Propylene via Metathesis
#TEC001C Technology Economics Propylene via Metathesis 2013
Abstract Propylene is the raw material for a wide variety of products, and has established itself as the second major member of the global olefins business, only after ethylene. Globally, the largest volume of propylene is produced in steam crackers and through the fluid-catalytic cracking (FCC) process. The propylene is typically considered a co-product in these processes, which are primarily driven by ethylene and motor gasoline production respectively. As a result, new and novel lower-cost chemical processes for on-purpose propylene production technologies are of high interest to the petrochemical marketplace. Such processes include: Metathesis, Propane Dehydrogenation, Methanol-toOlefins/Methanol-to-Propylene, High Severity FCC, and Olefins Cracking. In this report, the production of propylene via metathesis from ethylene and butenes is reviewed. Included in the analysis is an overview of the technology and economics of a process similar to the CB&I Lummus OCT process. Both the capital investment and the operating costs are presented for a plant constructed in 2011 in the US Gulf and Germany. Also, alternative ways to produce propylene via butenes-only metathesis, called self-metathesis, as well as via ethylene-only metathesis, through the use of an ethylene dimerization unit together with a metathesis plant, were presented. Discussions regarding the integration of a metathesis unit with an olefin plant are also presented.
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Terms & Conditions Information, analyses and/or models herein presented are prepared on the basis of publicly available information and non-confidential information disclosed by third parties. Third parties, including, but not limited to technology licensors, trade associations or marketplace participants, may have provided some of the information on which the analyses or data are based. Intratec Solutions LLC (known as “Intratec”) does not believe that such information will contain any confidential information but cannot provide any assurance that any third party may, from time to time, claim a confidential obligation to such information. The aforesaid information, analyses and models are developed independently by Intratec and, as such, are the opinion of Intratec and do not represent the point of view of any third parties nor imply in any way that they have been approved or otherwise authorized by third parties that are mentioned in this publication. The application of the solutions presented in this publication without license from the owners infringes on the intellectual property rights of the owners, including patent rights, trademark rights, and rights to trade secrets and proprietary information. Intratec conducts analyses and prepares publications and models for readers in conformance with generally accepted professional standards. Although the statements in this publication are derived from or based on several sources that Intratec believe to be reliable, Intratec does not guarantee their accuracy, reliability, or quality; any such information, or resulting analyses, may be incomplete, inaccurate or condensed. All estimates included in this publication are subject to change without notice. This publication is for informational purposes only and is not intended as any recommendation of investment. Reader agrees it will not, without prior written consent of Intratec, represent, directly or indirectly, that its products have been approved or endorsed by the other parties.
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Contents About this Study...................................................................................................................................................................8 Object of Study.....................................................................................................................................................................................................................8 Analysis Performed.............................................................................................................................................................................................................8 Construction Scenarios ..............................................................................................................................................................................................................8 Location Basis ...................................................................................................................................................................................................................................9
Design Conditions ..............................................................................................................................................................................................................9
Study Background ............................................................................................................................................................ 10 About Propylene...............................................................................................................................................................................................................10 Introduction.................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 10 Applications.................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 10
Manufacturing Alternatives .......................................................................................................................................................................................11 Licensor(s) & Historical Aspects ...............................................................................................................................................................................13
Technical Analysis ............................................................................................................................................................. 14 Chemistry ..............................................................................................................................................................................................................................14 Raw Material ........................................................................................................................................................................................................................14 Ethylene ............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 15 2-Butenes ......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 15
Technology Overview ...................................................................................................................................................................................................16 Detailed Process Description & Conceptual Flow Diagram...................................................................................................................17 Area 100: Purification & Reaction ......................................................................................................................................................................................17 Area 200: Separation ................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 17 Key Consumption..................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 18 Technical Assumptions ...........................................................................................................................................................................................................18 Labor Requirements.................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 18
ISBL Major Equipment List ..........................................................................................................................................................................................20 OSBL Major Equipment List .......................................................................................................................................................................................21 Other Process Remarks .................................................................................................................................................................................................22 Typical Complete Process Scheme..................................................................................................................................................................................22 Other Process Scenarios ......................................................................................................................................................................................................... 22
Economic Analysis ............................................................................................................................................................ 25 2
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General Assumptions.....................................................................................................................................................................................................25 Project Implementation Schedule.........................................................................................................................................................................26 Capital Expenditures.......................................................................................................................................................................................................26 Fixed Investment......................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 26 Working Capital............................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 29 Other Capital Expenses ........................................................................................................................................................................................................... 30 Total Capital Expenses ............................................................................................................................................................................................................. 30
Operational Expenditures ...........................................................................................................................................................................................30 Manufacturing Costs................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 30 Historical Analysis........................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 31
Economic Datasheet ......................................................................................................................................................................................................31
Economic Discussion........................................................................................................................................................ 34 Regional Comparison ....................................................................................................................................................................................................34 Capital Expenses.......................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 34 Operational Expenditures......................................................................................................................................................................................................34 Economic Datasheet................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 34
Remarks...................................................................................................................................................................................................................................35
References............................................................................................................................................................................ 37 Acronyms, Legends & Observations .......................................................................................................................... 38 Technology Economics Methodology ...................................................................................................................... 39 Introduction.........................................................................................................................................................................................................................39 Workflow................................................................................................................................................................................................................................39 Capital & Operating Cost Estimates......................................................................................................................................................................41 ISBL Investment............................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 41 OSBL Investment......................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 41 Working Capital............................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 42 Start-up Expenses ....................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 42 Other Capital Expenses ........................................................................................................................................................................................................... 43 Manufacturing Costs................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 43
Contingencies ....................................................................................................................................................................................................................43 Accuracy of Economic Estimates............................................................................................................................................................................44 Location Factor..................................................................................................................................................................................................................44
Appendix A. Mass Balance & Streams Properties.................................................................................................. 46 Appendix B. Utilities Consumption Breakdown .................................................................................................... 48
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Appendix C. Process Carbon Footprint..................................................................................................................... 49 Appendix D. Equipment Detailed List & Sizing...................................................................................................... 50 Appendix E. Detailed Capital Expenses .................................................................................................................... 54 Direct Costs Breakdown ...............................................................................................................................................................................................54 Indirect Costs Breakdown ...........................................................................................................................................................................................55
Appendix F. Economic Assumptions ......................................................................................................................... 56 Capital Expenditures.......................................................................................................................................................................................................56 Construction Location Factors............................................................................................................................................................................................56 Working Capital............................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 56 Other Capital Expenses ........................................................................................................................................................................................................... 56
Operational Expenditures ...........................................................................................................................................................................................57 Fixed Costs ...................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 57 Depreciation................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 57 EBITDA Margins Comparison...............................................................................................................................................................................................57
Appendix G. Released Publications............................................................................................................................ 58 Appendix H. Request Submitted to Intratec........................................................................................................... 59 Subject of the Publication...........................................................................................................................................................................................59 Remarks and Comments .............................................................................................................................................................................................59
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List of Tables Table 1 – Construction Scenarios Assumptions (Based on Degree of Integration) ......................................................................................9 Table 2 – Location & Pricing Basis ....................................................................................................................................................................................................9 Table 3 – General Design Assumptions .......................................................................................................................................................................................9 Table 4 – Major Propylene Consumers......................................................................................................................................................................................10 Table 5 – Metathesis Reactions for Propylene......................................................................................................................................................................14 Table 6 – Isobutene Side Reactions .............................................................................................................................................................................................14 Table 7 – Typical Crude C4 Stream from an Olefins Plant ............................................................................................................................................15 Table 8 – Raw Materials & Utilities Consumption (per ton of Product)...............................................................................................................18 Table 9 – Design & Simulation Assumptions.........................................................................................................................................................................18 Table 10 – Labor Requirements for a Typical Plant ...........................................................................................................................................................18 Table 11 – Main Streams Operating Conditions and Composition.......................................................................................................................20 Table 12 – Inside Battery Limits Major Equipment List...................................................................................................................................................20 Table 13 – Outside Battery Limits Major Equipment List ..............................................................................................................................................21 Table 14 – Integration of a Metathesis Unit with a Naphtha Steam Cracker ..................................................................................................22 Table 15 – Butenes Auto-Metathesis Reactions ..................................................................................................................................................................24 Table 16 – Base Case General Assumptions...........................................................................................................................................................................25 Table 17 – Bare Equipment Cost per Area (USD Thousands).....................................................................................................................................26 Table 18 – Total Fixed Investment Breakdown (USD Thousands) ..........................................................................................................................26 Table 19 – Working Capital (USD Million) ................................................................................................................................................................................29 Table 20 – Other Capital Expenses (USD Million) ...............................................................................................................................................................30 Table 21 – CAPEX (USD Million)......................................................................................................................................................................................................30 Table 22 – Manufacturing Fixed Cost (USD/ton) ................................................................................................................................................................30 Table 23 – Manufacturing Variable Cost (USD/ton)..........................................................................................................................................................31 Table 24 – OPEX (USD/ton)................................................................................................................................................................................................................31 Table 25 – Technology Economics Datasheet: Propylene via Metathesis at US Gulf..............................................................................33 Table 26 – Technology Economics Datasheet: Propylene via Metathesis in Germany ...........................................................................36 Table 27 – Project Contingency......................................................................................................................................................................................................43 Table 28 – Criteria Description.........................................................................................................................................................................................................43 Table 29 – Accuracy of Economic Estimates .........................................................................................................................................................................44 Table 30 – Detailed Material Balance Stream Properties...............................................................................................................................................46 Table 31 – Detailed Material Balance Stream Properties...............................................................................................................................................47 Table 32 – Utilities Consumption Breakdown ......................................................................................................................................................................48
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Table 33 – Assumptions for CO2e Emissions Calculation.............................................................................................................................................49 Table 34 – CO2e Emissions (ton/ton prod.)............................................................................................................................................................................49 Table 35 – Reactors..................................................................................................................................................................................................................................50 Table 36 – Heat Exchangers ..............................................................................................................................................................................................................50 Table 37 – Pumps......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................51 Table 38 – Columns.................................................................................................................................................................................................................................52 Table 39 – Utilities Supply...................................................................................................................................................................................................................52 Table 40 – Vessels & Tanks Specifications ................................................................................................................................................................................53 Table 41 – Indirect Costs Breakdown for the Base Case (USD Thousands) ......................................................................................................55 Table 42 – Detailed Construction Location Factor............................................................................................................................................................56 Table 43 – Working Capital Assumptions for Base Case................................................................................................................................................56 Table 44 – Other Capital Expenses Assumptions for Base Case...............................................................................................................................56 Table 45 – Other Fixed Cost Assumptions ..............................................................................................................................................................................57 Table 46 – Depreciation Value & Assumptions ....................................................................................................................................................................57
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List of Figures Figure 1 – OSBL Construction Scenarios .....................................................................................................................................................................................8 Figure 2 – Propylene from Multiple Sources .........................................................................................................................................................................12 Figure 3 – Process Block Flow Diagram.....................................................................................................................................................................................16 Figure 4 – Inside Battery Limits Conceptual Process Flow Diagram.....................................................................................................................19 Figure 5 – Typical Integration Between Olefin Plant and Metathesis Unit.......................................................................................................23 Figure 6 – Metathesis Technology Alternatives ..................................................................................................................................................................24 Figure 7 – Project Implementation Schedule.......................................................................................................................................................................25 Figure 8 – Total Direct Cost of Different Integration Scenarios (USD Thousands) ......................................................................................28 Figure 9 – Total Fixed Investment of Different Integration Scenarios (USD Thousands) .......................................................................28 Figure 10 – Total Fixed Investment Validation (USD Million).....................................................................................................................................29 Figure 11 – OPEX and Product Sales History (USD/ton) ................................................................................................................................................32 Figure 12 – EBITDA Margin & IP Indicators History Comparison..............................................................................................................................32 Figure 13 – CAPEX per Location (USD Million).....................................................................................................................................................................34 Figure 14 – Operating Costs Breakdown per Location (USD/ton) .........................................................................................................................35 Figure 15 – Methodology Flowchart...........................................................................................................................................................................................40 Figure 16 – Location Factor Composition...............................................................................................................................................................................44 Figure 17 – ISBL Direct Costs Breakdown by Equipment Type for Base Case ................................................................................................54 Figure 18 – OSBL Direct Costs Breakdown by Equipment Type for Base Case..............................................................................................54 Figure 19 – Historical EBITDA Margins Regional Comparison ...................................................................................................................................57
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About this Study This study follows the same pattern as all Technology Economics studies developed by Intratec and is based on the same rigorous methodology and well-defined structure (chapters, type of tables and charts, flow sheets, etc.).
Analysis Performed
The subject of this assessment was defined by a major player in the chemical and allied industries sector through Intratec’s website. The submitted request is presented in “Appendix H. ”
The economic analysis is based on the construction of a plant partially integrated to a petrochemical complex, in which feedstock is locally provided but propylene product must be stored to be sent outside the complex. Therefore, storage is only required for the product. Utilities supply facilities must also be built, since there is no utility supply from the existing petrochemical complex.
