Daily commodity report 20 01 2014 by epic research

Page 1

DAILY COMMODITY REPORT 20th JANUARY 2014

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DAILY MARKET WRAPUP 20th JANUARY 2014 COMMODITY

CONTRACT

OPEN PRICE

HIGH

LOW

CLOSE PRICE

%CHANGE

OI (in lots)

GOLD

05 FEB 2014

29031.00

29310.00

28911.00

29034.00

0.76

8,434

SILVER

05 MAR 2014

44560.00

45274.00

44380.00

44545.00

1.34

10,266

CRUDE

20 JAN 2014

5783.00

5825.00

5763.00

5781.00

0.09

4,667

NATURAL GAS

28 JAN 2014

266.70

269.00

265.00

269.20

-0.93

14,858

COPPER

28 FEB 2014

455.80

459.75

454.15

456.585

0.38

11,767

NICKEL

31 JAN 2014

898.00

906.80

889.70

897.30

0.48

7,308

LEAD

31 JAN 2014

133.50

135.40

132.70

133.70

0.97

3,495

ZINC

31 JAN 2014

127.40

128.45

126.46

127.50

0.51

2.956

ALUMINIUM

31 JAN 2014

108.30

110.35

107.85

108.40

1.61

2,495

LME WAREHOUSE STOCKS (16– JAN- 2014)

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METAL

TONNES IN STORAGE

ALUMINIUM

-7950

COPPER

-1050

LEAD

-1250

NICKEL

-798

ZINC

-4100 Call us at +91-731-6642300


INTERNATIONAL MARKETS 20th JANUARY 2014

PRECIOUS AND INDUSTRY METALS COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

COMEX GOLD

USD/T OZ.

1,255.80

+3.90

+0.31%

FEB 14

GOLD SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,256.64

+2.59

+0.21%

N/A

COMEX SILVER

USD/T OZ.

20.34

+0.03

+0.15%

MAR 14

COMEX COPPER

USD/LB.

335.10

+0.65

+0.19%

MAR 14

PLATINUM SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,458.94

+5.12

+0.35%

N/A

ENERGY COMMODITY FUTURES COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

CRUDE OIL (WTI)

USD/BBL.

93.78

-0.59

-0.63%

FEB 14

CRUDE OIL (BRENT)

USD/BBL.

106.32

-0.16

-0.15%

MAR 14

RBOB GASOLINE

USD/GAL.

262.04

0.00

0.00%

FEB 14

NYMEX NATURAL GAS

USD/MMBTU

4.25

-0.07

-1.69%

FEB 14

NYMEX HEATING OIL

USD/GAL.

302.76

+0.39

+0.13%

FEB 14

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INTRADAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE 20th JANUARY 2014

COMMODITY

EXPIRY

SUP.3

SUP.2

SUP.1

PIVOT

RES.1

ALUMINIUM

31-Jan

106.97

108.58

109.47

111.08

111.97

COPPER

28-Feb

451.92

455.28

457.52

460.88

463.12

CRUDEOIL

20-Jan

5726

5752

5788

5814

5850

GOLD

5-Feb

28763

29014

29162

29413

29561

LEAD

31-Jan

131.73

133.47

134.43

136.17

137.13

NATURALGAS

28-Jan

263.37

264.73

266.87

268.23

270.37

NICKEL

31-Jan

881.1

889.7

898.2

906.8

915.3

SILVER

5-Mar

44036

44586

44930

45480

45824

ZINC

31-Jan

125.72

126.98

127.72

128.98

129.72

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MOST ACTIVE CONTRACTS 20th JANUARY 2014

Symbol

Expiry Date

LTP

Value (In Lacs)

Volume (In Lots)

SILVERMICRO

28-02-2014

45157.00

3,85,26,14,612.00

85,316

NATURAL GAS

28-01-2014

266.70

1,15,42,509.30

43,279

SILVER M

28-02-2014

45170.00

1,93,37,72,870.00

42,811

CRUDE OIL

20-01-2014

5786.00

24,63,85,238.00

42,583

COPPER

28-02-2014

458.30

1,08,26,420.90

23,623

LEADMINI

31-01-2014

134.95

30,27,333.35

22,433

SILVER

05-03-2014

45143.00

97,60,81,946.00

21,622

COPPERMINI

28-02-2014

458.35

87,04,983.20

18,992

NICKEL

31-01-2014

901.60

1,69,39,260.80

18,788

GOLD M

05-02-2014

29373.00

48,51,83,214.00

16,518

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TODAY,S COMMODITY NEWS 20th JANUARY 2014

COMMODITY HEADLINES 

Crude Oil Slips Gains 1.8% In The last Week

Income Tax department eyes foreign gold buyers

Gold rises by Rs. 210 to Rs. 30,180 on buying revival, global cues

COMEX Gold Ends At $ 1251.9 Per Troy Ounce, Up 1 Percent

Natural Gas Eases After Nearing Recent Highs

The turmeric futures extended the losses as short selling continued at higher side.

