GBNRTC Air Quality Conformity Determination

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COMBINED REGIONAL EMISSIONS ANALYSIS AND TRANSPORTATION CONFORMITY DETERMINATION For the Greater Buffalo Niagara Regional Transportation Council (GBNRTC) 2011‐2015 TIP and 2035 Long Range Transportation Plan Update Introduction The Clean Air Act requires the United States Environmental Protection Agency to establish the national ambient air quality standards (NAAQS) for various criteria air pollutants. Areas where air quality monitoring shows a violation of the NAAQS are designated “non‐attainment.” By law the New York State Department of Environmental Conservation (NYSDEC) is required to produce a plan, known as the State Implementation Plan (SIP) that details how sufficient emission reductions, including reductions in the mobile source sector, will be achieved to meet the NAAQS. All non‐attainment areas are subject to a provision in CAA §176(c) known as transportation conformity. The intent of the transportation conformity process is to fully coordinate transportation and air quality planning to ensure the implementation of Transportation Plans, Programs and Projects will not: • cause or contribute to any new violation of the NAAQS, • increase the frequency or severity of any existing NAAQS violations, or • delay timely attainment of the NAAQS or any required interim emissions reductions or other milestones in any area. This report presents the results of the regional emissions analysis and describes the process and methods undertaken by GBNRTC to demonstrate air quality conformity for the Buffalo, NY 8‐hour ozone non‐attainment area consisting of Erie and Niagara Counties. This new conformity determination was necessitated by an update to the region’s Long Range Transportation Plan and subsequent development of a new 2011‐2015 TIP.

Attainment Non‐Attainment History and Status Erie and Niagara Counties, NY were classified as a marginal non‐attainment area under the 1‐hour ozone standard and in attainment for all other Clean Air Act criteria pollutants in 1991. On July 16, 1997 EPA concluded the 1‐hour standard did not adequately protect the public from the adverse health effects of ground level ozone. In establishing a new "concentration based" 8‐hour standard, EPA set the standard at 0.08 parts per million (ppm). Specifically, the design value for 8‐hour ozone is the 3‐year average of the annual 4th‐highest daily maximum 8‐hour ozone concentrations. An area attains the standard when the 3‐year average of the annual 4th‐highest daily maximum 8‐hour concentrations is less than or equal to 0.08 ppm. Effective June 15, 2004 the United States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) designated Erie and Niagara Counties to be a non‐attainment under the 8‐hour ozone standard. Based on 2001‐2003 data, the 8‐hour ozone design value for the area was 0.099 ppm; and based on 2002‐2004 data, the 8‐hour ozone design value for the area was 0.091 ppm. Based on these values Erie and Niagara Counties were

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classified as a Subpart 1 Basic non‐attainment area under the 8‐hour ozone standard. The current 8‐ hour ozone design value in Erie and Niagara Counties is 0.084 ppm based on 2006‐2008 monitoring data. On June 15, 2005, the one‐hour ozone standard was revoked. At that time, EPA determined that upon the revocation of the one‐hour standard, only the 8‐hour ozone standard and its associated requirements would apply to the transportation conformity process. On December 22, 2006, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit both upheld and rejected certain aspects of EPA’s framework for implementing the State Implementation Plan (SIP) requirements under Clean Air Act (CAA) Title I Part D for 8‐hour ozone non‐attainment areas. A key result of the court decision involved the continued implementation of emission control strategies in areas like Erie and Niagara Counties that were previously designated non‐attainment for the 1‐hour ozone standard under CAA Part D Subpart II and are now designated non‐attainment for the 8‐hour ozone standard under CAA Part D Subpart I. Generally speaking, SIP requirements under Subpart I are less stringent than those under Subpart II. The “anti‐backsliding” provision, CAA Section 172(e), provides that in the event “[EPA] relaxes a [primary National Ambient Air Quality Standard] after November 15, 1990, [EPA] shall...provide for controls applicable to areas designated non‐attainment before such relaxation.” In the subject court case, the DC Circuit specifically concluded that transportation conformity requirements for areas designated non‐attainment for the 1‐hour ozone standard under Subpart II constitute “controls” under Section 172(e). The DC Circuit Court decision states that “EPA is required by statute to keep in place measures intended to constrain ozone levels – even ones that apply to outdated standards – in order to prevent backsliding.” Therefore, the transportation conformity requirements that previously applied to 1‐hour ozone non‐ attainment areas such as the Erie‐Niagara County Area may remain “applicable requirements.” Therefore, this conformity determination and associated analyses address the transportation conformity requirements that apply to both Marginal 1‐hour ozone areas and to Subpart 1 (Basic) 8‐hour ozone non‐attainment areas per 40 CFR Part 93 and 6 NYCRR Part 240.

Emissions Test A motor vehicle emission budget was not required or established for the Buffalo, NY 1‐hour ozone non‐ attainment area. In addition, a motor vehicle emissions budget has not yet been established as part of the State Implementation Plan for the Buffalo, NY Subpart 1 Basic 8 hour ozone non‐attainment area. Per 40 CFR 93.119(b)(2) of the federal transportation conformity regulation, Subpart 1 basic 8‐hour ozone non‐attainment areas and Marginal 1‐hour ozone non‐attainment areas may choose between two emissions tests to demonstrate conformity. 40CFR 93.119(b)(2)(i) allows Marginal 1‐hour and Subpart 1 (Basic) 8‐hour ozone non‐attainment areas to demonstrate conformity when emissions predicted in the “action” scenario are not greater than emissions predicted in the “baseline” scenario, and this can be reasonably expected to be true in the periods between analysis years. This test is also referred to as the “build no greater than no‐build test.” 40 CFR Part 93.119(b)(2)(ii) allows Basic Subpart 1 8‐hour ozone non‐attainment areas to demonstrate conformity when the “action” scenario emissions are less than or equal to 2002 emission levels and allows Marginal 1‐hour ozone non‐attainment areas to demonstrate conformity when the “action”

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scenario emissions are less than or equal to 1990 emissions levels. These tests are commonly referred to as the “no greater than baseline year” tests. GBNRTC utilized the “build no greater than no‐build” test in its regional emissions analysis to demonstrate conformity with the SIP for both the 1‐hour and 8‐hour ozone standards. To meet the requirements under 40 CFR Part 93.119(f)(1)&(2), the ozone precursors volatile organic compounds (VOC) and oxides of nitrogen (NOX) were examined in the regional emissions analysis.

Use of Latest Planning Assumptions 1. Estimates of current and future population employment, travel and congestion The GBNRTC has incorporated Year 2000 Census data into its planning assumptions. The GBNRTC and its Economic and Development Review Team updated regional demographic forecasts to the Year 2035 (Attachment B). The Year 2035 demographic forecasts were based upon the results of the 2000 Census and its previously approved 2030 demographic forecasts. The new 2035 forecasts reaffirm previous forecasts with an assumption of continued slow growth in population, employment, and households. GBNRTC Policy Committee approved the Year 2035 forecasts at the regional, municipal and TAZ levels on December 15, 2009 (Attachment A). Intermediate year demographic forecasts for Years 2015, 2025, and 2035 were then developed by interpolation between the Year 2000 Census data and the Horizon Year 2035 demographic figures. This demographic data was used as input into the new GBNRTC model structure generating VMT and speed data for each analysis year. The revised trip tables accurately predict both inter‐county and intra‐ county travel patterns in Erie and Niagara Counties. The resulting inter‐county travel patterns fully incorporate all 2000 Census population, employment, household, and auto ownership data. In addition, since the trip tables were revised at the TAZ level, the revised trip distribution matrix is consistent with 2000 Census Journey to Work data.

2. Transit Operating Policies and Ridership Trends Modal split modeling showed the transit share of regional trips remained constant at approximately 5% of total regional trips. The 2002 household travel survey resulted in 3.7 million total daily trips with 130,000 on public transit. This 2002 household travel survey modal split is consistent with previous household travel surveys conducted in 1993 and 1973 which showed transit shares ranging between three (3) and five (5) percent. It should be noted that a series of motor fuel price oscillations have occurred since the last conformity analyses with mixed transit ridership statistics. In general the patronage increases (+10%) realized during high fuel costs were followed by comparable declines (‐6%) when fuel prices receded. At the time of this update the net ridership gain was considered negligible with no significant change in the transit share. As such, transit modal share was unchanged for this update.

3. Transit service and fare changes, road and bridge tolls The transit operator for Erie and Niagara County is the Niagara Frontier Transportation Authority (NFTA). NFTA’s fare policy is to construct, evaluate, and revise the fare structure based upon five criteria: equity; ease of understanding; revenue; ability to generate additional ridership; and ease of administration.

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In considering the various policies NFTA has retained a zonal fare structure (as described below) based on a finding that it is more equitable to the majority of its transit riders, especially the transit dependent population, as well as producing more revenue than a flat fare policy. However, NFTA continues to consider changes to its fare policy (including a flat fare) as part of its overall strategy review process. An incremental fare increase was included since the last conformity analyses and is reflected in the table below. Typically fare increases have a negative affect on transit ridership but motor fuel price fluctuations served to make transit more attractive. Post fare increase, transit ridership continued to demonstrate modest gains system wide, though recent statistics indicate ridership has fallen in direct correlation to lower fuel prices. Overall there appears to be no significant change in transit modal share. The most current transit fares and network operating conditions were input to the modeling structure used in generating transit ridership (modal shares). The fare structure, pricing and zonal approach are in consideration as a function of the 2009 strategic review as noted. The NFTA currently operates on a zonal fare system. There are four fare zones in the system and the fares structure for all trip interchanges are provided in the following table: 1 Zone Ride

2 Zone Ride

3 Zone Ride

4 Zone Ride

Adult

$1.75

$2.05

$2.35

$2.65

Child (5-11 yrs.) Senior Citizen (65 and older),*Disabled* & Medicare

$0.75

$0.90

$1.05

$1.20

Passenger Type

4. Status of TCM Implementation There are no Transportation Control Measures (TCMs) in the current SIP for Erie and Niagara Counties. The LRP and TIP process at the MPO level will provide for expeditious implementation of any TCMs that may be identified through any future revision to the SIP.

5. Other key information GBNRTC received Interagency Consultation Group (ICG) approval on March 11, 2005 that use of its travel demand model was acceptable for air quality conformity modeling purposes and this model was employed to produce the detailed regional emissions analysis presented in Attachment E. In May 2008, minor adjustments to the base year network prompted a routine revalidation of model accuracy and resulted in a base year 2008 network insignificantly different than the 2005 model. In late July 2009 preparatory work was initiated to update the GBNRTC Long Range Transportation Plan (LRP) with a year 2035 planning horizon and to develop a complementary 2011‐2015 TIP representing the first five years of the LRP. The air quality conformity modeling efforts for the 2011‐2015 TIP and 2035 Long Range Plan Update were initiated on March 19, 2010 following several conference calls (3/3/10 & 3/4/10) and emails with ICG members which lead to concurrence on the GBNRTC approach. The analyses were completed on March 23, 2010.

Latest Emissions Model Emission factor tables developed by NYSDOT Environmental Science Bureau (ESB) utilizing Mobile 6.2 in April 2008 were used for this regional emissions analysis. These tables are based on the most recent

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modeling parameters established by the New York State Department of Environmental Conservation (NYSDEC). At its March 3, 2010 meeting the Interagency Consultation Group (ICG) concurred that these tables were appropriate for use in GBNRTC’s regional emissions analysis of its 2011‐2015 TIP and 2035 LRP Update. The specific modeling inputs and parameters used to develop the emissions factor tables for Erie and Niagara Counties are described below:

Evaluation Month ‐ The month of July (i.e., summertime conditions) was specified in the VOC and NOx emission factor input files.

Vehicle Registration Distribution ‐ Year 2002 registration data were used to model the 2002 base year. Year 2007 registration data were used to model all future analysis years.

Vehicle Mileage Accumulation Rate ‐ The EPA default mileage accumulation rate data (provided with the MOBILE6.2 model) were used for all analysis years.

I/M Programs ‐ NYSDEC inspection and maintenance (I/M) program data were used in the emission modeling. The NYSDEC file, NYVIPup.d, contains data for the Upstate New York I/M program. This file was used for modeling all future analysis years. No I/M program was in place in Erie and Niagara Counties in the 2002 base year.

Anti‐Tampering Program ‐ The anti‐tampering program data described in the table below was used to model all analysis years: ANTI-TAMPERING PROGRAM DATA Parameter

Years 2002 – 2035

Beginning calendar year

1984

Earliest model year

(Current yr – 25 yrs)

Final model year

(Current yr – 2 yrs)

Light-duty vehicles subject to inspection Heavy-duty vehicles subject to inspection

LDGV, LDGT1, LDGT2, LDGT3, LDGT4

Annual or biennial

Annual

Compliance rate

98%

Component inspections (see MOBILE6.2 User’s Guide)

All except tailpipe lead deposit test

HDGV2B, HDGV3, HDGV4

Fuel Program and Fuel RVP‐ Average and maximum fuel sulfur levels and fuel Reid Vapor Pressure (RVP) levels as provided by NYSDEC in Spring 2009 were specified in the input files (as listed in the below).

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FUEL SULFUR AND RVP LEVELS Erie and Niagara Counties Year(s)

Fuel Sulfur Levels (ppm) Average Maximum

Season

2002 2012-2035

Summer Winter Summer Winter

297.0 293.0 30.0 30.0

1000.0 1000.0 80.0 80.0

RVP (psi) 8.3 12.1 8.6 12.5

Gasoline fuel oxygenate data were also specified in the input files (as listed in the Table below). GASOLINE FUEL OXYGENATE DATA Dutchess and Orange Counties (Reformulated Gasoline Program)

MTBE MTBE

Oxygenate Content (% by volume) 1.74% 1.37%

Market Share Fraction of Oxygenate 1.00 1.00

Ethanol

5%

1.00

Year(s)

Season

Oxygenate Type

2002

Summer Winter

2012 2035

Summer/Winter

Temperature and Humidity ‐ For the summer season, county‐specific hourly temperatures and relative humidity levels as verified by NYSDEC in spring 2009 were used in the modeling. Diesel Sale Fractions ‐ Diesel sale fractions for NYSDOT Region 5 were used in the modeling. Year 2002 diesel fractions were used to model the 2002 base year. Year 2007 diesel sale fractions were used to model all future analysis years. Vehicle Start Distribution ‐ County‐specific vehicle start distribution data as received from NYSDEC in spring 2009 were used in the modeling. VMT by Hour ‐ County‐specific VMT data (allocated by hour of day) as verified by NYSDEC in spring 2009 were used in the modeling. Low‐Emission Vehicle (LEV) Standards ‐ The following files were used to model the effects of implementing California’s LEV I/LEV II programs in New York State: • L2CERT.d – Specifies the LEV II 50,000‐mile certification standards • L2EVAP.d – Specifies the phase‐in schedule for the LEV II evaporative emission standards • L2EXH.d – Specifies the phase‐in schedule for the LEV II exhaust emission standards

LEV2.d – Provides fleet penetration fractions for light-duty gasoline vehicles under the LEV I/LEV II programs

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Weighted emissions by vehicle type ‐ The emission factors for each individual vehicle type were weighted according to the NYSDOT Region 5 vehicle distributions by roadway functional class and then summed to obtain composite emission factors. NYSDOT developed the vehicle distribution data in 2004 using the most recently available traffic count data. These model inputs include the latest existing and future emissions control programs included in NYSDEC’s statewide mobile source emission inventory, and the latest MOBILE6.2 input assumptions for the existing and future vehicle fleets traveling on roadways in the GBNRTC planning area. The MOBILE6.2 input and external data files are available by contacting the NYSDOT ‐ ESB.

Consultation Candidate projects for the 2011‐2015 TIP were presented to the ICG along with proposed categorizations. There were no project changes to the 2035 LRP Update. The Interagency Consultation Group concurred with the majority of proposed project classifications in the GBNRTC 2011‐15 TIP at their March 3, 2010 meeting. Requested clarifications or revisions to the proposed classification of projects were resolved on March 17, 2010. The GBNRTC staff internally reviewed the exempt project carry‐over listing for the previous TIP and established none had changed classification status.

Transportation Demand Modeling Requirements 1. Classification of Projects in the TIP and Plan per 40 CFR Part 93.126 and 93.127 As part of the Interagency Review process the ICG concurred that the classification of projects into exempt and non‐exempt categories was completed in accordance with appropriate federal regulations. The exempt, non‐exempt, or regionally significant status of a project was based on the specific highway and transit project types defined by the criteria of the federal conformity rules and guidance.

2. The analysis years must be defined Analysis years were defined based upon the most recent conformity guidance provided by NYSDOT of the federal requirements. These analysis years were: ¾ 2015 – Intermediate year that incorporates 2011‐15 TIP and also satisfies requirement that first analysis year be no greater than 5 years from the date of the conformity determination ¾ 2025 – Intermediate Analysis Year required by CAAA (analysis years be not more than 10 years apart) ¾ 2035 – Long Range Transportation Plan Horizon Year

3. The baseline scenario must be defined The baseline scenario in all future analysis years consists of all in place or currently under construction highway and transit facilities, services, and activities as of May 2008.

4. The action scenario must be defined All projects in the 2011‐2015 TIP and 2035 LRP Update that could be accommodated in the modeling process were included in the GBNRTC conformity analysis “build” scenario networks. Therefore this analysis includes not only the effect of the non‐exempt and regionally significant projects but also a number of exempt projects that produce system performance benefits and can be modeled. GBNRTC

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reviewed all projects in the LRP Update to determine their year of implementation. The results of this review produced a listing of exempt/non‐exempt projects for each conformity analysis year. This project listing (see Attachments C and D) was reviewed and approved by the ICG.

Consistency of TIP and Plan None of the projects in the 2011‐2015 TIP are anticipated to interfere with the implementation of any project in the 2035 Long Range Plan Update, and vice versa. All projects in the 2011‐2015 TIP and 2035 LRP Update were consolidated into one regional emissions analysis that captures the effects of implementing all transportation system improvements in each applicable analysis year (2015, 2025, and 2035).

Regionally Significant Non‐Federal Projects Regionally significant transportation projects are those expected to impact area travel patterns and are expected to be financed with non‐federal revenue sources. As part of the conformity determination the GBNRTC identified and analyzed one such project as required by Sec. 93.105: Project / Resp. Agency

Construction / Operation Date / Details

Peace Bridge Buffalo & Ft. Erie Br. Auth.

EIS in process; early 2010; Modeled as widened from 3 to 7 lanes

“Exempt” / ”Nonexempt” Status Non-Exempt

The Peace Bridge Expansion Project identified in GBNRTC plans is modeled as a six‐lane crossing between the United States and Canada at the Buffalo‐Fort Erie location. Currently the existing bridge functions as three lanes, with a reversible center lane and processing facilities separated for general travel, secure passenger traveler (NEXUS) and secure commercial vehicles (FAST). The currently proposed configuration for the project would function as six lanes, as a new span would be constructed parallel to the existing span, allowing one span to carry traffic into Canada and one into the United States. The existing three‐lane span would carry two lanes of general travel vehicles, and the third a combined NEXUS/FAST lane for secure passenger and commercial vehicles. The new span would have four actual travel lanes, with two indicated as general travel, and the secure passenger vehicles (NEXUS) and secure commercial vehicles (FAST) travelling in separate lanes. It was the professional judgment of the staff that modeling as a 6‐lane configuration would most accurately reflect the functional capacity when operational.

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Regional Emissions Analysis – Summary of Results POLLUTANT EMISSIONS Tons / Day

VOC

NOx

(Tons /day) (Tons/day)

2015 Build

10.198

12.833

2015 No-Build

10.351

12.905

2025 Build

6.566

6.396

2025 No-Build

6.754

6.441

2035 Build

7.142

5.089

2035 No-Build

7.588

5.190

The detailed regional emissions analysis is presented in Attachment E.

Public Involvement A specific public involvement plan was generated for the 2035 LRP Update and the 2011‐2015 TIP. Attachment F contains the approved plan that guided public engaged activities. The draft conformity determination update and regional emissions analysis were subject to public involvement and review. A public notification was published in the Buffalo News announcing the availability of the draft report for public review and comment for a twenty‐day period. The review period ran from April 8, 2010 through April 28, 2010. An electronic version of the full report was posted on the GBNRTC website (www.gbnrtc.org) for viewing and/or downloading; and a printed version was also available by visiting the GBNRTC offices. In addition, two public meetings were conducted on April 13th and 15th. Comments were encouraged through the website, by mail or at the public meetings. At the close of the public comment period, all responses were directly addressed and documented. A public involvement summary report has been prepared and has been attached as Attachment F.

Evidence of MPO Resolution GBNRTC will include the applicable signed Policy Board resolutions as Attachment A in the final documentation.

Statement of Conformity with the SIP No goals, directives, recommendations or projects of the TIP and Plan contradict requirements or commitments of the SIP or the intent of the Clean Air Act or other applicable federal and state regulations. Existing GBNRTC LRP and TIP processes also provide for expeditious implementation of any Transportation Control Measures that may be identified through any future revision of the SIP. Until an 8‐hour ozone SIP is in place, the 1‐hour SIP is still the applicable implementation plan. By passing the emissions tests prescribed by 40 CFR Part 93.119(b)(2) and 93.109(d) the GBNRTC regional emissions analysis demonstrates the 2011‐2015 TIP and 2035 LRP Update conform to the applicable SIP.

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ATTACHMENT A MPO Resolutions 1) Resolution 2009-20: Reclassifying 2030 Forecasts as Horizon Year 2035 2) Resolution 2010-08: COMBINED REGIONAL EMISSIONS ANALYSIS AND TRANSPORTATION CONFORMITY DETERMINATION UPDATE 2035 Long Range Transportation Plan Update & 2011-2015 Transportation Improvement Program

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ATTACHMENT B 1. Year 2035 Demographics Development Memorandum 2. Approved 2035 Population, Household and Employment Forecasts

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MEMORADUM

Year 2035 Demographics Development B Courtney to GBNRTC Planning and Coordination Committee

From: Barbara Courtney

Date: November 24, 2009

To: PCC Subject: Reclassifying Forecasts: 2030 to 2035

The Economic/Demographic Review Team was advised of the need to extend the planning horizon year for the region’s forecasts, to be in compliance with USDOT and EPA requirements for transportation planning and updating the Long Range Transportation Plan (LRP) in 2010. The Review Team was provided with a rationale for reclassifying the current 2030 forecasts as 2035 (see attached). 5 of 7 RT members have responded to date and have indicated that they are in concurrence with the reclassification for LRP Update purposes. They have also indicated that they are looking forward to the in-depth analysis –and reformulation of forecasts – that will occur with the release of the 2010 Census data. The Review Team was also given the opportunity to make TAZ adjustments (within municipal caps) to account for any development unforeseen at the time of the last forecast update in 2006. Thus far, only the City of Buffalo has made TAZ adjustments to the population and household forecasts, to account for new residential patterns that are likely to occur with the development of UB’s Downtown Campus. These revisions are attached; the revised TAZs are highlighted in yellow. GBNRTC staff is looking for PCC approval of the reclassification of 2030 forecasts as 2035, and their approval of the revised TAZs to reflect the impacts of “UB 2020”, for use in the 2010 LRP update. If there are any questions about the attached, please contact me.

