SPRING 2024
W E S T M I D L A N D S M A R K E T U P D AT E
W EST M IDLANDS
£585,000
£777,078
+0.4%
£389
£1.93bn
326
MORTGAGE APPROVALS (DEC)
50,459
6.1%
25.6%
RESIDENTIAL TRANSACTIONS (DEC)
80,420
-4.8%
-17.8%
GROSS MORTGAGE LENDING (DEC)
£17.2bn
-12.1%
-24.6%
62,688
2.7%
-8.7%
238,927
-
-8.6%
NEW HOMES BUILT (Q423) NEW HOMES BUILT (ANNUAL)
2
P RE M I U M M ARK E T S
W E S T M I D L AN D S
GROWING MOMENTUM
It has been a generally encouraging start to 2024. Mortgage rates are falling and confidence among buyers and sellers is increasing. Monthly upticks in prices reflect this optimism, alongside growing sales and rising stock levels. Consumer confidence is on the upswing, with buyer demand gaining momentum.
POSITIVE START The Bank of England has held the interest rate at 5.25% and the general view is that we are at the top of the rate rise cycle. Current forecasts are that interest rates will begin to be cut in the second half of 2024 and are expected to be below the 5% forecast back in September (HM Treasury, average of independent forecasts). With a brightening outlook, the average two-year fixed mortgage rate fell from 5.93% at the start of January to 5.56% in February, the biggest monthly decrease since December 2022 (Moneyfacts). Falling mortgage rates, wage growth outstripping inflation and a strong labour market are supporting increasing confidence among buyers and sellers.
NUDGING UPWARDS House prices were up 2.5% in January compared to the same month last year, the strongest annual growth rate in a year (Halifax), adding to the tentative signs of recovery for the housing market. Both the Halifax and Nationwide indices showed month-on-month house price growth in January (1.3% and 0.7% respectively) as the market gains momentum. In the West Midlands, annual price growth in Q4 was -2.8%, moderated slightly from -2.4% the previous quarter (Nationwide). Despite an unsteady 2023, house prices are still 23% above December 2019 levels, the equivalent of £52,899 (UK HPI). Market conditions are increasingly positive in early 2024, with metrics for buyer demand, sales and new instructions
all turning positive in January for the first time in a while (RICS). More homes are also available for sale, an average 41 properties per surveyor in January, the highest level since March 2022 (RICS). Easing inflation and falling mortgage rates mean that confidence is increasing, with 57% of estate agents saying that the rate of withdrawals has decreased in the last three months (Dataloft Poll of Subscribers).
PRIME MARKETS Top end sales have shown resilience, with the proportion of sales over £1 million steady, accounting for 3.0% of sales in 2023 compared to 3.2% in 2022 (Dataloft, Land Registry year to December). Increased interest rates have put cash buyers in a strong position, accounting for a third (32%) of sales in 2023, compared with a fifth (20%) on average between 2017 and 2022 (Zoopla). In the West Midlands, the prime markets of Bromsgrove and Birmingham are currently the best performing.
STEP INTO SPRING Spring is the season of new beginnings and a great time to get your property on the market. Increased sunshine and blooming gardens make homes more appealing. One of the prime seasons for home sales, properties sell the fastest in spring, an average of just 51 days over the last five years, compared to 61 days in winter (Rightmove). Over the same period, 27% of sales took place in spring, the highest of all the four seasons (Dataloft, HMRC).
P RE M I U M M ARK E T S
W E S T M I D L AN D S
3
£406,000 £550,872 -1.6% £291
£520,000 £721,977 +1.1% £374
£585,000 £777,078 +0.4% £389
£527,000 £697,691 -0.6% £343
£477,000 £626,057 -2.4% £339
£827,000 £1,139,585 -0.3% £541
£769,000 £1,052,593 -2.1% £502
4
P RE M I U M M ARK E T S
£508,000 £689,853 +1.2% £356
£992,000 £1,440,646 -1.1% £604
W E S T M I D L AN D S
£1,700,000 £2,782,814 -3.3% £1,311
W EST M IDLANDS PREM IUM M ARK ET
WEST MIDLANDS
12% 10.5% 9% 7.5% 6% 4.5% 3% 1.5% 0% JAN 2023
FEB 2023
MAR 2023
APR 2023
MAY 2023
JUN 2023
JUL 2023
AUG 2023
SEP 2023
OCT 2023
NOV 2023
DEC 2023
WEST MIDLANDS
£480 £420
£ 445
£360 £300
£ 361
£ 352
SEMI-DETACHED
TERRACED
£ 368
£ 389
£240 £180 £120 £60 £0 DETACHED
6
P RE M I U M M ARK E T S
W E S T M I D L AN D S
FLAT/APARTMENT
ALL PROPERTY
W EST M IDLANDS M AINST REAM M ARK ET
WEST MIDLANDS
16% 8% 0% -8% -16% -24% -32% -40% -48% DEC 2022
JAN 2023
FEB 2023
MAR 2023
APR 2023
MAY 2023
JUN 2023
JUL 2023
AUG 2023
SEP 2023
OCT 2023
NOV 2023
WEST MIDLANDS
£400 £350 £300
£ 320
£250
£ 256
£ 248
£200
£ 211
£ 213
TERRACED
FLAT/APARTMENT
£150 £100 £50 £0 DETACHED
SEMI-DETACHED
P RE M I U M M ARK E T S
ALL PROPERTY
W E S T M I D L AN D S
7
W EST M IDLANDS
£226,893 £585,000 £777,078
£133,234 £302,000 £398,849
£180,102 £354,000 £451,877
£230,269 £425,000 £532,138
£402,858 £865,000 £1,146,339
£244,560 £607,000 £807,999
POWERED BY
2024-02-02