Daily commodity report 10 feb 2014 by epic research

Page 1

DAILY COMMODITY REPORT 10th FEBRUARY

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DAILY MARKET WRAPUP 10th FEBRUARY COMMODITY

CONTRACT

OPEN PRICE

HIGH

LOW

CLOSE PRICE

%CHANGE

OI (in lots)

GOLD

05 APR 2014

28730.00

28900.00

28683.00

28650.00

0.32

10189

SILVER

05 MAR 2014

44401.00

44700.00

44160.00

44413.00

-0.14

11736

CRUDE

19 FEB 2014

6092.00

6139.00

6050.00

6075.00

0.97

51204

NATURAL GAS

25 FEB 2014

310.60

312.00

295.60

309.00

-2.27

11960

COPPER

28 FEB 2014

445.75

448.00

445.20

444.26

0.26

10497

NICKEL

28 FEB 2014

870.10

883.80

870.00

869.20

1.20

15324

LEAD

28 FEB 2014

131.95

132.95

131.25

131.85

-0.11

3161

ZINC

28 FEB 2014

126.30

127.15

125.30

124.85

1.00

3030

ALUMINIUM

28 FEB 2014

105.30

105.90

106.00

105.10

0.19

3457

LME WAREHOUSE STOCKS (06-FEB- 2014)

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METAL

TONNES IN STORAGE

ALUMINIUM

-7850

COPPER

-1225

LEAD

-500

NICKEL

696

ZINC

-5150 Call us at +91-731-6642300


INTERNATIONAL MARKETS 10th FEBRUARY

PRECIOUS AND INDUSTRY METALS COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

COMEX GOLD

USD/T OZ.

1,265.60

-0.20

-0.02%

APR 14

GOLD SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,265.97

-1.30

-0.10%

N/A

COMEX SILVER

USD/T OZ.

20.01

+0.07

+0.35%

MAR 14

COMEX COPPER

USD/LB.

324.40

+0.80

+0.25%

MAR 14

PLATINUM SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,382.38

-2.37

-0.17%

N/A

ENERGY COMMODITY FUTURES COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

CRUDE OIL (WTI)

USD/BBL.

100.12

+0.24

+0.24%

MAR 14

CRUDE OIL (BRENT)

USD/BBL.

109.59

+0.02

+0.02%

MAR 14

RBOB GASOLINE

USD/GAL.

275.76

+0.87

+0.32%

MAR 14

NYMEX NATURAL GAS

USD/MMBTU

4.68

-0.10

-2.05%

MAR 14

NYMEX HEATING OIL

USD/GAL.

304.86

-0.17

-0.06%

MAR 14

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INTRADAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE 10th FEBRUARY

COMMODITY

EXPIRY

SUP.3

SUP.2

SUP.1

PIVOT

RES.1

ALUMINIUM

28-FEB

103.90

104.45

104.80

105.35

105.70

COPPER

28-FEB

439.72

442.03

443.37

445.68

447.02

CRUDEOIL

19-FEB

5961

6006

6083

6128

6205

GOLD

5-APR

28441

28562

28658

28779

28875

LEAD

28-FEB

128.88

130.02

130.68

131.82

132.48

NATURALGAS

25-FEB

276.67

286.13

293.07

302.53

309.47

NICKEL

28-FEB

857.5

863.8

871.3

877.6

885.1

SILVER

5-MAR

43579

43870

44119

44410

44659

ZINC

28-FEB

123.33

124.32

125.18

126.17

127.03

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MOST ACTIVE CONTRACTS 10th FEBRUARY

Symbol

Expiry Date

LTP

Value (In Lacs)

Volume (In Lots)

NATURAL GAS

25-02-2014

302.00

3,46,34,568.00

1,14,684

SILVERMICRO

28-02-2014

44380.00

3,61,88,33,960.00

81,542

CRUDE OIL

19-02-2014

6134.00

31,40,85,336.00

51,204

SILVER M

28-02-2014

44379.00

1,81,41,24,762.00

40,878

SILVER

05-03-2014

44350.00

93,05,07,350.00

20,981

GOLD PETAL

27-02-2014

2983.00

5,32,61,465.00

17,855

LEADMINI

28-02-2014

131.50

21,71,459.50

16,513

COPPER

28-02-2014

445.40

70,02,133.40

15,721

NICKEL

28-02-2014

879.60

1,34,78,990.40

15,324

GOLD

05-04-2014

28743.00

43,64,04,969.00

15,183

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TODAY,S COMMODITY NEWS 10th FEBRUARY

COMMODITY HEADLINES 

Gold holds up on safe-haven bids, cautious stocks

Gold up 0.3% on global cues

Copper rises 0.62% on spot demand, global cues

Iron ore pellet prices dip, exports come to a halt

Nickel up 0.4% on global cues, spot demand

Oil prices mixed ahead of US jobs release

Oil prices rise in Asian trade

Oil prices extend gains in Asian trade

Commodity futures regulator to allow trading by bourse shareholders

Natural stone exports set to drop 15% in FY14

Mentha oil up 0.2% on good demand, tight supply

Gold tumbles on profit-selling, lack of demand

Gold set for weekly gain; focus on US jobs report

US crude oil rose above USD 100 a barrel for the first time this year

NYMEX crude oil fluctuates ahead of U.S. employment data

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COMMODITY BUZZ AND ECONOMIC EVENTS 10th FEBRUARY