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Approved 2035 Population, Household and Employment Forecasts POPULATION

TAZ

1990

2000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22

0 0 29 39 36 519 0 1,139 1,507 1,570 236 383 152 17 163 136 0 57 0 39 170 34 6,226 328,123

8 0 0 106 0 1,364 0 1,267 1,912 1,363 136 419 98 23 68 125 0 44 0 4 34 1 6,972 292,648

8 204 73 1,454 1,427 1,891 1,513 307 718 402 212 283 676 273 448 373 453 107 190 11,012 310,706

0 0 0 39 36 0 0 765 714 768 215 205 45 2 15 49 0 57 0 10 138 0 3,058 135,595

3 0 0 60 37 0 6 1,355 0 851 837 155 648 118 240 1 64 10 8 49 36 80 0 37 0 2 1 19 1 2,981 1,637 122,720 11,126

23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31

3,621 3,977 10,254 2,431 3,429 3,788 3,269 2,885 2,496 36,150 328,123

2,547 3,485 8,230 2,028 3,326 3,667 3,059 2,765 2,395 31,502 292,648

2,492 3,308 8,331 2,127 4,069 3,964 3,581 2,890 2,666 33,428 310,706

1,568 1,596 3,945 921 1,912 2,074 2,316 1,437 1,221 16,990 135,595

1,119 10 1,303 412 3,176 263 817 1,846 327 2,041 134 2,155 47 1,276 1,336 289 15,069 1,482 122,720 11,126

32 33 34 35 36 37

4,358 5,016 2,286 1,165 987 1,297 15,109 328,123

3,596 4,144 1,863 1,056 949 967 12,575 292,648

4,261 4,242 2,392 1,200 998 1,099 14,192 310,706

1,903 2,017 975 533 428 680 6,536 135,595

1,560 33 1,764 233 800 115 424 41 443 438 6 5,429 428 122,720 11,126

38 39 40 41 42 43

5,971 100 1,567 413 4,850 0 12,901 328,123

5,805 216 1,182 653 3,826 0 11,682 292,648

6,527 250 1,370 1,065 4,260 3,302 16,774 310,706

2,797 59 545 311 1,852 0 5,564 135,595

2,819 61 77 487 8 372 1,567 0 5,322 69 122,720 11,126

DIST 00 BFLO

DIST 10 BFLO

DIST 11 BFLO

DIST 12 BFLO

2035

1990

HOUSEHOLDS Group Qtrs. Persons Pop. est GQP per HH Est. pphh 2000 2000 2035 2000 for 2035

42 1,365

175

9 91

1,683 11,436 10 423 270 336 138 48 297 1,522 11,436 34 239 118 42 6 439 11,436 63 8

71 11,436

EMPLOYMENT

2035

1990

2000

2035

2.67 0.00 0.00 1.15 0.00 1.50 0.00 1.49 2.10 2.10 1.15 1.74 1.53 1.50 1.39 1.25 0.00 1.19 0.00 1.50 1.79 1.00 1.79 2.29

2.67 0.00 0.00 1.16 2.21 2.07 0.00 1.50 2.11 2.12 1.31 1.79 1.63 1.71 1.55 1.33 2.22 1.29 2.22 1.60 2.06 1.28 1.71 2.22

3 140 33 43 951 812 714 235 401 247 119 183 440 123 346 168 283 52 149 5,442 134,851

4,779 5,682 2,570 1,519 10,450 10,662 347 1,341 446 543 2,453 1,343 731 607 1,590 1,439 311 4,849 2,831 3,002 6,390 2,700 66,585 229,455

3,472 4,075 2,302 772 7,434 9,256 742 1,083 832 774 2,227 1,155 1,213 825 876 1,451 306 3,367 3,267 3,363 3,933 3,080 55,805 191,851

3,472 4,660 2,302 1,505 7,134 8,956 742 1,083 1,993 1,623 2,227 1,155 1,213 825 876 1,707 601 3,190 3,796 4,726 2,983 3,451 60,220 194,557

2.27 2.36 2.51 2.48 1.62 1.73 1.40 2.17 1.58 1.99 2.29

2.24 2.33 2.47 2.47 1.60 1.70 1.38 2.13 1.56 1.93 2.22

1,107 1,237 3,265 862 2,330 2,254 2,557 1,360 1,517 16,489 134,851

999 2,499 1,603 464 5,469 1,166 5,977 845 1,590 20,612 229,455

398 2,688 967 392 4,338 1,087 5,952 480 1,591 17,893 191,851

375 2,535 912 369 4,591 1,025 5,415 452 1,201 16,875 194,557

2.28 2.22 2.19 2.39 2.14 2.19 2.24 2.29

2.22 2.16 2.13 2.33 2.09 2.13 2.18 2.22

1,905 1,849 1,070 498 477 513 6,312 134,851

1,933 420 6,734 692 1,252 1,395 12,426 229,455

1,277 1,275 7,123 328 663 1,112 11,778 191,851

1,284 1,082 7,414 355 2,471 1,105 13,711 194,557

2.04 2.81 2.41 1.76 2.44 0.00 2.18 2.29

1.99 2.72 2.35 1.71 2.40 2.20 2.13 2.22

3,255 92 580 622 1,778 1,500 7,827 134,851

1,842 558 2,762 1,787 2,229 1,585 10,763 229,455

1,815 817 3,004 1,127 2,420 1,028 10,211 191,851

1,441 884 2,481 1,280 2,519 1,775 10,380 194,557

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Approved 2035 Population, Household and Employment Forecasts POPULATION

1990

2000

1990

2000

44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59

2,437 8,138 8,141 8,513 2,956 4,219 2,734 16,048 4,229 748 4,189 2,533 5,711 4,298 11,188 2,802 88,884 328,123

2,061 7,738 7,451 7,868 2,112 4,266 2,485 15,239 4,031 716 3,747 2,605 4,999 4,445 10,688 2,739 83,190 292,648

2,023 7,982 7,486 7,975 2,366 4,325 2,518 15,446 4,085 725 3,798 2,717 5,143 4,786 10,833 2,776 84,984 310,706

999 3,758 3,362 3,893 125 1,874 1,191 7,023 1,931 332 1,666 719 2,202 2,097 4,587 1,299 37,058 135,595

827 19 3,491 14 2,842 44 3,622 10 95 1,864 1,829 7 1,140 10 7,078 27 1,911 109 282 93 1,661 160 724 786 1,986 281 2,034 654 4,398 16 1,281 66 35,201 4,160 122,720 11,126

20 14 45 10 1,917 7 10 28 112 96 164 809 289 673 16 68 4,278 11,436

2.47 2.21 2.61 2.17 2.61 2.33 2.17 2.15 2.05 2.21 2.16 2.51 2.38 1.86 2.43 2.09 2.25 2.29

2.43 2.15 2.54 2.11 2.54 2.26 2.11 2.09 1.99 2.15 2.10 2.43 2.31 1.82 2.36 2.03 2.18 2.22

823 3,698 2,926 3,778 177 1,908 1,189 7,383 1,993 293 1,732 784 2,104 2,263 4,589 1,335 36,975 134,851

2,067 3,701 3,045 1,282 5,647 5,674 3,954 3,318 2,566 244 4,222 3,424 1,558 6,480 2,198 676 50,056 229,455

2,110 4,252 2,023 1,004 3,512 5,661 3,092 2,205 1,864 169 3,515 2,579 1,483 4,097 2,318 537 40,421 191,851

2,035 4,101 1,951 969 3,387 5,460 2,982 2,127 1,797 163 3,390 1,578 1,430 3,951 2,236 518 38,075 194,557

60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67

9,649 6,703 6,570 7,588 3,947 8,479 9,162 1,670 53,768 328,123

9,051 7,119 6,313 6,458 3,598 8,054 8,352 1,536 50,481 292,648

9,198 7,322 6,452 6,531 3,608 8,161 8,466 1,572 51,310 310,706

3,821 2,530 2,634 2,734 1,344 3,457 3,568 69 20,157 135,595

3,719 197 2,690 252 2,399 2,473 90 1,264 362 3,234 4 3,322 8 77 1,300 19,178 2,213 122,720 11,126

202 259 93 372 4 8 1,337 2,275 11,436

2.38 2.55 2.63 2.58 2.56 2.49 2.51 3.06 2.52 2.29

2.31 2.48 2.55 2.51 2.51 2.42 2.44 2.97 2.45 2.22

3,896 2,853 2,528 2,565 1,291 3,367 3,460 79 20,039 134,851

2,920 1,599 897 4,209 3,553 2,718 803 8,019 24,718 229,455

2,100 1,441 573 3,848 3,424 1,872 1,182 5,513 19,953 191,851

2,043 1,402 557 3,742 3,330 1,820 1,149 5,363 19,406 194,557

68 69 70 71 72 73 74

4,606 5,256 8,459 6,285 11,540 2,396 11,341 49,883 328,123

3,771 3,915 7,957 4,466 7,979 2,481 7,656 38,225 292,648

3,602 4,253 8,102 4,272 7,697 2,507 7,829 38,262 310,706

1,780 1,899 3,490 2,493 4,574 999 4,925 20,160 135,595

1,508 63 1,484 113 3,040 34 1,883 7 3,132 54 1,033 35 3,267 16 15,347 322 122,720 11,126

65 116 35 7 56 36 16 331 11,436

2.46 2.56 2.61 2.37 2.53 2.37 2.34 2.47 2.29

2.41 2.51 2.54 2.31 2.47 2.32 2.28 2.41 2.22

1,468 1,648 3,172 1,843 3,092 1,063 3,430 15,716 134,851

1,669 3,075 1,849 1,748 2,117 1,035 1,826 13,319 229,455

1,546 3,022 1,408 1,494 883 1,154 1,045 10,552 191,851

1,257 2,653 1,136 1,311 775 1,113 1,017 9,262 194,557

75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82

579 5,674 9,654 2,633 1,657 572 5,795 1,268 27,832 328,123

515 3,890 8,926 2,230 1,528 437 5,494 1,100 24,120 292,648

546 3,697 9,298 2,058 1,363 463 5,826 949 24,200 310,706

213 2,768 4,005 1,102 699 206 2,567 507 12,067 135,595

221 1,773 5 4,003 8 1,010 7 609 186 2,513 4 442 10,757 24 122,720 11,126

24 11,436

2.33 2.19 2.23 2.20 2.51 2.35 2.18 2.49 2.24 2.29

2.26 2.13 2.16 2.15 2.48 2.28 2.12 2.48 2.18 2.22

242 1,733 4,293 955 549 203 2,750 382 11,107 134,851

1,701 5,283 3,060 2,185 3,629 3,678 867 678 21,081 229,455

1,212 3,744 1,457 1,971 2,718 2,672 1,026 721 15,521 191,851

1,125 3,476 1,353 1,830 2,524 2,481 953 670 14,412 194,557

83 84 85 86

9,997 3,836 6,600 8,596 29,029 328,123

8,963 3,366 5,930 8,129 26,388 292,648

9,402 3,531 6,220 8,526 27,679 310,706

3,756 1,418 2,476 3,205 10,855 135,595

3,706 140 1,390 9 2,366 26 3,054 603 10,516 778 122,720 11,126

144 9 27 620 800 11,436

2.38 2.42 2.50 2.46 2.44 2.29

2.31 2.34 2.42 2.39 2.36 2.22

4,010 1,504 2,560 3,309 11,383 134,851

1,085 982 1,763 1,961 5,791 229,455

918 488 1,369 2,905 5,680 191,851

890 473 1,327 2,818 5,508 194,557

87 88 89 90 91

2,519 4,939 879 4 0 8,341 328,123

2,177 4,411 925 0 0 7,513 292,648

2,964 5,003 898 8,865 310,706

915 1,914 321 0 0 3,150 135,595

838 1,746 13 336 0 0 2,920 13 122,720 11,126

2.60 2.52 2.75 0.00 0.00 2.57 2.29

2.51 2.44 2.67 2.48 2.48 2.49 2.22

1,178 2,047 336 3,561 134,851

929 2,394 216 69 496 4,104 229,455

1,358 1,092 330 25 1,232 4,037 191,851

1,479 1,130 732 639 2728 6,708 194,557

DIST 20 BFLO

DIST 21 BFLO

DIST 22 BFLO

DIST 23 BFLO

DIST 24 BFLO

DIST 25 BFLO

EMPLOYMENT

TAZ

2035

1990

HOUSEHOLDS Group Qtrs. Persons Pop. est GQP per HH Est. pphh 2035 2000 for 2035 2000 2000

5 8 7

4

13

13 11,436

2035

GBNRTC Conformity Determination (2011-2015 TIP & 2035 LRP) – Final May 2010

2035

p 17


Approved 2035 Population, Household and Employment Forecasts POPULATION

TAZ

1990

2000

2,035

1990

140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157

5,363 4,924 4,859 1,621 3,835 6,651 674 2,236 2,291 19 118 3,830 441 41 3,755 2,482 4,253 1,148 48,541 99,314

5,370 4,855 4,581 1,747 3,363 6,635 595 2,149 2,029 5 209 3,775 423 34 3,448 2,348 3,820 1,176 46,562 94,019

5,399 4,881 4,605 1,756 3,382 6,671 598 2,161 2,039 5 211 3,796 425 34 3,467 2,360 3,840 1,183 46,813 99,306

2,443 2,044 2,131 748 1,565 2,853 290 1,020 881 7 67 1,635 162 16 1,797 1,024 1,805 430 20,918 39,669

2,400 2,064 2,033 711 1,470 2,775 272 962 869 3 83 1,680 186 14 1,827 1,049 1,681 558 20,637 40,045

532 4,662 697 3,370 1,628 2,058 3,052 786 1,850 67 527 851 4,754 529 25,363 47,830

544 4,582 788 3,082 1,560 1,891 2,966 774 1,771 63 468 826 4,525 598 24,438 45,920

586 4,932 849 3,318 1,679 2,036 3,193 833 1,907 68 504 889 4,872 644 26,310 50,391

247 1,842 391 1,333 600 957 1,348 227 700 33 179 346 1,582 218 10,003 17,271

259 1,997 403 1,250 617 931 1,337 284 724 20 192 347 1,805 250 10,416 18,328

4,990 1,326 3,485 6,466 1,133 3,185 0

4,563 1,122 3,306 5,945 994 3,134 0

4,623 1,121 3,627 6,281 888 2,998 -

2,297 487 1,244 2,859 376 1,188 0

20,585

19,064

19,538

128 2,296 2,236 996 1,216 1,579 574 9,025 17,561

239 1,907 2,896 1,140 1,632 1,439 520 9,773 18,621

303 2,471 3,622 1,547 2,275 1,926 659 12,803 23,772

DIST 33 CHEEK 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 DIST 34 W SEN 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 DIST 35 LACK 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 DIST 40 GR ISL

HOUSEHOLDS Group Qtrs. Persons Pop. est GQP per HH Est. pphh 2000 2000 2035 2000 for 2035 153

106

2

3

239

238

6

8

12

17

412 952

101 473 1,347

56 92

62 101

157

173

305 583

336 641

2,094 477 1,332 2,760 348 1,181 0

23 8 172 34

8,451

8,192

73 835 779 369 379 677 192 3,304 6,300

91 710 978 432 556 643 185 3,595 6,898

EMPLOYMENT

2,035

1990

2000

2035

2.17 2.35 2.25 2.46 2.29 2.30 2.19 2.23 2.33 1.67 2.52 2.25 2.27 2.43 1.89 2.23 2.27 2.11 2.24 2.32

2.10 2.27 2.18 2.37 2.21 2.23 2.11 2.15 2.25 1.67 2.42 2.17 2.20 2.43 1.82 2.15 2.20 2.04 2.16 2.24

2,526 2,151 2,119 742 1,533 2,896 284 1,002 906 3 87 1,752 193 14 1,905 1,092 1,752 532 21,489 43,641

1,916 819 370 733 478 1,784 3,779 562 2,586 1,952 260 983 618 618 516 1,337 975 594 20,882 52,446

1,195 759 487 330 778 912 6,735 828 2,562 1,243 238 660 1,342 917 620 1,128 823 741 22,298 56,474

1,162 738 474 321 756 887 7,244 840 2,694 1,555 460 642 1,463 892 603 1,097 800 721 23,349 58,935

2.10 2.27 1.73 2.47 2.53 2.03 2.22 2.17 2.45 3.15 2.44 2.38 2.51 2.39 2.32 2.47

2.03 2.19 1.67 2.38 2.44 1.96 2.14 2.10 2.36 3.09 2.36 2.30 2.42 2.31 2.24 2.39

289 2,224 448 1,393 687 1,038 1,490 314 807 22 214 387 2,012 279 11,604 20,789

53 2,959 831 128 320 653 1,261 1,546 364 1,670 259 1,396 1,478 0 12,919 20,248

168 3,226 2,114 183 138 592 1,796 1,969 126 902 920 1,848 1,185 68 15,235 21,826

176 3,265 2,175 193 145 618 1,825 2,023 133 950 969 1,925 1,237 72 15,706 22,977

25 9 190 37

2.17 2.34 2.35 2.14 2.86 2.65 0.00

2.10 2.27 2.28 2.08 2.78 2.58 0.00

2,188 491 1,506 3,010 321 1,167 -

1,154 169 1,711 1,352 636 1,777 477

1,697 171 1,824 1,076 1,943 1,314 650

1,741 95 1,968 1,067 2,108 1,425 1,005

237

261

2.30

2.22

8,683

7,276

8,675

9,409

85

93

10

11

95 103

104 113

2.63 2.57 2.96 2.64 2.92 2.24 2.81 2.69 2.68

2.55 2.49 2.87 2.56 2.83 2.17 2.73 2.61 2.59

119 954 1,260 604 799 886 241 4,863 9,110

250 1,399 133 179 539 890 38 3,429 6,181

278 807 219 64 713 1,375 108 3,564 6,397

281 825 219 67 727 1,381 113 3,613 6,700

GBNRTC Conformity Determination (2011-2015 TIP & 2035 LRP) – Final May 2010

p 18


Approved 2035 Population, Household and Employment Forecasts POPULATION

HOUSEHOLDS Group Persons Qtrs. Pop. est GQP per HH Est. pphh 2000 for 2035 2035 2000 2000

TAZ

1990

2000

2,035

1990

186 187 188 189 190 DIST 41.2 TONA C

6,154 1,808 3,351 2,629 3,342

5,615 1,738 3,156 2,480 3,147

5,593 1,679 2,974 2,622 3,232

2,408 700 1,310 1,089 1,362

2,365 696 1,270 1,056 1,354

9

17,284

16,136

16,100

6,869

6,741

1,027 5,133 5,034 3,531 4,023 1,737 3,804 6,073 1,957 2,670

668 5,067 4,578 3,328 3,834 1,916 3,845 5,535 1,883 2,608

698 5,292 4,780 3,476 4,004 2,000 4,015 5,780 1,966 2,724

537 2,137 2,076 1,376 1,624 690 1,437 1,970 705 1,033

452 2,109 1,978 1,362 1,669 751 1,560 1,983 734 1,073

34,989

33,262

34,735

13,585

13,671

201 202 203 204 205 206 207 208 209 210 211

84 4,542 1,196 0 0 0 2,259 397 2,588 2,287 2,917 16,270 111,711

65 4,344 975 0 0 0 2,219 478 2,549 2,459 3,947 17,036 116,510

79 5,233 1,045 2,550 552 2,831 3,466 4,784 20,540 137,756

38 1,552 370 0 0 0 743 165 1,021 893 1,349 6,131 41,252

27 1,629 353 0 0 0 779 190 1,024 970 1,716 6,688 45,076

212 213 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 223

364 466 79 3,206 1,182 534 2,261 1,798 2,083 5,089 4,179 1,859 23,100 111,711

279 513 67 3,328 1,454 763 2,581 2,868 2,356 5,365 4,142 2,291 26,007 116,510

364 1,589 1,451 4,283 1,873 1,149 3,318 3,696 2,957 5,783 4,534 2,945 33,942 137,756

131 156 28 1,196 420 274 720 534 661 1,565 1,328 616 7,629 41,252

112 186 22 1,344 497 361 848 942 784 1,749 1,497 736 9,078 45,076

224 225 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233 234 235 236 237

2,918 4,875 1,659 2,616 7,989 1,156 568 507 733 681 81 2,658 2,925 2,693 32,059 111,711

3,993 4,589 1,532 2,516 7,604 974 815 743 932 618 545 2,759 2,786 2,635 33,041 116,510

4,659 4,865 1,680 2,723 8,213 1,058 1,097 1,219 1,058 702 620 3,023 3,049 2,717 36,683 137,756

1,098 1,799 683 897 2,861 331 279 151 311 247 42 1,202 1,337 1,093 12,331 41,252

1,869 1,829 683 931 2,984 320 390 232 355 248 294 1,228 1,294 1,087 13,744 45,076

191 192 193 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 DIST 41.1 N TONA

DIST 42 AMH

DIST 43 AMH

DIST 44 AMH

EMPLOYMENT

2,035

1990

2000

2035

10

2.37 2.50 2.49 2.35 2.32

2.30 2.42 2.41 2.27 2.24

2,438 696 1,238 1,155 1,438

3,268 120 1,413 4,737 1,736

1,321 188 1,668 3,754 1,160

1,326 189 1,675 3,769 1,165

9

10

2.39

2.31

6,965

11,274

8,091

8,123

89

98

10

11

1.48 2.36 2.31 2.44 2.30 2.55 2.46 2.79 2.57 2.42

1.42 2.27 2.23 2.35 2.21 2.46 2.37 2.69 2.47 2.33

486 2,268 2,127 1,465 1,795 807 1,678 2,132 790 1,154

1,518 2,780 252 1,657 1,134 236 1,426 538 1,256 1,488

1,639 1,972 186 922 968 267 1,046 703 1,037 1,016

1,758 2,124 205 967 1,018 395 1,254 775 1,144 1,121

99

109

2.43

2.36

14,702

12,286

9,756

10,761

12

14

12 13 20

14 15 23

672 729 7,397

789 855 11,650

2.41 2.66 2.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.83 2.45 2.47 2.54 1.91 2.44 2.42

2.47 2.56 2.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.72 2.36 2.37 2.44 1.83 2.34 2.34

32 2,037 393 931 227 1,183 1,419 2,181 8,403 53,846

28 312 0 94 122 5 215 7,874 354 72 2,803 11,878 70,288

413 1,706 150 0 0 0 213 7,240 623 168 5,848 16,361 94,393

507 3,141 242 0 0 0 218 7,821 645 170 7,411 20,155 108,355

2.49 2.76 3.05 2.48 2.93 2.11 3.03 3.04 2.99 3.07 2.77 3.10 2.86 2.42

2.43 2.66 2.94 2.38 2.82 2.04 2.91 2.93 2.87 2.95 2.66 2.98 2.75 2.34

150 598 494 1,798 665 564 1,139 1,260 1,024 1,959 1,703 984 12,338 53,846

34 0 68 280 39 6 104 215 2,500 469 997 1,162 5,873 70,288

17 66 95 326 90 120 1,214 842 858 648 627 495 5,398 94,393

17 68 162 502 92 193 3,817 973 1,132 658 642 509 8,765 108,355

1.87 2.51 2.24 2.68 2.54 2.55 1.78 2.61 2.52 2.49 1.79 2.07 2.15 2.16 2.29 2.42

1.80 2.41 2.16 2.58 2.44 2.46 1.72 2.52 2.43 2.41 1.73 1.99 2.07 2.07 2.20 2.34

2,296 2,017 776 1,045 3,354 363 565 427 419 291 347 1,403 1,471 1,165 15,939 53,846

1,701 865 981 423 1,062 1,360 1,460 1,447 675 2,741 802 3,492 6,736 2,167 25,913 70,288

3,860 775 768 310 1,790 1,531 5,594 2,612 458 8,352 4,021 3,372 2,444 2,092 37,979 94,393

4,441 820 776 313 1,975 1,602 6,706 2,725 716 9,170 4,304 3,407 2,469 2,156 41,580 108,355

2 10 12

14

8 32 7,397

9 23 11,650

500

522

22 24 158 122 137 38

23 25 165 127 143 40

18 218

19 227

289 1,526 7,397

301 1,592 11,650

GBNRTC Conformity Determination (2011-2015 TIP & 2035 LRP) – Final May 2010

p 19


Approved 2035 Population, Household and Employment Forecasts POPULATION

HOUSEHOLDS Group Qtrs. Persons Pop. est GQP per HH Est. pphh 2000 2000 2035 2000 for 2035

TAZ

1990

2000

2,035

1990

238 239 240 241 242 243 244 245 246 247 248 249 250 251 252 253

3,112 40 87 1,049 149 4,155 4,304 3,405 5,810 1,853 1,625 1,489 3,266 3,795 15,288 1,346 50,773 99,314

2,876 45 45 1,171 108 3,486 3,953 2,994 5,444 1,790 1,344 815 4,062 3,440 10,885 4,999 47,457 94,019

3,181 50 50 1,295 119 3,856 4,373 3,312 5,724 1,980 1,487 902 4,791 3,806 12,038 5,529 52,493 99,306

1,183 27 39 581 51 1,516 1,726 1,192 2,122 809 606 657 1,022 1,318 5,284 618 18,751 39,669

1,207 22 22 720 40 1,531 1,683 1,216 2,187 762 567 240 1,655 1,317 4,098 2,141 19,408 40,045

254 255 256 257 258 259 260 261 262

2,999 1,444 1,744 2,155 2,124 3,249 870 3,505 4,377 22,467 47,830

2,751 1,426 1,744 2,325 1,996 3,184 147 3,873 4,036 21,482 45,920

3,084 1,598 1,955 2,606 2,237 3,570 165 4,342 4,524 24,081 50,391

987 510 552 750 793 1,159 11 1,045 1,461 7,268 17,271

1,057 549 593 908 793 1,145 19 1,358 1,490 7,912 18,328

263 264 265 266 267 268 269

1,313 548 695 1,120 1,739 1,541 1,557 8,513 24,632

1,974 629 884 1,084 1,761 1,533 1,623 9,488 27,637

2,672 851 1,197 1,467 2,384 2,075 2,197 12,843 33,876

644 180 204 402 719 632 480 3,261 8,832

957 219 289 421 789 629 585 3,889 10,277

1,628 1,454 549 533 1,303 500 708 914 922 539 9,050 24,632

1,497 1,471 506 424 1,620 527 694 1,117 1,246 532 9,634 27,637

1,728 1,697 584 490 1,869 608 801 1,288 1,437 614 11,116 33,876

534 540 207 174 509 180 325 422 307 180 3,378 8,832

535 607 189 177 651 245 302 453 353 181 3,693 10,277

DIST 45 CHEEK

DIST 46 W SEN

DIST 47 ORCH PK 270 271 272 273 274 275 276 277 278 279 DIST 48 ORCH PK

10 2 3

54 3 4

25

35

271 14 9

343 20 113 96 206 874 1,347

206 540 952

1 11 166 81

13 182 89

19 278 583

21 305 641

16 22

19 26

3

4

41 697

49 816

12

14

17 16

20 19

310

362

355 697

415 816

EMPLOYMENT

2,035

1990

2000

2035

2.38 2.05 2.05 1.63 2.70 2.27 2.35 2.46 2.49 2.32 2.37 2.27 2.45 2.61 2.66 2.24 2.42 2.32

2.30 2.00 2.00 1.57 2.61 2.19 2.27 2.38 2.40 2.24 2.29 2.19 2.36 2.52 2.57 2.16 2.33 2.24

1,384 25 25 826 46 1,737 1,930 1,394 2,384 870 650 257 2,023 1,470 4,664 2,467 22,152 43,641

1,503 4,102 1,403 292 3,577 36 1,990 3,615 713 2,226 6,615 1,085 132 303 1,871 2,101 31,564 52,446

1,603 4,237 1,265 1,143 1,969 65 2,659 3,463 842 1,851 6,147 2,152 1,116 688 576 4,400 34,176 56,474

1,559 4,520 1,479 1,346 1,915 63 2,799 3,367 819 1,800 6,302 2,092 1,322 900 560 4,743 35,586 58,935

2.60 2.60 2.94 2.56 2.50 2.64 3.47 2.85 2.70 2.68 2.47

2.51 2.51 2.84 2.47 2.42 2.55 3.30 2.76 2.60 2.59 2.39

1,227 637 688 1,054 920 1,331 23 1,576 1,729 9,185 20,789

579 837 945 344 724 749 2,244 397 509 7,329 20,248

548 1,775 1,000 634 1,051 544 300 489 250 6,591 21,826

572 2,311 1,023 662 1,050 568 313 511 261 7,271 22,977

2.06 2.80 2.98 2.57 2.23 2.43 2.77 2.43 2.62

2.00 2.72 2.90 2.50 2.17 2.36 2.70 2.36 2.53

1,333 306 404 586 1,099 876 815 5,419 13,037

1,109 18 67 604 4,721 422 38 6,979 12,299

1,440 126 122 567 1,871 593 49 4,768 16,562

1,633 134 130 603 1,891 631 52 5,074 17,628

2.80 2.40 2.68 2.30 2.46 2.15 2.30 2.47 2.65 2.94 2.51 2.62

2.72 2.34 2.61 2.24 2.40 2.09 2.23 2.40 2.58 2.86 2.44 2.53

635 720 224 210 772 291 359 537 417 215 4,380 13,037

268 42 575 1,022 905 1,061 332 36 220 161 4,623 12,299

804 93 1,891 1,397 1,901 2,596 582 201 244 450 10,159 16,562

806 99 2,163 1,637 1,923 2,664 619 214 260 469 10,854 17,628

GBNRTC Conformity Determination (2011-2015 TIP & 2035 LRP) – Final May 2010

p 20


Approved 2035 Population, Household and Employment Forecasts POPULATION

HOUSEHOLDS Group Qtrs. Persons Pop. est GQP per HH Est. pphh 2000 2000 2035 2000 for 2035

TAZ

1990

2000

2,035

1990

280 281 282 283 284 285 286 287 288 289 290 291 292

2,867 2,900 994 958 0 1,815 2,145 2,440 20 976 591 990 5,223 21,919 53,735

2,588 2,723 809 993 5 1,997 1,933 2,679 67 1,210 820 1,112 5,199 22,135 56,259

2,911 3,064 910 1,117 6 2,246 2,174 3,014 75 1,361 923 1,251 5,851 24,903 63,241

1,064 1,201 425 347 0 673 830 912 11 343 159 509 1,797 8,271 20,085

1,065 1,202 327 391 3 765 833 1,051 28 455 238 624 2,029 9,011 21,999

293 294 295 296 297 298 299 300 301 302 303 304 305

606 903 0 2,272 5,091 2,958 2,190 3,007 6,230 7,824 3,476 1,527 2,731 38,815 61,840

597 462 0 1,862 4,574 2,458 1,803 2,663 5,617 6,713 2,784 1,545 2,222 33,300 55,593

703 664 1,885 4,592 2,535 1,869 2,859 5,636 6,727 2,941 1,688 2,378 34,477 57,373

