Special report by epic research 18 december 2013

Page 1

DAILY REPORT 18th DECEMBER. 2013

Global markets at a glance The Nikkei share average rose 1.2% on Wednesday morning, as short-term investors bet the outcome of the U.S. Federal Reserve's policy meeting won't materially alter a promising outlook for Japanese equities. European shares fell on Tuesday, resuming a downward slide seen for much of this month as the U.S. Federal Reserve kicked off a two-day meeting at which it may decide to scale back its equity-friendly stimulus program. Wall Street Update U.S. stocks closed slightly lower on Tuesday, with investors reluctant to make big bets before the results of a Federal Reserve meeting that could give some clarity as to when the central bank will begin trimming its stimulus. The policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee is expected to issue a statement on Wednesday at the meeting's conclusion. The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI slipped 9.31 points, or 0.06 percent, to close at 15,875.26. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index .SPX declined 5.54 points, or 0.31 percent, to finish at 1,781.00. The Nasdaq Composite Index .IXIC fell 5.84 points, or 0.14 percent, to end at 4,023.68. Previous day Roundup The consolidation in market continued for the second session on Tuesday as investors are eyeing for RBI policy that will be announced on Wednesday. The day that was looking like a sigh of relief after a fall in previous five sessions gave up gains in last hour of trade. The Sensex slipped 47.38 points to 20,612.14, and the Nifty fell 15.65 points to 6,139.05.

World Indices Index

Value

% Change

15,875.26

-0.06

S&P 500

1,781.00

-0.31

NASDAQ EURO STO FTSE 100

4,023.68 2,941.76 6,486.19

-0.14 -1.24 -0.55

Nikkei 225 Hong Kong

15,510.12 23,180.26

+1.52 +0.49

DJl

Top Gainers Company

CMP

Change

% Chg

RANBAXY

438.15

20.10

+4.81

BHARTIARTL

327.70

14.35

+4.58

CIPLA

387.40

11.50

+3.05

SUNPHARMA

568.30

12.15

+2.18

NMDC

139.00

2.65

+1.94

CMP

Change

% Chg

659.25 278.35 134.90 782.80

25.10 8.50 3.05 15.75

-3.67 -2.96 -2.21 -1.97

Prev. Close

Change

%Chg

AUROPHARMA

354.60

5.55

+1.59

BFUTILITIE

425.00

7.65

-1.77

DELTACORP

100.90

2.80

-2.70

ESCORTS

130.90

2.30

+1.79

2,946.50

20.90

+0.71

Prev. Close

Change

%Chg

1000

8.70

-0.86

CMP

Change

% Chg

6,139.05 20,612.14

-15.65 -47.38

-0.25 -0.23

Top Losers Company

HDFCBANK CAOLINDIA NTPC HDFC

Stocks at 52 Week’s high Symbol

GLAXO Index stats The Bankex and Bank Nifty both declined 1.28% & 1.44% respectively. Among the sartorial indices most of the sectors were closed up; Capital Goods [up 30.16pts], FMCG [up 48.71pts], PSU [up 47.00pts], Consumer Durables [up 59.14pts], Metals [up 1.89pts], TECK [up 26.41pts], IT [up 19.97pts], and Healthcare [up 143.42pts], the index slipped were Oil & Gas [down 45.15pts], AUTO [down 5.66pts], Realty [down 10.11 pts], Power [down 11.88pts].

Stocks at 52 Week’s Low Symbol

BEL --

Indian Indices Company NIFTY SENSEX

YOUR MINTVISORY

Call us at +91-731-6642300


DAILY REPORT 18th DECEMBER. 2013

EQUITY CASH & FUTURE

STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE] 1. HDIL

STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH] 1. WOCKHARDT

HDIL FUTURE is looking weak on charts, short build up has been seen, we may see more downside, if it continues to sustain below 46. We advise selling around 46-47 levels with strict stop loss 48.50 for the targets of 44.50-42.50 levels.

WOCKHARDT is looking strong on charts. We advise buying above 390 levels with strict stop loss of 370 for the targets of 410-430 levels.

2. HDFC

MACRO NEWS 

      

HDFC FUTURE is looking weak on charts, short build up has been seen, we may see more downside, if it continues to sustain below 780. We advise selling below 780 levels with strict stop loss 795 for the targets of 765-750 levels. YOUR MINTVISORY

Reserve bank of India is going to announce Credit Policy today, wherein RBI likely to raise repo rate by 0.25 per cent to tame inflation Domestic road shows for IOC divestment to begin today will end on December 20. JM Financial allots 1.2 crore warrants to Vikram Pandit at Rs 19.05 apiece on a preferential basis. JK Tyre allots 43 lakh warrants to promoters at Rs 115/Warrant . Tata Steel puts Borivli land worth Rs 1000 crore up for sale. Corporate action: HCL Technologies ex-date for dividend Rs 6 per share. Board Meeting: Pipavav Defence AGM. Anti-dumping duty on steel products from India to continue . Power cost to go up as Western Coalfields hikes prices by 10%.

