Daily commodity report 18 dec 2013 by epic research

Page 1

DAILY COMMODITY REPORT 18th DECEMBER 2013

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DAILY MARKET WRAPUP 18th DECEMBER 2013 COMMODITY

CONTRACT

OPEN PRICE

HIGH

LOW

CLOSE PRICE

%CHANGE

OI (in lots)

GOLD

05 FEB 2014

28752.00

28990.00

28642.00

28678.00

-0.23

8931

SILVER

05 MAR 2014

45110

45628.00

44580.00

44734.00

-1.10

9008

CRUDE

18 DEC 2013

6033.00

6056.00

5994.00

6003.00

-0.15

6066

NATURAL GAS

26 DEC 2013

265.80

267.10

260.00

263.60

-0.27

12624

COPPER

28 FEB 2014

460.00

462.45

458.10

458.60

-0.28

13719

NICKEL

31 DEC 2013

868.40

875.00

864.50

867.90

+0.25

5583

LEAD

31 DEC 2013

133.60

134.60

132.70

132.90

-0.22

2935

ZINC

31 DEC 2013

122.85

123.45

122.75

122.90

+0.20

3877

ALUMINIUM

31 DEC 2013

109.05

109.85

108.70

108.85

-0.09

1987

LME WAREHOUSE STOCKS (17- DEC- 2013)

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METAL

TONNES IN STORAGE

ALUMINIUM

22700

COPPER

-2625

LEAD

-1025

NICKEL

198

TIN

UNCHANGED

ZINC

-4525 Call us at +91-731-6642300


INTERNATIONAL MARKETS 18th DECEMBER 2013

PRECIOUS AND INDUSTRY METALS COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

COMEX GOLD

USD/T OZ.

1,232.50

+2.40

+0.20%

FEB 14

GOLD SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,233.32

+2.43

+0.20%

N/A

COMEX SILVER

USD/T OZ.

19.89

+0.05

+0.23%

MAR 14

COMEX COPPER

USD/LB.

330.95

-1.20

-0.36%

MAR 14

PLATINUM SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,352.63

+2.93

+0.22%

N/A

ENERGY COMMODITY FUTURES COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

CRUDE OIL (WTI)

USD/BBL.

97.40

+0.18

+0.19%

JAN 14

CRUDE OIL (BRENT)

USD/BBL.

108.53

+0.09

+0.08%

FEB 14

RBOB GASOLINE

USD/GAL.

265.07

+0.70

+0.26%

JAN 14

NYMEX NATURAL GAS

USD/MMBTU

4.31

+0.02

+0.51%

JAN 14

NYMEX HEATING OIL

USD/GAL.

296.48

+0.19

+0.06%

JAN 14

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INTRADAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE 18th DECEMBER 2013

COMMODITY

EXPIRY

SUP.3

SUP.2

SUP.1

PIVOT

RES.1

RES.2

RES.3

ALUMINIUM

31-Dec

106.47

107.43

108.17

109.13

109.87

110.83

111.57

COPPER

28-Feb

455.25

456.80

458.70

460.25

462.15

463.70

465.60

CRUDEOIL

20-Jan

5980

6003

6041

6064

6102

6125

6163

GOLD

5-Feb

28003

28384

28608

28989

29213

29594

29818

LEAD

31-Dec

131.73

132.27

132.83

133.37

133.93

134.47

135.03

NATURALGAS

26-Dec

245.67

252.83

258.37

265.53

271.07

278.23

283.77

NICKEL

31-Dec

848.3

856.0

861.5

869.2

874.7

882.4

887.9

SILVER

5-Mar

42770

43416

44373

45019

45976

46622

47579

ZINC

31-Dec

120.97

121.53

122.12

122.68

123.27

123.83

124.42

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MOST ACTIVE CONTRACTS 18th DECEMBER 2013

Symbol

Expiry Date

LTP

Value (In Lacs)

Volume (In Lots)

SILVERMICRO

28-02-2014

44870.00

-494.00

-1.09%

SILVER M

28-02-2014

44876.00

-489.00

-1.08%

NATURAL GAS

26-12-2013

263.20

-0.70

-0.27%

CRUDE OIL

18-12-2013

6018.00

-9.00

-0.15%

SILVER

05-03-2014

44833.00

-497.00

-1.10%

COPPER

28-02-2014

459.30

-1.30

-0.28%

GOLD

05-02-2014

28765.00

-66.00

-0.23%

GOLD M

03-01-2014

29555.00

-120.00

-0.40%

COPPERMINI

28-02-2014

459.30

-1.20

-0.26%

LEADMINI

31-12-2013

133.00

-0.40

-0.30%

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COMMODITY BUZZ AND ECONOMIC EVENTS 18th DECEMBER 2013

SPECIAL NEWS : 

China New-Home Prices Surge In Nov. Average prices of new homes in 70 Chinese cities in November rose to another fresh high, as demand for homes remains strong. For the 10th consecutive month, growth in median home prices rose in November from year-earlier levels, Year-over-year prices were up in 69 of the 70 cities in November, compared with 69 in October.

