Daily commodity report 13 feb 2014 by epic research

Page 1

DAILY COMMODITY REPORT 13th FEBRUARY

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DAILY MARKET WRAPUP 13th FEBRUARY COMMODITY

CONTRACT

OPEN PRICE

HIGH

LOW

CLOSE PRICE

%CHANGE

OI (in lots)

GOLD

05 APR 2014

29070.00

29134.00

29006.00

29104.00

0.05

10548

SILVER

05 MAR 2014

44558.00

44899.00

44523.00

44700.00

0.28

12560

CRUDE

19 FEB 2014

6232.00

6280.00

6205.00

6215.00

-0.08

12533

NATURAL GAS

25 FEB 2014

298.60

311.70

296.60

295.90

3.82

10615

COPPER

28 FEB 2014

442.50

446.25

442.50

441.90

0.79

10297

NICKEL

28 FEB 2014

882.40

894.70

882.40

879.40

1.18

4907

LEAD

28 FEB 2014

131.00

132.15

130.50

130.90

0.15

3728

ZINC

28 FEB 2014

124.80

125.75

124.75

124.65

0.56

2598

ALUMINIUM

28 FEB 2014

104.75

105.90

104.75

104.60

8.76

4165

LME WAREHOUSE STOCKS (12-FEB- 2014)

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METAL

TONNES IN STORAGE

ALUMINIUM

-10150

COPPER

-1775

LEAD

-500

NICKEL

+1530

ZINC

-5125 Call us at +91-731-6642300


INTERNATIONAL MARKETS 13th FEBRUARY

PRECIOUS AND INDUSTRY METALS COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

COMEX GOLD

USD/T OZ.

1,292.00

-3.00

-0.23%

APR 14

GOLD SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,291.90

+0.75

+0.06%

N/A

COMEX SILVER

USD/T OZ.

20.26

-0.08

-0.40%

MAR 14

COMEX COPPER

USD/LB.

325.20

-0.40

-0.12%

MAR 14

PLATINUM SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,407.38

+0.44

+0.01%

N/A

ENERGY COMMODITY FUTURES COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

CRUDE OIL (WTI)

USD/BBL.

100.19

-0.18

-0.18%

MAR 14

CRUDE OIL (BRENT)

USD/BBL.

108.71

-0.08

-0.07%

MAR 14

RBOB GASOLINE

USD/GAL.

276.18

-0.13

-0.05%

MAR 14

NYMEX NATURAL GAS

USD/MMBTU

4.86

+0.03

+0.71%

MAR 14

NYMEX HEATING OIL

USD/GAL.

301.61

-1.20

-0.40%

MAR 14

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INTRADAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE 13th FEBRUARY

COMMODITY

EXPIRY

SUP.3

SUP.2

SUP.1

PIVOT

RES.1

ALUMINIUM

28-Feb

104.20

104.80

105.35

105.95

106.50

COPPER

28-Feb

441.12

443.48

444.87

447.23

448.62

CRUDEOIL

19-Feb

6160

6190

6235

6265

6310

GOLD

5-Apr

28945

29039

29099

29193

29253

LEAD

28-Feb

129.60

130.35

131.25

132.00

132.90

NATURALGAS

25-Feb

290.43

299.37

305.53

314.47

320.63

NICKEL

28-Feb

876.6

883.2

888.9

895.5

901.2

SILVER

5-Mar

44378

44608

44754

44984

45130

ZINC

28-Feb

124.33

124.97

125.38

126.02

126.43

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MOST ACTIVE CONTRACTS 13th FEBRUARY

Symbol

Expiry Date

LTP

Value (In Lacs)

Volume (In Lots)

NATURAL GAS

25-02-2014

307.20

3,59,58,681.60

1,17,053

CRUDE OIL

19-02-2014

6210.00

35,12,18,970.00

56,557

SILVERMICRO

28-02-2014

44834.00

2,37,83,09,198.00

53,047

SILVER M

28-02-2014

44834.00

1,24,57,57,524.00

27,786

COPPER

28-02-2014

445.40

94,91,919.40

21,311

LEADMINI

28-02-2014

131.10

26,75,882.10

20,411

NICKEL

28-02-2014

889.80

1,76,51,852.40

19,838

NICKELMINI

28-02-2014

889.80

1,54,60,275.00

17,375

COPPERMINI

28-02-2014

445.50

70,91,914.50

15,919

SILVER

05-03-2014

44823.00

57,50,79,090.00

12,830

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TODAY,S COMMODITY NEWS 13th FEBRUARY

COMMODITY HEADLINES Gold futures down on weak global cues, profit-booking Investors find diamond solitaire safe bet, price up 37% in a year Gold hits two-month high on global cue Zinc up by 0.2% on overseas cues Aluminium edged higher by 0.4% Nickel up by 0.6% on firm demand Price fall hits agri exports Bengal potato output likely to be 15% lower Thailand interested in importing rice-bran oil from India OPEC crude price lowest in 14 weeks Oil outlook bleak, gas prices to be firm Oil prices mixed ahead of US jobs release Mentha oil gains by 0.5% on strong demand Fertiliser makers wary of gas price rise Textile sector on cusp of revival

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COMMODITY BUZZ AND ECONOMIC EVENTS 13th FEBRUARY