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DAILY REPORT FUTURE & OPTION

18th DECEMBER. 2013

STOCKS IN NEWS  IRB Infrastructure Developers preferred bidder for Rs 1,500-crore road project.  Boeing announces $10 billion buyback, raises dividend.  Sun Pharma Advanced Research Company (SPARC) receives US FDA response on Venlafaxine NDA.  Hero MotoCorp may sub-license Honda's technology to overseas players.

MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION Symbol

Option Type

Strike Price

LTP

Traded Volume (Contracts)

Open Interest

NIFTY

PE

6,100

49.55

2,46,302

52,08,750

NIFTY

PE

6,200

96.00

2,41,434

35,40,400

NIFTY

PE

6,000

22.40

1,71,326

59,87,000

BANK NIFTY

PE

11,000 149.00

27,414

3,98,650

SBIN

PE

1,700

31.00

6,945

2,60,125

MCDOWELL-N

PE

2,500

19.75

2,076

1,90,750

AXISBANK

PE

1,250

33.50

1,778

2,36,250

ICICIBANK

PE

1,100

32.00

1,741

3,65,500

Strike Price

LTP

Traded Volume (Contracts)

Open Interest

NIFTY FUTURE

MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION Symbol

Option Type

NIFTY

CE

6,300

20.50

3,18,868

73,01,000

NIFTY

CE

6,200

50.30

3,03,368

43,47,200

NIFTY

CE

6,400

6.55

1,95,810

54,44,850

BANKNIFTY

CE

12,000

30.40

23,695

4,75,075

SBIN

CE

1,800

16.05

8,324

4,72,250

RANBAXY

CE

440

11.50

4,728

6,49,500

TCS

CE

2,100

13.75

4,199

3,91,750

MCDOWELL-N

CE

2,600

44.00

4,109

2,06,375

POWERGRID

CE

100

0.45

3,188

73,32,000

Nifty Future closed in the red in the last trading session. We advise selling below 6150 with strict stop loss of 6200 for the targets of 6120-6100 levels.

FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS BUY

SELL

OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY

No. of Amount in No. of Amount in No. of Contracts Crores Contracts Crores Contracts

Amount in Crores

NET AMOUNT

INDEX FUTURES

55403

1672.11

56216

1692.17

594003

18206.89

-20.06

INDEX OPTIONS

254102

7731.35

283195

8645.04

1760703

53823.67

-913.69

STOCK FUTURES

68824

1942.15

69274

1965.26

1167506

31962.30

-23.10

STOCK OPTIONS

33516

907.96

33346

906.17

54884

1460.74

1.79

TOTAL

-955.05

INDICES NIFTY

S2

S1

PIVOT

R1

R2

6096.65

6117.85

6154.2

6175.4

6211.75

NIFTYJUNIOR

12247.76

12281.08

12336.86

12370.18

12425.96

BANK NIFTY

11028.15

11118.4

11268.25

11358.5

11508.35

YOUR MINTVISORY

Call us at +91-731-6642300


DAILY REPORT 18th DECEMBER. 2013

COMMODITY MCX

RECOMMENDATIONS SILVER

COMMODITY ROUNDUP Gold prices eased on Tuesday ahead of this week's Federal Reserve policy meeting, on expectations that the U.S. central bank may soon be set to taper its bullion-friendly economic stimulus program. The Fed begins its latest two-day policy meeting on Tuesday. Most economists polled by Reuters this week expect it to taper its huge bond-buying program in March, although the odds on a move this month or next have shortened after a run of upbeat data. Spot gold was down 0.3 percent at $1,236.30 an ounce at 1022 GMT, while U.S. gold futures for February delivery were down $8.10 an ounce at $1,236.30. Expectations that the Fed will curtail its stimulus program, which has driven gold prices higher in recent years by pressuring interest rates and fuelling fears of inflation, have already pushed gold prices 25 percent lower this year.

