Global Wave Energetics

Global Wave Energetics World System Thermodynamics

Stephen I. Ternyik

Global Wave Energetics All Rights Reserved Copyright Š 2013 Stephen I. Ternyik This book may not be reproduced, transmitted, or stored in whole or in part by any means, including graphic, electronic, or mechanical without the express written consent of the publisher except in the case of brief quotations embodied in critical articles and reviews.

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Contents 1. Global Wave Compression 2. Universal Temporal Scaling 3. World System Energetics

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GLOBAL WAVE COMPRESSION ABSTRACT The universal clock reading in the topological measuring and global scaling of socio-economic data is a methodical problem-generation of pattern recognition and prediction.

The key factors and indicators of global wave compression are identified, with special attention to global monetary wave theory and quantum economic science as world historic bifurcation. Decision tree learning and data science strategies are discussed for dynamic communication with the natural hierarchy, sequence and temporality of entropic order or chaos, pointing to a distinction between ‘general’ and ‘specific’ statistical learning. The role of entropology as a natural metaphor for the integrated perception, observation and measurement of the psychophysical body of the human social economy is exactly defined and precise methodical thought is elaborated for economic theory and management practice.

Every major economic crisis of human productivity is also a social reoccurrence of resembling historical events as a psychopathological and political déjà vu, leading to extreme income inequality, radical societal conflict, public revolution and imperial inter-state war; the reason for the social disillusionment of the 7 billion people agenda among all existing political systems, including the small number of liberal democracies, is the not to well-known or ignored fact that politics is actually about the distribution of living chances in this earthly realm where death is real and loss is not only an accounting category. An aggressive over-expansion and super-dominance of the financial industry sector in a monetary production economy and the resulting progressive collective centralization (1:25%-10:90%) of wealth and income among a low digit (1-10%) of a population are recipes for ethical and economic failure of the human race on a global ecological scale. The big data are showing the same extremes as around 1929, but this time every-thing appears even a great bit sharper in the process phenomena of curves, diagrams and graphics, but also big data science analytics cannot compute away the mathematical and statistical anomalies of economic production and distribution. The new economy illusion lost its psychological momentum ultimately at the end of 2000, regarding data of real GDP growth, new orders for durable goods, industrial production and nonfinancial corporate profits; the profits of the Nasdaq-firms collapsed completely. In any case, quantitative economics and quantified data are historical approximations of real events in a post mortem style, but seem to give us in fact very limited insight about the happenings of the future or the immediate present. This methodical type of forecasting is too deterministic and futures research should be about the methodological freedom of human choice; consequently, we are investigating into the basic pattern recognition and

prediction of human socio-economic action; our social life is about value priorities and time preferences as individuals and as collectives of learning and action.

Furthermore, it is an empirical fact that most scientifically collected and academically administered knowledge bodies about economic life cycles are directed at the productive maximization of property via credit and interest, especially instructing about how to operate profitably in the market of a national polity. At least ¾ of the professional literature is dealing with this kind of economic inquiry. As stated before, the methodical tools are mainly based on a mathematical hermeneutics that implies strong a posteriori power and condenses big data better than linguistic word chains, but a lot of the lacking foresight is caused by this naïve belief in numeric modeling. Although the yuppies of the City preferred the Porsche 911 since 1995, it is not reasonable to assume a numerological connection to the terror of 9/11; however, the timing of this uncivilized murder act is more frightening the author today than at the actual moment, because of the analyzed criminal sophistication perceived in the retro perspective analysis of the (global) financial data series. Unfortunately, the economics and management professions have still not arrived at a truly scientific theory and method to integrate the many scattered practical knowledge pieces; this can only be done via a scientific learning process where dogmatic canonization does not dictate the road of research and development into new economic ideas that go far beyond the a posterior balance sheets of static accounting and dynamic forecasting. We are following the spiral theory of human history, all social change is cyclical, not merely repetitive and linear projections cannot catch these continuous creative and destructive changes of cyclical hierarchies, from the beginning to the end of this world, pointing to the origin

