DAILY REPORT 10th DECEMBER. 2013
Global markets at a glance Nikkei climbed 2.3% on Monday, its best one-day gain in three months, spurred by a slide in yen after an upbeat U.S. jobs report raised expectations Federal Reserve will soon begin removing its stimulus. This gain took Nikkei close to 6-month intraday high of 15,794.15. European stocks also rose in early trade after robust Chinese exports, which supported expectations of a global recovery. On Friday, data showed U.S. employers hired more workers than expected in Nov, driving jobless rate to a five-year low of 7.0%. But the better-than-expected jobs number was not robust enough to lead markets. Wall Street Update Stocks on wall street finally edged higher on Monday, with the S&P 500 closing at a record high, as traders awaited more clues from the Federal Reserve. The Dow Jones industrial average rose 5.33 points or 0.03 percent, to finish at 16,025.53. The S&P 500 .SPX gained 3.28 points or 0.18 percent, to end at 1,808.37, a record closing high. The Nasdaq Composite added 6.23 points or 0.15 percent, to close at 4,068.751. Previous day Roundup After better-than-expected outcome in four state in favour of BJP, the market closed at record highs on Monday, supported by banks and capital goods stocks. The Nifty touched a record high of 6,415, before closing at 6363.90, up 104 points or 1.66% from Friday's value. The Sensex climbed 329.89 points or 1.57 percent to 21,326.42 after hitting an all-time high of 21,483.74, but the broader markets underperformed benchmarks. The BSE midcap and smallcap indices gained 0.4-0.5%.
World Indices Index
Value
% Change
16,025.53
+0.03
S&P 500
1,808.37
+0.18
NASDAQ EURO STO FTSE 100
4,068.75 2,988.67 6,559.48
+0.15 +0.29 +0.11
Nikkei 225 Hong Kong
15,592.07 23,734.77
-0.37 -0.32
DJl
Top Gainers Company
CMP
Change
% Chg
DLF
165.2
+9.45
+6.07
SSLT
191.45
+9.15
+5.02
ACC
1,171.15
+55.20
+4.95
AMBUJACEM
193.55
+8.45
+4.57
ICICIBANK
1,194.8
+50.90
+4.45
CMP
Change
% Chg
266 385.5 851.65 420.1
-17.5 -3.25 -6.20 -2.60
-6.17 -0.84 -0.72 -0.62
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
AMARAJABAT
347.5
2.05
+0.59
BHARATFORG
315.15
12.1
+3.99
BIOCON
400.3
2.5
-0.62
CROMPGREAV
134.7
5.05
+3.9
131.15
3.45
+2.70
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
171.4 170
6.30 1.55
-3.55 +0.92
CMP
Change
% Chg
6,363.9 21,326.42
+104 +329.89
+1.66 +1.57
Top Losers Company
JINDALSTEL CIPLA LUPIN TATASTEEL
Stocks at 52 Week’s high Symbol
ESCORTS Index stats The Bankex and Bank Nifty both advanced 2.93% & 2.95% respectively. Among the sartorial indices all the sectors were up; Capital Goods [up 322.59pts], Oil & Gas [up 149.28pts], AUTO [up 168.76pts], PSU [up 104.73pts], Metals [up 86.95pts], FMCG [up 13.26pts, Realty [up 35.58pts], TECK [up 33.53pts], IT [up 45.08pts], Power [up 27.12pts], and Healthcare [up 16.28pts], the index slipped was Consumer Durables [down 6.47pts].
Stocks at 52 Week’s Low Symbol
HERITGFOOD VIDEOIND
Indian Indices Company NIFTY SENSEX
YOUR MINTVISORY
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DAILY REPORT 10th DECEMBER. 2013
EQUITY CASH & FUTURE
STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE] 1. INDIA CEMENT
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH] 1. HIND PETRO
INDIA CEMENT FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long build up has been seen, we may see more upside, if it continues to sustain above 63, We advise buying above 63 levels with strict stop loss 60 for the targets of 65-68 levels.
HIND PETRO is looking strong on charts. We advise buying above 235 levels with strict stop loss of 230 for the targets of 240-250 levels.
