6700. Brazilian real was stronger +0.31% at the close of trading today, trading at 2.2084 reais per dollar. Pakistan rupee was -0.09% weaker at 98.6645. Vietnamese dong was weaker -0.05 at 21108. Mexican peso was stronger +0.03% today, when it traded at 12.9018 pesos per dollar by the close of business. Chinese yuan was unchanged at 6.2287.

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Argentine peso was weaker -0.14% at 8.0318 pesos per dollar. Tags: foreign exchange rates, rice currencies, Global rice trade

Oryza Rice Currency Analysis for Today – Thailand Baht Rallies 0.6% May 14, 2014

U.S. dollar index was down -0.10% from the open today, when it traded at 80.065 at the close. Euro was stronger +0.05% by the close, trading around 1.3710 by end of day, after trading between an intraday high of 1.3731 and low of 1.3698. Thai baht was stronger +0.58%, trading at 32.423 at the close of business. Indian rupee was unchanged at 59.6700. Brazilian real was stronger +0.31% at the close of trading today, trading at 2.2084 reais per dollar. Pakistan rupee was -0.09% weaker at 98.6645. Vietnamese dong was weaker -0.05 at 21108. Mexican peso was stronger +0.03% today, when it traded at 12.9018 pesos per dollar by the close of business. Chinese yuan was unchanged at 6.2287. Argentine peso was weaker -0.14% at 8.0318 pesos per dollar. Tags: foreign exchange rates, rice currencies, Global rice trade

Oryza Afternoon Recap - Chicago Rough Rice Futures Finish with Mixed Results as Old Crop/New Crop Spread Narrows May 14, 2014

Chicago rough rice futures for Jul delivery settled 4.5 cents per cwt (about $1 per ton) lower at $15.280 per cwt (about $337 per ton). Rough rice futures finished the day with mixed results, with old crop May and July contracts moving lower while new crop futures advanced as the market attempts to encourage acreage ahead of planting. Todayâ€&#x;s action in the active July contract is seen as a bearish development as the market broke below

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nearby technical support, noted at $15.300 per cwt (about $337 per ton), a level that had provided a price floor for the market for the previous weeks. In addition the lower Bollinger band is noted around $15.240 per cwt (about $336 per ton) and this point will likely come into play tomorrow on a follow-through attempt by the bears to drag prices lower, however this indicator also provides the current price objective. The other grains ended the day with varied results, as soy products showed strength while corn and wheat weakened; soybeans closed about 0.4% higher at $14.8675 per bushel; wheat finished about 2.7% lower at $6.9025 per bushel, and corn finished the day about 1.4% lower at $4.9550 per bushel.U.S. stocks declined on Wednesday, with the Dow and the S&P 500 coming off record highs, as the 10-year Treasury yield broke below a key support, viewed by some as signaling an economic slowdown and a reason to sell riskier assets. The 10year Treasury yield, used in figuring mortgage rates and other consumer loans, fell to a six-month low, dropping 7 basis points to 2.545%. It earlier hit a low of 2.5258, its lowest since Oct. 31. After a five-session streak of gains, the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 55.90 points, or 0.3%, to 16,659.54. The S&P 500 shed 5.13 points, or 0.3%, to 1,892.32, with consumer discretionary falling hardest among its 10 sectors and telecommunications faring best. Extending declines into a second session, the Nasdaq dropped 5.04 points, or 0.1%, to 4,125.12. Gold is trading about 0.8% higher, crude oil is seen trading about 0.7% higher, and the U.S. dollar is seen trading about 0.1% lower at about 1:00pm Chicago time.Tuesday, there were 311 contracts traded, down from 361 contracts traded on Monday. Open interest – the number of contracts outstanding – on Tuesday increased by 16 contracts to 8,208. Tags: U.S. rice prices; U.S. rice market; Chicago rough rice futures

Increasing Salinity Levels in Bangladesh Poses Challenge to Rice Scientists; New Salinity Tolerant Rice Varieties Fail to Sustain High Salinity Levels May 14, 2014

