Special report-14-nov-2018-epic-research

Special Report 14-Nov-2018

Global markets at a glance Asian shares edged lower as investors fretted about slowing global growth with crude oil prices sinking on worries about weakening world demand and oversupply.

US crude futures dived 7 percent the previous day, suffering their biggest one-day loss in more than three years. The contracts last stood at USD 55.72 per barrel following a descent to USD 54.75 overnight, their lowest since November 2017.

The Dow and S&P 500 ended slightly lower on Tuesday as lower oil prices took a toll on energy shares, offsetting a small gain in technology stocks and renewed hopes for progress in US-China trade talks.

The Nasdaq managed to end essentially flat on Tuesday as a rebound in technology stocks kept the index out of negative territory.

Riskier assets have been under intense selling pressure over the past two months as worries about a peak in earnings growth added to international trade tensions and signs of slowing in global investment and growth.

The Dow and S&P 500 ended slightly lower on Tuesday following losses in energy shares and Boeing, offsetting a small gain in technology stocks and renewed hopes for progress in trade talks.

The Nasdaq ended the session essentially flat as a rebound in tech kept the index out of negative territory.

US-China trade tensions enjoyed a reprieve as negotiations between the world's two largest economies appeared to be making headway, with a US adviser saying the countries' two leaders would meet at the G20 meeting later this month.

PREVIOUS DAY ROUNDOFF The Nifty recouped morning losses and climbed 10,50010,550 levels to close just a shade below its crucial resistance levels of 10,600 levels on Tuesday. Robust IIP data for the month of September, cool off in inflation numbers as well as fall in crude oil prices added to the tailwind. The strong rally seen in the index took shape of a Piercing pattern which signals a temporary halt to the downtrend. The pattern is formed by two consecutive candlesticks.

Index stats The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial in dices performed as follow; Commodities[+51.4pts], Consumption[+28.00pts],PSE[+41.8pts],CPSE [+37.3pts],Energy[+241.75pts],FMCG[+247pts],Auto[ +7 .54 pts],P harma[ -134 .95 pts],IT[+47 .7 pts],Metal [+26.05pts],Realty[-1.35 pts], Fin Serv sector[+119.2pts].

World Indices Index

Value

% Change

DJI

25286.49

-0.40

S&P500

2722.18

-0.15

NASDAQ

7200.87

-2.66

FTSE100

7053.76

0.00096

21784.17 25784.48

-0.12 -0.033

NIKKEI HANG SENG

Top Gainers Company

Eicher Motors

CMP

Change

% Chg

23,241.85 1,308.30

5.96

IOC

141.4

6.35

4.7

BPCL

303.15

11.95

4.1

HPCL

232.8

7.75

3.44

3,829.90

103.05

2.77

CMP

Change

% Chg

561.75 179.5 841.95 184.05 528.1

-27.75 -6.55 -23.3 -1.9 -3.75

-4.71 -3.52 -2.69 -1.02 -0.71

UltraTechCement

Top Losers Company

Sun Pharma Tata Motors Indiabulls Hsg Power Grid Corp Cipla

Stocks at 52 Week’s HIGH Symbol

Prev. Close

Change

%Chg

ELECTROSL

22.55

1.1

4.88

GALLANTT

61.15

1.15

1.88

1000.01

0

0

LINDEINDIA

597.9

21.3

3.56

LIQUIDETF

999.99

0

0

ICICILIQ

Stocks at 52 Week’s LOW Symbol

Prev. Close

Change

%Chg

ABGSHIP

3.05

-0.15

-4.92

ADROITINFO

18.8

-0.15

-0.8

AIFL ALCHEM ANGIND

58.6 3.1 1.45

-2.9 -0.15 -0.05

-4.95 -4.84 -3.45

Indian Indices Company

CMP

Change

% Chg

NIFTY

10582.50

100.30

0.96

SENSEX

35144.49

331.50

0.95

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Special Report 14-Nov-2018

RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE] 1. JUBLFOOD [FUTURE ] Stock has been performing for three trading sessions with good volumes and it gave the double bottom breakout on the daily chart and closed near to days high. We recommend buying from the current level for the target of 1180 with the stop loss of 1130.

2. GRASIM [FUTURE] Stock has been consolidating for a week with average volumes and today performed well with good volumes and closed near to days high. The RSI is also indicating upside on the daily chart. We recommend buying from the current level for the target of 890 with the stop loss of 870.

STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH] UBL [CASH] Stock has outperformed well with good volumes and closed near to days high. It also gave a breakout of trendline on the daily chart on a closing basis. It also gave flag pattern breakout on the daily chart. We recommend buying from the current level for the target of 1320 with the stop loss of 1290.