TRADING STRATEGY: BUY SILVER ABOVE 45250 TGTS 45450/45800 SL 44900 SELL SILVER BELOW 44600 TGTS 44400/44100 SL 44950 GOLD

MCX GOLD February contract was closed at Rs 28678 down Rs 153 , or- 0.53 percent. The GOLD rate touched an intraday high of Rs 28990 and an intraday low of Rs 28642. So far 22800 contracts have been traded. Gold Price is taking support at 28640 and trade in sideways range all day. In evening session gold price broke the nearest SUPPORT of 28790 and made new low of 28642 MCX SILVER march contract was closed at Rs 44734 DOWN Rs 596, or 1.31 percent. The SILVER rate touched an intraday high of Rs 45628 and an intraday low of Rs 44580. 29027 contracts had been traded. Silver opened at morning with gap DOWN and made day low. In mid session silver traded in narrow range and made evening low 44580 . After 6.00 p.m. more selling pressure was seen in silver and it will helpful to break the nearest support 44550. Prices of iron ore and chrome ore are witnessing downward pressure on poor demand from within the country, precipitated by stagnated consumption growth of finished steel products

TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GOLD ABOVE 28830 TGTS 28910/29010 SL 28700 SELL GOLD BELOW 28620 TGTS 28540/28440 SL 28740

YOUR MINTVISORY

Zinc futures prices yesterday edged up by 0.32% to Rs 123.80 per kg as speculators created positions despite metal's weakness in the global market. At MCX, zinc for delivery in January up by 40 paise, or 0.32%, to Rs 123.80 per kg, with a business turnover of 9 lots.

Call us at +91-731-6642300


DAILY REPORT 18th DECEMBER. 2013

NCDEX

RECOMMENDATIONS CASTORSEED

NCDEX INDICES Index

Value

% Change

Barley

1446.5

+0.35

Castor Seed

4884

+0.08

Chana

2810

-1.40

Chilli

7230

-1.50

Coriander

7800

-2.77

Cotton Seed Oilcake

1418

+0.50

12980

-0.36

Mustard seed

3599

-1.53

Ref Soya Oil

696.5

-0.02

Turmeric

5282

+1.23

Jeera

BUY CASTORSEED JAN ABOVE 4950 TGTS 4980,5030 SL 4900 SELL CASTORSEED JAN BELOW 4820 TGTS 4790,4740 SL 4870 DHANIYA

NCDEX ROUNDUP Delay in commencement of cane crushing by over a month in the current sugar season (October 2013-Sept 2014) has dropped the sugar production by 50% over last year. The industry has pegged total sugar output at 250 lakh tonnes in the ongoing 2013-14 season (October-September), higher than the government estimate of 241 million tonnes. Castor seed output in India is likely to decline by 40 per cent this year on lower acreage and unfavorable climatic condition in major producing states at the beginning of the sowing season. A high-powered group of ministers is expected to meet on Wednesday to take stock of the government’s ongoing sale of excess wheat in the domestic market. The government has plans to sell around 8.5 million tonnes of wheat through the open market till March 2014 before the new procurement season starts. However, till date it has managed to sell just about 1 million tonnes due to lukewarm response from traders.

BUY DHANIYA JAN ABOVE 8280 TGTS 8310,8360 SL 8230 SELL DHANIYA JAN BELOW 8065 TGTS 8035,7985 SL 8115

YOUR MINTVISORY

Palm oil shipments by Indonesia, the world's largest producer, probably advanced to the highest level in nine months in November as rising prices prompted exporters to boost supplies. Futures gained.

Call us at +91-731-6642300


DAILY REPORT 18th DECEMBER. 2013

CURRENCY

RBI Reference Rate Currency

Rate Currency

Rupee- $

62.3896 Yen-100

Euro

84.7547 GBP

USD/INR

Rate

61.1000 101.8011

CURRENCY ROUNDUP The dollar was on the back foot against the euro and the yen on Wednesday as traders cautiously looked to what the Federal Reserve will do with its stimulus -- a major force that has simultaneously underpinned riskier global assets and restrained the dollar in recent years

The dollar's index stood at 80.02, having slipped from Monday's high of 80.419, with immediate support seen at the Dec. 11 low of 79.757.

BUY USD/INR ABOVE 62.21 TGTS 62.36, 62.48 SL 61.81. SELL USD/INR BELOW 61.86 TGTS 61.71, 61.54 SL 62.26. EUR/INR

Although a steady run of firm U.S. economic data in recent weeks has raised speculation that the Fed could reduce its bond buying at its policy meeting ending on Wednesday, a majority of investors still think stimulustapering will happen early next year. The dollar also eased against the yen to 102.57 yen, little changed in early Asian trade but down from a five-year high of 103.925 yen reached on Friday. Sterling lost some of its recent momentum, wobbling near three-week lows against the dollar and a six-week low versus the euro, after benign UK inflation data dampened speculation about early rate hikes. The pound traded at $1.6272, after having slipped to $1.6214 on Tuesday from a two-year high of $1.6499 hit last Wednesday.

SELL EUR/INR BELOW 85.18 TGTS 84.99, 84.83 SL 85.59 BUY EUR/INR ABOVE 85.70 TGTS 85.87, 86.05 SL 85.29.

