DAILY COMMODITY REPORT 7th FEBRUARY 2014
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DAILY MARKET WRAPUP 7th FEBRUARY 2014 COMMODITY
CONTRACT
OPEN PRICE
HIGH
LOW
CLOSE PRICE
%CHANGE
OI (in lots)
GOLD
05 APR 2014
28680.00
28940.00
28627.00
28632.00
0.10
9914
SILVER
05 MAR 2014
44505.00
45020.00
44280.00
43557.00
2.10
11078
CRUDE
19 FEB 2014
6094.00
6182.00
6091.00
6075.00
0.69
10246
NATURAL GAS
25 FEB 2014
322.20
337.40
311.60
333.60
-6.03
13258
COPPER
28 FEB 2014
442.65
446.90
442.06
441.16
0.87
10984
NICKEL
28 FEB 2014
866.80
877.10
863.00
864.40
0.66
5729
LEAD
28 FEB 2014
130.85
131.80
130.35
130.70
0.73
3301
ZINC
28 FEB 2014
123.26
125.00
123.00
122.46
2.04
2635
ALUMINIUM
28 FEB 2014
104.85
105.60
104.46
104.05
1.01
4377
LME WAREHOUSE STOCKS (06-FEB- 2014)
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METAL
TONNES IN STORAGE
ALUMINIUM
-8000
COPPER
-1975
NICKEL
282
LEAD
-500
ZINC
-5450 Call us at +91-731-6642300
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS 7th FEBRUARY 2014
PRECIOUS AND INDUSTRY METALS COMMODITY
UNITS
PRICE
CHANGE
% CHANGE
CONTRACT
COMEX GOLD
USD/T OZ.
1,258.20
+1.00
+0.08%
APR 14
GOLD SPOT
USD/T OZ.
1,258.41
+0.21
+0.02%
N/A
COMEX SILVER
USD/T OZ.
19.87
-0.06
-0.32%
MAR 14
COMEX COPPER
USD/LB.
324.00
+1.10
+0.34%
MAR 14
PLATINUM SPOT
USD/T OZ.
1,378.63
+2.88
+0.17%
N/A
ENERGY COMMODITY FUTURES COMMODITY
UNITS
PRICE
CHANGE
% CHANGE
CONTRACT
CRUDE OIL (WTI)
USD/BBL.
97.82
-0.02
-0.02%
MAR 14
CRUDE OIL (BRENT)
USD/BBL.
107.42
+0.23
+0.21%
MAR 14
RBOB GASOLINE
USD/GAL.
269.14
+5.01
+1.90%
MAR 14
NYMEX NATURAL GAS
USD/MMBTU
4.99
+0.06
+1.28%
MAR 14
NYMEX HEATING OIL
USD/GAL.
300.66
+0.98
+0.33%
MAR 14
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INTRADAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE 7th FEBRUARY 2014
COMMODITY
EXPIRY
SUP.3
SUP.2
SUP.1
PIVOT
RES.1
ALUMINIUM
28-FEB
103.65
104.40
104.95
105.70
106.25
COPPER
28-FEB
438.77
440.08
442.52
443.83
446.27
CRUDEOIL
19-FEB
6019
6056
6105
6142
6191
GOLD
5-APR
28428
28571
28826
28969
29224
LEAD
28-FEB
129.60
130.20
131.20
131.80
132.80
NATURALGAS
25-FEB
298.43
311.47
335.43
348.47
372.43
NICKEL
28-FEB
854.1
859.3
868.1
873.3
882.1
SILVER
5-MAR
43011
43702
44462
45153
45913
ZINC
28-FEB
121.98
122.67
123.28
123.97
124.58
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MOST ACTIVE CONTRACTS 7th FEBRUARY 2014
Symbol
Expiry Date
LTP
Value (In Lacs)
Volume (In Lots)
NATURAL GAS
25-02-2014
313.50
4,94,64,030.00
1,57,780
SILVERMICRO
28-02-2014
44490.00
5,15,89,71,420.00
1,15,958
SILVER M
28-02-2014
44496.00
2,51,33,56,560.00
56,485
CRUDE OIL
19-02-2014
6117.00
33,31,86,873.00
54,469
SILVER
05-03-2014
44471.00
1,11,89,79,302.00
25,162
COPPER
28-02-2014
445.00
1,03,87,635.00
23,343
LEADMINI
28-02-2014
131.65
24,42,370.80
18,552
NICKEL
28-02-2014
870.10
1,59,69,815.40
18,354
COPPERMINI
28-02-2014
445.10
80,35,835.40
18,054
GOLD M
05-03-2014
29250.00
51,82,80,750.00
17,719
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TODAY,S COMMODITY NEWS 7th FEBRUARY 2014
COMMODITY HEADLINES
Gold up 0.3% on global cues
Silver up 0.9% on higher global cues
Import duty on gold, medical equipments and set up boxes may come down in interim budget
Nickel up 0.4% on global cues, spot demand
Copper up 0.3% as demand picks up, global cues
Crude oil up 0.6% on overseas cues
World food prices drop to 19-month low