. MACRO NEWS  M&M Q2 preview: Lower tractor volumes could weigh on performance Mahindra and Mahindra will report its September quarter earnings on November 14. It is expected to see some contraction in its operational performance. Lower tractor volumes are likely to impact profits, multiple brokerages said. 

SEBI issues norms for enhanced disclosures by rating agencies Markets regulator SEBI November 13 asked credit rating agencies (CRAs) to analyse the deterioration in the liquidity conditions of the issuer and take into account any asset-liability mismatch while reviewing ratings.



NBFC crisis, rising rates shatter CFOs; optimism at fiveyear low



Motherson Sumi Q2 preview: Steady India growth, rupee fall against euro to help financials



Britain agrees Brexit divorce deal with EU, May's opponents vow to thwart it



Rupee hits 72/USD; trades nearly at 2-month high

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Special Report 14-Nov-2018

STOCKS IN NEWS

MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION Symbol

Optio Strike n Price Type

LTP

Traded Volume (Contracts)

Open Interest

BANKNIFTY

CE

25,800 134.5

8,04,891

5,15,040

BANKNIFTY

CE

26,000 59.65

6,78,576

9,50,640

BANKNIFTY

CE

25,700

188

6,69,340

3,15,100

BANKNIFTY

CE

25,900 90.45

5,52,075

6,55,000

RELIANCE

CE

1,100 27.45

12,306

21,83,500

RELIANCE

CE

1,120 18.55

7,195

11,95,500

RELIANCE

CE

1,140

12

6,193

14,32,500

SUNPHARMA

CE

600

8.9

5,501

17,87,500

MARUTIACTIVE PUT CE OPTION 9,000 111.5 5,823 MOST Symbol

Optio Strike n Price Type

BANKNIFTY



Zee Entertainment promoter \ promoter group to sell/divest up to 50 percent of their equity stake in company to strategic partner



Jet Airways clarified on Tata begins due diligence to buy Jet Airways from Naresh Goyal is that news is speculative in nature and that there is no discussions or decision by board

NIFTY FUTURE

2,83,500

LTP

Traded Volume (Contracts)

Open Interest

PE

25,300 26.75

8,557.96

5,69,620

BANKNIFTY

PE

25,200 18.25

6,018.84

BANKNIFTY

PE

25,400

35.9

10,393.73

BANKNIFTY

PE

25,500 51.45

12,273.28

RELIANCE

PE

1,060

10.8

440.21

RELIANCE

PE

1,080

16.4

600.45

RELIANCE

PE

1,040

7.1

247.7

TATAMOTORS PE

180

6.6

322.92

5,19,340 Last trading NIFTY Future close on positive note and 8,54,080 gaining around 1.00%, with bulish candle in daily chart, and we have seen sharp buyinng at lower level due to 7,97,440 short covering and fresh long build up. As we have 6,17,000 mentioned support for the index lies in the zone of 6,30,000 10450-10500 it’s strong support zone, and the resistance zone around 10670-10700 , So we can follow buy on 9,36,500 decline strategy .It will be good to buy with SL of 10450 13,63,500 for the target of 10650-10700

FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS BUY No. of Contracts

SELL Amount in Crores

OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY

No. of Amount in No. of Contracts Crores Contracts

Amount in Crores

NET AMOUNT

INDEX FUTURES

49757

3334.73

55998

3446.11

406510

31076.87

-111.3712

INDEX OPTIONS

1622386

91943.64

1611118

91423.03

1009236

73115.41

520.608

STOCK FUTURES

219200

12264.24

229517

12868.15

1374307

81532.15

-603.9112

STOCK OPTIONS

117199

6800.64

117233

6794.32

149451

8970.19

6.3148 -188.3596

INDICES

R2

R1

PIVOT

S1

S2

NIFTY

10738.67

10673.33

10530.57

10415.63

10349.67

BANKNIFTY

26132.67

25984.33

25706.67

25558.33

25280.67

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Special Report 14-Nov-2018

RECOMMENDATIONS GOLD TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GOLD ABOVE 30850 TGT 30900 31000 SL BELOW 30770 SELL GOLD BELOW 30800 TGT 30750 30650 SL ABOVE 30880

SILVER TRADING STRATEGY: BUY SILVER ABOVE 36600 TGT 36750 36950 SL BELOW 36400 SELL SILVER BELOW 36500 TGT 36350 36150 SL ABOVE 36700

COMMODITY ROUNDUP Gold price, which has turned negative in both international and domestic markets, is likely to rebound and may touch Rs 33,500 per 10 gram provided the rupee rallies back to 71, say industry experts. Gold on Friday closed Rs 31,015 per 10 grams in the domestic market, while it was at $1,207.70 at the international level.

“The domestic market has not seen any spectacular demand due to high price and poor returns. The strengthening of US dollar, two rate hikes by the RBI since June and the fear of another hike next month have dented investment appetite for gold,” Commtrendz Risk Management’s director Gnanasekar Thiagarajan said.