and nature of space, time, energy, matter and organized life itself. In addition,any backward reading of time or temporal re-construction carries the methodical problem that the cyclical intervals of temporal quanta are becoming shorter with the spiral course of history, i.e. if we count back from year 2000 to 1950, we get the numerical value of 50, but this does not comply with the physical evidence of modern cosmology and temporology. The mathematical measurement of global wave patterns like Schumpeterian and Kondratieff cycles for a world economic science cannot ignore the socio-dynamic fact of physical space-time compression or spatio-temporal acceleration; the scientific methodical recognition and prediction of socio—economic wave patterns starts with physical evidence, must incorporate psychological preferences and cannot avoid philosophical ethics. Economics is also about the heuristic art to make the best of our lives and there is a definite calculus between personal greed and mutual prosperity; or to com-put it into more exact terms: book-keeping techniques ‘create’ economic facts. The physical entropy of an economic (quantum) system is directly affected by the accounting method (from stones to electronic digits), i.e. there is no economic alchemy or monetary metaphysics; furthermore, there is no natural law that an economy shall or could satisfy all human needs and wants! All that exists in the economic sphere of commercial trans-actions is physical demand and the monetary power to pay for need and want; it is exactly typical for our economic (quantum) stage, that all human needs are reduced or simplified into the need for money. Quantitative economic history reveals that the advent of industrial capitalism has led to ever lower reserve requirements on demand deposits (also cash reserve ratio or minimal capital ratio), this monetary practice evolved with goldsmith and Lombard techniques of economic deposits as precious metals, gems, etc. in combination with

written receipts; the most advanced monetary production economies have arrived at 0 or 1%, emerging economies like Brazil or China are around 20%. Central banks have become planning agencies to control the empty credit emissions of interest collecting commercial banks; such a monetary practice is an attack on the growth of the market economy and checks economic productivity. Economic production quantizes time and money quantizes economic production time, i.e. the empty credit(x interest) emissions are the root cause of the global economic crisis and no monetary agency can check this toll on economic production as money is actually a market replicator. What makes this economic scenario even worse is the fact that about 70% of the empty emissions are fiat credits for real estate, being propelled by land value speculation in urban centers, i.e. an eminent mass of future productive capital is directed at a piece of land and housing.

Under these financial conditions, the economic production cycle is shortened and a temporal acceleration to point zero is foreseeable. Only a new politics of money can amend this systemic error and methodical mischief as all human needs are reduced or simplified into the need for money as production and distribution mechanism. Thus we propose some kind of optimal (narrow) reserve banking system for the future, to channel a maximal capital ratio into real economic investment for private entrepreneurship and public infrastructure.

The new economy illusion has also led to a misperception and misreading of the electronic informatization of the global village; computer technology does not signal a new economy, but it can create perfect information machinery and finalize the industrialization process as a global wave in form of tech—know-logical automation and automata. However, such innovations have at first to go through a painful human

learning curve and an economic gain in real capitalization is almost a generational learning process of skills, competences and changing life styles, i.e. investment into people and human capital is a social learning program. In addition, also new management arts and entrepreneurial alertness do not fall from heaven and many people will have human problems with open source learning and knowledge sharing as they are conditioned by the old ways of doing the business (of life and work).

Contrary to new economy speech, the old natural laws (quantum motion & development) of the economy will govern in the future and this is the reason why it makes sense to recognize and predict the wave patterns of human economic behavior (time-value-decisions) which must always be guided by explicit ethical principles (‘spiritual physics’). It is this existential interaction of the internal state of our minds with physical constraints that makes economic research so exiting and vitally interesting.

The last century was the century of the greatest inflations of paper money ever seen in human economic history, while the 19th century was a period of monetary deflations backed by precious metals. Is the quantum of inflation the entropic indicator of an economic system? We claim that the real causes of this quantum movements and developments, that direct the degree of socio-economic order or disorder, are scientifically not well understood or precisely researched. The cognitive framework or mental state of the economic mind that tries to explain human progress via the mathematized maximization of property via (fiat) credit (x interest) does simply not allow for such a perception of social systemic processes, i.e. it is a technically competent profession, but not a science. Quantum thought tries to comprehend

human economic action as the dual interplay of micro—and macro—kinetic processes of human thermodynamics (macro) and mechanics (micro) that causes meta-cyclical motion; it diagnoses the psychophysiology of the body economic as a hologram. Every single act of payment (micro=mechanical level) directs total production (macro=thermodynamic level); however, this economic actions do happen in a metacyclical framework of natural law as progressive space-time— compression or spatio-temporal acceleration (Carmeli 2002; and: arXiv: astro-ph/0103008v1: Lengths of the First days of the Universe). The universal economic clock flows in relative cosmological time (with a special metric of elastic backward motion) and directs the contractive and expansive cybernetics of the open global economic clock and the many closed local clocks, i.e. the universal hologram (4D) records the economic workings of the geometric globe (3D) and the arithmetic locations (1-2D). Consequently, there is a precise methodical distinction between the technical perspective of world economic science and the practiced economist professions; it was Levi-Strauss (1961: 397) who first coined the term entropology for the entropic actions of the human race, a process theory that studies the dynamic disintegration and increasing disorder of highly evolved social systems: it was no coincidence that these entropo-logical observations were actually formed in the 1930s in the Brazilian rain forest and as visiting research scholar at Sao Paulo University, being together with F. Braudel on a French cultural ‘mission’. In any case, the economic relationship between entropology and money in the last 250 years has to be studied in more scientific depth, but our methodical intuition points to an enigmatic monetary mechanism, concerning the entropy of our human economy. In our perception, entropology is driven by the following core factors:

A. Population (dynamics); B. Innovation (patterns); C. Energy (consumption); D. Money (reserves); E. Complexity (acceleration).

