Interestingly, some of the most profitable farms, at least on a per cow basis, were found at both the high end and at the low end of herd sizes. The large herd dairy farms were able to capitalize on economies of scale, while some of the small herd farms were able to keep a tight rein on expenses, had significant non-milk business income, and/or utilized a significant amount of family labor. There were farms from all four size categories represented in the top profit quartile. Another area where the top profit group excels is in NCOP. Figure 13 shows the difference in the cost of producing milk between the most and least profitable groups. The difference between the two came to $3.29 per cwt. in 2021, significantly greater than the average difference of the preceding five years which was $2.57.
Figure 13
Cost of Producing Milk by Profit Groups 2017
2018
2020
2021
$18.92
$18.67
$18.77
$20.12
$19.75
Top 25%
16.23
16.57
16.81
16.46
16.46
Difference
2.69
2.10
1.96
3.66
3.29
NCOP1 Bottom 25%
2019 Dollars per Cwt.
Before any return on equity
1
Certainly, high milk production per cow influences profitability. However, Figure 14A illustrates that by itself, high production per cow does not guarantee superior earnings. A significant number of high production farms are in the lower profit groups. However, fewer of the low production farms fall in the top profit group. The importance of balancing production with total costs to achieve profitability is much more obvious (Figure 14B). As NCOP decreases, the probability of higher profits increases on nearly a straight line. Herd management, cost control, purchasing savvy and labor management are the main factors determining the cost of production.
24 2021 NORT H E A S T DA I RY FA R M S U M M A RY