CLB Luxury Market Report

Page 1

Leading Luxury Builders To Great ness

LUXURY MARKET REPORT

2021-2022


Leading Luxury Builders To Great ness

THIS IS YOUR

LUXURY MARKET REPORT

MAP OF LUXURY TOP RESIDENTIAL MARKETS Welcome to the Luxury Market Report, your guide to luxury real estate market data and trends for North America. Produced by CLB Network, this report provides an in-depth look at the top residential markets across the United States. Within the individual markets, you will find established luxury benchmark prices and a detailed survey of luxury active and sold properties designed to showcase current market status and recent trends. The national report illustrates a compilation of the top North American markets to review overall standards and trends. Copyright 2021 CLB Network, LLC. - Contact Us - 239-232-2123 and support@clbnetwork.com. Certified Luxury Builder Report is a Quarterly Report provided to Custom Builders and Remodelers to help understand economic trends that may impact a builder?s projects and businesses. The data and insights within this report are compiled by various sources, including https://public.tableau.com/<https://public.tableau.com/ local & national MLS, local tax records, building permits, Realtor.com, National Association of Realtors, National Association of Builders, Zillow.com and the CLB Analyst team. The data and insights are deemed reliable at a point in time and the data collection and insights have been derived as a best effort and is not guaranteed to be 100% accurate or insightful as the market and data is always changing.


TOP TRENDS TO EXPECT IN THE

LUXURY REAL ESTATE MARKET While many industriesand businessessuffered asa result of the pandemic and the necessity for people to adopt new waysof living, the market of luxury real estate, custom building, and remodelingflourished, and isset to continue growingthroughout 2022. The luxury lifestyle market isenjoyed by people who value time over money; they have achieved financial wealth so that now, lifestyle, family, friends, and experiencesare their priority. Many affluent buyersare seekingto upgrade the space within their luxuriousresidences, and focusingon greater outdoor livingspace, more amenitiesand lower population density. ThisCertified Luxury BuildersLuxury Market Report isdesigned to offer a USperspective through data. In thisreport we see the continuingtrend of how wealthy consumersare expected to continue to realign their property prioritiesto give their familiesa greater sense of privacy, safety, and security. Here are the top trendsto expect in the luxury real estate market in 2021-2022 with the supportingdata.


Choosing Suburban Space Over Cit y Cult ure There is an intense level of competition for single-family homes throughout the country, as buyers choosing to flee densely populated cities have driven home prices up across the U.S. New York, in particular, experienced a mass exodus in 2020 as it became the epicenter of Covid-19, and odds are, those residents won?t be returning in great numbers for some time to come. The Big Apple?s luxury market was only just bouncing back from multiple tax changes at both federal and state levels that had discouraged wealthy individuals from residing in-- or even investing in-- New York City. When the deadliest outbreak hit the five boroughs, high earners fled, seeking refuge everywhere from the city?s suburban areas to southern states, like Florida. Some luxury markets experienced a swift recovery by the fall of 2020, but not NYC ? the city?s luxury sector is only recently seeing any normalization to new contracts on homes asking over $4 million. Of the deals that are now taking place, there is a significant change in buyer priorities. Terraced apartments, townhouses and apartments with small rooms or alcoves that can be used as home-office spaces are all attracting unprecedented attention. Buyers are looking for ways to avoid sharing elevators and being cooped up indoors all day, as well as finding flexible spaces to work comfortably from home.


Priorit izing Qualit y Amenit ies Thanks to Covid-19, concerns surrounding a building?s air filtration systems and cleaning regimens have become commonplace. Amenity spaces ? already beginning to trend pre-pandemic ? have exploded in importance, too, with residents focused on homes that are not only luxurious but also feature larger outdoor areas, roof decks, co-working spaces, wellness services and health-focused amenities and programming. Everything from on-site spas to comprehensive sanitation servicing, high-tech air filtration and lighting, and even on-site medical care are fast becoming a standard expectation for luxury residential lifestyles. Luxury builders are responding to a need to equip homes with specialized wellness technology, promising to improve everything from energy levels to quality of sleep. These kinds of health care options are likely to continue expanding in the luxury real estate sector in the coming year to cater to those seeking to build new or remodel.