SPECIAL NEWS

COMMODITY BUZZ

China's crude oil imports advanced 11.9% year-on-year to a record 28.16 million tons, or 6.66 million barrels a day (bpd) in January, according to the latest data released by the General Administration of Customs. The country's imports advanced 5.1% in January from the previous record of 26.78 million tons or 6.33 million bpd in December China's gold consumption for the first time exceeded 1,000 tons to reach 1,176.4 tons in 2013 from 832.2 tons a year earlier, a year-onyear increase of 41.4%, according to the latest data released by the China Gold Association (CGA)

MCX Gold futures eased from its highs as the global prices witnessed some correction from its three-month highs. COMEX Gold has been rallying in last few weeks on excellent buying support after a massive correction in the last year. However, as the prices edged up towards the $1300 per ounce levels, traders are beginning to sell some of their longs to book profits. That's precisely what pulled the futures lower today and the commodity is quoting at $1287.20, down $2.60 per ounce on the day. MCX Gold futures are trading at Rs 29045, down Rs 59 per 10 grams on the day with 5.64% increase in the open interest.

Grain production in Brazil is expected to reach 193.6 million tons in 2013-14, an increase of 3.6% compared to the previous harvest of 186.9 million tons, the 5th Survey of Grain Crop 2013/2014 released by the National Supply Company (Conab) showed on Tuesday. The total area allocated to grain production is expected to reach 55 million hectares, which represents an increase of 3.2% compared to the area of 53.26 million hectares in the 2012/2013 harvest. US cotton producers intend to plant 11.26 million acres of cotton this spring, up 8.2% from 2013,

Copper prices got underpinned by rise of unwrought Copper imports of China. That also overcome the fear of COT report showing increase of short positions by money managers. The recent set of data from China General Administration of Customs showed that unwrought Copper and Copper products imports increased by 53% in January to 536000 tonnes from the corresponding period last year. The trade data from China also showed a rise of 10 imports from January 2014. Export from China increased by 10.6% in January. Buyers took advantage of cheaper processing costs and were spurred by a lack of available copper scrap,

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 13th FEBRUARY

SILVER

SILVER MCX Short term trend is UP ,Immediate support @ 44700Immediate Resistance @ 45050 SILVER MCX Closed @ 47700.00 Yesterday Intraday Range of SILVER MCX was 376. Volumes were 12744 lots. For today Keep a close eye on US data, volatility may Rule the overall Market due to USDINR Movements. BUY SILVER ABOVE 45050 TGTS 45250/45550 SL 44700 SELL SILVER BELOW 44700 TGTS 44500/44200 SL 45050

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 13th FEBRUARY

GOLD

GOLD MCX Short term trend is UP, Immediate support @ 28980 Immediate Resistance @ 29200 GOLD MCX Closed @ 29104 . Yesterday Intraday Range of GOLD MCX was 128 Volumes were 11210 lots. For today Keep a close eye on US data, volatility may Rule the over all Market due to USDINR Movements. BUY GOLD(APR) ABOVE 29180 TGTS 29260/29360 SL 29050 SELL GOLD(APR) BELOW 28980 TGTS 28900/28800 SL 29110

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 13th FEBRUARY

CASTORSEED

RESISTANCE 1

4357.7

RESISTANCE 2

4410.3

PIVOT

4319.3

SUPPORT 1

4266.7

SUPPORT 2

4228.3

Castorseed Mar looking sideways to bearish in daily chart. Momentum indicators also support bearishness, recommending sell on high. In Intraday basis having some bullishness buy allover castorseed is in downside nearest support @ 4270 & nearest resistance @ 4370 BUY CASTORSEED MAR ABOVE 4370 TGT 4400,4450 SL 4320 SELL CASTORSEED MAR BELOW 4270 TGT 4240,4190 SL 4320

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13th FEBRUARY

EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS DHANIYA

RESISTANCE 1

9391.7

RESISTANCE 2

9494.3

PIVOT

9321.3

SUPPORT 1

9213.7

SUPPORT 2

9148.3

Daily chart of Dhaniya Apr shows bullishness and it will continue its rally from nearest support level to upper side. Fundamentally also Dhaniya is in bullish trend. Recommending buy on dips, momentum RSI indicates bullishness, Immediate support @ 9250 and immediate resistance @ 9430. BUY DHANIYA APR ABOVE 9430 TGT 9460,9510 SL 9380 SELL DHANIYA APR BELOW 9250 TGT 9220,9170 SL 9290

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TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS 13th FEBRUARY

THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 13

TIME

COUNTRY

EVENT

ACTUAL

FORECAST

PREVIOUS

00:30

USD

FEDERAL BUDGET BALANCE

-10.4B

-27.5B

53.2B

03:00

NZD

BUSINESS NZ PMI

56.2

05:31

GBP

RICS HOUSE PRICE BALANCE

53%

06:00

AUD

FULL EMPLOYMENT CHANGE

-7.1K

06:00

AUD

UNEMPLOYMENT RATE

6.0%

13:45

CHF

SWISS PPI (MOM)

14:30

EUR

ECB MONTHLY REPORT

19:00

USD

INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS

YOUR MINTVISORY

56.4

57%

56%

-32.1K

5.8%

5.8%

-0.1%

0.0%

330K

331K Call us at +91-731-6642300


DISCLAIMER 13th FEBRUARY The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.

Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.

The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.

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