Special report by epic research 6 january 2014

Page 1

DAILY REPORT 06th JANUARY. 2013

Global markets at a glance European stocks rose on Friday, recouping some steep losses suffered in the first session of the year . The FTSEurofirst 300 index of top European shares ended 0.5 percent higher at 1,312.15pts, recovering some poise after a 0.8% drop on Thursday. European equities enjoyed record net inflows of $16.3 bn from U.S. investors in 2013. Asian shares fell to a two-week low on Monday after growth in China's services sector slowed sharply last month, raising concerns about the pace of recovery the Nikkei share average stumbled 2.2 percent in the first trading day of 2014. Wall Street Update US stocks ended a volatile session mostly flat on Friday as investors digested comments from Federal Reserve officials that raised questions about how quickly the central bank will end its stimulus program. Wall Street opened higher but subsequently pared gains after Philadelphia Fed President said the Fed faced "immense" challenges now that it had reduced bond-buying, and that it needed to be cognizant of a potential rapid rise in future inflation. The Dow Jones industrial average was up 28.64 points, or 0.17%, at 16,469.99. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index was down 0.62 points, or 0.03%, at 1,831.36. The Nasdaq Composite Index was down 11.16 points, or 0.27%, at 4,131.91. Previous day Roundup The benchmark BSE index fell 0.18%, or 37 points, to end at 20,851.33 and a weekly fall of 1.6%. The broader NSE index fell 0.16%, or 10points, to end at 6,211.15. Index stats The Market was very volatile in yesterday session where Bankex and Bank Nifty both closed almost flat (up 0.01% and down 0.01% respectively). Among the sartorial indices almost the sectors which were down are; Capital Goods [down 170.66pts], AUTO [down 140.65pts], PSU [down 69.48pts],Oil & Gas [down 110.23pts], Metals [down 118.38pts], Power [down 29.03pts], and the index advanced were Consumer Durables [up 28.20pts], IT [up 197.72pts], Healthcare [up 69.23pts], FMCG [up 20.13pts] Realty [up 12.26pts], TECK [up 98.65pts].

YOUR MINTVISORY

World Indices Index

Value

% Change

16,469.99

+0.17

S&P 500

1,831.37

-0.03

NASDAQ EURO STO FTSE 100

4,131.91 3,074.43 6,730.67

-0.27 +0.47 +0.19

Nikkei 225 Hong Kong

16,291.31 22,817.28

+0.69 -2.24

DJl

Top Gainers Company

CMP

Change

% Chg

RANBAXY

481.15

18.60

+4.02

LUPIN

935.00

29.00

+3.20

TCS

2,224.10

57.10

+2.63

INFY

3,561.20

80.65

+2.32

MARUTI

1,807.00

38.60

+2.18

CMP

Change

% Chg

83.90 901.15 363.00 165.80 132.05

3.45 34.95 9.35 3.90 2.85

-3.95 -3.73 -2.51 -2.30 -2.11

Prev. Close

Change

%Chg

BIOCON

483.00

22.75

+4.94

DIVISLAB

1,251.20

17.00

+1.38

INFY

3,561.20

80.65

+2.32

JUSTDIAL

1,643.70

153.25

+10.28

78.40

0.30

+0.38

Prev. Close

Change

%Chg

CMP

Change

% Chg

6,211.15 20,851.33

-10.00 -37.00

-0.16 -0.18

Top Losers Company

TATAPOWER M&M TATAMOTORS BHEL NTPC

Stocks at 52 Week’s high Symbol

TVSMOTOR

Stocks at 52 Week’s Low Symbol

--

Indian Indices Company NIFTY SENSEX

Call us at +91-731-6642300


DAILY REPORT 06th JANUARY. 2013

EQUITY CASH & FUTURE

STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE] 1. BIOCON

STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH] 1. FINANCIAL TECH

BIOCON FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long build up has been seen, we may see more upside, if it continues to sustain above 490. We advise buying above 490 levels with strict stop loss 485 for the targets of 495-499 levels.

FINANCIAL TECH is looking strong on charts. We advice buying above 236 levels with strict stop loss of 225 for the targets of 245-255 levels.

2. TATA POWER

MACRO NEWS  China willing to partner in proposed Andhra Pradesh manufacturing zone.  Sugarcane growers to get incentive of Rs 150 per tonne.  GMR project could be revived to safeguard Indian investments: Maldivian President Abdulla Yameen.  A research note by Nomura cites data by the Centre for Monitoring the Indian Economy to show a marginal uptick in investments. New investment projects rose to 4.9% of GDP in the Oct.-Dec. quarter of 2013 from 3.6% in the previous quarter, marking a reversal in the secular decline in investments from the peak of 2007.  RCom on Friday repaid an overseas debt ofRs 3,100 crore ($500 million).  Infosys will separate its new-generation business into a subsidiary.  IOC Ups Petrol price by Rs 0.75/Litre .  Lakshmi Vilas Bank board approves rights issue of up to Rs 650 Cr.  Future Lifestyle to acquire 27.50% stake in Resource World Exim.