These entropological factors occur in a specific temporal order of events and imply a sequential causal chain; the historical, empirical and prospective reading of these basic quanta is the methodical key to decipher the meaning of the hidden motion in the order of space, time and human action via data science, big analytics and visual modeling. The outcome will not be a world formula or theory of everything, but future economics in application. G. Plekhanov taught that the criterion of any human ideal or idea is economic reality and that intellectual beauty cannot be equated with scientific truth; the macro kinetic order in the cyclical and spiral nature of hierarchical processes is closer to Kondratieff wave theory of innovation than to a Bolshevist end game of history, but socio-economic evolution and selection procedures move in cybernetic feedback temporality on and this objective systemic algorithms do not ask for subjective pain of victims and human suffering as non-reversibility is the process class.

The instant suspension of the gold reserve standard in WW1 was not a Wallerstein bifurcation; it was a sudden mutual event of the German Kaiser Reich and the United Kingdom of Great Britain on August 4, 1914: only paper money could make for a longer war, postponing all ideal aspirations of universal human emancipation, installing war as a special case of global systems evolution. In economic reality, the

orbit of the market forces deviates extremely from any ideal mathematized equilibriums and only a reasonable politics (of money) can balance the antagonistic market capacities of the competing political economies, i.e. the market can activate the funeral service if the patient is dying and the most expensive economic service is the state funeral. The temporal metaphor of Kondratieff wave motion and development can be understood as statistical hermeneutics of socio-economic systemic processes in the polity and the market; it is the temporal order of sequential factors (population/dynamics; innovation/patterns; energy/consumption; money/reserves and complexity/compression) and their possible fractalization where the methodical rules of empirical statistics are no more applicable in the usual reading of events. After WW1 it was indeed foolish to restore old gold parities as the economic parameters had forever changed; institutions like the gold commission of the League of Nations and afterwards the Bank of International Settlements were mentally simply not prepared for a methodical shift to new monetary standards.

We are sure that this non-reversible event can be studied by the social scientific method and that it can be interpreted statistically via the mechanical and thermodynamic entropy of the quantum system of the world economy as fractal stage.

Of course, this immediately calls for an applicable theory of bifurcation in extreme income inequality, radical social conflict, public revolution, imperial inter-state war and hopefully world peace for trade and change; it also implies the unavoidable question of human liberty and solidarity and their relatively limited degrees of freedom in social inter-action, i.e. the dynamic and efficient interplay of physical constraint and human economic action (or our internal state of minds).

An ideological overestimation of the human freedom of action in the social world generally finalizes in the unreasonable notion

that social science should methodically not be tight to the application or higher order of natural law, to achieving a more exact or precise discipline. We do not think that socio—economic research and development can be solely built upon hermeneutic interpretation and mathematized artifacts; on the contrary, we propose to empirically extract abstract information (patterns) and modeling (regularities) from big data science and knowledge discovery in data set bases.

Statistical interpretation and data visualization are at the core of this mathematical creativity, concerning the data mining and decision tree learning of regular patterns as discrete classification or continuous regression of events/parameters on a temporal scale. The quantization and quantification of qualitative entropic tendencies identifies the un-certainty and randomness of systemic processes in the order of time; general formulae for data redundancy measurement do exist as social entropy indexes, e.g. for income inequality research. Thus methodical ingenuity can open up new social research ways into the global scientific analysis of economic wave patterns, regularities and space-time. The statistical learning problem of regular inference and prediction in pattern recognition is the background program for the methodical detection of discrete waves and continuous elements on the economic radar of the social evolution in the history and future of the world system. The empirical intelligence of methodical statistics and probability is field and path dependent; the precise observation of rapid evolutionary change in human social systems is therefore bound to the exact methodical distinction between regular and non-regular statistics, i.e. every form of counting is finite, but different velocities or time-scales do apply for measuring the clock signals of distinct data sets.

Disease, disaster and death are real human bifurcations of order or chaos; E. Schrödinger insisted permanently on the empirical fact that a rapidly progressing degree of entropy causes the mortal crisis of organized life. Advancing methodical mathematics beyond intellectual beauty works by heuristic intuition and finally via logical proof; cybernetic signal processing in living social systems can better be researched into by non-deterministic math and intuitive modeling. In the living case of process-learning, cause and effect are not always proportional; the non-linear relationships may depend on simple initial conditions accompanied by extreme high sensitivity of a process momentum. Pattern recognition is bound to data as vectors of multiple dimensions; data dimensionality estimation models of a mathematical set become therefore empirically crucial. In addition, the statistical and probabilistic interplay of local data samples with whole data sets calls for a methodical integration of topological and global scaling. Consequently, multi-fractal parameters of complexity change are always signaling changes in detail and scale at the same time; however, low cardinality and high dimensionality in the same mathematical set of data remain an open measuring problem and more methodical exactness in measuring techniques is still a creative guess. The economic management of physical bifurcation and chaos in a complex social system depends on the precise perception, observation and exact measurement of the appropriate general time— scale and specific ‘data clocks’; this is the great methodical challenge of social scientific research in our current age of global wave compression in the social economy of world humanity.