2. DLF
MACRO NEWS Banks borrowed 14.1 bn rupees under MSF on Dec 6. Shipping Corporation of India evaluates inland waterways business opportunity. M&M will sign MoU with Tamil Nadu govt to set up an automotive and testing facility this month. The company is set to invest Rs 2000cr to revive the project. Biyani to exit Capital Foods, sell 44% to European fund. Andhra Pradesh split may yield large PSU investment. PSUs take up projects that would amount to about Rs 2 lakh crore in total. These PSUs include the Steel Authority of India Ltd, National Thermal Power Corporation, Indian Oil Corporation, Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd, Airports Authority of India, Indian Railways and the National Highways Authority of India, among others. Govt. to garner Rs 18,000cr from PSU disinvestment. Reliance Industries Ltd is open to joining hands with Bharti Airtel Ltd for improving telecom network for 4G services in Punjab.
DLF FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long build up has been seen, we may see more upside, if it continues to sustain above 165, We advise buying around 164-166 levels with strict stop loss of 160 for the targets of 170-174.
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DAILY REPORT FUTURE & OPTION
10th DECEMBER. 2013
STOCKS IN NEWS Hewlett-Packard owned software firm Mphasis sales up 3.5%. McNally Bharat Engineering gets Rs 210-cr order. Coal Ministry to review decision to cancel licenses to Tata Sons, Jindal Steel. Bharti Airtel to invest Rs 4,000 crore in Punjab. Coal India Ltd to invest rs 7.6k-crore to develop Kusmunda mine. United Bank of India seeks Rs 1,000 crore bailout to meet capitalization requirements
MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION Symbol
Option Type
Strike Price
LTP
Traded Volume (Contracts)
Open Interest
NIFTY
PE
6,300
66.00
2,78,175
31,19,200
NIFTY
PE
6,200
40.00
2,53,587
53,24,400
NIFTY
PE
6,100
24.15
2,27,828
43,55,500
BANK NIFTY
PE
11,000
52.15
19,042
2,91,300
SBIN
PE
1,800
21.40
3,344
2,97,250
ICICIBANK
PE
1.100
9.70
2,497
13,96,750
RELIANCE
PE
860
8.25
2,202
1,96,500
DLF
PE
150
1.90
1,995
11,52,000
Strike Price
LTP
Traded Volume (Contracts)
Open Interest
NIFTY FUTURE
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION Symbol
Option Type
NIFTY
CE
6,500
45.00
4,38,028
54,81,400
NIFTY
CE
6,400
86.5
3,21,870
56,74,650
NIFTY
CE
6,600
19.65
2,85,558
54,84,250
BANKNIFTY
CE
12,500
127.25
33,407
2,58,250
SBIN
CE
1,900
54.95
4,779
2,97,375
DLF
CE
170
4.95
3,988
12,40,000
RELIANCE
CE
900
11.5
3,393
6,15,500
ICICBANK
CE
1,200
36.10
2,683
2,62,750
POWERGRID
CE
95
2.85
2,602
78,02,000
Nifty Future closed in the red in the last trading session. We advise selling around 6420-6440 with strict stop loss of 6480 for the targets of 6380-6350 levels.
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS BUY
SELL
OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
No. of Amount in No. of Amount in No. of Contracts Crores Contracts Crores Contracts
Amount in Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES
115501
3672.73
54371
1727.73
545059
17368.94
1945.00
INDEX OPTIONS
514879
16172.75
463099
14412.27
1724864
54751.21
1760.48
STOCK FUTURES
64698
1816.26
61007
1791.44
1137415
32309.80
24.82
STOCK OPTIONS
31203
891.52
31078
884.87
46041
1270.03
6.65
TOTAL
3736.95
INDICES NIFTY
S2
S1
PIVOT
R1
R2
6304.46
6334.18
6374.71
6404.43
6444.96
NIFTYJUNIOR
12473.45
12524.4
12597.55
12648.5
12721.65
BANK NIFTY
11881.06
11973.48
12099.71
12192.13
12318.36
YOUR MINTVISORY
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DAILY REPORT 10th DECEMBER. 2013
COMMODITY MCX
RECOMMENDATIONS SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY SILVER ABOVE 44510 TGTS 44710/45010 SL 44210 SELL SILVER BELOW 43900 TGTS 43700/43400 SL 44200
COMMODITY ROUNDUP India gold imports may witness a sharp fall in 2014 continuing the trend in 2013 as government raised import tax in different stages to 10% and import tax on gold jewellery to 15% apart from imposing other controls on gold consumption. The World Gold Council's (WGC) third quarter report of 2013 showed a 32% decline in consumer demand at 148 tons compared to 310 tons in the second quarter of this year. Meanwhile, gold jewellery retailers and trade have reported lack of availability of gold resulting in increased smuggling through airports. India crude oil futures failed to record neither upward nor downward movement on Monday and the commodity prices were seen trading neutral to sideways. Copper edged down and recorded a down trend pressured by appreciation of Indian Rupee against US Dollar. Crude oil futures for December delivery on India's Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) was seen trading with a loss of 0.15% at Rs.5972 per barrel as of 15.45 IST while MCX copper for February delivery was seen trading with a loss of 0.26% at Rs.445.15 per kilogram as of 15.47 IST on Monday.
