Housing Report 2021 - NW Montana

Page 1


Annual Report for the Northwest Montana Association of REALTORS® Service Area FOR RESIDENTIAL REAL ESTATE ACTIVITY IN FLATHEAD, LINCOLN AND LAKE COUNTIES


2021 Annual Report for the Northwest Montana Association of REALTORS® Service Area FOR RESIDENTIAL REAL ESTATE ACTIVITY IN FLATHEAD, LINCOLN AND LAKE COUNTIES

Fervent buyer demand, driven by pandemic-induced changes to housing needs and preferences, reached extraordinary levels in 2021. The inventory of homes for sale remained low, as home seller activity did not rise proportionally to meet this demand. New construction activity, while strong, remains limited by a combination of material and labor shortages, rising material costs, and a regulatory and operational environment that makes it difficult to scale quickly.

Prices: Home prices were up compared to last year. The overall median sales price increased 32.8 percent to $498,000 for the year. Single Family home prices were up 34.6 percent compared to last year, and Townhouse\Condo home prices were up 33.0 percent. List Price Received: Sellers received, on average, 100.2 percent of their original list price at sale, a year-over-year improvement of 2.1 percent.

The strong seller’s market of 2020 continued and even strengthened in 2021, with inventory levels remaining low and multiple offer situations common across much of the housing market both locally and nationally. Multiple offers again drove prices significantly higher for the year.

The 2021 housing market was once again strong both locally and nationally. Inventory shortages and high buyer demand continued to push home prices higher, with multiple offers on a limited number of homes the common theme in most market segments.

Sales: Pending sales decreased 12.5 percent, finishing 2021

This year looks to continue the trends seen in the last 18 months, pushing home prices higher still.  As mortgage rates are likely to continue to rise over the year as well, housing affordability will remain an important factor to watch.

at 3,367. Closed sales were down 6.9 percent to end the year at 3,371.

Listings: Comparing 2021 to the prior year, the number of homes available for sale was lower by 34.1 percent. There were 346 active listings at the end of 2021. New listings decreased by 9.9 percent to finish the year at 3,819.

Bedroom Count: Increases in sales prices occurred across homes of all sizes over the last year. In 2021, properties with 1 bedroom or less saw the largest growth at 57.4 percent. The highest percent of original list price received at sale went to properties with 3 bedrooms at 100.9 percent.

Table of Contents 3

Quick Facts

5

Property Type Review

6

Bedroom Review

7

Price Range Review

8

Area Overviews

9

Area Historical Prices

Current as of January 5, 2022. All data from Montana Regional MLS. Report © 2022 ShowingTime. | 2


2021 Annual Report for the Northwest Montana Association of REALTORS® Service Area

Quick Facts New Listings

Pending Sales 4,239

3,847

3,992 3,852

3,819

2,426

2,409

3,367

2,727

3,689

2017

+ 8.2%

- 3.5%

+ 10.0%

- 9.9%

2018

2019

2020

2021

Top Geographies: Change in New Listings from 2020

+ 100.0% + 34.5% + 22.9% + 20.9% + 17.8% + 9.2% 0.0% - 0.8% - 9.6% - 11.6%

Swan Lake Eureka Libby Lakeside Lincoln County Ronan West Glacier Columbia Falls Polson Whitefish

Closed Sales

- 0.7%

+ 13.2%

+ 41.1%

- 12.5%

2018

2019

2020

2021

2017

Top Geographies: Change in Pending Sales from 2020 Eureka Libby Lincoln County Ronan Columbia Falls Troy Lakeside Whitefish Flathead County Kalispell

+ 35.6% + 22.2% + 16.9% + 13.0% - 5.9% - 6.3% - 11.5% - 13.6% - 14.8% - 17.2%

Inventory of Homes for Sale At the end of the year.