Japan's trade deficit widened in November, as the growth in imports outpaced those for exports. Japan's exports rose 18.4% from a year earlier. Imports were up 21.1%. Exports to China surged 33.1%, benefiting from a low comparison base, while U.S.-bound shipments added 21.2% as imports from the U.S. were 34.9% higher. Exports to Western Europe grew by 17.1%.

China attracted $8.5 billion in foreign direct investment in November--up 2.35% on year. The figure was more than October's $8.42 billion which was up 1.24% on year. FDI in the January-November period rose 5.48% on year to $105.5 billion. Non-financial overseas direct investment rose 28.3% on year in the JanuaryNovember period to $80.2 billion.

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COMMODITY BUZZ : 

The American Petroleum Institute late Tuesday reported a 2.5 million-barrel fall in U.S. crude supplies for the week ended Dec. 13. A decline of 4 million barrels in crude supplies had been forecasted. API reported gasoline stockpiles down 481,000 barrels, while distillate supplies fell 434,000 barrels. Gasoline supplies were expected to rise by 1.4 million barrels and distillate inventories to decline by 1 million barrels.

Non-OPEC crude oil supply is forecast to expand at its fastest pace for 30-years in 2014 and that this will have significant implications for OPEC’s leverage over oil markets as the need for its oil likely starts to shrink.

Prices of iron ore and chrome ore are witnessing downward pressure on poor demand from within the country, precipitated by stagnated consumption growth of finished steel products. In India the chrome ore rates are still at much higher level while the prices of its end product, ferrochrome has not gone up in the international market. The chrome ore rates dropped this time as buyers are unwilling to pay higher price.

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 18th DECEMBER 2013

SILVER MCX:

MCX SILVER march contract was closed at Rs 44734 down Rs 596, or 1.31 percent. The SILVER rate touched an intraday high of Rs 45628 and an intraday low of Rs 44580. 29027 contracts had been traded. Silver opened at morning with gap down and made day low. In mid session silver traded in narrow range and made evening low 44580 . After 6.00 p.m. more selling pressure was seen in silver and it will helpful to break the nearest support 44550. BUY SILVER ABOVE 45250 TGTS 45450/45800 SL 44900 SELL SILVER BELOW 44600 TGTS 44400/44100 SL 44950

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 18th DECEMBER 2013

GOLD MCX:

MCX GOLD February contract was closed at Rs 28678 down Rs 153 , or- 0.53 percent. The GOLD rate touched an intraday high of Rs 28990 and an intraday low of Rs 28642. 22800 contracts had been traded. Gold Price was taking support at 28640 and traded in sideways range all day. In evening session gold price broke the nearest SUPPORT of 28790 and made new low of 28642 BUY GOLD ABOVE 28830 TGTS 28910/29010 SL 28700 SELL GOLD BELOW 28620 TGTS 28540/28440 SL 28740

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TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS 18th DECEMBER 2013

Time

Counrty

Event

Actual

Forecast Previous

WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 18 05:20

JPY

ADJUSTED TRADE BALANCE

-1.35T

-1.19T

-1.09T

05:20

JPY

TRADE BALANCE

-1,293B

-1,320B

-1,091B

14:30

EUR

GERMAN BUSINESS EXPECTATIONS

106.5

106.3

14:30

EUR

GERMAN CURRENT ASSESSMENT

112.5

112.2

14:30

EUR

GERMAN IFO BUSINESS CLIMATE INDEX

109.5

109.3

15:00

GBP

AVERAGE EARNINGS INDEX +BONUS

0.8%

0.7%

15:00

GBP

CLAIMANT COUNT CHANGE

-35.0K

-41.7K

15:00

GBP

MPC MEETING MINUTES

15:00

GBP

UNEMPLOYMENT RATE

7.6%

7.6%

16:30

GBP

CBI DISTRIBUTIVE TRADES SURVEY

10

1

19:00

CAD

WHOLESALE SALES (MOM)

0.4%

0.2%

19:00

USD

BUILDING PERMITS

0.990M

1.039M

19:00

USD

BUILDING PERMITS (MOM)

-4.7%

6.7%

19:00

USD

HOUSING STARTS

0.950M

0.890M

23:30

USD

FOMC ECONOMIC PROJECTIONS

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