Will we be all buried in Polya’s urn? A Chinese restaurant or Indian buffet process is preferable, but what can be done?

Any human social system is an open and non-reversible

thermodynamic set and the entropic acceleration of the political economy in the world system started in the early 1970s, with the monetary fiat big bang. Since then, population dynamics and energy consumption doubled in total terms, the driving innovation pattern became auto-electronic information— processing and the monetary reserve requirement ratio points to minus 0, with the exception of some ‘emerging’ economies.

Complexity globally multiplies via space-time compression and can only be communicated methodically, but it cannot be ‘controlled’ by socio-economic engineering. In addition, global scaling and topological measuring are not logical identities, but are governed by universal natural laws of space, time and energy. Peace, health and prosperity are dependent on a social balance of liberty and solidarity, i.e. free association and social ethics. Therefore, it is decisive to revive modern liberal thought for political economics and social philosophy.

Socialism for the rich and capitalism for the poor is no solution (private gain=public loss), i.e. organized pockets of wealth vs. disintegrated pools of poverty; the land/natural resource and state/tax monopoly has to be reviewed scientifically, but it is radically more important to rethink the private monetary monopoly of fiat credit (x interest) and public monetary police. The author has the powerful metaphor in mind, of a triangular formation body of birds, where the strongest fly in front and create the waves that carry those behind who are weaker or tired; another natural metaphor is stork thermic: even the carnivore stork knows how to use the thermodynamic waves where every organism can realize his full potential and where great group co-operation is of more evolutionary benefit than un-natural over-competition.

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Universal Temporal Scaling ABSTRACT Money is being portrayed as temporal access to energy and a new methodical approach to the energetics of the human economy is introduced. The economic evolution of world system energetics is put into the historical focus of all global monetary civilization, reaching back to the Sumerian city states. This long wave energetics of human economic action clearly points to the biophysical boundaries of the monetary production economy which is also based on natural law. The future perspective of a new socio-energetic order is discussed as a cognitive adaptation or learning process, responding to entropic volatility; the economic realization and entrepreneurial management of a new long wave dynamics via eco—energetics, bio-tech and health science, guided by the creative technical extension of the human brain via artificial intelligent systems, will most probably reach the historical momentum of tech-know-logical singularity, i.e. the fractal dimension of industrial economics in quantum space-time transforms globally into a new temporal interval as the spacescale changes. Finally, the spontaneous self-organization of human civilization developed via fractal process stages out of natural chaos.

The social paradox of economic systems is hidden in the temporal interplay and cyclical interaction of objective natural limits (space) and subjective human decisions (time); every calculative counting, formula or equation is a rationalized accounting method of bio—economical finitude and the recorded history of economic systems evolution is naturally not the artificial product of the perpetual motion of firms, households and financial intermediation. At every evolutionary standard of technological innovation, the social economy really converts natural resources into human needs by investing energy for an energy return or a net energy gain, i.e. human societies are evolving energy transduction systems. However, in a monetary production economy all human needs are simplified, reduced and measured in monetary units, i.e. the advanced market economy is based on monetary exchange as market replicator and information signal for future production and price formation. Therefore, human economic production is based on the following sequence of process functions: A. Time/quantizes/production; B. Energy/quantizes/time; C. Money/quantizes/energy.

ABC: Money is= access to = energy /and/ quantizes economic production time, i.e. the space scale; in addition, human resources (skills, knowledge, ingenuity) cannot outperform the natural forces or biophysical laws of economic production that are based on a gross energy input for a net energy output (via optimal temporal gain). Social history documents that progressive monetary exchange has expanded gradually the limits of the natural production economy on a global scale, but it cannot expand the natural limits of the known physical

energy resources (natural systems organization of human civilization). It is not an exaggeration to assume that the origin of the wealth of nations is derived from access to energy resources and that the dynamics of entropic processes decides over efficiently maintaining the social order of economic systems. Many competing economic taxonomies (for a return on production factors) and social utopias (of an ideal society) are implicitly in academic circulation, being only rivaled by smart voiced political ideologies (of best practice), but the dominant majority of economic models concerning human societies consequently ignores the empirical evidence of the biophysics or energetics of the modern monetary production economy; this scientific deficit is especially dangerous in our globalized village as the effective range of disaster is now planetary.

