Special Report 5-Sep-2018
Global markets at a glance Asian stocks tracked their global peers lower while the safe -haven dollar was broadly higher on Wednesday as worries over persistent trade conflicts curbed investor appetite for riskier assets. MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was down 0.2 percent. Australian stocks lost 0.4 percent, South Korea's KOSPI dropped 0.3 percent and Japan's Nikkei shed 0.25 percent. MSCI’s gauge of stocks across the globe shed about 0.5 percent the previous day. “The U.S.-Canada talks are due to resume today and this keeps trade issues at the forefront, with a wait-and-see mood prevailing in the equity markets,” said Masahiro Ichikawa, senior strategist at Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management in Tokyo. Asian shares fell and the dollar turned higher on Tuesday as the trade dispute between the United States and China threatened to escalate this week, and as emergency austerity measures in Argentina underscored the turbulence gripping emerging markets. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan, was down 0.3 percent. Chinese blue-chips also fell 0.3 percent, reversing earlier gains.Japan's Nikkei slid less than 0.1 percent, while Australian shares were 0.4 percent lower ahead of a central bank policy meeting. Previous day Roundup The Nifty50 extended losses for the second consecutive session on Tuesday, falling briefly below 11,500 levels intraday after the rupee hit record low of 71.57 to the dollar and rising crude oil prices. The index closed sharply lower, forming bearish candle on the daily charts. All sectoral indices closed in the red with Bank, Auto, FMCG, Metal and Pharma correcting upto 2 percent while IT was the only gainer, rising 2 percent on rupee weakness.The midcaps and smallcaps hit hard as the Nifty Midcap and Smallcap indices fell more than 2.5 percent. The Nifty50 remained volatile from the beginning of trade, opening at 11,598.75 and closing at 11,520.30. The index after opening higher fell immediately and bounced back to hit an intraday high of 11,602.55, but erased those gains to trade lower. It managed to rebound in afternoon but failed to hold those gains and hit an intraday low of 11,496.85 before closing 62.10 points down at 11,520.30. Index stats The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial in dices performed as follow; Commodities[-80.05], Consumption[-119.85pts],Bank[ -388.75pts],Auto[ 181.55pts],FinService[-109.70pts],Fmcg[-666.90pts],Media [-84.30pts],Pharma[-154.35pts],IT[324.00pts],Metal[71.10pts],Realty[-5.05 pts], Pvt Bank[-5.05pts].
World Indices Index
Value
% Change
25,964.82
-0.09
S&P500
2,905.25
+0.13
NASDAQ
8,109.54
+0.24
FTSE100
7,504.60
+0.96
22,642.01 27,721.21
-0.29 +0.03
DJI
NIKKEI HANG SENG
Top Gainers Company
CMP
Change
% Chg
2,593.40
101.40
4.07
51.05
1.70
3.44
28,885.85
826.10
2.94
Wipro
308.35
7.10
2.36
Titan Company
912.75
20.85
2.34
CMP
Change
% Chg
2,724.05 1,699.10 194.50 631.80 745.65
-132.55 -81.00 -7.00 -17.45 -20.15
-4.64 -4.55 -3.47 -2.69 -2.6
Dr Reddys Labs Idea Cellular Eicher Motors
Top Losers Company
Bajaj Finance HUL Power Grid Corp Axis Bank Tech Mahindra
Stocks at 52 Week’s HIGH ALBERTDAVD CANTABIL
703.65 147.8
5.05 4.65
0.72 3.15
ELECTROSL
11.55
0.55
4.76
GANGOTRI
2.7
0.1
3.7
GKWLIMITED
1228.55
-38.55
-3.14
GREAVESCOT
153.6
4.05
2.64
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
983.7 17.5 5.1 60.05 80.05
-0.7 -0.85 0.1 -1 -1.35
-0.07 -4.86 1.96 -1.67 -1.69
Stocks at 52 Week’s LOW Symbol
ACCELYA AICHAMP ALCHEM AUTOIND BGRENERGY
Indian Indices Company
CMP
Change
% Chg
NIFTY
11520.30
-62.10
-0.54
SENSEX
38157.92
-154.60
-0.40
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Special Report 5-Sep-2018
RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE] 1. ONGC [FUTURE ] From the daily chart it is clear that the particular script has multiple support level around 173-170 from where it can show some bounce back since the the market is showing negative trend the trader should wait for the stock price to sustain at its support level so we advice you to buy ongc around its level of 171-172 for the targets of 175-178 with stoploss below 169.