393 477 0 1,040 2,294 1,176 1,050 1,507 2,887 2,790 1,296 644 1,014 16,568 25,885

364 210 0 902 2,149 1,063 790 1,270 2,685 2,588 1,121 569 869 14,580 24,099

1,268 55 1,025 0 1,822 56 849 1,252 5,471 3,192 333 2,862 3,438 1,402 23,025 61,840

1,290 10 1,037 0 1,622 203 840 1,095 5,051 2,882 520 2,694 3,054 1,995 22,293 55,593

1,315 9 1,076 1,678 241 891 1,131 5,107 2,915 590 2,738 3,126 2,079 22,896 57,373

563 44 418 0 754 34 316 438 2,294 1,220 172 1,090 1,414 560 9,317 25,885

595 4 444 0 702 89 302 433 2,163 1,234 285 1,085 1,357 826 9,519 24,099

DIST 49 HMBG

DIST 50 N FALLS 306 307 308 309 310 311 312 313 314 315 316 317 318 319 DIST 51 N FALLS

2

2

128

154

7

8

321

386

181 639 969

218 768 1,166

4 38

4 42

157 113 204 7

173 124 223 8

126 0 649 806

139 713 886

11 139

12 153

7

8

157 806

173 886

EMPLOYMENT

2,035

1990

2000

2035

2.43 2.26 2.47 2.21 1.67 2.61 2.32 2.55 2.14 2.66 2.10 1.78 2.47 2.39 2.51

2.35 2.19 2.39 2.14 1.50 2.52 2.24 2.46 2.09 2.57 2.03 1.72 2.39 2.31 2.43

1,239 1,399 380 450 4 890 969 1,223 32 529 265 726 2,356 10,462 25,531

419 1,485 1,129 310 2,876 110 578 3,412 31 108 666 330 972 12,426 25,020

1,902 1,879 400 431 2,795 480 502 3,605 440 664 806 215 1,908 16,027 29,248

2,046 2,122 630 664 2,507 616 540 3,880 473 714 867 231 2,053 17,343 31,467

1.63 2.02 0.00 2.06 2.13 2.16 2.14 1.94 2.09 2.59 2.48 2.49 2.56 2.24 2.27

1.57 1.95 0.00 1.99 2.05 2.09 2.06 1.87 2.02 2.50 2.40 2.41 2.47 2.16 2.21

441 317 939 2,219 1,123 839 1,400 2,772 2,668 1,219 639 957 15,533 25,592

3,211 4,072 701 1,499 1,404 2,472 1,897 3,354 1,572 1,069 823 723 78 22,875 32,559

2,656 1,689 316 707 847 1,670 1,220 2,802 1,563 376 1,151 399 172 15,568 24,541

6,209 1,713 350 743 897 1,717 1,409 3,160 1,573 416 1,383 441 191 20,202 30,244

2.17 2.50 2.34 0.00 2.31 2.28 2.78 2.50 2.27 2.34 1.82 2.48 2.25 2.42 2.33 2.27

2.09 2.25 2.25 0.00 2.23 2.20 2.68 2.41 2.19 2.25 1.76 2.39 2.17 2.33 2.24 2.21

625 4 474 747 109 330 460 2,245 1,285 332 1,134 1,429 885 10,059 25,592

654 157 205 497 322 2,332 780 99 1,638 1,179 589 814 300 119 9,684 32,559

905 43 291 1,424 111 1,181 271 41 901 611 1,883 916 366 29 8,973 24,541

962 122 322 1,577 122 1,308 340 45 998 727 2,068 1,014 405 32 10,042 30,244

GBNRTC Conformity Determination (2011-2015 TIP & 2035 LRP) – Final May 2010

p 21


Approved 2035 Population, Household and Employment Forecasts POPULATION

TAZ

1990

2000

2,035

1990

320 321 322 323 324 325 326 327 328 329 330 331 332 333 334

64 142 265 3,503 389 720 0 1,791 877 939 720 279 309 203 924

68 164 423 4,437 478 816 355 2,157 957 906 709 1,030 328 817 441

99 239 616 6,030 697 1,188 517 3,138 1,393 1,319 1,032 1,607 478 1,404 750

18 51 109 1,413 139 347 0 527 295 337 243 98 108 78 259

31 58 147 1,853 169 397 126 685 339 333 260 348 118 279 162

11,125

14,086

20,507

4,022

5,305

529 1,010 350 279 402 733 765 147 795

613 986 425 564 368 1,163 849 147 935

867 1,340 601 797 520 1,643 1,147 207 1,428

181 307 129 128 122 264 253 50 261

5,010

6,050

8,550

344 345 346 347 348 349

1,257 3,115 1,535 1,668 1,896 2,539 12,010 20,041

1,216 4,627 3,346 2,017 1,854 2,565 15,625 26,123

350 351 352 353 354 355 356 357 358 359

1,142 320 3,819 3,897 2,708 4,917 7,023 2,565 2,118 204 28,713 32,181

1,380 324 5,488 3,849 2,552 4,705 6,483 4,879 5,340 219 35,219 39,019

DIST 52 WHFLD 335 336 337 338 339 340 341 342 343 DIST 53 PEND

DIST 54 CLAR

DIST 55 LANC

HOUSEHOLDS Group Qtrs. Persons Pop. est GQP per HH Est. pphh 2000 2000 2035 2000 for 2035

EMPLOYMENT

2,035

1990

2000

2035

60 50

2.19 2.83 2.52 2.31 2.83 2.06 2.82 2.86 2.82 2.72 2.73 2.96 2.78 2.93 2.72

2.09 2.72 2.42 2.21 2.72 1.97 2.71 2.74 2.71 2.61 2.61 2.84 2.66 2.81 2.61

47 88 226 2,629 255 599 190 1,053 511 503 393 562 178 474 266

1,396 135 18 1,443 46 1,642 0 488 185 37 106 170 0 0 286

1,673 273 223 2,063 111 1,036 0 816 287 35 206 175 26 139 328

2,364 312 520 2,551 129 1,524 0 971 312 50 256 251 47 550 771

414

555

2.58

2.50

7,974

5,952

7,391

10,608

215 329 150 197 133 399 314 58 321

20

22

2.76 3.00 2.83 2.86 2.77 2.91 2.70 2.53 2.91

2.66 2.89 2.73 2.76 2.67 2.80 2.61 2.44 2.81

318 464 220 289 195 586 440 85 509

231 267 33 128 10 56 36 178 142

520 404 54 151 46 30 145 424 468

554 426 60 157 51 33 150 648 697

1,695

2,116

20

22

2.85

2.77

3,106

1,082

2,242

2,776

1,579 5,490 4,864 2,619 2,408 3,331 20,291 34,261

424 942 467 607 732 1,000 4,172 6,997

441 1,454 1,108 731 720 1,057 5,511 9,154

1 3

3

2 8 14 509

2 103 108 610

2.76 3.18 3.02 2.76 2.57 2.42 2.83 2.80

2.67 3.08 2.93 2.68 2.49 2.35 2.71 2.70

591 1,779 1,661 979 965 1,376 7,351 12,431

528 430 619 771 4,375 1,944 8,667 13,964

480 421 1,074 1,544 3,471 2,721 9,711 14,812

498 437 1,115 1,703 3,504 3,026 10,283 15,381

1,591 374 6,735 4,233 2,738 5,220 7,270 5,625 6,565 252 40,603 46,488

407 137 1,204 1,401 1,144 2,129 2,649 994 707 74 10,846 12,066

480 118 1,829 1,518 1,149 2,098 2,628 1,886 1,864 85 13,655 15,053

157

186

25 5 4 26 122 95 23 0 457 617

38 58 6 39 134 143 35

2.55 2.75 2.99 2.53 2.22 2.23 2.42 2.54 2.85 2.58 2.55 2.55

2.45 2.65 2.88 2.44 2.14 2.15 2.33 2.44 2.75 2.47 2.46 2.46

573 141 2,328 1,712 1,279 2,412 3,064 2,244 2,377 102 16,232 18,460

972 455 459 1,488 1,195 4,651 1,303 442 492 336 11,792 13,085

2,041 520 749 2,990 2,055 3,348 1,008 1,234 547 1,007 15,499 20,369

2,802 586 845 2,972 2,118 3,374 1,137 1,792 617 1,136 17,379 22,971

52 164

60 170

198

215

639 929

GBNRTC Conformity Determination (2011-2015 TIP & 2035 LRP) – Final May 2010

p 22


Approved 2035 Population, Household and Employment Forecasts POPULATION

TAZ

1990

2000

2,035

1990

360 361 362 363

1,523 674 1,217 1,083 4,497 10,355

2,024 726 1,308 1,168 5,226 11,304

2,150 771 1,389 1,240 5,550 12,615

579 256 442 369 1,646 3,644

734 284 492 410 1,920 4,186

364 365 366 367 368

1,239 874 705 867 758 4,443 13,433

1,187 924 813 1,006 722 4,652 13,996

1,647 1,280 1,228 1,394 899 6,448 16,283

456 294 247 311 253 1,561 4,919

508 345 285 390 262 1,790 5,421

407 674 1,439 1,386 0 0 0 1,345 542 1,276 7,069 24,632

194 1,374 2,086 1,453 0 0 0 1,358 598 1,452 8,515 27,637

431 1,600 2,327 1,693 1,479 696 1,691 9,917 33,876

50 254 459 404 0 0 0 426 205 395 2,193 8,832

71 371 633 449 0 0 0 444 219 508 2,695 10,277

1,619 2,627 1,631 117 1,408 2,334 1,089 605 1,016 3,861 3,648 2,933 471 34 84 833 2,924 1,128 1,365 525 688 452 424 31,816 53,735

1,567 2,357 1,578 553 1,326 2,286 1,418 620 1,234 3,744 3,609 2,763 662 107 823 1,244 3,117 1,334 1,882 327 774 446 353 34,124 56,259

1,659 2,547 1,773 621 1,489 2,366 1,593 696 1,386 4,106 3,954 3,003 744 120 1,431 1,701 3,401 1,499 2,115 367 869 501 397 38,338 63,241

625 1,073 548 30 473 877 471 203 316 1,482 1,313 1,230 185 16 36 289 1,044 390 464 160 249 164 176 11,814 20,085

617 914 605 170 476 947 572 256 418 1,499 1,450 1,061 252 33 338 412 1,124 426 678 130 289 174 147 12,988 21,999

DIST 56 ELMA

DIST 57 AUR 369 370 371 372 373 374 375 376 377 378 DIST 58 ORCH PK 379 380 381 382 383 384 385 386 387 388 389 390 391 392 393 394 395 396 397 398 399 400 401 DIST 59 HMBG

HOUSEHOLDS Group Qtrs. Persons Pop. est GQP per HH Est. pphh 2000 2000 2035 2000 for 2035 2

2

19 21 23

21 23 25

33

36

33 380

36 418

284

332

8 9

9 11

301 697

352 816

1

4 4 166

5 5 201

94 8

113 10

8

10

45

54

330 969

398 1,166

EMPLOYMENT

2,035

1990

2000

2035

2.75 2.56 2.66 2.80 2.71 2.69

2.66 2.48 2.57 2.71 2.62 2.60

809 312 541 450 2,112 4,837

855 889 198 2,868 4,809 5,753

866 1,706 385 2,638 5,595 7,291

931 1,836 414 2,837 6,018 7,728

2.27 2.68 2.85 2.58 2.76 2.58 2.51

2.19 2.59 2.75 2.49 2.66 2.49 2.43

735 495 446 560 338 2,574 6,529

243 5 152 444 36 880 8,059

350 317 167 311 57 1,202 7,899

355 321 169 315 58 1,218 8,010

2.73 2.94 3.30 3.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.04 2.69 2.86 3.05 2.62

2.66 2.86 3.21 3.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.96 2.61 2.78 2.95 2.53

162 444 726 538 497 262 609 3,238 13,037

112 83 46 67 0 0 0 78 52 259 697 12,299

27 662 87 111 0 0 0 130 239 379 1,635 16,562

39 655 93 118 0 0 0 138 254 403 1,700 17,628

2.54 2.58 2.61 3.25 2.78 2.41 2.19 2.42 2.95 2.50 2.42 2.60 2.63 3.24 2.43 3.00 2.77 3.03 2.78 2.52 2.68 2.56 2.40 2.60 2.51

2.45 2.49 2.52 3.15 2.68 2.33 2.12 2.34 2.85 2.41 2.34 2.51 2.54 3.16 2.35 2.90 2.68 2.93 2.68 2.43 2.59 2.48 2.32 2.52 2.43

676 1,022 703 197 553 1,013 658 297 486 1,701 1,639 1,192 293 38 608 583 1,268 494 788 151 336 202 171 15,069 25,531

34 228 356 331 154 381 1,480 61 82 2,040 5,620 558 111 0 65 170 72 521 70 21 115 104 20 12,594 25,020

163 322 421 460 290 401 1,810 60 120 2,367 3,483 1,165 196 144 171 527 168 199 430 67 137 11 109 13,221 29,248

175 346 553 595 312 431 1,947 65 129 2,447 3,547 1,253 211 155 185 567 181 214 463 72 147 12 117 14,124 31,467

GBNRTC Conformity Determination (2011-2015 TIP & 2035 LRP) – Final May 2010

p 23


Approved 2035 Population, Household and Employment Forecasts POPULATION

TAZ

1990

2000

2,035

1990

402 403 404 405 406 407 408 409 410 411 412 413 414 415 416 417 418 419 420 421 422

2,861 1,692 254 287 1,278 2,655 2,977 1,211 4,425 5,562 3,350 2,500 4,053 1,572 1,395 358 0 2,137 457 663 1,335 41,022 24,426 16,596

4,142 2,664 326 391 1,318 1,203 4,805 1,014 4,104 5,347 3,233 2,072 3,619 1,407 1,125 358 0 2,105 454 864 1,381 41,932 22,279 19,653

5,283 4,393 441 529 1,529 1,248 6,685 1,112 4,154 5,258 3,228 2,147 3,638 1,423 1,237 321 2,664 614 1,168 2,019 49,091 22,518 26,573

1,193 642 92 123 452 920 962 432 1,845 2,230 1,326 1,267 1,532 611 471 124 0 594 141 232 574 15,763 9,838 5,925

1,869 1,111 117 160 533 459 1,709 418 1,762 2,292 1,314 1,094 1,440 533 470 136 0 605 151 264 559 16,996 9,459 7,537

557 1,642 1,610 1,951 2,271 8,031 20,041

757 2,612 1,718 2,738 2,673 10,498 26,123

903 3,476 2,286 3,643 3,662 13,970 34,261

161 555 587 657 865 2,825 6,997

239 842 650 951 961 3,643 9,154

336 633 671 898 930 3,468 32,181

401 586 763 1,087 963 3,800 39,019

621 907 1,182 1,683 1,492 5,885 46,488

135 200 227 353 305 1,220 12,066

151 218 273 404 352 1,398 15,053

1,098 1,042 1,475 1,532 711 5,858 10,355

1,230 989 1,560 1,611 688 6,078 11,304

1,429 1,150 1,813 1,873 800 7,065 12,615

398 330 500 498 272 1,998 3,644

473 362 614 550 267 2,266 4,186

6,684 569 1,098 639 8,990 13,433

6,673 671 1,283 717 9,344 13,996

7,024 706 1,350 755 9,835 16,283

2,467 233 414 244 3,358 4,919

2,596 281 481 273 3,631 5,421

DIST 60 LKPT C LKPT T 423 424 425 426 427 DIST 61 CLARENCE 428 429 430 431 432 DIST 62 LANC 433 434 435 436 437 DIST 63 ELMA 438 439 440 441 DIST 64 AUR

HOUSEHOLDS Group Qtrs. Persons Pop. est GQP per HH Est. pphh 2000 2000 2035 2000 for 2035

60 125

66 138

13

14

12

13

516 57 120

547 73 142

903 210 693

993 231 762

11

11

56

56

428 495 509

435 502 610

160

290

160 617

290 929

2

2

2 23

2 25

347

382

347 380

382 418

EMPLOYMENT

2,035

1990

2000

2035

2.22 2.40 2.79 2.44 2.47 2.62 2.81 2.43 2.30 2.28 2.46 1.89 2.50 2.64 2.39 2.54 0.00 2.63 2.63 2.82 2.47 2.41 2.33 2.52

2.13 2.31 2.68 2.35 2.38 2.52 2.71 2.34 2.21 2.20 2.37 1.83 2.41 2.55 2.31 2.44 0.00 2.53 2.53 2.72 2.38 2.34 2.27 2.44

2,452 1,885 163 223 636 490 2,447 476 1,848 2,332 1,361 1,176 1,502 559 536 126 840 214 377 841 20,484 9,916 10,568

603 281 6 1,525 1,111 833 81 1,073 1,347 1,227 2,655 4,315 1,825 136 414 105 5,695 1,208 234 70 429 25,173 18,792 6,381

1,109 377 73 1,089 985 2,514 559 1,306 1,001 1,694 1,998 2,717 1,301 241 303 482 5,731 1,194 348 301 460 25,783 16,774 9,009

1,563 677 103 1,437 1,627 3,149 987 1,344 1,160 1,963 2,317 2,980 1,508 279 521 728 4,000 1,389 540 474 749 29,495 16,800 12,695

3.12 3.10 2.56 2.88 2.34 2.75 2.80

3.02 3.01 2.48 2.79 2.26 2.65 2.70

295 1,156 899 1,305 1,425 5,080 12,431

46 344 436 1,294 3,176 5,297 13,964

66 703 670 933 2,729 5,101 14,812

69 730 696 969 2,634 5,098 15,381

2.66 2.69 2.79 2.29 2.74 2.60 2.55

2.56 2.59 2.69 2.21 2.64 2.51 2.46

243 350 439 630 566 2,228 18,460

144 482 342 255 70 1,293 13,085

1,393 1,583 1,292 456 146 4,870 20,369

1,471 1,985 1,457 514 165 5,592 22,971

2.60 2.73 2.54 2.93 2.58 2.68 2.69

2.52 2.64 2.46 2.83 2.49 2.59 2.60

568 436 738 662 321 2,725 4,837

52 43 565 253 31 944 5,753

97 143 563 473 420 1,696 7,291

98 145 568 476 423 1,710 7,728

2.44 2.39 2.67 2.63 2.48 2.51

2.35 2.31 2.57 2.53 2.39 2.43

2,826 306 525 298 3,955 6,529

6,597 15 234 333 7,179 8,059

6,075 79 351 192 6,697 7,899

6,161 80 356 195 6,792 8,010

GBNRTC Conformity Determination (2011-2015 TIP & 2035 LRP) – Final May 2010

p 24


Approved 2035 Population, Household and Employment Forecasts POPULATION

TAZ

1990

2000

2,035

1990

442 443 444 445 446 447 448 449 450 451 452 453 454 455 456 457 458 459 460 461 462

362 2,709 322 2,987 933 1,626 941 1,182 1,826 1,425 3,048 2,692 709 988 1,375 1,403 1,577 2,956 1,486 1,554 1,114 33,215 9,880 16,225 7,110

259 2,437 212 2,691 808 1,588 983 1,176 1,754 1,560 2,781 2,691 1,138 935 1,326 2,506 1,528 2,809 1,507 1,507 1,097 33,293 8,978 17,395 6,920

355 2,295 552 2,530 885 1,647 1,623 1,314 1,958 1,848 2,895 2,848 1,271 1,044 1,429 2,747 2,075 3,011 1,615 1,615 1,176 36,733 9,887 19,429 7,417

140 1,264 109 1,098 339 543 308 413 604 76 1,297 1,038 229 342 481 493 510 1,065 582 481 377 11,789 3,801 5,483 2,505

122 1,102 86 1,038 316 591 356 440 664 76 1,268 1,053 398 346 493 990 552 1,106 579 492 439 12,507 3,611 6,280 2,616

880 487 654 1,224 801 733 1,668 873 864 2,356 10,540 4,779 5,761

948 556 823 1,399 926 741 1,679 892 983 2,286 11,233 5,393 5,840

1,069 628 930 1,578 1,044 835 1,753 931 1,026 2,387 12,181 6,084 6,097

330 158 226 393 299 270 600 296 337 887 3,796 1,676 2,120

387 238 282 493 323 272 636 319 361 908 4,219 1,995 2,224

1,668 2,047 923 4,358

1,718 2,741 1,053 4,145

1,920 3,063 1,177 4,631

610 699 318 1,627

8,996

9,657

10,791

3,254

DIST 70 NIA LEW POR 463 464 465 466 467 468 469 470 471 472 DIST 71 CAM WIL 473 474 475 476 DIST 72 NEWF

HOUSEHOLDS Group Qtrs. Persons Pop. est GQP per HH Est. pphh 2000 2000 2035 2000 for 2035

1,347 111 19

1,395 115 20

13

13

64

66

113

124

1,667 0 1,554 113

1,733 0 1,609 124 32

EMPLOYMENT

2,035

1990

2000

2035

2.12 2.21 2.47 2.59 2.56 2.69 2.76 2.67 2.64 2.80 2.11 2.54 2.86 2.70 2.66 2.53 2.65 2.54 2.60 2.83 2.50 2.53 2.49 2.52 2.60

2.03 2.12 2.36 2.48 2.45 2.57 2.64 2.57 2.53 2.68 2.02 2.43 2.75 2.59 2.55 2.43 2.54 2.45 2.51 2.73 2.41 2.44 2.41 2.45 2.53

174 1,075 232 1,012 358 636 609 509 769 154 1,367 1,156 460 400 551 1,125 785 1,221 639 543 484 14,259 4,096 7,276 2,887

125 569 1,705 1,397 497 2,752 57 485 236 1,799 2,613 442 178 124 484 99 215 376 92 519 79 14,843 7,102 6,675 1,066

570 1,266 1,364 2,042 526 1,063 353 810 169 848 1,885 1,210 127 84 478 485 226 683 106 634 130 15,059 7,184 6,322 1,553

660 1,465 1,628 2,363 609 1,180 408 923 192 966 2,148 1,378 145 96 544 552 257 813 126 755 154 17,362 8,313 7,201 1,848

2.45 2.34 2.92 2.84 2.84 2.72 2.64 2.80 2.72 2.52 2.66 2.70 2.63

2.36 2.25 2.82 2.73 2.73 2.63 2.54 2.69 2.62 2.42 2.56 2.62 2.55

439 280 330 578 378 318 689 346 391 985 4,734 2,323 2,411

574 219 81 58 80 68 127 34 82 975 2,298 1,080 1,218

846 154 183 118 178 96 109 68 42 836 2,630 1,575 1,055

931 184 217 191 237 114 128 82 50 995 3,129 1,874 1,255

2.47 2.64 2.82 2.44

775 1,089 417 1,892

239 591 629 999

451 955 392 1,241

488 963 577 1,588

2.56

4,173

2,457

3,039

3,616

10

11

10 10 0

43 43 0

668 938 359 1,632

8 168

9 185

10

11

2.56 2.74 2.93 2.53

3,597

186

205

2.63

GBNRTC Conformity Determination (2011-2015 TIP & 2035 LRP) – Final May 2010

p 25


Approved 2035 Population, Household and Employment Forecasts POPULATION

TAZ

1990

2000

2,035

1990

477 478 479 480 481 482 483 484 485 486 487

613 929 1,034 2,516 2,361 1,388 846 1,067 610 1,643 1,012 14,019 7,453 3,911 2,655

648 1,095 1,105 2,604 2,258 1,387 932 1,188 658 1,811 1,054 14,740 7,710 4,165 2,865

708 1,196 1,207 2,844 2,466 1,494 1,004 1,281 709 1,934 1,126 15,969 8,421 4,488 3,060

209 315 323 927 844 504 281 368 188 600 340 4,899 2,618 1,341 940

241 383 395 974 817 509 348 433 236 641 359 5,336 2,810 1,526 1,000

488 489 490 491 492 493 494 495 496 497

924 646 2,998 734 1,408 730 587 1,613 4,779 3,393 17,812 7,440 10,372

1,155 888 3,085 906 1,683 697 446 1,668 4,594 3,762 18,884 8,414 10,470

1,341 1,031 3,582 1,052 1,953 809 591 1,850 4,996 4,170 21,375 9,768 11,607

299 197 1,268 250 610 239 185 302 1,224 1,299 5,873 2,863 3,010

402 309 1,313 317 782 253 164 363 1,272 1,479 6,654 3,376 3,278

498 499 500 501 502 503 504 505

1,370 1,912 1,369 599 891 729 927 370 8,167 5,250 2,917

1,424 1,911 1,666 708 940 637 907 476 8,669 5,709 2,960

1,716 2,303 2,008 853 1,085 735 1,046 549 10,295 6,880 3,415

492 578 501 206 304 237 327 141 2,786 1,777 1,009

508 653 609 251 340 245 352 179 3,137 2,021 1,116

1,695 595 609 1,238 1,014 1,320 488 1,365 814 9,138 2,899 3,572 2,667

1,909 761 653 1,073 1,083 1,447 569 1,321 802 9,618 3,323 3,603 2,692

2,251 897 770 1,148 1,158 1,547 611 1,419 862 10,663 3,918 3,853 2,892

671 178 187 435 317 515 154 505 249 3,211 1,036 1,267 908

735 277 250 413 366 553 188 473 283 3,538 1,262 1,332 944

DIST 73 ROY HART SOM

DIST 74 NEWS ALDEN

DIST 75 MAR WALES 506 507 508 509 510 511 512 513 514 DIST 76 COLD HOLL SARD

HOUSEHOLDS Group Qtrs. Persons Pop. est GQP per HH Est. pphh 2000 2000 2035 2000 for 2035

94

103

19

21

113 94 0 19

124 103 0 21

EMPLOYMENT

2,035

1990

2000

2035

2.69 2.86 2.80 2.67 2.65 2.72 2.68 2.74 2.79 2.80 2.94 2.74 2.71 2.73 2.85

2.59 2.75 2.69 2.58 2.55 2.63 2.58 2.64 2.68 2.69 2.83 2.64 2.61 2.63 2.74

271 431 444 1,095 920 564 387 481 262 711 398 5,964 3,161 1,694 1,109

19 5 5 1,393 700 136 52 78 22 874 173 3,457 2,122 288 1,047

70 50 270 1,827 1,168 77 176 143 33 809 199 4,822 3,385 429 1,008

81 58 311 2,101 1,344 91 209 171 40 925 228 5,559 3,895 511 1,153

2.78 2.78 2.27 2.75 2.08 2.66 2.62 2.59 2.66 2.45 2.48 2.40 2.56

484 371 1,577 382 940 304 226 456 1,467 1,698 8,334 4,058 3,847

54 109 1,898 482 72 6 19 1,098 1,649 2,106 7,493 2,621 4,872

56 207 2,946 1,354 159 34 122 2,085 1,314 1,813 10,090 4,756 5,334

60 223 3,174 1,459 171 37 128 2,288 1,379 1,803 10,722 5,124 5,598

11 4

12 4

694 1,089 14 1,812 15 1,797

671 1,091 14 1,792 16 1,776

2.87 2.87 2.34 2.85 2.15 2.75 2.72 2.68 2.76 2.53 2.57 2.49 2.65

0 0 0

2.80 2.93 2.74 2.82 2.76 2.60 2.58 2.66 2.76 2.82 2.65

2.71 2.83 2.65 2.73 2.67 2.51 2.49 2.58 2.68 2.73 2.56

633 816 759 313 406 293 420 214 3,854 2,521 1,333

27 32 4 7 37 84 34 20 245 70 175

56 299 114 38 290 40 77 77 991 507 484

59 318 120 40 308 43 81 81 1,050 537 513

0 0 0 0

2.60 2.75 2.61 2.60 2.96 2.62 3.03 2.79 2.83 2.72 2.63 2.70 2.85

2.51 2.66 2.53 2.51 2.86 2.53 2.93 2.70 2.74 2.63 2.54 2.61 2.75

898 338 305 458 405 612 209 526 315 4,066 1,541 1,475 1,050

417 80 123 564 51 344 39 574 25 2,217 620 959 638

353 45 66 729 65 275 41 1,078 134 2,786 464 1,069 1,253

374 48 70 770 69 290 44 1,153 143 2,961 492 1,129 1,340

0 0 0

0 0 0 0

GBNRTC Conformity Determination (2011-2015 TIP & 2035 LRP) – Final May 2010

p 26


Approved 2035 Population, Household and Employment Forecasts POPULATION

HOUSEHOLDS Group Qtrs. Persons Pop. est GQP per HH Est. pphh 2000 2000 2035 2000 for 2035

TAZ

1990

2000

2,035

1990

515 516 517 518 519 520 521 522 523 524 525

964 4,026 1,856 409 190 406 1,522 1,448 444 245 4,322 15,832 7,445 8,387

1,092 4,071 2,083 448 203 554 1,422 1,377 542 382 4,249 16,423 7,897 8,526

1,365 5,086 2,603 560 254 633 1,576 1,525 717 534 4,757 19,610 9,868 9,742

364 1,461 630 136 60 145 506 492 155 88 1,664 5,701 2,651 3,050

413 1,570 764 176 74 190 535 527 189 119 1,704 6,261 2,997 3,264

526 527 528 529 530 531 532 533 534 535 536 537 538 539

654 1,875 3,385 731 771 742 1,817 599 344 576 872 3,645 202 725 16,938 7,416 3,502 6,020

691 2,035 3,767 681 902 722 1,601 583 470 677 2,363 4,204 243 820 19,759 8,076 3,376 8,307

743 2,187 4,047 731 970 834 1,853 674 544 693 2,422 4,311 249 840 21,098 8,678 3,905 8,515

240 590 1,165 226 301 233 637 205 121 185 308 822 71 270 5,374 2,522 1,196 1,656

252 704 1,325 231 343 261 625 209 159 234 318 800 96 306 5,863 2,855 1,254 1,754

540 541 542 543 544 545 546 547 548 549 550 551 552 553 554

5,528 494 273 1,164 666 5,747 3,210 396 787 348 984 162 292 1,345 0 21,396 17,478 3,918

5,354 620 268 1,083 732 5,778 3,313 446 768 274 864 259 446 1,296 0 21,501 17,594 3,907

5,541 642 277 1,121 757 5,978 3,429 462 857 306 963 289 498 1,444 22,564 18,207 4,357

1,842 177 94 455 241 2,020 1,181 115 321 111 345 53 98 435 0 7,488 6,125 1,363

1,902 227 100 463 279 2,266 1,239 163 291 111 308 91 161 451 0 8,052 6,639 1,413

1,189,288 1,170,111 220,756 219,846 968,532 950,265

1,294,370 245,930 1,048,440

460,707 84,688 376,019

DIST 77 BOS CON

DIST 78 EDEN N COLL COLL

DIST 79 EVANS BRANT TOTAL NIA. CO. ERIE CO.

