February 2015 Downtown Denver Economic Update

Page 1

DOWNTOWN DENVER ECONOMIC UPDATE

RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT

FEBRUARY 2015

News & Rankings

Residential development in Downtown and its City Center neighborhoods continues at a brisk pace with 1,669 residential units created in 2014. Recently completed projects include 16M, AMLI at Riverfront Park, Verve, and Broadstone Blake Street. Skyhouse Denver, one of the tallest planned rental towers in Downtown’s history, recently broke ground and will add 354 new apartments to the Central Business District when the 26-story project is completed in the summer of 2016. Another new 34-story rental tower, The Confluence, recently commenced construction in the Central Platte Valley neighborhood and will add 288 new units when it is completed in 2017. On the for-sale front, there are 189 townhomes currently under construction or planned throughout the Downtown neighborhoods. For more information about development in Downtown Denver, refer to the Quarterly Development Map Updates at www.downtowndenver. com/resources-downloads.

White Lodging announced plans for an 18-story, dual-brand hotel tower on 15th and California Streets. The two new hotels, an AC Hotel by Marriott and a Le Méridien, will open in 2017.

Construction began on Skyhouse Denver, a 26-story luxury apartment building at Broadway and East 18th Avenue. The 354-unit apartment building will be completed in 2016.

WorldRemit, a London-based financial services firm, chose to locate their North American headquarters in Downtown Denver.

1401 17th Street, an office tower in LoDo, was acquired by Chicago-based Zeller Realty Group for $75 million. Other recent office building sales include 700 Broadway, purchased by CBRE Global Investors, and 1901 Broadway, purchased by Velocis.

RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENTS PLANNED OR UNDERWAY AS OF FEBRUARY 2015 City Center Neighborhood

For-Sale Units

Rental Units

Number of Projects

Auraria

-

-

-

Ballpark

-

315

2

Capitol Hill

8

423

5

Central Business District

-

776

3

CPV/Denver Union Station

-

2,763

10

Curtis Park/Five Points

73

369

7

Golden Triangle

17

938

5

Highland

36

431

6

Jefferson Park

55

332

3

La Alma/Lincoln Park

-

745

2

Lower Downtown

-

-

-

Uptown

-

372

1

189

7,464

44

Total

Sources: Downtown Denver Partnership, Metro Denver Economic Development Corporation, Denver Business Journal, Denver Post.

A report by Coldwell Banker concluded that Denver is the best commercial real estate market in the U.S. The annual report examines vacancy and rental rates for office, retail and multifamily markets as well as population and unemployment. Travel and lifestyle website, Matador Network, named Denver the 7th best place for coffee lovers in the world. NerdWallet found Denver is the 5th best place for job seekers in 2015. The report analyzed job availability, workforce growth and affordability. Real estate blog, movoto.com found Denver to be the 6th most creative city in the U.S. The ranking was based on the level of arts employment as well as the number of art galleries, art supply stores and bookstores in each city.

DOWNTOWN DENVER ECONOMIC UPDATE FEBRUARY 2015 EMPLOYMENT

About This Report

first and smallest area, the Business Improvement District (BID), is the core of Downtown Denver, The second area, “Downtown,” includes the BID as well as a few surrounding districts such as the Golden Triangle. The third area, City Center Neighborhoods, includes the BID, Downtown, and surrounding residential neighborhoods such as Uptown and Highland. Data in this report was provided by Development Research Partners. For questions or comments, please contact the Downtown Denver Partnership Research Department at 303-534-6161.

RESIDENTIAL REAL ESTATE

OFFICE MARKET

HOTEL MARKET

This report contains the most recent economic indicators available for Downtown Denver and the Business Improvement District. According to the most recent indicators, Downtown Denver economic conditions continue to improve. Employment growth is strong, consumers are spending at a healthy pace, and the downtown commercial real estate markets reported rising average lease rates and declining vacancy.

Summary

EMPLOYMENT Employment levels rose in both Downtown Denver and the Business Improvement District (BID) between the second quarters of 2013 and 2014, with employment levels rising 3.1 percent and 1.6 percent, respectively. The natural resources and construction supersector continued to report the strongest growth, generating an additional 1,700 jobs over-the-year in Downtown Denver.

