Daily commodity report 17 feb 2014 by epic research

Page 1

DAILY COMMODITY REPORT 17th FEBRUARY

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DAILY MARKET WRAPUP 17th FEBRUARY COMMODITY

CONTRACT

OPEN PRICE

HIGH

LOW

CLOSE PRICE

%CHANGE

OI (in lots)

GOLD

05 APR 2014

29230.00

29426.00

20230.00

29184.00

0.58

10782

SILVER

05 MAR 2014

44999.00

46337.00

44999.00

44922.00

3.00

11311

CRUDE

19 FEB 2014

6244.00

6244.00

6156.00

6253.00

-0.99

10481

NATURAL GAS

25 FEB 2014

320.50

333.90

320.10

318.70

2.35

14089

COPPER

28 FEB 2014

446.95

447.50

444.75

446.30

-0.08

10507

NICKEL

28 FEB 2014

883.10

886.80

880.10

881.80

-0.05

6201

LEAD

28 FEB 2014

131.60

132.50

131.55

131.55

0.15

3322

ZINC

28 FEB 2014

126.25

127.25

126.25

126.30

0.24

3346

ALUMINIUM

28 FEB 2014

106.50

107.00

106.00

106.45

-0.33

3504

LME WAREHOUSE STOCKS (14-FEB- 2014)

YOUR MINTVISORY

METAL

TONNES IN STORAGE

ALUMINIUM

-10575

COPPER

-1550

LEAD

-500

NICKEL

-276

ZINC

-4150 Call us at +91-731-6642300


INTERNATIONAL MARKETS 17th FEBRUARY

PRECIOUS AND INDUSTRY METALS COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

COMEX GOLD

USD/T OZ.

1,329.60

+11.00

+0.83%

APR 14

GOLD SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,329.89

+11.23

+0.85%

N/A

COMEX SILVER

USD/T OZ.

21.95

+0.52

+2.45%

MAR 14

COMEX COPPER

USD/LB.

328.45

+2.00

+0.61%

MAR 14

PLATINUM SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,431.56

+3.81

+0.27%

N/A

ENERGY COMMODITY FUTURES COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

CRUDE OIL (WTI)

USD/BBL.

100.59

+0.29

+0.29%

MAR 14

CRUDE OIL (BRENT)

USD/BBL.

109.27

+0.19

+0.17%

APR 14

RBOB GASOLINE

USD/GAL.

281.01

+0.48

+0.17%

MAR 14

NYMEX NATURAL GAS

USD/MMBTU

5.40

+0.19

+3.62%

MAR 14

NYMEX HEATING OIL

USD/GAL.

308.22

+0.40

+0.13%

MAR 14

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INTRADAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE 17th FEBRUARY

COMMODITY

EXPIRY

SUP.3

SUP.2

SUP.1

PIVOT

RES.1

ALUMINIUM

28-FEB

104.38

105.12

105.53

106.27

106.68

COPPER

28-FEB

441.78

443.27

444.53

446.02

447.28

CRUDEOIL

19-MAR

6102

6139

6180

6217

6258

GOLD

5-APR

29067

29148

29262

29343

29457

LEAD

28-FEB

130.13

130.77

131.23

131.87

132.33

NATURALGAS

25-FEB

304.57

312.33

318.37

326.13

332.17

NICKEL

28-FEB

870.6

875.1

877.9

882.4

885.2

SILVER

5-MAR

43784

44392

45502

46110

47220

ZINC

28-FEB

125.08

125.67

126.08

126.67

127.08

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MOST ACTIVE CONTRACTS 17th FEBRUARY

Symbol

Expiry Date

LTP

Value (In Lacs)

Volume (In Lots)

NATURAL GAS

25-02-2014

326.20

4,24,02,085.60

1,29,988

SILVERMICRO

28-02-2014

46283.00

4,82,52,34,165.00

1,04,255

SILVER M

28-02-2014

46295.00

2,30,40,55,855.00

49,769

CRUDE OIL

19-02-2014

6191.00

29,73,97,067.00

48,037

SILVER

05-03-2014

46270.00

1,30,09,73,590.00

28,117

LEADMINI

28-02-2014

131.80

22,00,005.60

16,692

COPPER

28-02-2014

445.95

72,90,390.60

16,348

COPPERMINI

28-02-2014

446.00

59,67,034.00

13,379

NICKEL

28-02-2014

881.40

1,13,90,332.20

12,923

NICKELMINI

28-02-2014

881.70

1,07,18,826.90

12,157

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TODAY,S COMMODITY NEWS 17th FEBRUARY

COMMODITY HEADLINES Gold and silver value surges for the third day Gems and jewellery exports to rise Gold hits 3-1/2 month high on favourable US data Lead up 0.3% on spot demand, overseas cues Copper up 0.19% on global cues, spot demand India unlikely to benefit from metals' price fall Palm oil imports fall to lowest in 5 months Tea prices drop over poor grade Refined oil imports rise on inverse duty structure Oil prices down after lackluster US stockpiles Crude oil futures down 0.18% on weak Asian cues Oil prices down in Asian trade Commodities, securities norms to converge Rubber imports up by 41% in Apr-Jan

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COMMODITY BUZZ AND ECONOMIC EVENTS 17th FEBRUARY SPECIAL NEWS The Government on Friday raised the import tariff value on

The Gold prices for April expiry settled at $ 1318.6 per troy

gold to $421 from $404 per 10 grams and silver tariff value to

ounce. This was the highest level for Gold since November

$663 per kg from $635, respectively, taking into account the

last year. The rally in COMEX Gold for the week ending 14

volatility in the global prices The tariff value on imported

February 2014 was phenomenal. The prices galloped by

brass scrap has reduced to $3913 per tonne from $3,959 per

4.4% after US economic data enthused confidence in Gold

tonne, while on poppy seeds it has been kept unchanged at

traders. The Commerce Department released a report on

$3,195 per tonne.The tariff value of areca nuts has been raised

Thursday showing an unexpected drop in U.S. retail sales in

to $1,872 per tonne from $1,816 per tone

the month of January.