Potato up 2% as demand picks up, tight supply
Refined soya up 0.7% on strong demand
Crude oil down 0.18% on mixed Asian cues
Oil prices down in Asia on weak Chinese data
Natural stone exports set to drop 15% in FY14
Mentha oil up 0.2% on good demand, tight supply
Apparel sector lags in winter-wear exports
MCX Crude Breaks Above Rs 6100 On Good Buying
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COMMODITY BUZZ AND ECONOMIC EVENTS 7th FEBRUARY 2014
SPECIAL NEWS
Global food prices decreased for the first time in three months in January, reflecting lower prices of cereals, sugars, oils and meat, a report published by the Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO) reveled Thursday. The FAO food price index, which measures changes in prices of internationally traded food commodities, decreased 1.3 percent month-on-month in January. Sugar price dropped 5.6 percent during the month, and costs of vegetable oils fell 3.8 percent. Cereal prices were down by 1.6 percent than in December. Meat prices also declined modestly during the month. Offsetting these declines partially, diary prices advanced 1.3 percent. The Bank of England's monetary policy committee today voted to maintain bank rate at 0.5% and also decided to maintain the stock of purchased assets financed by the issuance of central bank reserves at £375 billion.
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COMMODITY BUZZ
MCX Crude oil futures edged up amid a supportive global scenario and topped highs above Rs 6100 per barrel. Global crude oil prices extended their recent recovery and witnessed good buying today. The WTI Crude oil futures are trading at $98.15, up 77 cents per barrel on the day. MCX Crude oil futures are trading at Rs 6129, up Rs 36 per barrel on the day or 0.59% with 10% increase in the open interest.
European stocks have started on a positive note yesterday and the positive momentum is likely to support gold prices. The US dollar also gave up some of its recent gains and supported the gold prices. it will trim monthly bond buying by $10 billion after deciding in December to reduce purchases by the same amount as the economy improved. The Deutsche Bundesbank reported today that German factory orders increased 6% annually in December, lower than the 7.2% increase reported in November. On a monthly basis, factory orders fell 0.5% in December.
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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 7th FEBRUARY 2014
SILVER
SILVER MCX Short term trend is UP, Immediate support @ 44950 Immediate Resistance @ 45250 SILVER MCX Closed @ 43557.00 . Yesterday Intraday Range of SILVER MCX was 740. Volumes were 25230 lots. For today Keep a close eye on US data, volatility may Rule the overall Market due to USDINR Movements. BUY SILVER ABOVE 44700 TGTS 44900/45200 SL 44300 SELL SILVER BELOW 44300 TGTS 44100/43800 SL 44700
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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 7th FEBRUARY 2014
GOLD
GOLD MCX Short term trend is UP, Immediate support @ 28600 Immediate Resistance @ 29000 GOLD MCX Closed @ 28632 . Yesterday Intraday Range of GOLD MCX was 313 Volumes were 15280 lots. For today Keep a close eye on US data, volatility may Rule the overall Market due to USDINR Movements.