Construction Scenarios
In this chapter you will find a summary of all inputs and assumptions used to develop the current technology evaluation. All required data were gathered by our team of specialists from publicly available information, Intratec’s inhouse databases, and process design standards.
Since the Outside Battery Limits (OSBL) requirements– storage and utilities supply facilities – significantly impact the capital cost estimates for a new venture, they may play a decisive role in the decision as to whether or not to invest. Thus, in this study three distinct OSBL configurations are compared. Those scenarios are summarized in Figure 1 and Table 1.
Object of Study This assignment assesses the economic feasibility of an industrial unit for propylene production via metathesis from ethylene and butenes implementing technology similar to the CB&I Lummus OCT process. The current assessment is based on economic data gathered on Q3 2011 and a chemical plant’s nominal capacity of 350 kta (thousand metric tons per year).
Intratec | About this Study
Figure 1 – OSBL Construction Scenarios
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Non-Integrated
Partially Integrated
Fully Integrated
Products Storage
Products Storage
Products Consumer
ISBL Unit
ISBL Unit
ISBL Unit
Raw Materials Storage
Raw Materials Provider
Raw Materials Provider
Petrochemical Complex
Petrochemical Complex
Unit is part of a petrochemical complex
Most infrastructure is already installed
Grassroots unit
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
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Table 1 – Construction Scenarios Assumptions (Based on Degree of Integration)
Storage Capacity
(Base Case for Evaluation)
Feedstock & Chemicals
20 days of operation
Not included
Not included
End-products & By-products
20 days of operation
20 days of operation
Not included
All required
All required
Only refrigeration units
Utility Facilities Included
Control room, labs, gate house, Support & Auxiliary Facilities
maintenance shops,
(Area 900)
warehouses, offices, change house, cafeteria, parking lot
Control room, labs, maintenance shops,
Control room and labs
warehouses
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
Location Basis The assumptions that distinguish the two regions analyzed in this study are provided in Table 2. Table 2 – Location & Pricing Basis
Design Conditions
Basis: Q3-2011
US Gulf
Germany
Location Factor
1.00
1.32
Pricing
The process analysis is based on rigorous simulation models developed on Aspentech Aspen Plus and Hysys, which support the design of the chemical process, equipment and OSBL facilities.
PG Propylene
USD/ton
1690
1294
Raffinate-2
USD/ton
1043
962
Ethylene
USD/ton
1304.7
1246.7
Cooling Water
USD/m3
0.0005
0.0016
LP Steam
USD/ton
15.4
50.2
Inert Gas
USD/Nm3
0.10
0.15
Cooling water temperature
24 °C
Electricity
USD/kWh
0.07
0.12
Cooling water range
11 °C
Fuel
USD/MMBtu
4.4
14.4
Steam (Low Pressure)
7 bar abs
Operator Salaries
USD/man-hour
56.8
75.8
Refrigerant (Propylene)
-45 °C
Supervisor Salaries
USD/man-hour
85.3
113.7
Wet Bulb Air Temperature
25 °C
The design assumptions employed are depicted in Table 3.
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
Regional specific conditions influence both construction and operating costs. This study compares the economic performance of two identical plants operating in different locations: the US Gulf Coast and Germany.
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Intratec | About this Study
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
Table 3 – General Design Assumptions
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Study Background About Propylene
While CG propylene is used extensively for most chemical derivatives (e.g., oxo-alcohols, acrylonitrile, etc.), PG propylene is used in polypropylene and propylene oxide manufacture.
Introduction Propylene is an unsaturated organic compound having the chemical formula C3H6. It has one double bond, is the second simplest member of the alkene class of hydrocarbons, and is also second in natural abundance.
PG propylene contains minimal levels of impurities, such as carbonyl sulfide, that can poison catalysts. Thermal & Motor Gasoline Uses Propylene has a calorific value of 45.813 kJ/kg, and RG propylene can be used as fuel if more valuable uses are unavailable locally (i.e., propane – propene splitting to chemical-grade purity). RG propylene can also be blended into LPG for commercial sale.
Propylene 2D structure Propylene is produced primarily as a by-product of petroleum refining and of ethylene production by steam cracking of hydrocarbon feedstocks. Also, it can be produced in an on-purpose reaction (for example, in propane dehydrogenation, metathesis or syngas-to-olefins plants). It is a major industrial chemical intermediate that serves as one of the building blocks for an array of chemical and plastic products, and was also the first petrochemical employed on an industrial scale. Commercial propylene is a colorless, low-boiling, flammable, and highly volatile gas. Propylene is traded commercially in three grades:
Also, propylene is used as a motor gasoline component for octane enhancement via dimerization – formation of polygasoline or alkylation. Chemical Uses The principal chemical uses of propylene are in the manufacture of polypropylene, acrylonitrile, oxo-alcohols, propylene oxide, butanal, cumene, and propene oligomers. Other uses include acrylic acid derivatives and ethylene – propene rubbers. Global propylene demand is dominated by polypropylene production, which accounts for about two-thirds of total propylene demand.
Polymer Grade (PG): min. 99.5% of purity. Chemical Grade (CG): 90-96% of purity. Refinery Grade (RG): 50-70% of purity.
Table 4 – Major Propylene Consumers
Intratec | Study Background
Applications
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The three commercial grades of propylene are used for different applications. RG propylene is obtained from refinery processes. The main uses of refinery propylene are in liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) for thermal use or as an octane-enhancing component in motor gasoline. It can also be used in some chemical syntheses (e.g., cumene or isopropanol). The most significant market for RG propylene is the conversion to PG or CG propylene for use in the production of polypropylene, acrylonitrile, oxo-alcohols and propylene oxide.
Polypropylene
Mechanical parts, containers, fibers, films
Acrylonitrile
Acrylic fibers, ABS polymers
Propylene oxide
Propylene glycol, antifreeze, polyurethane
Oxo-alcohols
Coatings, plasticizers
Cumene
Polycarbonates, phenolic resins
Acrylic acid
Coatings, adhesives, super absorbent polymers
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
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phases. This process converts heavy gas oil preferentially into gasoline and light gas oil.
Propylene is commercially generated as a co-product, either in an olefins plant or a crude oil refinery’s fluid catalytic cracking (FCC) unit, or produced in an on-purpose reaction (for example, in propane dehydrogenation, metathesis or syngas-to-olefins plants). Globally, the largest volume of propylene is produced in NGL (Natural Gas Liquids) or naphtha steam crackers, which generates ethylene as well. In fact, the production of propylene from such a plant is so important that the name “olefins plant” is often applied to this kind of manufacturing facility (as opposed to “ethylene plant”). In an olefins plant, propylene is generated by the pyrolysis of the incoming feed, followed by purification. Except where ethane is used as the feedstock, propylene is typically produced at levels ranging from 40 to 60 wt% of the ethylene produced. The exact yield of propylene produced in a pyrolysis furnace is a function of the feedstock and the operating severity of the pyrolysis.
The propylene yielded from olefins plants and FCC units is typically considered a co-product in these processes, which are primarily driven by ethylene and motor gasoline production, respectively. Currently, the markets have evolved to the point where modes of by-product production can no longer satisfy the demand for propylene. A trend toward less severe cracking conditions, and thus to increase propylene production, has been observed in steam cracker plants using liquid feedstock. As a result, new and novel lower-cost chemical processes for on-purpose propylene production technologies are of high interest to the petrochemical marketplace. Such processes include:
The pyrolysis furnace operation usually is dictated by computer optimization, where an economic optimum for the plant is based on feedstock price, yield structures, energy considerations, and market conditions for the multitude of products obtained from the furnace. Thus, propylene produced by steam cracking varies according to economic conditions. In an olefins plant purification area, also called separation train, propylene is obtained by distillation of a mixed C3 stream, i.e., propane, propylene, and minor components, in a C3-splitter tower. It is produced as the overhead distillation product, and the bottoms are a propaneenriched stream. The size of the C3-splitter depends on the purity of the propylene product. The propylene produced in refineries also originates from other cracking processes. However, these processes can be compared to only a limited extent with the steam cracker for ethylene production because they use completely different feedstocks and have different production objectives. Refinery cracking processes operate either purely thermally or thermally – catalytically. By far the most important process for propene production is the fluid- catalytic cracking (FCC) process, in which the powdery catalyst flows as a fluidized bed through the reaction and regeneration
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Olefin Metathesis. Also known as disproportionation, metathesis is a reversible reaction between ethylene and butenes in which double bonds are broken and then reformed to form propylene. Propylene yields of about 90 wt% are achieved. This option may also be used when there is no butene feedstock. In this case, part of the ethylene feeds an ethylene-dimerization unit that converts ethylene into butene. Propane Dehydrogenation. A catalytic process that converts propane into propylene and hydrogen (byproduct). The yield of propylene from propane is about 85 wt%. The reaction by-products (mainly hydrogen) are usually used as fuel for the propane dehydrogenation reaction. As a result, propylene tends to be the only product, unless local demand exists for the hydrogen by-product. Methanol-to-Olefins/Methanol-to-Propylene. A group of technologies that first converts synthesis gas (syngas) to methanol, and then converts the methanol to ethylene and/or propylene. The process also produces water as by-product. Synthesis gas is produced from the reformation of natural gas or by the steam-induced reformation of petroleum products such as naphtha, or by gasification of coal. A large amount of methanol is required to make a world-scale ethylene and/or propylene plant. High Severity FCC. Refers to a group of technologies that use traditional FCC technology under severe conditions (higher catalyst-to-oil ratios, higher steam injection rates, higher temperatures, etc.) in order to maximize the amount of propylene and other light products. A high severity FCC unit is usually fed with
Intratec | Study Background
Manufacturing Alternatives
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gas oils (paraffins) and residues, and produces about 20-25 wt% propylene on feedstock together with greater volumes of motor gasoline and distillate byproducts.
These on-purpose methods are becoming increasingly significant, as the shift to lighter steam cracker feedstocks with relatively lower propylene yields and reduced motor gasoline demand in certain areas has created an imbalance of supply and demand for propylene.
Olefins Cracking. Includes a broad range of technologies that catalytically convert large olefins molecules (C4-C8) into mostly propylene and small amounts of ethylene. This technology will best be employed as an auxiliary unit to an FCC unit or steam cracker to enhance propylene yields.
Figure 2 – Propylene from Multiple Sources
Naphtha NGL
Steam Cracker
Refinery FCC Unit
Gas Oil
RG Propylene
Propane
PDH
Ethylene/ Butenes
Metathesis
Methanol
MTO/MTP
Intratec | Study Background
Gas Oil
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High Severity FCC
C4 to C8 Olefins
Olefins Cracking
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
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CG/PG Propylene
Licensor(s) & Historical Aspects By the 1960s, Phillips Petroleum developed the first commercial process of olefin metathesis. The focus, at that time, was to convert propylene into ethylene and 2-butene. This technology was developed in an effort to increase ethylene and butene production from “low value” crackerderived propylene to meet the growing market demand for polyethylene and polybutadiene. A plant based on the Phillips Triolefin technology was operational from 1965 to 1972 by Shawinigan Chemicals, in Canada, until its shutdown due to economic reasons. The plant had the capacity to process 50 thousand tons of propylene per year (kta), that was obtained from a naphtha steam cracker, producing 15 kta of ethylene and 30 kta of butenes. The fact that metathesis is a reversible reaction, and that the demand for polymer grade (PG) propylene grew from the 1970s on, led to the use of the Phillips Triolefin process in a reverse way. This reverse process is known as Olefin Conversion Technology (OCT), and is now offered for license by Lummus Technology, a CB&I Company. Lummus OCT was first used in 1985 by Equistar (now a wholly owned subsidiary of LyondellBasell industries), in the United States, to produce propylene by using ethylene and butenes. The unit's capacity was expanded in 1992.
Intratec | Study Background
The Institut Français du Pétrole (IFP) and the Chinese Petroleum Corporation (CPC) have jointly worked to develop a process for the production of propylene, called Meta-4. This technology is currently being developed by France’s Axens, a subsidiary of IFP, formed in 2001 through the merger of IFP’s licensing division with Procatalyse Catalysis & Adsorbents; however, until April 2012 Meta-4 was not commercialized.
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Technical Analysis Chemistry Metathesis is a general term for a reversible reaction between two olefins, in which the double bonds are broken and then reformed to form new olefin products. In order to produce propylene by metathesis, a molecule of 2-butene and a molecule of ethylene are combined in the presence of a tungsten oxide catalyst to form two molecules of propylene.
Table 6 – Isobutene Side Reactions
Isobutene + 2-butene
propylene + 2-methyl 2-
butene Isobutene + 1-butene
ethylene + 2-methyl 2-
pentene
Fast
Slow
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
Ethylene
2-Butene
Propylene
The following table summarizes the reactions that occur in the metathesis reactor. All reactions are essentially isothermal.
