Daily commodity report 24 jan 2014 by epic research

Page 1

DAILY COMMODITY REPORT 24th JANUARY 2014

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DAILY MARKET WRAPUP 24th JANUARY 2014 COMMODITY

CONTRACT

OPEN PRICE

HIGH

LOW

CLOSE PRICE

%CHANGE

OI (in lots)

GOLD

05 FEB 2014

29102.00

29380.00

28965.00

29150.00

0.57

7727

SILVER

05 MAR 2014

44230.00

45180.00

44112.00

44338.00

1.21

10105

CRUDE

20 JAN 2014

6020

6108.00

6004.00

6014.00

1.47

11692

NATURAL GAS

28 JAN 2014

291.00

206.1

291.00

289.30

3.11

16.283

COPPER

28 FEB 2014

457.20

458.40

451.90

457.96

-0.88

10461

NICKEL

31 JAN 2014

910.20

914.50

892.30

912.30

-0.67

6174

LEAD

31 JAN 2014

134.50

136.50

132.75

134.55

-1.26

2965

ZINC

31 JAN 2014

128.65

128.80

128.60

128.85

-1.67

2338

ALUMINIUM

31 JAN 2014

108.00

108.25

107.05

107.90

-0.42

2485

LME WAREHOUSE STOCKS (24– JAN- 2014)

YOUR MINTVISORY

METAL

TONNES IN STORAGE

ALUMINIUM

-7100

COPPER

-975

LEAD

-900

NICKEL

696

ZINC

-4225 Call us at +91-731-6642300


INTERNATIONAL MARKETS 24th JANUARY 2014

PRECIOUS AND INDUSTRY METALS COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

COMEX GOLD

USD/T OZ.

1,260.50

-1.80

-0.14%

APR 14

GOLD SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,260.74

-3.39

-0.27%

N/A

COMEX SILVER

USD/T OZ.

20.05

+0.04

+0.20%

MAR 14

COMEX COPPER

USD/LB.

329.80

+1.25

+0.38%

MAR 14

PLATINUM SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,458.50

+1.62

+0.11%

N/A

ENERGY COMMODITY FUTURES COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

CRUDE OIL (WTI)

USD/BBL.

97.58

+0.26

+0.27%

MAR 14

CRUDE OIL (BRENT)

USD/BBL.

107.74

+0.16

+0.15%

MAR 14

RBOB GASOLINE

USD/GAL.

266.34

+0.16

+0.06%

FEB 14

NYMEX NATURAL GAS

USD/MMBTU

4.88

+0.15

+3.07%

FEB 14

NYMEX HEATING OIL

USD/GAL.

308.40

+0.75

+0.24%

FEB 14

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INTRADAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE 24th JANUARY 2014

COMMODITY

EXPIRY

SUP.3

SUP.2

SUP.1

PIVOT

RES.1

ALUMINIUM

31-JAN

106.40

106.95

107.60

108.15

108.80

COPPER

28-FEB

448.20

451.00

454.70

457.50

461.20

CRUDEOIL

19-FEB

5967

6034

6071

6138

6175

GOLD

5-FEB

28812

29084

29236

29508

29660

LEAD

31-JAN

131.07

131.98

133.67

134.58

136.27

NATURALGAS

28-JAN

282.93

289.97

298.03

305.07

313.13

NICKEL

31-JAN

881.9

893.6

904.1

915.8

926.3

SILVER

5-MAR

43666

44288

44734

45356

45802

ZINC

31-JAN

125.17

125.93

127.37

128.13

129.57

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MOST ACTIVE CONTRACTS 24th JANUARY 2014

Symbol

Expiry Date

LTP

Value (In Lacs)

Volume (In Lots)

NATURAL GAS

28-01-2014

298.30

3,47,95,800.10

1,16,647

SILVERMICRO

28-02-2014

44904.00

4,69,10,75,976.00

1,04,469

CRUDE OIL

19-02-2014

6101.00

40,24,40,263.00

65,963

SILVER M

28-02-2014

44900.00

2,27,07,72,600.00

50,574

COPPER

28-02-2014

453.90

1,39,01,595.30

30,627

GOLD M

05-02-2014

29348.00

86,50,90,996.00

29,477

SILVER

05-03-2014

44876.00

1,30,08,65,488.00

28,988

LEADMINI

31-01-2014

132.85

34,01,889.95

25,607

GOLD

05-02-2014

29317.00

74,10,16,492.00

25,276

NICKEL

31-01-2014

906.20

2,13,10,199.20

23,516

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TODAY,S COMMODITY NEWS 24th JANUARY 2014

COMMODITY HEADLINES 

Crude gains as U.S. supply report reveals strong distillate demand

Falling Gold Prices Taking Toll On Ghana's Economy

Metals On Slippery Path As China Manufacturing Disappoints

MCX Gold petal February contract trades flat

Mustard seed Futures To Remain Underpressure In The Near Term

Metals On Slippery Path As China Manufacturing Disappoints

Mentha oil Futures Plummet on Higher Stocks in Local Mandies

Copper hits 1-week low after Chinese manufacturing PMI disappoints

-Gold extends winning streak to 5th week on softer equities

Gold posts biggest gain in 3 months as U.S. equities slide

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COMMODITY BUZZ AND ECONOMIC EVENTS 24th JANUARY 2014

COMMODITY BUZZ :

SPECIAL NEWS : 

Mustard seed futures are likely to encounter fresh selling from higher levels due to higher production estimates in the current year along with comfortable stocks in local mandies. The NCDEX futures to gather fresh selling from 3430-3434 levels in the near term. The market sources suggest that favorable rainfall in major mustard seed growing areas such as Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh will encourage strong productivity gains in the current year. The total production is likely to reach 72-73 lakh tonnes in the current year, up 6 lakh tonnes from the last year.