3,622 2,436

2,421

3,371

2,667

1,287

1,344 1,078 525

2017

- 0.6%

+ 10.2%

+ 35.8%

- 6.9%

2018

2019

2020

2021

Top Geographies: Change in Closed Sales from 2020 Swan Lake Eureka Lincoln County Libby Ronan Kalispell Lakeside Columbia Falls Flathead County Troy

2017

346

+ 4.4%

- 19.8%

- 51.3%

- 34.1%

2018

2019

2020

2021

Top Geographies: Change in Homes for Sale from 2020 + 100.0% + 56.7% + 22.3% + 14.3% + 13.9% - 6.4% - 7.2% - 8.0% - 8.8% - 9.7%

Lakeside Polson Columbia Falls Eureka Whitefish Libby Flathead County Kalispell Lincoln County Lake County

+ 133.3% - 17.9% - 25.0% - 25.8% - 25.9% - 27.3% - 31.9% - 36.1% - 37.0% - 39.8%

Current as of January 5, 2022. All data from Montana Regional MLS. Report © 2022 ShowingTime. | 3


2021 Annual Report for the Northwest Montana Association of REALTORS® Service Area

Quick Facts Median Sales Price

Average Sales Price $698,937

$498,000

$269,000

2017

$300,000

$325,000

$527,992

$375,000 $333,922

+ 11.5%

+ 8.3%

+ 15.4%

+ 32.8%

2018

2019

2020

2021

Top Geographies: Change in Median Sales Price from 2020 Swan Lake Pablo Lakeside Eureka Columbia Falls Bigfork Flathead County Arlee West Glacier Kalispell

+ 200.8% + 52.6% + 51.1% + 49.7% + 48.3% + 43.9% + 37.4% + 35.5% + 34.4% + 29.9%

Days on Market Until Sale 99

94

94

2017

$383,967

$410,939

+ 15.0%

+ 7.0%

+ 28.5%

+ 32.4%

2018

2019

2020

2021

Top Geographies: Change in Avg. Sales Price from 2020 Swan Lake Lakeside Columbia Falls Ronan Bigfork Flathead County Kalispell Lake County Eureka Troy

+ 200.8% + 63.9% + 58.1% + 57.2% + 53.5% + 35.7% + 35.5% + 30.3% + 30.2% + 30.0%

Percent of List Price Received 100.2% 80 98.1% 43

2017

- 5.1%

0.0%

- 14.9%

- 46.3%

2018

2019

2020

2021

Top Geographies: Change in Days on Market from 2020 Arlee Swan Lake Big Arm Libby Ronan Lincoln County Bigfork Whitefish Flathead County Kalispell

- 7.1% - 7.2% - 26.9% - 44.3% - 44.7% - 45.9% - 46.5% - 46.7% - 47.1% - 47.2%

97.1%

2017

96.9%

97.0%

- 0.2%

+ 0.1%

+ 1.1%

+ 2.1%

2018

2019

2020

2021

Top Geographies: Change in Pct. of List Price Received from 2020 Swan Lake + 38.8% Big Arm + 7.5% West Glacier + 5.4% Arlee + 3.5% Bigfork + 3.2% Lakeside + 2.9% Libby + 2.6% Lincoln County + 2.3% Polson + 2.3% Whitefish + 2.2%

Current as of January 5, 2022. All data from Montana Regional MLS. Report © 2022 ShowingTime. | 4


2021 Annual Report for the Northwest Montana Association of REALTORS® Service Area

Property Type Review 44

38

Average Days on Market Single Family

Average Days on Market Townhouse\Condo

Top Geographies: Townhouse\Condo Market Share in 2021

Days on Market Until Sale This chart uses a rolling 12-month average for each data point. Single Family

Townhouse\Condo

140

120

100

80

60

40

20

0 1-2017

1-2018

1-2019

1-2020

Whitefish

44.1%

West Glacier

40.0%

Flathead County

23.1%

Bigfork

19.6%

Kalispell

18.5%

Polson

13.9%

Lakeside

12.2%

Columbia Falls

8.9%

Lake County

6.3%

Libby

1.2%

Eureka

0.7%

Lincoln County

0.6%

Arlee

0.0%

Big Arm

0.0%

Elmo

0.0%

Pablo

0.0%

1-2021

+ 34.6%

+ 33.0%

100.1%

100.9%

One-Year Change in Price Single Family

One-Year Change in Price Townhouse\Condo

Pct. of List Price Received Single Family

Pct. of List Price Received Townhouse\Condo

Median Sales Price

Percent of List Price Received 2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2017