The reaction of isobutene with ethylene is also nonproductive. If neglected, the concentration of this nonreactive species in the metathesis unit builds up, due to process recycles, reducing capacity.
Raw Material Table 5 – Metathesis Reactions for Propylene As previously explained, the raw materials for the production of propylene via metathesis reaction are ethylene and 2-butenes. Both components are mainly supplied from steam cracker units (olefins plants). FCC units can also be used as a source of such olefins.
2-butene + ethylene
2 propylene
Fast
1-butene + 2-butene
propylene + 2-pentene
Fast
1-butene + 1-butene
ethylene + 3-hexene
Slow
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
Intratec | Technical Analysis
The reaction of 1-butene with ethylene is non-productive, occupying catalyst sites but producing no product. So a magnesium oxide co-catalyst is added to the metathesis reactor to induce double bond isomerization reaction causing the shift from 1-butene to 2-butene and allows continued reaction.
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When isobutene is present in the metathesis reactor, side reactions occur, as presented in Table 6 – Isobutene Side Reactions.
Steam cracker units are facilities in which a feedstock such as naphtha, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), ethane, propane or butane is thermally cracked through the use of steam in a bank of pyrolysis furnaces to produce lighter hydrocarbons. The products obtained depend on the composition of the feed, the hydrocarbon-to-steam ratio, and on the cracking temperature and furnace residence time. Light hydrocarbon feeds such as ethane, LPGs, or light naphtha produce lighter products, mainly ethylene, propylene, and butadiene, with smaller amounts of heavier by-products. Heavier hydrocarbon feeds such as naphtha produce these lighter products, but also produce aromatic hydrocarbons, and hydrocarbons suitable for inclusion in gasoline or fuel oil.
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Table 7 – Typical Crude C4 Stream from an Olefins Plant
After the pyrolysis process, the olefins are separated from the other by-products by distillation.
C4 acetylenes
Traces
Butadiene
33
Ethylene
1-butene
15
2-butenes
9
Isobutene
30
Iso-/normal- butanes
13
High-purity ethylene (min. 99.5 wt% purity) can be obtained from olefins plants. The use of PG ethylene in metathesis processes is desired because it requires minimal pretreatment for trace components, while other sources of ethylene typically require more rigorous pretreatment. Although PG ethylene prices are higher, capital expenditure for the metathesis unit is lower because no investment in pretreatment is required. Besides steam crackers, other common sources of ethylene are FCC off-gas and vents from polyethylene units. FCC offgas is an inexpensive source of ethylene, because this stream is usually valued at fuel gas cost. Pretreatment, fractionation and refrigeration are necessary for recovery of the ethylene product; however, an FCC off-gas recovery system typically has an attractive internal rate of return (IRR). Polyethylene unit vents may not normally provide the quantity of ethylene necessary to supply metathesis units; consequently, other sources of ethylene would supplement any deficit. These vents must be treated to remove water and oxygen and a compressor is usually required to boost the vent streams to a metathesis processing pressure.
2-Butenes The 2-butenes used as feedstock for the metathesis process are obtained from the crude C4 stream produced in olefins plants. This C4 stream consists of C4 acetylenes, butadiene, iso-/n-butenes, and iso-/n-butane. A typical composition is provided in Table 7. The desired C4 stream in a metathesis process consists of nbutenes (mainly 2-butenes), low amounts of isobutene (to avoid excess capacity due to excess recycling) and is almost devoid of butadiene (to avoid rapid catalyst fouling) and acetylenes. Iso-/n-butanes are inert to the metathesis process.
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
Before feeding a metathesis process, the C4 stream from olefins plants must be treated. Usually, the butadiene and C4 acetylenes are removed first to produce the designated raffinate-1. Such removal can be accomplished through either hydrogenation or extractive distillation. The components remaining in the mixture consist of 1butene, 2-butene, isobutene, and iso-/n-butanes from the original feed, in addition to what was produced in the hydrogenation steps, as well as a small quantity of unconverted or unrecovered butadiene. Isobutene can be removed through fractionation of raffinate-1, reaction with methanol, reaction with water, or reaction with itself. In all cases, the resulting mixture may contain both normal and iso-paraffins. The product from isobutene removal is designated raffinate-2, and it consists primarily of normal olefins and paraffins and minimal iso-olefins and iso-paraffins. Raffinate-2 is the most common source of butenes used in metathesis reactions. The paraffin components present in raffinate-2 are essentially inert and do not react in the metathesis process. Such paraffins are typically removed from the process via a purge stream in the separation system that follows the metathesis reactor.
1 The components in a refinery or FCC based C4 cut are similar, with the exception that the percentage of paraffins is considerably greater.
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Intratec | Technical Analysis
The higher cracking temperature (also referred to as severity) favors the production of ethylene and benzene, whereas lower severity produces higher amounts of propylene, C4-hydrocarbons and liquid products.
15
Technology Overview The reactor product is cooled and fractionated to remove ethylene for recycle. A small portion of this recycle stream is purged to remove methane, ethane, and other light impurities from the process. The ethylene column bottom is fed to the propylene column where butenes are separated for recycle to the reactor, and some is purged to remove butanes, isobutylenes, and heavies from the process. The propylene column overhead is high-purity, PG propylene product.
The Lummus OCT process for propylene consists of two main areas: purification & reaction, and separation. The simplified block flow diagram in Figure 3 summarizes the process. Ethylene feed plus recycled ethylene are mixed with the butenes feed plus recycled butenes and heated prior to
The catalyst promotes the reaction of ethylene and butene2 to form propylene, and simultaneously isomerizes butene1 to butene-2. A small amount of coke is formed on the catalyst, so the beds are periodically regenerated using nitrogen-diluted air. The ethylene-to-butene feed ratio to
This process description is for a stand-alone metathesis unit complex. The utility requirements – which include cooling water, steam, electricity, fuel gas, nitrogen, and air – are typically integrated with the existing complex.
and maintain the per-pass butene conversion above 60%. Typical butene conversions range between 60 to 75%, with about 90% selectivity to propylene.
Figure 3 – Process Block Flow Diagram
Ethylene Recycle
Ethylene Feed
Butene Feed
Area 100 Purification & Reaction
Area 200 Separation
Butene Recycle
Intratec | Technical Analysis
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
16
Light Ends Fuel Gas
FREE SAMPLE
PG Propylene
Heavy Ends Fuel Gas
Detailed Process Description & Conceptual Flow Diagram
(WO3/SiO2). Also, the co-catalyst magnesium oxide (MgO) is used to perform a double bond isomerization of 1-butene to 2-butene.
This section describes the process for production of propylene via metathesis in detail. This description refers to a process similar to Lummus OCT process; however, some differences may be found, as all of the information herein presented is based on publicly available information.
The raffinate-2 stream used in the metathesis unit is typically free of butadiene and has low isobutene content. Butadiene is typically removed below 50 wt ppm level and it is done to minimize fouling of the catalyst. Isobutene is removed to reduce the size of the metathesis unit. Isobutene is not a poison to the catalyst, but it reacts in the metathesis reactor at low conversion, which results in buildup of this molecule in the internal butenes recycle stream and increases hydraulic requirement and sizes of the equipment. Commercial units are in operation with about 7 wt% isobutene in the raffinate-2 feed stream.
For a better understanding of the process, please refer to the Inside Battery Limits Conceptual Process Flow Diagram; the Main Streams Operating Conditions and Composition; and the Inside Battery Limits Major Equipment List, presented in the next pages.
Area 100: Purification & Reaction First, fresh ethylene from ISBL storage tank and recycled ethylene are mixed with fresh and recycled butenes, and are fed through reactor feed treaters. The treaters consist of guard beds to remove potential catalyst poisons for the metathesis reaction, such as oxygenates, sulfur, alcohols, carbonyls, and water. The guard beds have a cyclic operation. One is normally in operation, while the other is regenerating. After treating, the stream is vaporized in a heat exchanger and superheated in a fired heater to the reaction temperature, typically between 280-320째C. The reactor feed contains ethylene and n-butenes, mainly 2butenes, at the desired reaction ratio. Although the theoretical molar ratio between ethylene and butenes is 1:1, it is common to employ significantly greater ethylene/butene ratios to minimize undesirable side reactions, and to minimize C5+ olefin formation. The perpass butene conversion is between 60 and 75%. The metathesis reaction occurs in a fixed bed catalytic reactor. The main reaction that occurs is between ethylene and 2-butenes, to produce propylene. Side reactions also occur, producing by-products, primarily C5-C8 olefins. The reactor exit stream is cooled prior to the separation area. The process selectivity to propylene is typically about 90%. The catalyst used is tungsten oxide supported on silica
Coke, a by-product of the reaction, is deposited on the catalyst throughout the process. During regeneration the coke is burned in a controlled atmosphere. Systems required for regeneration include a fired regeneration gas heater and a supply of inert gas (usually nitrogen), compressed air, and hydrogen. Each reactor can run for about 30 days before requiring regeneration.
Area 200: Separation The reactor exit stream contains a mixture of propylene, unconverted ethylene and butenes, butane, and some C5+ components from side reactions. Propylene purification is carried out in two columns. The first column separates unreacted ethylene for reuse in the reactor. The second column produces PG propylene as an overhead product and a bottom heavies stream. The stream leaving the reactor is first cooled against the reactor feed stream in an exchanger, and then cooled against cooling water before being sent to the deethylenizer column. The column is re-boiled by low pressure (LP) steam, and uses propylene refrigeration in the top condenser. Cryogenic temperatures exist due to the presence of unconverted ethylene in the top of the column. Pressure of the column is dependent upon the available refrigeration. The deethylenizer column overhead (unconverted ethylene) is recycled back to the reaction area through the column reflux pumps. The recycled ethylene stream is mixed with fresh ethylene, fresh butenes (raffinate-2) stream and recycled butenes stream. A small vent stream containing light paraffins and a small amount of
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Intratec | Technical Analysis
For the purpose of this report, n-butenes, with a purity of 80%, will be considered raffinate-2. The process is divided into two main areas: purification & reaction, and separation.
17
unconverted ethylene leaves the overhead of the deethylenizer reflux vessel as a lights purge stream. This stream can be returned to the ethylene cracker for recovery.
Table 9 – Design & Simulation Assumptions
The bottom stream of the deethylenizer column is sent to the depropylenizer column for propylene recovery. The depropylenizer column separates PG propylene in the overhead from a heavies product stream (C4+) in the bottoms. PG propylene and heavies streams are sent to the product ISBL storage tank and C4+ purge storage tank respectively. LP steam is used in the reboiler and cooling water in the top condenser. A side-stream from the bottoms of the column is sent back as butenes recycled stream to the fresh/recycle C4 tank. This rate is set to maintain a high overall n-butenes conversion in the metathesis reactors. The column’s bottoms can be sent to another column for recovery of gasoline and fuel oil.
Key Consumption
Simulation Software
Aspen Hysys
Thermodynamic Model
Peng-Robinson
Ethylene
99.9 wt%
Butenes on C4 stream
80 wt%
Temperature
304 oC
Pressure
30 bar abs
Conversion (of Butenes)
67%
Selectivity (Butenes to Propylene)
90%
Ethylene: Butene Molar Feed Ratio
2 MgO and
Catalyst
WO3/SiO2
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
Table 8 – Raw Materials & Utilities Consumption (per ton of Product)
Labor Requirements Raffinate-2
0.97
ton
Ethylene
0.32
ton
Cooling Water
68.3
m3
LP Steam
1.0
ton
Inert Gas
32.1
Nm3
Electricity
286
kWh
Fuel
0.5
MMBtu
Fuel By-Product
12.8
MMBtu
Table 10 – Labor Requirements for a Typical Plant
Non-Integrated Plant
5
1
Partially Integrated Plant
5
1
Fully Integrated Plant
3
1
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
Intratec | Technical Analysis
Technical Assumptions
18
All process design and economics are based on world-class capacity units that are competitive globally. Assumptions regarding the thermodynamic model used, reactor design basis and the raw materials composition are shown in Table 9. All data used to develop the process flow diagram was based on publicly available information.
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Figure 4 – Inside Battery Limits Conceptual Process Flow Diagram
Ethylene from OSBL T-102 Butenes (Raffinate-2) from OSBL
19
1
For Disposal 11
7
2 P-101A/B
10
V-101B
P-102A/B
6
F-101
V-101A
E-101
8
4
R-102B
R-102A
9
Fuel 5
Nitrogen, Hydrogen, Air
P-103A/B T-101
F-102 Fuel
13 23 Butenes Recycle
Ethylene Recycle CW
CW
E-201
E-203
14 RF (C3=)
Lights Purge
CR-201
CW
CR-202
24 CV-201
CV-202 CP-201A/B
CP-202A/B
#1
18
P-202A/B
C-201
#1
C-202
#30
PG Propylene to OSBL
T-201
#62
#60 LP ST
16 P-201A/B
#34 #65 LP ST
CC-201
CC-202
15 21
25
CW
T-202
E-202
Heavies Purge
Intratec | Technical Analysis
P-203A/B
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
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19
Table 11 – Main Streams Operating Conditions and Composition
Phase
L
L
G
L/G
L
L
G
L
Temperature (°C)
-29
30
304
53
-25
107
-25
113
Pressure (bar abs)
22
6.0
30
30
22
17
22
17
Mass Flow (kg/h)
12,940
38,950
161,520
161,490
33,820
75,800
120
11,760
Ethylene (wt%)
99.9
21.0
21.0
100.0
100.0
Ethane (wt%)
0.1
traces
traces
traces
traces
24.9
24.9
traces
40.1 5.0
Propene (wt%) Butane (wt%)
20.0
C5+ (wt%)
0.5
0.1
39.9
75.1
63.5
5.1
7.4
22.4
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
ISBL Major Equipment List
Table 11 presents the main streams composition and operating conditions. For a more complete material balance, see the “Appendix A. Mass Balance & Streams Properties.”