10

11

46 167 223 10 213

51 183 245 11 234

2 102 64 20

2 113 70 22

8 12

9 13

1,526 2,380 4 4 4,122 188 20 3,914

1,561 2,435 4 4 4,233 207 22 4,004

82 1

91

5 21

6 23

2,035

1990

2000

2035

2.64 2.59 2.73 2.55 2.74 2.92 2.66 2.61 2.87 2.82 2.40 2.59 2.63 2.55

2.56 2.50 2.64 2.46 2.64 2.82 2.57 2.52 2.77 2.73 2.31 2.50 2.54 2.46

535 2,031 989 227 96 225 614 605 259 178 1,984 7,743 3,878 3,865

1,140 114 50 34 5 4 563 272 9 5 3,206 5,402 1,343 4,059

96 504 474 117 11 65 168 212 78 92 4,229 6,046 1,202 4,844

102 533 503 124 12 69 178 225 83 195 4,385 6,409 1,274 5,135

2.73 2.75 2.79 2.86 2.63 2.74 2.54 2.79 2.96 2.89 2.63 2.28 2.49 2.67 2.67 2.76 2.68 2.50

2.65 2.66 2.70 2.77 2.55 2.65 2.46 2.70 2.86 2.80 2.55 2.21 2.42 2.58 2.58 2.67 2.58 2.42

280 783 1,474 256 381 312 750 250 191 238 352 866 97 311 6,541 3,174 1,503 1,864

248 35 867 65 33 78 745 43 53 17 14 3,485 15 23 5,721 1,248 919 3,554

97 506 1,597 68 91 62 1,082 60 193 194 462 2,444 45 132 7,033 2,359 1,397 3,277

103 536 1,692 72 97 66 1,158 64 206 194 461 2,429 55 132 7,265 2,500 1,494 3,271

2.68 2.63 2.60 2.25 2.47 2.47 2.59 2.65 2.56 2.39 2.71 2.76 2.67 2.78 0.00 2.57 2.54 2.67

2,037 244 107 496 298 2,426 1,327 175 336 128 356 105 187 520 8,742 7,110 1,632

339 37 0 298 95 212 3,291 12 127 64 188 174 23 480 0 5,340 4,284 1,056

1,071 176 68 631 79 436 2,530 43 172 48 422 99 18 401 0 6,194 5,034 1,160

1,155 190 83 680 85 470 2,718 46 181 50 444 104 19 422 0 6,647 5,427 1,220

2.35 2.38 2.34

533,155 101,027 432,128

638,068 100,113 537,955

650,819 95,263 555,556

700,900 113,550 587,350

110 109 1

120 120 0

2.77 2.73 2.68 2.33 2.55 2.55 2.67 2.74 2.64 2.47 2.80 2.85 2.77 2.87 0.00 2.66 2.63 2.76

468,719 35,009 87,846 4,218 380,873 30,791

41,496 4,670 36,826

2.42 2.45 2.41

1

EMPLOYMENT

GBNRTC Conformity Determination (2011-2015 TIP & 2035 LRP) – Final May 2010

p 27


ATTACHMENT C Year 2011 –2015 TIP 2035 Long Range Transportation Plan Update Non-Exempt, Exempt, and Regionally Significant Project Listing

GBNRTC Conformity Determination (2011-2015 TIP & 2035 LRP) – Final May 2010

p 28


GREATER BUFFALO-NIAGARA REGIONAL TRANSPORTATION COUNCIL 2011-2015 TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT PROGRAM

PROJECT NON-EXEMPT LISTING AGENCY Buffalo Buffalo Buffalo

PIN 575546 575681 575714

Buffalo Buffalo Buffalo Buffalo

575719 575795 575861 582212

PROJECT Elmwood Ave; Forest Ave - Scajaquada Elmwood Ave/Chippewa St Signals Niagara Street Gateway Project; Carolina/Virginia Sts - Niagara Square Erie Canal Harbor Street Network Phase III BNMC Phase III - Allen St Extension Ferry St Signals Cars on Main St, Scott St - Tupper St

DESCRIPTION Reconstruct and widen, provide interconnect traffic signal system Replace 10 traffic signals and install interconnect system Boulevard Streetscape Project - Reduction from 6 to 4 lanes

TOTAL PROJECT COST AQ Status (To Be Confirmed) Non-Exempt $1,962,500 Non-Exempt $1,264,000 Non-Exempt $2,465,000

New roadway network associated with the Erie Canal Harbor Project Main St to Ellicott St Traffic Signal Upgrade Scott St to Tupper St

Non-Exempt Non-Exempt Non-Exempt Non-Exempt

$15,321,000

TOTAL - BUFFALO Erie County

575374

Erie County

575543

$1,495,000 $6,452,000 $100,000 $1,582,500

N Forest Rd, Rt 263 Millersport Hwy - Dodge Reconstruction of pavement and widening 2-4 for part of project Rd E Robinson (N French); Rt 62-Rt 952T Widen to add center and intersection turn lanes

Non-Exempt Non-Exempt

$7,693,750 $11,545,091

$19,238,841

TOTAL - ERIE COUNTY Miscellaneous

575358

Peace Bridge Congestion Relief

Accommodate future bridge/plaza changes with local street/hwy system

Non-Exempt

$22,500,000

Miscellaneous Miscellaneous

575752 575790

Meadow Dr Extension Eastern Hills Corridor

Non-Exempt Non-Exempt

$1,222,000 $1,346,000

Miscellaneous

575834

Mill Rd/Johnson Creek Bridge

City of NT - Extension of Meadow Dr to Rt 425 Erie Av Clarence- Construction of new roadway east of Eastern Hills Mall, Main St-Sheridan Dr Bridge Removal

Non-Exempt

Niagara Falls Niagara Falls

575542 575557

Niagara Falls Signals; 3 Intersections John B Daly Blvd; Niagara St - Pine Ave

Replace signal system and interconnect system. New 4 lane arterial street

Non-Exempt Non-Exempt

Rts 5/20/438 Roundabout Rt 62; Cayuga to Walmore Rd Ph I Rt 62 Ferry & Walnut Arterials, 47th to Main St MOF-Regional Arterial Management System, Ph 2A Rt 265 & I-190/Power Reservoir; Phase II Rt 5 @ Bayview Route 78 @ Fisk/Rapids MOF: Rt 240 @ Pilgers' Curve Rt 62; Krueger Rd - Sy; Phase II Rt 62; Sy - Cayuga; Phase 3 Rt 62 @ Sowles Rd Rt 952Q(Walden); Seneca/VeteransTownline Rd Rt 952G (Church St Art) Gateway & N & S Division; Bingham St Regional Arterial Management System; Phase 3 Regional Arterial Management System, Phase 4 Regional Arterial Management System; Phase 5 Peet St / Erie Canal Bridge Removal Wruck Rd / Erie Canal Bridge Removal

Highway reconstruction Widen to add center turn lane Signal replacements/coordination with new timing for 3 miles

Non-Exempt Non-Exempt Non-Exempt

511188 530796 580790

NYSDOT

580908

NYSDOT (N) NYSDOT (N) NYSDOT NYSDOT NYSDOT (N) NYSDOT NYSDOT (N) NYSDOT

501922 513437 520958 526850 530829 530830 530831 580613

NYSDOT NYSDOT (N)

580815 580973

NYSDOT (N) NYSDOT (N) NYSDOT (N) NYSDOT (N)

580974 580975 594061 594062

$537,500 $3,950,000 $4,807,500 $11,398,750 $15,212,500

Traffic Signal Coordination

Non-Exempt

$2,916,250

Power Reservoir Intersection Rehabilitation Intersection Reconstruction Safety Hwy Widen Safety Hwy Widen Highway Reconstruction Intersection Rehabilitation Highway Reconstruction Widening - Center Turn Lane Entire Length

Non-Exempt Non-Exempt Non-Exempt Non-Exempt Non-Exempt Non-Exempt Non-Exempt Non-Exempt

$8,600,000 $1,500,000 $1,100,000 $900,000 $13,500,000 $15,000,000 $1,500,000 $4,250,000

Corridor Enhancement Regional Arterial Management

Non-Exempt

$4,487,500

TOTAL - NIAGARA FALLS NYSDOT NYSDOT NYSDOT

$268,000

$25,336,000

TOTAL - MISCELLANEOUS

$3,000,000 $1,500,000 Non-Exempt Regional Arterial Management

$4,400,000 Non-Exempt

Regional Arterial Management Bridge Removal Bridge Removal

TOTAL - NYSDOT: (N)=New Candidate Project Selection GRAND TOTAL

GBNRTC Conformity Determination (2011-2015 TIP & 2035 LRP) – Final May 2010

$2,700,000 Non-Exempt Non-Exempt Non-Exempt

$212,000 $216,000

$92,713,014 $157,096,356

p 29


GREATER BUFFALO-NIAGARA REGIONAL TRANSPORTATION COUNCIL 2011-2015 TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT PROGRAM

PROJECT EXEMPT LISTING BUFFALO

ICG APPROVAL AQ DATE Status 6/6/2007 Exempt 6/6/2007 Exempt

AQ Exempt Code A19 A10

TOTAL PROJECT COST (To Be Confirmed) $7,727,000 $1,200,000

AGENCY Buffalo Buffalo

PROJECT PIN 575609 W Ferry St/Black Rock Canal 575629 International Waterfront Study & Porter Av Phase I

DESCRIPTION Bridge Rehabilitation in kind to capacity Inkind Pavement Reconstruction and repair to existing capacity

Buffalo Buffalo

575634 Bailey Ave/Cazenovia Ck & Buffalo Rvr 575683 North Buffalo Rails-To-Trails

6/6/2007 6/6/2007

Exempt Exempt

A19 C2

$12,600,000 $1,000,000

Buffalo

575715 Porter Ave; Niagara St - Symphony Cir

6/6/2007

Exempt

A10

$2,493,000

Buffalo

575718 Kenmore Ave; Starin Av to Rt 5 Main St

6/6/2007

Exempt

A10

$6,920,000

Buffalo Buffalo Buffalo Buffalo

575743 575747 575759 575760

Bridge Replacement in kind to capacity Off road bike-ped facility (Main to Kenmore with connection to Delaware) Inkind Pavement Reconstruction and repair to existing capacity Rehabilitation of roadway, drainage, sidewalks and appurtenances in kind to capacity Bike/Ped Trail Streetscape improvements Streetscape improvements Resurfacing

6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007

Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt

C2 C14 C2 A10

$2,086,000 $2,671,250 $3,056,000 $809,000

Buffalo Buffalo Buffalo Buffalo Buffalo Buffalo Buffalo Buffalo Buffalo Buffalo Buffalo

575772 575776 575798 575823 575824 575825 575826 575827 575862 575863 575940

Pedestrian-only campus Streetscaping Promenade / Ped Trail Bridge Replacement in kind to capacity Bridge Replacement in kind to capacity Bridge Rehabilitation in kind to capacity Bridge Replacement in kind to capacity Bridge Replacement in kind to capacity Multi-course Overlay Multi-course Overlay Pavement Rehab & Streetscaping

6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007

Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt

A3 A10 C2 A19 A19 A19 A19 A19 A10 A10 C14

$1,800,000 $1,290,000 $3,084,000 $3,700,000 $660,000 $700,000 $400,000 $400,000 $300,000 $4,600,000 $2,084,000

Resurfacing Bridge Replacement in kind to capacity Waterfront Pier Project

6/6/2007 9/1/2009 9/1/2009

Exempt Exempt Exempt

A10 A19 C2

$1,162,000 $775,000 $1,400,000 $62,917,250

Outer Harbor Trail Phase 2 BNMC Gateway Phase I BNMC Site Improvements Phase II South Buffalo Streets - Hopkins St, Tifft St-South Park Av; McKinley Pkwy, City Line-Bailey Av; South Park Av, Tifft St-Bertha St Fargo St, Porter Av - Connecticut St Fillmore Av, N Parade Av - E Ferry St Union Ship Canal Open Space South Ogden/Mineral Springs Rd Bridge South Park Loop at South Park Lake Ohio St Lift Bridge Erie & Pearl Sts @ Perry Blvd Main & Pearl Sts over CSX RR Grider St Buffalo Arterial Resurfacing Fruit Belt Corridor Project - Carlton & Hig; Michigan to Jefferson

Buffalo 575945 Seneca St, City Line-Hayden St Buffalo 575946 Hopkins St / BPRR Buffalo 575968 Tifft Street Wharf TOTAL - BUFFALO

GBNRTC Conformity Determination (2011-2015 TIP & 2035 LRP) – Final May 2010

p 30


GREATER BUFFALO-NIAGARA REGIONAL TRANSPORTATION COUNCIL 2011-2015 TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT PROGRAM

PROJECT EXEMPT LISTING ERIE COUNTY

Erie County Erie County Erie County Erie County Erie County

PROJECT PIN 575525 Seneca St/Norfolk Southern 575527 Cemetery Rd/Erie Rd, Norfolk Southern & N BR Plum Bottom Creek 575533 Maple Rd @ N. Forest & Hopkins Intersections 575538 Pavement Rd/CSX & Norfolk Southern 575583 Como Park Blvd; Union Rd - Indian Rd 575638 Freeman Rd/Smokes Ck 575646 Youngs @ Aero Intersection

Erie County

AGENCY Erie County Erie County

DESCRIPTION Bridge Replacement in kind to capacity Bridge Replacement in kind to capacity Intersection Reconstruction Bridge Replacement in kind to capacity Rehabilitation /Overlay in kind to capacity Bridge Rehabilitation in kind to capacity Updated signal system & widening for turn lane

ICG APPROVAL AQ DATE Status 6/6/2007 Exempt 6/6/2007 Exempt

AQ Exempt Code A19 A19

TOTAL PROJECT COST (To Be Confirmed) $4,200,000 $7,000,000

6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007 7/29/2009

Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt

D1 A19 A10 A19 D1

$4,070,000 $4,795,000 $300,000 $250,000 $1,513,000

575647 Harris Hill @ Wehrle & Pleasantview

6/6/2007

Exempt

D1

$2,577,000

Erie County Erie County Erie County

575675 575676 575684

8/14/2009 2/9/2009 6/6/2007

Exempt Exempt Exempt

C2 C2 C2

$1,398,000 $727,000 $1,970,000

Erie County Erie County

575685 575686

6/6/2007 6/6/2007

Exempt Exempt

D2 D2

$2,350,000 $1,495,000

Erie County

575687

6/6/2007

Exempt

D2

$1,069,000

Erie County

575689

6/6/2007

Exempt

C2

$10,000

Erie County

575728

6/6/2007

Exempt

A19

$1,000,000

Erie County

575729

6/6/2007

Exempt

A19

$1,000,000

Erie County Erie County

575730 575731

3/4/2010 6/6/2007

Exempt Exempt

A19 A19

$1,000,000 $1,506,000

Erie County

575745

6/6/2007

Exempt

C2

$400,000

Erie County Erie County

575749 Town of Evans Multi-Use Pathway Phase I-B 575775 ECC Transportation Improvements

Multi-use trails system 6/6/2007 Intermodal Facility adjacent to proposed expansion 6/6/2007

Exempt Exempt

C2 C3

$377,000 $1,080,000

Erie County Erie County Erie County

575787 Elmwood Ave; Kenmore Ave - Sheridan Drive 575802 Town of Evans Multi-Use Trail Phase III 575840 Lake Av/ Smokes Creek Bridge

6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007

Exempt Exempt Exempt

A10 C2 A19

$4,871,000 $2,500,000 $1,101,000

Erie County

575874 Abbott Rd/Neumann Creek Bridge

Reconstruction Multi-use trails system Inkind Bridge Reconstruction and repair to existing capacity Inkind Bridge Reconstruction and repair to existing capacity Bridge Maintenance

6/6/2007

Exempt

A19

$1,101,000

6/6/2007

Exempt

A19

$710,000 $50,370,000

Traffic signal upgrade & some widening of approaches Multi-use trails system Town of Evans Multi-Use Pathway Phase I-A Multi-use trails system Sherwood - Two Mile Creek Greenway Tonawanda Rails-To-Trails Off road bike-ped facility (Kenmore to Canalway Trail at county line) Greiner Rd @ Shimerville Rd New traffic signal Replace 7 traffic signals and actuated crossColvin Blvd Intersections (Highland Pkwy & Deerhursstreet interrupts Elmwood Ave Corridor Signals Replace 5 traffic signals and actuated crossstreet interrupts Seneca Creek Pathway Off road bike-ped facility along Seneca Creek Road and an abandoned railroad in West Seneca & Cheektowaga Clarence Ctr / Gott Ck Inkind Bridge Reconstruction and repair to existing capacity Swift Mills / Murder Creek Inkind Bridge Reconstruction and repair to existing capacity Savage Rd / Dry Creek Inkind Bridge Reconstruction and repair CR 82 Mill St Bridge/Catt Creek Inkind Bridge Reconstruction and repair to existing capacity Graycliff Public Access Enhancement Undefined Earmark

Erie County 575890 Bridge Painting SFY 2009/2010 TOTAL - ERIE COUNTY

GBNRTC Conformity Determination (2011-2015 TIP & 2035 LRP) – Final May 2010

p 31


GREATER BUFFALO-NIAGARA REGIONAL TRANSPORTATION COUNCIL 2011-2015 TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT PROGRAM

PROJECT EXEMPT LISTING NIAGARA COUNTY & NIAGARA FALLS PROJECT AGENCY PIN Niagara County 575710 Lockport Rd; Walmore Rd to Campbell Blvd Niagara County 575713 Lincoln Av ; Beattie Av-Akron Rd

Niagara County 575722 Drum & Seaman Rds Bridge/Johnson Creek Niagara County 575723 Ewings Rd Bridge/18 Mile Creek (South) Niagara County 575724 Mapleton Rd Bridge/Bull Creek Niagara County Niagara County Niagara County Niagara County Niagara County Niagara County

575830 575831 575832 575853 575854 575857

Wisterman Rd Bridge/Mud Creek Ewings Rd Bridge/18 Mile Creek (North) Wilson-Burt Rd Bridge/18 Mile Creek Old Niagara Rd & Lake Av Intersection Upper Mountain Rd Pavement Rehab Feigle Rd Pavement Rehab

Niagara County 575911 Bridge Rail and Guide Rail Upgrades in Niagara County Niagara County 575961 Local Bridge Washing; NC SFY 10/11 Niagara County 575962 Local Bridge Painting; Walmore Rd/Bergholtz Crk; SFY10/11 Niagara County 575963 Local Bridge Deck Overlays; NC; SFY 10/11 Niagara County 575964 Local Bridge Bearings; NC; SFY 10/11 TOTAL - NIAGARA COUNTY Niagara Falls

DESCRIPTION Intersection Channelization <250 feet and 1 Signal Improvement Corridor traffic assessment to define needed design and operational changes - Undefined Design/Operational Changes Inkind Bridge Reconstruction and repair to existing capacity Inkind Bridge Reconstruction and repair to existing capacity Inkind Bridge Reconstruction and repair to existing capacity Bridge Replacement in kind to capacity Bridge Replacement in kind to capacity Bridge Rehabilitation Intersection Rehabilitation Highway Reconstruction in kind to capacity Highway Reconstruction in kind to capacity

ICG APPROVAL AQ DATE Status 6/6/2007 Exempt

AQ Exempt Code D1

TOTAL PROJECT COST (To Be Confirmed) $4,901,250

6/6/2007

Exempt

C3

$3,485,000

6/6/2007

Exempt

A19

$650,000

6/6/2007

Exempt

A19

$1,880,000

6/6/2007

Exempt

A19

$872,500

6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007

Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt

A19 A19 A19 D1 A10 A10

$960,000 $1,390,000 $1,400,000 $168,750 $50,000 $250,000

Safety

6/6/2007

Exempt

A9

$555,000

Bridge Maintenance Bridge Maintenance

6/6/2007 6/6/2007

Exempt Exempt

A19 A19

$41,250 $140,000

Bridge Maintenance Bridge Maintenance

6/6/2007 6/6/2007

Exempt Exempt

A19 A19

$95,000 $230,000 $17,068,750

6/6/2007

Exempt

A10

$10,395,000

6/6/2007

Exempt

C14

$48,344,000

6/6/2007

Exempt

C2

$220,000

6/6/2007

Exempt

A10

$4,546,000

6/6/2007

Exempt

A10

$1,000,000

6/6/2007

Exempt

A10

$2,892,500

6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007 3/4/2010

Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt

A19 C14 A19 A19 A10 A10

$4,705,000 $2,500,000 $1,402,000 $296,250 $250,000 $4,650,000

546028 Rt 384; Hyde Park - 56th St

Reconstruct to 4 standard travel lanes, new curb, sidewalks and new drainage system. Niagara Falls 575628 Niagara Falls Intermodal Center Planning Study of potential new rail station/intermodal center Niagara Falls 575691 Niagara Riverview Trail Phase II Extension of Upper Riverview path from N. Grand Island Bridge to East City Line Niagara Falls 575709 Lockport St; Main St - Seneca Ave Inkind Pavement Reconstruction and repair to existing capacity Niagara Falls 575716 Buffalo Ave; I-190 - Cayuga Dr Inkind Pavement Reconstruction and repair to existing capacity Niagara Falls 575717 10th St; Niagara St - Cedar Av & Cedar Av; Main St - Inkind Pavement Reconstruction and repair to 10th St existing capacity Niagara Falls 575792 CSX RR Bridges/Rt 104 Main St Railroad Bridge 575804 Niagara Falls Historic Customhouse Restoration Niagara Falls Historic Restoration Bridge Replacement in kind to capacity Niagara Falls 575828 Rt 265/Cayuga Creek Bridge Niagara Falls 575829 Pine Av/Gill Creek Bridge Bridge Rehabilitation in kind to capacity 575859 Pine Av Paving Niagara Falls Multi-course Overlay Niagara Falls Military Rd Repaving Phase I - Cayuga Dr to Rehabilitation of roadway, drainage, sidewalks Niagara Falls Blvd. and appurtenances in kind to capacity TOTAL - NIAGARA FALLS

GBNRTC Conformity Determination (2011-2015 TIP & 2035 LRP) – Final May 2010

$81,200,750

p 32


GREATER BUFFALO-NIAGARA REGIONAL TRANSPORTATION COUNCIL 2011-2015 TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT PROGRAM

PROJECT EXEMPT LISTING MISCELLANEOUS LOCAL AQ Status Exempt

AQ Exempt Code D3

6/6/2007 6/6/2007

Exempt Exempt Exempt

C7 C2 C3

$17,658,000 $160,000 $660,000

TOTAL PROJECT COST (To Be Confirmed) $1,000,000

Miscellaneous Miscellaneous

PROJECT PIN 541054 RMP @ JB Daly: Southern CBD Gateway Improvements 575580 Inner Harbor Trans. Infrastructure Facility 575615 Lehigh Valley Multi-Use Trail 575711 Buffalo/Niagara Demand Mgmt & Transp Alts Program 575727 Taylor Rd/Durkee Bridge/Niagara River 575757 Niagara St/ Two Mile Creek Culvert Replacement

Bridge Replacement in kind City of Tonawanda - Remove and replace culvert

6/6/2007 6/6/2007

Exempt Exempt

A19 A10

$1,540,000 $344,000

Miscellaneous Miscellaneous Miscellaneous Miscellaneous

575762 575769 575777 575779

Rt 62 Main St Eden Rt 62 S Park Av & Lake Av Union Rd & Walden Av Niagara Gorge Bike/Ped Trail (Lewiston Scenic Pathway) 575780 Rt 277 Union Rd Streetscape, West 575784 Rt 5 Lake Shore Rd Gateway, Hamburg

