Daily commodity report 06 02 2014 by epic research

Page 1

DAILY COMMODITY REPORT 6th FEBRUARY 2014

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DAILY MARKET WRAPUP 6th FEBRUARY 2014 COMMODITY

CONTRACT

OPEN PRICE

HIGH

LOW

CLOSE PRICE

%CHANGE

OI (in lots)

GOLD

05 APR 2014

28720.00

29080.00

28689.00

28632.00

0.47

9433

SILVER

05 MAR 2014

43772.00

45223.00

43772.00

43557.00

2.05

10803

CRUDE

19 FEB 2014

6080.00

6154.00

6068.00

6075.00

0.36

10079

NATURAL GAS

25 FEB 2014

334.50

359.40

323.30

333.60

-1.35

15148

COPPER

28 FEB 2014

442.065

444.95

441.30

441.15

0.18

12463

NICKEL

28 FEB 2014

867.90

876.80

862.80

864.40

0.20

6625

LEAD

28 FEB 2014

131.25

132.50

130.80

130.70

0.27

2964

ZINC

28 FEB 2014

122.80

123.90

122.60

122.45

0.73

2130

ALUMINIUM

28 FEB 2014

104.20

105.50

104.20

104.05

1.11

4157

LME WAREHOUSE STOCKS (05-FEB- 2014)

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METAL

TONNES IN STORAGE

ALUMINIUM

-7400

COPPER

-2050

NICKEL

-162

LEAD

-500

ZINC

-6250 Call us at +91-731-6642300


INTERNATIONAL MARKETS 6th FEBRUARY 2014

PRECIOUS AND INDUSTRY METALS COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

COMEX GOLD

USD/T OZ.

1,257.10

+0.20

+0.02%

APR 14

GOLD SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,257.04

-0.88

-0.07%

N/A

COMEX SILVER

USD/T OZ.

19.91

+0.10

+0.50%

MAR 14

COMEX COPPER

USD/LB.

319.35

+0.50

+0.16%

MAR 14

PLATINUM SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,382.81

+2.18

+0.16%

N/A

ENERGY COMMODITY FUTURES COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

CRUDE OIL (WTI)

USD/BBL.

97.48

+0.10

+0.10%

MAR 14

CRUDE OIL (BRENT)

USD/BBL.

106.27

+0.02

+0.02%

MAR 14

RBOB GASOLINE

USD/GAL.

264.85

+4.54

+1.74%

MAR 14

NYMEX NATURAL GAS

USD/MMBTU

5.16

+0.13

+2.54%

MAR 14

NYMEX HEATING OIL

USD/GAL.

299.46

-0.22

-0.07%

MAR 14

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INTRADAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE 6th FEBRUARY 2014

COMMODITY

EXPIRY

SUP.3

SUP.2

SUP.1

PIVOT

RES.1

ALUMINIUM

28-FEB

101.93

102.72

103.38

104.17

104.83

COPPER

28-FEB

435.47

438.08

439.62

442.23

443.77

CRUDEOIL

19-FEB

5978

6013

6044

6079

6110

GOLD

5-APR

28098

28352

28492

28746

28886

LEAD

28-FEB

126.87

128.43

129.57

131.13

132.27

NATURALGAS

25-FEB

295.53

303.87

318.73

327.07

341.93

NICKEL

28-FEB

842.4

852.1

858.2

867.9

874.0

SILVER

5-MAR

42829

43117

43337

43625

43845

ZINC

28-FEB

120.13

121.02

121.73

122.62

123.33

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MOST ACTIVE CONTRACTS 6th FEBRUARY 2014

Symbol

Expiry Date

LTP

Value (In Lacs)

Volume (In Lots)

NATURAL GAS

25-02-2014

329.10

6,17,02,300.80

1,87,488

SILVERMICRO

28-02-2014

44492.00

6,48,63,10,712.00

1,45,786

SILVER M

28-02-2014

44481.00

2,95,24,26,375.00

66,375

CRUDE OIL

19-02-2014

6097.00

37,53,31,320.00

61,560

SILVER

05-03-2014

44450.00

1,52,58,35,150.00

34,327

COPPER

28-02-2014

441.95

95,23,138.60

21,548

GOLD M

05-03-2014

29304.00

50,31,49,680.00

17,170

GOLD

05-04-2014

28766.00

48,00,75,774.00

16,689

COPPERMINI

28-02-2014

442.10

69,83,853.70

15,797

LEADMINI

28-02-2014

131.05

20,61,416.50

15,730

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TODAY,S COMMODITY NEWS 6th FEBRUARY 2014

COMMODITY HEADLINES 

Silver futures up 0.73% on global cues and Gold down 0.27% in futures trade

Copper up 0.47% on strong global cues

Aluminium rises on spot demand, overseas cues

Lead up 0.5% on strong spot demand, overseas cues

Arabica coffee prices post biggest gain since 2004

Groundnut oil trading at four years low on weak demand

Potato gains 1.16% on rise in spot demand

Crude oil down 0.18% on mixed Asian cues

Oil prices down in Asia on weak Chinese data

Oil prices mixed after Fed taper decision

MCX board to meet on Friday over regulatory diktat on FT stake

Rubber procurement to stay till prices reach Rs 171 per kg

Mentha oil declines over 1% on profit-booking

ONGC to sell additional gas to Steel Exchange India

Gold holds above $1,250 amid shaky equities; physical demand weak

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COMMODITY BUZZ AND ECONOMIC EVENTS 6th FEBRUARY 2014

SPECIAL NEWS 

US Gold futures continued the early recovery on bargain buying, ahead of the ADP employment data scheduled to release later Wednesday. The U.S. is to release the ADP report on private sector job creation, which leads the government's highly-anticipated nonfarm payrolls report by two days, while the ISM is to publish a report service sector activity. Asia's stock markets were ended Wednesday's session on a mixed note with shares in Japan bouncing off the previous session's three-month low on the back of upbeat corporate earnings. European stock markets were rebounded on Wednesday, from three consecutive days of losses, helped higher by well-received earnings reports from Swatch Group and Alfa Laval. Data firm Markit said its composite Purchasing Managers Index for the euro zone increased to 52.9 in January from 52.1 in December, signaling the most rapid expansion since June 2011. However, the final January reading was lower than the preliminary estimate of 53.2 released last month.

