Monthly Market Update - November 2021

Page 1

MONTHLY MARKET UPDATE — NOVEMBER 2021 EDITION

O

ctober 2021 closed out with a total of

Monthly Sales Comparison

745 MLS property sales in the Greater

Greater Victoria - (2018-2021)

1400

Victoria Area. This is a 25% drop in sales from October of 2020. Sales from the pre-

1200

proximately 2%. This drop in sales is chiefly the product of a supply issue. Over the previous ten years, the average number of homes for sale in the Greater Victoria Area was 3,210. This past October

Number of Sales

vious month however are only down by ap1000

745

800

600

saw only 1,036 active listings. This contin-

400

uous, unprecedented lack of inventory remains the primary issue why most buyers

200

and sellers are hesitating

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

2018

431

545

688

774

755

708

651

594

533

598

462

375

2019

329

421

640

696

848

740

706

661

616

619

577

402

2020

411

563

608

287

457

808

979

979

989

990

795

631

2021

646

863

1173

1116

1049

942

835

831

761

745

Demand for property in the 800K to

Absorption Rate

Months of Inventory

tinue to experience multiple offers and

6

over asking price sales on listings po-

5.7 5.3

5.1

4.7

5

4.7

4.6

4

4.2

4.3

3.4

sitioned in this extremely sought-after

5.6

4.3

4.1

4.0 4.0

3.9

3.9

3.5

2.7

4.1

4.2

4.3 4.1

4.2

The benchmark price for a single family home climbed from $1,013,900 in

4.0

3.6

3.7

2.8

September to $1,021,400 in October. The benchmark price of a home in Oc-

1.5 1.9

4.0

3.8

2.5

2

tober of 2020 was $805,100.

2.4 1.4

1.3

1.3

1.3

1.3

1.4

2.2

2.0

1.3

1.8

1.6

December

November

October

2021

September

2020

August

July

2019

June

2018

May

April

March

February

January

1

price range.

5.2

3.1

3

1.5M range is higher than ever. We con-

Greater Victoria Area - (2018-2021)

7

Town-

houses climbed from $725,600 to $741,400 last month. The benchmark for a townhnouse this time one year

2481 BEACON AVENUE SIDNEY BC V8L1X9 | 1-877-656-0911 REACHUS@HOLMESREALTY.COM | WWW.HOLMESREALTY.COM When you buy or sell a home with Holmes Realty, a portion of the commission goes in support of local charities. Over $250,000 raised!


ago was $599,000. Finally, condo-

Saanich Peninsula Absorption Rates by Price Range

minium benchmarks have jumped

October 2021

3

from $542,700 in September to $548,000 in October. The benchago was $476,900. All across Canada, absorption rates continue to remain incredibly low from a lack of inventory. With absorption rates below 2 months of inventory in all municipalities but one, we remain deeply entrenched

Months of Inventory

mark for a Condominium one year

1.94

2

1.00 0.91

1

0.67 0.42

in the strongest seller’s market in the history of our region. On the Peninsula, the absorption rate was

NO SALES

NO

Under $600K

$600K to $800K

PAST 3 LISTINGS 0.00 0.00 MONTHS

0

1.44 months of inventory in North Saanich, 0.46 months of inventory

range on the Peninsula, . The highest priced sale during October 2021 was an Uplands water-

4.50

4.50

4.00

Months of Inventory

of inventory in the over $3M price

Over $3M

5.00

The luxury end of the market also

$1M to $3M, and under two months

$2M to $3M

October 2021

ventory in Central Saanich.

under one month of inventory from

$1M to $1.5M $1.5 to $2M

Absorption Rates - Single Family Detached

in Sidney, and 1.38 months of in-

remained strong last month. With

$800K to $1M

3.50

3.00

2.50

1.83

2.00

1.45

1.50

front for $8,700,000. The lowest

1.00

priced non-strata, non-manufac-

0.50

tured, freehold, property in Victo-

0.00

1.62

1.38 1.44 1.00

0.89 0.55

0.86 0.59

0.42

0.94

0.46

ria West for $660,000.

2481 BEACON AVENUE SIDNEY BC V8L1X9 | 1-877-656-0911 REACHUS@HOLMESREALTY.COM | WWW.HOLMESREALTY.COM When you buy or sell a home with Holmes Realty, a portion of the commission goes in support of local charities. Over $250,000 raised!


Absorption Rate Greater Victoria Area - (2018-2021)

Months of Inventory

7

5.7

6

5.3

5.1

4.7

5

4.7

4.6

4

4.2

4.3

3.4

5.6 5.2 4.3

4.1

4.0 4.0

3.9

3.1

3

4.0 4.1

3.8 3.5

2.7

4.3 4.1

4.2 4.0

3.6

3.7

2.8

2.5

2.4

2

1.5 1.9

1.4

1.3

1.3

1.3

1.3

1.4

2.2

2.0

1.3

1.8

1.6

December

November

October

2021

September

2020

August

2019

July

June

2018

May

April

March

February

January

1

3.9

4.2


Monthly Sales Comparison Greater Victoria - (2018-2021) 1400

Number of Sales

1200

1000

800

600

400

200

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

2018

431

545

688

774

755

708

651

594

533

598

462

375

2019

329

421

640

696

848

740

706

661

616

619

577

402

2020

411

563

608

287

457

808

979

979

989

990

795

631

2021

646

863

1173

1116

1049

942

835

831

761

745


Active Listings / Number of Sales Greater Victoria - (last 24 months) 3000

2500

2000

1500

1000

500

0

Active Listings

Number of Sales


Absorption Rates - Single Family Detached October 2021

5.00

4.50

4.50

Months of Inventory

4.00

3.50

3.00

2.50

1.83

2.00

1.45

1.50

1.00

1.00

0.89 0.55

0.50

0.00

1.62

1.38 1.44 0.86 0.59

0.42

0.46

0.94


Absorption Rates - Condominiums October 2021

2.00

1.83 1.80

1.58

Months of Inventory

1.60

1.40

1.20

1.00

0.95

0.94 0.77

0.80

0.60

0.58 0.43

0.40

0.20

0.00

0.48

0.46 0.27

0.23


Absorption Rates - Townhouses October 2021

2.50

2.31

Months of Inventory

2.00

1.64 1.50

1.50

1.02 1.00

0.87 0.75

0.69

0.64

0.50

0.30

0.00

0.00

0.24 0.00


Absorption Rates - Manufactured Homes October 2021

3.50

Months of Inventory

3.00

3.00

2.50

2.00

1.50

1.50

1.25 1.00

0.50

0.00

0.82

1.13


Absorption Rates - Saanich Peninsula October 2021 2

1.44 1.38

1.50

1

0.77 0.82

0.46

0.64

0.27 0.24 n/a

0

SINGLE FAMILY

n/a

CONDOS

North Saanich

n/a

TOWNHOMES

Sidney

MANUFACTURED

Central Saanich


Absorption Rates - Saanich Peninsula October 2021 2

1.44 1.38

1

0.77 0.46

0.64 0.27

0

0.24

n/a

n/a

SINGLE FAMILY CONDOS

TOWNHOMES

North Saanich

Sidney

Central Saanich


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