2. TECHM [FUTURE] The particular counter is fluctuating between its range of 760-770, as per the daily chart it clearly show upward trend with good strength in its movement. Today it can show breakout above its resistance level of 770 since IT sector is also showing strength so we advice you to buy techm around the levels of 772-775 for the targets of 780-790 with stoploss below 765.
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH] BAJAJELEC [CASH] From the daily chart it is clear that the particular script has a support level around 545-543 from where it can show some bounce back in the intraday movement.Today the aggressive traders can get a gain by buying around the levels of 545-546 for the targets of 555–565 with stoploss below 538.
MACRO NEWS Trends on SGX Nifty indicate a negative opening for the broader index in India, a fall of 22.5 points or 0.19 percent. Nifty futures were trading around 11,560level on the Singaporean Exchange. Oil prices fell on Wednesday, partly reversing a strong jump from the previous day, as the impact of a tropical storm on US Gulf coast production was not as strong as initially expected. US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were at USD 69.34 per barrel at 0036 GMT, down 53 cents, or 0.8 percent, from their last settlement. International Brent crude futures fell 34 cents, or 0.4 percent, to USD 77.83 a barrel. Brent crude oil was up 37 cents at USD 78.01 a barrel by 2:54 p.m. EDT (1854 GMT). US crude was 30 cents higher at USD 70.10. Enthused by 8.2 percent GDP growth in the first quarter of 2018-19, the Finance Ministry expressed the hope that economy may expand at 7.5 percent in the current fiscal. The country's economy is on steady growth path, Economic Affairs Secretary S C Garg said while commenting on the April-June quarter growth number. The robust performance this quarter gives hope that growth could exceed even estimates 7.5 percent this fiscal, he said. He also said that the fiscal deficit will not exceed 3.3 percent of the GDP in 2018-19.
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Special Report 5-Sep-2018
STOCKS IN NEWS
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Mindtree: GHD Digital and Mindtree collaborating on a broad Digital platform targeted to the property and infrastructure sectors. Partnership offers a disruptive approach to connected buildings to dramatically reduce costs and optimize experiences.
1,42,208
43,95,075
1,35,418
28,09,425
Ashok Leyland: Total sales up 27 percent at 17,386 units versus 13,637 units (YoY)
0.25
9,152
52,72,000
1,300
16.1
8,009
31,02,000
CE
1,260
29.9
7,401
15,35,000
CE
1,280
22.2
5,935
21,75,000
TATAMOTORS CE
280
3.7
5,702
57,61,500
Symbol
Optio Strike n Price Type
LTP
Traded Volume (Contracts)
Open Interest
BANKNIFTY
CE
27,600
90.5
1,56,499
4,45,800
NIFTY
CE
11,800
47.5
NIFTY
CE
11,700 80.15
ADANIENT
CE
240
RELIANCE
CE
RELIANCE RELIANCE
MARUTIACTIVE PUT CE OPTION 9,000 111.5 5,823 MOST Symbol
Optio Strike n Price Type
NIFTY
NIFTY FUTURE
2,83,500
LTP
Traded Volume (Contracts)
Open Interest
PE
11,500 109.25
1,63,539
36,77,700
BANKNIFTY
PE
27,000
16.2
1,33,920
4,69,480
NIFTY
PE
11,600 148.25
1,27,304
RELIANCE
PE
1,200 12.05
5,719
RELIANCE
PE
1,220
18.1
3,831
ADANIENT
PE
190
0.5
3,757
TCS
PE
2,050
17
3,641
MARUTI
PE
8,700 104.4
3,554
Yesterday nifty closed with a negative candle it felt 62 33,28,800 points in future 10550 is a level which may act as 16,48,000 support level but it may show some weakness .On the upper side 10610 is its intraday resistance level it may 7,17,000 show some upside movement upto this level after that it 29,72,000 can resume its downtrend so we advice to sell nifty 4,13,000 future around 10610-10620 for the targets of 1055010500 with stoploss above 10670. 37,275
