Daily commodity market report 18 feb 2014 by epic research

Page 1

DAILY COMMODITY REPORT 18th FEBRUARY

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DAILY MARKET WRAPUP 18th FEBRUARY COMMODITY

CONTRACT

OPEN PRICE

HIGH

LOW

CLOSE PRICE

%CHANGE

OI (in lots)

GOLD

05-APR-14

29445

30218

29384

30157

+3.10%

11904

SILVER

05-MAR-14

47492

47931

47050

47735

+6.14%

10534

CRUDEOIL

19-MAR-14

6260

6278

6233

6246

-0.38%

3060

COPPER

28-FEB-14

447

450.65

447

447.6

+0.31%

10290

LEAD

28-FEB-14

132.2

133.15

132.2

132.45

+0.72%

3063

NICKEL

28-FEB-14

885.9

893.8

885.6

887.9

+0.69%

4603

ZINC

28-FEB-14

126.65

127.9

126.65

127.65

+1.07%

3300

NATURALGAS

25-FEB-14

325.9

338.8

325.9

337.2

+5.68%

15015

ALUMINIUM

28 FEB 2014

106.40

106.80

105.05

105.25

-1.17%

4022

LME WAREHOUSE STOCKS (17-FEB- 2014)

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METAL

TONNES IN STORAGE

ALUMINIUM

-9250

COPPER

-3100

LEAD

-500

NICKEL

-180

TIN

-60

ZINC

-3575 Call us at +91-731-6642300


INTERNATIONAL MARKETS 18th FEBRUARY

PRECIOUS AND INDUSTRY METALS COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

COMEX GOLD

USD/t oz.

1,323.30

+4.70

+0.36%

Apr 14

GOLD SPOT

USD/t oz.

1,323.33

-8.17

-0.61%

N/A

COMEX SILVER

USD/t oz.

21.69

+0.27

+1.26%

Mar 14

COMEX COPPER

USd/lb.

327.35

+0.90

+0.28%

Mar 14

PLATINUM SPOT

USD/t oz.

1,424.63

-6.12

-0.41%

N/A

ENERGY COMMODITY FUTURES COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

CRUDE OIL (WTI)

USD/BBL.

100.71

+0.41

+0.41%

MAR 14

CRUDE OIL (BRENT)

USD/BBL.

109.07

-0.11

-0.10%

APR 14

RBOB GASOLINE

USD/GAL.

281.94

+1.41

+0.50%

MAR 14

NYMEX NATURAL GAS

USD/MMBTU

5.53

+0.31

+6.00%

MAR 14

NYMEX HEATING OIL

USD/GAL.

308.98

+1.16

+0.38%

MAR 14

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INTRADAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE 18th FEBRUARY

COMMODITY

EXPIRY

SUP.3

SUP.2

SUP.1

PIVOT

RES.1

ALUMINIUM

28-Feb

103.95

104.60

105.70

106.35

107.45

COPPER

28-Feb

444.77

446.18

448.42

449.83

452.07

CRUDEOIL

19-Mar

6207

6227

6252

6272

6297

GOLD

5-Apr

29086

29621

29920

30455

30754

LEAD

28-Feb

131.65

132.05

132.60

133.00

133.55

NATURALGAS

25-Feb

321.07

329.13

333.97

342.03

346.87

NICKEL

28-Feb

880.9

884.4

889.1

892.6

897.3

SILVER

5-Mar

46691

47213

47572

48094

48453

ZINC

28-Feb

126.15

126.90

127.40

128.15

128.65

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MOST ACTIVE CONTRACTS 18th FEBRUARY

Symbol

Expiry Date

LTP

Value (In Lacs)

Volume (In Lots)

SILVERMICRO

28-02-2014

47680.00

4,73,40,04,160.00

99,287

NATURAL GAS

25-02-2014

336.80

2,06,37,756.80

61,276

SILVER M

28-02-2014

47680.00

2,41,06,53,120.00

50,559

CRUDE OIL

19-02-2014

6229.00

18,81,78,090.00

30,210

SILVER

05-03-2014

47678.00

1,35,44,36,624.00

28,408

GOLD M

05-03-2014

30627.00

79,41,58,110.00

25,930

GOLD

05-04-2014

30089.00

61,09,27,056.00

20,304

COPPER

28-02-2014

447.70

76,70,891.80

17,134

GOLD PETAL

27-02-2014

3074.00

4,54,85,978.00

14,797

COPPERMINI

28-02-2014

447.75

58,33,734.75

13,029

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TODAY,S COMMODITY NEWS 18th FEBRUARY

COMMODITY HEADLINES

Gold jumps Rs 465 on global cues; regains key Rs 31K level. Silver futures climb over 1% on global cues. Jewellery makers see fall in supply of gold. Copper gains 0.9% on firm global cues, spot demand. Lead up 0.84% on strong spot demand, overseas cues. Centre urged to withdraw export duty on pellets. Rice stocks gain on relief in service tax. Mustardseed slips 1% on selling pressure. Castorseed falls on weak spot demand. Oil holds above $100 on strong China lending data. Crude oil down 0.2% on Asian cues. Oil prices down after lackluster US stockpiles. Mentha oil down by 1% on weak demand. Aluminium futures rise by 0.57% Mentha oil up 0.24% on increased demand.

