Daily commodity report 16 01 2014 by epic research

Page 1

DAILY COMMODITY REPORT 16 JANUARY 2014

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DAILY MARKET WRAPUP 16 JANUARY 2014 COMMODITY

CONTRACT

OPEN PRICE

HIGH

LOW

CLOSE PRICE

%CHANGE

OI (in lots)

GOLD

05 FEB 2014

29023.00

29074.00

28865.00

29096.00

-0.33

8,678

SILVER

05 MAR 2014

44666.00

44889.00

44314.00

44785.00

-0.34

10,120

CRUDE

20 JAN 2014

5710.00

5824.00

5688.00

5701.00

2.05

11,993

NATURAL GAS

28 JAN 2014

298.10

273.00

267.80

268.50

1.23

14,848

COPPER

28 FEB 2014

454.90

460.25

452.30

455.55

0.90

12,625

NICKEL

31 JAN 2014

879.70

898.00

873.90

882.00

1.27

6,882

LEAD

31 JAN 2014

133.70

136.20

132.15

133.85

1.27

3,527

ZINC

31 JAN 2014

127.10

128.90

126.20

127.60

0.67

3,110

ALUMINIUM

31 JAN 2014

106.40

108.35

106.05

106.50

1.17

3,314

LME WAREHOUSE STOCKS (16– JAN- 2014)

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METAL

TONNES IN STORAGE

ALUMINIUM

-7800

COPPER

-1525

LEAD

-500

NICKEL

528

ZINC

-4425 Call us at +91-731-6642300


INTERNATIONAL MARKETS 16th JANUARY 2014

PRECIOUS AND INDUSTRY METALS COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

COMEX GOLD

USD/T OZ.

1,239.50

+1.20

+0.10%

FEB 14

GOLD SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,240.05

-1.83

-0.15%

N/A

COMEX SILVER

USD/T OZ.

20.15

+0.01

+0.05%

MAR 14

COMEX COPPER

USD/LB.

335.65

-0.15

-0.04%

MAR 14

PLATINUM SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,427.39

-1.97

-0.16%

N/A

ENERGY COMMODITY FUTURES COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

CRUDE OIL (WTI)

USD/BBL.

94.20

+0.03

+0.03%

FEB 14

CRUDE OIL (BRENT)

USD/BBL.

107.13

+0.74

+0.70%

FEB 14

RBOB GASOLINE

USD/GAL.

262.10

-0.14

-0.05%

FEB 14

NYMEX NATURAL GAS

USD/MMBTU

4.33

+0.01

+0.21%

FEB 14

NYMEX HEATING OIL

USD/GAL.

297.81

-0.15

-0.05%

FEB 14

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INTRADAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE 16th JANUARY 2014

COMMODITY

EXPIRY

SUP.3

SUP.2

SUP.1

PIVOT

RES.1

ALUMINIUM

31-JAN

105.10

106.45

107.40

108.75

109.70

COPPER

28-FEB

449.52

454.68

457.47

462.63

465.42

CRUDEOIL

20-JAN

5639

5731

5780

5872

5921

GOLD

5-FEB

28777

28898

28986

29107

29195

LEAD

31-JAN

130.65

133.20

134.70

137.25

138.75

NATURALGAS

28-JAN

265.23

267.87

270.43

273.07

275.63

NICKEL

31-JAN

863.5

878.3

888.2

903.0

912.9

SILVER

5-MAR

44088

44436

44663

45011

45238

ZINC

31-JAN

125.20

126.90

127.90

129.60

130.60

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MOST ACTIVE CONTRACTS 166h JANUARY 2014

Symbol

Expiry Date

LTP

Value (In Lacs)

Volume (In Lots)

SILVERMICRO

28-02-2014

44815.00

3,11,55,38,800.00

69,520

CRUDE OIL

20-01-2014

5818.00

37,29,80,344.00

64,108

NATURAL GAS

28-01-2014

271.80

1,35,52,763.40

49,863

SILVER M

28-02-2014

44811.00

1,61,74,08,234.00

36,094

COPPER

28-02-2014

459.65

1,16,41,095.90

25,326

LEADMINI

31-01-2014

135.50

31,30,998.50

23,107

COPPERMINI

28-02-2014

459.70

90,07,361.80

19,594

NICKEL

31-01-2014

893.20

1,63,84,860.80

18,344

SILVER

05-03-2014

44790.00

75,34,57,380.00

16,822

NICKELMINI

31-01-2014

893.10

1,36,59,964.50

15,295

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COMMODITY BUZZ AND ECONOMIC EVENTS 16th JANUARY 2014

COMMODITY BUZZ :

SPECIAL NEWS : 

National Commodities And Derivatives Exchange (NCDEX) Yesterday announced the launch of GOLDHEDGE, an innovative gold contract that the exchange claims would signal the most transparent and straightforward price benchmark of this precious metal to the consumer. The contract is available for trading from January 16, 2014

A press release from the exchange says that “For the first time in the 10-year history of Indian commodity derivatives trading, jewellers, traders, banks, consumers, and gold refiners will be able to perceive maximum co-relation between Indian and international gold prices through the GOLDHEDGE contract, which is designed to remain unclouded by domestic demandsupply factors”.

