Column for What’s Next website ONCE IN A LIFETIME The age of serial ownership is over; it’s time for ultimate ownership By Mark Levine The conventional wisdom about real estate is all wrong. For two generations, residential real estate has followed a familiar pattern. Call it serial ownership. You know the plot: Young couple stretches to buy "starter" house. When their family, income, or ego grows the house is sold for a tidy profit that's invested in a larger “family” house. The children grow up and out and the now too large house is traded in—again for a tidy profit—for a smaller "retirement" home in the sunbelt. Serial ownership worked wonders for the silent generation—the parents of baby boomers—and for many of the leading edge of baby boomers, but it was a real estate anomaly, a lucky fluke of demography, not a fundamental principle of finance. And rather than being something to pursue, it’s best avoided. Prior to World War II home ownership was something for the wealthy and the rural. Everyone else rented. The few suburbs that existed were mini and moneyed. Then there came a once in a millennium confluence of events. The American economy was roaring along in a postwar boom. The federal government was paying back GIs for their service with cheap educations and low interest mortgages. Those GIs and their brides were busy cranking out babies...lots of them. Levittown, and its equivalents, sprung up outside every American city offering homes for those new families. Highways and rail lines were expanded to connect Downtown and Levittown. Middle class Americans suddenly became suburban homeowners. In between commuting and PTA meetings the silent generation found time to sire the greatest seller’s market in history. Having bought their home for $15,000 with government help, they were able to turn around and sell it to a member of their kid’s generation for $150,000. They took the money and ran to Tampa or Tempe. Then in the 1980s, once the tail end of the baby boom generation bought their own "starter" homes, the total number of potential buyers started shrinking. Demand and values dropped. Rather than being able to turn over their homes for a tidy profit, some unlucky souls were actually stuck carrying mortgages larger than the value of their house. Most however, were just trapped in a house that didn’t meet their family's needs. Giving up the dream of selling their way up, they started watching This Old House to figure out ways to renovate their way out. So many now fit this profile that it has become a lifestyle: just look at the magazine you’re reading. But along the way conventional wisdom didn't kept pace. Most financial advisers and writers are still advocating the early purchase of a home, stretching to buy more than is affordable, and buying with the intent of selling. The pundits are still pushing serial home ownership, and with it, their clients, readers and listeners into a money morass; they're convincing people to buy homes that may be too small, too soon, for too much. As a result, these folks could end up stuck in homes they can't afford, can't sell, and can't expand. Let’s look at the hard facts. There’s no longer any job security: the unwritten contract between employer and employee has been torn into millions of pink slips. Reach beyond your grasp to buy a home and it could end up in the bank's hands if you lose your job or need to take a lower paying one. People are having fewer children, later in life. Buy a home that fits just your current, rather than potential future needs and in a few years the two of you could end up sleeping on a pull-out couch in the living room. Whatever the tax impact, there are now a lot of better investments than owning a home. Which would you take: a $200,000 split level or $200,000 worth of Intel? Forget the current surge in the market: it's a short-term spike brought on by low interest rates, not a long-term trend. If you want to see the future look at the demographics.