Miami Report Q3-2024 Update

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April - 2009

Miami is also marked by a huge number of properties available for sale: 13,200 homes and 21,600 condos, per Rick Burch, chair of the Realtor Association of Greater Miami and the Beaches. That’s a 2.5-year supply of houses and a 10-year supply of condos.

Actual: 11,502 Condos Available Sold Out in 24 Months

September 2024

Experts Warn Florida’s Condo Market Could

Teeter to Collapse Amid Soaring Costs and New Safety Rules.

Experts are predicting that the skyrocketing costs of condo ownership — driven by massive increases in homeowner association (HOA) fees and a slew of new safety regulations — are poised to spark a fire sale that could send shockwaves through Florida.

Headlines

October 2024

The Great Florida Migration Is Coming Undone.

A surplus of housing inventory and dwindling buyer interest are slowing sales and keeping homes on the market longer. Hurricanes and extreme weather are making it worse.

Total Residential Transactions in Miami-Dade, Broward & Palm Beach Counties Q3 Comparison 2022-2024

22,611 20,713

23,425

Q3-2024

MORE TRANSACTIONS THAN Q3-2022 & Q3-2023 Source:

MLS RESALE SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

Miami-Dade
Broward
Palm Beach

Total Active Single Family Homes in Miami-Dade,

Broward and Palm Beach Counties

Total Active Listings

9,344

8,551

13,793

Single Family Homes Active Listings

HOUSES”

130 Listings $27M Avg. List Price

HOUSES”

Breakdown

2,144 Listings $10.3M Avg. List Price 11,699 Listings

HOUSES”

Single Family Homes Price Appreciation in Miami-Dade, Broward & Palm Beach Counties

$634,000 6% $915,000 $1,022,000 $1,221,000 $1,311,000

9,971

SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

Miami-Dade Broward Palm Beach

9,614

9,020

Q3 2022 Q3 2023 Q3 2024

Single Family Homes vs. Condos Transactions

Q3 2022-2024

MLS RESALE CONDOS

Miami-Dade Broward Palm Beach

NEW MANDATORY RESERVE REQUIREMENTS FOR FLORIDA CONDOMINIUMS

MILESTONES INSPECTIONS WILL BE REQUIRED BY THE COUNTY

(Structural Integrity Inspections Conducted by a Licensed Architect or Engineer of a Building Including Load-bearing Walls, Primary Structural Members, and Systems)

After the milestone inspection date, all condominiums will be required to have the same inspection performed at least once every 10 years (Similar to the previous 40 / 50-year recertification requirement in Miami-Dade).

The proposed annual budget must include the most recent Structural Integrity Reserve Study as prepared by inspector.

Effective December 31, 2024, Condo Associations can no longer waive reserves.

Total

Active Condo Listings in Miami-Dade, Broward & Palm Beach Counties

Pre-Covid Avg.

Total Active Listing: 22,000

Total Condo Listings

Source: MLS

Total Active Condo Listings in Miami-Dade, Broward & Palm Beach Counties

Total Condo Listings

Breakdown by County

Miami-Dade = 526

Broward = 71

Palm Beach = 83

Breakdown by County

Miami-Dade = 1,391

Broward = 522

Palm Beach = 446

17,041

Breakdown by County

Miami-Dade = 7,856

Broward = 4,774

Palm Beach = 4,411

85% Of all Active Listings are Over 30 Years Old

2, 359

Broward & Palm Beach Counties for Condos Less than 10 Years Old

Breakdown by County

Miami-Dade = 526

Broward = 71

Palm Beach = 83

1,444

Total Listings Added Since Q1 - 2024

1,712

Total Sold Since Q1 -2024

315

Avg. Sales P/M Since Q1-2024

3-6 Months

Estimated Months of Inventory Q1 2024 Q3 2024

Source: MLS

Price Appreciation in Miami-Dade, Broward & Palm Beach Counties for Condos Less than 10 Years Old

$1,620,000

$1,680,000 $1,700,000

$1,840,000 $1,992,000 9%

Listings in Miami-Dade, Broward & Palm Beach Counties for Condos Between 10-30 Years Old