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COMMODITY BUZZ 

India's steel exports to Thailand could be affected after a recent duty imposition, states a latest update from the Ministry of Commerce and Industry. Recently, Thailand imposed a definitive safeguard duty on imports of certain hot rolled steel flat products originating from India at the ad valorem rate of 44.2% for the period 15th September 2013 to 26th February, 2014. This would be progressively reduced as per the provisions of Agreement on Safeguard under the World Trade Organization (WTO).

The seasonally adjusted volume of retail trade fell by 1.6% in the Euro zone in December 2013 as compared with November 2013, after surging 0.90% in November2013, according to estimates from Eurostat, the statistical office of theEuropean Union. On an annual basis, the retail sales index decreased by 1% inthe Euro zone , after surging 1.30% in the month of November 2013. U.K.'s services sector activity grew again in January, but at a marginally slower pace than in December, in line with the manufacturing sector, a survey showed Wednesday. Despite the slowdown in the pace of expansion.

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 6th FEBRUARY 2014

SILVER

SILVER MCX Short term trend is UP, Immediate support @ 43500Immediate Resistance @ 44250 SILVER MCX Closed @ 43557.00 Yesterday Intraday Range of SILVER MCX was 1451. Volumes were 34580 lots. For today Keep a close eye on US data, volatility may Rule the overall Market due to USDINR Movements.

BUY SILVER ABOVE 44700 TGTS 44900/45200 SL 44300 SELL SILVER BELOW 44300 TGTS 44100/43800 SL 44700

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 6th FEBRUARY 2014

GOLD

GOLD MCX Short term trend is UP Immediate support @ 28600Immediate Resistance @ 29000 GOLD MCX Closed @ 28632.00 Yesterday Intraday Range of GOLD MCX was 391 Volumes were 16800 lots. For today Keep a close eye on US data, volatility may Rule the overall Market due to USDINR Movements.

BUY GOLD(APR) ABOVE 28900 TGTS 28980/29080 SL 28780 SELL GOLD(APR) BELOW 28600 TGTS 28520/28420 SL 28720

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 6th FEBRUARY 2014

CASTORSEED

RESISTANCE 1

4144.7

RESISTANCE 2

4184.3

PIVOT

4072.7

SUPPORT 1

4040.3

SUPPORT 2

4000.7

Catorseed Feb. looking sideways to bearish in daily chart. Momentum indicators also support bearishness, recommending sell on high. In Intraday basis immediate support @ 3990 &immediate resistance @ 4110.

BUY CASTORSEED FEB ABOVE 4110 TGTS 4140,4190 SL 4060 SELL CASTORSEED FEB BELOW 3990 TGTS 3960,3910 SL 4040

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 6th FEBRUARY 2014

DHANIYA

RESISTANCE 1

8215.3

RESISTANCE 2

8372.7

PIVOT

8122.7

SUPPORT 1

7965.3

SUPPORT 2

7872.3

Daily chart of Dhaniya shows bullishness and it will continue its rally from nearest support level to upper side. Fundamentally also Dhaniya is in bullish trend. Recommending buy on dips ,momentum indicator RSI is below mid range. But All over dhaniya is in bullish trend. Immediate support @ 8010 and immediate resistance @ 8110. BUY DHANIYA FEB ABOVE 8110 TGTS 8140,8190 SL 8060 SELL DHANIYA FEB BELOW 8010 TGTS 7980,7930 SL 8060

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TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS 6th FEBRUARY 2014

TIME

COUNTRY

EVENT

ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIOUS

THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 6 ALL DAY

HOLIDAY

NEW ZEALAND - WAITANGI DAY

06:00

AUD

NAB QUARTERLY BUSINESS CONFIDENCE

06:00

AUD

RETAIL SALES (MOM)

0.4%

0.7%

06:00

AUD

TRADE BALANCE

-0.300B

-0.118B

12:15

CHF

SECO CONSUMER CLIMATE

1

-5

16:30

EUR

GERMAN FACTORY ORDERS (MOM)

0.4%

2.1%

17:30

GBP

BOE QE TOTAL

375B

375B

17:30

GBP

INTEREST RATE DECISION

0.50%

0.50%

18:15

EUR

INTEREST RATE DECISION

0.25%

0.25%

19:00

CAD

EXPORTS

40.00B

39.78B

19:00

CAD

TRADE BALANCE

-1.00B

-0.94B

19:00

EUR

ECB PRESS CONFERENCE

19:00

USD

INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS

335K

348K

19:00

USD

NONFARM PRODUCTIVITY (QOQ)

2.5%

3.0%

19:00

USD

TRADE BALANCE

-36.00B

-34.30B

19:00

USD

UNIT LABOR COSTS (QOQ)

-0.5%

-1.4%

20:30

CAD

IVEY PMI

51.0

46.3

YOUR MINTVISORY

3.00

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