2Q 2014

+3.1%

Metro Denver

+3.7%

Colorado

+3.4%

United States

+2.0%

BID

DOWNTOWN DENVER Industry

Share

Professional & Business Services

31%

35,625

36,972

3.8%

31,623

32,103

1.5%

Government

19%

23,430

23,053

-1.6%

20,999

20,718

-1.3%

Leisure & Hospitality

16%

18,870

19,523

3.5%

12,782

13,099

2.5%

Financial Activities

12%

14,435

14,658

1.5%

11,491

11,284

-1.8%

Natural Resources & Construction

9%

8,931

10,619

18.9%

8,654

9,793

13.2%

Information

3%

4,243

4,224

-0.4%

3,563

3,513

-1.4%

Wholesale & Retail Trade

3%

3,935

3,968

0.9%

2,951

2,943

-0.3%

Other Services

2%

2,743

2,732

-0.4%

2,236

2,346

4.9%

Education & Health Services

2%

2,687

2,705

0.7%

1,581

1,557

-1.5%

Transp., Warehousing & Utilities

1%

1,449

1,513

4.4%

1,351

1,393

3.2%

Manufacturing

1%

859

903

5.1%

113

121

7.7%

117,206

120,871 3.1%

97,343

98,872

1.6%

Total

2Q13

2Q14

Change

2Q13

2Q14

Change

121,000

Employment Trends Downtown Denver

This report includes the most recent quarterly data available and covers economic conditions in three areas. The

RETAIL SALES

119,000

DOWNTOWN DENVER HISTORICAL EMPLOYMENT

117,000 115,000 113,000 111,000 109,000

2Q10

4Q10

2Q11

4Q11

2Q12

4Q12

2Q13

4Q13

2Q14

Sources: Colorado Department of Labor and Employment, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages; Colorado Department of Labor and Employment, Labor Market Information, Current Employment Statistics; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; Development Research Partners; Downtown Denver Partnership.


DOWNTOWN DENVER ECONOMIC UPDATE

FEBRUARY 2015

RETAIL SALES RETAIL SALES DOWNTOWN

BID

Share

3Q13

3Q14

Change

3Q13

3Q14

Change

Restaurants

48%

$4,670,185

$5,312,649

13.8%

$3,755,297

$4,052,709

7.9%

Hotel & Other Accommodation Svcs.

19%

$1,613,875

$2,135,642

32.3%

$1,415,972

$1,733,628

22.4%

Clothing/Accessory Stores

7%

$734,250

$724,522

-1.3%

$729,861

$721,718

-1.1%

Miscellaneous Stores

6%

$684,898

$714,677

4.3%

$309,694

$320,934

3.6%

Manufacturing

5%

$483,213

$509,897

5.5%

$406,029

$411,967

1.5%

Information Producers/Distributors

3%

$367,082

$379,268

3.3%

$365,819

$375,355

2.6%

Motor Vehicles & Auto Parts

3%

$379,657

$371,715

-2.1%

$195,856

$171,022

-12.7%

Other Categories (under 3% each of total)

9%

$774,452

$954,856

23%

$461,310

$595,167

129%

Total

$9,707,612

$11,103,226

14.4%

$7,639,838

$8,382,500

9.7%

4Q13

4Q14

AVG. LEASE RATE* Change

4Q13

4Q14

Change

OFFICE BID

12.4%

10.4%

-2.0

$29.37

$31.45

7.1%

Downtown

11.7%

9.7%

-2.0

$29.03

$31.16

7.3%

Metro Denver

11.2%

10.0%

-1.2

$22.06

$22.87

3.7%

INDUSTRIAL BID **

0.0%

0.0%

0.0

-

-

-

Downtown

0.0%

1.3%

1.3

$11.04

$11.92

8.0%

Metro Denver

3.9%

3.0%

-0.9

$5.07

$6.10

20.3%

RETAIL * Vacancy and average lease rates are for direct space only. Retail and industrial rates are triple-net. ** The BID contains one industrial property, which is occupied.