The decisive economic problem of our current monetary system is that money does absolutely not behave neutral or boring to the production cycle; the commercial fiat emission of private credit (x interest) reaches after a certain temporal limit its biophysical or energetic boundaries.

Whereas credit (x interest) can be emitted by private banks on the basis of central bank fiat money mathematically (as a political wish coupon), the energetics of the production system is limited physically by natural law (entropy). Consequently, the monetary basis needs an optimal or narrow reserve requirement to speed down human over-consumption of natural economic resources because money means practically access to energy. The next leadership economy will surely be about solving the money-energy-relationship via a slowdown temporal scale; a novel period of energy use, based on access to comparatively not expensive energy resources, will signify a new systemic leadership position as an economic avant-garde.

The long wave perspective in economic history documents that new systemic leadership in energetics never evolves from the supreme political economy, because the most powerful factor of systemic supremacy is the energetics of weaponry.

De-central energy provision, energy saving and renewable (clean) energy resources will open the door to this new wave of energetics, in combination with sound monetary reform for temporal sustainability and economic dynamic efficiency. It is this vital interplay of energy, money and time that governs the economic production cycle and provokes human ingenuity to solve a new social problem—generation, i.e. to set new standards in the energetics of the human economy. It is very probable that these process changes in system energetics are traceable back to the historical economics of the first monetary civilization, i.e. the Sumerian city states, and that the longterm evolution of the whole civilizing process is about socio-e nergetic transduction systems , guided by monetary prudence or error, measurable via temporal scaling.

Humankind is a drop out from nature, but economic action cannot outperform the natural boundaries although every human economy is a result of the unnaturalness of the human nature. This is the key of the economic paradox: subjective preferences are limited by the energetic input on a temporal scale for an energetic output (remember the above mentioned ABC). Today, this is a global process as the monetary production economy, based on energetics, is the dominant world system. It is therefore wise to think global economics as world system energetics; advancing human large-scale economic cooperation and small—scale group dynamics on this globe will depend on a new energy science that applies economic wisdom (time-tested knowledge) and monetary foresight, leading most probably to a new world currency, based on a clean energy index. This fundamental

global energy shift of the world economic system calls for a methodical integration of ecology, energetics and economics, with the monetary system reflecting the natural limits of human economic action as money is actually temporal access to energy. Thus, the empirical application of natural law is the cultural foundation principle of every human social economy; however, the applied technology of any recorded human civilization cannot be interpreted or read as simple textbook physics, but follows systemic processes of higher organic order (Deutero-Learning), i.e. spontaneous self-organization.

Furthermore, civilized men may behave wise and experienced, but external factors, not accessible by empirical rationalization, can naturally force already established populations to leave their cultivated territory. Meaning essentially implies our view of nature and is all about the construction principles of reality, e.g. natural forces can be interpreted as unified power or as an assembly of powers. The method of scientific research aims at observing and measuring regularities or repetitive laws of events in nature and society. It can be easily understood that the first human civilizations were products of water management techniques at great rivers (Indus, Yangtze, Nile, Mesopotamia), evolving around 3000BCE, but only the Sumerian city states developed a monetary market economy.

However, climate change around 2000BCE eventually brought a long lasting drought to that region, nomads destroyed the capital of Ur and the whole area depopulated by 90% within two centuries; the biblical account of Avram falls exactly into this period of time; in any case, the monetary unit of shekel (11gram of silver=180 grains of barley) survived via Babylon.

The ancient Greek civilization of the Mediterranean port cities was also a water-based monetary economy, with maritime markets for agricultural products and long-distance credits for shipping (500BCE). Song China at 1000CE was again an advanced water-managed civilization and monetary market

economy, with coins, limited paper money for long-distance trade and credit; after an energy crisis, it was the Mongol nomads that put an end (1300CE) to this proto—industrial upswing, not being knowledgeable about monetary economics and water-based technology. Accordingly, Newton was not born in China. The Italian maritime republics (1100CE) invented an advanced financial system and their energy management was again dependent on water and wind. Iberian ship development (1400-1600CE), based on wood, was the technical invention for all maritime powers that followed by history and the Dutch Golden Age (1600CE) was again a waterpowered cultural enterprise; finally the industrial revolution (1750CE) switched the energy power base of the human economy to coal. This methodical array of big history data looks like a random network sample and focuses on global impacts, but let us study the ERoEI (ratio of energy return on energy invested=net energy gain): hydro power almost yields 100%, coal over 80%, oil about 30% and wind about 20%.