Increasing levels of salinity, due to rising sea levels, is posing a challenge for rice scientists in Bangladesh. Researchers say increasing levels of salinity could ruin several hectares of arable coastal land in the country. Scientists have been trying to develop newer varieties of rice that can tolerate higher salinity, but salinity levels in the coastal districts of the country have surpassed levels that new rice varieties can sustain. Seven new salinity tolerant rice varieties developed by the Bangladesh Rice Research Institute (BRRI) and the Bangladesh Institute of Nuclear Agriculture (BINA) - Brri Dhan 40, Brri Dhan 41, Brri Dhan 53, Brri Dhan 54, Brri Dhan 47, Brri Dhan 61 and Bina Dhan 8 - have failed to sustain high salinity levels in some of the coastal districts, according to local sources.While BRRI and BINA developed rice varieties that can withstand salinity levels up to 8 deci Siemens per meter (dS/M), the salinity levels in nearly five coastal districts - Khulna, Patuakhali, Satkhira, Bagerhat and Barguna – are ranging between 8 dS/M and 16 dS/M, according to the Soil Resource Development Institute (SRDI). However, the Director General (DG) of BRRI says paddy cannot be

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made tolerant to salinity levels beyond 12 dS/M.SRDI classifies salinity into four levels based on the degree of salinity per meter.According to a study by SRDI, salinity affected land in 19 coastal districts of Bangladesh and totals around one million hectares, up about 22% from about 833,000 hectares in 1973.Currently, Bangladesh rice farmers use high-yielding non-salinity-tolerant hybrid varieties which can withstand up to 0.7 dS/M. The new varieties developed by BRRI and BINA also proved to be low-yielding and highly irrigation dependent, say experts. They noted that rice farmers are reluctant to experiment with newer varieties giving lower yields, despite them being salinity-tolerant varieties. The BRRI said rice farmers could opt for other crops such as soybean, maize, barley and sugarcane to avoid salinity induced losses from rice production.The USDA estimates Bangladeshâ€&#x;s rice production at 35.6 million tons in MY 2013-14 (July 2013 – June 2014), up about 5% from an estimated 33.8 million tons in MY 2012-13. However, due to rising consumption needs, the country is still expected to import about 300,000 tons of rice in 2014, up from about 213,000 tons in 2013. Tags: Bangladesh rice production, rising salinity, rising sea levels, Climate change

Thailand Hopes to Regain 70-80% Share in Hong Kong Fragrant Rice Market over Next Three-to-Five Years

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May 14, 2014

Thailand is hopeful of regaining its share in Hong Kong's jasmine fragrant rice market, which it had been losing to Vietnam over the last few years, according to local sources.Hong Kong is one of main destinations for Thai fragrant rice and Thailand's Commerce Ministry is adopting a three-to-five-year strategy plan to regain its share in Hong Kong's rice market in a phased manner, according to the Trade Commissioner of the Thai Trade Center in Hong Kong. Thailand's share in Hong Kong's rice market declined to around 46% in 2013 from about 86% in 2008, while Vietnam's share increased to about 41% in 2013 from almost nothing in 2008, according to the USDA Post in Hong Kong. Trade sources say Vietnam replaced Thailand in Hong Kong mainly due to price competitiveness offered by Vietnamese exporters. In 2013, the average import price from Vietnam stood at $671 per ton compared to Thailand's price of $1,178 per ton, according to the USDA Post. Thailand is planning to increase its share in Hong Kong's fragrant rice market to 60% in 2014 and to about 70 80% over the next three-to-five years. He says Thailand's Commerce Ministry is planning to invite large exporters in Hong Kong to attend the "Thaifex - World of Food Asia" fair, which will take place from May 21 25, 2014, in an attempt to rebuild trade relations with them.Trade sources say share of Thai fragrant rice has increased to 50% in March 2014, from about 47-48% in the first two months of this year. Thailand exported 155,000 tons of fragrant rice to Hong Kong, down about 35% from about 238,000 tons exported in 2003.Thailand government is in the process of accelerating sales of its rice stocks, accumulated from the rice pledging scheme, and is planning to sell about one million tons every month. Local sources say the government still has 10 million tons of stocks in its warehouses. Tags: Thailand rice exports, Hong Kong rice imports, Vietnam rice exports, asia rice trade

