Daily commodity report 10 dec 2013 by epic research

Page 1

DAILY COMMODITY REPORT 10th DECEMBER 2013

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DAILY MARKET WRAPUP 10th DECEMBER 2013 COMMODITY

CONTRACT

OPEN PRICE

HIGH

LOW

CLOSE PRICE

%CHANGE

OI (in lots)

GOLD

05 FEB 2013

28921

29159

28842

29117

-0.50

9137

SILVER

05 MAR 2013

43951

44317

43737

44160

-0.70

10538

CRUDE

18 DEC 2013

5983

5995

5933

5953

-1.29

10741

NATURAL GAS

26 DEC 2013

254.5

259

254.3

258.50

+1.65

18818

COPPER

28 FEB 2013

445.7

446.2

443.7

445.8

-0.40

13469

NICKEL

31 DEC 2013

843

853.50

841.2

852.9

+0.32

8149

LEAD

29 NOV 2013

127.20

128.55

126.75

128.25

-0.04

2477

ZINC

29 NOV 2013

115.5

117.60

115.4

117.2

+0.69

3773

ALUMINIUM

31 DEC 2013

106.8

108.00

106.7

107.85

+0.61

2069

LME WAREHOUSE STOCKS (28 - NOV- 2013)

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METAL

TONNES IN STORAGE

ALUMINIUM

-10175

COPPER

-2825

LEAD

-975

NICKEL

-12

TIN

UNCHANGED

ZINC

-4700 Call us at +91-731-6642300


INTERNATIONAL MARKETS 10th DECEMBER 2013

PRECIOUS AND INDUSTRY METALS COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

COMEX GOLD

USD/T OZ.

1,238.80

+4.60

+0.37%

FEB 14

GOLD SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,239.56

-0.79

-0.06%

N/A

COMEX SILVER

USD/T OZ.

19.76

+0.24

+1.21%

MAR 14

COMEX COPPER

USD/LB.

325.20

-0.60

-0.18%

MAR 14

PLATINUM SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,375.40

+0.85

+0.06%

N/A

ENERGY COMMODITY FUTURES COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

CRUDE OIL (WTI)

USD/BBL.

97.53

+0.19

+0.20%

JAN 14

CRUDE OIL (BRENT)

USD/BBL.

109.57

+0.18

+0.16%

JAN 14

RBOB GASOLINE

USD/GAL.

267.86

+0.37

+0.14%

JAN 14

NYMEX NATURAL GAS

USD/MMBTU

4.23

0.00

+0.05%

JAN 14

NYMEX HEATING OIL

USD/GAL.

301.76

+0.33

+0.11%

JAN 14

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INTRADAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE 10th DECEMBER 2013

COMMODITY

EXPIRY

SUP.3

SUP.2

SUP.1

PIVOT

RES.1

RES.2

RES.3

ALUMINIUM

31-Dec

105.42

106.13

106.72

107.43

108.02

108.73

109.32

COPPER

28-Feb

437.92

441.63

443.97

447.68

450.02

453.73

456.07

CRUDEOIL

18-Dec

5850

5911

5946

6007

6042

6103

6138

GOLD

5-Feb

28036

28378

28666

29008

29296

29638

29926

LEAD

31-Dec

125.02

126.13

126.77

127.88

128.52

129.63

130.27

NATURALGAS

26-Dec

245.17

248.93

251.17

254.93

257.17

260.93

263.17

NICKEL

31-Dec

825.8

834.7

839.7

848.6

853.6

862.5

867.5

SILVER

5-Mar

42408

42996

43524

44112

44640

45228

45756

ZINC

31-Dec

113.62

114.58

115.17

116.13

116.72

117.68

118.27

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MOST ACTIVE CONTRACTS 10th DECEMBER 2013

Symbol

Expiry Date

LTP

Value (In Lacs)

Volume (In Lots)

SILVERMICRO

28-02-2014

44186.00

2,40,91,97,464.00

54,524

NATURAL GAS

26-12-2013

258.70

1,11,48,935.20

43,096

CRUDE OIL

18-12-2013

5956.00

22,72,51,180.00

38,155

SILVER M

28-02-2014

44190.00

1,27,21,85,910.00

28,789

COPPER

28-02-2014

445.30

78,16,796.20

17,554

GOLD PETAL

31-12-2013

3022.00

4,95,18,492.00

16,386

SILVER

05-03-2014

44150.00

64,56,05,450.00

14,623

GOLD M

03-01-2014

29840.00

43,39,33,280.00

14,542

COPPERMINI

28-02-2014

445.20

57,31,504.80

12,874

GOLD

05-02-2014

29058.00

34,95,96,798.00

12,031

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COMMODITY BUZZ AND ECONOMIC EVENTS 10th DECEMBER 2013

