2018 DC Trip Presentation

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Today’s World I have seen it more dangerous (probably‌) I have not seen it more complicated (definitely) I have never seen it more immediate (you bet)


2017 was a year of disruption….


I mean it….lots of disruptions


And some drama, too…


2018 will be a year of consequences


The shortest fuse‌North Korea Kim must have a weapon and missiles We will not agree to just limit, defend and deter


From dueling hyperbole to historic meeting?


There aren’t many off ramps •An appeal to China •Negotiations •War


Iran…every 120 days

The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action


‌and then there is all of this, too


‌and more


Today’s terrorist threat. How big, how real?


Terror in New York…October 31, 2017


ISIS: The physical caliphate is destroyed And now what happens?


And look who’s back…


But as a revanchist rather than a resurgent power


And where will this lead?


Do we organize to fight Russia‌or ourselves?


And Then There Is The Rise of China


‌but not without issues


The call of nationalism


Is this the end of the post WW II American liberal global order??


And is it America first…or America alone? “The president embarked on his first foreign trip with a clear-eyed outlook that the world is not a ‘global community’ but an arena where nations, non-governmental actors, and businesses engage and compete for advantage.” Gary Cohn and H.R McMaster


It might feel a little lonely at times‌


Whither America? Walter Russell Mead’s Archetypes of Presidential Foreign Policy “Styles” Hamiltonian Wilsonian Jeffersonian Jacksonian


Where are President Trump’s instincts?

Trump’s America First is the Twilight of American Exceptionalism (Max Boot)

Walter Russell Mead places Mr. Trump within a “Jacksonian” tradition of American foreign policy: nationalist, populist, suspicious of the outside world—and willing to use force to beat it back…


Who are the whisperers?


David Rothkopf: National Insecurity

We have gone “in twenty years from a bipolar world to a bipolar superpower.�


Buckle up. It’s not going to settle for awhile.


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