Luxury Lifest yle M arket s W ill Cont inue t o Boom For example, South Florida?s mansion market was inundated by the second half of 2020, as the pandemic drove interest from all over the country towards Florida. The migration trend is likely to continue throughout 2021-2022. Desirable markets and luxury builders are attracting buyers in masses as people flocked to the state in search of luxury lifestyle experiences, better locations, more land and the promise of year-round outdoor living. Not surprisingly, these incoming buyers were predominantly of the more affluent variety, made up of those who were able to work from home or who could otherwise afford to uproot their businesses and go where they felt most comfortable.


New Const ruct ion and Development Ramping Up High demand from homebuyers requires new builds, and homebuilders appear to be ready and willing to rise to the challenge. The U.S Census Bureau reported over 1.54 million housing starts for November 2020, a figure up 12.8% from the same month in 2019. Looking ahead in 2021-2022, it is expected that homebuilders will continue to ramp up the rate of new construction, with almost 1.64 million building permits issued in November 2020. Realtor.com predicts a further rise of 9% in housing starts compared with 2020 figures. Luxury real estate developers are certainly rethinking their designs to adapt to consumer preferences following the pandemic. Many have been re-developing ideas to include expanded outdoor areas, home office space and the addition of in-demand amenities such as smart home/ touchless technology and air filtration systems. The luxury real estate market is poised well for continued growth throughout 2021-2022, particularly those developments that have been reimagined to cater to the changing concerns of post-pandemic consumers. It is now more important than ever that developers adapt and position themselves to meet the evolving needs of potential buyers. The construction material cost forecast for 2021-2022 will continue to change until people--and the world-- get back to producing and shipping materials as before. The demand for new buildings and housing is still going strong. So materials are likely to continue to be more expensive, at least in the short term, unfortunately. Wood prices increased to new heights in 2020-2021, and the increases don't appear to be slowing down. From the start of April 2020 through April 2021, the price of lumber jumped 375%. With the pandemic and increased demand from DIY projects and the housing industry, the mills can't keep up. As of April 26th, 2021, the average lumber price was $1,372 per 1,000 board feet. The early signs for 2021-2022 are a bit rough when it comes to construction costs. In other words, things are likely to get worse for at least some of these supplies before they get better. It is wise to work with an honest company with deep ties to the material industry so that your construction costs make sense.


Const ruct ion M at erials Cost Forecast and W hat It M eans for New Building, Remodeling, and You The construction material cost forecast for 2021-2022 will continue to change until people, and the world gets back to producing and shipping materials like before. The demand for new buildings and housing is still going strong. So it's likely to be a tiny bit more expensive for at least the short term, unfortunately. However, it is not going to break your bank.


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LUXURY MARKET REVIEW - SINGLE FAMILY HOMES STATE

M ARKET NAM E

M EDIAN LIST PRICE

M EDIAN SOLD PRICE

INVENTORY

NEW LISTINGS

SOLD

DAYS ON M ARKET

M ARKET STATUS

CO

Vail

$6,695,000

$4,100,000

81

12

21

78

Seller's

UT

Park City

$5,647,500

$3,423,803

74

21

32

16

Seller's

CA

Los Angeles $5,299,500 Beach Cities

$3,805,000

348

106

88

48

Seller's

CA

Santa Barbara

$5,250,000

$3,127,500

121

43

54

33

Seller's

CA

Los Angeles City

$5,150,000

$3,535,000

745

223

111

48

Buyer's

DC

Washington D.C.