Table 12 shows the equipment list by area. It also presents a brief description and the construction materials used.
Information regarding utilities flow rates is provided in “Appendix B. Utilities Consumption Breakdown.” For further details on greenhouse gas emissions caused by this process, see “Appendix C. Process Carbon Footprint.”
Find main specifications for each piece of equipment in “Appendix D. Equipment Detailed List & Sizing.”
Intratec | Technical Analysis
Table 12 – Inside Battery Limits Major Equipment List
20
Area 100
E-101
Feed Vaporizer
CS
Area 100
F-101
Reactor Feed Heater
Cr-Mo
Area 100
F-102
Regeneration Gas Heater
Cr-Mo
Area 100
P-101A/B
Ethylene Feed Pumps
CS
Area 100
P-102A/B
Raffinate-2 Feed Pumps
CS
Area 100
P-103A/B
C4 Tank Pumps
CS
Area 100
R-102A/B
Metathesis Reactor
SS
Area 100
T-101
Fresh/Recycle C4 Tank
CS
Area 100
T-102
Ethylene ISBL Storage
CS
Area 100
V-101A/B
Reactor Feed Treaters
CS
Area 200
C-201
Deethylenizer Column
CS
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
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Table 12 – Inside Battery Limits Major Equipment List (Cont.) Area 200
C-202
Depropylenizer Column
CS
Area 200
CC-201
Deethylenizer Condenser
CS
Area 200
CC-202
Depropylenizer Condenser
CS
Area 200
CP-201
Deethylen. Reflux Pumps
CS
Area 200
CP-202
Depropylen. Reflux Pumps
CS
Area 200
CR-201
Deethylenizer Reboiler
CS
Area 200
CR-202
Depropylenizer Reboiler
CS
Area 200
CV-201
Deethylenizer Accumulator
CS
Area 200
CV-202
Depropylen. Accumulator
CS
Area 200
E-201
Deethylenizer Feed Cooler
CS
Area 200
E-202
C4+ Purge Cooler
CS
Area 200
E-203
Butenes Recycle Cooler
CS
Area 200
P-201A/B
Propylene Pumps
CS
Area 200
P-202A/B
Ethylene Recycle Pumps
CS
Area 200
P-203A/B
C4+ Pumps
CS
Area 200
T-201
Product ISBL Storage
CS
Area 200
T-202
C4+ Purge Storage
CS
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
OSBL Major Equipment List
Table 13 shows the list of tanks located on the storage area and the energy facilities required in the construction of a non-integrated unit.
The OSBL is divided into three main areas: storage (Area 700), energy & water facilities (Area 800), and support & auxiliary facilities (Area 900).
Area 700
T-701
Ethylene Storage
CS
Area 700
T-702
Raffinate Storage
CS
Area 700
T-703
Propylene Storage
CS
Area 700
T-704
Demin. Water Tank
CS
Area 700
T-705
Clarified Water Tank
CS
Area 800
U-802
Refrigerator
CS
Area 800
U-803
Cooling Tower
CS
Area 800
U-804
Steam boiler
CS
Area 800
U-805
Water Demineralizer
CS
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
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Table 13 – Outside Battery Limits Major Equipment List
21
steam crackers. The lower energy consumption also improves the operating margin.
Other Process Remarks Typical Complete Process Scheme Currently, most of the propylene produced is a by-product from steam cracking units that primarily produce ethylene, or a by-product from FCC units that primarily produce gasoline. With the maturity of olefin plants technology, improvements downstream of the steam cracker are more economically promising than improvements in the cracking technology itself. In this context, the use of a metathesis unit downstream of an olefin plant can bring benefits such as reducing the energy used and the carbon emissions, as well as increasing propylene production. The impact of a metathesis unit to an olefin plant material balance to achieve a conventional, low severity, propyleneto-ethylene ratio of 0.67 is analyzed in Table 14. Two cases are presented: a standalone steam cracker unit, without metathesis, and a steam cracker integrated with a metathesis unit. As shown in the table, at a constant overall net ethylene and propylene production of 1 million ton/year and 670,000 ton/year respectively, the steam cracker integrated with a metathesis unit considerably improves the overall plant material balance.
Intratec | Technical Analysis
Compared to the standalone steam cracker, the integrated case consumes about 2% less fresh feedstock, while producing 50% more benzene and only 60% of the remaining, lower-valued pyrolysis gasoline. In addition, the energy consumption of the integrated case is about 13% lower. The reason for this reduction is that fewer olefins are produced by thermal cracking in the integrated case, thereby lowering the fired duty of the cracking heaters and the energy consumed in the recovery area.
22
In the standalone steam cracker case, 1.67 million ton/year of ethylene and propylene are produced by thermal cracking. In the integrated case, 1.49 million ton/year of ethylene and propylene are produced by thermal cracking, with the remaining propylene (0.18 million ton/year) being produced by the metathesis unit. The 13% reduction in energy consumption results in a 13% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions. This level of reduction is significant and, as such, could be one of the major contributing routes to meeting olefin industry goals of lower greenhouse gas emissions from
Table 14 – Integration of a Metathesis Unit with a Naphtha Steam Cracker
Cracker C3=/C2= ratio
0.67
0.47
Overall C3=/C2= ratio
0.67
0.67
Material balance (1,000 ton/year) Naphtha feed
3,094
3,047
Net ethylene
1,000
1,000
Net propylene
670
670
Benzene
207
312
Pyrolysis gasoline
654
396
Energy consumption
Base = 100
87
Total investment
Base = 100
94
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
Investment costs are also lower. As shown in Table 14, capital costs are reduced by about 6%. The investment costs associated with the ISBL ethylene plant are reduced due to lower plant throughput (individual ethylene plant system loadings), lower fired duty, and a significant reduction in the size of the propylene fractionator system, which is the single most costly tower system in the ethylene plant. Finally, OSBL costs are reduced due to the minimization in energy consumption. The savings associated with these units more than offset the investment costs associated with the metathesis unit. Figure 5 shows the most typical integration arrangement between a metathesis unit and a naphtha steam cracker.
Other Process Scenarios Figure 6 illustrates propylene production alternatives via metathesis using only one feedstock: ethylene or butenes.
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Ethylene as the Only Feedstock
Butene as the Only Feedstock
In some cases, there is not enough butene to use in a metathesis unit to achieve the desired propylene production, as in the case when the feedstocks producer is an ethane steam cracker, which, while it makes large volumes of ethylene, makes insufficient butene for the metathesis reaction. Ethane crackers are the most common crackers used in the Middle East.
In some regions, the supply of ethylene is tight and/or ethylene is expensive, making the building of a conventional metathesis unit unfeasible without subsidies. Other disadvantages of conventional metathesis are:
For such cases an ethylene dimerization unit can be added upstream of the metathesis process as a butene-2 source. Dimerization of ethylene to butenes occurs in a liquid phase loop reactor according to the following reaction:
Ethylene
2-Butene
Intensive Use of Energy. Conventional metathesis reactions take place with ethylene, which requires an intensive use of energy in the ethylene recirculation loop by using cryogenic refrigeration. Feedstock Loss. Removing butadiene by hydrogenation from the butenes feed before its use in a conventional metathesis results in the hydroisomerization of the butenes to paraffins, representing a feedstock loss of 10%+. Furthermore, removing isobutene by fractionation of the butenes feed before its use in a conventional metathesis results in an additional loss of butenes, since 1-butene is difficult to separate from isobutene without an expensive fractionation tower.
Figure 5 – Typical Integration Between Olefin Plant and Metathesis Unit
Naphtha
PG Ethylene
Naphtha Steam Cracker
Metathesis Unit
Crude C4s
Butadiene Extraction
PG Propylene
C4+ Purge
Raffinate-2
Raffinate-1
Butadiene
Isobutene Extraction
Isobutene
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
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Intratec | Technical Analysis
PG Propylene
23
Although the yield of propylene is high in the conventional metathesis process, the aforementioned disadvantages motivated the development of a different process, in which a metathesis reaction occurs with butenes as the only feedstock. This process is called butenes auto-metathesis, or self-metathesis. In the process, a stream comprised of 1-butene plus 2butene is admixed with recycled butenes and pentenes in the metathesis reactor. The stream leaving the reactor is sent to a separation unit, composed of distillation columns. The stream can contain C4 paraffins, but the amount of isobutene should not exceed 2% of the feed mixture. Table 15 shows the reactions that can occur in the process. The reactions (1) and (2) are the main auto-metathesis reactions. Reactions (3), (4) and (5) occur while the 2pentenes formed through the main reaction are recycled back to the reactor.
In 2003, a semi-commercial unit owned by Sinopec in Tianjin (China), was built to demonstrate auto-metathesis and 1-hexene production. This facility maximizes the 1butene/1-butene metathesis reaction to produce 3-hexene, and then isomerizes the 3-hexene to 1-hexene. The plant has the capacity to produce 2 kta of 1-hexene.
Table 15 – Butenes Auto-Metathesis Reactions (1)
1-butene + 2-butene
propylene + 2-pentene
(2)
1-butene + 1-butene
ethylene + 3-hexene
(3)
2-pentene + 1-butene
(4)
2-pentene
(5)
1-pentene + 2-butene
propylene + 3-hexene
1-pentene (isomerization) propylene + 2-hexene
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
Figure 6 – Metathesis Technology Alternatives
Butenes
Metathesis
Ethylene
Dimerization
Metathesis
Intratec | Technical Analysis
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
24
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CG/PG Propylene
Economic Analysis General Assumptions
In Table 16, the IC Index stands for Intratec chemical plant Construction Index, an indicator, published monthly by Intratec, to scale capital costs from one time period to another.
The general assumptions for the base case of this analysis are outlined below.
This index reconciles prices trends of fundamental components of a chemical plant construction such as labor, material and energy, providing meaningful historical and forecast data for our readers and clients.
Table 16 – Base Case General Assumptions Engineering & Construction Location
US Gulf
Analysis Date
Q3 2011
IC Index
158.1
OSBL Scenario
Partially Integrated
Nominal Capacity
350 kta
Operating Hours per Year
8,000
Annual Production
320 kta
Project Complexity
Simple
Technology Maturity
Licensed
Data Reliability
High
The assumed operating hours per year indicated does not represent any technology limitation; rather, it is an assumption based on usual industrial operating rates Additionally, Table 16 discloses assumptions regarding the project complexity, technology maturity and data reliability, which are of major importance for attributing reasonable contingencies for the investment and for evaluating the overall accuracy of estimates. Definitions and figures for both contingencies and accuracy of economic estimates can be found in this publication in the chapter “Technology Economics Methodology.”
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
Figure 7 – Project Implementation Schedule
Basic Engineering Detailed Engineering Procurement Construction
Start-up 0
1
2
3
4 Quarters
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
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5
6
7
8
Intratec | Economic Analysis
Total EPC Phase
25
Project Implementation Schedule
“Appendix E. Detailed Capital Expenses” provides a detailed breakdown for the direct expenses, outlining the share of each type of equipment in total.
The main objective of knowing upfront the project implementation schedule is to enhance the estimates for both capital initial expenses and return on investment.
After defining the total direct cost, the TFI is established by adding field indirects, engineering costs, overhead, contract fees and contingencies.
The implementation phase embraces the period from the decision to invest to the start of commercial production. This phase can be divided into five major stages: (1) Basic Engineering, (2) Detailed Engineering, (3) Procurement, (4) Construction, and (5) Plant Start-up.
Table 18 – Total Fixed Investment Breakdown (USD Thousands) Bare Equipment
92,990
The duration of each phase is detailed in Figure 7.
Equipment Setting
330
Piping
7,060
Civil
3,930
Steel
3,610
Instrumentation & Control
2,590
Electrical
2,140
Insulation
2,360
Paint
670
Engineering & Procurement
5,840
Construction Material & Indirects
18,140
G & A Overheads
4,020
Contract Fee
3,620
Project Contingency
22,095
Capital Expenditures Fixed Investment Table 17 shows the bare equipment cost associated with each area of the project.