The most disturbing fact in this picture is that natural factors (e.g. climate) and human factors (e.g. warfare) do alter the rational ERoEI orbit; unfortunately, there is no beauty in such socio—natural events and logical disharmony or existential paradox is prevailing. In any case, the ABC of our economic process functions is applicable as bounded rationality, i.e. globalization is monetary civilization, energy is decisive and production is temporal. In economic history, long wave cycles are not equal to arithmetic counting or linear conclusions; on the contrary, non-rational forces can easily outperform rational management, i.e. chaos theory is a serious research subject and every human civilization has steadily evolved against external or internal chaos as socio-natural event.

The future dynamic efficiency of the human social economy is not in romantic equilibrium, but in the real building up of a clean energy transduction system that reduces the entropy

of the economic order (quantum economics). This is a matter of cognitive adaptation and learning, of cultural naturalism and physical spirituality (‘spiritual physics’); the cosmology of space-time structures in world economics, the biophysics of socio—economic systems and quantum wave theory of the human existence are the essential intelligence tools for coping with the brutish facts of natural reality, because death, disaster and disease are real; the future of the human race will depend on this kind of Deutero-or process learning (‘doing by learning’).

From all these details follows that the temporal process momentum of quantum space-time for the natural laws, biophysics and energetics of socio-economic systems slowly appears on the cognitive radar of any serious approach to world economic science, i.e. the spatial and temporal intervals of human economic action are socio-dynamic parameters of systems change: the time flow changes proportionally to the space scale. Our above outlined path of human economic history resembles a scale-free network, pointing to some decisive tech-know—logical hubs (statistical degree distribution at definite geophysical points=fields), but the observable chronic wave frequency (since 1750CE) seems to be a topological exception from the last 5000 years, technically initiated by the economic use of fossil and nuclear fuels. The 5 long wave cycles of the last 250 years have fundamentally altered the heartbeat rhythm of ‘the economic animal’ and finished the fractal nature of traditional nomad and agrarian economics; is the so called 6th Kondratieff (since 2001) of eco-energetics, bio-technology and health science, propelled by the technical extension of the human brain by artificial intelligent systems, actually the quantum leap into the great 3rd wave of technological singularity as J. Neumann imagined?

We do think this will depend on a new kind of energy science,

the economic abolishment of the ‘monkey money illusion’ and temporal connection by electronic communication. This space scale integration of global wave compression changes the planetary time flow and is indeed in need of an intelligent operation system for information—processing; otherwise, the energy trap or gap closes as in Sumer (draught) or Song China (deforestation, paving the way for nomad invasion).

W. Heisenberg taught us that to study natural science is a dynamic quantum process between men and nature, not a static accounting chart, i.e. the wave cycle frequencies alter in the long spiral course of economic history, the temporal nature of the wave frequency changes by space scale interconnection and is highly energy intense. Speaking about economic wave changes as frequency alteration in quantum space-time means to identify the exact transformations of fractal replication in human action on a temporal scale.

Entropy is the natural enemy of humanity; this refers both to the increasing entropy of a single human body and to the body of humanity as a whole; the fractal dimensionality of human history reveals a regular pattern of wave-like breakdown in the civilizing process, mainly owing to energetic mal-economy regarding natural resources. However, as we stated earlier, even prudent behavior cannot exit us fully from the Damocles sword of disastrous annihilation and natural disasters; it is by any ethical accounting method unreasonable to assume that natural disasters as floods, droughts, ice peak or interglacial ages and the like are collective results of human guilt acts, committed against the higher will of an eternal upper force. On the contrary, human civilization is a competence building process against the already experienced blind random hits from Mother Nature. From this viewpoint, it is indeed wise to extend human intelligence via technical cognition and to develop a technical operating system for the intelligent advancement of global human civilization,

paying special respect to the economic relation of time, energy and money (remember: time flow=money and space scale=energy change proportionally/in the quantum spacetime of production), i.e. the economic process functions are not fractal but chronic periodic frequencies. In any case, the temporal interval units in space are shortening with the long spiral course of earthly history as modern physical cosmology explains, because matter moves with energy and time moves with light in spatial universality (by relative backward motion).

It goes without saying that traditional schools or academies are not the best places for the human development of creative technical intelligence; such a dynamic process is always the creative economic product of entrepreneurial management power where learning dominates knowledge and experience is guided by wisdom as I. Kirzner taught us.

Finally, let us precisely communicate our exact observations: quantized fractal space-time characterizes our economic universe of fluctuations or wave-like motion as scale-free network. This global temporal compression is driven by cosmological special relativity (backward motion of time) and cosmological fluctuation (quantum wave frequencies); these natural laws are due to energy field (path) processes and biophysical system limits. Even the socially most ideal human economy has to submit to these universal laws of energetics as the technical application of energy resources drives human economic behavior and wealth ultimately; human societies are practically energy transduction systems. For almost 5000 years, the human cultural civilization was developed by hydro and wind power; before this civilizing process wave, farmers were mainly employing animals and wood for energetic purposes in agrarian settlements (8000-3000BCE); the great leap forward evolved 50000BCE, evidenced by tool—making.

