Daily commodity report 12 dec 2013 by epic reserch

Page 1

DAILY COMMODITY REPORT 12th DECEMBER 2013

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DAILY MARKET WRAPUP 12th DECEMBER 2013 COMMODITY

CONTRACT

OPEN PRICE

HIGH

LOW

CLOSE PRICE

%CHANGE

OI (in lots)

GOLD

05 FEB 2014

29499

29639

29272

29460

-0.28

9792

SILVER

05 MAR 2014

45499

45845

45251

45730

+0.53

8787

CRUDE

18 DEC 2013

6019

6059

6002

6014

+0.05

10297

NATURAL GAS

26 DEC 2013

258.5

266.6

256.5

265.5

+3.10

18637

COPPER

28 FEB 2014

447.7

454.8

447.7

454.5

+1.40

13610

NICKEL

31 DEC 2013

852.8

871.8

852.8

866.7

+1.76

6533

LEAD

31 DEC 2013

129.6

131.9

129.35

131.7

+1.62

2742

ZINC

31 DEC 2013

119.5

121.1

119.05

121.00

+1.38

3736

ALUMINIUM

31 DEC 2013

108.70

110.4

108.6

110.15

+1.43

2035

LME WAREHOUSE STOCKS (11 - DEC- 2013)

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METAL

TONNES IN STORAGE

ALUMINIUM

-9925

COPPER

-2175

LEAD

-1575

NICKEL

54

TIN

-260

ZINC

-4675 Call us at +91-731-6642300


INTERNATIONAL MARKETS 12th DECEMBER 2013

PRECIOUS AND INDUSTRY METALS COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

COMEX GOLD

USD/T OZ.

1,253.70

-3.50

-0.28%

FEB 14

GOLD SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,254.22

+1.90

+0.15%

N/A

COMEX SILVER

USD/T OZ.

20.29

-0.07

-0.35%

MAR 14

COMEX COPPER

USD/LB.

328.45

-1.05

-0.32%

MAR 14

PLATINUM SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,387.32

+2.69

+0.19%

N/A

ENERGY COMMODITY FUTURES COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

CRUDE OIL (WTI)

USD/BBL.

97.39

-0.05

-0.05%

JAN 14

CRUDE OIL (BRENT)

USD/BBL.

109.52

-0.18

-0.16%

JAN 14

RBOB GASOLINE

USD/GAL.

266.34

+0.23

+0.09%

JAN 14

NYMEX NATURAL GAS

USD/MMBTU

4.34

+0.01

+0.14%

JAN 14

NYMEX HEATING OIL

USD/GAL.

302.16

+0.04

+0.01%

JAN 14

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INTRADAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE 12thDECEMBER 2013

COMMODITY

EXPIRY

SUP.3

SUP.2

SUP.1

PIVOT

RES.1

RES.2

RES.3

ALUMINIUM

31-Dec

106.70

107.35

107.90

108.55

109.10

109.75

110.30

COPPER

28-Feb

442.78

444.32

446.03

447.57

449.28

450.82

452.53

CRUDEOIL

18-Dec

5870

5914

5962

6006

6054

6098

6146

GOLD

5-Feb

28907

29048

29292

29433

29677

29818

30062

LEAD

31-Dec

126.72

127.58

128.47

129.33

130.22

131.08

131.97

NATURALGAS

26-Dec

250.47

253.73

255.87

259.13

261.27

264.53

266.67

NICKEL

31-Dec

833.0

841.3

845.9

854.2

858.8

867.1

871.7

SILVER

5-Mar

43565

43981

44716

45132

45867

46283

47018

ZINC

31-Dec

116.13

116.82

117.98

118.67

119.83

120.52

121.68

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MOST ACTIVE CONTRACTS 12th DECEMBER 2013

Symbol

Expiry Date

LTP

Value (In Lacs)

Volume (In Lots)

