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Embracing the fuel of the future Will we still be purchasing gas in the years to come? Or is hydrogen set to take over? John Williams examines the pros and cons of a hydrogen-based energy future.
H
ydrogen does not emit any carbon when burned and so it could be considered a zero-carbon energy source, depending on how it is produced. It can be used as a replacement for natural gas in many situations, including power generation, industrial feedstocks, process heat, and domestic heat and cooking. It can also be used with fuel cells to decarbonise transport. In short, hydrogen can help decarbonise sectors where a total electrification solution could be extremely difficult and expensive to achieve. The energy industry has grasped the potential of hydrogen and many projects are underway to investigate its production and use. These projects vary in scale from smaller investigations into standalone electrolysers, to blending hydrogen with natural gas in existing networks, hydrogen Combined Cycle Gas Turbines (CCGTs) and the grand ambitions of the H21 project in the north of England. H21 North of England aims to convert 3.7m UK homes and businesses from natural gas to hydrogen, making it the world’s largest clean energy project. For gas producers and network companies, hydrogen provides a possible answer to the existential threat of an all-electric world. If natural gas can be converted into hydrogen with little or no carbon emissions, then the existing gas networks could be repurposed to deliver hydrogen to provide heat to industry and homes. Hydrogen can also be stored in many of the existing natural gas storage facilities and this could allow a form of seasonal storage that renewables alone cannot provide. Any discussion of hydrogen as a fuel source raises questions about its safety. Hydrogen is highly flammable and so there are concerns around transporting and storing the gas, especially in a domestic environment.
Methods of producing hydrogen Electrolysis – electricity is used to separate water into hydrogen and oxygen. If the electricity is renewable the hydrogen is considered zero carbon. This is sometimes called ‘Green’ or ‘Renewable Hydrogen’. Steam Methane Reformation (SMR) – refers to a chemical synthesis that reacts steam at high pressure to produce hydrogen and carbon dioxide from hydrocarbons such as natural gas. This is sometimes referred to as ‘Grey Hydrogen’. SMR with Carbon Capture Utilisation and Storage (CCUS) – where CCUS is added to the SMR process to capture and prevent release of the carbon dioxide, the process can be considered as low carbon. This is sometimes referred to as ‘Blue Hydrogen’. Thermal Methane Pyrolysis (TMP) – this involves natural gas and a low-temperature, high-pressure reaction with no oxygen present to produce hydrogen and solid carbon. This is also ‘Blue Hydrogen’.
Alternative to electrification For industry, hydrogen offers a route to decarbonisation that otherwise could be extremely costly and difficult. It offers an alternative to electrification – which for some may not even be feasible – and an alternative to the installation of carbon capture at individual plants. Converting power to hydrogen allows excess renewable electricity to be used, adding value and creating further revenue for renewables and avoiding curtailment of surplus energy. It also raises the possibility of using hydrogen as a storage medium for electricity. Excess electricity can be used to create hydrogen at times of low demand or price, which can then be stored and converted back into electricity when demand or price increases. In reality, there are many issues that need to be considered before starting to deploy hydrogen as a fuel-source. First, the hydrogen supply chain will need to be significantly expanded to meet the potential demand, including production,
John Williams is senior principal at Pöyry Management Consulting
transport and storage. Unfortunately, there are significant risks to this expansion as there is no certainty that the demand will follow. Second, there are issues with each of the hydrogen production methods. Grey hydrogen (see box below) is not low carbon and so has little role to play in a decarbonised energy environment. Blue hydrogen needs CCS, and although this is a proven technology, we are not yet at a stage where it can be deployed economically at scale. Green hydrogen is the most expensive of the production methods and will require very low electricity prices and reductions in the costs of electrolysis to make it a reality. Pyrolysis is not yet proven to be a scalable solution that is competitive with the other production methods. Despite this, if hydrogen is the solution to decarbonising the difficult sectors of residential heat, industrial heat and the heavier end of the transport sector then these issues will need to be overcome. Pöyry’s study ‘Decarbonising Europe’s Energy System by 2050’ compared a zero-carbon gas pathway with an all-electric pathway and examined the potential role for hydrogen for the heat, power and transport sectors. In the zero-carbon gas pathway, hydrogen demand is expected to grow significantly in these three sectors to reach over 2,000TWh by 2050. Looking at different production costs of hydrogen, the study found that hydrogen production costs from methane reformation were consistently lower than hydrogen produced by electrolysis. This is because by 2050 a flexible demand side made possible by millions of electric vehicles, and high levels of interconnection, mean that there is generally an absence of many very low electricity price periods, which otherwise would support hydrogen production from electrolysis at lower cost than from methane reformation. Subsequently methane reformation is the dominant source of hydrogen production. The potential of hydrogen is clear, but the route to realising this potential is uncertain. There are numerous barriers that will need to be overcome which include creating a business case, acceptance of CCS, public acceptance of hydrogen at home as well as proving how safe hydrogen is.
34 | ENERGY IN BUILDINGS & INDUSTRY | FEBRUARY 2020
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