Breakdown by County

Miami-Dade = 1,391

Broward = 522

Palm Beach = 446

2,359

2,113

4,683

Total Listings Added Since Q1 - 2024

10,064

Total Sold Since Q1 -2024

893

Avg. Sales P/M Since Q1-2024

2-4 Months

Estimated Months of Inventory Q1 2024

Source: MLS

Price Appreciation in Miami-Dade, Broward & Palm Beach Counties for Condos Between 10-30 Years Old

$889,000

$977,000 $1,061,000 $1,155,000 $1,255,000 9%

& Palm Beach Counties for Condos 30+ Years Old

15,759

Breakdown by County

Miami-Dade = 7,856

Broward = 4,774

Palm Beach = 4,411

17,041

3,911

Total Listings Added Since Q1 - 2024

2,629

Total Sold Since Q1 -2024

526

Avg. Sales P/M Since Q1-2024

24+ Months

Estimated Months of Inventory

Source: MLS

Price Appreciation in Miami-Dade, Broward & Palm Beach Counties for Condos 30+ Years Old

$370,000 $337,000 $325,000 $277,000 $218,000 -21%

Decrease since 2023

Total Active Condo Listings in Miami-Dade, Broward & Palm Beach Counties

Total Condo Listings

Breakdown by County

Miami-Dade = 526

Broward = 71

Palm Beach = 83

Breakdown by County

Miami-Dade = 1,391

Broward = 522

Palm Beach = 446

17,041

Breakdown by County

Miami-Dade = 7,856

Broward = 4,774

Palm Beach = 4,411

85% Of all Active Listings are Over 30 Years Old

2, 359

2024 Transactions by Price Range

Miami-Dade Broward Palm Beach

Total Available for Sale between $500K - $1.5M

New Condos Built Since 2012 East of I-95

87 Listings

Miami-Dade 87 Listings

Broward 0 Listings

Palm Beach 0 Listings

Condos between $500,000 - $1.5M

Condos above $1.5M 88% 12%

NEW CONSTRUCTION

Miami-Dade

Broward Palm Beach

SOUTH FLORIDA PRE-CONSTRUCTION DEVELOPMENTS

As of October 2024

20 YEAR CONDO DELIVERY ANALYSIS FOR TRADITIONAL CONDOS Under Construction

19,465 11,322

No. Units

Condo Developments

DEMAND

Florida’s 10 Year Daily Population Growth

963

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

US CORPORATE MIGRATION CONTINUES

Over 204 US Companies Have Committed to Miami as of Q2-2024

September 2023

The numbers tell the story. For the first time, six fast-growing states in the South-Florida, Texas, Georgia, the Carolinas and Tennessee are contributing more to the national GDP than the Northeast, with its Washington-New YorkBoston corridor, in government figures going back to the 1990s.

The switch happened during the pandemic and shows no signs of reverting.

UNITED STATES HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVE

Florida’s population numbers have resulted in the appointment of 28 members in the United States House of Representatives and 30 electoral votes for the state; a strongly influential combination during Presidential elections. Florida’s growing population leads to an increasing presence in the nation’s politics.

2024 PRICING FORECAST

BARBARA CORCORAN

“The minute those interest rates come down, all hell’s going to break loose and the prices are going to go through the roof.”

“Right now sellers are staying put, but they’re not going to stay put if interest rates go down by two points.”

March 2024

30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate November 6-7th 2024

JEROME POWELL

“Time has come” for Fed to cut Interest Rates.

U.S Feds Meeting

September 2024

Experts Warn Florida’s Condo Market Could

Teeter to Collapse Amid Soaring Costs and New Safety Rules.

Experts are predicting that the skyrocketing costs of condo ownership — driven by massive increases in homeowner association (HOA) fees and a slew of new safety regulations — are poised to spark a fire sale that could send shockwaves through Florida.

Headlines

October 2024

The Great Florida Migration Is Coming Undone

A surplus of housing inventory and dwindling buyer interest are slowing sales and keeping homes on the market longer. Hurricanes and extreme weather are making it worse.

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