YOUR MINTVISORY

The euro rose to 84.67 pence on Tuesday, its highest level since early November and last stood at 84.64. The Australian dollar slumped to a fresh four-month low of $0.8882 overnight after the Australian central bank repeated its recent message that the currency was uncomfortably high.

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DAILY REPORT 18th DECEMBER. 2013

CALL REPORT PERFORMANCE UPDATES

Date

Commodity/ Currency Pairs

Contract

Strategy

Entry Level

Target

Stop Loss

Remark

17/12/13

MCX GOLD

FEB.

BUY

28930

29010-29110

28820

BOOKED PROFIT

17/12/13

MCX GOLD

FEB.

SELL

29690

28610-28510

28810

NOT EXECUTED

17/12/13

MCX SILVER

MARCH

BUY

45700

45900-46200

45350

NOT EXECUTED

17/12/13

MCX SILVER

MARCH

SELL

45200

45000-44700

45550

BOOKED FULL PROFIT

17/12/13

NCDEX CASTOR SEED

JAN.

SELL

4650

4620-4570

4700

NOT EXECUTED

17/12/13

NCDEX CASTOR SEED

JAN.

BUY

4880

4910-4960

4830

BOOKED PROFIT

17/12/13

NCDEX DHANIYA

JAN.

BUY

8460

8490-8540

8410

BOOKED PROFIT

17/12/13

NCDEX DHANIYA

JAN.

SELL

8355

8325-8275

8395

BOOKED PROFIT

17/12/13

JPY/INR

DEC.

SELL

59.95

59.76-59.60

60.36

NOT EXECUTED

17/12/13

JPY/INR

DEC.

BUY

60.74

60.94-61.16

60.33

NOT EXECUTED

17/12/13

GBP/INR

DEC.

SELL

100.83

100.66-100.44

101.28

NOT EXECUTED

17/12/13

GBPNR

DEC.

BUY

101.70

101.86-102.03

101.25

NOT EXECUTED

Date

Scrip

CASH/ FUTURE/ OPTION

Strategy

Entry Level

Target

Stop Loss

Remark

17/12/13

NIFTY

FUTURE

SELL

6200

6160-6120

6240

BOOKED PROFIT

17/12/13

TECH MAHINDRA

FUTURE

BUY

17401750

1770-1790

1715

CALL OPEN

17/12/13

ADANIENT

FUTURE

BUY

260

265-270

255

BOOKED PROFIT

17/12/13

TATA ELEXI

CASH

BUY

340-345

355-365

330

BOOKED PROFIT

16/12/13

NIFTY

FUTURE

SELL

6180

6150-6120

6240

BOOKED PROFIT

16/12/13

TATAMOTORS

FUTURE

BUY

368-372

378-384

360

CALL OPEN

13/12/13

JINDAL PHOTO

CASH

BUY

130-135

145-155

122

CALL OPEN

12/12/13

HCLTECH

FUTURE

BUY

1180

1200-1220

1160

CALL OPEN

YOUR MINTVISORY

Call us at +91-731-6642300


DAILY REPORT 18th DECEMBER. 2013

ECONOMIC CALENDAR

US ECONOMIC REPORT TIME (ET)

REPORT

PERIOD

ACTUAL

CONSENSUSFORECAST

PREVIOUS

MONDAY, DEC. 16 8:30 AM

EMPIRE STATE INDEX

DEC.

4.0

-2.2

8:30 AM

PRODUCTIVITY REVISION

Q3

2.4%

1.9%

9:15 AM

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION

NOV.

0.5%

-0.1%

9:15 AM

CAPACITY UTILIZATION

NOV.

78.4%

78.1%

TUESDAY, DEC. 17 8:30 AM

CONSUMER PRICE INDEX

NOV.

0.1%

-0.1%

8:30 AM

CORE CPI

NOV.

0.1%

0.1%

8:30 AM

CURRENT ACCOUNT

Q3

--

-$99 BLN

10 AM

HOME BUILDERS' INDEX

DEC.

55

54

WEDNESDAY, DEC. 18 8:30 AM

HOUSING STARTS

NOV.

950,000

891,000 (AUG)

8:30 AM

BUILDING PERMITS

NOV.

1.00 MLN

1.04 MLN

2 PM

FOMC STATEMENT

2:30 AM

BERNANKE PRESS CONFERENCE THURSDAY, DEC. 19

8:30 AM

WEEKLY JOBLESS CLAIMS

12/14

N/A

N/A

10 AM

EXISTING HOME SALES

NOV.

5.05 MLN

5.12 MLN

10 AM

PHILLY FED

DEC.

10.0

6.5

10 AM

LEADING INDICATORS

NOV.

--

0.2%

3.6%

3.6%

FRIDAY, DEC. 20 8:30 AM

GDP REVISION

Q3 Disclaimer

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