Resurfacing and streetscaping Intersection amenities Cheektowaga - Intersection amenities New Trailway; NF to Lewiston

6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007

Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt

C14 C14 C14 C2

$383,000 $387,000 $861,000 $1,763,000

West Seneca - Resurfacing and streetscaping Hamburg - Reconstruction/Undefined final design

6/6/2007 6/6/2007

Exempt Exempt

C14 C3

$860,000 $330,000

575791 Niagara Gorge Corridor Access (North CBD Gateway) 575796 Canisius College Intermodal Parking Facility

Reconfiguration of northern CBD/Gorge access

6/6/2007

Exempt

C3

$1,700,000

Purchase and renovation of parking ramp near rail station Pedestrain Facility Improvement

6/6/2007

Exempt

B8

$1,044,000

6/6/2007

Exempt

C11

$898,000

Information Center Minor Maintenance Minor Maintenance Bridge Replacement Bridge Replacement in kind to capacity Bridge Replacement in kind to capacity Bridge Rehabilitation in kind to capacity Support for regional modeling and corridor microsimulation Bridge Replacement in kind to capacity Safe Routes to School Program Safe Routes to School Program Purchase of trail grooming equipment

6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007

Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt

C14 A19 A19 A19 A19 A19 A19 C3

$44,000 $2,533,000 $2,659,000 $2,000,000 $540,000 $856,000 $1,384,000 $700,000

6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007

Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt

A19 C2 C2 N/A

$403,000 $65,000 $572,000 $162,000

Off-street trail construction

6/6/2007

Exempt

C2

$110,000

ITS Operations

6/6/2007

Exempt

A7

$10,021,030 $51,637,030

AGENCY Miscellaneous Miscellaneous Miscellaneous Miscellaneous

Miscellaneous Miscellaneous Miscellaneous Miscellaneous Miscellaneous Miscellaneous Miscellaneous Miscellaneous Miscellaneous Miscellaneous Miscellaneous Miscellaneous Miscellaneous

575801 575803 575808 575809 575817 575835 575837 575838 575864

Miscellaneous Miscellaneous Miscellaneous Miscellaneous

575868 575894 575896 575948

East Aurora and Roycroft Campus Corp. Beautification Project Historical Lewiston Tourist Welcome Center Local Bridge Maintenance Program, SFY 10/11 Local Bridge Maintenance Program, SFY 11/12 Outer Harbor Access, S Michigan Av Bridge Lower Lake Rd/Fish Creek Bridge Forest Dr/Smokes Creek Bridge Rein Rd/Ellicott Creek Bridge Project Development Technical Services

Ellis Rd Bridge Grand Island SRTS Project Amherst SRTS Project Western New York Snowmobile Club of Boston Groomer and Drag Purchase Miscellaneous 575949 Town of Grand Island Veteran’s Park Access Improvement Project Miscellaneous 580486 NITTEC TOC Annual Staffing SFY 10/11 - 14/15 TOTAL - MISCELLANEOUS

DESCRIPTION Replace grade-separated interchange with roundabout Parking Facility Multi-use trails system Planning Study

ICG APPROVAL DATE 6/6/2007

GBNRTC Conformity Determination (2011-2015 TIP & 2035 LRP) – Final May 2010

p 33


GREATER BUFFALO-NIAGARA REGIONAL TRANSPORTATION COUNCIL 2011-2015 TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT PROGRAM

PROJECT EXEMPT LISTING NYSDOT & NYSTA ICG APPROVAL AQ DATE Status 6/6/2007 Exempt

AQ Exempt Code A19

TOTAL PROJECT COST (To Be Confirmed) $33,538,750

AGENCY NYSDOT

PROJECT PIN 501917 Rt 265 & I-190/ Power Res; I-190/RT 31

DESCRIPTION Bridge Rehabilitation in kind to capacity

NYSDOT

503498 Rt 5 & 20/ Catt Ck

Bridge Rehabilitation in kind to capacity

6/6/2007

Exempt

A19

$21,685,000

NYSDOT

505097 I-190 / Lockport Rd & CSX; Phase 2

6/6/2007

Exempt

A19

$22,338,750

NYSDOT

508622 Sheridan Dr Ext (Rt. 325) @ Kenmore Ave

6/6/2007

Exempt

C3

$6,511,250

NYSDOT

509524 LaSalle Expressway; I-190-Williams Rd, Ph I

Inkind Pavement Reconstion and repair to existing capacity Engineering study to evaluate improvements to intersection + RR X-ing Single Course Overlay in kind to capacity

6/6/2007

Exempt

A10

$34,580,000

NYSDOT NYSDOT NYSDOT NYSDOT

510164 510182 511168 526848

Multi-course Overlay Bridge Deck Replacement Bridge Rehabilitation in kind to capacity Highway/Bridge widening

6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007

Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt

A10 A19 A19 A19

$11,012,500 $6,687,500 $15,131,250 $13,452,500

NYSDOT NYSDOT

530825 Rt 62/Cattaraugus Creek Bridge Replacement 539237 Rt 400 / Rt 240 Harlem Rd

6/6/2007 6/6/2007

Exempt Exempt

A19 A19

$2,112,500 $8,762,500

NYSDOT NYSDOT NYSDOT NYSDOT

539243 541050 551249 575554

6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007

Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt

A19 C3 A19 A7

$635,000 $2,521,250 $9,910,000 $10,700,000

NYSDOT NYSDOT NYSDOT NYSDOT NYSDOT NYSDOT NYSDOT

575942 580665 580776 580777 580783 580784 580815

6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007

Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt

C14 A7 A19 A19 A19 A19 A10

$1,375,000 $1,462,500 $2,825,000 $7,020,000 $2,225,000 $2,925,000 $4,862,500

NYSDOT

580973

6/6/2007

Exempt

A10

$4,387,500

6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007

Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt

A2 A2 A19 A19

$6,250,000 $6,250,000 $5,900,000 $7,375,000 $252,436,250

6/6/2007 6/6/2007 6/6/2007

Exempt Exempt Exempt

C3 C2 A7

$601,000 $3,952,000 $260,000 $4,813,005

NYSDOT 5B1002 NYSDOT 5B1202 NYSDOT 5T1434 NYSDOT 5T1435 TOTAL - NYSDOT

Rt 219, Duerr Rd-I-90 Rt 219/Cattaraugus Creek;Deck Replacement Rt 20/Cazenovia Creek Bridge Rt 240; Mineral Springs Rd-Clinton St

Bridge Superstructure Replacement Inkind Bridge Reconstruction and repair to existing capacity Rt 400/Rt 16 Bridge Deck Replacement Bridge Deck Replacement Planning Study for Intersection realignment Rt 957A (Robert Moses Pkwy) Trail @ Main St Rt 33/Deck Rehabilitation Ph I Bridge Deck Replacement ITS / Incident Management Phase 4 Installation of Freeway Management System: Surveillance Cameras, Detectors, Signs Outer Harbor Enhancements Waterfront trails and Screetscaping ITS Contract Maintenance, NHS SFY 11/12 Operations Bridge painting PMI-Bridge Painting; SFY 10/11 PMI-Bridge Painting; SFY 11/12 Bridge painting Bridge cleaning PMI-Bridge Cleaning; SFY 10/11 Bridge cleaning PMI-Bridge Cleaning; SFY 11/12 Rt 952G (Church St Art) Gateway; I-190 Terminus Boulevard Streetscape Project containing no to Main St; Ph 1 capacity nor widening improvements MOF-Regional Arterial Management System, Ph II; ITS SFY 11/12 Bridge Inspection Local Bridge Inspections; SFY 10/11-11/12 Local Bridge Inspections; SFY 12/13-13/14 Bridge Inspection Bridge Rehabilitation in kind to capacity PMI-Bridge Maintenance Let; SFY 11/12 Bridge Rehabilitation in kind to capacity PMI-Bridge Maintenance Let; SFY 12/13

Thruway 552830 Corridor Study; I-90 NYS Thruway Corridor Thruway 575664 Amherst to Lockport Canalway Trail Thruway 575816 ITS Phase 4B I-190, I-190-N GI Bridge TOTAL - THRUWAY

Alternatives Study I-190 to Rt 78 Multi-use trails system ITS

GBNRTC Conformity Determination (2011-2015 TIP & 2035 LRP) – Final May 2010

p 34


GREATER BUFFALO-NIAGARA REGIONAL TRANSPORTATION COUNCIL 2011-2015 TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT PROGRAM

PROJECT EXEMPT LISTING NFTA

NFTA

Miscellaneous Equipment 5T1768 5T1674 Training

ICG APPROVAL DESCRIPTION DATE Purchase Replacement Buses 6/6/2007 Purchase Replacement Buses 6/6/2007 Purchase Replacement Buses 3/4/2010 Purchase Replacement Buses 3/4/2010 Purchase Replacement Buses 3/4/2010 Section 5307 Program, Bus service vehicles 6/6/2007 6/6/2007 Section 5307 Program, Bus service vehicles 3/4/2010 Section 5307 Program, Bus service vehicles Section 5307 Program, Bus service vehicles 3/4/2010 Section 5307 Program, Bus service vehicles 3/4/2010 6/6/2007 Section 5307 Program, ITS 6/6/2007 Section 5307 Program, ITS Section 5307 Program, ITS 3/4/2010 Section 5307 Program, ITS 3/4/2010 3/4/2010 Section 5307 Program, ITS Section 5307 Program, Bus/Garage/Maintenance 6/6/2007 Facility Section 5307 Program, Bus/Garage/Maintenance 6/6/2007 Facility Section 5307 Program, Bus/Garage/Maintenance 3/4/2010 Facility Section 5307 Program, Bus/Garage/Maintenance 3/4/2010 Facility Section 5307 Program, Bus/Garage/Maintenance 3/4/2010 Facility Section 5307 Program, Buses 6/6/2007 3/4/2010 Section 5307 Program, Buses 3/4/2010 Section 5307 Program, Buses Section 5307 Program, Buses 3/4/2010 Section 5307 Program, Buses 3/4/2010 6/6/2007 Section 5307 Program, Bus/Garage/Maintenance Facility Section 5307 Program, Bus/Garage/Maintenance 6/6/2007 Facility Section 5307 Program, Bus/Garage/Maintenance 3/4/2010 Facility Section 5307 Program, Bus/Garage/Maintenance 3/4/2010 Facility Section 5307 Program, Bus/Garage/Maintenance 3/4/2010 Facility Section 5307 Program, Transit Operating Facility 6/6/2007

NFTA

5T1675 Training

Section 5307 Program, Transit Operating Facility

6/6/2007

Exempt

C4

$100,000

Training

Section 5307 Program, Transit Operating Facility

3/4/2010

Exempt

C4

$104,000

Training

Section 5307 Program, Transit Operating Facility

3/4/2010

Exempt

C4

$107,000

Training

Section 5307 Program, Transit Operating Facility

3/4/2010

Exempt

C4

$111,000

PROJECT

AGENCY NFTA NFTA NFTA NFTA NFTA NFTA NFTA NFTA NFTA NFTA NFTA NFTA NFTA NFTA NFTA NFTA

PIN 5T1645 5T1646 5T1750 5T1751 5T1752 5T1650 5T1651 5T1753 5T1754 5T1755 5T1655 5T1656 5T1756 5T1757 5T1758 5T1660

NFTA

5T1661 Bus Facility Rehabilitation

NFTA

Purchase Buses Purchase Buses Purchase Buses Purchase Buses Purchase Buses Non-Revenue Vehicles Non-Revenue Vehicles Non-Revenue Vehicles Non-Revenue Vehicles Non-Revenue Vehicles ADP software/hardware ADP software/hardware ADP software/hardware ADP software/hardware ADP software/hardware Bus Facility Rehabilitation

Bus Facility Rehabilitation 5T1759

NFTA

Bus Facility Rehabilitation 5T1760

NFTA

Bus Facility Rehabilitation

NFTA NFTA NFTA NFTA NFTA NFTA

5T1761 5T1665 5T1762 5T1763 5T1764 5T1765 5T1669

NFTA

5T1670 Miscellaneous Equipment

NFTA

Purchase Paratransit Vehicles Purchase Paratransit Vehicles Purchase Paratransit Vehicles Purchase Paratransit Vehicles Purchase Paratransit Vehicles Miscellaneous Equipment

Miscellaneous Equipment 5T1766

NFTA

Miscellaneous Equipment 5T1767

NFTA

NFTA

AQ Status Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt

AQ Exempt Code B10 B10 B10 B10 B10 B10 B10 B10 B10 B10 B5 B5 B5 B5 B5 B8

Exempt

B8

$1,950,000

Exempt

B8

$2,027,000

Exempt

B8

$2,107,000

Exempt

B8

$2,191,000

Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt

B10 B10 B10 B10 B10 B4

$620,000 $682,000 $644,000 $670,000 $696,000 $500,000

Exempt

B4

$500,000

Exempt

B4

$520,000

Exempt

B4

$541,000

Exempt

B4

$562,000

Exempt

C4

$95,000

TOTAL PROJECT COST $5,715,000 $5,080,000 $5,715,000 $5,715,000 $6,716,000 $305,000 $300,000 $313,000 $325,000 $338,000 $35,000 $28,000 $30,000 $31,000 $33,000 $475,000

5T1769 NFTA 5T1770 NFTA 5T1771

GBNRTC Conformity Determination (2011-2015 TIP & 2035 LRP) – Final May 2010

p 35


GREATER BUFFALO-NIAGARA REGIONAL TRANSPORTATION COUNCIL 2011-2015 TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT PROGRAM

PROJECT EXEMPT LISTING NFTA (Continued) NFTA

5T1679 Associated Capital Maintenance

NFTA

5T1680 Associated Capital Maintenance

NFTA

Associated Capital Maintenance 5T1772

NFTA

Associated Capital Maintenance 5T1773

NFTA NFTA

Associated Capital Maintenance 5T1774 5T1684 Paratransit Operating Assistance

NFTA

5T1685 Paratransit Operating Assistance

NFTA

Paratransit Operating Assistance 5T1775

NFTA

Paratransit Operating Assistance 5T1776

NFTA NFTA

Paratransit Operating Assistance 5T1777 5T1689 Preventive Maintenance

NFTA

5T1690 Preventive Maintenance

NFTA

Preventive Maintenance 5T1778

NFTA

Preventive Maintenance 5T1779

NFTA NFTA

Preventive Maintenance 5T1780 5T1694 Transit Enhancements/Bus Shelters

NFTA

5T1695 Transit Enhancements/Bus Shelters

NFTA

Transit Enhancements/Bus Shelters 5T1781

NFTA

Transit Enhancements/Bus Shelters 5T1782

NFTA

Transit Enhancements/Bus Shelters 5T1783

Section 5307 Program, Transit Preventive Maintenance Section 5307 Program, Transit Preventive Maintenance Section 5307 Program, Transit Preventive Maintenance Section 5307 Program, Transit Preventive Maintenance Section 5307 Program, Transit Preventive Maintenance Section 5307 Program, Transit Operating Assistance Section 5307 Program, Transit Operating Assistance Section 5307 Program, Transit Operating Assistance Section 5307 Program, Transit Operating Assistance Section 5307 Program, Transit Operating Assistance Section 5307 Program, Transit Preventive Maintenance Section 5307 Program, Transit Preventive Maintenance Section 5307 Program, Transit Preventive Maintenance Section 5307 Program, Transit Preventive Maintenance Section 5307 Program, Transit Preventive Maintenance Section 5307 Program, Promotion/Public Education Section 5307 Program, Promotion/Public Education Section 5307 Program, Promotion/Public Education Section 5307 Program, Promotion/Public Education Section 5307 Program, Promotion/Public Education

GBNRTC Conformity Determination (2011-2015 TIP & 2035 LRP) – Final May 2010

6/6/2007

Exempt

B5

$467,000

6/6/2007

Exempt

B5

$476,000

3/4/2010

Exempt

B5

$495,000

3/4/2010

Exempt

B5

$515,000

3/4/2010

Exempt

B5

$535,000

6/6/2007

Exempt

B1

$2,749,000

6/6/2007

Exempt

B1

$2,779,000

3/4/2010

Exempt

B1

$2,853,000

3/4/2010

Exempt

B1

$2,967,000

3/4/2010

Exempt

B1

$3,085,000

6/6/2007

Exempt

B1

$10,457,000

6/6/2007

Exempt

B1

$10,614,000

3/4/2010

Exempt

B1

$10,875,000

3/4/2010

Exempt

B1

$11,308,000

3/4/2010

Exempt

B1

$11,761,000

6/6/2007

Exempt

B7

$275,000

6/6/2007

Exempt

B7

$278,000

3/4/2010

Exempt

B7

$289,000

3/4/2010

Exempt

B7

$300,000

3/4/2010

Exempt

B7

$313,000

p 36


GREATER BUFFALO-NIAGARA REGIONAL TRANSPORTATION COUNCIL 2011-2015 TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT PROGRAM

PROJECT EXEMPT LISTING NFTA (Continued) NFTA

5T1702 Project Administration

NFTA

5T1703 Project Administration

NFTA

Project Administration 5T1784

NFTA

Project Administration 5T1785

NFTA NFTA NFTA NFTA NFTA NFTA

Project Administration 5T1786 5T1696 LVR TC Carborne ATP System 5T1697 Station Panel Liner Replacement 5T1787 Train Control and SCADA Railcar Rebuild 5T1707 Job Access/Reverse Commute

NFTA

5T1708 Job Access/Reverse Commute

NFTA

Job Access/Reverse Commute 5T1788

NFTA

Job Access/Reverse Commute 5T1789

NFTA NFTA

Job Access/Reverse Commute 5T1790 5T1712 New Freedom Transit Program

NFTA

5T1713 New Freedom Transit Program

NFTA

New Freedom Transit Program 5T1791

NFTA

New Freedom Transit Program 5T1792

NFTA NFTA

New Freedom Transit Program 5T1793 5T1794 Elderly & Handicapped Srv

NFTA

5T1795 Elderly & Handicapped Srv

NFTA

5T1796 Elderly & Handicapped Srv

NFTA

5T1797 Elderly & Handicapped Srv

NFTA

5T1798 Elderly & Handicapped Srv

Section 5307 Program, Transit Planning and Administration Section 5307 Program, Transit Planning and Administration Section 5307 Program, Transit Planning and Administration Section 5307 Program, Transit Planning and Administration Section 5307 Program, Transit Planning and Administration N/A Rail Station Rail Station Section 5316 Program, Transit Operating Assistance - Regional Initiatives Section 5316 Program, Transit Operating Assistance - Regional Initiatives Section 5316 Program, Transit Operating Assistance - Regional Initiatives Section 5316 Program, Transit Operating Assistance - Regional Initiatives Section 5316 Program, Transit Operating Assistance - Regional Initiatives Section 5317 Program, Transit Operating Assistance - Regional Initiatives Section 5317 Program, Transit Operating Assistance - Regional Initiatives Section 5317 Program, Transit Operating Assistance - Regional Initiatives Section 5317 Program, Transit Operating Assistance - Regional Initiatives Section 5317 Program, Transit Operating Assistance - Regional Initiatives Section 5310 Elderly & Handicapped Transit Operating Assistance - Regional Initiatives Section 5310 Elderly & Handicapped Transit Operating Assistance - Regional Initiatives Section 5310 Elderly & Handicapped Transit Operating Assistance - Regional Initiatives Section 5310 Elderly & Handicapped Transit Operating Assistance - Regional Initiatives Section 5310 Elderly & Handicapped Transit Operating Assistance - Regional Initiatives

TOTAL - NFTA

GBNRTC Conformity Determination (2011-2015 TIP & 2035 LRP) – Final May 2010

6/6/2007

Exempt

B1

$190,000

6/6/2007

Exempt

B1

$200,000

3/4/2010

Exempt

B1

$198,000

3/4/2010

Exempt

B1

$205,000

3/4/2010

Exempt

B1

$213,000

6/6/2007 6/6/2007 3/4/2010

Exempt Exempt Exempt

B5 B8 B8

6/6/2007

Exempt

B1

$3,165,000 $3,602,000 $5,540,000 $9,600,000 $1,100,000

6/6/2007

Exempt

B1

$1,100,000

3/4/2010

Exempt

B1

$1,100,000

3/4/2010

Exempt

B1

$1,100,000

3/4/2010

Exempt

B1

$1,100,000

6/6/2007

Exempt

B1

$646,000

6/6/2007

Exempt

B1

$646,000

3/4/2010

Exempt

B1

$646,000

3/4/2010

Exempt

B1

$646,000

3/4/2010

Exempt

B1

$646,000

3/4/2010

Exempt

B1

$1,578,000

3/4/2010

Exempt

B1

$1,578,000

3/4/2010

Exempt

B1

$1,578,000

3/4/2010

Exempt

B1

$1,578,000

3/4/2010

Exempt

B1

$1,578,000 $158,805,000

p 37


GREATER BUFFALO-NIAGARA REGIONAL TRANSPORTATION COUNCIL 2011-2015 TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT PROGRAM

*** NEW EXEMPT CANDIDATE LISTING *** PIN AGENCY PROJECT 504101 NYSDOT RT 438 OVER I-90 RT 39/FISHER BRIDGE REPLACEMENTS; 510538 NYSDOT PHASE 1 277 277 53011180 BRIDGE CROSSING 33 33 513137 NYSDOT 53012023 COUNTY PARK ROAD BRIDGE CROSSING 513138 NYSDOT 277 277 53011033 78 78 53021216 BRIDGE CROSSING 520959 NYSDOT SCAJAQUADA CREEK ELMWOOD AVE BRIDGE CROSSING 198 198 547030 NYSDOT 53011014 551244 NYSDOT RT 33; RT 198-DICK RD 551253 NYSDOT PED BRIDGES OVER RT 33 554516 NYSDOT PMI-RT 75;DEACON ST TO RT 5 290I 290I530111017 BRIDGE CROSSING 265 558044 NYSDOT 265 53012025 290I 290I530111017 BRIDGE CROSSING 265 558044 NYSDOT 265 53012025 290I 290I530111030 BRIDGE CROSSING 558044 NYSDOT NFTA - OUT OF SVC 290I 290I530111030 BRIDGE CROSSING 558044 NYSDOT NFTA - OUT OF SVC 558045 NYSDOT I-290 BRIDGES OVER RT 384

575905 580690 580691 580738 580740 580778 580779 580780 580781 580785

NYSDOT NYSDOT NYSDOT NYSDOT NYSDOT NYSDOT NYSDOT NYSDOT NYSDOT NYSDOT

ITS/INC MGMT PHASE 4C, NYSDOT DRAINAGE; SFY 11/12 DRAINAGE; SFY 12/13 ITS MAINT; SFY 13/14 DRAINAGE; SFY 13/14 PMI-BRIDGE PAINTING; SFY 12/13 PMI-BRIDGE PAINTING; SFY 13/14 PMI-BRIDGE PAINTING; SFY 14/15 PMI-BRIDGE PAINTING; SFY 15/16 PMI-BRIDGE CLEANING; SFY 12/13

ICG AQ Exempt Approval Code Date A19 3/4/2010

DESCRIPTION Bridge Replacement

AQ Status Exempt

Bridge Replacement

Exempt

A19

3/4/2010

Bridge Rehabilitation

Exempt

A19

3/4/2010

Bridge Rehabilitation

Exempt

A19

3/4/2010

Bridge Rehabilitation

Exempt

A19

3/4/2010

Bridge Replacement Multi Course Overlay Bridge Replacement PMI

Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt

A19 A10 A19 A10

3/4/2010 3/4/2010 3/4/2010 3/4/2010

Bridge Rehabilitation

Exempt

A19

3/4/2010

Bridge Rehabilitation

Exempt

A19

3/4/2010

Bridge Rehabilitation

Exempt

A19

3/4/2010

Bridge Rehabilitation Bridge Repair ITS/INC Mgmt - Event warning system to notify drivers of unusual travel conditions Drainage Drainage ITS Maint Drainage Bridge Painting Bridge Painting Bridge Painting Bridge Painting Bridge Painting

Exempt Exempt

A19 A19

3/4/2010 3/4/2010

$5,000,000.00

Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt

A7 A2 A2 A7 A2 A19 A19 A19 A19 A19

3/18/2010 3/4/2010 3/4/2010 3/4/2010 3/4/2010 3/4/2010 3/4/2010 3/4/2010 3/4/2010 3/4/2010

$6,500,000.00 $2,150,000.00 $2,700,000.00 $1,500,000.00 $4,300,000.00 $5,000,000.00 $5,000,000.00 $5,000,000.00 $5,000,000.00 $2,000,000.00

GBNRTC Conformity Determination (2011-2015 TIP & 2035 LRP) – Final May 2010

Total Project Cost $238,000.00 $900,000.00

$10,800,000.00 $2,020,000.00 $1,150,000.00

p 38


GREATER BUFFALO-NIAGARA REGIONAL TRANSPORTATION COUNCIL 2011-2015 TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT PROGRAM

*** NEW EXEMPT CANDIDATE LISTING *** PIN 580786 580787 580788 580801 580802 580810 580811 580826 580828 580829

AGENCY NYSDOT NYSDOT NYSDOT NYSDOT NYSDOT NYSDOT NYSDOT NYSDOT NYSDOT NYSDOT

580980 NYSDOT 580995 NYSDOT 581035 NYSDOT 581050 NYSDOT 581053 NYSDOT 581105 NYSDOT 581106 NYSDOT 581109 581110 581111 581119 581128 581129

NYSDOT NYSDOT NYSDOT NYSDOT NYSDOT NYSDOT

581130 NYSDOT 581131 NYSDOT 581132 NYSDOT 581133 NYSDOT 581134 NYSDOT 581136 NYSDOT 581137 NYSDOT

PROJECT PMI-BRIDGE CLEANING; SFY 13/14 PMI-BRIDGE CLEANING; SFY 14/15 PMI-BRIDGE CLEANING; SFY 15/16 DRAINAGE; SFY 14/15 DRAINAGE; SFY 15/16 ITS MAINT; SFY 14/15 ITS MAINT; SFY 15/16 ADA COMPLIANCE PROJECT; SFY 12/13 ADA COMPLIANCE PROJECT; SFY 14/15 ADA COMPLIANCE PROJECT; SFY 15/16 OPERATIONAL SYSTEMS IMPROVEMENTS SFY 15/16 BIKE/PED BLOCK PROJECT SFY 15/16 RTS 20, 93, 270, 354; LARGE CULVERT REPLACEMENTS; SFY 11/12 PMI-RT 62; WALMORE TO MILITARY MOF-REGIONAL ARTERIAL MANAGEMENT SYSTEM;PHASE 2B ITS MAINT SFY 12/13 WALDEN AVE @ GALLERIA DRIVE INTERSECTION WALDEN @ CENTRAL BIKE/PED SFY 13/14 BIKE/PED SFY 14/15 GI BLVD TRAIL PMI-NY RT 325; NY RT 266 - NY RT 324 PMI-NY RT 78; NY RT 5 - ROLL PMI-NY RT 324; DELAWARE RD - EGGERT RD PMI-952Q (WALDEN AVE); NY RT 240 - I-90 PMI-US RT 62; I-290 -ELLICOTT CREEK RD PMI-US RT 20 & NY RT 5;RT 20; RT 5-RT 249&RT 5; RT 20-RT 249 PMI-US RT 20; RT 249 -EDEN -EVANS CENTER RD PMI-RT 5; KENNEDY -BEACH RD PMI-RT 62, EC LINE to North Tonawanda

