Miami Report | 2021 Q4 Update

Page 1

JAN 2022

2021 Q4 UPDATE


South Florida Housing Market Sets New Real Estate Records


Single Family Homes


SINGLE FAMILY HOMES Total Active Listings Analysis in Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach Counties TOTAL ACTIVE LISTINGS

20,000

15,000

16,248 NEW ALL TIME RECORD LOW

10,000

9,495

5,745 PREVIOUS RECORD LOW (MAY 2021) 5,000

SOURCE: MLS

5,301

0

Q4-2019

Q4-2020

Q4-2021


SINGLE FAMILY HOMES Price Appreciation in Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach Counties

1,000,000

$915,314 900,000

800,000

$693,420

700,000

$550,333

600,000

500,000

SINGLE FAMILY HOME PRICES HAVE MORE THAN DOUBLED IN THE LAST 3 YEARS IN SOUTH FLORIDA

$447,425

400,000

300,000

SOURCE: MLS

200,000

100,000

0

2018

2019

2020

2021


THE KNIGHT FRANK REPORT Ranked Miami the #1 City in the World for Single Family Home Price Increases in 2021

RANKING

% PRICE INCREASE

1. MIAMI, FL

26.4%

2. SEOUL, KOREA

22.6%

3. SHANGHAI, CHINA

20.5%

SOURCE: THE KNIGHT FRANK PRIME GLOBAL INDEX 2021 RELATEDISGREALTY.COM


"U.S. Housing Market is Nearly 4 Million Houses Short of Buyer Demand, According to New Analysis by Freddie Mac." APRIL 2021


"Countries all over the world are facing a housing crisis, with a massive shortage of houses for expanding populations, according to the United Nations" MAY 2021


MLS Condos


CONDOS Total Active Listings Analysis in

Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach Counties TOTAL ACTIVE LISTINGS

30,000

28,774 25,000

NEW ALL TIME RECORD LOW

20,000

19,998

15,000

12,382 PREVIOUS RECORD LOW (JUNE 2021) 10,000

9,342

SOURCE: MLS

5,000

0

Q4-2019

Q4-2020

Q4-2021


CONDO Price Appreciation in

Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach Counties

1,000,000

900,000

800,000

700,000

600,000

$516,768

$508,883

2018

2019

$522,414

CONDO PRICES HAVE STAYED FLAT IN THE LAST 3 YEARS

$546,617

500,000

400,000

300,000

SOURCE: MLS

200,000

100,000

0

2020

2021


2021

>

2020 & 2019

Total New Transactions Single Family Homes and Condos Miami-Dade, Broward & Palm Beach Counties


TOTAL NEW TRANSACTIONS January - December 2019 - 2021 for

Single Family Homes and Condos in Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach Counties TOTAL NEW TRANSACTIONS

JAN - DEC

80,445

2019

JAN - DEC

81,023

2020

19,465

100,195

JAN - DEC

2021

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

JAN - DEC 2021 MOST TRANSACTIONS IN A SINGLE YEAR, EVER!


COCONUT GROVE TO EAST FORT LAUDERDALE TOTAL CONDOS DELIVERED BY YEAR

9 DEVELOPMENTS

9 8 7

6 DEVELOPMENTS

5 DEVELOPMENTS

6 5 4

2

3

1

2

SOURCE: MIAMI-DADE & BROWARD COUNTY TAX RECORDS AND DEVELOPER ON-SITE SALES OFFICE

Macro Future Deliveries for Traditional Condos Released Since 2012

1

DEVELOPMENTS

DEVELOPMENT

DEVELOPMENT

1

8 CONDOS RELEASED 2012-2020 16 CONDOS RELEASED 2021+

*2023

*2024

*2025

*2026

*2027+ *PROJECTED

2022


3 BAY HARBOR ISLANDS

TRADITIONAL CONDOS (NO SHORT TERM RENTALS)

2 MIAMI BEACH / SOUTH BEACH

1 2

2 BRICKELL

DOWNTOWN MIAMI

1 COCONUT GROVE

SUNNY ISLES BEACH

1 BISCAYNE CORRIDOR DESIGN DISTRICT MIDTOWN WYNWOOD

4 FORT LAUDERDALE

16

CONDOS TOTALING

2,938

RESIDENCES


30 Year Condo Delivery Analysis For

TRADITIONAL & SHORT-TERM/AIRBNB CONDOS Coconut Grove To Fort Lauderdale - East of I-95

58,953

60,000 55,000

TRADITIONAL

45,000

VS.

40,000

SHORT-TERM/AIRBNB

35,000

TRADITIONAL CONDOS - 2,938 SHORT TERM RENTALS - 4,419

30,000 25,000 19,465

20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000

2,938

0

# OF BUILDINGS

PREVIOUS CYCLE

LAST CYCLE

CURRENT CYCLE

2001 - 2010

2012 - 2020

2021+

275

123

16

SOURCE: MLS

TRADITIONAL CONDO UNITS RELEASED

50,000


CONDO HOTELS / SHORT TERM RENTALS in Greater Downtown Miami 15 Condo-Hotel Developments = 4,419 Residences

1.

4.

7.

10.

13.

2.

5.

8.

11.

14.

3.

6.

9.

12.

15.

11

DOWNTOWN MIAMI

3

EDGEWATER

5

7

8

13 14 15

S E L I M 1.53

BRICKELL

12

10

9

S E L I M 5 5 . 0

MIDTOWN WYNWOOD

RIVERSIDE


SUPPLY

SHOCK


COSTA RICA


TAKEAWAYS

1.

SUPPLY SHOCK

2.

DEMAND

3.

ALTERNATIVE LOCATIONS


JAN 2022

2021 Q4 UPDATE


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