$5,100,000

$3,295,000

44

7

11

24

Seller's

CA

Silicon Valley

$5,000,000

$3,200,000

276

134

204

9

Seller's

HI

Maui

$4,595,000

$3,550,000

125

22

29

130

Seller's

CA

San Francisco

$4,500,000

$3,455,000

80

19

54

12

Seller's

CA

Marin County

$4,500,000

$3,412,500

61

10

20

12

Seller's

FL

Palm Beach Towns

$4,400,000

$2,937,500

123

33

40

107

Seller's

AZ

Paradise Valley

$4,247,500

$2,750,000

106

36

51

55

Seller's

CA

Central Coast

$4,200,000

$2,293,000

149

40

51

31

Seller's

CO

Summit County

$3,722,500

$1,800,000

14

4

8

35

Seller's

HI

Oahu

$3,697,500

$2,466,250

160

28

30

36

Balanced


LUXURY MARKET REVIEW - SINGLE FAMILY HOMES STATE

M ARKET NAM E

M EDIAN LIST PRICE

M EDIAN SOLD PRICE

INVENTORY

NEW LISTINGS

DAYS ON M ARKET

SOLD

M ARKET STATUS

MA

Greater Boston

$3,500,000

$2,802,000

89

38

21

44 Seller's

CA

Orange County

$3,397,000

$2,275,000

626

186

295

21 Seller's

CA

San Diego

$3,300,000

$1,855,050

419

141

289

14 Seller's

HI

Island of Hawaii

$3,199,500

$1,632,500

94

24

36

24 Seller's

CA

Los Angeles The Valley

$3,124,500

$2,040,000

282

116

123

22 Seller's

FL

Naples

$2,995,000

$1,837,500

232

69

124

64 Seller's

FL

Boca Raton/Delray Beach

$2,990,000

$2,015,000

239

64

77

85 Seller's

CA

Lake Tahoe

$2,988,000

$2,188,000

83

25

73

72 Seller's

FL

South Walton

$2,950,000

$2,070,000

113

28

52

26 Seller's

CA

Ventura County

$2,862,500

$1,697,500

128

57

62

25 Seller's

HI

Kauai

$2,850,000

$1,899,500

84

20

14

40 Balanced

VA

McLean & Vienna

$2,797,500

$1,750,000

130

35

41

19 Seller's

CA

Napa County

$2,785,000

$2,255,000

74

4

6

84 Buyer's

MD

Talbot County

$2,750,000

$1,650,000

37

5

9

65 Seller's

VA

Fairfax County

$2,588,000

$1,511,500

231

59

88

19 Seller's


LUXURY MARKET REVIEW - SINGLE FAMILY HOMES STATE

M ARKET NAM E

M EDIAN LIST PRICE

M EDIAN SOLD PRICE

INVENTORY

NEW LISTINGS

SOLD

DAYS M ARKET ON STATUS M ARKET

CA

Palm Springs/Palm Desert

$2,524,750

$1,543,500

180

53

131

54 Seller's

AZ

Scottsdale

$2,500,000

$1,655,000

311

97

192

54 Seller's

CA

East Bay

$2,469,000

$1,855,000

157

115

257

8 Seller's

CT

Coastal Connecticut

$2,350,000

$1,652,500

625

155

165

82 Seller's

NV

Reno

$2,349,900

$1,364,442

31

13

25

85 Seller's

CO

Boulder

$2,345,000

$1,725,000

126

28

50

57 Seller's

WA

Seattle

$2,200,000

$1,620,000

96

38

84

7 Seller's

VA

Arlington & Alexandria

$2,199,000

$1,650,000

53

18

23

14 Seller's

MD

Montgomery County

$2,148,500

$1,465,000

106

29

67

7 Seller's

WA

Greater Seattle

$2,000,000

$1,601,500

463

148

382

6 Seller's

FL

Jacksonville Beaches

$1,911,500

$1,200,000

56

19

42

28 Seller's

CA

San Luis Obispo County

$1,899,000

$1,465,000

84

21

41

N/A Seller's

NY

Nassau County

$1,895,000

$1,350,000

815

162

110

77 Buyer's

NY

Brooklyn

$1,750,000

$1,432,497

249

42

16

67 Buyer's

FL

Greater Fort Lauderdale

$1,749,000

$988,500

680

170

248

44 Seller's

FL

Orlando

$1,749,000

$1,400,000

261

55

83

70 Seller's


LUXURY MARKET REVIEW - SINGLE FAMILY HOMES M ARKET NAM E

M EDIAN LIST PRICE

M EDIAN SOLD PRICE

FL

Sarasota & Beaches

$1,734,000

FL

Lee County

CO

INVENTORY

NEW LISTINGS

$1,950,000

112

26

63

12 Seller's

$1,699,000

$1,390,000

245

49

100

59 Seller's

Douglas County

$1,675,000

$1,033,224

81

29

92

5 Seller's

NY

Suffolk County

$1,600,000

$1,190,000

916

154

168

69 Balanced

CO

Denver

$1,575,000

$990,000

260

120

339

6 Seller's

TX

Austin

$1,572,500

$875,000