DESCRIPTION AQ Status Bridge Painting Exempt Bridge Cleaning Exempt Bridge Cleaning Exempt Drainage Exempt Drainage Exempt ITS Maint Exempt ITS Maint Exempt ADA Compliance Exempt ADA Compliance Exempt ADA Compliance Exempt 'Operational Systems Improvements Individual Intersection Treatments TBD Exempt Bike/Ped Block Exempt

ICG AQ Exempt Approval Code Date A19 3/4/2010 A19 3/4/2010 A19 3/4/2010 A2 3/4/2010 A2 3/4/2010 C13 3/4/2010 C13 3/4/2010 C14 3/4/2010 C14 3/4/2010 C14 3/4/2010

Total Project Cost $2,000,000.00 $2,000,000.00 $2,000,000.00 $4,300,000.00 $4,300,000.00 $1,500,000.00 $1,500,000.00 $1,000,000.00 $1,000,000.00 $1,500,000.00

D2 C2

3/18/2010 3/4/2010

$1,500,000.00 $500,000.00

Culvert Replacement PMI

Exempt Exempt

A4 A10

3/4/2010 3/4/2010

$1,100,000.00 $825,000.00

Regional Arterial Management ITS Maint Intersection Rehabilitation - Left Turn Bay Extension <500' Intersection Rehabilitation - Left Turn Bay Extension <500' Bike/Ped Bike/Ped Bike/Ped Trail PMI PMI

Exempt Exempt

C13 C13

3/4/2010 3/4/2010

$1,500,000.00 $1,500,000.00

Exempt

D1

3/18/2010

$2,500,000.00

Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt

D1 C2 C2 C2 A10 A10

3/18/2010 3/4/2010 3/4/2010 3/4/2010 3/4/2010 3/4/2010

$2,500,000.00 $500,000.00 $500,000.00 $1,600,000.00 $475,000.00 $1,440,000.00

PMI PMI PMI

Exempt Exempt Exempt

A10 A10 A10

3/4/2010 3/4/2010 3/4/2010

$1,750,000.00 $230,000.00 $390,000.00

PMI

Exempt

A10

3/4/2010

$601,000.00

PMI PMI PMI

Exempt Exempt Exempt

A10 A10 A10

3/4/2010 3/4/2010 3/4/2010

$661,000.00 $280,000.00 $68,000.00

GBNRTC Conformity Determination (2011-2015 TIP & 2035 LRP) – Final May 2010

p 39


GREATER BUFFALO-NIAGARA REGIONAL TRANSPORTATION COUNCIL 2011-2015 TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT PROGRAM

*** NEW EXEMPT CANDIDATE LISTING *** PIN 581138 5T1441 5T1453 5T1454 5T1524 5T1533 5T1534 5T1535 5T1536 5T1538 5T1627 5T1628 5V1031 5V1032 5V1033 5V1041 5V1051 5V1132 5V1133 5V1152 5V1154 5V1155

AGENCY PROJECT PINE STREET BRIDGE CROSSING ERIE NYSDOT CANAL NYSDOT PMI-PAVT MAINT LET & VPP; SFY 12/13 NYSDOT SAFETY BLOCK; SFY 12/13 NYSDOT SAFETY BLOCK; SFY 13/14 NYSDOT PMI-BRIDGE MAINT LET; SFY 13/14 NYSDOT PMI-BRIDGE MAINT LET; SFY 14/15 NYSDOT PMI-PAVT MAINT LET & VPP; SFY 13/14 NYSDOT PMI-PAVT MAINT LET & VPP; SFY 14/15 NYSDOT PMI-PAVT MAINT LET & VPP; SFY 15/16 NYSDOT PMI-BRIDGE MAINT LET; SF 15/16 NYSDOT SAFETY BLOCK; SFY 14/15 NYSDOT STP-SAFETY BLOCK; SFY 15/16 NYSDOT VPP-RT 324 & RT 62 VPP-RT 266; SOUTH GRAND ISLAND NYSDOT BRIDGE-TONAWANDA SOUTH CL VPP-RT 277;GEORGE URBAN BLVD (NORTH NYSDOT JUNCTION)-WHERLE DR NYSDOT VPP-RT 5; STURGEON POINT-DELAMETER NYSDOT VPP-RT 104; QUAKER RD-ORLEANS CLN NYSDOT VPP-NY RT 263; I-990 - NY RT 78 VPP-US RT 20; FRENCH RD - CAYUGA NYSDOT CREEK VPP-NY RT 104; LEWISTON VILLAGE LINE NYSDOT RT 429 NYSDOT VPP-RT 425; RT 31 - UPPER MOUNTAIN RD NYSDOT VPP-RT 31; HYDE PARK BLVD - RT 429 NFTA CMAQ Purchase of Replacement Buses

DESCRIPTION

AQ Status

ICG AQ Exempt Approval Code Date

Total Project Cost

Bridge Rehabilitation Pavt Maint Safety Block Safety Block Bridge Maint Bridge Maint Pavt Maint Pavt Maint Pavt Maint Bridge Maint Safety Block Safety Block VPP

Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt

A19 A10 A6 A6 A19 A19 A10 A10 A10 A19 A6 A6 A6

3/4/2010 3/4/2010 3/4/2010 3/4/2010 3/4/2010 3/4/2010 3/4/2010 3/4/2010 3/4/2010 3/4/2010 3/4/2010 3/4/2010 3/4/2010

$22,000,000.00 $1,000,000.00 $1,000,000.00 $5,000,000.00 $5,000,000.00 $22,000,000.00 $22,000,000.00 $22,000,000.00 $5,000,000.00 $1,000,000.00 $1,000,000.00 $750,000.00

VPP

Exempt

A6

3/4/2010

$350,000.00

VPP VPP VPP VPP

Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt

A6 A6 A6 A6

3/4/2010 3/4/2010 3/4/2010 3/4/2010

$675,000.00 $250,000.00 $850,000.00 $605,000.00

VPP

Exempt

A6

3/4/2010

$460,000.00

VPP VPP VPP Buses

Exempt Exempt Exempt Exempt

A6 A6 A6 B10

3/4/2010 3/4/2010 3/4/2010

$1,150,000.00 $225,000.00 $1,170,000.00 $5,000,000.00

GBNRTC Conformity Determination (2011-2015 TIP & 2035 LRP) – Final May 2010

p 40


ATTACHMENT D 2035 Long Range Transportation Plan Non-Exempt, Exempt, and Regionally Significant Project Listing

GBNRTC Conformity Determination (2011-2015 TIP & 2035 LRP) – Final May 2010

p 41


GBNRTC Conformity Determination (2011-2015 TIP & 2035 LRP) – Final May 2010

p 42


GBNRTC Conformity Determination (2011-2015 TIP & 2035 LRP) – Final May 2010

p 43


ATTACHMENT E Post Processor Emissions Process and Worksheets

GBNRTC Conformity Determination (2011-2015 TIP & 2035 LRP) – Final May 2010

p 44


Post Processor Methodology With assistance from NYSDOT/NYSDEC personnel the following in-house method for determining emissions levels was developed to reduce the turnaround time for conformity analysis. Under direction of the above agencies GBNRTC used data output from the TransCAD modeling program to directly determine pollutant emission reductions benefits for the 2011-2015 TIP and 2035 Long Range Transportation Plan. Determination of emissions levels was accomplished using the following procedure: Determination of emissions levels was accomplished using the following procedure: STEP 1 - A model assignment run was performed on each scenario to generate VMT and average speeds per facility type per one hour time period (AM peak, Mid-day peak, PM peak, Night peak) STEP 2 - The generated facility VMT for each assignment hour was factored up to a 24-hour figure using the following factors: AM Peak Hour = 2.62 Mid-day Peak Hour = 4.50 PM Peak Hour = 2.73 Night Peak Hour = 5.40 STEP 3 - Since the Buffalo-Niagara Area is designated non-attainment for the summer pollutant ozone, the daily VMT is seasonally adjusted to provide an estimate of typical daily summer traffic. The seasonal adjustment factors used in the regional emissions analysis are based on NYSDOT's Work Week Seasonal Adjustment Factors for 2009 Traffic Count Processing as issued in 2009. Factor Group 30 (1.12) is applied to urban facility types and Factor Group 40 (1.16) is applied to rural facility types. STEP 4 - The factored facility type VMT and speeds were applied to the MOBILE 6.2 Emissions Tables to produce grams of pollutants. STEP 5 - Grams of pollutants are converted to tons using the factor 0.0000011.

GBNRTC Conformity Determination (2011-2015 TIP & 2035 LRP) – Final May 2010

p 45


2015 BUILD TRIP TABLE (AM Peak hour) Road Type

2015 Network Description

VMT

Speed

11 12 14 16 17 02 06 07 19

Interstate Expressway Principal Arterial Minor Arterial Urban Collector R- Principal Arterial R- Minor Arterial R- Major Collector Local

1,004,237 447,552 937,053 893,589 235,983 99,759 158,329 110,175 7,695

49.2 45.2 27.5 28.6 26.2 25.3 25.1 22.6 26.5

3,894,371

VMT Hourly

Seasonal Adjustment

Pk. Hour VMT (2.62)

VOC Factor

NOx Factor

0.32 0.33 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.41 0.41 0.40 0.37

0.52 0.50 0.39 0.39 0.37 0.53 0.53 0.45 0.36

383,296 170,821 357,654 341,064 90,070 38,076 60,431 42,052 2,937

429,292 191,320 400,572 381,992 100,878 44,168 70,100 48,780 3,290

1,124,745 501,258 1,049,499 1,000,819 264,301 115,720 183,661 127,803 8,619

1,486,401

1,670,392

4,376,426

VOC (grams) NOx (grams) Emissions Emissions

361656.3903 165191.5942 393282.8262 368461.5914 98605.1886 47248.9491 75178.5747 51659.1593 3196.5035

NOx (Tons) Emissions

0.3978 0.1817 0.4326 0.4053 0.1085 0.0520 0.0827 0.0568 0.0035

0.6395 0.2762 0.4559 0.4323 0.1062 0.0674 0.1070 0.0639 0.0035

1,956,292

1.72

2.15

VOC (grams) NOx (grams) Emissions Emissions

VOC (Tons) Emissions

NOx (Tons) Emissions

1,564,481

581391.5417 251076.3973 414459.0324 393041.7723 96571.9418 61266.1439 97299.5764 58049.3311 3136.4985

VOC (Tons) Emissions

2015 BUILD TRIP TABLE (Midday Peak hour) Road Type

2015 Network Description

11 12 14 16 17 02 06 07 19

Interstate Expressway Principal Arterial Minor Arterial Urban Collector R- Principal Arterial R- Minor Arterial R- Major Collector Local

VMT

1,510,560 660,964 1,388,575 1,291,493 338,202 162,120 266,880 156,802 10,622

Speed

52.5 47.7 29.1 30.1 27.1 23.9 25.2 22.9 27.1

VMT Hourly

Seasonal Adjustment

Pk. Hour VMT (4.50)

VOC Factor

NOx Factor

0.32 0.32 0.37 0.36 0.37 0.42 0.41 0.40 0.37

0.53 0.51 0.39 0.39 0.36 0.54 0.53 0.45 0.36

335,680 146,881 308,572 286,999 75,156 36,027 59,307 34,845 2,360

375,962 164,506 345,601 321,438 84,175 41,791 68,796 40,420 2,644

1,691,827 740,279 1,555,204 1,446,473 378,787 188,059 309,581 181,890 11,896

5,786,217

1,285,826

1,445,332

6,503,995

VMT

VMT Hourly

541384.6607 240243.5771 567936.1117 520427.1253 139063.3777 78712.2995 126623.6520 73215.7012 4368.7329

0.5955 0.2643 0.6247 0.5725 0.1530 0.0866 0.1393 0.0805 0.0048

0.9955 0.4161 0.6701 0.6204 0.1506 0.1110 0.1804 0.0905 0.0047

2,944,812

2.52

3.24

VOC (grams) NOx (grams) Emissions Emissions

VOC (Tons) Emissions

NOx (Tons) Emissions

2,291,975

905020.8056 378236.6908 609217.0699 563972.8220 136900.6921 100877.3721 163976.3250 82310.2026 4300.3672

2015 BUILD TRIP TABLE (PM Peak hour) Road Type

2015 Network Description

11 12 14 16 17 02 06 07 19

Interstate Expressway Principal Arterial Minor Arterial Urban Collector R- Principal Arterial R- Minor Arterial R- Major Collector Local

1,778,953 765,621 1,336,668 1,356,973 369,968 194,139 311,601 260,447 13,855

Speed

38.7 38.8 24.1 25.9 24.4 18.3 17.1 20.0 26.1

6,388,225

Seasonal Adjustment

Pk. Hour VMT (2.73)

VOC Factor

NOx Factor

0.34 0.34 0.40 0.38 0.38 0.48 0.50 0.42 0.37

0.48 0.48 0.40 0.40 0.37 0.58 0.59 0.47 0.37

651,631 280,447 489,622 497,060 135,520 71,113 114,140 95,402 5,075

729,827 314,101 548,377 556,707 151,782 82,492 132,402 110,666 5,684

1,992,427 857,495 1,497,068 1,519,809 414,365 225,202 361,457 302,119 15,517

2,340,009

2,632,036

7,185,459

682803.2511 293664.6709 592315.7189 584069.9544 158875.2431 108231.9900 181523.7350 126857.7128 5791.9220

0.7511 0.3230 0.6515 0.6425 0.1748 0.1191 0.1997 0.1395 0.0064

1.0461 0.4504 0.6649 0.6655 0.1697 0.1429 0.2342 0.1562 0.0062

3,214,708

3.01

3.54

VOC (grams) NOx (grams) Emissions Emissions

VOC (Tons) Emissions

NOx (Tons) Emissions

2,734,134

950987.2099 409481.4355 604466.6488 605038.4753 154259.3567 129941.4445 212898.2077 141963.6482 5671.6388

2015 BUILD TRIP TABLE (Night Time Peak hour) Road Type

2015 Network Description

11 12 14 16 17 02 06 07 19

Interstate Expressway Principal Arterial Minor Arterial Urban Collector R- Principal Arterial R- Minor Arterial R- Major Collector Local

VMT

2,142,432 890,643 1,413,413 1,309,255 321,365 221,048 371,312 213,051 8,275 6,890,794

Speed

50.8 46.4 30.0 30.9 27.8 23.1 23.6 22.5 27.3

VMT Hourly

Seasonal Adjustment

Pk. Hour VMT (5.40)

VOC Factor

NOx Factor

0.32 0.33 0.34 0.36 0.36 0.43 0.42 0.40 0.37

0.53 0.51 0.38 0.39 0.36 0.54 0.54 0.45 0.36

396,747 164,934 261,743 242,455 59,512 40,935 68,762 39,454 1,532

444,356 184,726 293,152 271,549 66,653 47,484 79,763 45,766 1,716

2,399,524 997,521 1,583,023 1,466,366 359,929 256,416 430,722 247,139 9,268

1,276,073

1,435,168

7,749,906

DAILY VMT

25,815,787

767847.5388 326396.1155 538347.8793 522666.8377 130750.8697 109028.0309 181537.4473 100068.3364 3391.2093 2,680,034

1259974.5307 504331.7251 601608.7070 569270.2617 129158.9367 138823.5559 231988.7602 112425.2820 3342.0420 3,550,924

Build Tons of Emissions

GBNRTC Conformity Determination (2011-2015 TIP & 2035 LRP) – Final May 2010

0.8446 0.3590 0.5922 0.5749 0.1438 0.1199 0.1997 0.1101 0.0037

1.3860 0.5548 0.6618 0.6262 0.1421 0.1527 0.2552 0.1237 0.0037

2.95

3.91

10.198

12.833

p 46


2015 NO BUILD TRIP TABLE (AM Peak hour) Road Type

2015 Network Description

VMT

Speed

11 12 14 16 17 02 06 07 19

Interstate Expressway Principal Arterial Minor Arterial Urban Collector R- Principal Arterial R- Minor Arterial R- Major Collector Local

1,005,428 448,400 938,379 889,820 236,577 99,543 156,528 110,010 7,551

49.2 45.1 27.6 28.7 26.1 25.2 25.2 22.7 26.5

3,892,235

VMT Hourly

Seasonal Adjustment

Pk. Hour VMT (2.62)

VOC Factor

NOx Factor

0.32 0.33 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.41 0.41 0.40 0.37

0.52 0.50 0.39 0.39 0.37 0.53 0.53 0.45 0.36

383,751 171,145 358,160 339,626 90,296 37,993 59,744 41,988 2,882

429,801 191,682 401,139 380,381 101,132 44,072 69,303 48,707 3,228

1,126,079 502,208 1,050,985 996,598 264,966 115,470 181,573 127,611 8,457

1,485,586

1,669,445

4,373,947

VOC (grams) NOx (grams) Emissions Emissions

362173.1693 165598.0490 393697.2154 366835.2761 98983.6610 47196.8963 74203.4545 51566.3260 3136.9988

NOx (Tons) Emissions

0.3984 0.1822 0.4331 0.4035 0.1089 0.0519 0.0816 0.0567 0.0035

0.6401 0.2765 0.4565 0.4305 0.1066 0.0673 0.1058 0.0637 0.0034

1,954,859

1.72

2.15

VOC (grams) NOx (grams) Emissions Emissions

VOC (Tons) Emissions

NOx (Tons) Emissions

1,563,391

581905.6049 251364.8125 414998.2560 391359.9135 96901.7791 61150.3084 96153.1533 57946.8961 3078.0188

VOC (Tons) Emissions

2015 NO BUILD TRIP TABLE (Midday Peak hour) Road Type

2015 Network Description

11 12 14 16 17 02 06 07 19

Interstate Expressway Principal Arterial Minor Arterial Urban Collector R- Principal Arterial R- Minor Arterial R- Major Collector Local

VMT

1,511,271 659,907 1,390,922 1,286,115 337,990 162,200 266,918 156,896 10,515

Speed

52.5 47.7 29.1 30.0 27.1 23.9 25.2 22.9 27.1

5,782,735

VMT Hourly

Seasonal Adjustment

Pk. Hour VMT (4.50)

VOC Factor

NOx Factor

0.32 0.32 0.37 0.36 0.37 0.42 0.41 0.40 0.37

0.53 0.51 0.39 0.39 0.36 0.54 0.53 0.45 0.36

335,838 146,646 309,094 285,803 75,109 36,045 59,315 34,866 2,337

376,139 164,243 346,185 320,100 84,122 41,812 68,805 40,444 2,617

1,692,624 739,096 1,557,833 1,440,449 378,549 188,152 309,625 182,000 11,777

1,285,052

1,444,468

6,500,104

541639.5779 239864.4149 568778.6661 518388.0846 139036.0916 78758.3937 126631.7232 73260.3632 4328.0299

0.5958 0.2639 0.6257 0.5702 0.1529 0.0866 0.1393 0.0806 0.0048

0.9958 0.4154 0.6712 0.6179 0.1505 0.1110 0.1804 0.0906 0.0047

2,943,231

2.52

3.24

VOC (grams) NOx (grams) Emissions Emissions

VOC (Tons) Emissions

NOx (Tons) Emissions

2,290,685

905309.6690 377622.0289 610207.8248 561688.3564 136854.8039 100932.7054 163996.2437 82360.3488 4259.3004

2015 NO BUILD TRIP TABLE (PM Peak hour) Road Type

2015 Network Description

11 12 14 16 17 02 06 07 19

Interstate Expressway Principal Arterial Minor Arterial Urban Collector R- Principal Arterial R- Minor Arterial R- Major Collector Local

VMT

1,780,926 761,608 1,342,473 1,346,385 369,773 191,582 313,783 260,092 13,844

Speed

38.7 39.0 24.0 26.0 24.3 11.1 15.2 19.8 26.1

6,380,467

VMT Hourly

Seasonal Adjustment

Pk. Hour VMT (2.73)

VOC Factor

NOx Factor

0.34 0.34 0.40 0.38 0.38 0.65 0.54 0.42 0.37

0.48 0.48 0.40 0.40 0.37 0.68 0.61 0.47 0.37

652,354 278,977 491,748 493,181 135,448 70,177 114,939 95,272 5,071

730,636 312,454 550,758 552,363 151,702 81,405 133,329 110,515 5,680

1,994,637 853,000 1,503,570 1,507,951 414,146 222,235 363,988 301,706 15,506

2,337,167

2,628,843

7,176,741

683459.2386 291687.0322 595637.5986 579409.8635 159034.8406 143965.5825 195265.2760 127580.2665 5792.9963

0.7518 0.3209 0.6552 0.6374 0.1749 0.1584 0.2148 0.1403 0.0064

1.0474 0.4486 0.6684 0.6603 0.1698 0.1661 0.2434 0.1564 0.0062

3,242,271

3.06

3.57

VOC (grams) NOx (grams) Emissions Emissions

VOC (Tons) Emissions

NOx (Tons) Emissions

2,781,833

952143.4899 407773.3382 607591.5208 600283.5145 154340.2819 150965.4043 221316.9995 142185.8457 5671.0105

2015 NO BUILD TRIP TABLE (Night Time Peak hour) Road Type

2015 Network Description

11 12 14 16 17 02 06 07 19

Interstate Expressway Principal Arterial Minor Arterial Urban Collector R- Principal Arterial R- Minor Arterial R- Major Collector Local

VMT

2,143,569 886,294 1,420,928 1,299,822 321,341 222,014 373,221 212,473 8,213 6,887,875

Speed

50.8 46.5 29.9 30.9 27.8 18.3 23.4 22.5 27.3

VMT Hourly

Seasonal Adjustment

Pk. Hour VMT (5.40)

VOC Factor

NOx Factor

0.32 0.33 0.39 0.36 0.36 0.48 0.42 0.40 0.37

0.53 0.51 0.40 0.39 0.36 0.58 0.54 0.45 0.36

396,957 164,129 263,135 240,708 59,508 41,114 69,115 39,347 1,521

444,592 183,824 294,711 269,593 66,648 47,692 80,173 45,642 1,703

2,400,797 992,649 1,591,439 1,455,801 359,902 257,536 432,936 246,469 9,199

1,275,532

1,434,579

7,746,728

DAILY VMT

25,797,520

768255.0440 324686.7779 621193.1220 518841.0142 130820.8314 123890.2952 183029.4748 99818.0359 3367.8594 2,773,902

1260588.0349 502099.7992 636752.9726 565138.7017 129202.4135 148664.1780 233600.4465 112141.4663 3318.4328 3,591,506

No-Build Tons of Emissions

GBNRTC Conformity Determination (2011-2015 TIP & 2035 LRP) – Final May 2010

0.8451 0.3572 0.6833 0.5707 0.1439 0.1363 0.2013 0.1098 0.0037

1.3866 0.5523 0.7004 0.6217 0.1421 0.1635 0.2570 0.1234 0.0037

3.05

3.95

10.351

12.905

p 47


2025 BUILD TRIP TABLE (AM Peak hour) Road Type

2025 Network Description

11 12 14 16 17 02 06 07 19

Interstate Expressway Principal Arterial Minor Arterial Urban Collector R- Principal Arterial R- Minor Arterial R- Major Collector Local

VMT

1,152,479 421,762 1,003,344 945,000 250,800 109,195 175,268 118,770 8,893

Speed

48.4 46.1 27.0 28.4 25.6 24.0 24.5 22.5 26.2

4,185,511

VMT Hourly

Seasonal Adjustment

Pk. Hour VMT (2.62)

VOC Factor

NOx Factor

0.18 0.18 0.22 0.22 0.23 0.25 0.24 0.24 0.23

0.23 0.22 0.19 0.18 0.18 0.23 0.23 0.21 0.18

439,877 160,978 382,956 360,687 95,725 41,677 66,896 45,332 3,394

492,663 180,295 428,911 403,969 107,212 48,346 77,600 52,585 3,801

1,290,776 472,373 1,123,746 1,058,400 280,896 126,666 203,311 137,773 9,960

1,597,523

1,795,382

4,703,901

VOC (grams) NOx (grams) Emissions Emissions

232339.7537 85027.12663 249387.5221 229152.1497 63883.15514 31182.07215 49465.46981 33044.517 2243.342054

VOC (Tons) Emissions

0.2556 0.0935 0.2743 0.2521 0.0703 0.0343 0.0544 0.0363 0.0025

0.3221 0.1155 0.2299 0.2134 0.0552 0.0326 0.0519 0.0318 0.0019

958,474

1.07

1.05

VOC (grams) NOx (grams) Emissions Emissions

VOC (Tons) Emissions

NOx (Tons) Emissions

975,725

292824.0347 104975.1808 208974.6863 193956.0722 50199.83527 29654.67621 47208.7357 28911.32059 1769.055932

NOx (Tons) Emissions

2025 BUILD TRIP TABLE (Midday Peak Hour) Road Type

2025 Network Description

11 12 14 16 17 02 06 07 19

Interstate Expressway Principal Arterial Minor Arterial Urban Collector R- Principal Arterial R- Minor Arterial R- Major Collector Local

VMT

1,765,929 647,340 1,483,157 1,367,926 363,493 181,603 295,815 176,443 12,274

Speed

51.7 47.4 28.9 29.8 26.7 21.4 24.3 22.8 27.0

VMT Hourly

Seasonal Adjustment

Pk. Hour VMT (4.50)

VOC Factor

NOx Factor

0.18 0.18 0.21 0.21 0.22 0.26 0.24 0.24 0.22

0.23 0.22 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.24 0.23 0.21 0.18

392,429 143,853 329,590 303,984 80,776 40,356 65,737 39,210 2,728

439,520 161,116 369,141 340,462 90,469 46,813 76,255 45,483 3,055

1,977,840 725,021 1,661,136 1,532,077 407,112 210,660 343,145 204,674 13,747

6,293,980

1,398,662

1,572,314

7,075,413

VMT

VMT Hourly

356011.2357 130503.7544 356000.3884 322971.1051 90828.81622 55098.71864 83833.3755 48901.71449 3053.213244

0.3916 0.1436 0.3916 0.3553 0.0999 0.0606 0.0922 0.0538 0.0034

0.5077 0.1793 0.3328 0.3040 0.0791 0.0566 0.0879 0.0470 0.0027

1,451,902

1.59

1.60

VOC (grams) NOx (grams) Emissions Emissions

VOC (Tons) Emissions

NOx (Tons) Emissions

1,447,202

461508.1251 162970.6037 302585.4023 276391.3466 71876.67336 51478.6482 79909.09036 42761.48435 2420.171767