GOLD At the MCX silver for delivery in March next year fell by Rs 192, or 0.44%, to Rs 43,860 per kg in business turnover of 574 lots. On similar lines, the white metal for delivery in May next declined by Rs 183, or 0.41%, to Rs 44,730 per kg in business volume of 8 lots. A subdued trend in the global markets as investors assessed the probability of a reduction in monetary stimulus this month after the US added more workers than forecast in November, led the fall in silver prices at futures trade here.
TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GOLD ABOVE 29120 TGTS 29200/29300 SL 29020 SELL GOLD BELOW 28910 TGTS 28830/28730 SL 29010
YOUR MINTVISORY
In line with weakness in gold, investors continued to exit from gold exchange traded funds while equity funds witnessed growth in November. Gold prices moved down by 0.30% to Rs 28,868 per 10 gm in futures trade yesterday after participants offloaded partial positions, taking weak cues from the global market. At the MCX gold for delivery in February declined by Rs 86, or 0.30%, to Rs 28,868 per 10 gm in business turnover of 474 lots. Likewise, the metal for delivery in April shed Rs 76, or 0.27%, to Rs 28,397 per 10 gm in 15 lots.
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DAILY REPORT 10th DECEMBER. 2013
NCDEX
RECOMMENDATIONS CASTORSEED
NCDEX INDICES Index
Value
% Change
Barley
1382
-0.04
Castor Seed
4468
+0.68
Chana
2920
-0.54
Chilli
6740
-0.50
Coriander
7548
+2.61
Cotton Seed Oilcake
1425
-0.42
12550
+0.28
Mustard seed
3700
-0.91
Ref Soya Oil
709.6
+0.65
Turmeric
4974
+0.32
Jeera
BUY CASTORSEED ABOVE 4500 TGTS 4530/4580 SL 4450 SELL CASTORSEED BELOW 4430 TGTS 4400/4350 SL 4480 DHANIYA
NCDEX ROUNDUP According to The US Department of Agriculture India's rice output is likely to decline to 103 million tonnes in 2013-14 on crop damage and exports are also expected to be lower at 10 million tones. The outbound shipments are expected to decline to 10 million tonnes in the 2013-14 marketing year (October-September), from the estimated 10.9 million tonnes last year. Coriander prices rose by 2.63% to Rs 7,854 per quintal in futures trade yesterday as speculators enlarged their positions supported by rising demand in spot markets. At the NCDEX, coriander for January delivery gained Rs 201, or 2.63%, to Rs 7,854 per quintal with an open interest of 24,720 lots. Similarly, the spice for delivery in December traded higher by Rs 184, or 2.50%, to Rs 7,540 per quintal, with an open interest of 9,360 lots.
BUY DHANIYA ABOVE 4490 TGTS 4520/4570 SL 4440 SELL DHANIYA BELOW 7470 TGTS 7440,7390 SL 7520
YOUR MINTVISORY
Cardamom futures fell by 2.60% to Rs 616 per kg yesterday, as traders reduced their holdings amid sluggish spot demand. Besides, sufficient stocks holdings in the physical market also influenced cardamom prices. At the MCX, cardamom for December contract declined by Rs 16.50, or 2.60%, to Rs 616 per kg with a business turnover of 106 lots.
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DAILY REPORT 10th DECEMBER. 2013
CURRENCY
RBI Reference Rate Currency
Rate Currency
Rupee- $
61.1785 Yen-100
Euro
83.8195 GBP
EUR/INR
Rate
59.3800 100..0146
CURRENCY ROUNDUP The euro rose to a near six-week high against the dollar and close to a five-year peak versus the yen on Monday, after strong U.S. payrolls data and Chinese trade figures bolstered risk appetite. USD/INR (SPOT) has given a gap down opening. The Indian rupee rose to a four-month high on Monday, boosted by record-high stock markets after the main opposition party, widely seen by investors as being more business friendly, swept three out of five key state elections held since last month.
