Commodity daily report 16 dec 2013by epic research

Page 1

DAILY COMMODITY REPORT 16th DECEMBER 2013

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DAILY MARKET WRAPUP 16th DECEMBER 2013 COMMODITY

CONTRACT

OPEN PRICE

HIGH

LOW

CLOSE PRICE

%CHANGE

OI (in lots)

GOLD

05 FEB 2014

29200

29450

29158

29432

+0.65

9885

SILVER

05 MAR 2014

44231

44912

44051

44776

+0.78

9521

CRUDE

18 DEC 2013

6074

6074

5987

6034

-1.00

8779

NATURAL GAS

26 DEC 2013

271.7

276.7

270.2

272.5

+0.48

17809

COPPER

28 FEB 2014

459.10

462.40

456.50

461.75

+0.28

15100

NICKEL

31 DEC 2013

869.9

878.2

866.1

877.2

+0.37

5477

LEAD

31 DEC 2013

131.6

133.7

131.1

133.55

+0.91

3079

ZINC

31 DEC 2013

121.3

123.05

120.7

122.95

+0.78

3594

ALUMINIUM

31 DEC 2013

109.55

110.55

109.30

110.40

+0.41

1978

LME WAREHOUSE STOCKS (13 - DEC- 2013)

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METAL

TONNES IN STORAGE

ALUMINIUM

-9875

COPPER

-3075

LEAD

-1100

NICKEL

30

TIN

25

ZINC

-4650 Call us at +91-731-6642300


INTERNATIONAL MARKETS 16th DECEMBER 2013

PRECIOUS AND INDUSTRY METALS COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

COMEX GOLD

USD/T OZ.

1,234.80

+0.20

+0.02%

FEB 14

GOLD SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,236.17

-2.52

-0.20%

N/A

COMEX SILVER

USD/T OZ.

19.58

-0.02

-0.12%

MAR 14

COMEX COPPER

USD/LB.

330.50

-0.70

-0.23%

MAR 14

PLATINUM SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,363.78

-0.57

-0.05%

N/A

ENERGY COMMODITY FUTURES COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

CRUDE OIL (WTI)

USD/BBL.

96.52

-0.08

-0.08%

JAN 14

CRUDE OIL (BRENT)

USD/BBL.

109.26

+0.43

+0.40%

JAN 14

RBOB GASOLINE

USD/GAL.

263.51

+0.58

+0.22%

JAN 14

NYMEX NATURAL GAS

USD/MMBTU

4.27

-0.08

-1.93%

JAN 14

NYMEX HEATING OIL

USD/GAL.

298.44

+0.87

+0.29%

JAN 1

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INTRADAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE 16th DECEMBER 2013

COMMODITY

EXPIRY

SUP.3

SUP.2

SUP.1

PIVOT

RES.1

RES.2

RES.3

ALUMINIUM

31-Dec

108.37

108.83

109.62

110.08

110.87

111.33

112.12

COPPER

28-Feb

452.13

454.32

458.03

460.22

463.93

466.12

469.83

CRUDEOIL

20-Jan

5974

6011

6050

6087

6126

6163

6202

GOLD

5-Feb

28951

29055

29243

29347

29535

29639

29827

LEAD

31-Dec

129.27

130.18

131.87

132.78

134.47

135.38

137.07

NATURALGAS

26-Dec

263.07

266.63

269.57

273.13

276.07

279.63

282.57

NICKEL

31-Dec

857.4

861.7

869.5

873.8

881.6

885.9

893.7

SILVER

5-Mar

43386

43719

44247

44580

45108

45441

45969

ZINC

31-Dec

119.07

119.88

121.42

122.23

123.77

124.58

126.12

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MOST ACTIVE CONTRACTS 16th DECEMBER 2013

Symbol

Expiry Date

LTP

Value (In Lacs)

Volume (In Lots)

SILVERMICRO

28-02-2014

44835.00

3,14,42,33,715.00

70,129

NATURAL GAS

26-12-2013

271.80

1,72,25,325.00

63,375

CRUDE OIL

18-12-2013

6018.00

31,42,35,888.00

52,216

SILVER M

28-02-2014

44838.00

1,56,84,33,240.00

34,980

COPPER

28-02-2014

461.20

1,11,93,324.00

24,270

SILVER

05-03-2014

44817.00

87,19,59,552.00

19,456

COPPERMINI

28-02-2014

461.20

87,09,300.80

18,884

LEADMINI

31-12-2013

133.20

23,40,324.00

17,570

GOLD M

03-01-2014

29979.00

51,73,17,624.00

17,256

GOLD

05-02-2014

29413.00

43,91,94,916.00

14,932

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COMMODITY BUZZ AND ECONOMIC EVENTS 16th DECEMBER 2013