2025 BUILD TRIP TABLE (PM Peak hour) Road Type

2025 Network Description

11 12 14 16 17 02 06 07 19

Interstate Expressway Principal Arterial Minor Arterial Urban Collector R- Principal Arterial R- Minor Arterial R- Major Collector Local

2,075,388 744,053 1,475,908 1,476,012 406,917 220,569 382,489 335,607 16,761

Speed

35.5 38.4 22.9 25.2 23.7 20.2 22.4 19.0 25.9

7,133,703

Seasonal Adjustment

Pk. Hour VMT (2.73)

VOC Factor

NOx Factor

0.20 0.19 0.24 0.23 0.24 0.27 0.26 0.27 0.23

0.20 0.21 0.19 0.19 0.18 0.25 0.24 0.22 0.18

760,216 272,547 540,626 540,664 149,054 80,794 140,106 122,933 6,139

851,441 305,253 605,501 605,543 166,940 93,722 162,523 142,602 6,876

2,324,435 833,340 1,653,017 1,653,133 455,747 255,860 443,687 389,304 18,772

2,613,078

2,940,401

8,027,294

462566.5965 161028.9584 401219.2222 378932.4885 107149.5877 68775.12079 113406.3643 103831.9317 4252.624629

0.5088 0.1771 0.4413 0.4168 0.1179 0.0757 0.1247 0.1142 0.0047

0.5139 0.1895 0.3532 0.3448 0.0915 0.0701 0.1173 0.0960 0.0037

1,618,288

1.98

1.78

VOC (grams) NOx (grams) Emissions Emissions

VOC (Tons) Emissions

NOx (Tons) Emissions

1,801,163

467207.4099 172306.9183 321081.6157 313451.2363 83198.36072 63760.26823 106662.3239 87273.36848 3346.493211

2025 BUILD TRIP TABLE (Night Time Peak hour) Road Type

2025 Network Description

11 12 14 16 17 02 06 07 19

Interstate Expressway Principal Arterial Minor Arterial Urban Collector R- Principal Arterial R- Minor Arterial R- Major Collector Local

VMT

2,534,524 904,003 1,533,934 1,405,692 347,036 248,296 426,417 258,909 10,146 7,668,958

Speed

49.2 45.1 29.6 30.6 27.5 24.6 21.5 22.1 27.2

VMT Hourly

Seasonal Adjustment

Pk. Hour VMT (5.40)

VOC Factor

NOx Factor

0.18 0.18 0.21 0.21 0.22 0.24 0.26 0.24 0.22

0.23 0.22 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.23 0.24 0.21 0.18

469,356 167,408 284,062 260,313 64,266 45,981 78,966 47,946 1,879

525,679 187,497 318,149 291,551 71,978 53,338 91,601 55,618 2,104

2,838,667 1,012,483 1,718,007 1,574,375 388,681 288,023 494,644 300,335 11,364

1,420,177

1,597,514

8,626,578

DAILY VMT

28,433,186

510960.1011 182247.0011 363222.6791 328624.3153 85545.32517 69816.80088 129003.1378 72615.96685 2515.844741 1,744,551

648455.3443 222994.6668 310461.8284 283387.4208 68036.9082 66706.15134 120627.1497 63605.9198 1996.560445 1,786,272

Build Tons of Emissions

GBNRTC Conformity Determination (2011-2015 TIP & 2035 LRP) – Final May 2010

0.5621 0.2005 0.3995 0.3615 0.0941 0.0768 0.1419 0.0799 0.0028

0.7133 0.2453 0.3415 0.3117 0.0748 0.0734 0.1327 0.0700 0.0022

1.92

1.96

6.566

6.396

p 48


2025 NO BUILD TRIP TABLE (AM Peak hour) Road Type

2025 Network Description

11 12 14 16 17 02 06 07 19

Interstate Expressway Principal Arterial Minor Arterial Urban Collector R- Principal Arterial R- Minor Arterial R- Major Collector Local

VMT

1,102,346 485,047 982,183 944,733 253,354 107,311 175,165 119,252 8,237

Speed

48.1 44.7 27.1 28.4 25.9 24.0 24.5 22.5 26.5

4,177,629

VMT Hourly

Seasonal Adjustment

Pk. Hour VMT (2.62)

VOC Factor

NOx Factor

0.18 0.18 0.22 0.22 0.23 0.25 0.24 0.24 0.22

0.23 0.22 0.19 0.18 0.18 0.23 0.23 0.21 0.18

420,743 185,132 374,879 360,585 96,700 40,958 66,857 45,516 3,144

471,232 207,348 419,865 403,855 108,304 47,512 77,554 52,799 3,521

1,234,627 543,253 1,100,045 1,058,101 283,757 124,481 203,192 138,332 9,225

1,594,515

1,791,990

4,695,013

VOC (grams) NOx (grams) Emissions Emissions

222232.9386 98146.03177 243884.2308 229105.1233 64221.90827 30611.44558 49366.99558 33174.83784 2066.228782

VOC (Tons) Emissions

0.2445 0.1080 0.2683 0.2520 0.0706 0.0337 0.0543 0.0365 0.0023

0.3072 0.1311 0.2249 0.2133 0.0556 0.0320 0.0518 0.0319 0.0018

954,231

1.07

1.05

VOC (grams) NOx (grams) Emissions Emissions

VOC (Tons) Emissions

NOx (Tons) Emissions

972,810

279251.4441 119155.021 204445.495 193910.1644 50555.12883 29121.27557 47134.75622 29024.86751 1632.763761

NOx (Tons) Emissions

2025 NO BUILD TRIP TABLE (Midday Peak Hour) Road Type

2025 Network Description

11 12 14 16 17 02 06 07 19

Interstate Expressway Principal Arterial Minor Arterial Urban Collector R- Principal Arterial R- Minor Arterial R- Major Collector Local

VMT

1,696,508 729,547 1,457,069 1,371,641 364,220 180,336 296,655 176,727 11,288

Speed

51.3 47.0 28.8 29.8 26.9 21.5 24.3 22.8 27.1

6,283,991

VMT Hourly

Seasonal Adjustment

Pk. Hour VMT (4.50)

VOC Factor

NOx Factor

0.18 0.18 0.21 0.21 0.22 0.26 0.24 0.24 0.22

0.23 0.22 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.24 0.23 0.21 0.18

377,002 162,122 323,793 304,809 80,938 40,075 65,923 39,273 2,508

422,242 181,576 362,648 341,386 90,650 46,487 76,471 45,556 2,809

1,900,089 817,093 1,631,918 1,536,238 407,926 209,190 344,120 205,003 12,642

1,396,442

1,569,826

7,064,219

342016.0954 147076.6987 350558.5091 323717.8408 90676.96902 54557.60417 84085.60466 48984.57374 2799.453505

0.3762 0.1618 0.3856 0.3561 0.0997 0.0600 0.0925 0.0539 0.0031

0.4861 0.2013 0.3274 0.3048 0.0790 0.0561 0.0882 0.0471 0.0024

1,447,753

1.59

1.59

VOC (grams) NOx (grams) Emissions Emissions

VOC (Tons) Emissions

NOx (Tons) Emissions

1,444,473

441912.4953 183020.9142 297673.0675 277076.7712 71853.67474 51015.01279 80145.44538 42834.47644 2221.487685

2025 NO BUILD TRIP TABLE (PM Peak hour) Road Type

2025 Network Description

11 12 14 16 17 02 06 07 19

Interstate Expressway Principal Arterial Minor Arterial Urban Collector R- Principal Arterial R- Minor Arterial R- Major Collector Local

VMT

1,985,363 832,666 1,444,987 1,483,356 411,548 217,537 380,383 338,762 16,290

Speed

35.2 37.3 22.8 25.0 23.7 9.1 11.3 18.9 26.1

7,110,892

VMT Hourly

Seasonal Adjustment

Pk. Hour VMT (2.73)

VOC Factor

NOx Factor

0.20 0.20 0.24 0.23 0.24 0.59 0.42 0.27 0.23

0.20 0.20 0.19 0.19 0.18 0.35 0.30 0.22 0.18

727,239 305,006 529,299 543,354 150,750 79,684 139,334 124,088 5,967

814,508 341,607 592,815 608,556 168,840 92,433 161,628 143,943 6,683

2,223,606 932,586 1,618,385 1,661,358 460,934 252,343 441,244 392,963 18,245

2,604,722

2,931,013

8,001,666

443789.2391 182246.2678 393480.8404 381903.5446 108337.5074 149337.969 185721.5882 105167.8351 4118.152585

0.4882 0.2005 0.4328 0.4201 0.1192 0.1643 0.2043 0.1157 0.0045

0.4902 0.2099 0.3460 0.3471 0.0925 0.0959 0.1453 0.0970 0.0036

1,661,420

2.15

1.83

VOC (grams) NOx (grams) Emissions Emissions

VOC (Tons) Emissions

NOx (Tons) Emissions

1,954,103

445653.3597 190788.2414 314577.2993 315553.6505 84129.48139 87172.25343 132117.1843 88183.6856 3244.986574

2025 NO BUILD TRIP TABLE (Night Time Peak hour) Road Type

2025 Network Description

11 12 14 16 17 02 06 07 19

Interstate Expressway Principal Arterial Minor Arterial Urban Collector R- Principal Arterial R- Minor Arterial R- Major Collector Local

VMT

2,437,629 1,005,403 1,511,123 1,404,434 349,593 246,498 430,202 257,699 8,877 7,651,459

Speed

48.9 45.0 29.5 30.6 27.6 15.2 21.5 22.1 27.4

VMT Hourly

Seasonal Adjustment

Pk. Hour VMT (5.40)

VOC Factor

NOx Factor

0.18 0.18 0.21 0.21 0.22 0.34 0.26 0.24 0.22

0.23 0.22 0.18 0.18 0.17 0.27 0.24 0.21 0.18

451,413 186,186 279,838 260,080 64,739 45,648 79,667 47,722 1,644

505,582 208,528 313,418 291,290 72,508 52,951 92,414 55,358 1,841

2,730,145 1,126,052 1,692,457 1,572,966 391,544 285,938 499,035 298,931 9,943

1,416,937

1,593,891

8,607,010

DAILY VMT

28,367,908

491426.0944 202689.3021 358956.7699 328279.3986 86022.11183 96463.44943 130375.6418 72262.98838 2192.567166 1,768,668

622087.3362 247772.0417 306412.6828 283133.9437 68461.43241 76987.34075 121849.5197 63295.05987 1742.549655 1,791,742

No-Build Tons of Emissions

GBNRTC Conformity Determination (2011-2015 TIP & 2035 LRP) – Final May 2010

0.5406 0.2230 0.3949 0.3611 0.0946 0.1061 0.1434 0.0795 0.0024

0.6843 0.2725 0.3371 0.3114 0.0753 0.0847 0.1340 0.0696 0.0019

1.95

1.97

6.754

6.441

p 49


2035 BUILD TRIP TABLE (AM Peak hour) Road Type

2035 Network Description

11 12 14 16 17 02 06 07 19

Interstate Expressway Principal Arterial Minor Arterial Urban Collector R- Principal Arterial R- Minor Arterial R- Major Collector Local

VMT

1,252,570 458,718 1,054,348 991,478 265,408 118,398 190,519 129,890 9,347

Speed

47.2 45.4 26.6 28.1 25.4 22.2 23.9 22.4 26.2

4,470,676

VMT Hourly

Seasonal Adjustment

Pk. Hour VMT (2.62)

VOC Factor

NOx Factor

0.18 0.18 0.22 0.21 0.22 0.24 0.23 0.24 0.22

0.15 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.17 0.16 0.16 0.14

478,080 175,083 402,423 378,427 101,301 45,190 72,717 49,576 3,567

535,450 196,093 450,714 423,838 113,457 52,420 84,352 57,509 3,995

1,402,878 513,765 1,180,870 1,110,455 297,257 137,341 221,002 150,672 10,468

1,706,365

1,917,828

5,024,709

VOC (grams) NOx (grams) Emissions Emissions

246467.462 92047.92297 255981.2376 237451.2249 64865.02694 33105.43692 51827.32559 35478.0894 2253.178858

VOC (Tons) Emissions

0.2711 0.1013 0.2816 0.2612 0.0714 0.0364 0.0570 0.0390 0.0025

0.2315 0.0848 0.1907 0.1757 0.0458 0.0250 0.0394 0.0257 0.0016

745,587

1.12

0.82

VOC (grams) NOx (grams) Emissions Emissions

VOC (Tons) Emissions

NOx (Tons) Emissions

1,019,477

210431.7607 77064.67878 173320.3623 159719.3433 41615.97656 22733.07445 35858.75713 23377.57688 1465.548307

NOx (Tons) Emissions

2035 BUILD TRIP TABLE (Midday Peak Hour) Road Type

2035 Network Description

11 12 14 16 17 02 06 07 19

Interstate Expressway Principal Arterial Minor Arterial Urban Collector R- Principal Arterial R- Minor Arterial R- Major Collector Local

VMT

1,954,760 721,236 1,561,941 1,440,800 384,720 199,472 324,412 198,152 12,828

Speed

50.3 46.3 28.6 29.6 26.6 18.4 23.6 22.6 26.9

VMT Hourly

Seasonal Adjustment

Pk. Hour VMT (4.50)

VOC Factor

NOx Factor

0.17 0.18 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.27 0.24 0.23 0.21

0.15 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.18 0.16 0.15 0.14

434,391 160,275 347,098 320,178 85,493 44,327 72,092 44,034 2,851

486,518 179,508 388,750 358,599 95,753 51,419 83,626 51,079 3,193

2,189,331 807,784 1,749,374 1,613,696 430,886 231,387 376,318 229,856 14,368

6,798,321

1,510,738

1,698,445

7,643,001

VMT

VMT Hourly

372186.3178 143362.0187 372098.2654 340231.607 92080.99588 62910.73423 88647.4915 53879.42127 3048.818706

0.4094 0.1577 0.4093 0.3743 0.1013 0.0692 0.0975 0.0593 0.0034

0.3628 0.1333 0.2746 0.2500 0.0664 0.0449 0.0674 0.0391 0.0022

1,127,841

1.68

1.24

VOC (grams) NOx (grams) Emissions Emissions

VOC (Tons) Emissions

NOx (Tons) Emissions

1,528,446

329800.2279 121167.622 249642.09 227272.8875 60324.08087 40782.65906 61258.06518 35582.12886 2011.456444

2035 BUILD TRIP TABLE (PM Peak hour) Road Type

2035 Network Description

11 12 14 16 17 02 06 07 19

Interstate Expressway Principal Arterial Minor Arterial Urban Collector R- Principal Arterial R- Minor Arterial R- Major Collector Local

2,291,145 811,655 1,594,380 1,614,686 452,649 247,767 445,929 431,356 19,585

Speed

31.5 36.7 21.7 24.0 23.0 19.7 17.9 17.1 25.8

7,909,150

Seasonal Adjustment

Pk. Hour VMT (2.73)

VOC Factor

NOx Factor

0.21 0.20 0.24 0.23 0.23 0.25 0.28 0.29 0.22

0.14 0.14 0.16 0.15 0.14 0.17 0.18 0.17 0.14

839,247 297,309 584,022 591,460 165,805 90,757 163,344 158,006 7,174

939,957 332,987 654,104 662,435 185,702 105,278 189,479 183,287 8,035

2,566,082 909,053 1,785,705 1,808,448 506,966 287,409 517,278 500,373 21,935

2,897,125

3,261,264

8,903,251

531162.4366 178701.2532 428696.9008 408201.951 115601.4913 73059.44656 144527.4967 145251.2374 4754.014516

0.5843 0.1966 0.4716 0.4490 0.1272 0.0804 0.1590 0.1598 0.0052

0.3952 0.1400 0.3078 0.3022 0.0803 0.0541 0.1015 0.0944 0.0034

1,344,424

2.23

1.48

VOC (grams) NOx (grams) Emissions Emissions

VOC (Tons) Emissions

NOx (Tons) Emissions

2,029,956

359251.4694 127267.4679 279803.0346 274715.026 73009.73911 49204.47384 92282.41024 85819.08589 3070.917369

2035 BUILD TRIP TABLE (Night Time Peak hour) Road Type

2035 Network Description

11 12 14 16 17 02 06 07 19

Interstate Expressway Principal Arterial Minor Arterial Urban Collector R- Principal Arterial R- Minor Arterial R- Major Collector Local

VMT

2,835,772 1,011,628 1,637,565 1,509,749 376,186 280,452 485,689 310,535 10,645 8,458,221

Speed

47.1 43.6 29.3 30.4 27.3 17.7 21.2 21.4 27.1

VMT Hourly

Seasonal Adjustment

Pk. Hour VMT (5.40)

VOC Factor

NOx Factor

0.18 0.18 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.28 0.25 0.24 0.21

0.15 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.18 0.17 0.16 0.14

525,143 187,339 303,253 279,583 69,664 51,936 89,942 57,506 1,971

588,160 209,819 339,643 313,133 78,024 60,245 104,333 66,708 2,208

3,176,065 1,133,023 1,834,073 1,690,918 421,328 325,324 563,399 360,221 11,923

1,566,337

1,762,273

9,516,275

DAILY VMT

31,087,235

558452.1106 207157.1241 387806.5312 352637.5696 88769.08273 91806.43567 138145.4937 87108.80729 2523.042687 1,914,406

476409.7462 166740.5642 259421.4282 235500.9288 58985.94636 58298.06262 94425.71268 56653.18895 1669.197701 1,408,105

Build Tons of Emissions

GBNRTC Conformity Determination (2011-2015 TIP & 2035 LRP) – Final May 2010

0.6143 0.2279 0.4266 0.3879 0.0976 0.1010 0.1520 0.0958 0.0028

0.5241 0.1834 0.2854 0.2591 0.0649 0.0641 0.1039 0.0623 0.0018

2.11

1.55

7.142

5.089

p 50


2035 NO BUILD TRIP TABLE (AM Peak hour) Road Type

2035 Network Description

11 12 14 16 17 02 06 07 19

Interstate Expressway Principal Arterial Minor Arterial Urban Collector R- Principal Arterial R- Minor Arterial R- Major Collector Local

VMT

1,256,118 459,214 1,055,171 993,606 266,411 116,710 190,328 131,413 9,309

Speed

47.1 45.4 26.6 28.1 25.4 22.3 23.8 22.4 26.2

4,478,279

VMT Hourly

Seasonal Adjustment

Pk. Hour VMT (2.62)

VOC Factor

NOx Factor

0.18 0.18 0.22 0.21 0.22 0.24 0.23 0.24 0.22

0.15 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.17 0.16 0.16 0.14

479,434 175,272 402,737 379,239 101,684 44,546 72,644 50,157 3,553

536,966 196,305 451,065 424,748 113,886 51,673 84,267 58,183 3,979

1,406,852 514,319 1,181,791 1,112,839 298,380 135,384 220,781 152,439 10,426

1,709,267

1,921,073

5,033,210

VOC (grams) NOx (grams) Emissions Emissions

247251.9387 92175.57787 256175.1825 238014.1642 65138.79252 32587.89667 51844.72128 35923.94483 2245.031454

VOC (Tons) Emissions

0.2720 0.1014 0.2818 0.2618 0.0717 0.0358 0.0570 0.0395 0.0025

0.2321 0.0849 0.1908 0.1761 0.0460 0.0246 0.0394 0.0260 0.0016

746,879

1.12

0.82

VOC (grams) NOx (grams) Emissions Emissions

VOC (Tons) Emissions

NOx (Tons) Emissions

1,021,357

211027.7857 77147.9226 173449.8138 160115.4603 41773.24314 22386.2215 35857.49094 23661.61152 1459.605414

NOx (Tons) Emissions

2035 NO BUILD TRIP TABLE (Midday Peak Hour) Road Type

2035 Network Description

11 12 14 16 17 02 06 07 19

Interstate Expressway Principal Arterial Minor Arterial Urban Collector R- Principal Arterial R- Minor Arterial R- Major Collector Local

VMT

1,960,126 721,446 1,566,425 1,438,985 383,503 194,921 328,039 199,965 12,911

Speed

50.3 46.3 28.6 29.6 26.6 18.6 23.4 22.5 26.9

6,806,322

VMT Hourly

Seasonal Adjustment

Pk. Hour VMT (4.50)

VOC Factor

NOx Factor

0.17 0.18 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.27 0.24 0.23 0.21

0.15 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.18 0.16 0.15 0.14

435,584 160,321 348,094 319,775 85,223 43,316 72,898 44,437 2,869

487,854 179,560 389,866 358,147 95,450 50,246 84,561 51,546 3,213

2,195,341 808,019 1,754,396 1,611,664 429,523 226,108 380,525 231,959 14,461

1,512,516

1,700,444

7,651,997

373208.0519 143267.1764 373308.1768 339827.0824 91754.73685 60801.34338 89998.08543 54446.77489 3068.894243

0.4105 0.1576 0.4106 0.3738 0.1009 0.0669 0.0990 0.0599 0.0034

0.3638 0.1333 0.2756 0.2482 0.0661 0.0436 0.0683 0.0395 0.0022

1,127,955

1.68

1.24

VOC (grams) NOx (grams) Emissions Emissions

VOC (Tons) Emissions

NOx (Tons) Emissions

1,529,680

330746.1472 121202.9207 250500.4553 225632.9231 60133.28403 39659.61732 62122.67185 35932.45827 2024.486336

2035 NO BUILD TRIP TABLE (PM Peak hour) Road Type

2035 Network Description

11 12 14 16 17 02 06 07 19

Interstate Expressway Principal Arterial Minor Arterial Urban Collector R- Principal Arterial R- Minor Arterial R- Major Collector Local

VMT

2,291,992 809,571 1,599,098 1,621,814 454,271 247,455 446,694 435,495 19,651

Speed

31.5 36.7 21.6 24.0 22.9 6.4 6.6 17.0 25.8

7,926,041

VMT Hourly

Seasonal Adjustment

Pk. Hour VMT (2.73)

VOC Factor

NOx Factor

0.21 0.20 0.24 0.23 0.23 0.71 0.71 0.29 0.22

0.14 0.14 0.16 0.15 0.14 0.27 0.27 0.17 0.14

839,557 296,546 585,750 594,071 166,400 90,643 163,624 159,522 7,198

940,304 332,132 656,040 665,360 186,368 105,146 189,804 185,046 8,062

2,567,030 906,719 1,790,989 1,816,432 508,784 287,048 518,165 505,175 22,009

2,903,312

3,268,261

8,922,352

531566.3158 178179.8971 430740.2535 410211.0814 116201.293 205012.6182 365792.2361 147396.9669 4768.005335

0.5847 0.1960 0.4738 0.4512 0.1278 0.2255 0.4024 0.1621 0.0052

0.3953 0.1396 0.3090 0.3036 0.0807 0.0848 0.1523 0.0955 0.0034

1,422,015

2.63

1.56

VOC (grams) NOx (grams) Emissions Emissions

VOC (Tons) Emissions

NOx (Tons) Emissions

2,389,869

359384.2695 126940.7132 280889.2747 275996.7764 73364.1617 77089.0511 138412.0748 86857.45855 3081.323981

2035 NO BUILD TRIP TABLE (Night Time Peak hour) Road Type

2035 Network Description

11 12 14 16 17 02 06 07 19

Interstate Expressway Principal Arterial Minor Arterial Urban Collector R- Principal Arterial R- Minor Arterial R- Major Collector Local

VMT

2,838,203 1,011,656 1,641,716 1,506,995 376,611 277,738 486,794 313,853 10,527 8,464,093

Speed

47.1 43.6 29.3 30.3 27.3 12.8 18.6 21.3 27.1

VMT Hourly

Seasonal Adjustment

Pk. Hour VMT (5.40)

VOC Factor

NOx Factor

0.18 0.18 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.37 0.27 0.24 0.21

0.15 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.20 0.18 0.16 0.14

525,593 187,344 304,021 279,073 69,743 51,433 90,147 58,121 1,949

588,664 209,825 340,504 312,562 78,112 59,662 104,571 67,420 2,183

3,178,787 1,133,055 1,838,722 1,687,834 421,804 322,176 564,681 364,069 11,790

1,567,425

1,763,504

9,522,919

DAILY VMT

31,130,478

558703.8139 207072.0668 388872.4864 352111.6392 88907.58406 118456.3 152394.6872 88267.67567 2494.968472 1,957,281

476818.0962 166836.0922 260161.9541 235130.0158 59052.56764 65402.52452 99202.7759 57334.54052 1650.666622 1,421,589

No-Build Tons of Emissions

GBNRTC Conformity Determination (2011-2015 TIP & 2035 LRP) – Final May 2010

0.6146 0.2278 0.4278 0.3873 0.0978 0.1303 0.1676 0.0971 0.0027

0.5245 0.1835 0.2862 0.2586 0.0650 0.0719 0.1091 0.0631 0.0018

2.15

1.56

7.588

5.190

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ATTACHMENT F Public Involvement Process - Public Participation Plan - Public Notification of Open House Meetings - Community Feedback

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Public Involvement Process

The Greater Buffalo‐Niagara Regional Transportation Council (GBNRTC) is the designated Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO) for Erie and Niagara Counties charged with encouraging the public to participate in setting priorities for transportation plans and programs in the region. The GBNRTC public participation process is designed to provide complete information in a timely manner so that the community is fully engaged throughout the transportation planning process. Means of notification, mechanisms for public input and appropriate feedback consideration to comments received are essential steps to building meaningful public relationships and eventual support for decision makers. The purpose of this document is to inform stakeholders, advisory group(s), interested individuals and agencies on ways to participate in the planning process for the 2035 Long Range Transportation Plan (LRTP) Update and 2011‐2015 Transportation Improvement Plan (TIP).

SAFETEA‐LU The Safe, Accountable, Flexible, Efficient Transportation Equity Act: A Legacy for Users (SAFETEA‐LU), signed into law on August 10, 2005 contains specific language outlining federal requirements regarding public participation processes and procedures. It requires the GBNRTC to “develop and use a public participation plan that defines a process for providing citizens, affected public agencies, representatives of public transportation employees, freight shippers, providers of freight transportation services, private providers of transportation, representatives of users of public transportation, representatives of users of pedestrian walkways and bicycle transportation facilities, representatives of the disabled, and other interested parties with reasonable opportunities to be involved in the metropolitan planning process”.

LRTP Update and TIP One of the prime responsibilities of the GBNRTC is the development and maintenance of the region’s long range transportation plan. The plan is a multimodal “blueprint” for transportation systems and services aimed at meeting the transportation demands of existing and future development in Erie and Niagara Counties. The plan also serves as a guide to development of the TIP which consists of all federally funded roadway, transit, bicycle and pedestrian projects scheduled over a five year period. Required by federal legislation, a long range transportation plan must maintain a 20 year planning horizon. The GBNRTC current long range transportation plan, the 2030 Long Range

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Transportation Plan for Erie and Niagara Counties is scheduled for an update in 2010. The 2035 Long Range Transportation Plan Update and 2011‐2015 TIP will ensure the region stays in compliance with federal transportation law and remains eligible for federal transportation dollars.