GDP rose by 0.3% in the euro area during the fourth quarter

Comex Copper prices settled at $ 3.262 per pound on 14 February 2014 from $ 3.236 per pound on 7 February 2014. The buying sentiments of Copper got a setback during the weekend after the news that China is expected to show slower growth though the week still ended in green for the commodity. The exports targets of China are getting slower and expected to remain tugged at 7.5% in 2014.

of2013, compared with the previous quarter, according to flash estimates publishedby Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. In the third quarterof 2013, GDP grew by 0.1% in the euro area. Compared with the same quarter ofthe previous year, seasonally adjusted GDP rose by 0.5% in

COMMODITY BUZZ

the euro area, after-0.3% in the previous quarter. Over the whole year 2013 3, GDP fell by 0.4%in the euro area.

Light Sweet Crude Oil for March 2014 delivery settled at $ 100.3 per barrel on 14 February 2014, against $ 99.88 per

The total rabi sown area, as per reports received from States,

barrel a week before. Weak Dollar resulted in offsetting the

during the week ending 14.2.2014 stands at 656.67 lakh hec-

retail sales data thereby benefiting the prices of Light Sweet

tare as compared to 621.39 lakh hectare at this time last year,

Crude Oil on a marginal basis. The retail sales of US de-

up 5.70%. Total sown area under wheat, total pulses, total

clined after the auto sales showed a sharp decline. invento-

coarse cereals and rapeseed & mustard are final for rabi sea-

ries of Crude Oil increased by 3.3 million barrels.

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 17th FEBRUARY

SILVER

Finally Silver has broke its upper range 45850 level and made high of 46700. Due to positive nots on COMEX silver we expect MCX silver can move up to 47500, on the other side below 45850 level can take price to 45500-45200 level. BUY SILVER ABOVE 46850 TGTS 47100/47450 SL 46600 SELL SILVER BELOW 46500 TGTS 46250/45900 SL 46800

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 17th FEBRUARY

GOLD

Gold prices moved higher as poor US Retail sales and Unemployment data raised safe haven appeal for gold and weaker dollar also helped Gold prices to move higher. We expect Gold prices may move more higher for the coming day's as poor US data and ETF buying could keep the prices in range to higher.

BUY GOLD(APR) ABOVE 29450 TGTS 29530/29630 SL 29350 SELL GOLD(APR) BELOW 29250 TGTS 29170/29070 SL 29350

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 17th FEBRUARY

CASTORSEED

RESISTANCE 1

4298.70

RESISTANCE 2

4330.30

PIVOT

4278

SUPPORT 1

4246.70

SUPPORT 2

4226.30

Castorseed Mar looking sideways to bearish in daily chart. Momentum indicators also support bearishness, recommending sell on high. In Intraday basis having some bullishness but allover castorseed is in downside nearest support @ 4250 & nearest resistance @ 4310. BUY DHANIYA APR ABOVE 9430 TGT 9460,9510 SL 9380 SELL DHANIYA APR BELOW 9250 TGT 9220,9170 SL 9290

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17th FEBRUARY

EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS DHANIYA

RESISTANCE 1

9215.30

RESISTANCE 2

9352.70

PIVOT

9132.70

SUPPORT 1

8995.30

SUPPORT 2

8912.70

Castorseed Mar looking sideways to bearish in daily chart. Momentum indicators also support bearishness, recommending sell on high. In Intraday basis having some bullishness but allover castorseed is in downside nearest support @ 4250 & nearest resistance @ 4310. BUY DHANIYA APR ABOVE 9430 TGT 9460,9510 SL 9380 SELL DHANIYA APR BELOW 9250 TGT 9220,9170 SL 9290

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TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS 17th FEBRUARY

MONDAY, FEBRUARY 17 TIME

COUNTRY

EVENT

All Day

United States - Washington's Birthday

All Day

Canada - Family Day

ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIOUS

03:30

EUR

Spanish industrial New Orders (YoY)

09:00

EUR

French 12-Month BTF Auction

0.162%

09:00

EUR

French 3-Month BTF Auction

0.151%

09:00

EUR

French 6-Month BTF Auction

0.157%

10:30

CHF

SNB Chairman Thomas Jordan speaks

16:00

KRW

South Korean PPI (MoM)

0.2%

16:00

KRW

South Korean PPI (YoY)

-0.4%

19:30

AUD

Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes

Tentative

JPY

Interest Rate Decision

YOUR MINTVISORY

-3.0%

0.10%

-5.1%

0.10%

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DISCLAIMER 17th FEBRUARY The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.

Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.

The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.

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