FAO Estimates Vietnam Rice Exports Will Increase to 7.2 Million Tons in 2014, Up 8% from Previous Year May 14, 2014

The UN's Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) has estimated Vietnam's milled rice exports to increase to about 7.2 million tons in 2014, up about 8% from about 6.7 million tons in 2013 due to higher production and increased export demand from Asian countries such as Indonesia, Malaysia, China and the Philippines backed by low prices. In 2012, Vietnam exported about 7.6 million tons.However, in the last week the Vietnam Food Association (VFA) lowered its 2014 rice export target to 6.2 million tons from the earlier target of 6.5 - 7 million tons due to heavy competition from India and Thailand.

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USDA estimates Vietnam to export 6.5 million tons of rice in 2014.Vietnam exported 1.82 million tons of rice in January 1 - May 8, 2014 period, according to the VFA, down about 35% from about 2.8 million tons exported during the same period in 2013.In its country brief on Vietnam, the FAO has estimated Vietnam's total paddy rice production at about 44.2 million tons (around 27.6 million tons of milled rice) in 2014, marginally higher than about 44 million tons (around 27.5 million tons of milled rice) produced in 2013. The UN agency however, forecasts Vietnam's paddy rice production from 2014 winter/spring crop at 20.3 million tons, similar to last year's production, despite shifting part of the rice area to other crops, due to higher yields, favorable weather conditions, and adequate water supplies. Domestic wholesale prices of rice continued to decline in April due to increased supplies from the 2013-14 main season winter-spring (January – July) harvest and lower cross-border exports to China, according to the FAO. The one million ton government procurement program, which began in mid-March, limited the decline in prices to some extent, but are generally low, says the FAO. The VFA has expressed concern about the dependency of Vietnam rice exports on the Chinese market, both official and unofficial exports. Local sources note that some Chinese buyers have also defaulted on payments, another risk. Tags: Vietnam rice exports, Vietnam Food Association (VFA), USDA, Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO)

Government of Thailand Auctions 450,000 Tons Rice; Doubts over Election Date Continue as Government Postpones Meeting with Election Commission May 14, 2014

Thailand's Ministry of Commerce (MOC) has put up around 450,000 tons of rice for auction to the public today, according to local sources.The MOC is planning to sell the rice by the end of this week in order to raise money to pay the Ministry of Finance (MOF) towards the 20 billion baht (around $612 million) it borrowed from the Central Budget to make payments to farmers. The MOC is supposed to repay the money by May 31, 2014. Sources from the MOC told local media that the rice being auctioned is meant for both domestic consumption as well as exports. The Commerce Ministry is also planning to auction another 220,000 tons of rice through the Agricultural Futures Exchange of Thailand (AFET). Meanwhile, the government has postponed its meeting with the Election Commission (EC), originally scheduled for today, to tomorrow due to concerns regarding venue of the meeting. The government wants to ensure that anti-government protestors would not cause interruptions to the meeting. The caretaker Prime Minister said the government was doing its duty to uphold law and order in the country.The Election Commissioner told local sources that the meeting would mainly focus on the date of the election and review of the caretaker Prime Minister's powers regarding submitting the election decree for royal endorsement. He affirmed that the EC is keen on holding the general election as early as possible, to ensure that the political condition in the country is stabilized.

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The Center for the Administration of Peace and Order (CAPO) urged the Senate not to appoint an interim Prime Minister, as being requested by anti-government groups, as it would amount to un-parliamentary selection and may also lead to violence in the country. (Foreign media is referring to the caretaker Prime Minister as the interim Prime Minister). Separately, the Rice Department is planning to hold a seminar on Good Manufacturing Practices (GMP) for rice millers and agricultural cooperatives focusing on quality assurance aspects, according to the Department's Director. He noted that the department wants to ensure that about 38,000 rice mills in the country are supervised for quality assurance.