Plan and Program Highlights The 2035 Long Range Transportation Plan Update will: 9 Reaffirm the 2030 Long Range Transportation Plan for Erie and Niagara Counties 9 Extend planning horizon 5 years to the year 2035 9 Meet all SAFETEA‐LU requirements 9 Include a review of Environmental & Safety/Security Analysis per SAFETEA‐ LU, including Agency Consultation Process 9 Include ongoing planning initiatives (Regional Freight and Goods Movement Study, Bicycle/Pedestrian Master Plan, Congestion Management Systems Strategies, NFTA Transit Strategy, UB Master Plan, and Regional Framework for Growth) 9 Include continuous public involvement opportunities to engage stakeholders, advisory groups, and appropriate agencies throughout the plan development The 2011‐2015 Transportation Improvement Program will: 9 Reaffirm consistency with the Long Range Transportation Plan for Erie and Niagara Counties 9 Extend the capital programming range from the year 2012 to the year 2015 9 Reaffirm fiscal constraint with projected revenues 9 Meet all SAFETEA‐LU requirements 9 Re‐demonstrate the program conforms with the goals and intent of the Clean Air Act Amendments of 1990 and the State Implementation Plan 9 Include a review of Environmental & Safety/Security Analysis per SAFETEA‐ LU, including Agency Consultation Process 9 Include continuous public involvement opportunities to engage stakeholders, advisory groups, and appropriate agencies throughout the program development

Public Participation Opportunities The GBNRTC will utilize a variety of public participation methods to provide interested individuals, groups, and organizations with the opportunity to fully participate in the 2035 LRTP Update and 2011‐2015 TIP development process. Below are a number of opportunities and initiatives to ensure continuous and comprehensive public involvement.

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Planning and Coordinating Committee (PCC) Monthly A status report of 2035 Plan Update and 2011‐2015 TIP activities will be given regularly at GBNRTC‐PCC meetings. The GBNRTC‐PCC meets regularly the first Wednesday of every month. An annual schedule is established at the first meeting of each year and is listed on the GBNRTC website. All regular meetings of the PCC are open to the public and include time for public comment. Advance notice of meetings and agendas are sent no later than ten (10) calendar days prior to the meeting to any interested members of the public and news media as requested. Meeting information including date, time, location and meeting minutes can also be accessed from the GBNRTC website or through the GBNRTC office at 716‐856‐2026.

PCC Subcommittees Ongoing A 2035 Plan Update subcommittee/working group will meet regularly to discuss planning issues as they relate to the plan update. The Transportation Projects Subcommittee (TPS) will continue to meet monthly to discuss issues as they relate to the TIP. All regular meetings of the PCC Subcommittees are open to the public. Meeting information including date, time, and location is posted and accessible from the GBNRTC website. Meeting summaries can be accessed from the GBNRTC website or by request.

Regional Strategic Stakeholders Strategic Stakeholders will review and provide comments and recommendations on the Long Range Transportation Plan and the Transportation Improvement Program. Strategic Stakeholders will respond to the PCC Committee on GBNRTC issues, plans and projects with a formal review. Responses should reflect views of the stakeholder organization, be in a timely manner, and may include recommendations for alternative actions. Strategic Stakeholders are encouraged to introduce ideas or comments to the GBNRTC through the PCC process. Stakeholder issues may be input to the process at any time and opportunity will be afforded at PCC meetings for new issues. The GBNRTC will formally respond to all Stakeholder concerns. Current strategic stakeholders include the Seneca Nation of Indians, Transportation Council of the Buffalo‐Niagara Partnership and Empire State Development Corporation.

Advisory Groups Ongoing The GBNRTC will utilize advisory group(s) to provide community perspectives on regional transportation planning issues and provide the GBNRTC with community points of view on the future needs of the region. Advisory groups are comprised primarily of representatives of interest groups, advocacy groups, private citizens and/or others with a special interest or knowledge related to transportation. Groups that are interested in being recognized as a GBNRTC advisory group should contact the GBNRTC office at 716‐ 856‐2026 for formal approval. Advisory groups should appoint a spokesperson to speak on behalf of the group.

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MPO Website Ongoing The GBNRTC will regularly post 2035 Plan Update and TIP materials to the GBNRTC website at www.gbnrtc.org. Users will be able to get the current status on 2035 Plan Update and TIP activities, find out about upcoming meeting and community events and download draft documents and reports. Users will also be encouraged to leave feedback and participate in interactive planning exercises. MPO Press Releases, Formal Announcements, Notices and Radio/Television Interviews Ongoing The GBNRTC will utilize local media outlets including newspapers and television to advertise and promote public meetings and other 2035 LRTP Update and TIP related activities. GBNRTC Newsletter Quarterly The GBNRTC Newsletter will include a number of informative articles related to the 2035 Plan Update and 2011-2015 TIP. The newsletter is currently distributed to approximately 1,700 residents, municipalities, media and other agencies in Erie and Niagara Counties. Individuals, groups or agencies may request newsletters through the GBNRTC office at 716-856-2026 or at GBNRTC public meetings or events. Electronic versions of the GBNRTC newsletter is also available for download on the GBNRTC website at www.gbnrtc.org. Facebook Ongoing Facebook (www.facebook.com) is a social networking site on the Internet that help users connect and share with others. The GBNRTC has recently created a Facebook Page. This Page is a public profile that enables the GBNRTC to share news and information about the agency with Facebook users. People can become fans of the GBNRTC Facebook Page by clicking on the link/icon on the GBNRTC web site (www.gbnrtc.org). After Facebook users agree to be “fans” of the GBNRTC, they are permitted to interact with the GBNRTC Facebook Page. Stories linked to the GBNRTC Page can go to their friends via a News Feed. As these friends interact with the GBNRTC Facebook Page, the News Feed keeps driving word-of-mouth to a wider circle of friends. Fans can post comments and photos. Important announcements such as public meetings can be “pushed” out to all fans for easy information distribution. Facebook also allows the GBNRTC to analyze who is using their Page in order to tailor Facebook “ads” and attract more fans. Community Outreach Efforts Ongoing The GBNRTC will continue discussions with key members of the community to help identify issues, concerns and desired agendas. Community discussions have been

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particularly useful in engaging traditionally underserved and underrepresented populations. Such groups include community organizations, churches, senior centers, and block clubs. If you are interested in having a GBNRTC staff member speak to your group or organization please contact the GBNRTC offices at 716‐856‐2026.

Open House Meetings 2010 The GBNRTC will conduct a series of open house meetings to present and solicit comments on the Draft 2035 Plan Update and the Draft 2011‐1015 TIP. Drafts of these documents will be made available on the GBNRTC website at www.gbrtc.org, in libraries throughout Erie and Niagara Counties, or as requested through the GBNRTC offices.

Notification GBNRTC maintains a master list of all contacts, which is updated on a continuous basis. Contact information includes address information, telephone and fax numbers, and e-mail addresses. The list includes committee members, government and public officials, and interested individuals, groups, and organizations. The list is used to provide information on public meetings and other transportation issues via e-mails and direct mailings. To be added to the GBNRTC mailing list please visit our website at www.gbnrtc.org or call 716-8562026.

English as a Second Language (ESL) To improve contact with non‐English speakers the GBNRTC web site (www.gbnrtc.org) can now be viewed in multiple languages with a simple selection on the “Google Translate” button. This is done with automatic translation software from Google which instantly translates the site into thirty‐three (33) different languages. This service is intended to provide a basic understanding of the GBNRTC’s Web site content in a different language. Word for word translations may be imperfect. The translation is literal and may misrepresent names and idiomatic expressions. The results of the translation are very good and the quality of the service is constantly improving. Currently, Google offers translations between the following languages: • • • • • • • • • • • •

Arabic Bulgarian Catalan Chinese (Simplified) Chinese (Traditional) Croatian Czech Danish Dutch Filipino Finnish French

• • • • • • • • • • • •

German Greek Hebrew Hindi Indonesian Italian Japanese Korean Latvian Lithuanian Norwegian Polish

• • • • • • • • • •

Portuguese Romanian Russian Serbian Slovak Slovenian Spanish Swedish Ukrainian Vietnamese

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Visualizations When appropriate, the GBNRTC will utilize visualization techniques (i.e. photographs, maps, simulations, etc.) to better illustrate to the public the ideas and concepts represented in the 2035 LRTP Update and 2011-2015.

Agency Consultation The GBNRTC will continue to improve consultation with Federal, State and Tribal agencies responsible for land use management, natural resources, environmental protection, conservation, and historic preservation. Consultation activities will involve, as appropriate, comparisons of resource maps and inventories and discussions on potential environmental mitigation activities. Below are agencies to be contacted as part of the 2035 Long Range Transportation Plan Update. Federal Agencies • • • • • •

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency National Park Service U.S. Army Corps of Engineers U.S. Department of Agriculture/Natural Resource Conservation Service National Marine Fisheries U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service

State Agencies • • • • • •

NYS Department of Environmental Conservation NYS Department of Agriculture and Markets (Agriculture Protection) NYS Department of Agriculture (NYS Soil and Water Conservation Committee) Department of State Coastal Resources NYS Office of Parks, Recreation, and Historic Preservation New York State Department of Health

Local Resource Agencies • • • •

Niagara County SWCD Erie County SWCD Erie County Environmental Management Council Seneca Nation of Indians

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Public Notification of Open House Meetings The draft conformity determination update and regional emissions analysis was subject to public involvement and review. The GBNRTC’s Public Participation Plan ensures that the products of the metropolitan transportation process reflect the needs and concerns of Erie and Niagara Counties’ residents by involving the public early and continuously throughout the transportation planning and programming process. In full compliance with that approved plan, a public notification was published on April 3, 2010 in the Buffalo News announcing the availability of the draft report for public review and initiated a 20-day comment period from April 8, 2010 through April 28, 2010. An electronic version of the full report was posted on the GBNRTC website (www.gbnrtc.org) for viewing and/or downloading; and a printed version was made available by visiting the GBNRTC offices. Comments were encouraged through the website or by mail. There were also three GBNRTC public meetings during this period where the matter was openly discussed and opportunities given for public discourse. Newspaper Notice Published April 3, 2010 / Actual Buffalo News Notice – next page

NOTICE OF PUBLIC MEETINGS 2035 LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN UPDATE 2011-2015 TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT PROGRAM DRAFT AIR QUALITY CONFORMITY ANALYSIS The Greater Buffalo-Niagara Regional Transportation Council (GBNRTC) is holding two public meetings to encourage the community to review and comment on the Draft 2035 Long-Range Transportation Plan Update (LRTP), the Draft 2011-2015 Transportation Improvement Program (TIP) and the Draft Air Quality Conformity Analysis for Erie and Niagara Counties. The 2035 Long-Range Transportation Plan is an update to the 2030 Long-Range Transportation Plan and contains an integrated set of public policies, strategies, and investments to maintain, manage, and improve the transportation system in the Erie and Niagara County region through the year 2035. The 2011-2015 TIP, which is the capital-programming component of the 2035 LRTP, consists of all federally funded roadway, transit and major transportation projects being considered within the region over the next five years. The Draft Air Quality Conformity Analysis for Erie and Niagara Counties presents the results of the regional emissions analysis and describes the process and methods undertaken by GBNRTC to demonstrate air quality conformity for the Buffalo, NY area with the State Implementation Plan. The following public meetings have been scheduled to further explain and discuss the draft plans. A formal presentation will be made followed by an open discussion format. Special accommodations will be provided upon request.

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Tuesday, April 13, 2010 - Quality Inn 7708 Niagara Falls Blvd. Niagara Falls, N.Y. 6:00pm – 8:00pm Thursday, April 15, 2010 - Buffalo and Erie County Public Library Central Meeting Room 2nd Floor, 1 Lafayette Square, Buffalo, NY 5:00pm – 7:00pm The public review and comment period extends from April 8, 2010 through April 28, 2010. Electronic versions of the documents will be posted on the GBNRTC website (www.gbnrtc.org) on or after April 8th for viewing and/or downloading; and may also be reviewed by visiting the GBNRTC offices. Comments may be sent to: GBNRTC Executive Director, Suite 503, 438 Main Street, Buffalo, NY 14202; (716) 856-2026; Fax: (716) 856-3203; or E-mail: staff@gbnrtc.org. Public comments will be received through April 28, 2010.

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Community Feedback Summary of Comments received at Open House Public Meetings 2011‐2015 TIP; 2035 LRP Update; and Draft Air Quality Conformity Analysis Public Meeting at the Quality Inn, 7708 Niagara Falls Blvd, Niagara Falls, NY 6pm‐8pm, April 13, 2010 Statements/comments made: • Frank Frandina, Citizen Raised a general question regarding whether the region received any funding for High Speed Rail. Ask whether the LaSalle Expressway Extension (Outer Belt Expressway) was still under consideration in the Long Range Transportation Plan. • Thomas Frank, Citizen Expressed support for the relocating the Williamsville Toll Booth. Stated the need for consistency between regional and binational planning initiatives. • Art Giacalone, Citizen Questioned who is responsible for addressing the impacts of transportation projects on health and the environment. Suggested a possible subcommittee to focus on the issue. The following answers were given to questions raised: • •

The LaSalle Expressway Extension/Outer Belt Expressway was removed from consideration as far back as the 2010 Long Range Transportation Plan so therefore it has not been included in subsequent LRTPs for many years. The MPO is responsible for assessing the cumulative impact of all TIP and LRTP projects on the regional air quality. Individual project impacts on the environment are evaluated separately through the appropriate NEPA and/or SEQR process as each project is implemented by its sponsor.

2011‐2015 TIP; 2035 LRP Update; and Draft Air Quality Conformity Analysis Public Meeting at the Buffalo and Erie County Public Library, 1 Lafayette Sq, Buffalo, NY 5pm – 7pm, April 15, 2010 Statements/comments made: • Ruth Lampe, Citizen Expressed support for the Scajaquada Corridor Enhancement project and the importance of moving it from study to construction. Suggested that the MPO reevaluate how

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public meetings are advertised. Specific suggestions were provided to GBNRTC staff such as advertising on Buffalo Rising, sending out notices to project review team participants, and enhancing media outreach. Also suggested using fewer acronyms when explaining plans and programs to the public. • Mark Mitskovski, Niagara Gateway Columbus Park Association Expressed concern over the health impacts of the Peace Bridge Congestion Relief Project and opposition for any form of funding for the project. Also asked if there were plans to better coordinate truck traffic at the Peace Bridge. Written comments outlining his concerns were provided to GBNRTC staff. • Justin Booth, Wellness Institute of Greater Buffalo and WNY Expressed the need for collecting bicycle and pedestrian data in the region. Asked how the Plan addresses some of the newer federal initiatives being proposed such as mode share targets, transit catchment zones, peak oil scenarios, and childhood obesity. • Linda Detine, Citizen Asked how minority communities are informed of the planning process. Expressed concerned that the Plan was unbalanced. The following answers were given to questions raised: • • • • •

As new federal initiatives and programs become law these initiatives would become more apparent in the transportation planning process. A written response was prepared and forwarded to Mark Mitskovski of Niagara Gateway Columbus Park Association regarding the Peace Bridge Congestion Relief Project. NITTEC provides a traffic management system to alert drivers via email or text messages to traffic incidents or congestion. It is also available for cross‐border travel between the U.S. and Canada. Minority communities are informed of the planning process in a number of ways including targeted outreach activities such as one‐on‐one interviews and small group discussions and general outreach activities such as newspaper and email notices. A demographic profile of the metropolitan planning area is maintained and updated that includes identification of the locations of socio‐economic groups, including low‐income and minority populations especially for the Human Services Transportation Plan (HSTP). Through maps and extensive analyses, the HSTP specifically delineates and defines transportation service gaps and that analysis is also used to advance project candidates and assess transportation program impacts.

Written statements by members of the community (on following pages)

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April 15, 2010

Page 1 of3.

Central Library, Buffalo, NY From: Mark B. Mitskovs~ VP - Niagara Gateway Columbus Park Association (716.885.8150) Re: Comments on the GBNRTC 2011-2015 and 2035 Long Range Transportation Plan

GBNRTC Transportation Plan states that:

1. Under the Clean Air Act, US EPA considers Erie County to be a non attainment area for criteria air pollutants, specifically ozone and therefore even without an increase in trame, Erie County does not contlrm to the Act. 2. Regional emissions analyses demonstrate that the region does not conform to either the 1 or 8 hour ozone standard and will not meet the NYSDEC State Implementation Plan (SIP) to reduce emissions from mobile sources. 3. Population and economic activity will be stagnant with very slight growth over the next 25 years.

We have identified several gaps in the presented analysis. The report indicates that NYSDEC Inspection and Maintenance Program data was used in the emissions modeling; however, there is no identification of: 1. How many emissions inspections of outgoing ( Canada bound) or incoming ( US bound) commercial vehicles have been conducted over the past 20 years at the Peace Bridge or within the vicinity ? 2. What are the findings of these inspections? 3. What is the average age of these vehicles? 4. What level of compliance or non compliance and what were the levels of emissions in aggregate for the non compliant vehicles? 5. Was the non compliance data and future commercial vehicle growth projections

incorporated in the models to correct for deviations in emissions projections?

6. How many on site air monitoring studies have been conducted to validate the models and incorporated with future projections?


April 15, 2010

Page 2 of3.

Central Library, Buffalo, NY Mark B. Mitskovsld, VP- Niagara Gateway Columbus Park Association (716.885.8150) Re: Comments on the GBNRTC 2011-2015 and 2035 Long Range Transportation Plan

7. Have the Public Bridge Authority DEIS commercial vehicle projections (2.1 million in 2020 and 3.1 million in 2040) been incorporated in the emissions modeling? 8. How will the nearly tripling in commercial diesel traffic at the Peace Bridge, over the planning period, been accounted for in terms of criteria pollutants and attainment standards? 9. What mitigations are being recommended for Peace Bridge plaza and bridge under SIP, a semi stationa.ry facility surrounded by one ofthe most densely populated urban areas of WNY?

We question the GBNRTC Long Range Transportation recommendations on the following:

I

I.

How is it that $ 22.5+ million in Federal Funds for future WNY transportation improvements are planned for an entity that hits declared itself an International Compact Entity (ICE), a Public entity that believes it is not subject to Local, State or Federal jurisdiction or regulation?

II.

Why are we allocating finite regional transportation funds to subsidize the expansion plans of an ICE that hanns 20,000+ children with chronic asthma on the Lower West of Buffalo at a cost to WNY of approximately $ 110 million annually ( $ 5,OOO/per individual) in health care costs?

III.

As projected commercial diesel vehicles triples over the planning period, what assessment has been made to account for the additional respiratory harm and social and financial costs to residents ofthe Lower West Side of Buffalo.

IV.

How does this project comply with the Clean Air Standards, SIP and public health?

V.

Where is the required economic cost benefit analysis,justifying this project and its financial benefits to WNY in jobs retained and produced in relation to its direct and indirect costs? .


April 15,2010

Page 3 of3.

Central Library, Buffalo, NY Mark B. Mitskovski, VP~ Niagata Gateway Columbus Park Association (716.885.8150) Re: Comments on the GBNRTC 2011-2015 and 2035 Long Range Transportation Plan

VI. How can the Public Bridge Authority justify a massive expansion of its footprint to support a Duty Free shop and parking, as a transportation related necessity, under the Department of Transportation Act section 4f? That provision requires that the

Federal Highway Authority not only avoid damaging parks, but take affirmative steps to recover parks lost to prior transportation projects.

In summary, we seriously question the validity of including and vehemently oppose the funding for the Buffalo and Ft, Erie Public Bridge Authority "Congestion Relief' Project in any form, on the grounds that it does not meet any legitimate standard for public transportation funding given its status as an ICE and it's directly attributed and appalling harm to the pUblic. Simply put, 20,000+ West Side Buffalo children with chronic asthma, today subsidize a piece of transportation infrastructure that provides little benefit relative to its extraordinary social and public health costs. What will be the cost to Buffalo and WNY if the PBA achieves its tripling of traffic; 40,000, or more chronic asthma victims? How many shortened lives~deaths are we willing to wage to accommodate Canadian and out of area interest? By any measure of civil society, this project cannot be condoned or allowed to continue!

Mark B. Mitskovski 637 Busti Avenue, Buffalo, NY 14213 716.885.8150 mmitskovski@borisonintl.com

I




From: Judie Takacs [mailto:judieta@miscproductions.com] Sent: Wednesday, April 28, 2010 9:43 PM To: Hal Morse Cc: GBNRTC Staff Subject: Comments on 2035 LRP Update Dear Mr. Morse, It was a pleasure speaking with you at the GBNRTC Public Meeting in Niagara Falls on April 13, 2010. Thank you for sending me a complete copy of the evening’s presentation. While my purpose in attending the meeting that night was to gain more information about transportation and air quality issues, I was dismayed to learn how little oversight was being exercise regarding the Peace Bridge Project in Buffalo. Therefore I am submitting the following comments, per your deadline of April 28, 2010: The Peace Bridge Expansion Project was identified as a “regionally significant transportation project” in the Combined Regional Emissions Analysis and Transportation Conformity Determination for the 2035 L-R Plan, and that the transportation project was allocated $22.5M during modeling year 2011-2016. The same report stated that “effective June 15, 2004 the EPA designated Erie and Niagara Counties to be non-attainment under the 8-hour ozone standard.” And I see that today the American Lung Association released its State of the Air 2020 “report card,” finding that Erie County again receives an "F" for ozone pollution. Who is looking out for the people of WNY and the human health impacts of transportation projects, if not the GBNRTC? Where is the concern for air quality and human health impacts and why isn’t the GBNRTC advocating for an alternate international crossing with less adverse effects? This question was posed at the April 13th Public Hearing but there was no satisfactory answer. It seems that the GBNRTC’s support of the Peace Bridge Project was given without due diligence, and that all the PBA’s assumptions and conclusions are being taken at face value. In the recent Peace Bridge Project Exhibits (January 28 through February 6, 2010) the PBA’s environmental concerns were limited to the potential impacts on Birds and Fish. Health impacts are hardly addressed in their DEIS even though the Buffalo City Schools have first raised the alarm about adverse health impacts to census tract 70 in June, 2008. Indeed, in the PBA’s first Public Collaborative Workshop held September 14, 2002 in Crystal Beach, Ontario for the purpose of “Weighting of Project Goals & Objectives” found that the top issue was “Seek to avoid, minimize or mitigate adverse social impacts, adverse economic impacts and adverse environmental impacts.” Of the 12 G&Os set forth by the PBA that day, this one received 16.7% of the vote. The Peace Bridge Project has been side stepping health and air quality issues since February of 2001 when then Congressman John LaFalce sponsored a $213,000 federal grant awarded through the CDC to study the asthma rates on the lower West Side of Buffalo where “traffic at the Peace Bridge might well be the source of significant environmental pollution.”


Why aren't air quality and human health effects being addressed in an international transportation project where the crossing point is already in non-attainment? I think the MPO process and the mandate to minimize air pollution and “protect and enhance the environment” is at direct odds with the Peace Bridge Expansion Project. Haven't we learned from history; aren't we smarter than we were 40 years ago? I think it would be the GBNRTC’s job to avoid a repetition of a Love Canal. Perhaps when the Hooker Chemical dump site was pierced by the LaSalle Expressway decision-makers didn’t have the information or technology to avoid an environmental disaster; but today we do. We know that ultra-fine diesel particulates impact human health and that the densely residential West Side of Buffalo has WNY’s highest disease burden. There's already documented cancer clusters and an epidemic of chronic respiratory illnesses around the Peace Bridge Plaza Complex. The GBNRTC's support of the Peace Bridge Project is unconscionable. Acting on behalf of the taxpayers and citizens of WNY, it would be the GBNRTC’s responsibility to identify the border-crossing point which would best serve our 25 mile international transportation corridor. The Buffalo-Fort Erie crossing is the most ill-suited commercial crossing point of all. I hope the GBNRTC's Long-Range Transportation Plans will address these concerns. Thank you for your time and consideration. Judie Takacs 461 Fort Gray Drive Lewiston, NY 14092



ARTHUR J. GIACALONE Attorney At Law 140 Knox Road P.O. Box 63 East Aurora, NY 14052 Fax: (716) 687-1903

Telephone: (716) 687-1902

E-mail:

ajglaw@verizon.net

April 28, 2010 By fax to 856-3203 & email to staff@gbnrtc.org Hal Morse, Executive Director GBNRTC 438 Main St., Suite 503 Buffalo, NY 14202 Re: Written Comments on proposed TIP, Draft Air Quality Conformity Analysis Dear Mr. Morse: The American Lung Association’s “State of the Air 2010” report confirms what residents living near the Peace Bridge suspected: Long term exposure to exhaust from heavy traffic contributes to higher risks for heart attack, allergies, lung cancer, asthma attacks, premature births, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, etc. Despite these known risks, none of Western New York’s leaders appears willing to objectively assess and mitigate the adverse health impacts of traffic emissions on human health. Not our federal or local officials. Not the governmental agencies that sponsor specific highway and bridge projects. The Greater Buffalo-Niagara Regional Transportation Council (GBNRTC) must step forward and assume a leadership role in addressing this critical issue. Your agency serves as WNY’s metropolitan planning agency, sharing responsibility with the State of New York for a comprehensive, continuous and cooperative transportation planning process for the Buffalo/Niagara area. It is obliged to, “not only mitigate adverse environmental impacts but also protect, enhance and restore the environment.” According to GBNRTC, the agency’s proposed five-year transportation improvement program would result in reductions in overall transportation-related emissions in WNY. But, Mr. Morse, as you frankly admitted at the recent public forum in Niagara Falls, the GBNRTC relies on the individual project sponsors to protect and enhance the environment by responsibly performing the project-specific environmental review mandated under federal and state laws. As the Peace Bridge project demonstrates, that reliance is not warranted. The Peace Bridge sponsors list a variety of objectives to justify the project – from improving border security and increasing bridge capacity, to safely accommodating bike and pedestrian traffic. The goal of eliminating adverse health impacts is nowhere to be found. Dr. Jamson Lwebuga-Mukasa, a noted public health research scientist, presented


research showing that heavy traffic at the Peace Bridge is linked to poor respiratory health of the west side of Buffalo, recommending that truck traffic be excluded from the Peace Bridge. His findings were summarily rejected by the Peace Bridge consultants “since his research is independent of the Project Consultant Team.” Vague language in literature prepared by Peace Bridge sponsors should have placed the GBNRTC on notice that no true effort was being made to eliminate trafficrelated impacts on human health. The public was merely told that predictions regarding airborne pollutants “suggest[ed] … a beneficial contribution to quality of health in the neighborhood surrounding the Peace Bridge.” In fact, no attempt was made by the sponsoring agencies to accurately assess and predict project-specific health impacts. And, the proposed alternatives that could have significantly reduced the negative impacts on the West Side neighborhood were eliminated from consideration long before the supposed environmental assessment was conducted. GBNRTC created a bicycle/pedestrian subcommittee to assure that the concerns of bicyclists and walkers weren’t lost in the shuffle. It is time for WNY’s metropolitan planning agency to create a subcommittee that would focus its attention on assessing and eliminating traffic-related impacts on human health. Sincerely,

Arthur J. Giacalone

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