2018

2019

2020

$525K 100.1% 97.0% 96.7% 96.8% 98.0%

100.9%

$399K

$390K $315K

97.3% 97.6% 97.9% 98.6%

2021

$331K $289K

$272K $244K

Single Family

$300K

$250K

Townhouse\Condo

Single Family

Townhouse\Condo

Current as of January 5, 2022. All data from Montana Regional MLS. Report © 2022 ShowingTime. | 5


2021 Annual Report for the Northwest Montana Association of REALTORS® Service Area

Bedroom Count Review + 57.4%

+ 33.8%

Growth in Median Sales Price 1 Bedroom or Less

Growth in Median Sales Price 4 Bedrooms or More

Median Sales Price

2020

2021

$689,000

$515,000 $689,000 $475,500 $334,500

$515,000

$355,000 $212,500

+ 28.8%

+ 57.4%

1 Bedroom or Less

2 Bedrooms

+ 33.9%

3 Bedrooms

+ 33.8%

4 Bedrooms or More

Top Geographies: 4 Bedrooms or More Market Share in 2021 Arlee

50.0%

Elmo

50.0%

Rollins

44.4%

Lakeside

42.9%

Columbia Falls

37.2%

Kalispell

35.7%

Eureka

33.3%

Bigfork

32.6%

Flathead County

31.9%

Polson

31.7%

Lake County

31.2%

Big Arm

28.6%

Libby

28.1%

Lincoln County

27.2%

Whitefish

23.6%

West Glacier

20.0%

Troy

19.6%

99.6%

100.1%

100.9%

99.5%

Percent of List Price Received in 2021 for 1 Bedroom or Less

Percent of List Price Received in 2021 for 2 Bedrooms

Percent of List Price Received in 2021 for 3 Bedrooms

Percent of List Price Received in 2021 for 4 Bedrooms or More

Percent of List Price Received 1 Bedrooms

2 Bedrooms

3 Bedrooms

4 Bedrooms or More

110%

105%

100%

95%

90%

85%

80% 1-2017

1-2018

1-2019

1-2020

1-2021

Current as of January 5, 2022. All data from Montana Regional MLS. Report © 2022 ShowingTime. | 6


2021 Annual Report for the Northwest Montana Association of REALTORS® Service Area

Price Range Review $225,000 to $354,999

$121,999 Or Less

0.9%

- 62.5%

Price Range with Shortest Average Market Time

Price Range with Longest Average Market Time

of Homes for Sale at Year End Priced $121,999 Or Less

One-Year Change in Homes for Sale Priced $121,999 Or Less

Days on Market Until Sale by Price Range

Share of Homes for Sale $121,999 Or Less 7%

78

$121,999 Or Less

6%

5%

46

$122,000 to $224,999

4%

3%

37

$225,000 to $354,999

2%

1%

43

$355,000 or More

0% 1-2017

1-2018

1-2019

1-2020

1-2021

$355,000 or More

+ 27.7%

$121,999 Or Less

- 51.5%

Price Range with the Most Closed Sales

Price Range with Strongest One-Year Change in Sales: $355,000 or More

Price Range with the Fewest Closed Sales

Price Range with Weakest One-Year Change in Sales: $122,000 to $224,999

Closed Sales by Price Range

2019

2020

2021

2,479 1,969

1,077

1,236

1,112 698

391 87

61

30

$121,999 Or Less

356

164

$122,000 to $224,999

$225,000 to $354,999

$355,000 or More

Current as of January 5, 2022. All data from Montana Regional MLS. Report © 2022 ShowingTime. | 7