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS BUY
SELL
No. of Contracts
Amount in Crores
INDEX FUTURES
23815
2236.61
28644
2630.26
INDEX OPTIONS
684230
69972.69
667336
STOCK FUTURES
181371
12901.39
STOCK OPTIONS
121173
9471.83
OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
No. of Amount in No. of Contracts Crores Contracts
Amount in Crores
NET AMOUNT
221172
19352.09
-393.6478
68375.74
675831
60744.96
1596.9485
189235
13573.95
1108031
85018.73
-672.5626
123142
9585.70
76945
5851.08
-113.8703 416.8678
INDICES
R2
R1
PIVOT
S1
S2
NIFTY
11645.00
11582.00
11539.00
11476.00
11433.00
BANKNIFTY
28053.00
27741.00
27563.00
27251.00
27073.00
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Special Report 5-Sep-2018
RECOMMENDATIONS GOLD TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GOLD OCT FUT ABOVE 30300 TGT 30400 30600 SL BELOW 30200 SELL GOLD OCT FUT BELOW 30150 TGT 30050 29850 SL ABOVE 30250
SILVER TRADING STRATEGY: BUY SILVER SEP FUT ABOVE 36700 TGT 36900 37200 SL BELOW 36500 SELL SILVER SEP FUT BELOW 36500 TGT 36300 36000 SL ABOVE 36700
COMMODITY ROUNDUP COMEX Gold futures started the week on a positive note. The metal remained broadly supported amid continued stress on the global trade front. US President Donald Trump's weekend threats to leave Canada out of the new North American Free Trade Agreement weighed on stocks. The US stock market was closed on Monday for the Labor Day holiday. COMEX Gold has recovered from an 18 month low recently and the prices have moved up the critical $1200 per ounce now. The yellow metal is currently quoting at $1205 per ounce, flat on the day. Large speculators trimmed their bearish net positions in the Gold futures markets last week, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday. The non-commercial futures contracts of Gold futures, traded by large speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net position of 3,063 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday August 28th. This was a weekly gain of 5,647 contracts . The non-commercial futures contracts of WTI Crude Oil futures, traded by large speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net position of 550,313 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday August 28th. This was a weekly rise of 11,528 contracts. Speculative positions had declined for three straight weeks. The commercial traders position, hedgers or traders engaged in buying and selling for business purposes, totaled a net position of -585,826 contracts on the week. This was a weekly fall of -6,982 contracts. London Metal Trade copper exchanged level at $5,976 a ton, having prior slipped to $5,952.50, its weakest since Aug. 23. Copper on Friday fell 1.5 percent to require the month to month drop in Eminent to 5.2 percent. It was the greatest month to month drop in two years and the third month to month decay in a push. Indian Copper was trading at Rs 417 per kg, down 1.6%. The prices of Copper tested a high of Rs 424.45 per kg, and a low of Rs 416.6 per kg. Nickel sank to its most reduced in more than seven months this week, weighed down by stresses almost China's economy, heightening exchange pressures and frail steel prices. Manufacturing action in China, the world's greatest shopper of mechanical metals, developed final month at its slowest rate in more than a year, with trade orders contracting for a fifth month and managers cutting more staff, the Caixin/Markit Purchase Managers' Record appeared. China's fabricating action developed at the slowest pace in more than a year in August, with send out orders contracting for a fifth month and bosses cutting more staff, a private study appeared on Monday.