Since 1750, coal became the lead energy, around 1900 oil

was introduced and since 1950 nuclear power; today, we are researching into renewable and clean energy; some physicists and inventors are in search to technically convert quantum vacuum energy as a free future resource. Consequently, our back-casting can perceive and measure 5 chronic Kondratieff wave cycles of 5 x 50 periodical years or so; it is not sure that the so called 6th Kondratieff will continue in this wave frequency. Technological singularity (eco-energetics, biotech, health science, propelled by AI; the possibility of free vacuum energy; quantum monetary system) could bring us a fundamental turning point of human economic history and known wave frequencies. Accordingly, the mystery and chronic frequency of the 5 Kondratieff waves of about 250 years has altered the economic heartbeat of humanity forever; however, since 2001, it is not very likely that this chronic periodicity will continue. If we follow the prediction model of cosmological fluctuation, i.e. quantized space-time in fractal dimensionality, then we have to conclude that the temporal interval of the global economic wave frequency will accelerate singularly.

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3

WORLD SYSTEM ENERGETICS ABSTRACT Human societies are evolving energy transduction systems and the biophysical flow of energy in a socio-economic system quantizes the flow of time and drives temporal acceleration.

The decisive role of money in a monetary production economy is highlighted as temporal access to energy. The greater the natural energy input for productive output, the higher the economic wave frequency and the shorter the wave length.

A singularization of human history, i.e. a replacement of long wave patterns, in the nearer future depends on the technical achievement of a relatively constant energy input. According to the basic formulae of the Snooks/Panov curve, a significant quantum change of the temporal flow will take place in the next decade; it is an open mathematical guess and an ongoing human intelligence test, if this temporal turning point is of discrete or continuous nature.

Waves can be understood as travelling energy and matter as geometry of curved space-time. Force equals geometry and the structure of matter equals different wave’s types. An increase in whatever size is proportional to size itself and the speed of evolutionary waves in human civilization is directly proportional to the number of its inhabitants, i.e. a systemic process of self-similar evolution. This is a stochastic process with time dependency where the statistical coupling of equal parameters/values is either rapid (short-range) or slow (longrange) in performance curves (e.g. of human production and learning); however, economic life or being is an existential conflict that consumes energy and increases entropy and it takes energy to convert energy from one form to another, always with a loss of some energy by friction.

The more energy (e) in a wave, the higher its frequency (f); the wavelength (l) is inversely always proportional to f (we can actually interconvert e, f and l). It follows that shorter wavelengths are more energetic than long wave lengths, increasing energy input leads to higher wave frequencies and shorter wave lengths, i.e. principle of cyclical causality, most probably in spiral form as applied evolutionary to human history. Measuring the empirical acceleration of observable human history (equal to about 50000 solar years, eventually starting with 1 million people) tells us that every new great techno-economic wave took only about 1/3 of former evolution temporary intervals, expressed as logarithmic scale formula (Snooks/Panov curve); from this evolutionary algorithm follows that the duration of future technological shifts will become exponentially smaller and that techno-economic evolution could become a continuous process, rather than the discrete time-lapsed cyclical waves of past experiences, leading to a singular techno-global civilization until 2050, with

9 billion people and the quantum of potentially more inventors or entrepreneurs.

World energy consumption per capita has almost doubled from 40 to 80 gigajoules (1960-2010), according to the numerical canon of all statistical data charts (e.g. BP); this not only reflects the corresponding symmetric population dynamics, but points to our argument that every human civilization can be observed primarily as an energy transduction system and that predictive models can be based on this technical fundament. It is, for example, important to note that even US non-governmental debt (divided by GDP, e.g. FED data) tripled in this temporal period which methodically recalls the financial misuse of bank credit money to stimulate ‘the economy’ via fiat debt and interest ‘creation’; in any case, this monetarist technique is no more sustainable and monetary policy will have to become more congruent with energy economics. In addition, new technologies have to be consequently applied as ‘time saving technics’, according to the life maintaining principle of syntropy. Unfortunately, we found not one data extrapolation of the world energy consumption that modeled any stoppage of the increasing energetic demand, concerning the temporary interval from 2000-2050.

The 6th Kondratieff (of eco-energetics, biotech, health science, propelled by advanced AI, new energy technology and quantum monetary economics) that started 2000/2001 could convert from 2018 until 2050 into technological singularity (like envisioned by J. Neumann and visualized by Snooks/Panov), if world energy consumption can be kept relatively constant by sustainable global economics science (if e will be constant/f and l will behave accordingly/ in reciprocal conversion).It goes without saying that any future monetary system has to implement this factual formula via narrow reserve banking,

i.e. applying a more ‘boring’ financial system; it is unwise to finance artificial living standards via credit money as placebo and ultimately palliative effect, because money is physically access to energy. In any case, not the speed of any reform is decisive, but its direction; this is basically a radical rational challenge for the human mind to expand intelligence beyond traditional methods of cognitive thought (different levels of time and causality). For example, mathematical logic is consciously not directed at temporal levels, but any causal formulation of the bio-physical universe in classical or quantum theoretical terms is actually operated in temporal sequences.