U.S. crude oil supplies rose slightly in the week ending Friday, climbing by 1 million barrels to 351.2 million, . Inventories are in the upper half of the average range for this time of year, the agency said in a report issued a day late due to the Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. holiday. The EIA said supplies of motor-grade gasoline supplies rose by 2.1 million barrels to 235.3 million barrels and are well above the upper limit of the average range for this time of year. Supplies of distillate fuels, which include home heating oil, fell by 3.2 million barrels to 120.7 million and are well below the lower limit of the average range for this time of year.

Zinc production from Australia's Century mine, the world's third largest zinc mine could drop 5% this year as it nears the end of its operating life. This could trigger an emerging global supply crunch in the commodity. The mine will yield between 465,000 and 480,000 tonnes of zinc in concentrate in 2014 against 2013 output of 488,233 tonnes MCX GOLDPETAL February contract was trading at Rs 2932 up Rs 1, or 0.03 percent.

At 53.7 in January, down from 55.0 in December, the Markit Flash U.S. Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index(PMI), which is based on approximately 85% of usual monthly replies, signaled the slowest improvement in overall business conditions for three months. That said, the index was above the neutral 50.0 mark and slightly higher than its average for 2013 (53.5).

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 24th JANUARY 2014

SILVER MCX:

MCX SILVER march contract was closed at RS 44910 UP Rs 572, or +1.29 percent. The SILVER rate have touched an intraday high of Rs 45180 and an intraday low of Rs 44112. So far 30117 contracts have been traded. Silver opened at morning with gap down and made day high. In day session silver trade in large range and made day high 45180 . After evening Have seen more buying in silver and it will helpful to break the nearest resistance 45280 further silver will touch level 45550 next trading session. BUY SILVER ABOVE 45280 TGTS 45480/45780 SL 44900 SELL SILVER BELOW 44600 TGTS 44400/44100 SL 44950

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 24th JANUARY 2014

GOLD MCX:

MCX GOLD February contract was closed at Rs 29355 UP Rs 205 , or0.70 percent. The GOLD rate touched an intraday high of Rs 29389 and an intraday low of Rs 28965. So far 26693 contracts have been traded. Gold Price is taking support at 29100 , market is volatile in large range all day. In evening session gold price have cracked the nearest resistance 29180 and made high of 29389 BUY GOLD ABOVE 29400 TGTS 29480/29580 SL 29280 SELL GOLD BELOW 29250 TGTS 29170/29070 SL 29360

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 24th JANUARY 2014

CASTORSEED RESISTANCE 1

4287.7

RESISTANCE 2

4393.0

PIVOT

4214.3

SUPPORT 1

4108.7

SUPPORT 2

4035.3

Castor seed Feb. prise breaks down the consolidation. and gave closing 4156, RSI AND MACD shows down trend. Immediate support@ 4140 and immediate resistance @ 4320 . BUY CASTORSEED FEB ABOVE 4320 TGTS 4350,4400 SL 4270 SELL CASTORSEED FEB BELOW 4140 TGTS 4110,4060 SL 4190

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 24th JANUARY 2014

DHANIYA

RESISTANCE 1

8543.7

RESISTANCE 2

8673.7

PIVOT

8454.7

SUPPORT 1

8324.7

SUPPORT 2

8234.3

Dhaniya Feb. is in bullish trend in daily chart. Immediate support @ 8340 and immediate resistance @ 8490.open interest and prise has increased, RSI and MACD both are give signal of bullishness. BUY DHANIYA FEB ABOVE 8490 TGTS 8520,8570 SL 8440 SELL DHANIYA FEB BELOW 8340 TGTS 8310,8260 SL 8390

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TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS 24th JANUARY 2014

TIME

COUNTRY

EVENT

ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIOUS

FRIDAY 24 JANUARY 2014 07:15

CNY

CHINESE HSBC MANUFACTURING PMI

10:30

JPY

BOJ MONTHLY REPORT

13:28

EUR

13:28

50.6

50.5

FRENCH MANUFACTURING PMI

47.5

47.0

EUR

FRENCH SERVICES PMI

48.1

47.8

14:00

EUR

GERMAN MANUFACTURING PMI

54.6

54.3

14:00

EUR

GERMAN SERVICES PMI

54.0

53.5

14:30

EUR

MANUFACTURING PMI

53.0

52.7

14:30

EUR

SERVICES PMI

51.4

51.0

16:30

GBP

CBI DISTRIBUTIVE TRADES SURVEY

25

34

19:00

CAD

CORE RETAIL SALES (MOM)

0.3%

0.4%

19:00

CAD

RETAIL SALES (MOM)

0.3%

-0.1%

19:00

USD

INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS

326K

326K

20:30

USD

EXISTING HOME SALES

4.94M

4.90M

20:30

USD

EXISTING HOME SALES (MOM)

0.4%

-4.3%

YOUR MINTVISORY

49.6

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