Table 17 – Bare Equipment Cost per Area (USD Thousands) ISBL Area 100
6,440
Area 200
5,400
OSBL Area 700
67,910
Area 800
8,760
Process Contingency
4,480 Other - Scaling Exponent
Intratec | Economic Analysis
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
26
Table 18 presents the breakdown of the total fixed investment (TFI) per item (direct & indirect costs and process contingencies). For further information about the components of the TFI please see the chapter “Technology Economics Methodology”. Fundamentally, the direct costs are the total direct material and labor costs associated with the equipment (including installation bulks). The total direct cost represents the total bare equipment installed cost.
Up
0.87
Down
0.79
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
Indirect costs are defined by the American Association of Cost Engineers (AACE) Standard Terminology as those "costs which do not become a final part of the installation but which are required for the orderly completion of the installation."
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The indirect project expenses are further detailed in “Appendix E. Detailed Capital Expenses.” Alternative OSBL Configurations The total fixed investment for the construction of a new chemical plant is greatly impacted by how well it will be able to take advantage of the infrastructure already installed in that location. For example, if there are nearby facilities consuming a unit’s final product or supplying a unit’s feedstock, the need for storage facilities significantly decreases, along with the total fixed investment required. This is also true for support facilities that can serve more than one plant in the same complex, such as a parking lot, gate house, etc. This study analyzes the total fixed investment for three distinct scenarios regarding OSBL facilities: Non-integrated Plant Plant Partially Integrated Plant Fully Integrated The detailed definition, as well as the assumptions used for each scenario is presented in the chapter “About this Study”
Intratec | Economic Analysis
The influence of the OSBL facilities on the capital investment is depicted in Figure 8 and in Figure 9.
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27
Figure 8 – Total Direct Cost of Different Integration Scenarios (USD Thousands)
Area 100
Area 200
Area 700
Area 800
Area 900
200,000 180,000 160,000 140,000 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 Non-Integrated
Partially Integrated
Fully Integrated
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
Figure 9 – Total Fixed Investment of Different Integration Scenarios (USD Thousands)
Direct Expenses
Indirect Expenses
Project Contingency
300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 Intratec | Economic Analysis
Non-Integrated
28
Partially Integrated
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
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Fully Integrated
Fixed Investment Discussion
Working Capital
Figure 10 compares and validates the total fixed investment estimated in the previous section. Each point depicted in the chart represents a different plant TFI value announced in the international press during the last few years. All of the total fixed investments announced are adjusted to the same basis (date and location of the analysis) and compared to the TFI curves estimated by Intratec for different OSBL integration scenarios.
Working capital, described in Table 19, is another significant investment requirement. It is needed to meet the costs of labor; maintenance; purchase, storage, and inventory of field materials; and storage and sales of product(s). Assumptions for working capital calculations are found in “Appendix F. Economic Assumptions.”
TFI differences are primarily driven by how integrated the plant will be with respect to raw material suppliers and product consumers.
Table 19 – Working Capital (USD Million)
In fact, the metathesis unit is usually constructed near a steam cracker or FCC unit not only because of synergistic economies in their capital costs, but for the easy access to feedstock.
Raw Materials Inventory
0.7
Products Inventory
30.4
In-process Inventory
1.5
Supplies and Stores
0.3
Cash on Hand
22.1
Accounts Receivable
45.6
Accounts Payable
(44.2)
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
Figure 10 – Total Fixed Investment Validation (USD Million)
500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 100
200
300
400
500
600
Plant Capacity (kta) TFI (Announced in Press)
Fully Integrated
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
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Partially Integrated
Non-Integrated
700 Intratec | Economic Analysis
0
29
Other Capital Expenses Start-up costs should also be considered when determining the total capital expenses. During this period, expenses are incurred for employee training, initial commercialization costs, manufacturing inefficiencies and unscheduled plant modifications (adjustment of equipment, piping, instruments, etc.).
Table 21 – CAPEX (USD Million) Total Fixed Investment
169
Working Capital
56
Other Capital Expenses
22
Initial costs are not addressed in most studies on estimating but can become a significant expenditure. For instance, the initial catalyst load in reactors may be a significant cost and, in that case, should also be included in the capital estimates.
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
The purchase of technology through paid-up royalties or licenses is considered to be part of the capital investment.
Manufacturing Costs
Other capital expenses frequently neglected are land acquisition and site development. Although these are small parts of the total capital expenses, they should be included.
Operational Expenditures
The manufacturing costs, also called Operational Expenditures (OPEX), are composed of two elements: a fixed cost and a variable cost. All figures regarding operational costs are presented in USD per ton of product. Table 22 shows the manufacturing fixed cost.
Table 20 – Other Capital Expenses (USD Million) Initial Catalyst Load
To learn more about the assumptions for manufacturing fixed costs, see the “Appendix F. Economic Assumptions.”
0.1
Start-up Expenses Operator Training
1.3
Commercialization Costs
5.4
Start-up Inefficiencies
5.4
Unscheduled Plant Modifications
3.4
Prepaid Royalties
1.7
Land & Site Development
4.2
Table 22 – Manufacturing Fixed Cost (USD/ton)
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
Operating Labor Cost
7.1
Supervision Labor Cost
2.1
Maintenance Cost
8.5
Operating Charges
2.3
Plant Overhead
8.9
G and A Cost
30.1
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
Intratec | Economic Analysis
Assumptions used to calculate other capital expenses are provided in “Appendix F. Economic Assumptions.”
30
Total Capital Expenses
Table 23 discloses the manufacturing variable cost breakdown.
Table 21 presents a summary of the total Capital Expenditures (CAPEX) detailed in previous sections.
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Economic Datasheet Table 23 – Manufacturing Variable Cost (USD/ton) Raffinate-2
1,015.3
Ethylene
422.2
Cooling Water
0.03
LP Steam
15.6
Inert Gas
0.1
Electricity
20.9
Fuel
2.2
The Technology Economic Datasheet, presented in Table 25, is an overall evaluation of the technology's production costs in a US Gulf Coast based plant. The expected revenues in products sales and initial economic indicators are presented for a short-term assessment of its economic competitiveness.
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
Table 24 shows the OPEX of the presented technology.
Table 24 – OPEX (USD/ton) Manufacturing Fixed Cost
59.1
Manufacturing Variable Cost
1,476.2
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
Figure 11 depictures Sales and OPEX historic data. Figure 12 compares the project EBITDA trends with Intratec Profitability Indicators (IP Indicators). The Basic Chemicals IP Indicator represents basic chemicals sector profitability, based on the weighted average EBITDA margins of major global basic chemicals producers. Alternately, the Chemical Sector IP Indicator reveals the overall chemical sector profitability, through a weighted average of the IP Indicators calculated for three major chemical industry niches: basic, specialties and diversified chemicals.
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Intratec | Economic Analysis
Historical Analysis
31
Figure 11 – OPEX and Product Sales History (USD/ton)
OPEX (Cash Cost)
2,500
Product Sales
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0 Q1-07
Q3-07
Q1-08
Q3-08
Q1-09
Q3-09
Q1-10
Q3-10
Q1-11
Q3-11
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
Figure 12 – EBITDA Margin & IP Indicators History Comparison
EBITDA Margin
25%
Basic Chemicals IP Indicator
Chemical Sector IP Indicator
20%
15%
10%
5%
0% Intratec | Economic Analysis
Q1-07
32
Q3-07
Q1-08
Q3-08
Q1-09
Q3-09
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
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Q1-10
Q3-10
Q1-11
Q3-11
Table 25 – Technology Economics Datasheet: Propylene via Metathesis at US Gulf
350 kta unit (Production: 320 kta)
TFI
Working Capital
Other Capital Exp.
IC Index: 158.1
169
57
22
Raffinate-2
0.97
ton/ton prod.
1,043
USD/ton
324.9
1,015.3
Ethylene
0.32
ton/ton prod.
1,304
USD/ton
135.1
422.2
Cooling Water
68.3
m3/ton prod.
0.0005
USD/m3
0.01
0.03
LP Steam
1.0
ton/ton prod.
15.3
USD/ton
5.0
15.6
Inert Gas
32.1
Nm3/ton prod.
0.004
USD/Nm3
0.04
0.1
Electricity
286
kWh/ton prod.
0.1
USD/kWh
6.7
20.9
Fuel
0.5
MMBtu/ton prod.
4.4
USD/MMBtu
0.7
2.2
Operating Labor Cost
5
operators/shift
56.8
USD/oper./h
2.3
7.1
Supervision Labor Cost
1
supervisors/shift
85.3
USD/sup./h
0.7
2.1
2.7
8.5
Maintenance Cost Operating Charges
25%
of Operating Labor Costs
0.7
2.3
Plant Overhead
50%
of Operating Labor and Maint. Costs
2.8
8.9
G and A Cost
2%
of Operating Costs
9.6
30.1
Depreciation Annual Value
10%
of TFI
16.9
52.9
PG Propylene
1
ton/ton prod.
540.8
1,690
Fuel By-Product
13
MMBtu/ton prod.
17.6
54.9
1690 4.29
USD/ton USD/MMBtu
EBITDA Margin
12.0%
Chemical Sector IP Indicator
15.5%
EBIT Margin
9.0%
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
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Intratec | Economic Analysis
2011
33
Economic Discussion Regional Comparison
Figure 13 summarizes the total Capital Expenditures (CAPEX) for the locations under analysis.
Capital Expenses
Operational Expenditures
Variations in productivity, labor costs, local steel prices, equipment imports needs, freight, taxes and duties on imports, regional business environments and local availability of sparing equipment were considered when comparing capital expenses for the different regions under consideration in this report. Capital costs are adjusted from the base case (a plant constructed on the US Gulf Coast) to locations of interest by using location factors calculated according to the items aforementioned. For further information about location factor calculation, please examine the chapter “Technology Economics Methodology.” In addition, the location factors for the regions analyzed are further detailed in “Appendix F. Economic Assumptions.”
Specific regional conditions influence prices for raw materials, utilities and products. Such differences are thus reflected in the operating costs. An OPEX breakdown structure for the different locations approached in this study is presented in Figure 14.
Economic Datasheet The Technology Economic Datasheet, presented in Table 26, is an overall evaluation of the technology's capital investment and production costs in the alternative location analyzed in this study.
Figure 13 – CAPEX per Location (USD Million)
Total Fixed Investment
Other Capital Expenses
Working Capital
350 300 250 200 150 100
Intratec | Economic Discussion
50
34
0 US Gulf
Germany
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
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Figure 14 – Operating Costs Breakdown per Location (USD/ton)
Net Raw Materials Costs
Main Utilities Consumption
Fixed Costs
1,600 1,550 1,500 1,450 1,400 1,350 1,300 1,250 1,200 US Gulf
Germany
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
Remarks Ethylene costs range from USD 400 to USD 420 per ton of propylene representing about 27% of the total manufacturing expenses both at the US Gulf Coast and in Germany, while butene costs, between USD 937 and 1,015 per ton (as raffinate-2), represent from 62% to 66% of those costs. Together, these raw materials account for more than 90% of the total manufacturing expenses.
Historically, the US and Europe have exhibited low EBITDA margins and therefore projects of Lummus OCT units in such regions are less commonplace. However, installing a metathesis unit inside a petrochemical complex requires low capital investment. That, coupled with special market and price conditions can make projects in these, and other, regions more economically appealing.
Furthermore, the process is fed with a butene-ethylene mass ratio of approximately 3:1 (butene as raffinate-2). As a result, the valuation of butene becomes crucial in the overall economics of the process. Producers that have access to cheap sources of such materials can operate with improved competitiveness. Ethylene feedstocks for metathesis can be supplied from either steam crackers or off-gas extraction from FCC units. Butene feedstocks may be supplied from either steam cracker crude C4 or refinery FCC mixed butenes.
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Intratec | Economic Discussion
The values at which ethylene and butene feedstocks are acquired will consequently play a decisive role in the economic feasibility of a metathesis unit. While ethylene prices are between USD 1,240 and 1,750 per ton, butene values range from USD 960 to 1,040.
35
Table 26 – Technology Economics Datasheet: Propylene via Metathesis in Germany
350 kta unit (Production: 320 kta)
TFI
Working Capital
Other Capital Exp.
IC Index: 158.1
223
56
25
Raffinate-2
0.97
ton/ton prod.
962
USD/ton
299.8
936.8
Ethylene
0.32
ton/ton prod.
1,247
USD/ton
129.1
403.4
Cooling Water
68
m3/ton prod.
0.0016
USD/m3
0.04
0.1
LP Steam
1.0
ton/ton prod.
50.2
USD/ton
16.4
51.4
Inert Gas
32.1
Nm3/ton prod.
0.15
USD/Nm3
1.5
4.7
Electricity
286
kWh/ton prod.
0.12
USD/kWh
10.9
34.1
MMBtu/ton prod.