SPECIAL NEWS 

The USDA release has lowered their outlook for Ar-

COMMODITY BUZZ 

The US dollar also gave up some of its recent gains and

gentina's soybean and corn harvests due to warning

supported the gold prices. The greenback had hit a two

high temperatures and a lack of rain have latest nega-

month high against the Euro as the Federal Reserve said it

tively impacted the crops. an unusual long period of

will trim monthly bond buying by $10 billion after decid-

very high temperatures combined with scarce soil hu-

ing in December to reduce purchases by the same amount

midity in mid-December negatively affected almost all

as the economy improved, helping to end gold's 12-year

early planted corn. USDA cut their corn production

bull run.

estimate for the 2013-14 season by 1.2m tonnes to 23.8m tonnes. The downgrade came despite rain relief for later planted corn, 

The area under rabi crops stands at 654.16 lakh hectares, up 5.71% compared to the last year, according to latest updates from the Agricultural Ministry. The sowing is drawing to a close in almost all parts of the country. Apart from coarse cereals, all other crops have witnessed an increase in the acreage. Wheat acreage is up 5.74%, rice up 37.63% and pulses up 6%

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Crude oil futures have also been rising over last few weeks. WTI Crude edged up from its multi month lows in the first week of January and stayed supported. Oil witnessed a big boost after the US the Labor Department reported payrolls in the US rose less than projected in January as retailers cut back after the holidays and government hiring fell. In Eurozone, the Markit Composite PMI, which gauges business activity across companies, has hit its highest level in two and half years

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 10th FEBRUARY

SILVER

Silver has recovered from its support level of 42800, although profit booking at higher level capping the price, but we expect that it may recover more up to 45800/46200 BUY SILVER (MAR) ABOVE 45250 TGTS 45500/45900 SL 44850 SELL SILVER (MAR) BELOW 43800 TGTS 43550/43150 SL 44200

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 10th FEBRUARY

GOLD

After expiry gold seems very volatile, buying in lower level and profit booking in higher level is putting gold trend into chaos. Although price is in under pressure due to negative US nonfarm payrolls data, and closure of Chinese markets for the Lunar New Year holiday also weighed on volumes.. We expect price can correct up to 28500 BUY GOLD (APR) ABOVE 29100 TGTS 29250/29450 SL 28900 SELL GOLD (APR) BELOW 28550 TGTS 28400/28200 SL 28750

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 10th FEBRUARY

CASTORSEED

RESISTANCE 1

4177.30

RESISTANCE 2

4210.70

PIVOT

4131.70

SUPPORT 1

4098.30

SUPPORT 2

4052.70

Castorseed Feb. looking sideways to bearish in daily chart. Momentum indicators also support bearishness, recommending sell on high. In Intraday basis nearest support @ 4030 & nearest resistance @ 4100. BUY CASTORSEED FEB ABOVE 4100 TGTS 4130,4180 SL 4050 SELL CASTORSEED FEB BELOW 4030 TGTS 4000,3950 SL 4080

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10th FEBRUARY

EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS DHANIYA

RESISTANCE 1

9309.70

RESISTANCE 2

9416.30

PIVOT

9139.30

SUPPORT 1

9032.70

SUPPORT 2

8862.30

Daily chart of Dhaniya shows bullishness and it will continue its rally from nearest support level to upper side. Fundamentally also Dhaniya is in bullish trend. Recommending buy on dips, momentum indicator RSI taking support of mid range, Again signs bullishness. Immediate support @ 8250 and immediate resistance @ 8350. BUY DHANIYA FEB ABOVE 8350 TGTS 8380,8430 SL8300 SELL DHANIYA FEB BELOW 8250 TGTS 8220,8170 SL 8300

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TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS 10th FEBRUARY MONDAY, FEBRUARY 10 TIME

COUNTRY

EVENT

ACTUAL

FORECAST

PREVIOUS

05:20

JPY

ADJUSTED CURRENT ACCOUNT

-0.20T

-0.06T

-0.05T

05:20

JPY

BANK LENDING (YOY)

2.3%

10:30

JPY

HOUSEHOLD CONFIDENCE

43.9

41.3

11:30

JPY

ECONOMY WATCHERS CURRENT INDEX

55.5

55.7

12:15

CHF

UNEMPLOYMENT RATE N.S.A.

3.6%

3.5%

12:15

CHF

UNEMPLOYMENT RATE S.A.

3.2%

3.2%

13:15

EUR

FRENCH INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION (MOM)

0.1%

1.3%

14:30

EUR

ITALIAN INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION (MOM)

0.2%

0.3%

14:30

EUR

ITALIAN INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION (YOY)

0.4%

1.4%

15:00

EUR

SENTIX INVESTOR CONFIDENCE

10.7

11.9

16:05

EUR

GERMAN 6-MONTH BUBILL AUCTION

18:45

CAD

HOUSING STARTS

19:30

EUR

FRENCH 12-MONTH BTF AUCTION

0.150%

19:30

EUR

FRENCH 3-MONTH BTF AUCTION

0.131%

19:30

EUR

FRENCH 6-MONTH BTF AUCTION

0.136%

22:00

USD

3-MONTH BILL AUCTION

0.040%

22:00

USD

6-MONTH BILL AUCTION

0.060%

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2.3%

0.085% 183.0K

189.7K

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Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.

The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.

The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for. Any surfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved. Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks.

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