TATA POWER FUTURE is looking weak on charts, short build up has been seen, we may see more downside, if it continues to sustain below 85. We advise selling on rise around 85 levels with strict stop loss 87 for the targets of 83-81 levels.

YOUR MINTVISORY

Call us at +91-731-6642300


DAILY REPORT FUTURE & OPTION

06th JANUARY. 2013

STOCKS IN NEWS  Nestle may invest up to $1bn to hike stake in India arm.  Oil and Natural Gas Corporation has struck a gas and oil reserve in the KG DWN 98/2 block it bought from Cairn India.  Reliance Industries to increase KG-D6 gas output.  Vodafone eyes Tata Tele; will beat Airtel to become largest telco by subscribers if it succeeds.  Kingfisher employees to go on hunger strike from January 6 .

MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION Symbol

Option Type

Strike Price

LTP

Traded Volume (Contracts)

Open Interest

NIFTY

PE

6,200

74.55

3,14,699

42,52,700

NIFTY

PE

6,100

44.70

2,80,808

37,42,000

NIFTY

PE

6,000

25.70

1,91,062

38,29,900

BANK NIFTY

PE

11,000 172.40

18,172

1,79,750

SBIN

PE

1,700

43.45

4,216

3,48,500

INFY

PE

3,500 108.95

2,309

2,35,750

RELIANCE

PE

860

15.90

2,092

2,80,000

ICICIBANK

PE

1,060

27.95

1,503

83,750

NIFTY FUTURE

MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION Symbol

Option Type

Strike Price

LTP

Traded Volume (Contracts)

Open Interest

NIFTY

CE

6,300

78.95

3,02,974

41,30,050

NIFTY

CE

6,400

42.70

2,54,021

38,01,250

NIFTY

CE

6,500

21.35

1,99,562

53,94,100

BANKNIFTY

CE

11,500

198.00

18,946

1,45,245

SBIN

CE

1,800

26.00

7,628

6,89,375

RELIANCE

CE

900

11.85

4,221

10,40,000

TCS

CE

2,200

81.00

2,287

1,40,500

ICICIBANK

CE

1,100

27.50

2,257

2,71,250

INFY

CE

3,600

136.00

2,117

2,58,000

Nifty Future closed in the green in the last trading session. We advise buying around 6230-6250 with strict stop loss of 6200 for the targets of 6280-6300 levels.

FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS BUY

SELL

OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY

No. of Amount in No. of Amount in No. of Contracts Crores Contracts Crores Contracts

Amount in Crores

NET AMOUNT

INDEX FUTURES

62915

1936.11

82190

2544.85

398939

12353.15

-608.74

INDEX OPTIONS

453213

13864.69

416165

12773.95

1085493

33620.84

1090.73

STOCK FUTURES

54458

1836.96

65855

2142.11

981021

31233.17

-305.15

STOCK OPTIONS

38880

1178.68

39793

1204.90

40474

1270.68

-26.22

TOTAL

150.62

INDICES NIFTY

S2

S1

PIVOT

R1

R2

6150.91

6181.03

6201.36

6231.48

6251.81

NIFTYJUNIOR

12598.43

12690.76

12742.28

12834.61

12886.13

BANK NIFTY

10992.01

11086.83

11147.41

11242.23

11302.81

YOUR MINTVISORY

Call us at +91-731-6642300


DAILY REPORT 06th JANUARY. 2013

COMMODITY MCX

RECOMMENDATIONS SILVER

COMMODITY ROUNDUP Gold February 14 contract was up by 1.37% to Rs 28968.00 per 10 grams, GoldM January 14 contract was up by 1.73% to Rs 29975.00 per 10 grams, Gold-guinea January 14 contract was up by 0.82% to Rs 23612.00 per 8 grams, GoldPetal February 14 contract was up by 0.97% to Rs 2905.00 per gram and Gold-Petal Del February 14 contract was down by 0.61% to Rs 2933.00 per gram. Silver March 14 contract was up by 1.28% to Rs 45348.00 per kg, SilverM February 14 contract was up by 1.29% to Rs 45377.00 per kg and SilverMic February 14 contract was up by 1.29% to Rs 45379.00 per kg. U.S. Gold advanced 0.5% a near three-week high of about $1,242.3 an ounce, heading for a fifth-day of gains. The precious metal suffered a 28 percent slump in 2013, its worst yearly performance since 1981, largely due to the Fed's plan to unwind its stimulus program.