BUY GOLD(APR) ABOVE 28900 TGTS 28980/29080 SL 28780 SELL GOLD(APR) BELOW 28600 TGTS 28520/28420 SL 28720
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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 7th FEBRUARY 2014
CASTORSEED
RESISTANCE 1
4167.7
RESISTANCE 2
4227.3
PIVOT
4114.3
SUPPORT 1
4054.7
SUPPORT 2
4001.3
Castorseed Feb. is looking sideways to bearish in daily chart. Momentum indicators also support bearishness, recommending sell on high. In Intraday basis nearest support @ 3975 & nearest resistance @ 4050.
BUY CASTORSEED FEB ABOVE 4050 TGTS 4080,4130 SL 4000 SELL CASTORSEED FEB BELOW 3975 TGTS 3945,3895 SL 4025
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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 7th FEBRUARY 2014
DHANIYA
RESISTANCE 1
8984.7
RESISTANCE 2
9066.3
PIVOT
8928.3
SUPPORT 1
8846.7
SUPPORT 2
8790.3
Daily chart of Dhaniya shows bullishness and it will continue its rally from nearest support level toupper side. Fundamentally also Dhaniya is in bullish trend. Recommending buy on dips, momentum indicator RSI taking support of mid range, Again signs bullishness. Immediate support @ 8095 and immediate resistance @ 8235. BUY DHANIYA FEB ABOVE 8235 TGTS 8265,8315 SL 8185 SELL DHANIYA FEB ABOVE 8095 TGTS 8065,8015 SL 8145
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TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS 7th FEBRUARY 2014
TIME
COUNTRY
EVENT
ACTUAL
FORECAST
PREVIOUS
FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 7 00:00
JPY
LEADING INDEX
02:00
EUR
GERMAN TRADE BALANCE
17.3B
17.8B
02:45
EUR
FRENCH GOVERNMENT BUDGET BALANCE
-80.0B
-87.0B
02:45
EUR
FRENCH TRADE BALANCE
-5.0B
-5.7B
03:00
EUR
SPANISH INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION (YOY)
0.5%
2.6%
03:15
CHF
RETAIL SALES (YOY)
3.9%
4.2%
04:30
GBP
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION (YOY)
2.3%
2.5%
04:30
GBP
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION (MOM)
0.6%
0.0%
04:30
GBP
MANUFACTURING PRODUCTION (YOY)
2.3%
2.8%
04:30
GBP
MANUFACTURING PRODUCTION (MOM)
0.6%
0.0%
04:30
GBP
TRADE BALANCE
-9.30B
-9.44B
06:00
BRL
BRAZILIAN CPI (YOY)
5.67%
5.91%
06:00
EUR
GERMAN INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION (MOM)
0.5%
1.9%
06:30
INR
INDIAN BANK LOAN GROWTH
14.80%
06:30
INR
INDIAN FX RESERVES, USD
292.24B
YOUR MINTVISORY
110.8
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TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS 7th FEBRUARY 2014
TIME
COUNTRY
EVENT
ACTUAL
FORECAST
PREVIOUS
20.0K
-45.9K
FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 7 08:30
CAD
EMPLOYMENT CHANGE
08:30
CAD
FULL EMPLOYMENT CHANGE
-60.0K
08:30
CAD
PART TIME EMPLOYMENT CHANGE
14.2K
08:30
CAD
PARTICIPATION RATE
66.00%
66.40%
08:30
CAD
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
7.0%
7.2%
08:30
USD
AVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS (MOM)
0.2%
0.1%
08:30
USD
AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS
34.4
34.4
08:30
USD
NONFARM PAYROLLS
185K
74K
08:30
USD
PRIVATE NONFARM PAYROLLS
185K
87K
08:30
USD
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
6.7%
6.7%
09:00
MXN
MEXICAN CPI (YOY)
4.56%
3.97%
10:00
GBP
NIESR GDP ESTIMATE
0.7%
10:30
USD
ECRI WEEKLY ANNUALIZED (WOW)
4.3%
15:00
USD
CONSUMER CREDIT
YOUR MINTVISORY
12.00B
12.32B Call us at +91-731-6642300
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