14.4
USD/MMBtu
2.3
7.1
75.8
USD/oper./h
3.0
9.5
113.7
USD/sup./h
0.91
2.8
3.6
11.2
Fuel
0.5
Operating Labor Cost
5
operators/shift
Supervision Labor Cost
1
supervisors/shift
Maintenance Cost Operating Charges
25%
of Operating Labor Costs
1.0
3.1
Plant Overhead
50%
of Operating Labor and Maint. Costs
3.8
11.8
of Operating Costs
9.4
29.5
22.3
69.7
414.1
1,294.0
58.9
184.1
G and A Cost
Depreciation Annual Value
PG Propylene
Intratec | Economic Discussion
Fuel By-Product
36
2%
10%
1 12.8
of TFI
ton/ton prod. MMBtu/ton prod.
1294 14.4
USD/ton USD/MMBtu
EBITDA Margin
-1.9%
Chemical Sector IP Indicator
15.5%
EBIT Margin
-6.6%
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
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References Carter, C. O., 1980. 4,242,531.
Lummus Technology, 2010.
US, Patent No.
s.l.:Provided by Lummus on August, 24th 2010.
Carter, C. O., 1985. Lummus Technology, 2010. s.l.:Provided by Lummus on August, 24th, 2010. Chodorge, J. A., Cosyns, J., Commereuc, B. & Torck, B., 1997. Propylene Production from Butenes and Ethylene. , Spring. Delaude, L. & Noels, A. F., 2007. Metathesis Section. In: s.l.:WileyInterscience. Drake, C. A. & Reusser, R. E., 1986. US, Patent No. 4,575,575.
Mol, J. C., 2004. Industrial Applications of Olefin Metathesis. 213(1), pp. 39-45. Network China Industrial Information, n.d. [Online] Available at: www.chyxx.com [Accessed 10 March 2012]. Senetar, J. J. & Glover, B. K., 2010.
Dwyer, C. L., 2006. Metathesis of Olefins. In: G. P. Chiusoli & P. M. Maitlis, eds. s.l.:Royal Society of Chemistry, pp. 201-217.
Stanley, S., 2009. Cover Story – Ethylene Enhancement. , February.
Eisele, P. & Killpack, R., 2002. Propene Section. In: s.l.:Wiley-Interscience.
Sumner, C., 2009.
Gartside, R. J. & Greene, M. I., 2007.
No. 7,525,007 B2.
US, Patent US, Patent No. 7,214,841 B2.
Takai, T. & Kubota, T., 2010. Patent No. 2010/0145126 A1.
US,
Gartside, R. J., Greene, M. I. & Jones, Q. J., 2004. US, Patent No. 6,777,582 B2. Gartside, R. J. & Ramachandran, B., 2010.
Weidert, D. J., 2000. s.l., AIChE 2000 Spring Meeting. Zinger, S., 2005. One-purpose propylene production. , Q3.
Hildreth, J. M., Dukandar, K. N. & Venner, R. M., 2009.
Hydrocarbon Processing, 2005. s.l.:Gulf Publishing. Intratec | References
Lummus Technology, 2009. [Online] Available at: www.cbi.com/images/uploads/tech_sheets/Olefins.pdf [Accessed 20 March 2012].
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37
Acronyms, Legends & Observations AACE: American Association of Cost Engineers
kta: thousands metric tons per year
C: Distillation, stripper, scrubber columns (e.g., C-101 would denote a column tag)
LP ST: Low pressure steam LPG: Liquefied petroleum gas
C2, C3, ... Cn: Hydrocarbons with "n" number of carbon atoms
MP ST: Medium pressure steam
C2=, C3=, ... Cn=: Alkenes with "n" number of carbon atoms
NGL: Natural gas liquids
CAPEX: Capital Expenditures
OCT: Olefin Conversion Technology
CC: Distillation column condenser
OPEX: Operational Expenditures
CG: Chemical grade
OSBL: Outside battery limits
CP: Distillation column reflux pump
P: Pumps (e.g., P-101 would denote a pump tag)
CR: Distillation column reboiler
PG: Polymer grade
CV: Distillation column accumulator drum
R: Reactors, treaters (e.g., R-101 would denote a reactor tag)
CW: Cooling water
RF: Refrigerant
E: Heat exchangers, heaters, coolers, condensers, reboilers (e.g., E-101 would denote a heat exchanger tag)
RG: Refinery grade ST: Steam
EBIT: Earnings before Interest and Taxes Syngas: Synthesis gas EBITDA: Earnings before Interests, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization
T: Tanks (e.g., T-101 would denote a tank tag) TFI: Total Fixed Investment
F: Furnaces, fired heaters (e.g., F-101 would denote a furnace tag)
TPC: Total process cost
Intratec | Acronyms, Legends & Observations
FCC: Fluid-catalytic cracking
38
HP ST: High pressure steam
V: Horizontal or vertical drums, vessels (e.g., V-101 would denote a vessel tag)
IC Index: Intratec Chemical Plant Construction Index
WD: Demineralized water
IP Indicator: Intratec Chemical Sector Profitability Indicator
WP: Process water
ISBL: Inside battery limits
X: Special equipment (e.g., X-101 would denote a special equipment tag)
K: Compressors, blowers, fans (e.g., K-101 would denote a compressor tag)
Obs.: 1 ton = 1 metric ton = 1,000 kg
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Technology Economics Methodology
Introduction The same general approach is used in the development of all Technology Economics assignments. To know more about Intratec’s methodology, see Figure 15. While based on the same methodology, all Technology Economics studies present uniform analyses with identical structures, containing the same chapters and similar tables and charts. This provides confidence to everyone interested in Intratec’s services since they will know upfront what they will get.
Workflow Once the scope of the study is fully defined and understood, Intratec conducts a comprehensive bibliographical research in order to understand technical aspects involved with the process analyzed. Subsequently, the Intratec team simultaneously develops the process description and the conceptual process flow diagram based on: a.
Patent and technical literature research
b.
Non-confidential information provided by technology licensors
c.
Intratec's in-house database
d.
Process design skills
From this simulation, material balance calculations are performed around the process, key process indicators are identified and main equipment listed. Equipment sizing specifications are defined based on Intratec's equipment design capabilities and an extensive use of AspenONE Engineering Software Suite that enables the integration between the process simulation developed and equipment design tools. Both equipment sizing and process design are prepared in conformance with generally accepted engineering standards. Then, a cost analysis is performed targeting ISBL & OSBL fixed capital costs, manufacturing costs, and overall working capital associated with the examined process technology. Equipment costs are primarily estimated using Aspen Process Economic Analyzer (formerly Aspen Icarus) customized models and Intratec's in-house database. Cost correlations and, occasionally, vendor quotes of unique and specialized equipment may also be employed. Next, capital and operating costs are assembled in Microsoft Excel spreadsheets, and an economic analysis of such technology is performed. Finally, sensitivity analyses are conducted to assess the impact of key economic variables on capital and operating expenses. According to the demand of the client who requests the Technology Economics study, the publication may also include additional analyses. Among other possibilities, the study may include sensitivity assessments to evaluate the impact of technical parameters on capital and manufacturing costs, as well as a regional comparison evaluating the economic performance of similar industrial units operating in different world regions.
Next, all the data collected are used to build a rigorous steady state process simulation model in Aspen Hysys and/or Aspen Plus, leading commercial process flowsheeting software tools.
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Intratec | Technology Economics Methodology
Intratec Technology Economics methodology ensures a holistic, coherent and consistent techno-economic evaluation, ensuring a clear understanding of a chemical process technology.
39
Figure 15 – Methodology Flowchart
Study Understanding Validation of Project Inputs Patent and Technical Literature Databases
Intratec Internal Database
Intratec | Technology Economics Methodology
Non-Confidential Information from Technology Licensors or Suppliers
40
Bibliographical Research
Technical Validation – Process Description & Flow Diagram
Vendor Quotes
Material & Energy Balances, Key Process Indicators, List of Equipment & Equipment Sizing
Pricing Data Gathering: Raw Materials, Chemicals, Utilities and Products
Capital Cost (CAPEX) & Operational Cost (OPEX) Estimation
Construction Location Factor (http://base.intratec.us)
Economic Analysis
Final Review & Adjustments
Project Development Phases Information Gathering / Tools
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
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Aspen Plus, Aspen Hysys Aspen Exchanger Design & Rating, KG Tower, Sulcol and Aspen Energy Analyzer
Aspen Process Economic Analyzer, Aspen Capital Cost Estimator, Aspen InPlant Cost Estimator & Intratec In-House Database
Process equipment (e.g., reactors and vessels, heat exchangers, pumps, compressors, etc.)
Capital & Operating Cost Estimates
Process equipment spares The cost estimate presented in the current study considers a process technology based on a standardized design practice, typical of a major chemical company. The specific design standards employed can have a significant impact on capital costs.
Housing for process units Pipes and supports within the main process units Instruments, control systems, electrical wires and other hardware
The basis for the capital cost estimate is that the plant is considered to be built in a clear field with a typical large single-line capacity. In comparing the cost estimate hereby presented with an actual project cost or contractor's estimate, the following must be considered: Minor differences or details (many times, unnoticed) between similar processes can affect cost noticeably. The omission of process areas in the design considered may invalidate comparisons with the estimated cost presented. Industrial plants may be overdesigned for particular objectives and situations. Rapid fluctuation of equipment or construction costs may invalidate cost estimate.
Foundations, structures and platforms Insulation, paint and corrosion protection In addition to the direct material and labor costs, the ISBL addresses indirect costs, such as construction overheads, including: payroll burdens, field supervision, equipment rentals, tools, field office expenses, temporary facilities, etc.
OSBL Investment The OSBL investment accounts for auxiliary items necessary to the functioning of the production unit (ISBL), but which perform a supporting and non-plant-specific role. OSBL items considered may vary from process to process. The OSBL investment could include the installed cost of the following items:
Equipment vendors or engineering companies may provide goods or services below profit margins during economic downturns. Specific locations may impose higher taxes and fees, which can impact costs considerably.
Storage and packaging (storage, bagging and a warehouse) for products, feedstocks and by-products Steam units, cooling water and refrigeration systems Process water treating systems and supply pumps
ISBL Investment The ISBL investment includes the fixed capital cost of the main processing units of the plant necessary to the manufacturing of products. The ISBL investment includes the installed cost of the following items:
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Boiler feed water and supply pumps Electrical supply, transformers, and switchgear Auxiliary buildings, including all services and equipment of: maintenance, stores warehouse, laboratory, garages, fire station, change house, cafeteria, medical/safety, administration, etc. General utilities including plant air, instrument air, inert gas, stand-by electrical generator, fire water pumps, etc. Pollution control, organic waste disposal, aqueous waste treating, incinerator and flare systems
Intratec | Technology Economics Methodology
In addition, no matter how much time and effort are devoted to accurately estimating costs, errors may occur due to the aforementioned factors, as well as cost and labor changes, construction problems, weather-related issues, strikes, or other unforeseen situations. This is partially considered in the project contingency. Finally, it must always be remembered that an estimated project cost is not an exact number, but rather is a projection of the probable cost.
41
Working Capital For the purposes of this study,2 working capital is defined as the funds, in addition to the fixed investment, that a company must contribute to a project. Those funds must be adequate to get the plant in operation and to meet subsequent obligations. The initial amount of working capital is regarded as an investment item. This study uses the following items/assumptions for working capital estimation: Accounts receivable. Products and by-products shipped but not paid by the customer; it represents the extended credit given to customers (estimated as a certain period – in days – of manufacturing expenses plus depreciation). Accounts payable. A credit for accounts payable such as feedstock, catalysts, chemicals, and packaging materials received but not paid to suppliers (estimated as a certain period – in days – of manufacturing expenses).
Cash on hand. An adequate amount of cash on hand to give plant management the necessary flexibility to cover unexpected expenses (estimated as a certain period – in days – of manufacturing expenses).
Start-up Expenses When a process is brought on stream, there are certain onetime expenses related to this activity. From a time standpoint, a variable undefined period exists between the nominal end of construction and the production of quality product in the quantity required. This period is commonly referred to as start-up. During the start-up period expenses are incurred for operator and maintenance employee training, temporary construction, auxiliary services, testing and adjustment of equipment, piping, and instruments, etc. Our method of estimating start-up expenses consists of four components:
Intratec | Technology Economics Methodology
Product inventory. Products and by-products (if applicable) in storage tanks. The total amount depends on sales flow for each plant, which is directly related to plant conditions of integration to the manufacturing of product‘s derivatives (estimated as a certain period – in days – of manufacturing expenses plus depreciation, defined by plant integration circumstances).
42
Labor component. Represents costs of plant crew training for plant start-up, estimated as a certain number of days of total plant labor costs (operators, supervisors, maintenance personnel and laboratory labor). Commercialization cost. Depends on raw materials and products negotiation, on how integrated the plant is with feedstock suppliers and consumer facilities, and on the maturity of the technology. It ranges from 0.5% to 5% of annual manufacturing expenses.
Raw material inventory. Raw materials in storage tanks. The total amount depends on raw material availability, which is directly related to plant conditions of integration to raw material manufacturing (estimated as a certain period – in days – of raw material delivered costs, defined by plant integration circumstances).