TRADING STRATEGY: BUY SILVER ABOVE 45850 TGTS 46050/46350 SL 45500 SELL SILVER BELOW 45250 TGTS 45050/44750 SL 45600 GOLD

U.S. crude futures gained 0.2% to above $94 a barrel, coming off a four-week low set on Friday after data showed a larger-than-expected build in distillates. Crude oil January 14 contract was down by 2.95% to Rs 6016.00 per barrel, Brent crude oil January 14 contract was down by 0.65% to Rs 6853.00 per barrel and Natural gas January 14 contract was down by 3.58% to Rs 269.50 per MMBTU. Oil prices dropped on Friday as the market braced for rising Libyan output, while soft Chinese service-sector data softened demand for the growth-sensitive commodity as well. Oil prices largely ignored an otherwise bullish U.S. supply report. On the New York Mercantile Exchange, West Texas Intermediate crude for delivery in February traded at USD94.17 a barrel during U.S. trading, down 1.33%. New York-traded oil futures hit a session low of USD93.38 a barrel and USD95.74 a barrel.

TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GOLD ABOVE 29250 TGTS 29330/29450 SL 29150 SELL GOLD BELOW 29000 TGTS 28920/28820 SL 29101 YOUR MINTVISORY

Copper prices fell by 0.23% to Rs 468.60 per kg in futures trade yesterday as speculators trimmed positions, tracking a weak global trend. At the MCX, copper for delivery in February fell by Rs 1.10, or 0.23%, to Rs 468.60 per kg in business turnover of 1772 lots.

Call us at +91-731-6642300


DAILY REPORT 06th JANUARY. 2013

NCDEX

RECOMMENDATIONS CASTORSEED

NCDEX INDICES Index

Value

% Change

Castor Seed

4479

-0.29

Chana

3048

-0.36

Coriander

7980

+0.76

Cotton Seed Oilcake

1506

-0.13

12722.5

+0.00

Maize– Feed/ Industrial Grade

1200

+0.25

Mustard seed

3547

-0.25

Soy Bean

3770

-0.19

Turmeric

6740

-0.33

Jeera

BUY CASTORSEED FEB ABOVE 4600 TGTS 4630,4680 SL 4550 SELL CASTORSEED FEB BELOW 4480 TGTS 4450,4400 SL 4530 DHANIYA

BUY DHANIYA JAN ABOVE 8000 TGTS 8030,8080 SL 7950 SELL DHANIYA JAN BELOW 7800 TGTS 7770,7720 SL 7850 YOUR MINTVISORY

NCDEX ROUNDUP Coriander prices gained 2.06% to Rs 8,010 per quintal in futures market today as speculators enlarging their positions, tracking a firm trend at spot market on pick up in demand against tight supply. At the Ne, coriander for delivery in January rose by Rs 162, or 2.06% to Rs 8,010 per quintal with an open interest of 14,330 lots. Similarly, the spice for delivery in February traded higher by Rs 118, or 1.42% to Rs 8,400 per quintal in 21,190 lots. Apart from a firm trend at spot market on pick up in demand, limited arrivals from producing belts, mainly led to rise in coriander prices at futures trade. Chana prices declined by 0.42% to Rs 3,061 per quintal in futures trading yesterday as participants trimmed positions, triggered by increased supplies from producing regions. At the NCDEX chana for delivery in January declined by Rs 13, or 0.42%, to Rs 3,061 per quintal with an open interest of 65,900 lots. Similarly, the commodity for delivery in February traded lower by similar margin to Rs 3,116 per quintal in 58,850 lots. Participants trimmed positions, triggered by increased supplies from producing regions against low demand in the spot market mainly weighed on chana prices at futures trade.

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DAILY REPORT 06th JANUARY. 2013

CURRENCY

RBI Reference Rate Currency

Rate Currency

Rupee- $

62.4075 Yen-100

Euro

85.1950 GBP

Rate

59.9000 102.5355

EUR/INR

CURRENCY ROUNDUP The rupee bounced back from a one-month low to post its first gain in the New Year, rising 10 paise to close at 62.16 against the dollar Friday after the RBI was said to have sold the US currency. Strong foreign fund inflows into stocks and a recovery in local equities after initial losses also supported the rupee. At the interbank foreign exchange market, the rupee opened lower at 62.38 a dollar from yesterday's close of 62.26, a one-month low. It dropped further to 62.56 amid a fall in local stocks and dollar demand from importers. The rupee bounced back to a high of 62.14 as local equities recovered and ended at 62.16, a rise of 10 paise or 0.16 percent. During the last few hours, rupee started gaining, helped by RBI as it sold dollars in the market. Overall in this week, rupee has depreciated by around 1.2 percent.

SELL EUR/INR BELOW 85.24 TGTS 85.09, 84.91 SL 85.64. BUY EUR/INR ABOVE 85.87 TGTS 86.02, 86.19 SL 85.47.