LME Copper Shows Little Moves Ahead of Weekend

Crude oil gains on applause of U.S. home construction report

Chana To Remain Under pressure In The Near Term

U.K. Dec Core Retail Sales Jump 6.10%

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COMMODITY BUZZ AND ECONOMIC EVENTS 20th JANUARY 2014

COMMODITY BUZZ :

SPECIAL NEWS : 

MCX Natural gas futures slipped today as the global prices witnessed some profit selling ahead of the weekends amid mixed movement in global stock markets. The commodity had gained yesterday after US government data showed that supplies of the heating fuel fell by a record amount last week on frigid temperatures. Natural gas for February delivery climbed 5.7 cents, or 1.3%, to $4.382 a million British thermal units on the New York Mercantile Exchange, and posted the highest settlement in last two weeks. However, the counter dropped today and quotes at $4.293, down 0.7 Wheat and Rice sowing is continuing at a good pace. According to latest updates, the acreage under wheat has gone up by 6.34% to 3.13.69 lakh hectres while that of rice has jumped by 37% to 10.51 lakh hectares. The total rabi sown area, as per reports received from States, during the week ending 17.1.2014 stands at 625.65 lakh hectare as compared to 596.20 lakh hectare at this time last year.

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Financial details of Indians bringing in gold from abroad after duty payment will be shared by customs authorities with Income Tax department to check suspicious ferrying of the yellow metal into the country. According to norms, an Indian who has been living abroad for over six months can bring in a kg of gold legally after payment of duty. The duty, which is charged at the rate of 10 per cent, is payable in currency of the nation where the gold was bought. Besides,

Gold prices rebounded by Rs. 210 to Rs. 30,180 per 10 grams in the national capital on Saturday following revival of buying by stockiest for the marriage season coupled with a higher global trend. Silver also recovered by Rs. 600 to Rs. 45,200 per kg on increased off take by industrial units and coin makers. Traders said revival of buying by stockiest for the marriage season and a higher global trend, after the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis said policy makers need to do more to stimulate the economy, mainly influenced the sentiment.

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 20th JANUARY 2014

SILVER MCX:

After trading in a range, a robust being seen in silver on Friday, although its failed to reach 45500 level but we expect price can go more higher up to 45850 level. On the other side below 44800 level, will tack price to check support of 44300 level.

BUY SILVER ABOVE 45350 TGTS 45600/45950 SL 45000 SELL SILVER BELOW 44800 TGTS 44550/44200 SL 45150

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 20th JANUARY 2014

GOLD MCX:

we have the major producer and consumer inflation numbers from US, Europe and even China in coming week . As also stated earlier, weak set of inflation readings are having a major negative impact on the gold as it is treated as a hedge against inflation. Only positivism can be checked with disappointing set of Jobs data from the US for December as it would ease fears of an extended tapering from the US Fed. On a cumulative basis we still maintain our weak bias into the commodity though feel volatility into next week could be low.

BUY GOLD ABOVE 29350 TGTS 29430/29530 SL 29250 SELL GOLD BELOW 29150 TGTS 29070/28970 SL 29250

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 20th JANUARY 2014

CASTORSEED

RESISTANCE 1

4354.70

RESISTANCE 2

4397.3

PIVOT

4314.30

SUPPORT 1

4427.70

SUPPORT 2

44231.30

BUY CASTORSEED FEB ABOVE 4360 TGTS 4390,4440 SL 4310 SELL CASTORSEED FEB BELOW 4270 TGTS 4240,4190 SL 4320

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 20th JANUARY 2014

DHANIYA

RESISTANCE 1

8198.70

RESISTANCE 2

8243.30

PIVOT

8142.3

SUPPORT 1

8041.3

SUPPORT 2

8097.7

BUY DHANIYA FEB ABOVE 8090 TGTS 8120,8170 SL 8030 SELL DHANIYA FEB BELOW 8115 TGTS 8085,8035 SL 8165

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TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS 20th JANUARY 2014

TIME

COUNTRY

EVENT

ACTUAL FORECAST

FRIDAY 20 JANUARY 2014 ALL DAY

US

UNITED STATES - MARTIN LUTHER KING, JR. DAY

07:30

CNY

CHINESE FIXED ASSET INVESTMENT (YOY)

19.8%

19.9%

07:30

CNY

CHINESE GDP (YOY)

7.6%

7.8%

07:30

CNY

CHINESE GDP (QOQ)

2.0%

2.2%

07:30

CNY

CHINESE INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION (YOY)

9.8%

10.0%

10:00

JPY

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION (MOM)

0.1%

12:30

EUR

GERMAN PPI (MOM)

-0.1%

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DISCLAIMER 20th JANUARY 2014 The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.

Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.

The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.

The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for. Any surfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved. Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks.

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