MCX Gold futures are in red, falling under Rs 29000 per 10 grams amid bearish global cues. The COMEX Gold futures have eased, failing to extend their recent gains. The yellow metal had topped a one-month high above $1250 per ounce but failed to hold on to these levels and dropped back yesterday.

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As per the World Bank's latest Global Economic Prospects report, growth in South Asia expanded a modest 4.6 percent in 2013, reflecting weakness in India amid high inflation, and current account and government deficits. More recently, regional exports have recovered, because of strengthening external demand and the earlier depreciation of the Indian rupee. Regional growth is projected to improve to 5.7 percent in 2014, rising to 6.7 percent in 2016, led mainly by recovering import demand by highincome economies and regional investmen

UK wheat imports showed their first year-on-year decline in nearly three years as the decent quality of the latest harvest eased the pressure on souring from other countries. The UK imported 129,483 tonnes of wheat in November, customs data showed. While still a historically high figure, it signalled an easing off in the huge imports the UK has seen since the poor quality of its wet-affected 2012 harvest. The figure was the lowest for any month since June 2012 and showed the first year-on-year decline since February 2012..

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 16th JANUARY 2014

SILVER MCX:

SILVER march contract was closed at RS 44785 down Rs119 , or -0.34percent. The SILVER rate have touched an intraday high of Rs 44889 and intraday low of Rs 44314. So far 17020 contracts have been traded. Silver opened at morning with gap down and made day high. In day session silver trade in range-bound and made night high 44889 .After evening Have seen more buying in silver and it will helpful to break the nearest resistance 44950 further silver will touch level 45200 next trading session.

BUY SILVER ABOVE 44950 TGTS 45150/45450 SL 44600 SELL SILVER BELOW 44600 TGTS 44350/44000 SL 45000

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 16th JANUARY 2014

GOLD MCX:

GOLD February contract was closed at Rs 29096 down 73 R, or –0.33 percent. The GOLD rate touched an intraday high of Rs 29074 and intraday low of Rs 28865. So far 12730 contracts have beetraded. Gold Price is taking support at 28840 trade in volatile range all day. In evening session gold price have cracked the nearest resistance 28960 and made high of 29074

BUY GOLD ABOVE 29040 TGTS 29120/29220 SL 28920 SELL GOLD BELOW 28980 TGTS 28900/28800 SL 29100

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 16th JANUARY 2014

CASTORSEED

RESISTANCE 1

4487.30

RESISTANCE 2

4541.70

PIVOT

4415.70

SUPPORT 1

4361.30

SUPPORT 2

4289.70

CASTORSEED continuing the sideways in daily chart from past week. but all over it is in downtrend.RSI is below 50.00 also support fall in castor seed Feb. contract. Immediate support @ 4400 and immediate resistance @ 4480. 4300 is also a strong support level and if it sustain below it, may signing of continue the trend.

BUY CASTORSEEDFEB ABOVE 4480 TGTS 4510/ 4560 SL 4430 SELL CASTORSEEDFEB BELOW 4400 TGTS 4380/4330 SL 4450

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 1th JANUARY 2014

DHANIYA

RESISTANCE 1

8277.70

RESISTANCE 2

8175.30

PIVOT

8012.70

SUPPORT 1

7910.30

SUPPORT 2

7747.70

DHANIYA Feb. looks weak in daily chart, immediate support @ 8010 and immediate resistance @ 8150. fresh short position can be initiated below 7750 level. In daily chart RSI is 47.92,which is below 50 that will support the bearish trend in Dhaniya.

BUY DHANIYA FEB ABOVE 8150 TGTS 8180 / 8230 SL 8100 SELL DHANIYA FEB BELOW 8010 TGTS 7980 / 7930 SL 8060

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TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS 16 JANUARY 2014

Time

Country

Event

Actual

Forecast

WENESDAY 16 JANUARY 2014 04:00

EUR

ECB MONTHLY REPORT

05:00

EUR

CORE CPI (YOY)

0.9%

0.9%

05:00

EUR

CPI (YOY)

0.8%

0.8%

05:00

EUR

CPI (MOM)

0.3%

-0.1%

08:30

CAD

FOREIGN SECURITIES PURCHASES

7.21B

4.41B

08:30

USD

CORE CPI (YOY)

1.7%

1.7%

08:30

USD

CORE CPI (MOM)

0.1%

0.2%

08:30

USD

CPI (YOY)

1.5%

1.2%

08:30

USD

CPI (MOM)

0.3%

0.0%

08:30

USD

INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS

328K

330K

09:00

USD

TIC NET LONG-TERM TRANSACTIONS

42.3B

35.4B

10:00

USD

PHILADELPHIA FED MANUFACTURING INDEX

8.6

7.0

11:10

USD

FED CHAIRMAN BERNANKE SPEAKS

16:45

BRL

BRAZILIAN INTEREST RATE DECISION

10.25%

10.00%

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