Daily commodity report 20 dec 2013by epic research

Page 1

DAILY COMMODITY REPORT 20th DECEMBER 2013

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DAILY MARKET WRAPUP 20th DECEMBER 2013 COMMODITY

CONTRACT

OPEN PRICE

HIGH

LOW

CLOSE PRICE

%CHANGE

OI (in lots)

GOLD

05 FEB 2014

28767.00

28785.00

28335.00

28362.00

-1.70

9819

SILVER

05 MAR 2014

45020.00

45020.00

43629.00

43869.00

-3.23

10939

CRUDE

20 JAN. 2013

6122.00

6247.00

6122.00

6239.00

+2.16

12236

NATURAL GAS

26 DEC 2013

267.00

278.30

267.00

276.20

+4.05

14346

COPPER

28 FEB 2014

460.50

461.70

457.50

460.40

-0.27

13355

NICKEL

31 DEC 2013

879.50

887.90

875.10

887.30

+1.01

4230

LEAD

31 DEC 2013

133.95

135.10

132.65

134.90

+0.37

3458

ZINC

31 DEC 2013

123.40

124.15

122.10

123.95

+0.12

3801

ALUMINIUM

31 DEC 2013

110.00

110.20

108.50

108.65

-1.18

2109

LME WAREHOUSE STOCKS (19- DEC- 2013)

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METAL

TONNES IN STORAGE

ALUMINIUM

60275

COPPER

-1025

LEAD

-1625

NICKEL

-126

TIN

UNCHANGED

ZINC

-4825 Call us at +91-731-6642300


INTERNATIONAL MARKETS 20th DECEMBER 2013

PRECIOUS AND INDUSTRY METALS COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

COMEX GOLD

USD/T OZ.

1,193.90

+0.30

+0.03%

FEB 14

GOLD SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,194.87

+6.19

+0.52%

N/A

COMEX SILVER

USD/T OZ.

19.20

+0.01

+0.05%

MAR 14

COMEX COPPER

USD/LB.

330.45

+0.90

+0.27%

MAR 14

PLATINUM SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,321.48

+1.48

+0.11%

N/A

ENERGY COMMODITY FUTURES COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

CRUDE OIL (WTI)

USD/BBL.

98.81

-0.23

-0.23%

FEB 14

CRUDE OIL (BRENT)

USD/BBL.

109.88

-0.41

-0.37%

FEB 14

RBOB GASOLINE

USD/GAL.

274.41

+0.40

+0.15%

JAN 14

NYMEX NATURAL GAS

USD/MMBTU

4.46

-0.00

-0.07%

JAN 14

NYMEX HEATING OIL

USD/GAL.

302.67

-0.39

-0.13%

JAN 14

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INTRADAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE 20th DECEMBER 2013

COMMODITY

EXPIRY

SUP.3

SUP.2

SUP.1

PIVOT

RES.1

RES.2

RES.3

ALUMINIUM

31-DEC

107.67

108.18

109.07

109.58

110.47

110.98

111.87

COPPER

28-FEB

453.93

455.57

458.53

460.17

463.13

464.77

467.73

CRUDEOIL

20-JAN

5992

6025

6070

6103

6148

6181

6226

GOLD

5-FEB

28472

28572

28720

28820

28968

29068

29216

LEAD

31-DEC

131.90

132.45

133.40

133.95

134.90

135.45

136.40

NATURALGAS

26-DEC

258.27

260.93

263.67

266.33

269.07

271.73

274.47

NICKEL

31-DEC

860.9

864.9

871.4

875.4

881.9

885.9

892.4

SILVER

5-MAR

44255

44525

44936

45206

45617

45887

46298

ZINC

31-DEC

121.07

121.93

122.77

123.63

124.47

125.33

126.17

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MOST ACTIVE CONTRACTS 20th DECEMBER 2013

Symbol

Expiry Date

LTP

Value (In Lacs)

Volume (In Lots)

SILVERMICRO

28-02-2014

43905.00

4,70,99,08,875.00

1,07,275

NATURAL GAS

26-12-2013

277.20

1,86,89,101.20

67,421

CRUDE OIL

20-01-2014

6246.00

34,84,89,324.00

55,794

SILVER M

28-02-2014

43915.00

2,36,31,10,065.00

53,811

SILVER

05-03-2014

43885.00

1,23,42,65,625.00

28,125

COPPER

28-02-2014

460.25

1,29,09,092.00

28,048

LEADMINI

31-12-2013

134.85

28,57,876.05

21,193

GOLD

05-02-2014

28377.00

58,12,17,714.00

20,482

COPPERMINI

28-02-2014

460.10

92,65,953.90

20,139

GOLD M

03-01-2014

29349.00

52,50,24,261.00

17,889

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COMMODITY BUZZ AND ECONOMIC EVENTS 20th DECEMBER 2013

SPECIAL NEWS :  Chinese producers have kept on adding new capacities for electrolytic Aluminium even as per an estimate one-fifth of it is lying idle. The capacity utilization rate as per China Nonferrous Metal Industry Association is 78-80%. 