NATURAL GAS

26-12-2013

266.00

1,89,42,126.00

71,211

SILVERMICRO

28-02-2014

45713.00

3,04,32,05,836.00

66,572

CRUDE OIL

18-12-2013

6014.00

33,21,89,304.00

55,236

SILVER M

28-02-2014

45720.00

1,52,76,88,080.00

33,414

COPPER

28-02-2014

454.00

1,29,12,214.00

28,441

COPPERMINI

28-02-2014

453.90

94,61,999.40

20,846

NICKEL

31-12-2013

865.50

1,80,17,113.50

20,817

GOLD M

03-01-2014

29990.00

61,53,64,810.00

20,519

SILVER

05-03-2014

45692.00

81,96,68,788.00

17,939

GOLD PETAL

31-12-2013

3041.00

5,22,65,667.00

17,187

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COMMODITY BUZZ AND ECONOMIC EVENTS 12th DECEMBER 2013

SPECIAL NEWS : The U.S. govt. recorded a budget deficit of $135 billion for Nov. That is a drop of 21% from the same month a year ago, and puts the fiscal year-to-date deficit at $227 billion. The government brought in $182 billion in receipts in November, a 13% increase based mostly on individual withheld taxes. Spending was $318 billion in the month, down 5%.

Australia's unemployment rate rose to 5.8% in November from 5.7% in October, edging closer to a postfinancial crisis high.

India government may not implement a steep hike in diesel prices although state elections are over. According to India Ratings (Ind-Ra) one time hike in prices can reduce under recoveries.

The Federal Reserve may begin to scale back its 85billion-USD monthly asset purchases at the committee's policy meeting on December 17th-18th rather than wait next year. Earlier this week, Fed Reserve Bank of Atlanta President said that any decision to taper should be accompanied by a limit on the size of the program or a timetable for ending it.

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COMMODITY BUZZ : Iran's oil exports are rebounding after an interim deal with the West but the Islamic Republic won't flood markets even if international sanctions are lifted. The IEA said global oil demand will be higher than expected next year and that could push up oil prices amid persistent production disruptions.

Indonesian ban on ores is due to start in January 12, 2014 the export ban will be impacting the revenues of Indonesia are also higher. Indonesia was exporting a major chunk of unprocessed metal to China. After the announcement of the ban China has been stocking ores and increasing the production capacities of metals and simultaneously eyeing the Philippines as the export hub next year.

Two major events coming in 2014 can have great impact on the metals markets. One is the Federal Reserve tapering, which is expected to start from March 2014. The other is the ban of ore exports by Indonesia, which is due to start in January 12, 2014 thereby the production of Copper can concentrate from Grasberg Mine, it can drop by 30-40%

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 12th DECEMBER 2013

SILVER MCX:

MCX SILVER march contract was closed at Rs 45730 up Rs 280, or +0.62 percent. The SILVER rate touched an intraday high of Rs 45845 and an intraday low of Rs 45251. 15713 contracts had been traded. Silver opened at morning with gap up and made day low. In mid session. Silver traded in big range and made low of 45251 at night . After 6.00 p.m. more selling pressure had been seen in silver and it is helpful to break the nearest resistance of 45950. BUY SILVER ABOVE 45950 TGTS 46150/46450 SL 45650 SELL SILVER BELOW 45220 TGTS 45020/44720 SL 45520

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 12thDECEMBER 2013

GOLD MCX:

MCX GOLD February contract was closed at Rs 29460 down Rs 75 , or -0.25 percent. The GOLD rate touched an intraday high of Rs 29639 and an intraday low of Rs 29272. 13196 contracts had been traded. Gold Price was taking support at 29250 and traded in sideways range all day. In evening session gold price broke the nearest support of 29530 and made new low of 29272. BUY GOLD ABOVE 29550 TGTS 29630/29730 SL 29450 SELL GOLD BELOW 29320 TGTS 29240/29140 SL 29420

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TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS 12th DECEMBER 2013

Time

Counrty

Event

Actual

Forecast Previous

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 12 03:00

EUR

ECB PRESIDENT DRAGHI SPEAKS

04:00

EUR

ECB MONTHLY REPORT

04:00

CHF

SNB CHAIRMAN THOMAS JORDAN SPEAKS

05:00

EUR

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION (MOM)

0.3%

-0.5%

08:30

USD

CORE RETAIL SALES (MOM)

0.2%

0.2%

08:30

USD

IMPORT PRICE INDEX (MOM)

-0.6%

-0.7%

08:30

USD

INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS

320K

298K

08:30

USD

RETAIL SALES (MOM)

0.6%

0.4%

13:05

CAD

BOC GOV POLOZ SPEAKS

23:30

JPY

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION (MOM)

0.5%

0.5%

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