A future extension of the human cognitive horizon has to be methodically rationalized via causal, retro-causal and supercausal process learning that implies multiple time arrows or loops.

Our scientific inquiry deals actually with the last 5 minutes of a 24 hour day, i.e. the about 50000 years of human archeological evidence, with accelerating economic long wave spiral cycles of 5000, 500 and 50 years. It is not big history research, but human history in-depth. We methodically suspect that the quantity of energy input for productive output (conversion of natural energy for human needs) is a reliable measure for the scientific observation and prediction of human societal change along this temporal algorithm. However, we do not perceive this biophysical scaling of socio-economic systems as determinism or ‘randomism’, but as a human behavioral phenomenon of probabilistic adaptation and cognition. The dogmatic objection that there is no natural science of human society cannot be accepted from our side; it might be biographically true that the fate of an individual is not calculable, but collective action (e.g. energy consumption, monetary payments) is countable mass motion with biophysical consequences. As we are now in the last seconds of the 24 hour cosmic day, it is exiting to

elaborate the methodical guess for future human direction of the beginning new day cycle, i.e. to research into the current quantum leap to a new level of science, in search of creative unity for humankind. However, we are aware that the demand for ideas and ideals is not equal to knowledge, but that which can be improved by knowledge, should be.

The more natural energy a human economy transduces into social needs, the more accelerates the economic life of that social entity in temporal terms (the increasing conversion of energy quantities equals physically the temporal acceleration of economic wave frequency and length). This seems to be the basic hypothesis of applied natural law for social science; the formal statement applies biophysically to global geometric time and local arithmetic time (chronos: in Koine Greek), but is physically not valid for universal cosmic time: the temporal clock on this globe (closed world clock/kairos: in Koine Greek) is not equal to the universal time flow (open cosmic clock); according to ancient Hebrew wisdom, human biological age follows the cosmic clock (aeon: in Koine Greek). The energetics of (monetary) economics is decisive and especially in a monetary production economy= money = is access to = energy (inter—conversion of energy, time, money; the economic circuit reads: energy/quantizes/time=time/ quantizes/production=money/quantizes/energy).

Human performance will never outperform these natural forces, but intelligence can cleverly adapt and expand the degrees of economic freedom, reaching higher rational levels of human action; this qualitative temporal interval between thought and deed can be called consciousness, with the human brain as time-processing organ, operating basically on changing levels of photonic energy. The techno-economic evolution of human civilization in fractal waves from natural

chaos to social harmony is a cosmological enigma that implies the existential question why (?) human life emerged as growing organism on the surface of this limited globe; the purpose of the civilizing process is to defend human life from the brutish laws of Mother Nature via the survival strategy of dynamic efficient syntropy. The natural enemy of human life as individual and as collective is entropy and it is world time for economic science to learn this lecture from biophysical science. Consequently, all data quantifications of the how and what of human evolution imply the qualitative rational challenge of data interpretation. The biophysical paradox that is rationally hidden in all these energy transductions is that death makes life possible; L. Fantappie and E .Schrรถdinger were synchronically the first scientists to point to this psychomedical and philo-theological mystery of extreme future value for human problem-solving.

The economic production cycle is primarily not a perpetual motion of human firms, households, banks and the like (which is the canonical explanation of standard textbook liturgy and litany), but fundamentally an energy circuit of natural input and processed output, with the cyclical motion of energy, time, production and money (=access to energy). This biophysical viewpoint is not an ethical denial of human ingenuity or liberty; on the contrary, social psychology is an eminent analytical part of this methodical approach that fits mathematization and statistical data science. The methodical research into universal history via natural-law social science can measure the degrees of human freedom more exactly than any other systems forecasting strategy; monetary critique has to be an essential part of world system energetics, because a fiat monetary system intrinsically first tends to spend and then to earn (the only realistic brake for this financial mischief is technically narrow reserve banking). We have to remember

that economics is still not a science, but a profession that evolved from private and public accounting techniques for property, credit and interest; it is more than probable that book-keepers developed human script out of counting finite entities for stock formation and trading in the Sumerian city states where temples served as commercial centers. In any case, further mathematization of global system energetics (mathematical globalistics) will surely clarify the original and natural laws of energy waves in our human social economy and its role in the quantum time-space of future production circuits as discrete repetitive or continuous singular socionatural events.

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