The Bank of Japan kept its asset-purchase levels and overall monetary policy unchanged, a widely expected move that did little to move currencies. The central bank said the nation's economy has been recovering moderately, while inflation expectations appear to be rising on the whole.

GfK's UK consumer confidence Index has dropped one point this month to-13 in level during Dec 13. The measures for personal financial situation over the past 12 months and over the next 12 months have both seen increases this month, the general economic situation over the last 12 months has stayed the same, whilst measures for the general economic situation over the next 12 months and the major purchase Index have decreased this month.

The Federal Reserve's balance sheet expanded to a record $4 trillion in the week ended Dec. 18. The Fed balance sheet has been growing as the central bank has been buying $85 billion a month in Treasurys and mortgage related assets since last January.

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COMMODITY BUZZ :  The constant pressure building up in the Gold contract geared for yet another day on Thursday. The prices of MCX Gold declined below Rs 28500 per 10 grams. 

The prices of Copper showed little volatility in the trades on 19 December 2013. Copper ended flat but still above its 20 day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) set at Rs 457.49 per kg. MCX Copper closed at Rs 460.4 per kg on 19 December 2013, down 0.24%. Copper is actually in a rising wedge pattern, considered bearish, though the Trend line support is yet to get broken.

MCX Crude Oil closed at Rs 6239 per barrel on 19 December 2013, up 3.1%. The prices ended in green for the second consecutive day but most important was the closing above Rs 6150 per barrel. pen interest in the contract was 12236, this level of open interest was not seen even in December contract that expired on the 18th December 2013. NYMEX Light Sweet Crude Oil for February expiry was trading at $ 98.74 per barrel, up $ 0.3. The prices are trading above the psychological resistance zone of $ 95 per barrel and looking comfortable to move towards $ 100 per barrel.

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 20th DECEMBER 2013

SILVER MCX:

MCX SILVER March contract was closed at Rs 43869 down Rs 1479, or -3.26 percent. The SILVER rate touched an intraday high of Rs 45020 and an intraday low of Rs 43629. 29377 contracts had been traded. Silver opened at morning with gap down and made day low. In mid session silver traded in narrow range and made day low 43629 . After 2.00 p.m. Silver seen more selling pressure and it will helpful to break the nearest support 43600. BUY SILVER ABOVE 44260 TGTS 44460/44760 SL 43950 SELL SILVER BELOW 43600TGTS 43350/42950 SL 44000

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 20th DECEMBER 2013

GOLD MCX:

MCX GOLD February contract was closed at Rs 28362 down Rs 506 , or -1.75 percent. The GOLD rate touched an intraday high of Rs 28785 and an intraday low of Rs 28335. 21652 contracts had been traded. Gold Price was taking support at 28350 and traded in sideways range all day. In evening session gold price broke the nearest support of 28400 and made low of 28235. BUY GOLD ABOVE 28580 TGTS 28660/28760 SL 28470 SELL GOLD BELOW 28310 TGTS 28230/28130 SL 28430

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TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS 20th DECEMBER 2013

Time

Counrty

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 20 12:30

EUR

GERMAN PPI (MOM)

-0.1%

-0.2%

12:30

EUR

GFK GERMAN CONSUMER CLIMATE

7.4

7.4

TENTATIVE

JPY

BOJ PRESS CONFERENCE

15:00

GBP

BUSINESS INVESTMENT (QOQ)

1.6%

1.4%

15:00

GBP

CURRENT ACCOUNT

-13.9B

-13.0B

15:00

GBP

GDP (QOQ)

0.8%

0.8%

15:00

GBP

GDP (YOY)

1.5%

1.5%

19:00

CAD

CORE CPI (MOM)

0.1%

0.2%

19:00

CAD

CORE CPI (YOY)

1.0%

1.2%

19:00

CAD

CORE RETAIL SALES (MOM)

0.0%

0.0%

19:00

CAD

CPI (YOY)

1.0%

0.7%

19:00

CAD

CPI (MOM)

-0.2%

-0.2%

19:00

CAD

RETAIL SALES (MOM)

0.3%

1.0%

19:00

USD

GDP (QOQ)

3.6%

3.6%

19:00

USD

GDP PRICE INDEX (QOQ)

2.0%

2.0%

19:00

USD

REAL CONSUMER SPENDING

1.4%

1.4%

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