BID

7.0%

6.5%

-0.5

$20.99

$30.36

44.6%

Downtown

4.8%

4.4%

-0.4

$20.13

$28.01

39.1%

Metro Denver

6.0%

5.6%

-0.5

$15.40

$15.47

0.5%

HISTORICAL OFFICE AVE. LEASE RATE $32.00 $31.00

CITY CENTER NEIGHBORHOODS

DOWNTOWN Change

VACANCY RATE*

15.0%

Residential real estate indicators from the third quarter in Downtown Denver and the City Center Neighborhoods were mixed. Fewer homes sold in both areas due to record low inventory. In Downtown Denver, average sales price and price per square foot for homes sold also decreased. However, in City Center neighborhoods, the average sales price and price per square foot of homes sold increased.

3Q14

The commercial real estate market improved in the Downtown Denver market area between the fourth quarters of 2013 and 2014. Downtown Denver reported declining vacancy rates in both the office and retail markets, where rates fell 2 percentage points and 0.4 percentage points, respectively. The average lease rate for office space in Downtown Denver rose 7.3 percent, while the average lease rate for retail space rose 39.1 percent.

HISTORICAL OFFICE VACANCY RATE

RESIDENTIAL REAL ESTATE

3Q13

FEBRUARY 2015

OFFICE, RETAIL & INDUSTRIAL MARKET

Retail sales tax collections in Downtown Denver were 14.4% higher in the third quarter of 2014 compared with the prior year. Hotels & Other Accommodation Services, Downtown Denver’s second largest retail category, increased by over 30% for the second quarter in a row.

Industry

DOWNTOWN DENVER ECONOMIC UPDATE

3Q13

3Q14

Change

METRO DENVER 3Q13

3Q14

Change

13.5%

$30.00 $29.00

12.0%

$28.00 $27.00

10.5%

$26.00

9.0%

4Q09 2Q10 4Q10 2Q11 4Q11 2Q12 4Q12 2Q13 4Q13 2Q14 4Q14

4Q09 2Q10 4Q10 2Q11 4Q11 2Q12 4Q12 2Q13 4Q13 2Q14 4Q14

CONDOMINIUMS/TOWNHOMES Total Homes Sold Ave. Sales Price Ave. Price/sf

174

153

-12.1%

399

353

-11.5%

4,163

4,683

12.5%

$434,671

$420,983

-3.1%

$316,033

$327,106

3.5%

$201,016

$202,745

0.9%

$370

$355

-4.2%

$307

$310

0.9%

$172

$174

1.3%

SINGLE FAMILY HOMES 0

0

--%

109

91

-16.5%

13,382

13,514

1.0%

Ave. Sales Price

N/A

N/A

--%

$396,409

$445,676

12.4%

$347,994

$363,838

4.6%

Ave. Price/sf

N/A

N/A

0.0%

$276

$294

6.3%

$190

$201

5.7%

Total Homes Sold

ALL HOMES Total Homes Sold Ave. Sales Price Ave. Price/sf

HOTEL MARKET Indicators show the hotel market in Downtown Denver has been very strong as of the end of 2014. Occupancy rates, average daily room rates and RevPAR are all are higher than 2013 year-to-date levels. Also, retail sales tax collections from Hotel and Other Accommodation Services have been posting significant increases in recent quarters. OCCUPANCY RATE

AVERAGE DAILY ROOM RATE

REVENUE PER AVAILABLE ROOM (REVPAR)

2014 Year-to-Date*

78.2%

$171.86

$134.34

174

153

-12.1%

508

444

-12.6%

17,545

18,197

3.7%

2013 Year-to-Date*

73.2%

$158.64

$116.16

$434,671

$420,983

-3.1%

$333,279

$445,676

5.4%

$313,120

$322,381

3.0%

Change

6.8%

8.3%

15.7%

$370

$355

-4.2%

$299

$294

2.4%

$187

$196

4.7%

*Data through end of December 2014

Sources: City and County of Denver Office of the Controller, Colorado Comps.

Sources: CoStar Realty Information, Downtown Denver Partnership, Rocky Mountain Lodging Report.


