Daily Agri Report of 20 Aug 2018 by Epic Research

Page 1

20-Aug-2018 Agri Commodity Update

For More Information Please visit www.epicresearch.co or contact info@epicresearch.co Please refer to disclaimer at the end of the report.


Agri Commodity Update Market Views MONTH

OPEN

HIGH

LOW

CLOSE

% CHG

VOL

MONTH

OPEN

HIGH

LOW

CORIANDER

AUG

4900

4911

4860

SUPPORT

SUPP.1

SUPP. 2

4873

4841

4906

4892 RESISTANCE

RES. 1

RES. 2

4924

4943

-0.49

4300

Coriander short term trend is bearish and may continue in coming days.

-

-

-

-

SUPPORT

SUPP. 1

SUPP. 2

-

-

7012

7048

6950

SUPPORT

SUPP. 1

SUPP. 2

6957

6904

7010

7002 RESISTANCE

RES. 1

RES. 2

7055

7100

-

-

-

PIVOT

LEVELS

RESISTANC E

RES. 1

RES. 2

-

-

-

-

GUARGUM 5MT

PIVOT

INTRADAY LEVELS

VOL

INTRADAY

TURMERIC

AUG

% CHG

CASTORSEED

PIVOT

INTRADAY LEVELS

CLOSE

-0.63

3660

Turmeric short term trend is bearish and may continue in coming days.

AUG

9922

9990

9741

SUPPORT

SUPP. 1

SUPP. 2

9803

9647

9959

PIVOT

INTRADAY LEVELS

9896 RESISTANCE

RES. 1

RES. 2

10052

10145

-1.01

32480

Guargum Short term trend is bearish and may continue in coming days.


Agri Commodity Update Most Active Contract TOP GAINERS Symbol

Expiry Date

Current Price

Change

NCDEX INDICES

Change %

RAPESEED-MUSTARD SEED

20-08-2018

4160.00

32.00

0.78%

Index

SOY BEAN

16-10-2018

3375.00

26.00

0.78%

Castorseed

4609

4643

-0.73

JEERA

20-08-2018

19325.00

85.00

0.44%

Chana

4290

4339

-1.13

REF SOYA OIL

20-08-2018

737.35

2.80

0.38%

Coriander

4830

4853

-0.47

Guargum5MT

8880

8785

1.08

Jeera

19495

19240

1.33

Musterseed

4168

4128

0.97

Value

Pre. Close

% Change

TOP LOSERS Symbol

Expiry Date

Current Price

Change

Change %

CASTOR SEED

20-08-2018

4609.00

-34.00

-0.73%

COTTON SEED OIL CAKE AKOLA

20-08-2018

1730.00

-11.50

-0.66%

CHANA

20-08-2018

4315.00

-24.00

-0.55%

Soybean

3370

3349

0.63

CORIANDER

20-08-2018

4830.00

-23.00

-0.47%

Turmeric

6966

6960

0.09


Agri Commodity Update Commodities In News  Thanks to the current upswing in the commodity price supercycle, it may take another few years of increase before a downturn in investments will be felt. While commodity investments are fairly stable, there have been a total of three downturns in the last 150 years. This stability in commodity investments, plus the added advantage of having an option to own a physical product, often prompts would-be investors in the commodity direction. For beginners, a way to understand commodity markets is to relate it back home to something they understand and can easily predict. The investor’s occupation is a good place to start.  Now NCDEX Soyabean is getting support at 3317 and below same could see a test of 3284 level, And resistance is now likely to be seen at 3369, a move above could see prices testing 3388. Soyabean on NCDEX settled up by 0.96% at 3349 tracking firmness in spot demand amid tight stocks. Traders are expecting revival of demand in spot markets from millers hoping fresh demand for soymeal. Projection of multi-year carry forward for next year provided support to prices. India's soybean acreage rose 9% to 11.1 million hectare on the back of higher minimum support price (MSP) and good weather conditions.  Now MCX Cotton is getting support at 23364 and below same could see a test of 23197 levels and resistance is now likely to be seen at 23674, a move above could see prices testing 23817. Cotton on MCX settled down by -0.88% at 23530 tracking weakness in spot demand on profit booking after prices gained on irregular rains in cotton growing states which may affect yields. Gujarat witness deficient rains so far while in Maharashtra there is an attack of pest this year. Cotton growers in Saurashtra and North Gujarat — two key cotton growing regions in the State — have raised an alarm with most of the districts facing deficient rains in the range of 6288% of the normal rainfall.

ECONOMIC NEWS 

MCX Mentha oil is getting support at 1638.3 and below same could see a test of 1608.8 levels and resistance is now likely to be seen at 1686.3, a move above could see prices testing 1704.8. Mentha oil on MCX settled up by 0.92% at 1667.8 due to bullish demand outlook from domestic market as well as exporters. Spot markets are also witnessing strong consumption demand amid restricted supplies. Bumper crop harvest has been discounted in the market and market is moving upwards on rising demand from end users. Arrivals in Sambhal stood at 400 drums compared to 350 drum a day ago while in Barabanki supplies rose to 500 drums from 450 drums a day earlier. According to preliminary estimates, mentha oil production in 2018-19 would be 40,00045,000 ton against last year's production of 35,000 tons. There could be chances of crop damage to certain extend due to unfavourable weather condition. Besides, farmers are likely to hold back the stocks as the present prices are not remunerative for them. 

Heavy rainfall in southern and eastern India has boosted water levels in the country’s main reservoirs by an average 9% in the last one week, according to data from the Central Water Commission (CWC). Farmers and analysts said judicious utilisation of the water in reservoirs in Kerala, Karnataka and Tamil Nadu can ensure water availability till kharif planting of 2019. On Thursday, these dams together held 84.743 billion cubic metres (bcm) of water, which was 12% higher than last year’s levels, but 4% less than the 10-year average, the CWC data showed. Last week, the capacity was 77.554 bcm. “The reservoir position is definitely in excess in the south Indian states of Kerala, Karnataka and Tamil Nadu, while in east India it is good. A matter of concern is west and northern states, but with monsoon season going on, the situation can improve there too,” said Masood Husain, chairman, CWC.


Agri Commodity Update Technical Outlook

SELL CORIANDER SEP BELOW 4850 TARGET 4830/4810/4790 SL 4870

BUY GUARGUM5 OCT ABOVE 9720 TARGET 9680/9640/9600 SL 9770

SELL TURMERIC SEP BELOW 6940 TARGET 6910/6880/6850 SL 6980


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