SPECIAL NEWS : 

Growth in China's manufacturing-sector activity is slowing to three-month low, initial results from HSBC's monthly survey showed, with the numbers weighing on Chinese stocks and the Australian dollar. The flash version of the December HSBC/Markit China manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index eased to 50.5, down from November's final reading of 50.8. Still, the headline number remained above the 50 level, indicating growth, and the key sub indexes for new export orders and overall new orders both showed rises at a faster rate than in the previous month. Higher-than-expected growth in China's new RMB lending and total social financing in November indicates that China's liquidity conditions remain favorable for 7.5% or higher GDP growth, and the central bank is likely to maintain its monetary stance. Market participants had been worried over possible credit tightening measures.

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COMMODITY BUZZ : 

Gold will eye the US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting set for Tuesday, December 17th and the Press Meet by Chairman, Ben Bernanke on Wednesday. The Fed tapering has already been discounted in gold and silver prices and any further sell off on such news would be short lived

Copper has put in a strong performance lately rallying seven out of the last eight trading days. The move higher has been supported by falling stockpiles, especially those monitored by the London Metal Exchange. Signs of economic recovery that spurs growth and demand, festive mood ahead of Christmas have given a boost to metals and energy complex notably Copper and Natural Gas. Precious metals complex continue to underperform and is one of the causes for the general bearishness seen in commodities complex. Brent crude oil was lower on the renewed hope that export terminals in eastern Libya could soon reopen after several months of disruption.

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 16th DECEMBER 2013

SILVER MCX:

Silver prices had been pitching towards the major downside support of 43700-600 region, break below the same could prompt major selling bias towards 43250/42900 or even lower. On the other side Silver has to close above 46000 for being in bullish trend. BUY SILVER ABOVE 45050 TGTS 45300/45650 SL 44750 SELL SILVER BELOW 44500 TGTS 44250/43900 SL 44800

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 16th DECEMBER 2013

GOLD MCX:

A sideways trading was seen in GOLD Feb. contract on Friday, although it closed at higher at 29432 or +0.72% from previous close. Previous week was a recovery period for gold, GOLD price is tacking immediate resistance at 29650 and support at 29150. In coming week market will be in sideways due to Christmas fest. BUY GOLD ABOVE 29500 TGTS 29580/29680 SL 29390 SELL GOLD BELOW 29250 TGTS 29170/29070 SL 29360

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TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS 16th DECEMBER 2013

Time

Counrty

Event

Actual

Forecast Previous

MONDAY, DECEMBER 16 05:20

JPY

TANKAN LARGE MANUFACTURERS INDEX

16

15

12

05:20

JPY

TANKAN LARGE NON-MANUFACTURERS INDEX

20

16

14

07:15

CNY

CHINESE HSBC MANUFACTURING PMI

50.5

51.0

50.8

13:30

EUR

FRENCH MANUFACTURING PMI

49.1

48.4

13:30

EUR

FRENCH SERVICES PMI

49.0

48.0

14:00

EUR

GERMAN MANUFACTURING PMI

53.0

52.7

14:00

EUR

GERMAN SERVICES PMI

55.5

55.7

14:30

EUR

MANUFACTURING PMI

51.9

51.6

14:30

EUR

SERVICES PMI

51.5

51.2

19:00

CAD

FOREIGN SECURITIES PURCHASES

9.24B

8.36B

19:00

USD

NONFARM PRODUCTIVITY (QOQ)

2.8%

1.9%

19:00

USD

NY EMPIRE STATE MANUFACTURING INDEX

4.75

-2.21

19:00

USD

UNIT LABOR COSTS (QOQ)

-1.3%

-0.6%

19:30

EUR

ECB PRESIDENT DRAGHI SPEAKS

19:30

USD

TIC NET LONG-TERM TRANSACTIONS

31.4B

25.5B

19:45

USD

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION (MOM)

0.5%

-0.1%

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