Executive Briefing – Climate Disruptions & COVID Climate Adaptation Center CAC #1 – Sarasota, FL 501.c.3 Tax Exempt Corporation, 84-1889176 ●
An expert resource informing government, academe & the private sector so they can create the necessary adaptation strategies & actions to protect our way of life. TRUST is the key!
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Providing science information for the emergence of the Climate Economy.
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CAC is raising $2M in private donations to kick off its mission.
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Executive Briefing – Climate Disruptions & COVID ● Warming Temperatures – Heat Waves ● Forest Fires ● Hurricanes ● Everything Else ● The Missing Link To Action ● Hope Springs Eternal – The Push Needs To Come From The Local Level!
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Executive Briefing – Climate Disruptions & COVID Worldwide Average Temperatures Since 1850 Warming Temperatures
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Executive Briefing – Climate Disruptions & COVID Warming Temperatures Besides Getting Hotter: ● Arctic & Antarctic are warming 3 to 4 times faster than temperate zones ● As the temperature gradient from equator to pole weakens so do jet streams ● Nighttime temperatures are warming faster than daytime temperatures ● Dry areas are getting dryer as heat builds ● Oceans are warming and absorb 94% of all the warming so far
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From California to Colorado
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Executive Briefing – Climate Disruptions & COVID Forest Fires As Temperatures Warm Landmasses In Usually Dry Areas Dry Out –Drought ● Record number & extent of FF in western USA ● Record costs for containment ● Record loss of Life & Property & rapidly increasing insurance costs – 7 M Ac burned (size of RI + CT), 10,000 structures burned, 78+ deaths ● Poor Zoning contributes
● Poor Forest Management makes fires worse
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Executive Briefing – Climate Disruptions & COVID Not Just North America – Australia January 2020
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& FIRES & COVID Executive Briefing –HURRICANES Climate Disruptions Smoke Smoke
Smoke
Sandy
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Executive Briefing – Climate Disruptions & COVID As Temperatures Warm - Hurricanes Are Experiencing Character Changes ● Explosive Development Cycles (EDC) – 6 CAT 5’s since 2017 – Laura Record ● Tight Pinhole Eye formation –Irma, Maria, Michael, Dorian, Laura ● Slower more often – Harvey, Florence, Sally?
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Executive Briefing – Climate Disruptions & COVID IRMA 2018
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Executive Briefing – Climate Disruptions & COVID AND ● Economic Losses are mounting from wind and flood ● Record Number of Hurricanes & CAT 4 & 5’s ● Impossible to evacuate people in time because of EDC & COVID ● Increasing cost of Wind & Flood Insurance ● Amplified by poor zoning ● Amplified by poor coastal zone management 12
Executive Briefing – Climate Disruptions & COVID DORIAN PINEHOLE & STALL 2019
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Executive Briefing – Climate Disruptions & COVID
DORIAN CAT 5 STALL
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MICHAEL CAT 5 PINHOLE Executive Briefing – Climate Disruptions & COVID
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Executive Briefing – Climate Disruptions & COVID - Laura
LAURA CAT 4 PINHOLE 2020
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Executive Briefing – Climate Disruptions & COVID Jet Stream Slows Down – Harvey CAT 4 STALL 2018
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Executive Briefing – Climate Disruptions & COVID – Everything Else 2020 will set a new all time record for Tropical Storms in the Atlantic, Caribbean & Gulf of Mexico
20 Named Storms & its just Peak Hurricane Season!
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Impacts of COVID? What if a Major Hurricane spawn by EDC near a major coastline community strike during a significant upsurge of COVID will there be a mass casualty event? ● Evacuation Plans be sufficient to protect lives ● Shelters vs. Mass exodus vs. Shelter in place ● Massive Destruction, long lasting power outages
Impacts Of COVID Thus Far ● Evacuation ability for Fires & Hurricanes to prevent spread have been iffy ○
Shelter in Place During Hurricanes or Hotels being leased by government?
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Hotels and other make shift centers for Fire evacuees?
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Knowing & using COVID data to modify evacuation plans?
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When Hurricane Laura struck Mississippi, 300,000 had had COVID in the strike zone complicating evacuations and leading to several death
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Emergency Services & Firefighters at risk due to shear numbers and staging. 30,000 firefighters working now on fires.
Summing Up Indicators Of Climate Warming CO2 & GHG accumulations since 1700 The last 1000 year of CO2 accumulation Sea Level Rise since the Industrial Note: 2020 is on track as the warmest year on record. Almost every year since 2000 has been in the top 20 warmest years. Ave temps are going up .33°F each decade since 1990 a doubling of the 18802019 rate.
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Executive Briefing – Climate Disruptions & COVID – Everything Else ● Sea Level Rise – 1 in. every 7 to 8 yrs. – rate increasing due to ice melt & thermal expansion ● Storm surges from hurricanes & intense storms will be big events from now on ● Red Tides & Harmful Algae Blooms are increasing due to temperature rise negatively impacting human health ● Heat Waves will inflict more health & economic damage ● Crops will suffer and grain belts will move north with forests close behind
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Executive Briefing – Climate Disruptions & COVID The Missing Link TRUST In the age of fractured politics, conspiracy theories & the internet & social media, the magnificent march of science has been lost & time is running out CAC is converting peer reviewed science to understandable, actionable format so decision makers can make quicker, better, local and regional decision to spur adaptation & mitigation of the worst impacts of growing climate disruptions. Restoring TRUST is the key to progress now and that is CAC’s Job #1 27
Executive Briefing – Climate Disruptions & COVID Why I am hopeful if TRUST can be restored Knowledge has doubled since 1990 and is increasing exponentially That means by 2100 there will be 3X all the knowledge in our world in the next 80 years This even dwarfs the largest change in the world to date‌in 1890 there were 1 billon people living here and now there are 8. It took 130 years to add 7 billion! The Climate Economy with be the biggest opportunity for the US it has ever had!
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Executive Briefing – Climate Disruptions & COVID By 2100 we could well reverse climate warming though carbon sequestration but we have to get there from here….adaptation & mitigation protects our way of life until the global solutions evolve as knowledge advances Donations please! We can’t do it without YOU! CAC C/O Bob Bunting 111 S. Pineapple Ave Sarasota, FL 34236
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