130

69

251

5 Seller's

IL

Chicago

$1,549,000

$1,200,000

718

228

132

77 Balanced

CO

Durango

$1,512,500

$1,055,000

54

8

9

119 Balanced

FL

Miami

$1,499,000

$1,310,000

747

203

169

91 Seller's

FL

Coastal Pinellas Towns

$1,432,500

$1,490,000

30

9

11

64 Seller's

ID

Northern

$1,400,000

$967,901

93

38

60

57 Seller's

GA

Atlanta

$1,385,000

$952,500

607

219

188

30 Seller's

FL

Weston

$1,350,000

$939,000

47

15

23

47 Seller's

MD

Worcester County

$1,349,950

$985,000

34

12

6

CO

Colorado Springs

$1,280,000

$927,500

73

28

40

10 Seller's

UT

Salt Lake City

$1,270,000

$1,025,000

78

31

93

50 Seller's

NC

Charlotte

$1,250,000

$797,000

298

98

196

16 Seller's

STATE

DAYS ON M ARKET

SOLD

M ARKET STATUS

58 Balanced


LUXURY MARKET REVIEW - SINGLE FAMILY HOMES STATE

M ARKET NAM E

M EDIAN LIST PRICE

M EDIAN NEW INVENTORY SOLD PRICE LISTINGS

SOLD

DAYS ON M ARKET

M ARKET STATUS

TN

Nashville

$1,239,950

$1,020,000

154

55

107

5 Seller's

IL

Lake County

$1,199,950

$845,000

326

90

65

107 Balanced

CA

Placer County

$1,175,000

$928,418

111

24

62

9 Seller's

IL

DuPage County

$1,175,000

$918,500

297

89

62

95 Balanced

AZ

Phoenix

$1,150,000

$795,000

189

85

220

40 Seller's

TX

Dallas

$1,150,000

$844,500

282

87

199

20 Seller's

TX

Fort Worth

$1,108,750

$785,000

218

70

150

26 Seller's

MD

Anne Arundel County

$1,100,000

$982,500

125

33

58

15 Seller's

TX

The Woodlands & Spring

$1,100,000

$679,724

191

60

83

21 Seller's

NV

Las Vegas

$1,092,500

$755,000

442

167

360

28 Seller's

FL

Tampa

$975,000

$671,500

310

84

208

31 Seller's

CA

Sacramento

$963,500

$781,000

304

59

146

7 Seller's

IN

Hamilton County

$949,900

$694,900

57

17

60

40 Seller's

TX

San Antonio

$937,500

$750,000

212

44

84

71 Seller's

TX

Collin County

$918,083

$710,000

152

65

184

10 Seller's

VA

Richmond

$908,000

$735,000

137

38

43

6 Seller's

MI

Oakland County

$895,000

$640,000

441

162

155

24 Seller's


LUXURY MARKET REVIEW - SINGLE FAMILY HOMES STATE

M ARKET NAM E

M EDIAN LIST PRICE

M EDIAN SOLD PRICE

INVENTORY

NEW LISTINGS

DAYS ON M ARKET

SOLD

M ARKET STATUS

NJ

Ocean County

$895,000

$775,000

204

63

93

38 Seller's

MO

St. Louis

$875,000

$675,000

75

14

49

35 Seller's

MI

Livingston County

$869,000

$900,000

37

6

5

93 Buyer's

ID

Ada County

$851,900

$689,000

38

38

129

3 Seller's

AZ

Tucson

$850,000

$658,500

321

107

166

13 Seller's

TX

Houston

$850,000

$700,000

1380

358

284

36 Balanced

TX

Denton County

$850,000

$725,000

125

49

113

19 Seller's

MI

Washtenaw County

$849,950

$689,000

102

31

19

50 Balanced

NC

Raleigh-Durham

$849,000

$654,900

351

126

265

2 Seller's

IL

Will County

$793,025

$587,500

139

26

46

33 Seller's

MI

Wayne County

$750,000

$615,000

163

37

42

21 Seller's

CT

Central Connecticut

$699,900

$625,000

269

57

65

67 Seller's

MI

Monroe County

$685,250

$547,000

14

2

2

80 Buyer's


U.S.ECONOMIC OUTLOOK 2021/2022 REPORTING COURTESY OF NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

2020

2020

2020

2020

2021

2021

2021

2021

2022

2022

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

U.S. Economy Annualized Growth Rate Real GDP

Hist ory

Forecast

Annual 2019

2020

Hist ory

2021

2022

Forecast

-5.0

-31.4

33.4

4.3

7.0

4.5

4.2

3.0

3.1

2.8

2.2

-3.5

4.5

3.2

Nonfarm Payroll Employment

.4

-40.0

23.3

5.1

2.1

3.0

3.0

3.0

2.5

2.2

1.4

-5.7

2.8

2.3

Consumer Prices

1.0

-3.1

4.7

2.4

3.8

3.7

3.0

3.1

3.2

