Daily commodity report 30 jan 2014 by epic research

Page 1

DAILY COMMODITY REPORT 30th JANUARY 2014

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DAILY MARKET WRAPUP 30th JANUARY 2014 COMMODITY

CONTRACT

OPEN PRICE

HIGH

LOW

CLOSE PRICE

%CHANGE

OI (in lots)

GOLD

05 FEB 2014

29450.00

29840.00

29346.00

29521

0.69

6609

SILVER

05 MAR 2014

44100.00

45074.00

43844.00

44169.00

0.65

10407

CRUDE

19 FEB 2014

6120.00

6149.00

6058.00

6133.00

-0.07

11862

NATURAL GAS

28 JAN 2014

308.20

320.80

303.50

309.10

3.69

17693

COPPER

28 FEB 2014

452.15

454.20

449.45

453.00

-0.12

10332

NICKEL

31 JAN 2014

884.50

888.60

876.10

886.10

-0.82

4166

LEAD

31 JAN 2014

133.80

135.10

132.85

134.35

0.11

2501

ZINC

31 JAN 2014

124.55

125.45

123.80

125.05

-0.24

1410

ALUMINIUM

31 JAN 2014

107.20

107.75

106.60

107.70

-0.56

1769

LME WAREHOUSE STOCKS (29– JAN- 2014)

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METAL

TONNES IN STORAGE

ALUMINIUM

1050

COPPER

-3775

LEAD

300

NICKEL

144

ZINC

-4600 Call us at +91-731-6642300


INTERNATIONAL MARKETS 30th JANUARY 2014

PRECIOUS AND INDUSTRY METALS COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

COMEX GOLD

USD/T OZ.

1,261.90

-0.30

-0.02%

APR 14

GOLD SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,262.23

-5.11

-0.40%

N/A

COMEX SILVER

USD/T OZ.

19.55

-0.01

-0.04%

MAR 14

COMEX COPPER

USD/LB.

323.35

-0.70

-0.22%

MAR 14

PLATINUM SPOT

USD/T OZ.

1,406.88

-6.18

-0.44%

N/A

ENERGY COMMODITY FUTURES COMMODITY

UNITS

PRICE

CHANGE

% CHANGE

CONTRACT

CRUDE OIL (WTI)

USD/BBL.

97.53

+0.17

+0.17%

MAR 14

CRUDE OIL (BRENT)

USD/BBL.

107.89

+0.04

+0.04%

MAR 14

RBOB GASOLINE

USD/GAL.

265.96

-0.13

-0.05%

FEB 14

NYMEX NATURAL GAS

USD/MMBTU

5.39

-0.07

-1.34%

MAR 14

NYMEX HEATING OIL

USD/GAL.

319.00

+0.84

+0.26%

FEB 14

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INTRADAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE 30th JANUARY 2014

COMMODITY

EXPIRY

SUP.3

SUP.2

SUP.1

PIVOT

RES.1

ALUMINIUM

31-Jan

105.43

106.02

106.58

107.17

107.73

COPPER

28-Feb

445.38

447.42

450.13

452.17

454.88

CRUDEOIL

19-Feb

5985

6021

6076

6112

6167

GOLD

5-Feb

28949

29147

29443

29641

29937

LEAD

31-Jan

131.12

131.98

133.37

134.23

135.62

NATURALGAS

25-Feb

290.03

296.77

308.93

315.67

327.83

NICKEL

31-Jan

858.8

867.1

871.9

880.2

885.0

SILVER

5-Mar

42578

43211

43808

44441

45038

ZINC

31-Jan

122.37

123.08

124.02

124.73

125.67

CARDAMOM

15-Feb

711.8

721.2

739.2

748.6

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766.6


MOST ACTIVE CONTRACTS 30th JANUARY 2014

Symbol

Expiry Date

LTP

Value (In Lacs)

Volume (In Lots)

SILVERMICRO

28-02-2014

44492.00

5,76,48,28,440.00

1,29,570

NATURAL GAS

25-02-2014

320.50

3,31,15,983.00

1,03,326

CRUDE OIL

19-02-2014

6129.00

42,16,93,587.00

68,803

SILVER M

28-02-2014

44492.00

2,48,55,90,072.00

55,866

SILVER

05-03-2014

44456.00

1,42,28,14,280.00

32,005

COPPER

28-02-2014

452.45

1,11,07,195.05

24,549

LEADMINI

31-01-2014

134.60

28,34,137.60

21,056

COPPERMINI

28-02-2014

452.45

87,57,622.20

19,356

GOLD M

05-02-2014

29826.00

50,72,80,608.00

17,008

GOLD

05-02-2014

29725.00

49,26,62,150.00

16,574

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TODAY,S COMMODITY NEWS 30th JANUARY 2014

COMMODITY HEADLINES 

Silver down 0.6% on global cues, weak spot demand and Gold down 0.7%

Jewellery sales shoot up on panic buying with old notes

Zinc down 0.9% on global cues

Nickel down 0.6% on spot demand, global cues

Soybean down 1.7% on global cues

Chana down 0.8% on subdued spot demand

Coriander up 1.1% on spot demand

Oil rebounds in Asia on bargain hunting

Oil prices supported by dip in US distillate supplies

Oil prices hit by profit-taking in Asian trade

Mentha oil up 0.2% on spot demand

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COMMODITY BUZZ AND ECONOMIC EVENTS 30th JANUARY 2014

COMMODITY BUZZ

SPECIAL NEWS 

MCX Gold edged up yesterday following a recovery in global prices. The South African miners strike continues and bargain hunting emerged in the yellow metal after losses in last session. COMEX Gold eased from its tow month highs as profit selling tricked in following the improving US consumer confidence and rising equities. The overall sentiments in global markets were steady today and the US dollar gained to a one week high of 1.3640 against the Euro ahead of the Fed decision later on yesterday .The Reserve Bank of Australia has cut interest rates eight times since late 2011 to a record low of 2.50% to cushion the economy against the downturn. Japan retail sales rose 2.6 percent on year in December, the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry said on Thursday, following the upwardly revised 4.1 percent gain in the previous month (originally 4.0 percent). Sales from large retailers added just 0.1 percent on year after gaining 0.6 percent in November.