DOWNTOWN DENVER ECONOMIC UPDATE

FEBRUARY 2015

RETAIL SALES RETAIL SALES DOWNTOWN

BID

Share

3Q13

3Q14

Change

3Q13

3Q14

Change

Restaurants

48%

$4,670,185

$5,312,649

13.8%

$3,755,297

$4,052,709

7.9%

Hotel & Other Accommodation Svcs.

19%

$1,613,875

$2,135,642

32.3%

$1,415,972

$1,733,628

22.4%

Clothing/Accessory Stores

7%

$734,250

$724,522

-1.3%

$729,861

$721,718

-1.1%

Miscellaneous Stores

6%

$684,898

$714,677

4.3%

$309,694

$320,934

3.6%

Manufacturing

5%

$483,213

$509,897

5.5%

$406,029

$411,967

1.5%

Information Producers/Distributors

3%

$367,082

$379,268

3.3%

$365,819

$375,355

2.6%

Motor Vehicles & Auto Parts

3%

$379,657

$371,715

-2.1%

$195,856

$171,022

-12.7%

Other Categories (under 3% each of total)

9%

$774,452

$954,856

23%

$461,310

$595,167

129%

Total

$9,707,612

$11,103,226

14.4%

$7,639,838

$8,382,500

9.7%

4Q13

4Q14

AVG. LEASE RATE* Change

4Q13

4Q14

Change

OFFICE BID

12.4%

10.4%

-2.0

$29.37

$31.45

7.1%

Downtown

11.7%

9.7%

-2.0

$29.03

$31.16

7.3%

Metro Denver

11.2%

10.0%

-1.2

$22.06

$22.87

3.7%

INDUSTRIAL BID **

0.0%

0.0%

0.0

-

-

-

Downtown

0.0%

1.3%

1.3

$11.04

$11.92

8.0%

Metro Denver

3.9%

3.0%

-0.9

$5.07

$6.10

20.3%

RETAIL * Vacancy and average lease rates are for direct space only. Retail and industrial rates are triple-net. ** The BID contains one industrial property, which is occupied.

BID

7.0%

6.5%

-0.5

$20.99

$30.36

44.6%

Downtown

4.8%

4.4%

-0.4

$20.13

$28.01

39.1%

Metro Denver

6.0%

5.6%

-0.5

$15.40

$15.47

0.5%

HISTORICAL OFFICE AVE. LEASE RATE $32.00 $31.00

CITY CENTER NEIGHBORHOODS

DOWNTOWN Change

VACANCY RATE*

15.0%

Residential real estate indicators from the third quarter in Downtown Denver and the City Center Neighborhoods were mixed. Fewer homes sold in both areas due to record low inventory. In Downtown Denver, average sales price and price per square foot for homes sold also decreased. However, in City Center neighborhoods, the average sales price and price per square foot of homes sold increased.

3Q14

The commercial real estate market improved in the Downtown Denver market area between the fourth quarters of 2013 and 2014. Downtown Denver reported declining vacancy rates in both the office and retail markets, where rates fell 2 percentage points and 0.4 percentage points, respectively. The average lease rate for office space in Downtown Denver rose 7.3 percent, while the average lease rate for retail space rose 39.1 percent.

HISTORICAL OFFICE VACANCY RATE

RESIDENTIAL REAL ESTATE

3Q13

FEBRUARY 2015

OFFICE, RETAIL & INDUSTRIAL MARKET

Retail sales tax collections in Downtown Denver were 14.4% higher in the third quarter of 2014 compared with the prior year. Hotels & Other Accommodation Services, Downtown Denver’s second largest retail category, increased by over 30% for the second quarter in a row.