Though he said there has been no significant impact on gold price from the geopolitical tension in many areas, the same cannot be ruled out going forward. “We see gold price moving around $1,185-1,255 per ounce with a possibility of an extension towards $1,275 by December-end. At the lower end, it may fall to $1,160. Domestic prices many rule between Rs 30,250 and Rs 33,500 if the rupee claws back to 71,” he said.

Financial services provider ABans Group chairman Abhishek Bansal attributed the September to mid-October rally in gold prices to the ongoing US-China trade wars and on tension arising from the US sanctions on Iran coming into effect from November 4. But then the price began to fall on fear of the US Fed hiking interest rates again. The Fed had on September 26 increased the rates by 25 bps to 2.25 per cent. This was the eighth hike since 2015 when it was at 0.25 per cent since the 2008 crisis.

Gold prices were trading lower in morning trade on Tuesday as dollar rose to 16-month highs, aided by the US Federal Reserve’s hawkish interest rate policy and political uncertainty in Europe. MCX Gold futures were trading 0.34 per cent, or Rs 104, down at Rs 30897 per 10 gram at around 11.15 am (IST), while MCX Silver futures were down 0.08 per cent, or Rs 31, at Rs 36,664 per 1 kg at around the same time. According to SMC Global Securities, gold can take support near Rs 30,850 and can face resistance near Rs 31,150 in MCX. While silver can take support near Rs 36,500 and can face resistance near Rs 36,900. With the US economy at or beyond full employment and inflation likely to rise slightly above a 2 per cent goal over the next year, the Federal Reserve should continue to raise rates gradually, its newest policymaker said on Monday but not necessarily next month.

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Special Report 14-Nov-2018

RECOMMENDATIONS GUARGUM5 TRADING STRATEGY: Buy guarmgum dec above 10145 target 10160 10180 10220 sl 10085 Sell guargum dec below 10130 target 10110 10080 10050 sl 10190

NCDEX INDICES Index

Value

% Change

Barley Castor Seed Chana Coriander Cotton Seed Oilcake Guar Seed 10 MT

1905 6138 4550 6235 1950 4756.5

-1.3 2.3 -0.87 0.94 -0.86 -0.38

Jeera

20150

0.22

4125 3355 6620

1.43 -0.62 1.75

Mustardseed Soy Bean Turmeric

Chilli, India’s largest exported spice, may get about 10% cheaper by December-January owing to subdued exports, higher output in Madhya Pradesh and increase in sowing area in major growing states, said traders. The average chilli price may fall to about Rs 90 a kg by December-January from close to Rs 100 a kg at present, they said. “The fall in prices may spur export demand, which is sluggish now,” said AP Murugan, director of Paprika Oleos (India), an exporting firm.

DHANIYA TRADING STRATEGY: Buy coriander dec above 6480 target 6500 6520 6540 sl 6420 Sell coriander dec below 6450 target 6430 6410 6380 sl 6510

The world of soybean shipping has turned upside down thanks to the ongoing U.S.-China trade war. Argentina, the No. 3 global soy grower, is making major purchases of U.S. supplies. A weekly measure of American shipments to the Latin American nation just rose to the highest in at least 35 years, U.S. government data showed Tuesday. With China shunning U.S. supplies, the Asian country is soaking up oilseeds from everywhere else. Argentina usually processes its beans at home before sending soy meal and oil abroad.

Now, enticed by China’s voracious appetite and a changed domestic tax structure, the country is shipping more raw soy, with some analysts predicting exports could quadruple.

In order to feed its domestic soy-crushing industry, Argentina is increasingly turning to imports, especially after a drought earlier this year hurt crops. Meanwhile, U.S. oilseed supplies have gotten relatively cheap. With China out of the market, demand for American beans has turned lackluster at a time when harvests are booming, signaling a surge in inventories. That’s good news for Argentine buyers.

Raw sugar and arabica coffee futures on ICE fell on Tuesday, with both hitting more than five-week lows, pressured by weakness in the Brazilian currency and a broader downturn in commodity markets. The 19-market Thomson Reuters Core Commodity Index .TRCCRB touched its weakest level since December as oil plummeted six percent.

