Daily commodity report 03 feb 2014 by epic research

Page 1

DAILY COMMODITY REPORT 3rd FEBRUARY 2014

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DAILY MARKET WRAPUP 3rd FEBRUARY 2014 COMMODITY

CONTRACT

OPEN PRICE

HIGH

LOW

CLOSE PRICE

%CHANGE

OI (in lots)

GOLD

05 FEB 2014

29363.00

29584.00

29255.00

29378.00

0.29

1165

SILVER

05 MAR 2014

43269.00

44033.00

43185.00

43220.00

0.45

14131

CRUDE

19 FEB 2014

6141.00

6187.00

6106.00

6156.00

0.16

12286

NATURAL GAS

25 FEB 2014

316.10

316.10

294.40

320.30

-5.37

12250

COPPER

28 FEB 2014

446.15

448.50

445.15

447.05

-0.26

10886

NICKEL

31 JAN 2014

867.40

882.80

862.00

866.80

1.47

4293

LEAD

28– FEB 2014

132.65

134.35

132.20

132.70

0.26

2976

ZINC

28– FEB 2014

123.95

124.75

123.10

124.25

-0.44

2084

ALUMINIUM

31 JAN 2014

106.75

106.95

105.60

107.10

-1.12

3504

LME WAREHOUSE STOCKS (31 JAN- 2014)

YOUR MINTVISORY

METAL

TONNES IN STORAGE

ALUMINIUM

-8575

COPPER

-1675

LEAD

-500

NICKEL

-180

ZINC

-2000 Call us at +91-731-6642300


INTERNATIONAL MARKETS 3rd FEBRUARY 2014

PRECIOUS AND INDUSTRY METALS COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

COMEX GOLD

USD/T OZ.

1,244.70

+4.90

+0.40%

APR 14

GOLD SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,245.06

+0.51

+0.04%

N/A

COMEX SILVER

USD/T OZ.

19.12

-0.01

-0.03%

MAR 14

COMEX COPPER

USD/LB.

319.50

-0.20

-0.06%

MAR 14

PLATINUM SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,381.81

+4.50

+0.33%

N/A

ENERGY COMMODITY FUTURES COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

CRUDE OIL (WTI)

USD/BBL.

97.15

-0.34

-0.35%

MAR 14

CRUDE OIL (BRENT)

USD/BBL.

106.30

-0.10

-0.09%

MAR 14

RBOB GASOLINE

USD/GAL.

263.28

+0.14

+0.05%

MAR 14

NYMEX NATURAL GAS

USD/MMBTU

4.84

-0.10

-2.04%

MAR 14

NYMEX HEATING OIL

USD/GAL.

299.75

+0.04

+0.01%

MAR 14

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INTRADAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE 3rd FEBRUARY 2014

COMMODITY

EXPIRY

SUP.3

SUP.2

SUP.1

PIVOT

RES.1

ALUMINIUM

28-Feb

104.00

104.80

105.35

106.15

106.70

COPPER

28-Feb

438.97

441.58

443.27

445.88

447.57

CRUDEOIL

19-Feb

6040

6073

6121

6154

6202

GOLD

5-Apr

28125

28322

28482

28679

28839

LEAD

28-Feb

129.90

131.05

132.05

133.20

134.20

NATURALGAS

25-Feb

270.93

282.67

292.63

304.37

314.33

NICKEL

28-Feb

846.6

854.3

868.3

876.0

890.0

SILVER

5-Mar

42137

42661

42985

43509

43833

ZINC

28-Feb

121.37

122.23

123.02

123.88

124.67

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MOST ACTIVE CONTRACTS 3rd FEBRUARY 2014

Symbol

Expiry Date

LTP

Value (In Lacs)

Volume (In Lots)

NATURAL GAS

25-02-2014

303.10

3,66,58,126.40

1,20,944

SILVERMICRO

28-02-2014

43470.00

4,37,56,90,200.00

1,00,660

CRUDE OIL

19-02-2014

6166.00

37,78,21,650.00

61,275

SILVER M

28-02-2014

43455.00

2,16,20,16,615.00

49,753

SILVER

05-03-2014

43415.00

1,17,66,33,330.00

27,102

COPPER

28-02-2014

445.90

91,77,513.80

20,582

GOLD PETAL

27-02-2014

2970.00

5,04,24,660.00

16,978

LEADMINI

28-02-2014

133.05

21,64,457.40

16,268

COPPERMINI

28-02-2014

445.95

71,26,726.95

15,981

NICKEL

28-02-2014

879.50

1,22,15,375.50

13,889

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TODAY,S COMMODITY NEWS 3rd FEBRUARY 2014

COMMODITY HEADLINES 

Hedging by gold miners at decade low in Sept quarter

Gold falls 1% as Fed taper weighs, China demand fades

Gold, silver tumble on stockists' selling

Aluminium down 0.3% on global cues

Lead down 0.1% on global cues, subdued demand

Nickel down 0.1% on overseas trend, subdued demand

Supply-demand gap in pulses may not narrow in coming years

Mpeda to expand farming of new variety Tilapia fish

Potato down 1.3% on weak demand, adequate stocks

Crude oil down 0.3% on weak Asian cues

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COMMODITY BUZZ AND ECONOMIC EVENTS 3rd FEBRUARY 2014

COMMODITY BUZZ

SPECIAL NEWS 

The prices of COMEX Gold declined by $ 1240.1 per troy ounce, up 1.84%. The correction in metal was on account of rise of US Dollar after the news of Federal stimulus cuts. U.S. Federal Reserve decided to slash its monthly bond-buying program by a further $10 billion, as widely anticipated by economists. The euro ended lower against the dollar at $1.348 on Friday. initial jobless claims climbed to 348000, an increase of 19000 from the previous week's revised figure of 329000.