Industry

DOWNTOWN DENVER ECONOMIC UPDATE

3Q13

3Q14

Change

METRO DENVER 3Q13

3Q14

Change

13.5%

$30.00 $29.00

12.0%

$28.00 $27.00

10.5%

$26.00

9.0%

4Q09 2Q10 4Q10 2Q11 4Q11 2Q12 4Q12 2Q13 4Q13 2Q14 4Q14

4Q09 2Q10 4Q10 2Q11 4Q11 2Q12 4Q12 2Q13 4Q13 2Q14 4Q14

CONDOMINIUMS/TOWNHOMES Total Homes Sold Ave. Sales Price Ave. Price/sf

174

153

-12.1%

399

353

-11.5%

4,163

4,683

12.5%

$434,671

$420,983

-3.1%

$316,033

$327,106

3.5%

$201,016

$202,745

0.9%

$370

$355

-4.2%

$307

$310

0.9%

$172

$174

1.3%

SINGLE FAMILY HOMES 0

0

--%

109

91

-16.5%

13,382

13,514

1.0%

Ave. Sales Price

N/A

N/A

--%

$396,409

$445,676

12.4%

$347,994

$363,838

4.6%

Ave. Price/sf

N/A

N/A

0.0%

$276

$294

6.3%

$190

$201

5.7%

Total Homes Sold

ALL HOMES Total Homes Sold Ave. Sales Price Ave. Price/sf

HOTEL MARKET Indicators show the hotel market in Downtown Denver has been very strong as of the end of 2014. Occupancy rates, average daily room rates and RevPAR are all are higher than 2013 year-to-date levels. Also, retail sales tax collections from Hotel and Other Accommodation Services have been posting significant increases in recent quarters. OCCUPANCY RATE

AVERAGE DAILY ROOM RATE

REVENUE PER AVAILABLE ROOM (REVPAR)

2014 Year-to-Date*

78.2%

$171.86

$134.34

174

153

-12.1%

508

444

-12.6%

17,545

18,197

3.7%

2013 Year-to-Date*

73.2%

$158.64

$116.16

$434,671

$420,983

-3.1%

$333,279

$445,676

5.4%

$313,120

$322,381

3.0%

Change

6.8%

8.3%

15.7%

$370

$355

-4.2%

$299

$294

2.4%

$187

$196

4.7%

*Data through end of December 2014

Sources: City and County of Denver Office of the Controller, Colorado Comps.

Sources: CoStar Realty Information, Downtown Denver Partnership, Rocky Mountain Lodging Report.


DOWNTOWN DENVER ECONOMIC UPDATE

RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT

FEBRUARY 2015

News & Rankings

Residential development in Downtown and its City Center neighborhoods continues at a brisk pace with 1,669 residential units created in 2014. Recently completed projects include 16M, AMLI at Riverfront Park, Verve, and Broadstone Blake Street. Skyhouse Denver, one of the tallest planned rental towers in Downtown’s history, recently broke ground and will add 354 new apartments to the Central Business District when the 26-story project is completed in the summer of 2016. Another new 34-story rental tower, The Confluence, recently commenced construction in the Central Platte Valley neighborhood and will add 288 new units when it is completed in 2017. On the for-sale front, there are 189 townhomes currently under construction or planned throughout the Downtown neighborhoods. For more information about development in Downtown Denver, refer to the Quarterly Development Map Updates at www.downtowndenver. com/resources-downloads.

White Lodging announced plans for an 18-story, dual-brand hotel tower on 15th and California Streets. The two new hotels, an AC Hotel by Marriott and a Le Méridien, will open in 2017.

Construction began on Skyhouse Denver, a 26-story luxury apartment building at Broadway and East 18th Avenue. The 354-unit apartment building will be completed in 2016.

WorldRemit, a London-based financial services firm, chose to locate their North American headquarters in Downtown Denver.

1401 17th Street, an office tower in LoDo, was acquired by Chicago-based Zeller Realty Group for $75 million. Other recent office building sales include 700 Broadway, purchased by CBRE Global Investors, and 1901 Broadway, purchased by Velocis.

RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENTS PLANNED OR UNDERWAY AS OF FEBRUARY 2015 City Center Neighborhood

For-Sale Units

Rental Units

Number of Projects

Auraria

-

-

-

Ballpark

-

315

2

Capitol Hill

8

423

5

Central Business District

-

776

3

CPV/Denver Union Station

-

2,763

10

Curtis Park/Five Points

73

369

7

Golden Triangle

17

938

5

Highland

36

431

6

Jefferson Park

55

332

3

La Alma/Lincoln Park

-

745

2

Lower Downtown

-

-

-

Uptown

-

372

1

189

7,464

44

Total

Sources: Downtown Denver Partnership, Metro Denver Economic Development Corporation, Denver Business Journal, Denver Post.

