Healthcare Analytics: Obstetric Service Line

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Obstetric Service Line Facility Feasibility Analysis



About Healthcare Analytics Planning for the future is more complicated than ever for healthcare organizations. Exploring the impact upon the physical plant due to demand fluctuations, mergers and acquisitions, market conditions and consumer demands requires skillful vetting and interpretation of pertinent data. The understanding of the population demographics, utilization factors, catchment characteristics, trends within specific modalities and migration opportunities are critical to right sizing so that accurate translation to program needs and capital outlays can be evaluated.


Example Study - Obstetric Care Hospital Expansion vs. Free Standing Birth Center The IKM Healthcare Analytics group has developed a process to assist facilities in assessing, determining, and understanding their needs in the context of volume projections and market influences. In this example we have analyzed the Denver market and one of the hospitals, hospital A, which is evaluating increasing their market share by either acquiring an existing OB/GYN practice and building an obstetric addition, or by acquiring a midwifery practice and constructing a freestanding birthing center.


Market Share Analysis

46,453 2019 TOTAL CATCHMENT AREA Deliveries

1,906 2019 TOTAL DELIVERIES Hospital A

4.1% 2019 HOSPITAL A MARKET SHARE Total Deliveries

The initial step is collecting the appropriate data for the current conditions. In this case it was the number of deliveries in the entire catchment area, the share for the client ‘Hospital A’ as well as the other market focus impacting this client.



Volume Projections with OB Practice Acquisition 8000 6000

2019

2024 Total Deliveries

2097

4105

6202

2074

4054

6132

2164

0

4274

2000

6439

4000

2029

Vaginal

C-Section

1877

1901

2000 1980 1960 1940 1920 1900 1880 1860 1840 1820

1983

Volume Projections with Midwifery Acquisition

2019

2024

2029

Vaginal

*Included is a projection of cases from the remaining catchment that would migrate. Given that this facility has a low percentage of the overall market, we projected 2% of remaining cases in the catchment area would migrate.


Community Hospital Obstetric Service Line Study The next step is to calculate the number of LDRP’s as they are the primary activity space upon which the balance of the space program is built around. The total annual caseload is divided by the operational days and then a utilization factor applied which will determine the designed loading of vaginal cases per day. The utilization factor for this modality is 65% as the seasonal fluctuation of deliveries is accounted for along with the normal nuances of unpredictable timing associated with care delivery. These cases have an average length of stay (LOS) applied that includes room turnover. The LOS is an industry tested metric and potential modified by the particular institution history and standard. The result is the number of LDRP’s that would accommodate the projected demand except on outlier days.

Primary Activity Space Calculation - LDRP for Vaginal Births Scenario

Designed Case Load

Operational Days

Utilization Ratio

Cases vaginal Per Day

Average LOS

LDRP Rooms Needed

Scenario 1

4105

365

65%

17.3

2

34.60

Scenario 2

1901

365

65%

8.0

1.75

14.02



Programming for Growth Looking at the projected volumes for 2029 we are able to determine the primary activity spaces for the addition that would be C-Section operations, post-partum rooms and LDR’s. For the hospital addition option, it is the birthing rooms (see appendix) once the primary activity spaces are determined a complete building program can be formulated. The primary activity spaces are the building blocks off of which a detailed space program of net square footage can be developed. This includes each space then applies industry standards net to gross factors to accommodate circulation and wall thickness to establish a departmental gross program. Then finally, a building grossing factor is approved. To account for exterior wall thickness and all vertical penetrating elements: stairs, elevators and shafts. This results in a final program. This then results in a building square footage to support the program.


Labor & Delivery

# of Rooms

NSF

Total

Ante / Post Partum

# of Rooms

NSF

Total

Admin / Public Areas

# of Rooms

NSF

Total

LDRP

35

400

14.00

Patient Rooms

36

240

8,640

Entry / Lobby

1

500

500

Patient Toilet Rooms

35

60

2,100

Patient Toilet Rooms

36

60

2,160

Waiting

1

875

875

Triage Rooms

6

160

960

Reception

1

120

120

Reception / Check In

3

120

360

Triage Toilet Rooms

6

60

360

C-Section

3

500

1,500

Nurse Station

3

240

720

Interview Areas

3

60

180

Equipment Alcove

18

10

100

Front Office

1

200

200

Sub Sterile

3

120

360

Nursery

1

600

600

Family Consult

3

120

360

Scrub Alcove

3

20

60

Nursery Work Room

1

120

120

Administrator

1

120

120

C-Section Control Desk

1

120

120

Formula Prep

1

120

120

Misc. Center Offices

4

100

400

C-Section Equipment Storage

1

300

300

Med Prep

3

100

300

Classroom Room

2

300

600

C-Section Infant Evaluation Room

3

120

360

Clean Utility

3

120

360

Center Admin Storage

1

150

150

Staff Changing Room

2

160

320

Equipment Storage

3

300

900

Public Toilet Rooms

2

240

Nurses Station

3

180

540

Wheelchair Storage

1

50

50

Subtotal NSF

Nurses Work Area

18

20

360

Soiled Utility

3

160

480

Multidisciplinary Work Area

3

240

720

Nourishment

3

100

300

Equipment Alcoves

18

10

180

Nurse Manager

1

120

120

Med Prep

3

100

300

Office Misc.

2

160

320

Clean Utility

3

120

360

Data Closet

2

120

240

Equipment Storage

1

300

300

Electrical Closet

2

120

240

Wheelchair Storage

1

50

50

Housekeeping

3

60

Soiled Utility

3

100

300

Subtotal NSF

Nourishment

3

100

300

Nurse Manager

1

120

120

Office Misc.

2

160

320

Visitor Toilet Room

4

60

240

Patient / Family Lounge

1

500

500

Data Closet

2

120

240

Electrical Closet

2

120

240

Housekeeping

3

60

Subtotal NSF

180 25,690

180 15,970

480 4,225


Determining Probable Cost Utilizing the detailed program cost categories based on complexities and local market conditions can be established to develop a thorough opinion of project cost. This includes an overlay of expected expenses associated with FFE and design services. Additionally, a 10% contingency is applied to develop an overall project budget estimate for facility development. The client can then analyze that with respect to operating expenses and revenue projections to develop an ROI to determine the viability of a project.

Project

Description

SF Size Construction

New

Design

FFE

Unit Price SF Construction

Site Work Shell Construction

Category

Total with Fees

10%

Total Project

and FFE

Contingency

Costs

Category

Cost

Cost

$500,000

L

$30,000

$530,000

$53,000

$583,000

$13,501,844

L

$810,111

$14,311,954

$1,431,195

$15,743,150

81,043

$167

1

Public / Staff Areas 12,990

$132

$1,708,524

M

$128,139

M

$384,418

$2,221,081

$222,108

$2,443,189

2

Clinical Areas

59,552

$373

$22,192,766

H

$1,886,385

H

$7,767,468

$31,846,619

$3,184,662

$35,031,281

3

Mechanical /

8,501

$88

$745,390

L

$44,723

L

$74,539

$864,653

$86,465

$951,118

Major Departmental Fit Outs

Building Support Allowance

$400,000

(Other Potential Owner Costs) Total Cost Per SF Excludes Costs Associated with: Land Acquisition Hazardous Material Financing

$38,648,524

$2,899,358

$8,226,425

$49,774,307

$4,977,431

$55,151,738

$477

$36

$102

$614

$61

$681

Estimated Percentages of Construction Design Fees FFE H 0.085 0.35 L 0.06 0.1 M

0.075

0.225



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