SELL EUR/INR BELOW 83.70 TGTS 83.56, 83.41 SL 84.10. BUY EUR/INR ABOVE 84.42 TGTS 84.62, 84.85 SL 84.02. JPY/INR
The partially convertible rupee closed at 61.13/14 per dollar compared with 61.41/42 on Friday. The unit rose as high as 60.84 at open, its strongest since Aug. 12. Good dollar demand from importers including oil companies was seen at stronger rupee levels, limiting any further gains. Gains in other Asian currencies further aided the rupee. In the offshore non-deliverable forwards, the one-month contract was at 61.46, while the three-month was at 62.32. The euro has been gaining ground since the ECB last week refrained from following up November's surprise rate cut and said it has yet to come up with a detailed plan of which policy tools to use and when.
SELL JPY/INR BELOW 59.01 TGTS 58.84, 58.68 SL 59.30. BUY JPY/INR ABOVE 60.35 TGTS 60.51, 60.74 SL 59.95.
YOUR MINTVISORY
The Japanese currency continues to be the funding currency of choice thanks to the BOJ's ultra-loose monetary policy and expectations of more easing next year when tax hikes kick in. The yen was down against the pound and down against the euro, with GBP/JPY up 0.83% and trading at 169.55 and EUR/JPY trading up 0.62% at 141.82. The dollar firmed against the yen on Monday after better-thanexpected U.S. jobs and consumer-sentiment reports cemented expectations for the Federal Reserve to begin tapering its monthly asset-purchasing program in the near future. In U.S. trading on Monday, USD/JPY was trading at 103.24, up 0.38%, up from a session low of 102.89 and off a high of 103.32.
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DAILY REPORT 10th DECEMBER. 2013
CALL REPORT PERFORMANCE UPDATES
Date
Commodity/ Currency
Contract
Strategy
Entry Level
Target
Stop Loss
Remark
FEB
BUY
29100
29200-29350
29000
NOT EXECUTED
MCX GOLD
FEB
SELL
28850
28750-28600
29000
SL TRIGGERED
MCX SILVER
MAR
BUY
44500
44750-45050
44200
NOT EXECUTED
09/12/13
MCX SILVER
MAR
SELL
43850
43600-43300
44150
SL TRIGGERED
09/12/13
NCDEX CASTOR SEED
JAN.
SELL
4370
4340-4290
4420
NOT EXECUTED
09/12/13
NCDEX CASTOR SEED
JAN.
BUY
4480
4500-4520
4390
SL TRIGGERED
09/12/13
NCDEX DHANIYA
DEC.
BUY
7440
7470-7510
7380
BOOKED FULL PROFIT
09/12/13
NCDEX DHANIYA
DEC.
SELL
7300
7270-7220
7350
NOT EXECUTED
09/12/13
JPY/INR
DEC.
SELL
60.45
60.30-60.14
60.80
NOT EXECUTED
09/12/13
JPY/INR
DEC.
BUY
60.95
61.13-61.30
60.60
NOT EXECUTED
09/12/13
EUR/INR
DEC.
SELL
84.4
84.25-84.09
84.78
NOT EXECUTED
09/12/13
EURINR
DEC.
BUY
84.75
84.96-85.16
84.30
NOT EXECUTED
09/12/13
MCX GOLD
09/12/13 09/12/13
Date
Scrip
CASH/FUTURE
Strategy
Entry Level
Target
Stop Loss
Remark
09/12/13
NIFTY
FUTURE
BUY
6270-6290
6320-6350
6250
NOT EXECUTED
09/12/13
AXIS BANK
FUTURE
BUY
1280-1290
1320-1340
1260
NOT EXECUTED
09/12/13
TATA POWER
FUTURE
BUY
87-88
90-92
85
NOT EXECUTED
09/12/13
HITACHI HOME
CASH
BUY
156
164-170
148
BOOKED FULL PROFIT
US ECONOMIC REPORT TIME (ET)
REPORT
7:30 am 10 am 10 am
NFIB small business index Job openings Wholesale inventories
2 pm
Federal budget
8:30 am 8:30 am 8:30 am 8:30 am 10 am
Weekly jobless claims Retail sales Retail sales ex-autos Import price index Business inventories
8:30 am 8:30 am
Producer price index Core PPI
PERIOD
ACTUAL
TUESDAY, DEC. 10 Nov. Oct. Oct. WEDNESDAY, DEC. 11 Nov. THURSDAY, DEC. 12 12/7 Nov. Nov. Nov. Oct. FRIDAY, DEC. 13 Nov. Nov.
CONSENSUSFORECAST
PREVIOUS
----
91.6 3.9 mln 0.4%
--
-$172 bln
N/A 0.3% 0.2% -0.8% 0.3%
N/A 0.4% 0.2% -0.7% 0.6%
0.1% 0.1%
-0.2% 0.2%
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