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Special Report 5-Sep-2018
RECOMMENDATIONS GUARGUM TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GUARGUM OCT FUT ABOVE 9770 TGT 9820 9870 SL BELOW 9720 SELL GUARGUM OCT FUT BELOW 9430 TARGET 9380-9340 SL 9470.
NCDEX INDICES Index
Value
% Change
Barley Castor Seed Chana Coriander Cotton Seed Oilcake Guar Seed 10 MT
1639.5 4696 3915 4794 1715 4323.5
1.17 -0.63 0.98 2.52 -1.1 -2.49
Jeera
19315
-0.16
4039 3304 6738
0.95 0.95 -0.35
Mustardseed Soy Bean Turmeric
DHANIYA TRADING STRATEGY: BUY DHANIYA SEP FUT ABOVE 4820 TGT 4870 4920 SL BELOW 4770 SELL DHANIYA SEP FUT BELOW 4640 TARGET 4600-4570 SL 4670
Pepper price in India extended their recent upmove following the havoc caused by the flood in Kerala- the primary domestic supplying state. In HCMC Viet Nam, local price of black pepper also increased marginally as global pepper markets watched the developments in India. Indian Rupee is also tumbling to fresh lows in recent weeks and that is also bound to feed into global pepper export quotes. As per government notification, Indian sugar mills can sell 20 lakh metric tonnes of the sweetener in the open market in September 2018, the Government said.In a notification issued, the food ministry has allocated sugar quota for sale to each of 524 mills in the country.The sugar mills who have exported sugar under Minimum Indicative Export Quota (MIEQ), allocated vide Order No. 1(4)/2018-1 dated 09.05.2018, either directly or by way of trading export quota to third parties may also sell/dispatch additional quantity of sugar equivalent to actual export during 201718 sugar season till August ,2018 or their MIEQ, whichever is less, excluding the additional quantity of sugar already sold in the month of August 2018 on this account, in addition to the quantity of white/ refined sugar specified for domestic sale/despatch as indicated incolumn 4 of the table. Third party under this clause shall be eligible only for the quantity exported by it against its own quota. In the previous month the Govt. allocated quota to 524 mills in the country to sell 17.50 lakh metric tonnes of the sweetener.The government had announced creation of 3 million tonnes of buffer stock and stock holding limit on sugar mills in a bid to improve liquidity of cash-starved millers and enabling them to clear cane arrears of around Rs.20,000 crores. Recently, the deadline of MIEQ has also been extended till 31st December 2018.As per latest update from United States Department of Agriculture (USDA), Mexico cotton production for MY 2018/19 is 1.59 million bales, 9 percent lower that the USDA official estimation.
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Special Report 5-Sep-2018
RBI Reference Rate Currency
Rate Currency
Rate
Rupee- $
71.1857 Yen
63.9200
Euro
82.4919 GBP
91.4603
USD/INR TRADING STRATEGY: BUY USDINR ABOVE 71.80 TGT 72.30 72.80 SL BELOW 71.40 SELL USDINR BELOW 71.00 TGT 70.70 70.40 SL ABOVE 71.30
GBP/INR TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GBPINR ABOVE 92.70 TGT 93.00 93.30 SL BELOW 92.40 SELL GBPINR BELOW 91.50 TGT 91.20 90.90 SL ABOVE 91.80