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COMMODITY BUZZ AND ECONOMIC EVENTS 18th FEBRUARY SPECIAL NEWS Russia's industrial output fell 18.8% in January from the preceding month, data showed Monday, reflecting long New Year holidays. The Federal Statistics Service data, however, showed that industrial output declined only by 0.2% in January compared with the same period a year earlier. China attracted $10.76 billion of foreign direct investment in January-up 16.1% on year, the Ministry of Commerce said in a statement Tuesday.The figure was down from December's $12.08 billion--which was 3.3% higher on year. Non-financial overseas direct investment rose 47.2% on year in the first month of 2014 to $7.23 billion. China's higher-than-expected January export data weren't inflated, the Ministry of Commerce said on Tuesday. Exports unexpectedly jumped 10.6% on year in January--higher than 4.3% growth in December, official customs data show. Barclays tracks close to 60% of the world’s copper production and when they say that refined copper output is about to increase this year, they mean what they say. After all, with the corporate results season on, the bank has found that for the 60% global production that they track, 9% of y/y output enhancement was seen in 2013.

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COMMODITY BUZZ Finance Minister (FM) P Chidambaram on Monday supported reforms in commodities markets while presenting the interim Budget for 2014-15. However, the jewellery sector, expecting a cut in the duty on gold imports and a relaxation in import norms, was disappointed. Gold prices on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) rose two per cen But the gold price jumped Rs 400 per 10g on the MCX after the speech. In the evening, it went up Rs 600 at Rs 29,958 per 10g and in the international market $8-9 since early morning to $1,326 an ounce. In the Mumbai physical market, it closed at Rs 31,085 per 10g, Rs 470 higher from Saturday. Silver went up two per cent on the MCX, while in the Mumbai market it closed Rs 1,550 higher at Rs 48,700 a kg. Crude oil futures traded 0.52 per cent higher at Rs 6,230 per barrel yesterday as speculators indulged in creating positions, triggered by a firming trend in Asia. At the Multi Commodity Exchange, crude oil for delivery in March gained Rs 32, or 0.52 per cent, to Rs 6,230 per barrel, with a business turnover of 583 lots. The rise in crude oil futures was largely in tune with a firming trend in Asia, supported by a surge in bank lending in China, the world's top energy consume crude oil for March delivery advanced 21 cents to $100.51 a barrel in late morning trade, as extra cold weather in the US bolstered demand for heating fuel.

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 18th FEBRUARY

SILVER

Yesterday Intraday Range of SILVER MCX was 881. Open Interest was down, Volumes were 12940 lots. SILVER MCX Short term trend is UP, Immediate support @ 45700 Immediate Resistance @ 49600 BUY SILVER ABOVE 48050 TGTS 48250/48550 SL 47700 SELL SILVER BELOW 47500 TGTS 47300/47000 SL 47850

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 18th FEBRUARY

GOLD

Yesterday Intraday Range of GOLD MCX was 740 Open Interest was down. Volumes were 11036 lots. GOLD MCX Short term trend is UP, Immediate support @ 29500 Immediate Resistance @ 30500 BUY GOLD(APR) ABOVE 30170 TGTS 30250/30350 SL 30050 SELL GOLD(APR) BELOW 29850 TGTS 29770/29670 SL 29970

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 18th FEBRUARY

CASTORSEED

RESISTANCE 1

4235.7

RESISTANCE 2

4319.3

PIVOT

4187.3

SUPPORT 1

4103.7

SUPPORT 2

4055.3

Castorseed Mar looking sideways to bearish in daily chart. Momentum indicator RSI shows down, recommending sell on high. Nearest support @ 4140 & nearest resistance @ 4185. BUY CASTORSEED MAR ABOVE 4185 TGTS 4215,4265 SL 4135 SELL CASTORSEED MAR BELOW 4140 TGTS 4110,4060 SL 4190

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18th FEBRUARY

EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS DHANIYA

RESISTANCE 1

9044.0

RESISTANCE 2

9143.0

PIVOT

8978.0

SUPPORT 1

8879.0

SUPPORT 2

8813.0

Dhaniya Mar contract is near to its support level assuming that form here onwards it will bounce back and continue its rally. Immediate support @ 8920 and immediate resistance @ 9085. BUY DHANIYA APR ABOVE 9085 TGTS 9115,9165 SL 9045 SELL DHANIYA APR BELOW 8920 TGTS 8890,8840 SL 8970

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TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS 18th FEBRUARY

MONDAY, FEBRUARY 18 TIME

COUNTRY

EVENT

06:00

AUD

MONETARY POLICY MEETING MINUTES

TENTATIVE

JPY

BOJ PRESS CONFERENCE

15:00

GBP

CPI (YOY)

2.0%

2.0%

15:00

GBP

CPI (MOM)

-0.5%

0.4%

15:00

GBP

PPI INPUT (MOM)

-0.5%

0.1%

15:30

EUR

ZEW ECONOMIC SENTIMENT

73.9

73.3

15:30

EUR

GERMAN ZEW CURRENT CONDITIONS

44.0

41.2

15:30

EUR

GERMAN ZEW ECONOMIC SENTIMENT

61.7

61.7

19:00

CAD

FOREIGN SECURITIES PURCHASES

9.97B

8.66B

19:00

USD

NY EMPIRE STATE MANUFACTURING INDEX

9.00

12.51

19:30

USD

TIC NET LONG-TERM TRANSACTIONS

-24.7B

-29.3B

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ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIOUS

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