Oryza Overnight Recap - Chicago Rough Rice Futures Paused a Cent-and-a-Half Higher on Low Overnight Volume Chicago rough rice futures for Jul delivery were paused 1.5 cents per cwt (about $0.33 per ton) higher overnight at $15.340 per cwt (about $338 per ton) as of 8:00am Chicago time. The other grains are seen lower this morning ahead of floor trading in Chicago: soybeans are currently seen a touch lower, wheat was paused about 0.7% lower, and corn is noted about 0.1% lower. U.S. stock index futures remained lower on Wednesday after the government reported wholesale prices increased the most in more than a year in April.

U.S. producer prices increased 0.6% in April, versus a 0.2% estimate. This follows a strong session on Wall Street on Tuesday, when the S&P 500 crossed 1,900 points for the first time and the Dow reached an intraday record of 16,735. Applications for mortgages edged a bit higher last week, as rates fell to their lowest level since November, the Mortgage Bankers Association reported. U.S. stock index futures are currently trading about 0.2% lower, gold is currently trading about 1% higher, crude oil is seen trading about 0.4% higher, and the U.S. dollar is currently trading about 0.1% lower at 8:00am Chicago time.

FAO Estimates Japan Paddy Rice Production to Decline to 10.6 Million Tons in 2014, Down 1.5% from Previous Year The UN's Food and Agriculture organization (FAO) has estimated Japan's paddy rice production to decline to about 10.6 million tons (around 7.2 million tons of milled rice) January-December 2014, down by about 1.5% from about 10.76 million tons (around 7.3 million tons of milled rice) due to a slight decline in planting area, in its country brief on Japan. Planting of the 2014 rice crop began in April and will continue until the end of May, according to the FAO.The FAO estimates Japan to import 700,000 tons of rice in the 2014-15 marketing year (April 2014 - March 2015).USDA estimates Japan's milled rice production at 7.83 million tons and imports at 700,000 tons in MY 2013-14 (November 2013 - October 2014) to meet the consumption needs of around 8.25 million tons.

Oryza Global Rice Quotes May 14th, 2014 Long grain white rice - high quality

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Thailand 100% B grade 385-395 ↔ Vietnam 5% broken 405-415 ↔ India 5% broken 420-430 ↑ Pakistan 5% broken 420-430 ↔ Cambodia 5% broken 435-445 ↔ U.S. 4% broken 580-590 ↔ Uruguay 5% broken 620-630 ↔ Argentina 5% broken 615-625 ↔ Long grain white rice - low quality Thailand 25% broken 340-350 ↔ Vietnam 25% broken 365-375 ↔ Pakistan 25% broken 370-380 ↔ Cambodia 25% broken 410-420 ↔ India 25% broken 380-390 ↑ U.S. 15% broken 555-565 ↔ Long grain parboiled rice Thailand parboiled 100% stxd 405-415 Pakistan parboiled 5% broken stxd 435-445 India parboiled 5% broken stxd 395-405 U.S. parboiled 4% broken 660-670 ↔ Brazil parboiled 5% broken NQ ↔ Uruguay parboiled 5% broken NQ ↔ Long grain fragrant rice Thailand Hommali 92% 935-945 ↔ Vietnam Jasmine 525-535 ↔ India basmati 2% broken NQ ↔ Pakistan basmati 2% broken NQ ↔ Cambodia Phka Malis 865-870 ↔ Brokens Thailand A1 Super 300-310 ↔ Vietnam 100% broken 335-345 ↔ Pakistan 100% broken stxd 325-335 ↔ Cambodia A1 Super 350-360 ↔ India 100% Broken stxd 300-310 ↔ Egypt medium grain brokens NQ ↔ U.S. pet food 470-480 ↔ Brazil half grain NQ ↔ Medium grain milled U.S. Calrose 4% broken 1070-1080 ↔ Egypt medium grain 6% NQ ↔

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All prices USD per ton, FOB vessel, oryza.com

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