A report by Coldwell Banker concluded that Denver is the best commercial real estate market in the U.S. The annual report examines vacancy and rental rates for office, retail and multifamily markets as well as population and unemployment. Travel and lifestyle website, Matador Network, named Denver the 7th best place for coffee lovers in the world. NerdWallet found Denver is the 5th best place for job seekers in 2015. The report analyzed job availability, workforce growth and affordability. Real estate blog, movoto.com found Denver to be the 6th most creative city in the U.S. The ranking was based on the level of arts employment as well as the number of art galleries, art supply stores and bookstores in each city.

DOWNTOWN DENVER ECONOMIC UPDATE FEBRUARY 2015 EMPLOYMENT

About This Report

first and smallest area, the Business Improvement District (BID), is the core of Downtown Denver, The second area, “Downtown,” includes the BID as well as a few surrounding districts such as the Golden Triangle. The third area, City Center Neighborhoods, includes the BID, Downtown, and surrounding residential neighborhoods such as Uptown and Highland. Data in this report was provided by Development Research Partners. For questions or comments, please contact the Downtown Denver Partnership Research Department at 303-534-6161.

RESIDENTIAL REAL ESTATE

OFFICE MARKET

HOTEL MARKET

This report contains the most recent economic indicators available for Downtown Denver and the Business Improvement District. According to the most recent indicators, Downtown Denver economic conditions continue to improve. Employment growth is strong, consumers are spending at a healthy pace, and the downtown commercial real estate markets reported rising average lease rates and declining vacancy.

Summary

EMPLOYMENT Employment levels rose in both Downtown Denver and the Business Improvement District (BID) between the second quarters of 2013 and 2014, with employment levels rising 3.1 percent and 1.6 percent, respectively. The natural resources and construction supersector continued to report the strongest growth, generating an additional 1,700 jobs over-the-year in Downtown Denver.

2Q 2014

+3.1%

Metro Denver

+3.7%

Colorado

+3.4%

United States

+2.0%

BID

DOWNTOWN DENVER Industry

Share

Professional & Business Services

31%

35,625

36,972

3.8%

31,623

32,103

1.5%

Government

19%

23,430

23,053

-1.6%

20,999

20,718

-1.3%

Leisure & Hospitality

16%

18,870

19,523

3.5%

12,782

13,099

2.5%

Financial Activities

12%

14,435

14,658

1.5%

11,491

11,284

-1.8%

Natural Resources & Construction

9%

8,931

10,619

18.9%

8,654

9,793

13.2%

Information

3%

4,243

4,224

-0.4%

3,563

3,513

-1.4%

Wholesale & Retail Trade

3%

3,935

3,968

0.9%

2,951

2,943

-0.3%

Other Services

2%

2,743

2,732

-0.4%

2,236

2,346

4.9%

Education & Health Services

2%

2,687

2,705

0.7%

1,581

1,557

-1.5%

Transp., Warehousing & Utilities

1%

1,449

1,513

4.4%

1,351

1,393

3.2%

Manufacturing

1%

859

903

5.1%

113

121

7.7%

117,206

120,871 3.1%

97,343

98,872

1.6%

Total

2Q13

2Q14

Change

2Q13

2Q14

Change

121,000

Employment Trends Downtown Denver

This report includes the most recent quarterly data available and covers economic conditions in three areas. The

RETAIL SALES

119,000

DOWNTOWN DENVER HISTORICAL EMPLOYMENT

117,000 115,000 113,000 111,000 109,000

2Q10

4Q10

2Q11

4Q11

2Q12

4Q12

2Q13

4Q13

2Q14

Sources: Colorado Department of Labor and Employment, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages; Colorado Department of Labor and Employment, Labor Market Information, Current Employment Statistics; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; Development Research Partners; Downtown Denver Partnership.


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