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The Federal Reserve Wednesday took another gradual step toward exiting its controversial bond-buying program, remaining stoic in the face of market turmoil.. As expected, the central bank went ahead with a second $10 billion reduction in its monthly bond buys, to $65 billion. The decision came at the end of a two-day meeting that will mark the end of the Ben Bernanke era. Bernanke is stepping aside as Chairman after eight years, replaced by current Vice Chair Janet Yellen.

The HSBC China Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index fell to a final reading of 49.5 in January from 50.5 in December, HSBC Holdings PLC said on Thursday. A reading below 50 in the gauge of nationwide manufacturing indicates a contraction from the previous month and above indicates expansion. New export orders declined for the second straight month and production grew marginally, The final reading was slightly lower than HSBC's preliminary January PMI of 49.6 published on Jan. 23. The preliminary figure is based on 85% to 90% of responses to its PMI survey

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 30th JANUARY 2014

SILVER

SILVER MCX Short term trend is up, Immediate support @ 45300 Immediate Resistance @ 44300 yesterday SILVER MCX Closed @ 44405.Yesterday Intraday Range of SILVER MCX was 1230. Open Interest was down 17.37, Volumes were 33437 lots. For today Keep a close eye on US data, volatility may Rule the overall Market due to USDINR Movements. BUY SILVER ABOVE 44750 TGTS 44950/45250 SL 44350 SELL SILVER BELOW 44100 TGTS 43900/43600SL 44450

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 30th JANUARY 2014

GOLD MCX:

GOLD MCX Short term trend is up, Immediate support @ 29350 Immediate Resistance @ 29900 GOLD MCX Closed @ 29521 Yesterday Intraday Range of GOLD MCX was +494 Open Interest was down 4.24, Volumes were 17340lots. For today Keep a close eye on US data, volatility may Rule the overall Market due to USDINR Movements. BUY GOLD ABOVE 29880 TGTS 29960/30060 SL 29760 SELL GOLD BELOW 29600 TGTS 29520/29420 SL 29720

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 30th JANUARY 2014

CASTORSEED

RESISTANCE 1

4181.70

RESISTANCE 2

4256.30

PIVOT

4122.3

SUPPORT 1

4047.7

SUPPORT 2

3988.3

Castorseed Feb. looking sideways to bearish in daily chart. Momentum indicators also support bearishness. Profit booking is continue in downside, but expecting price will go down. In intraday basis immediate support @ 4080 & immediate resistance @ 4150. BUY CASTORSEED FEB ABOVE 4150 TGTS 4180,4230 SL 4100 SELL CASTORSEED FEB BELOW 4080 TGTS 4050,4000 SL 4130

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EPIC RESEARCH– ANALYST SPEAKS 30th JANUARY 2014

DHANIYA

RESISTANCE 1

8379.7

RESISTANCE 2

8439.3

PIVOT

8307.3

SUPPORT 1

8247.7

SUPPORT 2

8175.3

On Technical chart Dhaniya Feb. is in bullish trend where Dhaniya Feb. future has strong resistance at 8670. on intraday basis immediate support @ 8390 and immediate resistance @8495.Momentum indicators RSI and MACD is above their mid range also support bullish trend in Dhaniya. Expecting that rising in price will continue in upcoming trading session. BUY DHANIYA FEB ABOVE 8495 TGTS 8525,8575 SL 8445 SELL DHANIYA FEB BELOW 8390 TGTS 8360,8310 SL 8440

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TODAY’S ECONOMIC EVENTS 30th JANUARY 2014

TIME

COUNTRY

EVENT

ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIOUS

THURSDAY, JANUARY 30 ALL DAY

SOUTH KOREA - LUNAR NEW YEAR

00:30

USD

FOMC STATEMENT

00:30

USD

INTEREST RATE DECISION

0.25%

0.25%

01:30

NZD

INTEREST RATE DECISION

2.50%

2.50%

01:30

NZD

RBNZ RATE STATEMENT

03:15

NZD

BUILDING CONSENTS (MOM)

-5.0%

11.1%

05:20

JPY

RETAIL SALES (YOY)

3.8%

4.0%

05:30

AUD

HIA NEW HOME SALES (MOM)

07:15

CNY

CHINESE HSBC MANUFACTURING PMI

49.6

49.6

13:30

EUR

SPANISH GDP (QOQ)

0.3%

0.1%

13:30

CHF

KOF LEADING INDICATORS

2.00

1.95

14:25

EUR

GERMAN UNEMPLOYMENT CHANGE

-5K

-15K

14:25

EUR

GERMAN UNEMPLOYMENT RATE

6.9%

6.9%

19:00

USD

GDP (QOQ)

3.2%

4.1%

19:00

USD

GDP PRICE INDEX (QOQ)

1.3%

2.0%

19:00

USD

INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS

330K

326K

19:00

USD

REAL CONSUMER SPENDING

20:30

USD

PENDING HOME SALES (MOM)

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7.5%

2.0% 0.3%

0.2% Call us at +91-731-6642300


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