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Special Report 14-Nov-2018

RBI Reference Rate Currency

Rate Currency

Rate

Rupee- $

72.5853 Yen

63.69

Euro

81.6110 GBP

93.4908

USD/INR TRADING STRATEGY: USD/INR BUY USD/INR FUTURE ABOVE 72.80 TARGET 72.9200 73.05 SL 72.65 SELL USD/INR BELOW 72.70 TAREGT 72.58 72.45 SL 72.85

GBP/INR TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GBP/INR ABOVE 94.1500 TARGET 94.25 94.38 SL 94 SELL GBP/INR BELOW 94.10 TARGET 93.88 93.75 SL 94.25

Indian rupee and bonds rose in early trade on Wednesday, boosted by a fall in global oil prices and on the central bank's announcement to buy bonds via open market purchases.The Indian rupee INR=D4 opened at 72.18 to the dollar, its strongest since Sept. 21 and compared with 72.6750 on Tuesday, while the 10-year benchmark bond yield IN071728G=CC fell to as much as 7.70 percent, its lowest since Aug. 2. The paper had ended at 7.76 percent on Tuesday. The Reserve Bank of India will buy 120 billion rupees ($1.65 billion) of government bonds on Thursday via open market operations. markets struggled to find their footing on Wednesday after plunging 7 percent in the previous session, with surging supply and the spectre of faltering demand keeping investors on the edge. O/R($1 = 72.6100 Indian rupees) The Indian rupee gained in the early trade on Wednesday as it opened 50 paise higher at 72.16 per dollar against previous close 72.67. It is trading at nearly 2 months high.

It is appreciated to 72 for the first time since September 21.Yesterday the rupee ended 22 paise higher to close at 72.67 against US dollar on easing crude oil prices.US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures were at USD 55.66 per barrel, while brent crude oil was trading around USD 65 per barrel. It fell more than 7 percent the previous day. They have lost over a quarter of their value since early October in what has become one of the biggest declines since prices collapsed in 2014, reported Reuters.Rupee has been consolidating in a narrow range for the eight successive session and failed to witness any volatility despite better than expected inflation number. India's inflation rose 3.3% as compared to rise of 3.7% in the previous month. On the other hand IIP rose 4.5% in September as compared to growth of 4.3% in the previous month, said Motilal Oswal.In the past few sessions global crude oil prices have been under pressure following surge in supply and the spectre of faltering demand keeping investors on edge. After rallying for four consecutive sessions the dollar fell against its major crosses supporting the rupee on lower levels. For the day we expect volatility could continue to remain low for the rupee following no major economic data releases on the domestic front or from the US. Today, USD-INR pair is expected to quote in the range of 72.20 and 72.80, it added.

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Special Report 14-Nov-2018

Date

Commodity/ Currency Pairs

13/11/18

NCDEX DHANIYA

DEC

BUY

6540

13/11/18

NCDEX DHANIYA

DEC

Sell

13/11/18

NCDEX GUARGUM5

DEC

13/11/18

NCDEX GUARGUM5

13/11/18

Contract Strategy

Entry Level

Stop Loss

Remark

6570-6600

6480

NOT EXECUTED

6500

6470

6560

TARGET HIT

BUY

10200

10215-10225

10140

NOT EXECUTED

DEC

SELL

10090

10075-10060

10170

TARGET HIT

MCX GOLD

DEC

BUY

31192

31230-31335

30050

NOT EXECUTED

13/11/18

MCX GOLD

DEC

SELL

30990

30890-30800

31200

TARGET HIT

13/11/18

MCX SILVER

DEC

BUY

36970

37080-37150

36850

NOT EXECUTED

13/11/18

MCX SILVER

DEC

SELL

36825

36770-36700

36970

TARGET HIT

Entry Level

Target

Stop Loss

Remark

Target

Date

Scrip

CASH/ FUTURE/ Strategy OPTION

13/11/18

NIFTY

FUTURE

SELL

10510-10530

10475-1045010425

10560

SL TRIGGERD

13/11/18

TATA STEEL

FUTURE

BUY

580-590

585-592-598

570

TARGET HIT

13/11/18

REPCO HOMES

FUTURE

BUY

404

407-410-415

399

TARGET HIT

13/11/18

DCB BANK

CASH

SELL

153.156

148-143

162

SL TRIGGERED

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Special Report 14-Nov-2018

NEXT WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS TIME (ET)

REPORT

PERIOD

ACTUAL

FORECAST

PREVIOUS

MONDAY, NOV. 12 Veterans Day TUESDAY, NOV. 13 6 am

NFIB small-business index

Oct.

2 pm

Federal budget

Oct.

107.9

WEDNESDAY, NOV. 14 8:30 am

Consumer price index

Oct.

0.1%

8:30 am

Core CPI

Oct.

0.1%

THURSDAY, NOV. 15 8:30 am

Weekly jobless claims

11/10

8:30 am

Retail sales

Oct.

0.1%

8:30 am

Retail sales ex-autos

Oct.

-0.1%

8:30 am

Philly Fed

Nov.

22.2

8:30 am

Empire state index

Nov.

21.1

8:30 am

Import price index

Oct.

0.5%

10 am

Business inventories

Sept.

0.5%

FRIDAY, NOV. 16 9:15 am

Industrial production

Oct.

0.3%

9:15 am

Capacity utilization

Oct.

78.1%

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