Start-up inefficiency. Takes into account those operating runs when production cannot be maintained or there are false starts. The start-up inefficiency varies according to the process maturity: 5% for new and unproven processes, 2% for new and proven processes, and 1% for existing licensed processes, based on annual manufacturing expenses.
In-process inventory. Material contained in pipelines and vessels, except for the material inside the storage tanks (assumed to be 1 day of manufacturing expenses).
Unscheduled plant modifications. A key fault that can happen during the start-up of the plant is the risk that the product(s) may not meet specifications required by the market. As a result, equipment modifications or additions may be required.
Supplies and stores. Parts inventory and minor spare equipment (estimated as a percentage of total maintenance materials costs for both ISBL and OSBL).
2
The accounting definition of working capital (total current assets minus total current liabilities) is applied when considering the entire company.
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Other Capital Expenses
Uncertainty in process parameters, such as severity of operating conditions and quantity of recycles
Prepaid Royalties. Royalty charges on portions of the plant are usually levied for proprietary processes. A value ranging from 0.5 to 1% of the total fixed investment (TFI) is generally used. Site Development. Land acquisition and site preparation, including roads and walkways, parking, railroad sidings, lighting, fencing, sanitary and storm sewers, and communications.
Manufacturing Costs Manufacturing costs do not include post-plant costs, which are very company specific. These consist of sales, general and administrative expenses, packaging, research and development costs, and shipping, etc.
Addition and integration of new process steps Estimation of costs through scaling factors Off-the-shelf equipment Hence, process contingency is also a function of the maturity of the technology, and is usually a value between 5% and 25% of the direct costs. The project contingency is largely dependent on the plant complexity and reflects how far the conducted estimation is from the definitive project, which includes, from the engineering point of view, site data, drawings and sketches, suppliers’ quotations and other specifications. In addition, during construction some constraints are verified, such as:
Operating labor and maintenance requirements have been estimated subjectively on the basis of the number of major equipment items and similar processes, as noted in the literature. Plant overhead includes all other non-maintenance (labor and materials) and non-operating site labor costs for services associated with the manufacture of the product. Such overheads do not include costs to develop or market the product. G & A expenses represent general and administrative costs incurred during production such as: administrative salaries/expenses, research & development, product distribution and sales costs.
Project errors or incomplete specifications Strike, labor costs changes and problems caused by weather
Table 27 – Project Contingency Plant Complexity
Complex
Typical
Simple
Project Contingency
25%
20%
15%
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
Intratec’s definitions in relation to complexity and maturity are the following:
Contingency constitutes an addition to capital cost estimations, implemented based on previously available data or experience to encompass uncertainties that may incur, to some degree, cost increases. According to recommended practice, two kinds of contingencies are assumed and applied to TPC: process contingency and project contingency. Process contingency is utilized in an effort to lessen the impact of absent technical information or the uncertainty of that which is obtained. In that manner, the reliability of the information gathered, its amount and the inherent complexity of the process are decisive for its evaluation. Errors that occur may be related to:
Table 28 – Criteria Description
Simple
Complexity
Typical
Somewhat simple, widely known processes Regular process Several unit operations, extreme
Complex
temperature or pressure, more instrumentation
New & Maturity
Proven Licensed
From 1 to 2 commercial plants 3 or more commercial plants
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
FREE SAMPLE
Intratec | Technology Economics Methodology
Contingencies
43
Accuracy of Economic Estimates The accuracy of estimates gives the realized range of plant cost. The reliability of the technical information available is of major importance.
Table 29 – Accuracy of Economic Estimates
Reliability
Accuracy
Very
Low
Moderate
High
+ 30%
+ 22%
+ 18%
+ 10%
- 20%
- 18%
- 14%
- 10%
High
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
The non-uniform spread of accuracy ranges (+50 to – 30 %, rather than ±40%, e.g.) is justified by the fact that the unavailability of complete technical information usually results in under estimating rather than over estimating project costs.
Location Factor Economic regional comparisons eventually presented in Technology Economics studies are based on location factors. A location factor is an instantaneous, total cost factor used for converting a base project cost from one geographic location to another.
A properly estimated location factor is a powerful tool, both for comparing available investment data and evaluating which region may provide greater economic attractiveness for a new industrial venture. Considering this, Intratec has developed a well-structured methodology for calculating Location Factors, and the results are presented for specific regions’ capital costs comparison. Intratec’s Location Factor takes into consideration the differences in productivity, labor costs, local steel prices, equipment imports needs, freight, taxes and duties on imported and domestic materials, regional business environments and local availability of sparing equipment. For such analyses, all data were taken from international statistical organizations and from Intratec’s database. Calculations are performed in a comparative manner, taking a US Gulf Coast-based plant as the reference location. The final Location Factor is determined by four major indexes: Business Environment, Infrastructure, Labor, and Material. The Business Environment Factor and the Infrastructure Factor measure the ease of new plant installation in different countries, taking into consideration the readiness of bureaucratic procedures and the availability and quality of ports or roads.
Figure 16 – Location Factor Composition
Intratec | Technology Economics Methodology
Location Factor
44
Material Index Domestic Material Index Relative Steel Prices Labor Index Taxes and Freight Rates Spares Imported Material Taxes and Freight Rates Spares
Labor Index Local Labor Index Relative Salary Productivity Expats Labor
Infrastructure Factor Ports, Roads, Airports and Rails (Availability and Quality) Communication Technologies Warehouse Infrastructure Border Clearance Local Incentives
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
FREE SAMPLE
Business Environment Factor Readiness of Bureaucratic Procedures Legal Protection of Investors Taxes
Labor and material, in turn, are the fundamental components for the construction of a plant and, for this reason, are intrinsically related to the plant costs. This concept is the basis for the methodology, which aims to represent the local discrepancies in labor and material. Productivity of workers and their hourly compensation are important for the project but, also, the qualification of workers is significant to estimating the need for foreign labor. On the other hand, local steel prices are similarly important, since they are largely representative of the costs of structures, piping, equipment, etc. Considering the contribution of labor in these components, workers’ qualifications are also indicative of the amount that needs to be imported. For both domestic and imported materials, a Spare Factor is considered, aiming to represent the need for spare rotors, seals and parts of rotating equipment. The sum of the corrected TFI distribution reflects the relative cost of the plant, this sum is multiplied by the Infrastructure and the Business Environment Factors, yielding the Location Factor. For the purpose of illustrating the conducted methodology, a block flow diagram is presented in Figure 16 in which the four major indexes are presented, along with some of their components.
Intratec | Technology Economics Methodology
.
FREE SAMPLE
45
Appendix A. Mass Balance & Streams Properties Table 30 – Detailed Material Balance Stream Properties
Phase
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
G
G
G
Temperature (°C)
-29
-28
30
50
52
25
25
260
304
304
Pressure (bar abs)
22
30
6.0
6.0
30
30
30
30
30
30
Mass Flow (kg/h)
12,940
12,940
38,950
114,750
114,750
161,520
161,520
161,520
161,520
161,520
Ethylene (wt%)
99.9
99.9
28.9
28.9
28.9
28.9
21.0
Ethane (wt%)
0.1
0.1
traces
traces
traces
traces
traces
Propene (wt%)
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.3
24.9
80.0
38.3
38.3
27.2
27.2
27.2
27.2
9.0
Butane (wt%)
20.0
56.4
56.4
40.1
40.1
40.1
40.1
40.1
4.9
4.9
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
5.0
Molar Flow (kmol/h)
461
461
689
1,988
1,988
3,654
3,654
3,654
3,654
3,654
MW
28.1
28.1
56.5
57.7
57.7
44.2
44.2
44.2
44.2
44.2
438.9
439.6
588.3
555.1
557.9
510.9
510.9
32.2
29.1
29.2
335
335
-233
-392
-391
-180
-180
13
41
41
29
29
66
207
206
316
316
5,015
5,546
5,538
0.11
0.11
0.09
0.09
0.09
0.09
0.09
0.05
0.05
0.05
3.5
3.4
2.4
2.6
2.5
2.7
2.7
2.6
2.7
2.7
0.06
0.06
0.14
0.12
0.12
0.10
0.10
0.02
0.02
0.02
4.2
4.1
12.3
9.7
9.4
6.9
6.9
0.0
0.0
0.0
11,280
11,280
10,820
10,870
10,870
10,990
10,990
10,990
10,990
10,990
Mass Density (kg/m3) Mass Enthalpy (kcal/kg) Volume Flow (m3/h) Thermal Conductivity (W/m K) Mass Heat Capacity Intratec | Appendix A. Mass Balance & Streams Properties
0.4
Butenes (wt%)
C5+ (wt%)
46
0.4
(kJ/kg °C) Viscosity (cP) Surface Tension (dyne/cm) LHV (kcal/kg)
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
FREE SAMPLE
Table 31 – Detailed Material Balance Stream Properties
Phase
L/G
L/G
L
L
L
L
L
L
G
L
Temperature (°C)
53
45
89
39
-25
-24
107
60
-25
113
Pressure (bar abs)
30
30
22
16
22
30
17
17
22
17
Mass Flow (kg/h)
161,490
161,490
127,560
40,000
33,820
33,820
75,800
75,800
120
11,760
Ethylene (wt%)
21.0
21.0
traces
0.1
100.0
100.0
100.0
Ethane (wt%)
traces
traces
traces
traces
traces
traces
traces
Propene (wt%)
24.9
24.9
31.5
99.5
traces
traces
Butenes (wt%)
9.0
9.0
11.4
Butane (wt%)
39.9
39.9
C5+ (wt%)
5.1
Molar Flow (kmol/h)
0.5
0.5
0.1
0.1
16.9
16.9
14.1
50.6
0.3
75.1
75.1
63.5
5.1
6.5
traces
7.4
7.4
22.4
3,654
3,654
2,444
950
1,205
1,205
1,298
1,298
4
196
MW
44.2
44.2
52.2
42.1
28.1
28.1
58.4
58.4
28.1
60.1
Mass Density (kg/m3)
210.1
332.6
458.7
482.4
428.6
429.4
462.6
541.1
42.6
468.5
Mass Enthalpy (kcal/kg)
-152
-163
-285
35
339
340
-441
-474
413
-393
Volume Flow (m3/h)
769
486
278
83
79
79
164
140
3
25
Thermal Conductivity (W/m K)
0.00
0.00
0.07
0.10
0.11
0.10
0.00
0.08
0.02
0.06
Mass Heat Capacity (kJ/kg °C)
2.9
2.9
3.4
3.0
3.7
3.6
3.4
2.6
2.2
3.4
Viscosity (cP)
0.00
0.00
0.07
0.06
0.06
0.06
0.00
0.12
0.01
0.07
Surface Tension (dyne/cm)
5.3
5.6
3.4
5.1
3.7
3.5
3.7
8.5
0.0
3.8
LHV (kcal/kg)
10,990
10,990
10,910
10,950
11,280
11,280
10,900
10,900
11,280
10,870
Intratec | Appendix A. Mass Balance & Streams Properties
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
FREE SAMPLE
47
Appendix B. Utilities Consumption Breakdown Table 32 – Utilities Consumption Breakdown
Cooling Water
Deethylenizer Feed Cooler
144
m3/h
Cooling Water
C4+ Purge Cooler
47
m3/h
Cooling Water
Butenes Recycle Cooler
193
m3/h
Cooling Water
Depropylenizer Condenser
773
m3/h
Cooling Water
Refrigeration System
1576
m3/h
LP Steam
Deethylenizer Reboiler
21
ton/h
LP Steam
Depropylenizer Reboiler
20
ton/h
Inert Gas
Catalyst Regeneration
1283
Nm3/h
Intratec | Appendix B. Utilities Consumption Breakdown
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
48
FREE SAMPLE
Appendix C. Process Carbon Footprint The process’ carbon footprint can be defined as the total amount of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions caused by the process operation.
The assumptions for carbon footprint calculation and the results are provided in
Although it is difficult to precisely account for the total emissions generated by a process, it is possible to estimate the major emissions, which can be divided into:
Table 34 – CO2e Emissions (ton/ton prod.)
Direct emissions. Emissions caused by process waste streams combusted in flares.
Stream #24
0.009
Indirect emissions. The ones caused by utilities generation or consumption, such as the emissions due to using fuel in furnaces for heating process streams. Fuel used in steam boilers, electricity generation, and any other emissions in activities to support process operation are also considered indirect emissions.
Electricity Generation
0.163
Steam Generation
0.114
Heat Generation
0.031
In order to estimate the direct emissions, it is necessary to know the composition of the streams, as well as the oxidation factor. Estimation of indirect emissions requires specific data, which depends on the plant location, such as the local electric power generation profile, and on the plant resources, such as the type of fuel used.
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
Equivalent carbon dioxide (CO2e) is a measure that describes the amount of CO2 that would have the same global warming potential of a given greenhouse gas, when measured over a specified timescale. All values and assumptions used in calculations are based on data provided by the Environment Protection Agency (EPA) Climate Leaders Program.