The RBI fixed the reference rate for the dollar at 62.4075 and for the euro at 85.1950. The rupee recovered to 102.33 against the pound from 102.97 yesterday and turned positive to end at 84.79 per euro from 85.21. It dropped further to 59.51 per 100 Japanese yen from 59.07.

GBP/INR

Euro extends slide after second-half rally. The euro, the top -performing major currency of 2013, shed 0.6 percent to 142.38 yen, extending losses in the wake of its 1.2 percent slide the previous day. The euro has retreated from a fiveyear peak of 145.67 yen set last Friday. The dollar rose broadly on Friday, buoyed by comments made by outgoing Federal Reserve Chairman. The dollar fell as low as 104.05 yen, but later erased losses to last trade flat at 104.74 yen, remaining below a five-year high of 105.44 yen set on Thursday. Japanese market players are out for New Year holidays until next week. The dollar gained ground after comments made by the Fed's Bernanke. SELL GBP/INR BELOW 102.85 TGTS 102.70,102.54 SL 103.25. BUY GBP/INR ABOVE 103.54 TGTS 103.69, 103.87 SL 103.14.

YOUR MINTVISORY

The yen got some respite against the dollar, up 0.6 percent at 104.275 yen, not far from a two-week high of 104.08 yen touched last Friday.

Call us at +91-731-6642300


DAILY REPORT 06th JANUARY. 2013

CALL REPORT PERFORMANCE UPDATES

Date

Commodity/ Currency Pairs

Contract

Strategy

Entry Level

Target

Stop Loss

Remark

03/01/14

MCX GOLD

FEB.

BUY

29000

29080-29180

28880

BOOKED FULL PROFIT

03/01/14

MCX GOLD

FEB.

SELL

28840

28760-28660

28950

SL TRIGGERED

03/01/14

MCX SILVER

MAR.

BUY

45500

45700-46000

45100

BOOKED PROFIT

03/01/14

MCX SILVER

MAR.

SELL

45100

44900-44600

45450

SL TRIGGERED

03/01/14

NCDEX CASTOR SEED

FEB.

SELL

4470

4440-4390

4520

BOOKED FULL PROFIT

03/01/14

NCDEX CASTOR SEED

FEB.

BUY

4605

4635-4685

4555

NOT EXECUTED

03/01/14

NCDEX DHANIYA

JAN.

SELL

7800

7770-7720

7850

BOOKED PROFIT

03/01/14

NCDEX DHANIYA

JAN.

BUY

7950

7980-8030

7900

BOOKED FULL PROFIT

03/01/14

JPY/INR

JAN.

SELL

58.94

58.81-58.64

59.29

NOT EXECUTED

03/01/14

JPY/INR

JAN.

BUY

59.60

59.74-58.93

59.25

NOT EXECUTED

03/01/14

EUR/INR

JAN.

SELL

85.35

85.18-85.02

75

NOT EXECUTED

03/01/14

EURINR

JAN.

BUY

85.83

85.98-86.11

85.43

SL TRIGGERED

Date

Scrip

CASH/ FUTURE/ OPTION

Strategy

Entry Level

Target

Stop Loss

Remark

03/01/14

NIFTY

FUTURE

SELL

6240

6220-6190

6265

CALL OPEN

03/01/14

ADANIENT.

FUTURE

SELL

254

250-245

260

BOOKED PROFIT

03/01/14

ASIAN PAINT

FUTURE

SELL

481

476-470

488

SL TRIGGERED

03/01/14

CASTROL

CASH

BUY

320

325-330

314

NOT EXECUTED

27/12/13

TATA STEEL

FUTURE

BUY

428

434-438

422

BOOKED PROFIT

YOUR MINTVISORY

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DAILY REPORT 06th JANUARY. 2013

ECONOMIC CALENDAR

NEXT WEEK'S U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS TIME (ET)

REPORT

PERIOD

ACTUAL

CONSENSUS FORECAST

PREVIOUS

MONDAY, JAN . 06 10 am

ISM nonmanufacturing

Dec.

54.6%

53.9%

10 am

Factory orders

Nov.

1.6%

-0.9%

-$39.9 bln

-$40.6 bln

230,000

215,000

--

$18.2 bln

N/A

339,000

TUESDAY, JAN. 07 8:30 am

Trade deficit

Nov. WEDNESDAY, JAN. 08

8:15 am

ADP employment

Dec.

2 pm

FOMC minutes

12/18

3 pm

Consumer credit

Nov. THURSDAY, JAN. 08

8:30 am

Weekly jobless claims

1/4 FRIDAY, JAN. 09

8:30 am

Nonfarm payrolls

Dec.

190,000

203,000

8:30 am

Unemployment rate

Dec.

7.0%

7.0%

10 am

Wholesale inventories

Nov.

--

1.4%

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YOUR MINTVISORY

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