The U.S. Commerce Department said gross domestic product increased by 3.2% in the fourth quarter compared to the 4.1% growth seen in the third quarter. Manufacturing activity in China contracted in January with a seasonally adjusted score of 49.5, the latest PMI from HSBC and Markit Economics revealed Thursday. This is worse than the flash estimate from earlier this month that indicated a score of 49.6.

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China official nonmanufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index fell to 53.4 in January from 54.6 in December, the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing said on Monday. The services subindex declined to 51.5 in January from 52.5 in December and construction fell to 61.0 from 62.6, New orders for the entire nonmanufacturing sector dropped to 50.9 from 51.0. A reading above 50 indicates expansion from the previous month and below indicates contraction. Nonmanufacturing covers services, including retail, aviation and software as well as real estate and construction.

The number of Australian home building permits fell for the third straight month in December, in a sign the boost to activity from low interest rates may be losing some steam. Approvals to build or renovate houses and apartments declined 2.9% from November. In November approvals fell 0.3%

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 3rd FEBRUARY 2014

SILVER

After long time silver has broken its strong support of 43550 level, and closed at 43309 on Friday. For the day we expect price can take support at 42800 level while 43900 will be resistance level. Braking 42800 level with volume can take price to more downwards at 42500-42450. BUY SILVER ABOVE 43800 TGTS 44050/44400 SL 43500 SELL SILVER BELOW 43050 TGTS 42800/42500 SL 43400

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 3rd FEBRUARY 2014

GOLD

Gold fell on Friday, notching its first weekly drop in six due to strong US economic growth, concerns over the US Federal Reserve's withdrawal of monetary stimulus and a slump in Chinese demand. MCX Gold April contract trading 800 pts discounted over current contract. For the day price can find support at 28500 level. BUY GOLD(FEB) ABOVE 29680 TGTS 29750/29850 SL 29570 SELL GOLD(FEB) BELOW 29250 TGTS 29170/29070 SL 29360

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 3rd FEBRUARY 2014

CASTORSEED

RESISTANCE 1

4144.7

RESISTANCE 2

4184.3

PIVOT

4072.7

SUPPORT 1

4040.3

SUPPORT 2

4000.7

Castorseed Feb. looking sideways to bearish in daily chart. Momentum indicators also support bearishness. Profit booking is continue in downside, but expecting price will go down. In intraday basis immediate support @ 4080 & immediate resistance @ 4135. BUY CASTORSEED FEB ABOVE 4135 TGTS 4165,4215 SL 4085 SELL CASTORSEED FEB BELOW 4080 TGTS 4050,4000 SL 4130

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 3rd FEBRUARY 2014

DHANIYA

RESISTANCE 1

8215.3

RESISTANCE 2

8372.7

PIVOT

8122.7

SUPPORT 1

7965.3

SUPPORT 2

7872.3

In Dhaniya profit booking will continue in higher levels, expecting rally will continue in up upside. Fundamentally also Dhaniya is in bullish trend. Recommending buy on dips, momentum indicator RSI and MACD are above from mid range have plus point of bullishness. Immediate support @ 8010 and immediate resistance @ 8150. BUY DHANIYA FEB ABOVE 8150 TGTS 8180,8230 SL 8100 SELL DHANIYA FEB BELOW 8010 TGTS 7980,7930 SL 8060

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TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS 3rd FEBRUARY 2014

TIME

COUNTRY

EVENT

ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIOUS

MONDAY FEBRUARY 03 ALL DAY

HONG KONG - LUNAR NEW YEAR

ALL DAY

CHINA - LUNAR NEW YEAR

ALL DAY

SINGAPORE - CHINESE NEW YEAR

03:15

NZD

TRADE BALANCE (YOY)

-180M

-250M

03:15

NZD

TRADE BALANCE (MOM)

550M

183M

05:00

JPY

HOUSEHOLD SPENDING (YOY)

1.2%

0.2%

05:00

JPY

TOKYO CORE CPI (YOY)

0.7%

0.7%

05:00

JPY

TOKYO CPI (YOY)

05:20

JPY

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION (MOM)

1.2%

-0.1%

06:00

AUD

PPI (QOQ)

0.9%

1.3%

06:00

AUD

PRIVATE SECTOR CREDIT (MOM)

0.4%

0.3%

12:30

EUR

GERMAN RETAIL SALES (MOM)

0.2%

1.5%

13:15

EUR

FRENCH CONSUMER SPENDING (MOM)

-0.4%

1.4%

15:30

EUR

CORE CPI (YOY)

0.8%

0.7%

15:30

EUR

CPI (YOY)

0.9%

0.8%

15:30

EUR

UNEMPLOYMENT RATE

12.1%

12.1%

19:00

CAD

GDP (QOQ)

19:00

CAD

GDP (MOM)

19:00

CAD

GDP ANNUALIZED (QOQ)

19:00

USD

CORE PCE PRICE INDEX (MOM)

0.1%

0.1%

19:00

USD

EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX (QOQ)

0.4%

0.4%

19:00

USD

PERSONAL SPENDING (MOM)

0.2%

0.5%

20:15

USD

CHICAGO PMI

59.0

59.1

20:25

USD

MICHIGAN CONSUMER SENTIMENT

81.0

80.4

YOUR MINTVISORY

0.9%

0.7% 0.2%

0.3% 2.7%

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