SPECIAL NEWS : 

China will tighten approvals of new coal mines and ban imports of low-quality coal in order to curb the disorderly growth of coal production and promote sustainable development of the coal industry. New coal mines with annual output of below 300,000 tons will no longer gain approval. Existing coal mines with an output of less than 90,000 tons will be gradually eliminated from the industry, and coal mines that fail to meet safety standards will be shut down. The Federal Reserve should begin to pull back the pace of its asset purchase program at the earliest opportunity, said Richard Fisher the president of the Dallas Federal Reserve Bank, on Monday. Fisher said the Fed should publicly release a clearly articulated, well-defined calendar to put the monthly $85 billion in asset purchases on a steady path to zero. . The Japanese govt. lowered the reading of the country's growth over the third quarter, saying capital expenditure was weaker than first thought. Japan's gross domestic product, or the total value of goods and services produced, grew an annualized 1.1% in the JulySeptember period from the previous quarter .

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COMMODITY BUZZ : 

Money managers have increased the long positions in Copper for the second week in a row. The data released by Commitment of Traders (COT) has shown that the long positions of Copper were up by 1045 contracts to 30360 contracts on 3 December 2013 against 29315 contracts on 26 November 2013. An increase of 623 contracts in short positions was also seen. The total short positions increased to 49676 contracts against 49053 contracts on 26 November 2013. The net positions of money managers are still in favor of shorts by 19316 contracts, down 2.1% from last week 26 November 2013..

In line with weakness in gold investors continued to exit from gold exchange traded funds .

BHP Billiton deciding to quit Indian oil and gas blocks, Australia's Santos wants to exit its two exploration blocks in Bay of Bengal due to delays in getting approvals to start work.

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 10th DECEMBER 2013

SILVER MCX:

MCX SILVER march contract was closed at Rs 44160 up Rs 108, or +0.25%. The SILVER rate touched an intraday high of Rs 44317 and an intraday low of Rs 43737. 15713 contracts had been traded. Silver opened at morning with gap down and made day low. In mid session silver traded in narrow range and made night high. After 8.00 p.m. more buying pressure was seen in silver and it will helpful to break the nearest resistance of 44550. BUY SILVER ABOVE 44510 TGTS 44710/45010 SL 44210 SELL SILVER BELOW 43900 TGTS 43700/43400 SL 44200

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 10th DECEMBER 2013

GOLD MCX:

MCX GOLD February contract was closed at Rs 29117 UP Rs 163, or 0.56%. The GOLD rate touched an intraday high of Rs 29159 and an intraday low of Rs 28842. 13196 contracts had been traded. Gold Price was taking support at 28650 and traded in narrow range all day. In evening session gold price broke the nearest resistance of 29040 and made new high of 29159. BUY GOLD ABOVE 29120 TGTS 29200/29300 SL 29020 SELL GOLD BELOW 28910 TGTS 28830/28730 SL 29010

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TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS 10th DECEMBER 2013

Time

Counrty

Event

Actual

Forecast Previous

TUESDAY, DECEMBER 10 00:45

USD

FOMC MEMBER FISHER SPEAKS

05:00

USD

FOMC MEMBER FISHER SPEAKS

05:20

JPY

BSI LARGE MANUFACTURING CONDITIONS

9.7

17.2

15.2

05:20

JPY

TERTIARY INDUSTRY ACTIVITY INDEX (MOM)

-0.7%

0.3%

0.0%

05:31

GBP

RICS HOUSE PRICE BALANCE

58%

60%

57%

11:00

CNY

CHINESE FIXED ASSET INVESTMENT (YOY)

20.0%

20.1%

11:00

CNY

CHINESE INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION (YOY)

10.1%

10.3%

15:00

GBP

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION (MOM)

0.3%

0.9%

15:00

GBP

MANUFACTURING PRODUCTION (MOM)

0.4%

1.2%

15:00

GBP

TRADE BALANCE

-9.35B

-9.82B

17:30

EUR

ECB PRESIDENT DRAGHI SPEAKS

20:30

GBP

NIESR GDP ESTIMATE

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0.7%

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