Oxidation factor
100%
Waste streams
Stream #24
Electric power profile
Texas
Fuel used in steam boiler
Natural Gas
Steam boiler efficiency
85%
Fuel used in furnaces
Natural Gas
Furnaces efficiency
85%
Intratec | Appendix C. Process Carbon Footprint
Table 33 – Assumptions for CO2e Emissions Calculation
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
FREE SAMPLE
49
Appendix D. Equipment Detailed List & Sizing Table 35 – Reactors
Description
Metathesis Reactor
Design gauge pressure (barg)
1.0
Design temperature (deg C)
340
Liquid volume (m3)
68
Shell material
SS
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
Table 36 – Heat Exchangers
Description
Reactor Feed
Regeneration
Heater
Gas Heater
Design gauge pressure (barg)
32.4
32.4
Design temperature (deg C)
334
334
Duty (MW)
6
6
Heat transfer area (m2) Item type
Furnace
Furnace
Material
Cr-Mo
Cr-Mo
Shell design gauge pressure
Intratec | Appendix D. Equipment Detailed List & Sizing
(barg)
50
Shell design temperature (deg C) Shell material Tube design gauge pressure (barg) Tube design temperature (deg C) Tube material
Depropylenizer
Deethylenizer
C4+ Purge
Condenser
Feed Cooler
Cooler
2175
1978
158
36
Shell & Tube
Shell & Tube
Shell & Tube
Shell & Tube
32.4
16.7
32.4
25.4
334
125
125
144
CS
CS
CS
CS
32.4
10.8
21.3
16.6
334
125
125
144
CS
CS
CS
CS
Feed Vaporizer
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
FREE SAMPLE
Table 36 – Heat Exchangers (Cont.)
Butenes Recycle
Deethylenizer
Deethylenizer
Depropylenizer
Cooler
Condenser
Reboiler
Reboiler
Heat transfer area (m2)
79
1245
195
270
Item type
Shell & Tube
Shell & Tube
Shell & Tube
Shell & Tube
Shell design gauge pressure (barg)
17.6
24.4
24.4
17.7
Shell design temperature (deg C)
137
-55
125
143
Shell material
CS
CS
CS
CS
Tube design gauge pressure (barg)
11.4
16.0
16.0
11.5
Tube design temperature (deg C)
137
-55
194
194
Tube material
CS
CS
CS
CS
Description Design gauge pressure (barg) Design temperature (deg C) Duty (MW)
Material
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
Ethylene
Raffinate-2
C4 Tank
Deethylen.
Depropylen.
Propylene
Feed Pumps
Feed Pumps
Pumps
Reflux Pumps
Reflux Pumps
Pumps
Casing material
CS
CS
CS
CS
CS
CS
Design gauge pressure (barg)
32.4
6.7
32.4
24.4
16.7
25.4
Design temperature (deg C)
18
125
125
18
125
125
Liquid flow rate (m3/h)
32
73
227
313
307
91
Description
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
FREE SAMPLE
Intratec | Appendix D. Equipment Detailed List & Sizing
Table 37 – Pumps
51
Table 37 – Pumps (Cont.)
Description
Ethylene Recycle Pumps
C4+ Pumps
Casing material
CS
CS
Design gauge pressure (barg)
32.4
25.4
Design temperature (deg C)
18
144
Liquid flow rate (m3/h)
87
28
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
Table 38 – Columns
Description
Deethylenizer Column
Depropylenizer Column
Design gauge pressure (barg)
24.4
17.7
Design temperature (deg C)
125
140
Number of trays
60
65
Shell material
CS
CS
Tray material
CS
CS
Tray spacing (mm)
610
610
Vessel diameter (m)
2.7
2.6
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
Intratec | Appendix D. Equipment Detailed List & Sizing
Table 39 – Utilities Supply
52
Description
Cooling Tower
Refrigerator
Boiler flow rate (kg/h)
Steam boiler
Water Demineralizer
47200
Material
CS
Water flow rate (m3/h)
3384
CS
CS
CS 6
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
FREE SAMPLE
Table 40 – Vessels & Tanks Specifications
Description
Reactor Feed Treaters
Deethylenize r Accumulator
Depropylen.
Ethylene ISBL
Ethylene
Raffinate
Accumulator
Storage
Storage
Storage
Design gauge pressure (barg)
32.4
24.4
16.7
25.5
25.5
6.7
Design temperature (deg C)
125
18
125
-30
-30
125
Liquid volume (m3)
35.6
30.0
30.0
370
5000
11200
Shell material
CS
CS
CS
CS
CS
CS
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
Table 40 – Vessels & Tanks Specifications (Cont.)
Propylene
Demin. Water
Clarified
Product ISBL
C4+ Purge
Fresh/Recycle
Storage
Tank
Water Tank
Storage
Storage
C4 Tank
Design gauge pressure (barg)
26.5
0.004
0.004
26.5
3.5
17.6
Design temperature (deg C)
120
20
20
125
120
125
Liquid volume (m3)
13900
3
1700
1050
260
835
Shell material
CS
CS
CS
CS
CS
CS
Description
Intratec | Appendix D. Equipment Detailed List & Sizing
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
FREE SAMPLE
53
Appendix E. Detailed Capital Expenses Direct Costs Breakdown Figure 17 – ISBL Direct Costs Breakdown by Equipment Type for Base Case
Vessels & Tanks
Columns
Heat Exchangers
Pumps, Compressors & Turbines
Reactors
Furnaces
10%
35%
14%
10%
13%
18%
ISBL Total Direct Cost: USD 21.2 Million
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
Figure 18 – OSBL Direct Costs Breakdown by Equipment Type for Base Case
Vessels & Tanks
Steam Boiler
Refrigeration Units
Intratec | Appendix E. Detailed Capital Expenses
9.28% 1.11%
54
Cooling Tower
Water Treatment
Buildings
0.04% 1.42% 0.41%
87.76% OSBL Total Direct Cost: USD 94.5 Million Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
FREE SAMPLE
Indirect Costs Breakdown
Home Office Const Suppt
352
Field Const Supv
1,533
Start-up, Commissioning
129
Fringe Benefits
1,209
Burdens
1,381
Consumables, Small Tools
173
Misc (Insurance, Etc)
435
Scaffolding
173
Equipment Rental
1,308
Field Services
439
Temp Const, Utilities
96
Other Freight
4,398
Materials Taxes
6,871
Basic Engineering
1,393
Detail Engineering
3,366
Material Procurement
731
G and A Overheads
4,015
Contract Fee
3,617
FREE SAMPLE
Intratec | Appendix E. Detailed Capital Expenses
Table 41 – Indirect Costs Breakdown for the Base Case (USD Thousands)
55
Appendix F. Economic Assumptions Capital Expenditures
Working Capital
For a better description of working capital and other capital expenses components, as well as the location factors methodology, see the chapter “Technology Economics Methodology.”
Table 43 – Working Capital Assumptions for Base Case Raw Materials
Construction Location Factors
Inventory Products Inventory
Table 42 – Detailed Construction Location Factor
In-process Inventory Supplies and
Labor Index
Stores
Local Labor Index
1.00
1.34
Cash on Hand
% of Local Labor
100%
100%
Accounts
Expats Labor Index
1.35
1.35
Receivable
% of Expats
0%
0%
Accounts Payable
Material Index Domestic Material Index
1.00
1.30
% of Domestic Material
100%
90%
Imported Material Index
1.00
1.13
% of Imported Material
0%
10%
Spare Factor
1.00
1.02
Intratec | Appendix F. Economic Assumptions
Material & Labor Weights
56
Labor
30%
Material
70%
Infrastructure Factor
1.00
1
Business Environment Factor
1.00
1
0.5
20
1
5% 15 30
30
days of raw materials cost days of raw materials cost + depreciation day of total oper. cost of total oper. labor and maint. cost days of total oper. cost days of total oper. cost + depreciation days of total oper. cost
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
Other Capital Expenses
Table 44 – Other Capital Expenses Assumptions for Base Case
Operator Training
150
Commercialization Costs
1%
Start-up Inefficiencies
1%
Material/Labor Distribution in TFI Labor
30%
30%
Material
70%
70%
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
Unscheduled Plant
days of all labor costs of annual oper. costs of annual oper. costs
2%
of TFI
Prepaid Royalties
1%
of TFI
Land & Site Development
3%
of TFI
Modifications
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
FREE SAMPLE
Operational Expenditures Fixed Costs Fixed costs are estimated based on the specific characteristics of the process. The fixed costs, like operating charges and plant overhead, are typically calculated as a percentage of the industrial labor costs, and G & A expenses are added as a percentage of the operating costs.
Table 45 – Other Fixed Cost Assumptions
The goal of depreciation is to allow a credit against manufacturing costs, and hence taxes, for the nonrecoverable capital expenses of an investment. The depreciable portion of capital expense is the total fixed investment. Table 46 shows the project depreciation value and the assumptions used in its calculation.
Table 46 – Depreciation Value & Assumptions
Operating Charges (% of Operating Labor Costs)
25%
Depreciation Method
Straight Line
Plant Overhead (% of Oper. Labor and Maint. Costs)
50%
Economic Life of Project
10 years
G and A Expenses (% of Subtotal Operating Costs)
2%
Depreciation Annual Value
10% of TFI
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
Depreciation
EBITDA Margins Comparison
Depreciation, while not a true manufacturing cost, is considered to be a manufacturing cost for tax purposes.
Figure 19 presents a 5-year analysis, comparing EBITDA margins estimates for the regional scenarios presented in this study.
Figure 19 – Historical EBITDA Margins Regional Comparison
US Gulf
25%
Germany
20%
10%
5%
0% Q4-06
Q2-07
Q4-07
Q2-08
Q4-08
Q2-09
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
FREE SAMPLE
Q4-09
Q2-10
Q4-10
Q2-11
Intratec | Appendix F. Economic Assumptions
15%
57
Appendix G. Released Publications The list below is intended to be an easy and quick way to identify Intratec reports of interest. For a more complete and up-to-date list, please visit the Publications section on our website, www.intratec.us.
IMPROVEMENT ECONOMICS
TECHNOLOGY ECONOMICS Propylene Production via Metathesis: Propylene production via metathesis from ethylene and butenes, in a process similar to Lummus OCT. Propylene Production via Propane Dehydrogenation: Propane dehydrogenation (PDH) process conducted in moving bed reactors, in a process similar to UOP OLEFLEX™. Propylene Production from Methanol: Propylene production from methanol, in a process is similar to Lurgi MTP®. Polypropylene Production via Gas Phase Process: A gas phase type process similar to the Dow UNIPOL™ PP process to produce both polypropylene homopolymer and random copolymer. Polypropylene Production via Gas Phase Process, Part 2: A gas phase type process similar to Lummus NOVOLEN® for production of both homopolymer and random copolymer.
Intratec | Appendix G. Released Publications
Sodium Hypochlorite Chemical Production: Sodium hypochlorite (bleach) production, in a widely used industrial process, similar to that employed by Solvay Chemicals, for example.
58
Propylene Production via Propane Dehydrogenation, Part 2: Propane dehydrogenation (PDH) in fixed bed reactors, in a process is similar to Lummus CATOFIN®. Propylene Production via Propane Dehydrogenation, Part 3: Propane dehydrogenation (PDH) by applying oxydehydrogenation, in a process similar to the STAR PROCESS® licensed by Uhde.
FREE SAMPLE
Membranes on Polypropylene Plants Vent Recovery: The Report evaluates membrane units for the separation of monomer and nitrogen in PP plants, similar to the VaporSep® system commercialized by MTR. Use of Propylene Splitter to Improve Polypropylene Business: The report assesses the opportunity of purchasing the less valued RG propylene to produce the PG propylene raw material used in a PP plant.
Appendix H. Request Submitted to Intratec A major player in the chemical arena made the request for this publication at www.intratec.us (section “Ask for a New Publication�). Please find below the request submitted to Intratec. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Subject of the Publication Please describe the technology to be approached in the assessment: Point to a URL of reference
Main Product(s):
Propylene
Feedstock:
Ethylene and Butene
Upload files
Describe the technology by yourself
Technology Brief Description (Provide any additional information you might have about the process you want to asses, like: Chemical Route, Process Technology, Technology Licensor, etc.):
The raw materials are converted to propylene through a metathesis reaction.
Remarks and Comments
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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Intratec | Appendix H. Request Submitted to Intratec
Please provide any other information that may be relevant for the project description:
59
About Intratec Intratec is an independent research and leading advisory firm for the Chemical and Allied Industries, composed by a mix of consulting professionals, market researchers and skilled engineers with extensive industry experience. Established in 2002, Intratec has already provided more than 200 reliable, in-depth evaluations of process technologies for the Oil & Gas, Petrochemical, Chemical, Renewable and Energy industries. From this expertise, Intratec developed a consistent work methodology, continuously tested and proven by our clients.