3.2

1.8

1.3

2.7

3.2

Consumer Confidence

127

90

93

94

96

102

101

101

103

104

128

101

100

104

Percent Unemployment

3.8

13.1

8.8

6.8

6.2

6.0

5.9

5.8

5.7

5.7

3.7

8.1

6.0

5.7

Interest Rates, Percent Fed Funds Rate

1.3

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

2.2

0.4

0.1

0.1

3-Month T-Bill Rate

1.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.2

2.1

0.4

0.1

0.1

Prime Rate

4.4

3.2

3.2

3.2

3.2

3.2

3.2

3.2

3.2

3.2

5.3

3.2

3.2

3.2

10-Year Government Bond

1.4

0.7

0.6

0.9

1.3

1.6

1.7

1.8

1.9

2.0

2.1

0.9

1.6

2.1

30-Year Government Bond

1.9

1.4

1.4

1.6

2.1

2.4

2.6

2.8

2.9

3.0

2.6

1.6

2.5

3.1

Mortgage Rates, Percent 30-Year Fixed Rate

3.5

3.2

3.0

2.8

2.9

3.1

3.2

3.4

3.5

3.5

3.9

3.1

3.2

3.5

5/1-Year Hybrid Adjustable

3.2

3.2

3.0

2.9

2.8

2.9

2.9

3.0

3.1

3.1

3.6

3.1

2.9

3.1

Housing Indicat ors Thousands Existing Home Sales*

5487

4383

6103

6657

6303

6140

6200

6260

6180

6160

5340

5640

6220

6200

New Single-Family Sales

701

703

974

924

959

990

1020

1030

1040

1060

683

834

1000

1060

Housing Starts

1485

1079

1432

1584

1613

1570

1600

1620

1630

1660

1290

1381

1602

1680

Single-Family Units

968

766

1037

1227

1155

1200

1230

1240

1250

1270

888

991

1206

1280

Multifamily Units

517

313

395

357

458

370

370

380

380

390

402

390

396

400

Percent Change - Year Ago Existing Home Sales

5.2

-17.9

13.2

23.4

14.9

40.1

1.6

-6.0

-2.0

0.3

0.0

5.6

10.3

-0.3

New Single-Family Sales

5.0

5.9

39.6

29.9

36.8

40.8

4.7

11.5

8.4

7.1

10.5

20.4

19.9

6.0

Housing Starts

23.3

-14.1

11.2

10.6

8.6

45.5

11.7

2.3

1.1

5.7

3.2

7.1

16.0

4.9

Single-Family Units

12.6

-9.9

15.6

27.4

19.3

56.7

18.6

1.1

8.2

5.8

1.3

11.6

21.7

6.1

Multifamily Units

49.9

-23.0

1.3

-23.8

-11.4

18.2

-6.3

6.4

-17.0

5.4

7.4

-3.3

1.5

1.0

Median House Prices Thousandsof Dollars Existing Home Prices

272.5

288.2

309.2

311.0

314.5

323.0

331.0

327.0

326.0

334.0

271.9

296.7

323.9

334.0

New Home Prices

329.6

322.8

333.2

354.3

346.3

341.0

344.0

347.0

348.0

351.0

321.5

336.9

344.6

352.0

Percent Change -- Year Ago Existing Home Prices

7.7

4.1

11.6

14.2

15.4

12.1

7.1

5.1

3.7

3.4

4.9

9.1

9.2

3.1

New Home Prices

5.6

0.5

5.1

8.5

5.1

5.6

3.2

-2.1

0.5

2.9

-1.5

4.8

2.3

2.1

Quarterly figures are seasonally adjusted annual rates *Existing home sales of single-family homes and condo/coops


ABOUT CLB NETW ORK CLB measures our partnership success in Revenue, New Projects, and Net Profit. We want you to achieve your goal of putting a minimum of $1M in profits in the bank, achieving 10% net profit for the business, and building a valued asset. CLB takes a bright and innovative approach to offering easy-to-understand, customizable, and fractional solution options at a significant value compared to hiring employees or firms that do not understand your business, your best-fit clients, or the luxury home building and remodeling industry. CLB Network is backed by a team of seasoned professionals who explicitly understand what it takes to be a high performance luxury custom homes and remodeling business and how to deliver a 5-star experience to best-fit strategic partners. prospects, and clients. Our combined experience and solutions allows CLB to offer you and your business genuine peace of mind knowing that we are on your team and will help you achieve your goals years sooner than if you had to do it on your own.


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