2021 Annual Report for the Northwest Montana Association of REALTORS® Service Area

Area Overviews Total Closed Sales Flathead County

Percent Change Percent Townhouse/ from 2020 Single Family Condo

New Listings

Months Supply of Inventory

Days on Market

Pct. of List Price Received

2,452

- 8.8%

76.1%

23.9%

2,753

1.2

37

100.7%

Lake County

459

- 17.6%

93.2%

6.8%

531

1.4

54

99.2%

Lincoln County

460

+ 22.3%

99.3%

0.7%

535

1.5

60

98.7%

Arlee

14

- 33.3%

100.0%

0.0%

17

1.2

79

100.9%

Big Arm

7

- 30.0%

100.0%

0.0%

4

0.0

57

101.5%

Bigfork

276

- 21.6%

80.1%

19.9%

308

1.1

53

100.3%

Columbia Falls

218

- 8.0%

90.4%

9.6%

259

1.1

28

101.1%

4

- 42.9%

100.0%

0.0%

2

0.0

33

98.1%

141

+ 56.7%

99.3%

0.7%

160

2.0

56

99.0%

1,177

- 6.4%

80.8%

19.2%

1,222

0.8

28

101.3% 99.8%

Elmo Eureka Kalispell Lakeside

77

- 7.2%

87.0%

13.0%

110

2.2

36

Libby

160

+ 14.3%

98.8%

1.3%

188

1.1

44

99.0%

Pablo

2

- 33.3%

100.0%

0.0%

2

0.0

55

100.9%

Polson

199

- 23.5%

85.4%

14.6%

244

1.4

44

99.5%

Rollins

9

- 47.1%

100.0%

0.0%

11

0.8

49

101.5%

Ronan

82

+ 13.9%

100.0%

0.0%

95

0.8

52

98.7% 104.1%

Swan Lake

2

+ 100.0%

100.0%

0.0%

2

0.0

116

Troy

56

- 9.7%

100.0%

0.0%

66

1.5

64

96.3%

West Glacier

5

- 44.4%

60.0%

40.0%

9

1.0

24

101.6%

614

- 10.4%

55.7%

44.3%

732

1.5

48

100.0%

Whitefish

Current as of January 5, 2022. All data from Montana Regional MLS. Report © 2022 ShowingTime. | 9


2021 Annual Report for the Northwest Montana Association of REALTORS® Service Area

Area Historical Median Prices 2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

Change From 2020

Change From 2017

Flathead County

$284,470

$315,000

$336,425

$385,000

$529,000

+ 37.4%

+ 86.0%

Lake County

$246,450

$300,000

$320,000

$384,950

$460,000

+ 19.5%

+ 86.7%

Lincoln County

$165,000

$201,500

$235,000

$290,000

$350,625

+ 20.9%

+ 112.5%

Arlee

$267,000

$279,500

$329,000

$348,000

$471,500

+ 35.5%

+ 76.6%

Big Arm

$433,500

$460,000

$499,900

$605,000

$510,000

- 15.7%

+ 17.6%

Bigfork

$342,500

$400,250

$393,750

$469,125

$675,000

+ 43.9%

+ 97.1%

Columbia Falls

$289,500

$289,750

$315,000

$370,000

$548,600

+ 48.3%

+ 89.5%

Elmo

$120,000

$0

$217,500

$792,000

$529,500

- 33.1%

+ 341.3%

Eureka

$215,000

$235,000

$285,000

$320,000

$479,000

+ 49.7%

+ 122.8%

Kalispell

$255,000

$279,000

$302,750

$334,900

$435,000

+ 29.9%

+ 70.6%

Lakeside

$297,500

$389,500

$429,000

$460,000

$695,000

+ 51.1%

+ 133.6%

Libby

$115,000

$142,000

$182,000

$229,000

$273,250

+ 19.3%

+ 137.6%

Pablo

$148,500

$242,500

$125,000

$145,500

$222,000

+ 52.6%

+ 49.5%

Polson

$242,700

$265,000

$317,000

$382,500

$415,000

+ 8.5%

+ 71.0%

Rollins

$549,000

$854,250

$698,650

$1,575,000

$1,450,000

- 7.9%

+ 164.1%

Ronan

$167,750

$199,250

$205,000

$242,500

$313,000

+ 29.1%

+ 86.6%

Swan Lake

$324,000

$4,600,000

$331,250

$180,000

$541,500

+ 200.8%

+ 67.1%

Troy

$174,500

$199,500

$246,900

$301,000

$350,000

+ 16.3%

+ 100.6%

West Glacier

$318,500

$799,000

$428,000

$398,000

$535,000

+ 34.4%

+ 68.0%

Whitefish

$343,000

$387,200

$434,500

$537,500

$659,000

+ 22.6%

+ 92.1%

Current as of January 5, 2022. All data from Montana Regional MLS. Report © 2022 ShowingTime. | 11


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