The dollar was holding steady near one-month lows against a currency basket on Thursday as markets awaited trade developments, while the pound remained firm after rallying in the previous session as fears over a no-deal Brexit eased. The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a basket of six major currencies, was at 94.45 by 03:57 AM ET (07:57 GMT), not far from Tuesday’s one-month lows of 94.34. Market sentiment continued to be supported by hopes that Canada will join the new trade agreement between the U.S. and Mexico aimed at overhauling the North American Free Trade Agreement ahead of a Friday deadline.But the new trade deal did little to indicate how a trade spat between the U.S. and China will play out after talks last week ended with little progress and both countries slapped fresh reciprocal tariffs on imports.Sterling was steady after rising above the 1.30 level against the dollar for the first time in three weeks on Wednesday after European Union negotiator Michel Barnier said the bloc was prepared to offer Britain a partnership after Brexit.GBP/USD was at 1.3028 after gaining 1.23% in the previous session, its largest one-day percentage gain since March 21.The pound was also stronger against the euro, with EUR/GBP edging down to 0.8982 after ending the previous session with a loss of 1.09%. The Indian rupee collapsed to lifetime closing lows against the dollar following heavy month-end dollar demand from importers and foreign capital outflows. The domestic currency, having traded comfortably below the Rs 70/$ mark since late last week, slipped to an intra day low of 70.65 today before closing the day at 70.57, logging its biggest single-day drop since August 13. Consistent dollar demand from banks and importers, mainly oil refiners, following higher crude oil prices, kept the rupee under pressure. Yesterday, the local currency had bounced back in a tepid fashion from the record closing low, gaining 6 paise to end at 70.10 against the US currency. Meanwhile, the dollar rose against a basket of major currencies after touching a four-week low overnight as optimism over the U.S.-Mexico trade deal gave way to caution ahead of a deadline in the China-U.S. trade dispute.
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Special Report 5-Sep-2018
Date
Commodity/ Currency Pairs
04/09/18
NCDEX DHANIYA
SEP
BUY
04/09/18
NCDEX DHANIYA
SEP
04/09/18
NCDEX GUARGUM5
04/09/18
Contract Strategy
Entry Level
Target
Stop Loss
Remark
4700
4730 4760
4670
TARGET HIT
SELL
4640
4600-4570
4670
NOT EXECUTED
OCT
BUY
9770
9820 9870
9720
NOT EXECUTED
NCDEX GUARGUM5
OCT
SELL
9500
9470-9440
9550
TARGET HIT
04/09/18
MCX GOLD
OCT
BUY
30300
30400 30600
30200
OPEN
04/09/18
MCX GOLD
OCT
SELL
30150
30050 29850
30250
NOT EXECUTED
04/09/18
MCX SILVER
SEP
BUY
36700
36900 37200
36500
NOT EXECUTED
04/09/18
MCX SILVER
SEP
SELL
36500
36300 36000
36700
NOT EXECUTED
4Date
Scrip
CASH/ FUTURE/ OPTION
Strategy
Entry Level
Target
Stop Loss
Remark
04/09/18
NIFTY
FUTURE
SELL
10650-10640
10590-10550
10680
TARGET HIT
04/09/18
ONGC
FUTURE
SELL
177-176
173-170
178.50
TARGET HIT
04/09/18
MANAPPURAM
FUTURE
SELL
100-100.50
97-95
102
TARGET HIT
04/09/18
UJJIVAN
CASH
BUY
349-350
353-358
346
TARGET HIT
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Special Report 5-Sep-2018
NEXT WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS TIME (ET)
REPORT
PERIOD
ACTUAL
FORECAST
PREVIOUS
MONDAY, SEPT. 3 Labor Day holiday None scheduled TUESDAY, SEPT. 4 9:45 am
Markit manufacturing PMI final
Aug.
54.5
10 am
ISM manufacturing index
Aug.
58.1%
10 am
Construction spending
July
-1.1%
Varies WEDNESDA Y, SEPT. 5
WEDNESDAY, SEPT. 5
8:30 am
Trade deficit
WEDNESD WEDNESDAY, SEPT. AY, SEPT. 5 5 July
WEDNESDAY, SEPT. 5
WEDNESDAY , SEPT. 5 -$46.3bln
THURSDAY, SEPT. 6 8:15 am
ADP employment
Aug.
219,000
8:30 am
Weekly jobless claims
9/1
--
8:30 am
Productivity
Q2
2.9%
8:30 am
Unit labor costs
Q2
-0.9%
9:45 am 10 am
ISM nonmanufacturing index
10 am
Factory orders
Aug.
55.7%
July Disclaimer
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